Really as Simple as it seems- Very simple case for NG bulls on a long (2-5 year) basis. Macro trend simplified with nothing more than trendlines
- Shorter term bear play will be described in another post
- NG appears to be making a Jesse Livermore accumulation megaphone pattern as it did in the 90s/2000s
1) red long term downtrend line broken to the upside and retested beautifully.
2) weekly chart shows higher highs and higher lows beginning to develop on a longer time frame after the nasty drop from 2021 highs to lows which bottomed in the 2$ vicinity.
3) Shorter term black trendline still providing resistance upon the 3rd test. Confirmation of a breakout here is yet to be seen (this was where the short play revolves around)
4) major resistance around the upper red horizontal line at roughly 3.19. Lesser resistance just below red horizontal line.
Conclusion: NG has been and continues to be extremely cheap historically.
As NG resolves these resistance zones it appears a 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8 megaphone pattern will generate as NG eventually reaches the 12-14$ area within the next few years.
Natural Gas expected to tag lower trendline and upper trendline of megaphone pattern accordingly with seasonality and resistance levels along the way.
Volatility is expected as the cylinder widens and price action becomes more erratic, though long term, the trend is bullish, but the Widowmaker is not for the faint of heart. Scaling in, and buying near lower trendline tags is likely most likely to increase probability of maximum profit.
Megaphonepattern
Bitcoin On The Way To 73K!!!Hi.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
✅Today, I want to analyze BTC for you in a 1D time frame so that we can have a MID-term view of BTC regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts).
After the fifth bullish wave, BTC has completed his corrective waves (ABC) and now he has reached the end of the wedge, now it is time to start the five bullish waves .
✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart...
🟢 High potential areas are clear in the chart.
🟢 Bullish Wedge.
🟢 Starting 5th waves.
🟢 Bullish Divergence
❗ Note that if the WEDGE is broken down with the power of descending candles, our analysis will fail.
Stay awesome my friends.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Technical Analysis of RTX (Raytheon Technologies) Weekly ChartSubscribe & Follow For:
➞ Quick Chart Summary Breakdown
➞ Pertinent Supply Demand Zones and Considerations
➞ US Stocks / Crypto Only
➞ Before / After Analysis
🙏 Like & Subscribe
💬 Drop a line and let me know what you think
🍯 Coin donations always appreciated
🚀 Boost this post to share value
NYSE:RTX is currently exhibiting a double megaphone pattern on the weekly chart, indicating a period of increased volatility and potential uncertainty in the market sentiment. This pattern typically suggests conflicting forces at play, with widening price swings signaling indecision among traders.
Key Pattern: Double Megaphone
A megaphone pattern, also known as a broadening formation, consists of two expanding trendlines that diverge away from each other. This pattern reflects growing volatility and uncertainty, with higher highs and lower lows being established over time. In this scenario with RTX we are showing two long term trends one inside of another.
Explanation:
Textbook Answer: This double megaphone pattern often signifies a struggle between bulls and bears, with neither side gaining a clear advantage. It also represents volatility & opportunity. It's up to us to determine price point where we can capitalize on positioning for profitability!
Real World Answer: Manipulation & Perfect Timing
As the price oscillates between the expanding trendlines, traders should exercise caution and closely monitor key support and resistance levels for potential trading opportunities. I got a feeling this one is going to be a mover!
RSI Breakout with Hidden Divergence:
In addition to the double megaphone pattern, RTX is exhibiting a notable breakout on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with hidden bullish divergence and the highs are currently compromised with clear and visible hidden bearish divergence leading me to believe that we will revisit the 5th swing level (or in the vicinity of) one more time and see how well prices hold.
Current Situation:
At present, NYSE:RTX is approaching a critical juncture within the double megaphone pattern. Traders must evaluate whether the price will push through the upper trendline or revisit the lower trendline, known as the 5th swing in Elliott Wave Theory.
Potential Scenarios:
Managing Breakout:
If RTX manages to break above the upper trendline of the double megaphone pattern, it could signal a bullish continuation, with the potential for further upside momentum. Traders may consider initiating long positions with appropriate risk management strategies in place.
Revisit of 5th Swing (Lower Trendline)
Conversely, if RTX fails to sustain upward momentum and revisits the lower trendline, it could indicate a bearish reversal or consolidation phase. Traders should be prepared for increased volatility and monitor key support levels for potential downside targets.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Upper trendline of both of the megaphone patterns.
