Meta
META You were warned. This is a V-shaped recovery.Meta Platforms (META) stock is surging through the roof following the encouraging Fed outlook on future rate hikes and Zuckerberg's promises on stock buy-backs, cost cutting and focus on profitability.
We warned META was an excellent buy last month after closing two straight green monthly candles as well as back in November when we advised to buy at the bottom, an article that naturally made the Editor's Pick of TradingView:
Now that our $173 target got hit, which was calculated on the Inverse Head and Shoulders dynamics, we will again look at the even wider picture on the 1M time-frame:
The price has smashed through the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the next technical target is the 0.618 Fib, with the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) right above it. We don't expect that to happen overnight but by the end of Q2 and of course there will be weekly pull-backs to take advantage of and the red 1W RSI overbought zone can really help estimating them as it has been extremely accurate since April 2019.
Then depending on whether or not the Fed pauses on its rate hike policy, we can see an end of the year rally above the 0.786 Fib, which by that time will have set in motion a complete gap fill on the $385 All Time High.
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META Meta Platforms Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META at $341:
Then I think that META Meta Platforms will announce massive layoffs at the earnings date, which the market loves.
Mark Zuckerberg will continue spending billions on building the Metaverse, but the market won`t care as long as they fire people.
Another reason for a happy earnings ending is the FOMC decision to hike the interest rates by 25bps instead of 50bps (I assume).
Otherwise, META loses more ground against TikTok, which took over the globe.
But Mark Zuckerberg doesn`t care about that, because if TikTok really becomes a threat for META (sorry, for the economy), regulators will declare it a spy app, threatening the US national security.
So eventually META will prevail.
If the authorities won`t intervene to help META, i think the stock should end the year around $120.
All the above considered, looking at the META Meta Platforms options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $150 strike price Puts with
2023-2-17 expiration date for about
$7.45 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
META Short earningsLet's be honest from purely a probability perspective I see meta NOT beating earnings for many reasons. ad rev still down. covid reopening people using social less. snap will do poorly as usual the business model is failed. burning cash for meta oculus headsets.
last time we had earnings it dropped over the 3 day rule around 35%
FK Zuckerberg and short this thing to the ground. hopefully it'll recover once economy is sorted and their metaverse project pays off.
target level 130, then all gaps on daily need to be closed.
Meta Platforms | Fundamental Analysis 🚀Meta Platforms, the social media giant formerly known as Facebook, became a trillion-dollar company in June 2021. Three months later, its market value peaked at $1.08 trillion.
But Meta is currently worth only $370 billion. It has lost two-thirds of its value as a slowdown in its advertising business, continued losses in its virtual reality business and rising interest rates have scared away even the company's most ardent fans.
These unfavorable factors aren't going away anytime soon, but Meta stock also looks historically cheap at 17 times earnings estimates. Can this company regain its former appeal and join the 12-Zero club by the end of this decade?
In the first nine months of 2022, Meta earned nearly 98% of its revenue from advertising. It advertises in its "family of apps," which includes Facebook, Messenger, Instagram, and WhatsApp.
That family of apps served 3.71 billion monthly active users in the third quarter of 2022, up 4 percent from a year ago. However, Meta's ad business growth did slow in 2022.
This slowdown was caused by three main factors. First, Apple's iOS update disrupted Meta's ability to create targeted ads using third-party data, ByteDance's TikTok pulled users and advertisers away from Facebook and Instagram, and businesses began buying fewer ads as macroeconomic factors reduced their spending.
To counter Apple, Meta is refining its algorithms to collect more first-party data to target ads. It is also actively expanding Instagram Reels to challenge TikTok but admits that short videos are much harder to monetize than traditional ads. Both strategies will require Meta to increase spending as revenue growth has slowed.
In the meantime, Meta continues to invest billions of dollars in Reality Labs, a division that develops virtual reality headsets and software. In the first nine months of 2022, that division's revenue rose less than 3 percent year over year to $1.4 billion, but its operating loss rose from $6.9 billion to $9.4 billion. This pressure, along with a slowdown in the higher-margin advertising business, has caused Meta's operating margin to drop from 40% in 2021 to 27% in the first nine months of 2022.
Analysts are overwhelmingly negative about Meta's near-term prospects. In 2022, they expect revenues to fall 1% to $116.3 billion, operating margins to fall 26%, and net income to fall 37% to $24.7 billion.
However, this outlook could improve over the next few years as near-term adversity wears off. Meta's ad revenue could stabilize and grow again as the company collects more first-party data and monetizes more Reels. The broader advertising market may warm when inflation is contained and the Fed stops raising rates. An outright ban on TikTok in the U.S., which has been proposed by lawmakers, would lead to more Instagram revenue.
Meta's investment in Reality Labs could also finally bear fruit when the company releases cheaper, lighter, and more powerful Quest VR headsets. Widespread distribution of these devices could attract more users to Horizon Worlds, Meta's metaverse, which, after its initial launch in December 2021, never really got off the ground
But if Reality Labs continues to burn through billions of dollars without showing any sign of progress, Meta could either spin it off or shut it down. Either decision would likely be approved by Meta's investors, as it would instantly improve the company's operating margins and free up more cash to expand its core advertising business.
Finally, Meta had $41.8 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities at the end of the last quarter. This huge reserve gives it plenty of room for new investments and acquisitions -- assuming antitrust regulators approve these deals.
