MercadoLibre (MELI): A Powerhouse in Latin America! MELI is solidifying its position as a dominant player in the e-commerce and fintech markets across Latin America. With Argentina’s economic surge and aggressive expansion in Brazil and Mexico, MELI is poised for significant growth.
📈 Key Highlights:
Economic Recovery in Argentina driving e-commerce activity.
Expansion into logistics and food delivery diversifying revenue streams.
Growing adoption of Mercado Pago enhances its financial ecosystem.
While I see strong fundamentals supporting a buy rating, a 5% drop could offer a better entry point. My fair price estimate is $2,709, based on a 5 year DCF analysis.
Let's keep an eye on the support levels around $1,936 and $1,824.
#MELI #MercadoLibre #Investing #StockMarket #Ecommerce #Fintech #LatinAmerica #GrowthStocks #InvestmentOpportunities #Stocktobuy #Pullback
Mercadolibre
$MELI $ SUPPORT / BRAKOUTwe will confirm that the price will continue to go down if we didn't break the current resistant around the 850$, and going towards the next support above the 440$.
if we broke the 850$ resistant, and held above it 4h candle , that will confirm the first sign of bullish momentum and going to the next resistant around the 1275$ level .
MELI: Short Setup at Resistance Level MELI - Short Term - We look to Sell at 1175 (stop at 1233)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. 20 1week EMA is at 1177. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Previous resistance located at 1150. Further downside is expected and we prefer to set shorts in early trade.
Our profit targets will be 953 and 890
Resistance: 1150 / 1350 / 1450
Support: 1000 / 900 / 750
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MELI: Shooting Star Posted? MELI - Short Term - We look to Sell at 1166.70 (stop at 1241.12)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Closed below the 50-day EMA. Posted a Bearish Shooting Star formation. Previous resistance located at 1150.00. Further downside is expected and we prefer to set shorts in early trade.
Our profit targets will be 974.38 and 914.10
Resistance: 1150.00 / 1350.00 / 1450.00
Support: 1000.00 / 900.00 / 750.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MELI: Downtrend to Continue?MELI - Short Term - We look to Sell at 1290.00 (stop at 1392.00)
Posted a Double Top formation. Closed below the 20-day EMA. Trading volume is increasing. Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels. Further downside is expected and we prefer to set shorts in early trade.
Our profit targets will be 959.00 and 763.00
Resistance: 1300.00 / 1709.00 / 1970.00
Support: 972.00 / 755.00 / 630.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MercadoLibre: Selling a retest of a double topMercadoLibre - Short Term - We look to Sell at 1262.00 (stop at 1345.00)
Posted a Double Top formation. Previous support, now becomes resistance at 1261.00. We look for a temporary move higher. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 1261.00, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 1037.00 and 763.00
Resistance : 1262.00 / 1709.00 / 1970.00
Support : 972.00 / 755.00 / 630.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MercadoLibre Analysis 03.12.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
MELI | Breakout or Bounce?MELI, Breakout or bounce?
Today we will take a look at the Latin American e-commerce platform "Mercado Libre."
Currently, the price is on a relevant level to pay attention to; it's a zone where we have a support level and the cloned trendline of the current correction. As this is a major zone, we can start thinking about the bullish or bearish resolution from here.
IF the price breaks the current zone, the next support level is likely to be the bearish target of the movement, around 970. However, if the price can bounce from here, we can expect a bullish movement towards the descending trendline at 1550.
I want to see the price breaking the descending trendline (yellow) to consider bullish opportunities. EXAMPLE
Thanks for reading! Feel free to add your view and charts in the comments.
The breakout has not happened yet on MELI. This is our plan.Let's take a look at MELI. We can see two relevant aspects on the chart.
a) The price has broken an ascending trendline that has been working since MAY 2020
b) The price has been correcting for the last 4 months almost, and the main structure we can observe is a descending Wedge.
Based on those two items on the daily chart, this is our trading plan.
-We can see a clear resistance zone at 1600 - 1650 that has been tested 3 times. Therefore we don't want to take any setup below that level. So, we will wait for the price to reach it first. IF that happens and we see a move above that level, we want to observe a clear corrective pattern. Here we have defined an ABC structure (what we are looking for is something with similar proportions as the previous corrective structure that happened at the same level we are waiting for this one.
-If all the scenarios are aligned, we plan to take a setup, as you can see on the chart. The two levels above the resistance are the broken ascending trendline (working as a dynamic resistance) and the previous ATH. We think that a setup like this one can provide us with a 1.7 risk-reward ratio and a resolution between 10 to 20 days.
Quick Questions
And what if this never happens? - We don't trade, darling
Ok, smart guy, and what if you wait for all this and suddenly you have a stop loss? - We just take it with 1% of our account with a smile on our faces. Stop losses are a fixed cost of trading; start dealing with that instead of avoiding it.
Why don't you buy it right now? - Because Momentum trading / Swing trading is about waiting for confirmations and creating scenarios with a good risk-reward ratio (which means defining stop levels) so after 40 setups, you can have an edge (or a statistical advantage)
Thanks for reading, guys! all your questions and ideas are more than welcome in the comment box! Have a great week.
