BTC... LETZZZ GO!!This is purely speculation the fact it is following DXY. As you can see where ive pointed out BTC price roughly on DXY chart, then you can see the projection it has for the bull run while staying in this Bearish megaphone.
Invalidation would be DXY{ consolidate then pump out of the pattern. It is likely we could see 20-19k before the pump. This week will be very interesting.
Megaphone
ES - MegaphoneLonger-Term Trend for 3.
Only the FED can delay the 3rd test of the Megaphone.
13.6 years from the prior test (2) would be on time.
It will appear impossible to most, understandable.
There is an intermediate Trend Line and count for the
Longer-Term Trend.
This will appear in the next commentary.
_______________________________________________
Kondratieff Winter was held at bay with loose monetary
policy for 20 years.
It's here.
Bearish Megaphone on the SPY - UpdateJust posting another update here on the SPY- Bearish megaphone is playing out as expected but also a very big week for the markets fundamentally & technically speaking. The SPY rejected its 200day SMA today while simultaneously forming a right shoulder to complete a head and shoulders (Bearish) on the weekly timeframe. Additionally, the SPY formed a bearish butterfly harmonic pattern on the daily timeframe.
However, there does appear to be a smaller bullish falling wedge within the bearish megaphone charted above. As I see it, the SPY went to breakout from the falling wedge but got rejected by its 200-day SMA after Federal Chairman Jerome Powell stated that a 50 bps rate hike is "absolutely essential". Big tech earnings (AMZN & GOOG) have the potential to single-handedly carry the S&P 500 so will certainly be interesting to see the rest of the week as to what's to come. Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime, bearish and hedged- (Previous Charts Attached Below)
--Previously Charted--
SPY- Bearish Megaphone - UpdateJust posting another update here on the SPY- Bearish megaphone is playing out as previously charted. The SPY rejected its 200day SMA the other day and now the 50-day SMA has crossed under the 200-Day SMA (Death Cross). The SPY formed a bearish butterfly harmonic pattern on the Hourly timeframe as well as a big head and shoulders on the weekly timeframe (See Attached Chart Below).
Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime, bearish and hedged- (Previous Charts Attached Below)
-- Weekly Timeframe --
-- Hourly Timeframe --
-- Previously Charted --
BTC: Simple trade idea (Long and ShortHere is my idea that came up out of my mind after analyzing BTC chart.
The idea is that BTC is currently moving in a megaphone pattern.
A long trade is currently active and if it ever follows my path. The short trade will be initiated too.
All details explained on the chart
Don't mind commenting your thoughts
CAN Megaphone and Wyckoff Accumulation PatternCAN is printing a Broadening Bottom Megaphone pattern on the CAN daily chart; the RSI looks to be increasing on the price lows indicating increased momentum.
Zooming out it also looks like an accumulation pattern has been forming over the past several months.
The megaphone may work as the "Spring / Test" stages for Phase C if it plays out and bring the price back up into the recent trading range.
If the Megaphone breaks down, then it may be a take a while to climb back.
I am not a financial advisor or professional trader by and stretch, so please do your own research.
AMC calling out?my eyes see that AMC may be in a megaphone overall on the weekly. it's pushing hard this week at a support/resistance. if it can get above $20 and hold, i'm planning short term calls. learning to take what the market is giving me. what do you see.
WHAT I LEARNED ABOUT MEGAPHONES:
www.elearnmarkets.com
AMZN update.... megaphone pattern 2022I think there is more downside despite this reversal. Made pattern adjustments and I see a megaphone. Rumors of war, Fed hikes, Guidance adjustments after earnings.... and so I'll be looking for puts on the way down to the descending line and calls toward the midpoint of the megaphone. If you have a chart, I would love to see what you see for comparison. Good luck on your trades.
Megaphone Refresher:
www.futuresmag.com
BTC Trading the megaphone pattern: LONG!! Btc is actually trading on a megaphone pattern. A pattern that is simple which 90% of traders aren't aware of ! Less is more so all the explanation of my plan is all drawn on my chart:
Hope this helped in your own research even tho i'm only a retail trader. Have a good trading✌
B.W6 | Bullish Megaphone Channel | Entry @ Demand SupportB.W6 | Thailand SET Index | Logistics Sector | Chart Pattern Trading
> Bullish Megaphone Channel
> Price Action: Entry position @ strong demand support line with a tight STOP-LOSS
> RSI bullish trend crossing up 50
> MACD bullish trend golden crossed just below the baseline
Trade with affordable risk ratio 3:1
Always respect your stop-loss
Good Luck
DP
Dow futures idea for short and medium termOn a daily chart, DOW has closed below 200 MA which calls for a bearish sign. However, there is still some support for the rising wedge.
The trendline has broken very strongly on weekly.
I think we are close to a halfway mark on correction; possibly 4-5% is still left to go. After that, we should see some possible reversal due to the confluence of:
- reaching 23.6% on Fibonacci level;
- support at the megaphone pattern;
- the target of the wedge would be met; and
- most of the big tech stock would also be at support.
