META Can cutting 11000 jobs reverse the bearish outlook alone?The news of a 11k jobs cut had an immediate bullish impact on the Meta Platforms Inc (META) stock, helping it break above the 100.00 barrier again. Today's much lower than expected CPI number is also adding fuel on this rally but can those alone push the price out of the death spiral it has been since January in particular?
Well technically the November 03 drop made a Lower Low on the Channel Down pattern that Meta has been trading in since the February 03 collapse. Taking also into account the massive rebound below the 30.000 1D RSI oversold zone, the price can target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) by the end of this month. Beyond that, only a closing above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is unbroken since December 30 2021, can turn the trend bullish.
As you see, the November 03 bottom was made on the January 20 2016 Low (89.25). The next Support is the August 25 2015 Low of 72.10, so we will be ready to short this and if broken then 60.00.
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Meta
META short squeeze pop expectations by 11/11/22, options playThis is an options play with higher reward. We all know that META has be absolutely obliterated this year. I'm not a long term bull on META but earlier in the year NFLX got crush after earning and then roughly a week later it popped really hard. Kinda expecting that to happen here on META. I did try this play this week, but its not going to work out; probably just too quick on it. But it is a high reward play with options, so if it works then easily recoup last weeks losses as well. So I'm gonna look for the 98/99 Bull call vertical for 11/11/22 as they are roughly 0.10/share ($10/contract); price probably gonna be different for when you see the prices. Max value for the bull call vertical would be $1, so plenty of room if META pops to take profits at 0.30, 0.50, or 0.70 if you don't want to hold until expiration.
The 1.1 Trillion Dollar Penny StockI have three major principles in my life. The first is the Golden Rule, the holiest of all rules. Treat others the way I want to be treated. The second major principle is "holla holla get dolla", which is a really fun way to say respect the hustle, respect other's choices in life. Naturally, my third is that Rome was strongest with the triumvirate. All of this to say that when I act a fool, I expect others to tell me and moderate - this is the natural evolutionary cycle of social structures. It is of absolute sociological importance for bad behaviour to be called out. Jedi Blue, Suckerberg's Metaquest to find a friend, an inability to refinance debt, the real web3.0, and the literal heat-death of Facebook's geriatric population all spell doom for an over-glorified penny stock.
First, what exactly was Wall Street thinking letting a GeoCities RSS feed for people's feelings get to a $1.1 TRILLION dollar market cap? It is difficult to explain the need for controlling health care inflation when the same economy is more than happy to offer debt to a business incapable of making a profit at valuations well into the hundreds of billions of dollars. Fine, the bubble popped. A lot of people, pensioners, and sovereign treasuries lost a lot of money. But for Facebook it's a little bit more severe. Facebook has around $10 billion in long-term debt, debt that is most assuredly used to recycling at the lowest interest rates possible garnered by free government money. What starts as a few billion recycling at ~4-6% per year starts finding draining liquidity in corporate bond markets making it hard to offer debt at 10+%. Meanwhile, real world inflation driving up operating costs for office, labour, and servers force bigger and bigger debt offerings to less and less willing parties. Advertising growth declines and degrades as advertisers suffer in recessionary markets. Plus the $10 billion in long-term debt is nothing compared to carrying $16 billion in floating accrued expenses -think cycling debt among credit cards, $15 billion in "deferred revenue"- as if renaming fake profits makes it more real, and a $7.5 billion mixed bag debt growing by $250 million a quarter. There is a funny saying that owing the bank a hundred dollars makes it your problem, owing the bank a hundred million dollars makes it theirs. Banks are reanalyzing their tail-risk models for profit and capital margins. Forgoing the mysterious $84 billion a year in revenue, Facebook burned $62 billion this year alone. A decrease in real revenue is an undertone to out of control costs that needed to be dealt with a decade ago. All of which are suddenly important.
