SHIB USDT - PUMP IT UPThis trend line started exactly 2 years ago. Imagine what happens when this trend gets broken... a mega pump to the upside.
Why would this trend get broken?
TOTAL making new highs, meaning new liquidity is coming into the market
BTC.D tipping over (liquidity moving from BTC to ALTS)
TOTAL3 just broke out its wedge to the upside
VMC Cipher_B_divergences shows 2x bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe
VMC Cipher_B_divergences shows an even larger bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe
However, keeping track of BTC moves. One should always be careful with slowly increasing channels after such a big move as we had on the 24th of October. Could be a setup for a dump that (generally speaking) brings prices of all coins back down.
MEGA
BTC MEGA BULL SCENARIOThis is mega bullish scenario in the case if hold 25k and just fly upwards.
Also possible to reach 29k and then to retest 24k and then fly to 40k+
Or directly push upwards to 33-35k and then some triangle or some kind of range and then to 40k.
Whatever something like this is what i will expect if the market is that Mega bullish.
ELITE 1337 DAY MEGA STRUCTURE—————————
ME: I would ask you to sit down, but you’re not going to anyway.
ME: And don’t worry about the stock market.
YOU: What stock market?
BOOM.
ME: That stock market.
YOU: How did you Know.
ME: Ohh, Whats really going to bake your noodle later on is… would you still have broken it if I hadn’t said anything….
————————————
If you read any of my old posts from last year you might be familiar with one of these H&S patterns I posted trying to predict the top of the markets.
The bullish harmonic zone referred to in there is the .618 fib retracement.
To find this mega structure, you only need to look at the weekly chart and add some Fib retracements for for the March 2020 crash.
From peak to trough, then again from trough to new peak and you have your bullish retracement.
Another Fib tool I use for this mega structure is Fib Timezone which is a Fibonacci number sequence.
Each number is the sum of the last two numbers. The sequence starts like this: 0, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, and so on
If you map from 0-1 in reverse from the peak (January 4th) to 12 weeks back you will find there is a major swing high/low/reversal in order leading back all the way 2000 decline.
5 - swing/high low after covid recovery
8 - marks 2020
13- marks 2018 bear market
21 and 34 are not very relevant
55 marks 2008 decline
89 marks 2000 decline
Now the real PHUN begins. Flip the timezone 12 weeks into the future to get forward looking swings that match the historic ones.
The lower fib sequence is to be ignored because there is to much noise.
But I like to study noise patterns and here is what I see in the noise.
HS1 - First Head and Shoulder
On the weekly its hard to see, but I have used these structures for the last year and they keep completing.
HS2 - Second Head and Shoulder
Take a look at the pin point accuracy this H&S 162% predicted the bottom June 13th in markets.
HS3 - Third H&S with a price target that is a magnet for a 50% retracement from trough to peak.
This structure hasn’t completed yet, but in my opinion will mark the second leg down.
HS5 - The 5th sequence is after September and will likely mark a big rally in November. This structure 168% is the bottom of Covid Cycle.
HS8 puts us to Nov 2023 with the left shoulder being the Covid Crash.
From shoulder to shoulder of HS8 will be approx. 1337 (LEET speak translates to ELITE) market days
I’ll stop there because we couldn’t possible complete HS8 and look to completing 13…
Because that would be the D word… Depression.
If we are at the end of a debt cycle like Ray Dalio predicts in the changing world order…
Whatever, this is just a bunch of tinfoil hat nonsense… right?????
Right????
————————————
But always remember, You’re in control of your own life.
Here. Have a Cookie.
I promise once you see this cookie, you’ll feel as right as rain.
BTC AN OVERVIEW TO ELIMINATE CONFUSION BINANCE:BTCUSDT
well I have seen a lot of analysis. they are not satisfying me at all. it's just creating more and more confusion.
we might have bottomed out already. so this price is actually good for long term holders. it's golden chance for anyone who wants to hold bitcoin for long time. even if we go below 15k it won't last long. because so many whales / big players are really looking for those cheap price to get into the market.
if we get another crash like we did in covid we might see a huge spike to 13-14k. (now probably due to recession and high leverage players)
but if you're accumulating bitcoin for long term like 1.5 years or so you're in good position.
take a look at the following chart we are seeing similarities between 2019 bottom and 2022 bottom. also rsi looking very similar (btw i am using heikin ashi to eliminate the noise to get cleaner chart )
i am mega bullish on bitcoin. but keep in might we won't make new ATH anytime soon at least for 2 years.
What will happen to Bitcoinlets see how long bears can go :)
For having more precise analysis, We need to check Total crypto market cap too.
I'm using BTC/USDT Binance chart because i believe Binance is most effective crypto exchange.
Okay let's go
As you can see we have triple top pattern in Bitcoin and the neckline has been broken, Also we know that pattern like triple top usually happens at the end of the trend.
We have a downtrend and because of the pattern, We know how long can this downtrend continue.
Let's see when the downtrend will finish
To do that we need to find out Price return zones(support zones), In order to do that i use Fib retracements and Price movements(highs,lows and ...)
I used two waves for fibonacci retracement first one from around 9.6k to 64.9k(from bottom A to top3) and for second wave i used initial big pump wave which is from almost 21k to 64.9k(from Bottom B to top3)
Combination of Price movements and these Fib's give us important zones which are all visible in the chart and you can see them.
Let's have a quick check on Total crypto market cap
The chart bigger movement is still in the ascending trend but in short term we are experiencing a downtrend. I found important returning zones just like how i found them in Bitcoin chart
Conclusions:
1-We need to wait for both Bitcoin and Total cap return from one of those zones.
2-Bitcoin is retracing and after finishing the retrace we can expect continuing the ascending trend(Another impulsive wave).
3-Bitcoin and Total crypto cap have correlations and based on Btc dominance most of the Total cap is in the Bitcoin so when the Total cap rises we can expect Bitcoin to rise.
4-Bitcoin and Total cap bigger trends are ascending.
5-Bouncing back from those zones can be a long opportunity.(always wait for multiple confirmations)
Tips:
1-This is not financial advice and you need to do your own analysis.
2-Money management is the key and always use proper position sizing.
3-Feel free to comment what you think and check my analysis precisely so zoom in, move the candles and ... .
Thanks for your time
Trendline got BrokenAs we can see there was a nice trendline in the 1H chart. Now that it got broken we will probably see a backtest to 47K.
If Bitcoin can't hold the 47K we'll see a bigger correction down to 30K like I showed on the previous Chart.
We are at the start of a MEGA cycle so just buy more from the dip and look at your portfolio again by the end of this year ;D
Good Luck y'all!