ETHUSD Short and Medium Term Outlook ETHUSD
As ETH continues to consolidate it's started to form a new pair
of parallels at a less acute angle but it's holding up and
making higher intermediate highs as it does so.
The medium term trend remains positive whilst it continues to
hold up off the lower parallel on all retests (the recent low
was off the previous rally high)
But in the near term it's struggling under the 765 line after a
high at 768.
Without Bitcoin to give it a boost it can move sideways to
down for awhile inside the two blue lines on the chart and
towards the lower parallel given enough time.
But so long as it continues to hold the medium term trend
remains positive.
ETH nevertheless remains tied to Bitcoin's boot-straps.
In the nearer term Bitcoin needs to break above 9400
to help ETH power higher through 768.
And on downside Bitcoin has to break below 9300 to send
ETHlower towards the 741 line and another meeting with
the parallel.
Medium-term
XPTUSD Long Trade SetupHello, traders.
I'm expecting very nice up move in platinum. You can see my higher degree expectation in the followed chart, but it is almost impossible to explain by drawing because there are a lot of options. So, if you want to see detailed analysis, please watch today's analysis video on Youtube.
The last down move has 5 waves already and the 5th wave looks like a reversal pattern. That's why I have put an entry order as you can see. The stop-loss is not certain. If the price goes deeper levels I will rearrange the entry price, stop-loss and lot size according to new bottoms.
CHFJPY Long Trade SetupHello, trades.
This will be the 5th CHFJPY long trade. I hope this time it will start making next weekly up impulse. There is still a chance for some more downside, but those down moves will not change the structure, that's why I will keep taking long trades. I have put an entry order, but if I can find the better entry I will take it and remove the entry order.
GBPCHF Short Trade SetupHello traders.
Another GBP pair is forming a very promising short trade setup. I had an entry order, but now my trade is active. I hope it will keep going down. I have put that entry order because I want to be in the trade if it falls like a rock. But waiting for a small correction after breakout would be a safer entry. You can see my long-term expectation on the chart down below. Of course, I won't keep my trade open until it breaks weekly bottom, but this is the potential.
USDCAD Short Trade SetupHello traders.
I have placed 2 entry orders with the same stop-loss and without any target. The risk of the first order is 1% and it is 0.5% for the second one. The second orders entry price is 0.786 retracement of down move. I will remove one of them when the other becomes active. I'm taking short trades in USDCAD because of the daily structure. It looks like a pretty clear correction so far. There is still some room under trendline for bigger correction, buy in any case, I will take the trade, then I will move the stop-loss to breakeven then I will see the potential.
NZDCAD Long Trade SetupAfter the weekly running flat, I'm expecting next up impulse. I will take a long trade by hoping an impulsive wave. But the last drop is too sharp to be the whole correction. It will go up but this move will probably be a correction. We will see, it's too early to say. I will take a long trade, then I will move stop-loss to break even and I will leave it alone.
Bitcoin Buy, But Don't Dream About 50K.Hello, traders.
I was ready to buy more Bitcoin and I bought some already. There is still chance for more down move to create a regular flat. But cryptocurrencies love to make contracting flats. That's why I bought. We will see. Up move will be the 5th wave. Its potential will be limited, but it can also be an extended 5. You can see my long-term forecast for Bitcoin. Also, please check the related idea. If you want to see more details of my analysis you can watch today's video analysis on Youtube.
XPDUSD Short Trade SetupHello, traders.
I think down move is either a weekly correction or daily correction or impulse. In any case, there is a big potential for more downside. That's why I'm looking for short trade setups. I have an entry order because the structure between yellow lines looks like an expanding flat. Target is not clear, leave it empty.
USDCAD Short Trade SetupEven if I think down move will be a correction for one more upside instead of daily down impulse, I will take a short trade. I don't wanna miss any short trade setup under any circumstances, because the reward of down move can be huge. The structure looks like an expanding flat in 1H, so I have placed an entry order. After some drop, I will move my stop-loss to breakeven and I will leave it alone.
WTI: US OIL Minimum Upside Target at 86.33WTI Crude Oil Minimum Medium Term Upside Target at 86.33
The Saudis are reported to need oil at $84 to balance their budget.