Facebook's interdimensional turn to the Metaverse at investor expense in the billions with no plan to stop illustrates an Executive board that isn't controlling risk or managing direction. Removing Zuckerberg won't be easy, if at all possible. Facebook can change it's name all it wants, but there is one person in power. The public aren't the only ones harbouring negative feelings for Zuckerberg and his company; various US and International legal groups have been launching investigations and lawsuits against Facebook, Facebook's Directors, and Zuckerberg personally. The FTC won a $5 billion charge against Facebook in 2020 in relation to selling user's personal data. Now the FTC is against the very fabric of Facebook: Illegal Monopolization via uncompetitive acquisitions to be resolved by shedding Instagram, WhatsApp, and more. Facebook has attempted to dismiss it twice, failed on both counts, and is now pushing for a delay in trial - something unlikely to happen. Intertwine a multi-state and multi-country investigation into Google & Facebook's "Jedi Blue" collusion, research reports codifying the bad return on investments of digital ad spend, especially on Facebook, and it starts to look like a crisis of confidence in an entire business model. Google has been in a constant battle regarding it's own Monopoly and the power of pricing that comes with it, most ending with a corporate-win inside the United States. While Republicans' hatred against Big-Tech is more bark than bite, certain lawsuits in Republican-driven states pose the probability of a big loss for big brother business. However, the EU investigation into Jedi Blue is far more likely to create a material change in ad pricing. The basics are this: Facebook and Google agreed on a floor of pricing ads, thus forcing companies to pay more than in a free and competitive market. While this isn't surprising, it is illegal - making materially impactful fines and pricing changes a very likely outcome within the next few years, again all enhanced by a global recession.
Invoke the Laws of the Monthly Active Users and bequeath one billion dollars. Or just know that internally-verified MAU's are on par with Allianz SE returns. Facebook claims 3 billion monthly active unique users of whom 500 million joined since COVID in Q1 2020. The underlying growth trend shows nearly perfect linear growth from 2008 to 2020, and logarithmic post. Without the ability to predict the future, Facebook is sitting at a 1% annual growth rate over 2 years on a statistic that only they can confirm. Facebook knows growth has stalled and will turn negative, if it hasn't already, all leading up to the dramatic need for Facebook to CREATE a UNIQUE digital space to bring in NEW users. Where Facebook claims Horizon Worlds is only a $1.2 billion failure, R&D costs are up $8 billion in the same 9-month period YoY. But the failure aspect is correct, as Horizon Worlds has failed to breach 200,000 unique users with a recent investigation showing a general localized environmental userbase <50 people. This analyst won't fault the metaverse for this failure. Facebook isn't just uncool and unpopular, they are reviled in a way that only a new generation can do. If Web3.0 is about decentralization against mass-control, there are few homo sapiens lizard-people that have earned such hysterics as Zuckerberg.
One final inspection of their public accounting records leaves one final question: how much longer can Facebook run? With just under 50% of cash equivalents in corporate debt securities with an 8% unrealized loss in a year, paired to a $2.3 billion or 14% degradation of the Corporate Treasury in the past 9 months, what is the game plan? Facebook is looking at $2+ billion per year in increased costs to refinance debt at minimum, that is if they find a bid. The company has burned more on a Metaverse catering to no one, being sued by the FTC to break up the social media conglomerate completely, looking at decreased revenue, decreased value of previous revenue, and a very tangible decline in users amid a digital transformation period brought by a new generation wholly happy to cancel celebrities and companies. There is a growing probability and possibility of a failure for Facebook to maintain debt and business operations without filing for bankruptcy or modification of historic debt. Facebook is a penny stock, at least while it remains listed.
Selected References:
www.sec.gov
www.ftc.gov
www.ftc.gov
www.law360.com
nymag.com
www.chancerydaily.com
www.statista.com
kotaku.com
Meta still got downside to come to $40 JUST IN: Mark Zuckerberg has announced that Meta will be laying off 11,000 of its employees —
an estimated 13% of its workforce — and will also be taking “a number of additional steps to become a leaner and more efficient company.”
This is a clear indication that since Mark went and focused on building the Metaverse (VR and AR) that this was a risk.
We focused on building Horzons (app) and building Oculus and Metaquest. But clearly the world was not ready for this evolution.
Also with Oculus costing $299 and the new Oculus costing over $500 shows that majority aren't willing to invest in this technology or can't afford it...
I do think the Metaverse will take over one day, but only when technology becomes cheaper and the benefits outweigh the risks... Right now it's a liability to those due to a lack of education
What are your thoughts...
