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Meltdown

Why are investors turning their attention to mid-cap stocks?This will be the 2 questions we will be discussing today 1. So, what is happening on this divergence and its implication? 2. And who is leading who? a. Large cap leading the mid-to-small cap market? Or b. The mid-to-small cap leading the large cap market? The answer: The mid-to-small cap is leading the large cap market and why is it so? If recession hits, hypothetically mid-to-small cap stocks employing the majority of the work force or employees in United States will be the most affected, this huge workforce is also considered as the mass consumer. The large cap stocks, their business depends on the mass consumer. If the mass consumers start to tighten their belts, the large cap stocks revenue will also be affected subsequently. Some reference for traders: E-mini S&P MidCap 400 & Option: Outright: 0.10 index points = $10.00 Micro E-mini S&P MidCap 400: CME ClearPort: 0.05 index points = $0.50 E-mini Russell 2000 & Option: Outright: 0.10 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Russell 200 Outright: 0.10 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:EMD1!Short
by konhow
2
Fed Will Try To "Save The Day", But To No AvailRegarding my post back in November 2022, we couldn't even muster the strength to get to 4,300. Let's face it, we're in rough shape. The Fed will try a few emergency tactics here in the coming weeks which will likely give us some relief in the near-term but the writing is on the wall. One last suckers rally so the sharks and whales can absorb some of the tax refunds coming this season then as we head into May it's looking bleak. Big head-and-shoulders forming, let's see if it plays out...
SP:SPXShort
by GunMoney
🔮 ETHpocalypse – the end is nigh!With price action following the November '22 fractal step-by-step, we should stay vigilant of a sharp ETH correction. On the technical level, we find plenty of evidence for bulls running out of steam with ETH, BTC, and TOTAL2 all running into major resistance. Combined with a lot of fresh longs entering the scene, all we need is a catalyst to create a mass liquidation event ala FTX. Could be the SEC, could be the Shanghai update, or could be more Binance FUD. Whatever might ignite a spark, a correction is overdue. And with the 1700 level resisting any sustainable continuation upwards, the local top is likely in. Heading into the demand zone, we have price targets for this idea at 1080, 1000 and 930.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by chartadamus
9
Timing the bond markets meltdownIs the UK bonds or the gilts the culprit that trigger the global bond markets meltdown? Not exactly. In fact, in April this year, there were clear signals that the global bond markets were already in trouble, and we will discuss that. Content: • Why we should not blame it on the U.K bonds, then who? • How to overcome this global bond crisis? Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. US T-Bond Futures: 1/32 of one point = US$31.25 32/32 is one point = 32 x US$31.25 = US$1,000 123 to 122 = 1 point = US$1,000 CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CBOT:ZB1!
by konhow
SPX may retest 2018Megaphone @3500 or 2009 channel@3kAs I’ve warning several times that the worst is not yet over despite many bear-market rallies, SPX was rejected by the blue dotted midline of the upchannel from 2009 & was unable to fill the downgap near 4k which instantly became a resistance now. BEWARE: lower lows are coming with SPX barely holding a previous low @3820, a FIB 0.382 retracement from pandemic low. The next strong support will be 3500, the FIB 0.50 level, a 27% drop from ATH. 3500 is a confluence of 3 impt FIB levels. Besides the 0.50 that I mentioned, it is also the 1.618 FIB ext of the 3820 abc relief rally & the 0.854 FIB ext of the 4117 Feb 24 invasion low abc relief rally. 3500 is also the projected zone where SPX may retest the green 2018 Megaphone top. WORST CASE SCENARIO: If my green support zone @3400 to 3500 fails, then 3000 to 3200 (yellow zone) will be the maximum pain zone. 3200 is the FIB 0.618 retracement from pandemic low. This yellow zone is also the projected area where SPX may come to retest the red 1995 TL or the blue lower side of 2009 upchannel. This big ABC capitulation phase will end wave IV sometime near 4Q2022 & the last melt-up rally of wave V may end somewhere in the 5100 to 5400 zone near the top of the upchannel around middle of 2023. Not trading advice
TVC:SPXShort
by xtremerider8
3
Review as US shares meltdown dragging crypto, Oil and Gold lowerReview of the key levels in the major markets as the US continues to melt down dragging others along with it. USD remains high while Oil, Gold and Cryptos take a beating. We may be seeing a major unwind of margin as traders get themselves in trouble and are forced to reduce risk. Key theme is around the USD and whether it continues higher above 104 (USD Index) or we seems some dollar weakness. Markets covered US - DOW, Nasdaq and SP500 Europe - DAX and FTSE100 Asia - Hang Seng, ASX200 and Nikkei FX - Dollar Index (USD), EURUSD , GBPUSD , AUDUSD and USDJPY Commodities - GOLD , Oil and Copper Crypto - Bitcoin and Ethereum
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by TradeTheStructure
Why Your Shorts Are Not Winning - Part 2The trend continues to be your friend until the very end. This is 2 day chart that I posted in the beginning of the year that continues to be in play since the COVID meltdown in early 2020. Price has been in a strong uptrend with very few pullbacks. Even the pullbacks result in dramatic reversals and pumps to the upside. Here is where it gets interesting. We are approaching the top of the channel and the last time we touched the top of the channel, we had a strong pullback. Is the market melting up, only to reach the top of the channel and turn back? Is price going to breakout of this huge channel? I think we're going to find the answers to these questions very soon. Good luck. Never play the breakouts, wait for the retests. When it feels really right, it's probably wrong, and when it feels very wrong it's probably right.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by XYZ-Trader-
2