DJI WEEKLY - FIB RETRACEMENT - CORRECTION MODE - MEGAPHONEFollowing along with the MEGAPHONE theme from a previous chart taking the first touch of the MEGAPHONE TOP, as the top. Being a weekly chart, we need to see the weekly close below the RIBBON for CONFIRMATION that we are indeed heading into a period of CORRECTION. Given that the FEDERAL RESERVE will meet next week and have already stated that they will not move in to bolster the stock market I hazard a guess that the DOW will continue its current downward trend. As we all know the FED is slow to respond as that is the nature of the data cycle, they are at least 3-6 months behind real-world. We also need to keep in mind that the FED is an INFLATION fighting mode which means they will be announcing a rate rise of 25 basis points at the very least for a MARCH START, which the market has already priced in. My gut feeling is that they need to raise rates by 50 basis points to douse inflation, which the market has not priced in.
We have a CHINESE NEW YEAR coming up and harsh WARNINGS FROM the WEF and DAVOS.
Take care and stay safe.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
On Target. Megaphone to Santa Rally. 4800 Before 2022? 📣This a follow-up to my last post. Strong seasonality along with heavy put buying has helped this market drift higher.
JPM Hedge Collar drawdown seems less likely. As long as no shock factors happen, I see 4800 by year end.
After this strong week, I see some consolidation happening before the next pushes up. First resistance is the ATH, I can see it blowing right past it on its way to 4800.
Levels are previous resistance which now serve as support. Some stronger than others.
When the market is moving like it is and traders keep thinking "this can't keep going higher". Put buying ends up increasing which causes market makers to buy more to hedge, in essence it adds fuel to the rocket fire. I can see this continuing after a brief cooldown period on Monday.
Happy Holidays!
#PLTR Huge bear trap? 🐻Megaphone in progress📣 + RSI divergenceHi All, my main 3 take-outs from this analysis are the following:
1- Even though the situation seems to be compromised and price seems be heading to 17$, be careful bears, as the price is forming right now a rare megaphone, also called broadening bottom. It basically indicates that the price is charging and volatility is increasing in the perspective of a strong reversal move
2- Please note that there is a strong divergence between price action (lower lows) and RSI (higher lows) and I think it is realistic to expect a reversal soon
3- Keep in mind that we have another static resistence given by the down black trendline that the price will need to retest (and possibly breakout from!). Dec 27th might be a good date to try this breakout...
Not a financial advice, just personal opinion. Do your own due diligence and good luck!
KCS - Trend-Following Setup!KCS is overall bullish trading inside the orange megaphone pattern.
Since it is sitting around the lower bound / trendline and green minor support, we will be looking for Trend-Following Buy setups.
However, KCS broke below the green zone, and it is currently retesting it, so the bears might still kick in for another bearish impulse till the lower blue support.
In this case, we will be looking for new buy setups as the price approaches the blue support.
That's why we want to wait for extra confirmation before buying , by waiting for a break above the gray area. In this case, the bulls would prove control again by breaking above the green zone.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
SPY- Bearish- UpdateJust posting another update here on the SPY- Bearish megaphone is playing out as expected but also a very big week for the markets fundamentally speaking.
Fundamental Rationale
A lot of big economic events this week including retail sales, the Fed's final decision regarding monetary policy, FOMC press conferences on both Tuesday and Wednesday, and to top it all off, quadruple witching on Friday 12/17' to close out the week. Fundamentals aside, the SPY is still looking quite bearish- Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on on the meantime, bearish and hedged- (Previous Charts Attached Below)
- Still holding a big rising wedge (Bearish)
- Bearish cypher formed on the hourly timeframe along with a gap fill on the downside (See Attached Chart Below)
- RSI is nearing, or in overbought territory on almost every timeframe
- Bearish Hidden Divergence on the SPY Daily, Weekly, 4-Hour, and Hourly Timeframes
- The SPY rejected a critical RSI-Based Supply Level on the weekly timeframe & is sitting on the 20-day SMA (See Attached Chart Below)
-Weekly-
-Hourly-
-Previously Charted-
KCS - Trend-Following Setup!KCS is overall bullish trading inside the orange megaphone pattern.
Since it is sitting around the lower bound / trendline and green minor support, we will be looking for Trend-Following Buy setups.
As per my trading style, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups on lower timeframes like a double bottom, trendline break, and so on...
[bKCS would be overall bullish unless the sellers manage to break below the green zone downward, then a movement till the lower blue support would be expected where we will be looking for new buy setups to form.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
SPY- Bearish- UpdateJust posting a quick update as the SPY is looking even more bearish after closing on Friday with a spinning top reversal pattern on the weekly timeframe- the markets have been overextended for quite some time, technicals are bearish on almost every timeframe- Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on-
- Bearish Megaphone Formed
- Bearish ABCD Harmonic Pattern Formed
- Spinning Top Candlestick Pattern Formed on the Weekly Timeframe (Bearish Reversal Pattern, See Attached Chart Below)
- Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern Also Formed on the 4-Hour Timeframe (Not Pictured)
- Buyer Volume Drying Up
- Bearish Hidden divergence on the RSI - Also way in Overbought Territory
Weekly Timeframe
Previously Charted
Educational. How to trade a broadening wedge pattern? In this video:
* How to spot and draw a broadening wedge pattern.
* What constitutes an official broadening wedge pattern.
* Is the pattern bullish or bearish?
* What is the probability of breaking down vs. moving further up?
* How to measure target down and how to measure target up?
* Other notes to make on how to trade.