Mercado Libre (MELI) could be close to start an impulse waveAssuming that the wave count is correct, Mercado Libre could be close to completing a corrective wave to start the fifth wave of impulse, which could send the price to the range of 2,500-2,700 and high at $ 3,000 in the fall of this year.
It is currently at $1,400, the $1,200 is a key support level, more than that I doubt it will go down, if it does touch them, it could be used to buy more.
Both the awesome oscillator and squeeze momentum are at the oversold point and have previously served as good entry signals. For its part, although the money flow index is close to 50 points, it still has room to rise after the low of March 8.
Therefore, if the indicators and the count do not fail, we should expect a next rally in this stock.
NASDAQ:MELI
#MELI - 1H - 13.11.2020 / Latin American Amazon. MELI BACKGOUNDS
MercadoLibre (MELI) is an online e-commerce and payments platform. It operates through the following geographical segments: Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, Venezuela, and Other Countries. The company provides users a platform for buying, selling and paying. Born in 1999 and founded by Marcos Galperin, its the largest ecommerce company in Latin America.
- Exponential growth since 2016.
- Boosted by the rise of ecommerce this year due to COVID-19.
- Super Strong Fundamental indicators.
- Amazing revenue over 2019 - 2020 beating all estimates.
Even though MELI is a direct competitor of huge ecommerce companies like Amazon, eBay and Shopify, they operate on a total different market. Quiet similar to Jumia in Africa.
Latin America is a huge market full of opportunities where Amazon left spaces that MELI took advantage of. Now, MELI is standing strong and keeps investing heavily to maintain its dominance. Last week was authorized by Brazil Central Bank to operate as a financial institution.
Although MELI its an Argentinian company, now its focusing on BRAZIL (209 million people market) and MEXICO (120 million people market). It´s Payments platform MercadoPagos, is a Fintech Payment solution that it is getting adopted massively by Latin Americans. It aloud all kind of business B2C to charge without cash or just transfer money between people. It´s e-commerce platform, operates at a 12 transactions per seconds and 80% of the total sales are from Brazil, Argentina and Mexico.
Last quarter revenue jumped to $1.12 billion from $603 million, exceeding analysts' projection of $984.8 million. Unique active users surged 92.2% to 76.1 million, while gross merchandise volume jumped 62.1% to $5.9 billion.
With a 64.792B market capitalization, and huge growth potential, MELI is just on initial stages of its history. This is the kind of share that you might regret on a near future of not buying it earlier.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS. (1H)
Nothing left to say but MELI is on an uptrend basically since February of 2016.
I particularly like to analyze it on a 1H timeframe to see how respectful this stock is of supports and resistances of this year. We´ve got three supports near current price level. Uptrend + MA200 + Fibonacci 0.618.
I think that we might see a little test on Fibonacci´s 0.618 and then next stop is all time highs. I would be careful and wait this confirmation before go long. Would be wonderful to close next week above Ichimoku´s red cloud.
MELI Bullish Trade Setup (Long on Dips) Updates on MELI long setup, the corrective pullback into first long entry level at 38.2% retracement at 944 and second long entry level at 845 will be our two tier long entries trade plan for MELI. Look to establish Leaps on MELI expiring 2021 with a dip into 944 and 845. Trade execution details on Video Update.
MELI Bullish Trade SetupMELI is also on our watchlist for potential long entries with this corrective pullback into wave (C). MELI is an online trading platform similar to AMZN in Latin America. Based on Q2 13F filings, we have about 143 new filers by hedge funds adding to their position. Look for multiple entry at $857 and $757 and Stops at about $650. Leaps Trade Execution details on Video Update.
MELI Bullish Trade Setup MELI is also on our watchlist for potential long entries with this corrective pullback into wave (C). MELI is an online trading platform similar to AMZN in Latin America. Based on Q2 13F filings, we have about 143 new filers by hedge funds adding to their position. Look for multiple entry at $857 and $757 and Stops at about $650. Leaps Trade Execution details on Video Update.
MELI and SE CorrelationMercadoLibre ( NASDAQ:MELI ) and Sea Limited ( NYSE:SE ) are two highly correlated stocks in the same sector (Internet entertainment/e-commerce).
Since SE had a 50% increase in the second half of 2018 (marking the beginning of the market-cap similarities), their correlation began, and SE's large moves (or lack thereof) are highly likely to be precursors to moves from MELI, making it a rare case of a leading indicator unlike most (i.e. RSI and MACD which are lagging indicators).
As these moves take time (usually about 3-6 weeks), these plays are for multi-week/month traders who seek consistent returns. I've annotated the correlation plays within the last two years which should serve as a framework for anyone seeking to take advantage of these opportunities in the future.
TL;DR: SE and MELI are highly correlated, and, as annotated in the analysis, SE is a leading indicator for MELI generally speaking. The areas of big moves by SE are usually precursors for big moves by MELI, and areas of consolidation by SE are usually indicators that MELI's big moves will reverse. Ideal time frame: 2-6 weeks per trade.
As always, do your own due-diligence, never risk too much per trade, have your own plans and targets, and be responsible.
Chart image without volume: