THIS ISN'T THE END OF META, IT HAS A LONG RUN AHEAD!!Check out the trade plan for META today based on the technical analysis. Hope this analysis is useful, make sure to hit the thumbs and also follow my tradingview profile for future updates. Thank you!
META is on 2016 lows. Where we have seen some major support and buying level formed close to $125 on the monthly timeframe. Here I am expecting another possible buyback to form considering the historical price action.
Meta
meta misses earnings, down 25% total today #meta Meta missed earnings by 11%, fx and less ads revenue hurt, as well as revenue decline from reality labs. Ads decline and fx effects from strong dollar seem to have hurt most companies so far. These large caps are the biggest and leaders. What could this mean for the rest of the economy and small stocks?
NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:GOOG MSFT AMZN TSLA META
META, Our prediction (6 months ago) worked well. Lets review !Our two predicted targets for META (FB) is reached and I suppose third one will also be achieved in up coming months or years.
I though that it might be useful to review the analysis as it is still valid and working well .
Good luck everybody.
Followings are description of the chart which I published 6 months ago :
Stocks fall one after another !
We Saw a considerable decline in FB (Meta) Stock after earning report after hours of last trading session. What is happening for FB (Meta) in terms of Elliott waves?
FB (META), has likely completed a primary degree ascending cycle started on 4th Sept 2012 at 17.55 USD. This cycle took 9 years to be completed therefore, we can imagine how boring will be the correction phase before completion !
If true, FB (META) has started a correction decline form ATH (384.33) down to Retracement levels with today's pre-market price around 0.382 level.
Although 0.382 retracement is also possible for wave 2s , I give very low possibility to bounce back from this level according to timing and corrective patterns.
Retracement down to 200 , 157 and even 96 USD corresponding to 0.5 , 0.618 Golden Ration and 0.786 Retracement levels is very possible, I tried to show the probability of each possible Retracement with thickness of arrows with the thickest to be the most probable ( As I suppose ) and vice versa.
After completion of this primary degree wave 2, there will be a huge up going wave which is primary degree wave 3 . This wave 3 will push the price up to at least 700 USD and even higher ( Very good news for long term investors ) depending on at which retracement level this boring correction phase ends. It is too soon to talk about this target we can update our targets in next years !
Please note this is a very long term prediction so, there will be lots of ups and downs and fluctuations in our path. What is happening on FB (META) is more than likely similar to whats happened for ETSY , SHOPIFY, SQ and many others in the market.
As I showed on the chart, this is what I see as the most probable scenario which means there are more optimistic scenarios. Mots probable more optimistic scenario is that FB ( META) is just correcting the wave cycle labeled as wave (5). As far as the stock is trading above 170 USD, this scenario is valid.
Hope this analysis to be helpful and wish you all the best.
META Meta Platforms Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META last year:
Or at least when it approached our Buy area:
Then you should know that looking at the META Meta Platforms options chain, i would buy the $135 strike price Calls with
2022-11-11 expiration date for about
$6.75 premium.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
META Important Milestone!As you know, I am a long term investor. Thus, I usually buy stocks for the long term, and never short any equities due to shorting's unlimited risk. With a P/E ratio of 10, it would be reasonable to think that META is a good bargain considering its status as a social media giant. However:
1. META's Userbase is declining, something never seen before in the history of the company.
2. Competition like Google's Youtube and ByteDance's Tiktok is catching up and overtaking META
3. New Apple (AAPL) IOS changes, which made META's data collection process much harder, has and will adversely affect its ad revenue (which is 98+% of its total revenue)
---------- Specifically, the IOS change requires META to get the user's permission to collect data for Ads. Until now, data shows that only 33% of users allow META to collect their data for more personalized ads. I think you can see how this affects Ad revenue.