Right now, analysts expect Meta's revenues to grow 5% in 2023 and increase 12% to $136.3 billion in 2024. The company's net income is expected to fall 11% in 2023 as it increases its expenses but grows 20% to $26.2 billion in 2024. These long-term estimates, which we should take with a grain of salt, suggest that Meta will eventually be able to overcome its near-term challenges.
If Meta's business stabilizes in 2024 and it continues to grow revenue and earnings per share (EPS) at a modest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% over the next six years, it could have revenue of $240 billion in 2030 with earnings per share around $16.
If the company continues to trade at 17 times earnings and three times sales, its stock could reach $270 a share with a market value of $720 billion. However, a slightly higher valuation could easily cross the trillion-dollar mark. Simply put, if Meta survives the near-term downturn and starts growing steadily again, it could join the trillion-dollar club again by 2030.
ADANIENT - A typical bubble burst Chart says it all. 231 rs could be the final stop, with multiple levels on the way. Not directly ofcourse but it's the start today. Look for very quick short bounces in purple box region especially.
Typical Charts of other bubble bursts from the past which could tell the story of ADANIENT ahead. Blueline in the charts below represent where we could be right now on the charts below
1. NaturalGas -
2. Meta -
3. Netflix -
NASDAQ 100 Index approaching 200 day moving averageTesla, Meta, Google and Disney all higher last 5 days
MARKET TALK
Big tech up sharply during the last 5 days, are investors discounting the “pending” recession and betting on the strength of the US consumer to support big tech earnings throughout 2023?
Tesla: up +9.43% last 5 days; earnings beats the street reported record revenue for Q4 2022
Meta: up +5.75% last 5 days; earnings due out on February 2nd; estimate to earn $1.5 per share against previous actual earnings of $1.64 per share (EPS)
Google: up +7.02% last 5 days; are the recent headcount and cost reductions good for shareholders?
Walt Disney : up + 6.10 % last 5 days; reports earnings on 8th of February; estimate to earn $0.8012 cents per share against the $0.3 cents per share earned during previous earnings period
TECHNICAL COMMENTARY
NASDAQ 100 Index (US 100 CFD)
Faceing hard resistance at its 200 day moving average….can the prevailing short term uptrend remain intact?
Multi week higher tops and higher bottoms on price indicate a prevailing short term uptrend (5-13 days), the index faces strong resistance around the 200 day moving average spotted near to the $11,950 (round number) while downside very short term (1-5 days) support seen at $11,740 and $11,550; provided price can hold above these supports or manage to break above its 200 day moving average (see chart) the prospects favor a continuation of the prevailing uptrend for short term (14-25 days) upside potential targets towards the $12,420s.
Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
$CEEK call wasn't expected THIS FASTLiterally posted yesterday but couldn't do it here, documented though
$CEEK is a liked project but have been out of it, except trailer position
Did move decently from bottom & seems 2b setting up but not ready yet, soon
When this pumps it's multi x's
Potential 10xer
#metaverse #nft #p2e #crypto #CEEk #CeekVR
TODAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I said SETTING UP! NOT THIS FAST! 🤣
#CEEK $CEEK
Volume coming in
RSI is nice, overbought but if we're in BULL it's okay
This could be position to build on pullbacks
#p2e #metaverse #p2e #crypto #ceekvr
META The worst is history! 6 straight green weeks.Our update on The Meta Platforms (META) on the 1W time-frame.
What stands out is that the stock has completed six (6) straight weekly candles, for the first time since March 2017! This is one of the strongest bullish sequences in its history and while at it, it has established 2 weeks above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since its September 2021 All Time High!
The short-term target is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is within the technical target of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) that we can argue formed the October 2022 market bottom. With the RSI hitting the top of a Higher Highs trend-line that started on March 28 2022, it is possible to see a minor pull-back now to test the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) as a Support, but that will be the best long-term buy opportunity before we hit the 1W MA50.
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🟢 $BTC NEW TA : Another Bullish Move ?As you have seen in the previous analysis, exactly according to our analysis , the price had an attractive growth and was able to reach the $19,000 target , now I expect that after a slight price correction, we will see the price growth again And this time this growth is to fill the old FVG, its target is $20,000 to $20,300!
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👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 01.13.2022
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Chances of facebook stock (Meta )Meta has two possibilities in which we must make an alert .
if it can break the strong resistance it made and drawn in chart it will move toward its target easily toward 137 ( that is more percentage).
the other oppurtunity it couldnt break the resistance . in that way it would move toward the support below at 88 dollar per stock , and we think by that way it would be a very great oppurtinity for long term investment.
if our idea is good for you please promote us . <3
Why PE Ratio is the Misunderstood MetricA high P/E does not tell you that stock is overvalued and a lower P/E does not mean that stock is undervalued.
P/E is simply just another metric and what it reflect is "Investor's perception about Company's Future Earnings"
Its shows "How Much investors are willing to pay for every $1 of Earnings"
In September 2021, Meta Platforms' stock reached a high of $385 with a PE ratio of 28. However, by March 2022, the stock had dropped almost 50% from its peak, with a PE ratio of 14. As a value investor, investing solely based on PE ratio, one may have believed that Meta Platforms was undervalued at a PE of 14, as it was historically trading at a PE of 28. However, even with the discounted price, the investment would have resulted in a loss of 40-50%.