November 9 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
Bitcoin's downtrend isn't over yet, which means risks remain in the crypto market. But a more optimistic scenario is that the price of Bitcoin has broken through the previous low. History does not simply repeat itself, and market bottoms are usually accompanied by significant events. High - risk insolvency events are likely to lead to stronger regulation. For market participants and exchanges, a cautious investment attitude is needed. In the short term, $18,000 remains the most important psychological line of defense for BTC.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
Meta Will Begin Laying off Employees
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg told hundreds of executives on Tuesday that the company would begin laying off workers on Wednesday morning, according to the Wall Street Journal. Zuckerberg blamed himself, saying he was responsible for the company's missteps and overstaffing. As previously reported, people familiar with the matter said Meta is planning to begin large-scale layoffs this week. The layoffs are expected to affect thousands of employees, and company officials have told employees to cancel nonessential travel starting this week. Meta reported more than 87,000 employees at the end of September. This will be Meta's first major layoff since its inception.
Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.
META Buy and Hold SetupNASDAQ:META
Meta Platforms stock stoped the downtrend, after The Wall Street Journal reported that Facebook's parent company plans to begin large-scale layoffs.
The layoffs could be the largest in a spate of tech job cuts following the industry’s rapid growth during the pandemic, with Twitter, Stripe and Lyft among the companies also reducing headcount. On a long term view this can be an interesting price for an investment.
So here an trading setup for stock and option traders:
The idea is to place one Stop Buy Order at 105 $, so when META will move in direction to gap closing we can participate from this move. If the price will go down to 80 $ I also place a stop limit order to catch a lower entry price. You can also do this when you sell a put option for the Strikeprice of 80 $. This brings you revenues of 3 % for a duration of 2.5 months.
META Daily TA Neutral BearishMETAUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 45% META, 55% Cash.
* BOUNCE WATCH . Equities, Equity Futures, Commodities, Cryptos, CNYUSD, JPYUSD, GBPUSD, EURUSD and US Treasuries are up. DXY and VIX are down. META has now fallen 77% from its ATH in September 2021 after posting two consecutive quarters of revenue declines and is projecting another a decline in Q4. Their Reality Labs division which works on their virtual reality + metaverse projects has lost almost $10b this year . Their operating margin is also shrinking as cost and expenses rose 19% YOY. People are getting fearful and smart money might be getting greedy. Though premature to say that META has found a bottom, it's looking like it's found a good spot for an impulse bounce. The Employment Situation today showed that nonfarm payroll employment increased by 261k and the unemployment rate jumped from 3.5% to 3.7% . Key Upcoming Dates: US October CPI at 830am EST 11/10; UofM November Consumer Sentiment Survey at 10am EST 11/11; 2nd Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30.*
Price is currently testing $89 support which coincides with the descending trendline from June 2017. Volume is currently Moderate (high) and has been shrinking for five consecutive sessions and is on track to favor sellers for a third consecutive session if it closes today's session in the red. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $127, this margin is bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending up at 24.5 as it continues to technically test 26.51 support which coincides with the uptrend line from July 2012 as support as well. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down slightly at 2.72 as it approaches a test of max bottom. MACD remains bearish and is beginning to form a trough as it tests -13.77 support. ADX is currently trending up slightly at 42 with no sign of peak formation as Price continues to fall, this is bearish.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely test $107.28 resistance and potentially attempt to fill the gap from 10/26/22 (~$128) when Price fell ~20% on earnings day. However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely test $74 support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $90.
3 Reasons Why You Should Short Sell META META formerly known as facebook is a huge social media giant.
Sadly they dont give out dividends to share onwers
Pension fund managers buy facebook shares and this is not a good investment when
they buy them at a wrong time in a down trend.
#1-Facebook is in a down trend
#2-It gapped after the earnings report
#3-the price gapped in favour of the trend
It was a good share to buy in 2008
But today you have to SHORT SELL IT.
Take care.
Lubosi7
$MATIC - Coming out of the DENHello my Fellow TraderZ,
$MATIC #POLYGON - one of the strongest Layer2 or prefer to say sidechain for #ETHEREUM, both Fundamentally and Technically.
#META partnership with #ARWEAVE - news has added fuel to its PUMPA recently.
On DTF, $Matic has broken the TL and also trying to close the Daily above the strongest Horizontal Resistance.