Thus, the "metaverse" is the only thing that may/may not save META from its inevitable doom. However, that means that:
1. The metaverse needs to develop in the years ahead, and not just stay at a gaming level
2. META must have enough cash to fund research into the metaverse
3. It must dominate the metaverse industry
Although I personally think that META is a lost cause, I choose not to label this as "#METAshort" because I think all investor have their own opinions. Here are some good points about META:
1. 10 P/E ratio (lower than S&P 500 average
2. META's adaptability
3. Technicals? (Not seen yet)
I choose to write this now because META's Q3 results are tomorrow and are key to how META's stock and the metaverse will develop in the future.
Anyway, thats all for my idea. Please leave a comment and boost this idea so it can go out to other investors! 😊
P.S. Someone give me coins :)
META staging a short-term rally. Long-term levels to consider.Meta Platforms (META) are on a three day bullish streak following favorable group fundamentals and is rebounding off the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Falling Wedge pattern it has been trading in since February price collapse.
The short-term target is technically the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is just below the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Falling Wedge. We may also see a slight break-out as the Bullish Divergence spotted on the 1D RSI was last seen on the March 14 Low and a +27.50% rebound followed. If this is replication, the price can reach roughly 157.00, which is where the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) is currently sitting. That is the medium-term Resistance as it has been unbroken since December 30 2021, so basically for the whole 2022. A break above it would target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the barrier that distinguishes the bearish from the bullish trend long-term.
On the flip-side, if META closes below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Falling Wedge, expect a sharp drop to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (92.70).
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META Platforms (NASDAQ: $META) Touches Bullish Wedge Bottom Meta Platforms, Inc. develops products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality headsets, wearables, and in-home devices worldwide. It operates in two segments, Family of Apps and Reality Labs. The Family of Apps segment's products include Facebook, which enables people to share, discover, and connect with interests; Instagram, a community for sharing photos, videos, and private messages, as well as feed, stories, reels, video, live, and shops; Messenger, a messaging application for people to connect with friends, family, groups, and businesses across platforms and devices through chat, audio and video calls, and rooms; and WhatsApp, a messaging application that is used by people and businesses to communicate and transact privately. The Reality Labs segment provides augmented and virtual reality related products comprising virtual reality hardware, software, and content that help people feel connected, anytime, and anywhere. The company was formerly known as Facebook, Inc. and changed its name to Meta Platforms, Inc. in October 2021. Meta Platforms, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.
Tripple top pattern on METAExplaining and showing how tripple top pattern can help in finding excellent trades
I cover various stocks which can be profitable based on the stock charts and technical indicators. I try my best to explain as detailed as possible but your feedback is also appreciated
Before you enter a trade , one must learn how to master the charts as Stock charts play a big role in deciding when to buy or when not to buy. Technical Trading help in predicting price movements and have a risk management. Stock trading is like any other business and must be taken seriously. Lot of people lose money because they don't educate themselves and end up placing trades blindly which results in big losses
Stock charts is the major component day traders, swing traders, core traders use. Times and technology has changed and if you cannot adapt to the new methods , there is a high chance you will be left behind
Millions of shares are traded now using desktop , laptop or gadgets and stock charts is what majority of traders look at.
So , if you want to be a daytrader , swingtrader or coretrader learn how to read and interpret charts. There are lot of great books out there like Thomas Bulkowski's Encyclopedia of chart patterns and Steve Nison Japanese Candlesticks interpretation
Having someone experienced can also cut the learning curve time for a new trader. Trading does take time and with discipline , hardwork , dedication and most importantly Passion for this needs to be there
META Time TO BUY SAFELY AS FOLLOWS with a Margin of SAFETYGet the META Stock at a discount or get a safe income by selling Deep Out Of the Money Puts:
** Background as of today META is rebounding to 134 but with FOMC November/December and mid terms, things could drop fast for META to 110-100 area. I want to structure a trade to take advantage of the current premiums regardless of what the market does - as long you are comfortable with the below outcomes.
Sell DOTM 100 Strike June Puts for $8
Two Possible Outcomes:
a) Price is at or below 100 at expiration - I get the stock for a long term at better than my target price 111 support. If assigned, the cost basis will be $100 - $8 = $92 which is a great price to own META for the long term
b) Price is above the $100 strike price at expiration - I make income from the credit receive $8 / $100 = 8% ROI for 9 months which annualized is over 10.55% .