Support: Lower trendline (5th swing) and previous swing lows within the pattern.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the presence of a double megaphone pattern on the RTX weekly chart suggests heightened volatility and uncertainty in the market. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies based on the price action relative to the pattern's trendlines. Granted the series of unfortunate events occurring on the global stage I could almost anticipate what is going to happen here in the long term
As always, it's essential to incorporate risk management techniques and exercise caution when navigating such volatile market conditions.
Note: Ensure to identify your price levels accordingly. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
USOUSD Megaphone PAttern Increased VolatilityVANTAGE:USOUSD
Spot crude oil is showing a megaphone pattern on the 4H chart.
This suggests increased volatility due to buyer/seller indecisiveness especially
when the price action is near the upper and lower lines as well
as the midline. The link below goes to a tutorial on how
to trade a megaphone pattern.
SPY has bullish bias after a day downtrending LONGSPY on the 15 -minute chart is shown to be in a megaphone or broadening wedge pattern since
March 5th. Price is now at the lower support ascending support trend line. The Gaussing
regression line forecast indicator an example of predictive modeling confirms with a prediction
that price will trend up inside the pattern and head toward the upper resistance trendline.
The mass index appropriately has signaled a reversal with a signal line that topped 32 and then
fell below the trigger. I found two long bottoming wicks in the prior two days at nearly the
same bottom level. The line /ray connecting them comes to a value of 512.75 which becomes
my immediate-term target. I will enter a trade of shares along with call options. The call
options are for a next-day expiration striking 513 ( OTM just a little). TEXT BOX correction:
The regression line forecast by Luxalgo's algorithm suggests a reversal and trend up into the ascending resistance.
LEXX a penny medical stock LONGLEXX on the daily chart is on a big bullrun breaking out of an ascending broadening triangle
or megaphone pattern demostrative of increasing volatility. Retlative volumes are 2X the
historical comparison. Price is now on the approach to the highs of 2023 but is only 15% of
the all high highs of 19 at the neckline of a head and shoulders back in 2018-2019, In short
it has a lot of upside if it can show earnings growth on higher revenues. For now targets are
4.15 the high of 2022 and 6.45 the high of 2021 marked on the chart in black horizontal
lines. LEXX is a money burning medical penny it is high risk like its peers. The reward
potential is as much as 7X and more realistically 2X in the intermediate term.
I will so long here with the risk in mind in the context of the reward potential.
UBER rising after VWAP bounce LONGUBER on a 30 minute time frame chart crossed over an anchored VWAP about January 25 and
topped January 30th then retested the slowly rising mean anchored VWAP in a double bottom
fashion on the following day. The relative strength indicator is in the 65-75 range and the zero
lag MACD cycling mostly above the horizontal zero level. I see UBER as suitably setup for
a swing trade long when it is near to the bottom of the support trendline in the ascending
megaphone pattern.
Is Boeing a buy before earnings? LONGThis is a daily Boeing chart with the idea on the chart in the text. There may be a good entry
before earnings using a stop loss under the POC line and an ultimate target of the projected
trendline resistance at $280-$300 if all goes well fundamentally with an FAA investigation
and its sequelae. A megaphone pattern demonstrates increasing volatility in price action which
is something some traders take to the bank. My analysis is that this may be a safe swing trade
until the report of the 24Q2 earnings in about 100 days.
SPY- Bearish Megaphone - UpdatePosting another quick update here on the SPY as it closed last week sitting on its 50-day SMA, after the 50-day SMA crossed below the 100-day SMA, while simultaneously rejecting the .50 FIB level. The SPY is holding yet another bearish megaphone as buyers and sellers continue to fight, accompanied by some slight bearish divergence on the RSI. Just some key FIB levels to keep an eye on in the interim, along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones, staying hedged.
--Previous Charts Attached In Description --
BTC/USDHere is a closer look at the BTC/USD 1 day chart:
At the moment of typing this BTC/USD is ranging sideways within the range of around $31,479 and around $29,627 as highlighted by the Horizontal Dotted White Lines with Yellow Shading.
BTC/USD is in a Ichimoku Y-Wave Pattern otherwise known as a Broadening Wedge Pattern or a Megaphone Pattern on this 1 day timeframe.
We have contraction of the Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands. Note that at the moment of typing this BTC has found support from its Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
I have added 2 Fixed Range Volume Profiles (FRVP).
The 1st VFVP starts at the impulse from Thursday 15th June until Thursday 22nd June. Note that BTC is well above this FRVP POC (Point of Control).