Zones of advantage - if shorting the DAXI show two zones of advantage. The first has happened already. Those looking to short the DAX may be interested in another zone. Certainly shorting after a significant fall is not a great idea, especially as bulls may be looking at a possible double bottom. The zones do not mean that the market has to obey them! The zones create probabilities. An additional advantage is that that price is under a trend switch on the 4H time frame. Scenarios to prepare for (notes to self): 1. Price rocks north and busts through both zones. 2. Price collapses now. 3. Price consolidates before moving north or south. The big issue here is avoiding FOMO. Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which has a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
WHSELFINVEST:GERMANY40CFD
by Captain_Walker
Gold melt due to USD rebound, fed policy and big tech,Looking at the data calendar this week and my overall bias of smart money being long USD I am short gold. I have marked daily order blocks in green and the fair value of fresh range breakouts with blue lines. There is some imbalance in the charts down towards 1500 and gold as set up a rather juicy liquidity pool right near the recent equal lows. I think we may see three days of retracement and then when USD data releases on Thur-Fri we may see USD strength hammer the market again. To be honest gold is one of the hardest things to trade and I do NOT recommend anyone with less than a couple years experience trade gold. If you don't know what drives gold price up or down then you should be studying before you trade. I will give you a hint, Inflation does matter but you need to understand all aspects of inflation and ways the fed masks it. Also you need to understand the correlation with treasury bond notes and how that effects gold. This instrument is way more complex to trade than the average "it moves with AU" or "just follow the dxy". Happy fathers day everybody and safe trading this week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MarketWarriorFX
S&P: Why your shorts aren't winningHave you been shorting this bull market wondering why you're not winning? I've been getting direct messages asking me when is it a good time to short or why when there is a reversal candle there is no follow through to the downside. Zooming out to the 2 day chart I think you can see why. We are in a massive uptrend channel since early last year right after the big COVID drop. THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND As of today, I would not be trying to short or even go long. I think the market is too risky and is coming up to heavy resistance. We need a big pullback before I think the S&P becomes attractive. Where is that pullback? I may end up waiting to see it pullback closer to the bottom of the channel (with retest) to go long. I'll also take a breakout of the top of the channel (with retest). Why not short when it reaches to the top of the channel? We are in a strong uptrend and going short is not recommended. Some may take the short at the top of the channel and be rewarded. It's just not my type of trade. I like trades with higher probability. Hopefully this view makes it much more clear why if you've been shorting the market since March 2020, you have been on the wrong side of the trade. I will be a seller if the bottom of the channel breaks to the downside (with retest). Then I think shorting will become attractive. Good luck trading. "When it feels really right it's probably wrong and when it feels really wrong it's probably right."
OANDA:SPX500USD
by XYZ-Trader-
5
S&P Analysis Week of 12/13/2020: Will Selling Continue?S&P Analysis Week of 12/13/2020: Will Selling Continue? Will the S&P continue to sell off this week or will it make new all time highs? There has been a lot of whiplash and volatility over the year and last week was another good example. How many people thought they were in a good trade making profit only for the market to come back and take it away and some? The market makers love to make investors look like fools and I expect that to continue this week. My setups this week are pretty simple: Trade #1 (long): This trade setup waits until we are back at all time highs. A break above this level (with a retest) would be a good bet we are going to see higher prices and/or a melt-up. Note: Markets like to test the bottom of breakup candles and the top of breakdown candles. Do not be surprised or frustrated if price climbs back up to this point. It could just be a retest, which is why I would wait until we get above this breakdown candle. Also, price usually does not succeed on the first attempt. If price hangs out in this area after the first attempt, expect the market to plow through this level at some point. Trade #2 (short): This trade setup waits until we break last week's low (with a retest) before going on to make lower prices. Last week I indicated a potential short trade but I labeled it as 'not preferred' because we were in an uptrend and the trend is your friend until its not. We are still in an uptrend technically (all the charts on the higher timeframes look healthy). However, if price starts to make a lower low from last week, we are probably heading for lower prices. So that's why I drew this trade in this week. Note: I still think you need to be very careful shorting in an uptrend. Last week, we saw whiplash because there were numerous short opportunities erased by a reversal pump. That's what happens when you try to short in an uptrend. Prices bounce a lot easier or tend to want to continue to go up. NEVER play the breakouts (they usually result in a retrace back to the breakout/breakdown area). Wait for the retest and resumption in the direction of your trade setup. Good luck and please hit the like button.
CME_MINI:MESZ2020
by XYZ-Trader-
3
S&P Analysis Week of 10/04/2020: Will Market's Tank or go HigherAs usual, I like to keep my charts as simple as possible. My last two weeks have been spot on and I was able to make some nice profits. This week I'm keeping it even simpler. I do NOT try to predict the markets. I take the high probability trade setups the market gives me. I'm waiting for either a breakout above the diagonal trend line (with a retest) and then resumption off, OR a breakdown below the critical support line (with a retest). I'm not really sure how Trump's COVID hospitalization will affect the markets so I'm no even going to try to predict. However, I know a lot of people went short on Friday and kept their positions open over the weekend. The market loves to do the opposite of the masses. "When it feels really wrong, it's probably right. And when it feels really right, it's probably wrong." Good luck.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by XYZ-Trader-
14