By happy coincidence for them the minimum upside target
created by the reverse head and shoulders is 86.33.
In the nearer term WTI is flipping in a 300 pip range with
support off the last highs at 66.48 and resistance at 69.48.
It has to break below here by 10 pips or more to trigger
further near term weakness and a short back to the 63.76 line
where it should reverse higher again.
Returning to the upside although WTI is likely to move
sideways for a while longer as it unwinds the last 800 pip
rally, whilst it holds up at 66.48 the trend remains positive
overall.
Once it breaks above 69.55 it should rally further to 71.14 and
then, after consolidating some more at that point, to 75.28
and eventually to 86.33, the minimum target created by the
RHS.
NZDCAD Long Trade SetupHello traders.
My forecast is the next up impulse after the weekly running flat. That's why I will take long trades. The last down move is too sharp to be the whole correction but it can be in some rare cases. I hope it will go up impulsive. Even if it makes a correction, it would be a good trade. The trade setup is sharp up move and very clear looking correction. Wait for the breakout and a small flag before taking any trade. I have put an entry order.
EURGBP Long Trade SetupHello traders.
EURGBP makes a correction after sharp up impulse. At least, it looks like a correction so far. My minimum target for any long trade is new daily top. I'm waiting for the breakout, then I will wait for a small correction, then I will take the trade. But if you look at the followed chart you can see that there is still a chance for one more down impulse. It's not clear where the end of daily correction. For more details, please watch the today's analysis video on Youtube.
CHFJPY Long Trade SetupHello traders.
I have put an entry order while I was recording today's video analysis. But, it went up before I manage to upload. Wait for a correction, then take the long trade. Up move can be wave C in expanding flat. In this case, it will come down one more time. Otherwise, it will go up and break the previous weekly top. If you don't have any long trade, please wait for a correction, before you take any.
GBPUSD Short Trade SetupHello trades.
While I was recording today's video analysis, I was expecting some correction before this down move, but it just fell. Wait for a correction to take any trade. Don't jump in. My minimum target is the breaking of up trendline. Then we will see. There is a chance for one more upside, or it can go down and make new all-time low.
GBPAUD Short Trade SetupHello traders.
Like all other GBP pairs, GBPAUD is making a weekly corrective structure. After correction, it will make its weekly down impulse. But I think there is a chance for one more up. As you can see inside of C wave we have 123 sofar, and I'm looking for short trade setups because my expectation is one more drop to the trend line. But 4th and 5th waves are optional, so it can just fall. Wait for a correction before taking any short trade.
GBP/JPY Short IdeaI like to keep my charts simple with a few regions and/or support and resistance levels. As everyone can see on the daily timeframe GBP/JPY rose in waves but that last wave rose quite fast and fell lower even faster. This suggests, according to my opinion, that there is little interest in taking the pair higher at least in the medium-term. The area where I've marked "Sell Zone" appears to be a good area to enter shorts since there is a ton of confluence in that region. With stop loss placed far enough to give fakeouts enough room. The 1st take profit zone is an important zone to look at taking profits or at least some profits off the table since price had a sharp bounce from that area.
BTCUSD Finally Up?Hello traders.
BTCUSD is still in the corrective phase and in the downtrend, but I believe blue Y wave is over. I don't think this will be the case, but there is a chance for Z wave after a same size correction with the previous X wave.
I'm waiting for a correction in 1H to buy some Bitcoin. Please take a look at the related idea for detailed analysis.
XAUUSD Both Direction PossibleHello traders.
I like to share with you my gold analysis. Even if both directions are possible, we have a long trade setup. Let me explain.
Yellow wave count is one option. Based on it, down move was the X wave and it will go up for Z. Minimum target is breaking the of Y. The structure between yellow lines looks like a flag for more upside. So, wait for the breakout, and take the long trade.
The second option is blue wave counts. Based on it, last part was expanding wedge (abcde) and now it is making the next down impulse. Expanding wedges are extremely rare corrective patterns. That's why I don't think blue counts will be the case, but of course, they can be. So, wait for a correction, then wait for the breakout, and take the short trade.
Trade with care, bye.