The 2nd is at the start of the Ranging Sideways Movement from Friday 23rd June until Friday 7th June. Note that BTC is below this FRVP POC (Point of Control).
I have added a Fib Retracement Tool from the low at the start of the Impulse to the recent high. As you can see BTC/USD has found some support from its 0.236 / 23.60% Fib level.
I have also added a Trend-Based Fib Extension Tool so you can see the various Support and Resistance lines for this tool with the high/low range i have selected.
BTC/USD is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) indicator. Note that the Price has not closed above the LSMA since Thursday 29th June.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line had crossed below its Signal Line on Thursday 6th July but both lines are still in the Positive Zone above the 0.00 Base Line.
All in all it’s interesting times, at the moment of typing this BTC/USD momentum is moving within a Range:
For the positive side:
An impulse move upwards with strong bullish volume with a successful daily candle CLOSE above $31,479 and successful re-test as strong SUPPORT is key for a bullish outlook.
For the negative side:
An impulse move downwards with strong bearish volume with a successful daily candle CLOSE below $29,627 and successful re-test as strong RESISTANCE is key for a bearish outlook.
I hope this quick BTC/USD post is helpful.
Meta Platforms (META) -> Mega MegaphoneMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Meta.
You can see that since the beginning of 2017 Meta stock - also known as Facebook - has been trading in a quite nice and obvious reverse triangle or "megaphone" pattern.
Overall I do expect another retest of the upper resistance trendline roughly at $600 but we could certainly see some correction before the next impulse higher.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Expanding Wedge - 100K Target 🎯🚀 Ever heard of the megaphone pattern, also known as the expanding wedge? It's like a trading puzzle waiting to be solved. Let's dive into this intriguing pattern, its dynamics, and the buzz around Bitcoin's potential target of $100,000.
🔍 The Expanding Wedge: Imagine drawing trendlines that widen instead of converging – that's the megaphone. This pattern signifies increasing volatility as prices swing wider highs and lows. It's like the market's way of saying, "Buckle up, things are about to get exciting!"
📈 Dynamic Price Action: The megaphone pattern typically occurs during periods of uncertainty, where traders and investors grapple for control. The widening range showcases heightened price swings and potential trend reversals.
💡 Unveiling Targets: While patterns provide insights, they're not crystal balls. The megaphone pattern doesn't directly dictate price targets, but it does hint at increased volatility and potential market shifts.
🎯 Bitcoin's $100,000 Buzz: The $100,000 Bitcoin target has been a topic of speculation and excitement. While the megaphone pattern might not be the sole driver, the expanding volatility it represents aligns with the rollercoaster journey towards new heights.
So, what's the takeaway? 📊 The megaphone pattern is a visual cue that volatility is on the rise, which can lead to significant market moves. While it's exciting to speculate on targets, it's important to consider various factors that contribute to price movements.
Stay curious, keep an eye on those expanding triangles, and remember that trading is like solving a puzzle – each piece contributes to the bigger picture! 🧩🚀
GOLD to OIL prices the RATIO ANALYSIS ( and meaning )GLD is an ETF tracking gold futures prices across a blend of durations. USO is a similar ETF
for crude oil. I was interested to see what the ratios look like and considering the trading
advise of buy low should I be trading and bartering gold to get oil or viceversa. It is applicable
for be because I am in part a commodities trader and has some activities on the leveraged forex
market.
On the daily chart dressed with a set of two long term anchored VWAP standard deviation lines ,
and some horizontal static resistance lines added, it is obvous to me that the ratio is
currently sitting on the mean VWAP band for support confluent with the lower trendline
of the ascending megaphone pattern which is typically considered demostrative of increasing
volatility. I conclude that if I am a barterer I should trade my oil for gold. If I have gold only
and dry powder I should increase my gold holdings. If I prefer trading oil I should short the
market. This is because the ratio is set up to rise. The means that gold will rise or oil will
fall or some hybrid combination of that. My entry here is when the volatility on the indicator
is green and crosses over the running average.
This is a simple demonstration of how charting with TradingView can help a trader make well-
grounded and profitable trading decisions while lowering risk and making profits more probable.
What do you think of this analysis? What are your agreements or disagreements with it?
SDOW a triple leveraged ETF shorts the DOWSDOW is shown here on a 30 minute chart current rising above a parallel descending channel
which is within a longer trend of a downward-facing megaphone pattern where it is currently
situated near the top of the megaphone. I have drawn the two trendlines onto the chart
and added an RSI indicator. My plan is to take a short trade on SDOW by looking for an entry
on the 5 minute time frame where the HA candles are red and the RSI has dropped below
50. I will set the stop loss above the resistance trendline while targeting the support
trendline at the low of the pattern.
