MRK needs to find support - what to look forHey everyone,
Moving away from the typical crypto posts today.
We are checking out MRK.
This stock has seen some hefty losses in the past few days, pushing the RSI into a oversold area
The increasing bear volume has not been supportive, and the price is breaking past the .382 fib level.
The stock is looking to find support, but the last few days have not shown any. Before entering into this long position, we need to see some consolidation on price and bullish movement.
Increasing bear volume after a week of losses is also not supportive of increasing price levels.
The RSI will need to cool off towards the 40-45 range before we can see some bullish movement.
After consolidation, wait for price to retreat to a newly made bullish fib level, signaling a new trend.
Once a new high is made, it opens the stock up to a head and shoulders pattern, pointing south again. We would need to see bullish divergence either from volume or from the RSI to bring price higher after this.
As is, we are in a bear movement that could pose a falling knife until proper support forms.
What do you think? Where could we support form?
-Block
MERCK
MERCKCMP 3079
Fresh Longs suggested above 3225.
Stop 2750
Target Open
Logic:
2T VCP in progress. Confirmation of completion when price goes past 3220-3225.
Price taking support from confluence of supports provided by Quarterly vwap and Quarterly Pivot zone.
Bullish Moving Average Cross For MerckOn April 19, 2017, Merck & Co ( NYSE:MRK ) crossed above its 150 daily moving average (DMA). Historically this has occurred 227 times and the stock does not always move up. It has a median gain of 4.139% and maximum gain of 18.194% over the next 16 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 40.4843. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is relatively neutral.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -18.4921. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is moving down, but the decline is slowing making a potential reversal to the upside possible.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 0.7725 while the negative is at 1.1322. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 24.0888 and D value is 25.7547. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the price action is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value, price action is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is on the verge is moving up and away from oversold territory.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to continue heading up. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position in its macro trend channel, the stock could gain at least 2.12% over the next 16 trading days.
On April 18, the stock crossed below the 150 DMA. In the last 10 years when the stock is above the 150 DMA, crosses under for one day before re-crossing above, the stock has always gone up over the next 16 trading days. These occurrences were in July 2009, April 2010, November 2011 (3 times), June 2012, March 2013, February 2015, and January 2017. The stock gained 15.911%, 0.971%, 5.072%, 5.531%, 2.517%, 9.091%, 7.659%, 1.134%, and 5.080% respectively. The median gain was 5.080% during this period.
MRK @ daily @ highest H/L-Range (dow shares) while 2017This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
drive.google.com
4XSetUps for next week - friday close (DOW 30 Index & all shares)
Best regards :)
Aaron
MRK @ daily @ BreakedUp mostly (30 dow shares) while last weekThis is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
Break Downs (Dow Jones Index incl. all shares)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
MRK... one more advance Multiple reasons making MRK is so attractive to buy stock or option calls. Elliott wave count show that iv wave in undergo and not yet overlapped with wave i. Other reason is the price puased at 38% fibo. Third reason the EMA 70 is hold price from falling. I am in in call option and when wave iv overlapped with wave i I will sell my position. Remember I am short-term trading. Good luck
Merck - Could the future get any murkier for Merck?Merck & Co has been in Bearish Cycle since the major top in 2000. Since when it appear to have completed (a) and (b) of the abc zigzag. Coincidently also we have potential double top in the making. If correct then future for the investors in Merck & Co will get even more murkier and painful as potentially we could have impulsive leg c of the abc unfolding.
Not sure what the earnings number will be release tomorrow, though it is unlikely to bring any sustained pain relief.
This would particularly be the case if the wider equity market also experience anticipated weakness.
As always be sure to do your own analysis. If you like my analysis select to follow me if you haven't already and select to follow the charts for any updated and share is with your trading circle.