The Coming EU Recession into 2028, Mercedes BENZ $MBG Triple TopThe principal pillar of the European economy is Germany, recognized as its wealthiest nation.
A parallel can be drawn to the adage regarding America: when it experiences a minor setback, the global economy often faces significant repercussions.
It is often asserted that the essence of "Deutschland" is deeply rooted in its automotive industry, leading to its moniker as "Autoland." German automobiles have consistently been esteemed as the finest globally.
In fact, the most thriving economic engine in Europe has been heavily dependent on the automotive sector, and the initiatives aimed at addressing climate change have been likened to the act of vanquishing a vampire—driving a stake through its heart.
Volkswagen, the biggest car maker in Europe, is warning that it might have to cut thousands of jobs and close some factories in Germany. This is happening because they are having tough talks with unions about rising costs.
The push for climate-friendly cars has really affected how many people want to buy new vehicles, and they are also facing strong competition in the electric car market. The news about job cuts and possible factory shutdowns is causing a big stir around the world.
Other car companies like Mercedes Benz, BMW, and Ford are also making cuts and letting employees go. Volkswagen is planning to lay off tens of thousands of workers and is even thinking about closing some factories, which is a big deal. Bosch, the largest auto parts supplier in the world and a major employer in Germany, is also cutting hours and pay for around 10,000 workers. Even Meyer Werft, a shipbuilding company that has been around since the 1800s, recently needed a huge bailout of $423 million to stay out of bankruptcy.
The economic strategies implemented by Brussels have significantly weakened the overall economy of the European Union. Germany has remained committed to the traditional Mercantile economic model, maintaining elevated tax rates to curb inflation while producing goods for export to generate profits.
In 2023, the automotive sector is projected to represent as much as 17% of Germany's exports. This sector has created over 750,000 jobs. However, German manufacturing has struggled to achieve a full recovery since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, currently reaching only about 90% of its pre-pandemic output.
Mercedes
Mercedes-Benz Group !!! Rewards
Trading at 31.8% below estimate of its fair value
Trading at good value compared to peers and industry
Risk Analysis
Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow
Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.9% per year for the next 3 years
Unstable dividend track record
Mercedes-Benz Group: Parking 🚘Mercedes is about to park wave (2) in magenta in our green target zone between €67.31 and €77.90. Once this top is placed, the share should continue the overarching downward trend, dropping below the support at €60.72 and (after a short countermovement) further southwards. There is a 30% chance, though, that Mercedes could leave the green zone on the northern side and thus climb above the resistance at €77.90. In that case, we would expect the share to develop a higher top first before heading downwards. Wave alt.B in green would then expand into the magenta-colored zone between €84.44 and €89.37.
Mercedes-Benz Group: In the Parking Lot 🚗 🚗 🚗Mercedes-Benz has found a parking spot in the big green parking lot between €67.31 and €77.90 and is about to finish wave in green. Though, as the course has just turned slightly downwards, the current movement could also already be complete. As soon as this high is finalized, the share should pay its parking ticket, leave the parking lot and drive southwards, crossing the support at €62.41 and subsequently heading for the next one at €50.19 as well.
Mercedes about to drive down.Hello friends,
on the weekly scale we see a head and shoulders pattern (which is not confirmed yet) . The right shoulder may take some weeks to develope but if completed you should see a down move, around 39,00€.
A strong bearish weekly close below the "neckline" is an short signal.
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DXY SELLoi mate let us have a great week innit? :
so what have here is...
1. price respected a major level of resistance
2. after doing so it consolidated for a period of time
3. today it broke below the consolidation phase and formed a LOWER HIGH
4. it is currently retesting so perfect time for entries, i'll be expecting pries to sell till the upward trendline
Technical analysis update: DAI (2nd August 2021)Daimler reached our short term price target of 75 EUR on 23rd July 2021. Since then RSI, MACD and Stochastics remained bullish. Currently these indicators point to higher price for Daimler. Because of that we would like to change our medium price target of 77.50 EUR to short term price target.
Previous setup from 23rd July 2021:
Here we correctly predicted move to 75 EUR per share.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: DAI (23rd July 2021)Daimler provides interesting setup. RSI and price show divergence. MACD and Stochastic attempt to reverse. Price traveled back towards its 20-day Simple Moving Average. In addition to that ADX contains high value which suggests that prevailing trend is at its peak. We would like to update our short term price target for DAI to 75 EUR and our medium term price target to 77.50 EUR.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
ASTON MARTIN - REVERSAL ZONE? LONG-TERM INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYAston Martin has been on a steep and vigorous decline since its IPO. Could Aston Martin turn things around from here and start reversing from current prices?
Aston Martin has recently announced involvement in F1 with Racing Point rebranded as Aston Martin. This could help in turning things around. Billionaire Lawrence Stroll has clear intentions to do so and has invested into the company with a £260mil injection. Toto Wolff, Mercedes F1 team-principal has also bought a stake in Aston Martin. This indicates a large force and urgency to turn the Aston Martin brand around, stabilise the business and clean the balance sheet.
With the share price being significantly devalued and oversold and the falling wedge breakout, it could be an opportunity to invest long and short-term. Short-term in the sense that the stock is highly volatile meaning returns (and losses) are seen much quicker.
However, as the business model and balance sheet, as of now, is very unappealing, unstable and risky, the clear down-trend might still be in play and the current equilibrium triangle pattern maybe a consolidation phase before breaking lower in continuation.
4 things can happen here:
Equilibrium breakout upwards and a reversal
Equilibrium breakout downwards and a continuation
Equilibrium breakout downwards and a double bottom
Delayed Range-bound consolidation sideways
VERDICT: The trades/investments above should be played in accordance with your style and risk-tolerance since, given the volatility of this stock, there is high risk. Since the chart is in a clear down-trend, the balance sheet isn't yet appealing and macro-economic factors such as covid, bull calls are more risky than bear so do your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately.
DAIMLER AG NA O.NExceptional volume. there is an upward probability. but the market will face significant resistance
DAIMLER AG NA O.NExceptional volume. there is an upward probability. but the market will face significant resistance
MercedesLook at this one beauty! The price is near two gan lines, one is weekly second is monthly. The price to watch is 41.70