The trade also gives you a Safety of Margin should the entire market continues down as follows current price $133.6 - $92 (assignment Cost)= $41.6 dollar buffer for a stock I want to own and keep long term
As you can see neither is a bad outcome they are both acceptable for the cash invested..
Hope this helps
Take care Marc
META: Bullish DivergenceMETA has sold off nearly 70% from its ALL TIME HIGH of $380. I'm looking at Bullish Divergence in the weekly RSI. If a base is starting to form around the $116-$126 range, we could see a higher low establish around this range. Likely a good price zone to Dollar Cost Average into a position. If a base establishes, this could be a range where you get some shares at VALUE LEVELS before momentum returns into the markets.
Warning: Stop-loss mandatory.
FB Meta Platforms earnings todayIf you haven`t shorted FB at $341:
Look at the comments as well.
Then you should know that even Google`s YouTube was threatened by TikTok rise!
On the other hand a recent leaked documents claim lost control of user data from Facebook.
FB is closer to our buy area of $140-155.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
META Potential for Bearish Momentum | 10th October 2022On H4, with the price moving below the ichimoku cloud and descending trendline, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop form the sell entry at 141.42, which is in line with the previous swing high to the take profit at 116. 40 , where the 78.6% fibonacci projection is. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 153.6, where the 38.2% fibonacci retracement and pullback resistance are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
META Potential for Bearish Momentum | 10th October 2022On H4, with the price moving below the ichimoku cloud and descending trendline, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop form the sell entry at 141.42, which is in line with the previous swing high to the take profit at 116.40, where the 78.6% fibonacci projection is. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 153.6, where the 38.2% fibonacci retracement and pullback resistance are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
MetaI still do not see any signs of technical changes, there is no increase in volumes on the BO and it has not corrected up to the major trend, but perhaps the impulse of the H&S is not yet finished and points to 122 before correcting completely
if I add a short it is with little and to close immediately at 122
$FB Zuckerberg Gut PunchFaceplace is really getting it in this bear market. After looking like it might finally rebound, we are seeing a clear indication of a bearish consolidation pattern which can be used to initiate short positions and limit risk. Even though this looks golden, I do not pretend to know what is going to happen, so I always cut losses when positions move against me.
META BEAR FLAG OTW. Bearish on $META below 137 until 123 unless break AND hold above 143. $VIX is also showing bullish context to comfirm this $META bear flag (failure to go lower) @ Weekly level 137. Would take majority of profit off the table at $128.71 because their may be a pullback to retest around 135.
$META - FACEBOOK - FALLING WEDGE - CAPITULATION where to next?Still on track.
This chart has been the most requested in DMs for updates.
I believe META will continue its growth in the future as the METAVERSE expands and come out as a front runner in 2023.
For now we can see the declining selling volume.
Clear as day capitulation marked on the charts.
We will have it rough on the markets until the end of the year, I view this as huge OPPERTUNITY. NO FEAR!
$Meta will reduce its workforce for the first time since 2004 and it slashed the budget for its team salary.
Expanding their data center in UTAH.
Switched up their marketplace (more profits from ads from car dealers).
You can share NFTs on Facebook & Insta.
New android Chromium-web view.
New tools for creators.
I did SLIGHTLY (like barley) pivot the lower trend on the falling wedge - with more data printing daily it was necessary and now the line has been tapped multiple times for confidence.
Meta will be one of the top stocks ill be accumulating in my portfolio on the dips. This will be a long term hold for me, I will use options for day and swing trades.
If you do choose options please keep in mind to buy extended time (although more pricey) this chop is algorithmically created to burn Theta out of contracts.
(Full disclosure) If we do get a OCTOBER pump, not going to lie, I will probably sell out and buy the dip continuously afterwards.
NOBODY can predict every top and bottom, this is why the DCA (Dollar Cross Averaging) Method is widely used to ride the waves.
GOODLUCK traders!