Look at the VOLUME, shows a clear buyers' interest. Wait for a pullback and enjoy the RIDE.
CHEERS!!!
Meta Undergoes MetamorphosisFor the 9 year span between 2012 and 2021, Facebook grew at an average of 200% per year. Now being almost rested from a 1800% wave that stretched its value from $19 to $359 per share, Zuckerburg and Co. are ready to make way towards their encore siting near the price tag of $2579. A stock split could alter this price target but if an investor were to buy the big dip near $60, I'd expect the 4000% increase in value to remain a high probability outcome for Wave 3.
While Jim Kramer is shedding tears because he was blindsided, we at least knew that META was nearing its peak level and a finish of Wave 5. While I'm not sure of his nor others approach to technical analysis, Elliott Wave gave clear signal that it was not the season for buying META. The morals of the story are simple, buy the dip, don't follow Kramer's advice and SURF!
How low will META go? Meta has broken the market structure and started a deep dive. The weekly chart looks like a hot RED falling knife.
There are no long term fib support anymore, the trend is now 100% bearish on the weekly chart.
There will be fake rallies until we see a real support.
The only support levels will take us back to 2015 or even before.
Look at the chart for more details:
DYOR and be careful trading this volatile markets with any leverage position.
Buying META calls for 1 year will cost you 25%+ interest "APR"Options are leverage on stock, leverage, "aka" gearing, is a loan. The option extrinsic premium is a form of interest on the leverage. The strike price tells you the amount of leverage your are using relative to buying outright shares. If you are not careful, you might inadvertently end up paying crazy high rates of annualize interest. Options sellers know this, they look for these opportunities to help structure option trades. META SPY QQQ DIA
Elliott Wave View: META Should Continue Further DownsideShort term Elliott Wave view on META suggests the decline from 7.21.2022 peak is unfolding as a 3 waves zig zag structure. Down from 7.21.2022 high, wave 1 ended at 157.92 and rally in wave 2 ended at 183.22. Stock resumed lower in wave 3 towards 131.92 and rally in wave 4 ended at 142.141. Last push lower to complete wave 5 of (A) ended at 122.28. Then stock bounced in a flat corretive structure. Wave A ended at 137.93, wave B ended at 124.37, and wave C ended at 142.69. This completed wave (B).
From wave (B), META reacted lower as 5 waves impulse in lesser degree. Down from wave (B), wave ((i)) ended at 113.59, and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 129.79. Stock resumes lower in wave ((iii)) towards 96.05, and rally in wave ((iv)) ended at 99.29 as triangle structure. Wave ((v)) lower ended at 92.50 which completed wave 1. Wave 2 is in progress, as 3, 7 or 11 swings higher fail below 142.69, expect the stock to extend lower.
METACan Meta recover as NFLX is already done?
After 75% correction NFLX recover nicely. Aprox.170 days downfall and another 170 days to recover.
META is lagged and this fractal can show us the future of META.
Remember that every big correction can be a great opportunity.
Learn to analyze everything you are buying and investing.
!Not financial advice.
META: Incredibly BEARISH!• META is still in a very strong bear trend, doing lower highs/lows in the short and mid-term;
• So far, there’s not a single bullish sign of structure that could help META. Although there’s no perspective of a reversal, we must keep some key points in mind;
• First, is the $96.37, the black seen in the 1H and D charts above. If, by any means, META reacts and closes above this point, it might indicate some exhaustion;
• META could bounce to its 21 ema again, and this wouldn’t harm the bear trend at all, but this movement would have a high amplitude, as the 21 ema is very far from the price - so be careful;
• Either way, the 21 ema in the 1h chart is going down as well, which might reinforce the resistance area around $96 in a couple of days;
• As long as META maintains the pattern of lower highs/lows, below the 21 ema, below the previous resistances, the bear trend will just persist;
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Meta Obliterates SupportMeta/Facebook has destroyed its nearby support level and has nothing left to sustain ground for any lasting upside push. A relief rally could come over the next couple of years however, the downward slope has already initiated. Barring any rise above $305, it can be comfortably assumed that Meta will look to discover support near the $60 range. Holders should look for the most suitable exit in order to avoid more losses than necessary.
(Wave analysis has been redacted from this marking however, wave-by-wave analysis will be tracked via link in bio).