FAS bullish leveraged EFT on the financial sectorFAS is one of the Direxion leveraged ETFs focused on the financial sector. As can be seen on
the 15 minute the price action has had increasing volatility in the past month. Increasing
volatility is the hallmark of the megaphone pattern ( a megaphone is a cone like hand held
plastic device used in the old days before bullhorns and other things to amplify voice for
cheers). FAS may have increasing volatility because of federal actions related to rate hikes,
some bank failures and the banking industry adjusting to the " new normal" as higher rates
become increasingly integrated into the financial system while still remaining viligent
regarding a recession and its own set of complications.
To play a megaphone traders will typically set a plan to buy on the lower support trendline
hold for a short period and then sell at the upper resistance trendline. I will open a long
trade on FAS given that it is presently near to support making for a suitable risk to reward
ratio if putting a stop loss immediately below the support trendline.
Dxy Megaphone Pattern #dxy #technicalanalysis #Megaphone pattern is a pattern that consists of minimum of higher highs and two lower lows.
The pattern is generally formed when the market is highly volatile in nature and traders are not confident about the market direction.
Megaphone pattern is known to give multiple trading opportunities to the trader.
This pattern also can be traded when it fails but is necessary to identify the failure perfectly.
Sometimes only pattern is not enough to take best trading decisions you may need multiple indicators to identify better entry and exit points
BOIL Megaphone PatternBOIL on the 15-minute chart is currently in an upward facing megaphone pattern. I have drawn
in the upper and lower trendlines which are a form of static support and resistance. The
megaphone pattern is one of increasing volatility between buyers and sellers and indecision
It is the opposite of consolidation in a narrow channel. The anchored VWAP
shows BOIL to be between the mean VWAP and the first standard deviation band below it.
This is generally considered the lower part of the fair value zone. The volume profile has a
high volume area of in the price range of 3 to 3.7 while the POC line is confluent with the
VWAP. The "better" RSI oscillator/ indicator shows values above 75 at swing highs
and values below 25 at swing lows. My goal in this trade is to buy at the lower ( support )
trendline and sell at the higher ( resistance) trendline. I will be watchful for any fibonnaci
retracements of a prior trend. At present, BOIL is at that lower trendline and RSI is showing
weakness. I will add to my position now as I did in the whipsaw action some hours ago at the
location of the bearish engulfing candles in the premarket and the opening.
My BTC top /new ATH in 2023 & 2024-2025 scenarios!!! BTCUSDT Hi dear community and my loyal followers.
I'm leaving here my highly probable 2 scenarios for BTC top/new ATH in 2023 & 2024-2025.
99% in crypto expect new ATH in 2024-2025 after halving and expect history to be repeated but what if they will be wrong and BTC hits new ATH in 2023 and surprises everyone and enters to long & devastating bear market in 2024-2025 and don't satisfy needs of the herd)). I like doing the opposite what majority expects and go against the herd. But I'm ready for both scenarios))).
As you see on the charts I draw my targets and path for BTC in 2023 and in 2024-2025.
My max target for 2023 will; be 72-85K based on my previous analyses I posted earlier/ They are targets I calculated based on Fib levles, Bullish megaphone chart pattern, Elliott waves etc.
And my max target for 2024-2025 after halving event will be 150-180K again based on fib levels, major trendlines, some secret projections, my experience & chart patterns.
But if BTC hits new ATH in 2024-2025, we'll see huge and deep correction at 48-53K zone and dump to 22-25K zone.
We'll come back to this analyses in couple months or in 2 years))) In any case be prepared for both scenarios. Stay safe and be level headed. I'm bullish in 2023.
If you like my ideas and analyses, don't forget to like, comment, share my ideas, and follow please. I"ll appreciate any single follow and any kind of support.
I wish you good trades and huge profits.
SPY & QQQ 15m Trend Change Back to Bulls, Need 1h trend change - After this mornings hourly bear flag with no follow through from bears bulls try to play defense and we had a megaphone pattern play out in the morning.
- QQQ was holding SPY up for the entire day, then the last 30mins bear sectors in SPY joined Bull sector QQQ.
- need to confirm a hourly uptrend to set the daily higher low for bulls.
- would like to see bulls play offense tomorrow.
AUDUSDHi
AUDUSD has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.