Meta
META: Higher low is a good signal!Meta
Short Term - We look to Buy at 164.56 (stop at 150.26)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Prices expected to stall near trend line support. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 160.00, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 200.00 and 210.00
Resistance: 200.00 / 220.00 / 250.00
Support: 160.00 / 140.00 / 120.00
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Facebook (Meta) False Breakout SetupHi Traders,
New week new opportunities. I am currently looking at Facebook (Meta) for a False Breakout Setup. The most recent price action shows that price has created a resistance at 172.58 which has multiple attempts to break, I do believe that price will break the current resistance and meet with the real untested resistance at 176.0.
If this does happen I will then start looking at trading opportunities. Now I don’t really care what happens when price breaks the resistance or how the price may move, All I care about is price break back into the range below 172.58. If this does happen I will be more than happy to start looking at shorts.
Looking at higher time frames, This is a simple lower high we need formed for the continuation. I am long term bearish on most Nas100 stocks and I will be looking at the longer term picture or potential shorts to come.
Let smash this week.
Renaldo Philander
META Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
META is trading below a horizontal resistance
And the stock is also in the downtrend
Which makes me bearish biased
And I think that after the retest of the resistance
We will see a move down
Sell!
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Tech Reversal In Play: Allow Price Action To PlayoutThe market complexion has changed greatly from "there is no chance of a recession" to "well, maybe there could be a recession" as the economic data continues to deteriorate. Continuing Jobless Claims in the United States increased to 1.375M in the week ending June 25 of 2022 from 1.324M in the previous week. The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose by 4K to 235K in the week that ended July 2nd, compared to market expectations of 230K, suggesting labor market conditions could be moderating.
But, I think it is just getting started as many companies are laying off and cancelling employment offers. These activities take time to get into the system and "The Counting Rule" is... they must be actively looking in-order to be counted. So, don't hold your breadth. And keep in mind the Fed will remain hiking rates, while the ECB will eventually need to jump on this wagon.
Speaking of the ECB.
The United States is acting as-if The Federal Reserve Raising Interest Rates solves everything. Government Debt in the United States increased to 30,499,619 Trillion in May from 30,374,155 Trillion in April of 2022.
The US Debt to GDP increased to 137% from 128%. They act as-if there is nothing for the public to worry about; however, many issues have not begun to trickle into the US, as far as we're concerned.
🥶Winter is going to be a huge test for the US and so will the household debt crisis -- not yet discussed in media as companies are trying to figure out how to keep consumers spending (e.g. buy now; pay later).
But, raising rates does not stop the government from spending, nor does it stop the government from issuing more debt. We also have other factors in play such as the Federal Reserve Balance Sheet, M2 Money Supply, and WH Executive Orders at play here.
HOWEVER.... The point of this post is the "very tight" interconnection between the US and UK.
Remember it is a global market and just like the global market crash of 1929 we are more connected today than ever before.
👉 The US and UK are at EXTREME levels of government debt and both facing economic collapse scenarios.
😳 If the UK goes down - don't think for a minute that the US cannot go along with it. You have seen my recent post about the US Liquidity Swaps, right? If not, scroll down the news feed and you'll see it.
Nevertheless, through my external analysis of the markets (with annotated charts) there remains a very-strong conviction that the recent lows of the financial markets will be tested and broken. This also takes into account the Federal Reserve Balance Sheet and the fact the Government Debt continues to expand against the GDP.
Downside targets for the SPX and NDX
NDX = T1 9,538; T2 8,200 (current price is at 12,109.05)
SPX T1 3,040; T2 = 2,750 (current price is at 3,902)
I GET IT... Many will not be supportive of the above, nor have many been on my Public Posts within TradingView; however, the same people bashing never seem to return when the outcomes play out. I am not here to say, "see, I told you so" or anything of that nature - as I'm providing my thesis into all the posts I provide with thorough assessments into the global markets and not based on raw emotions.
I really hope this post (and others) have been informative, helpful, or at least worthy enough for your review. I "value your time" and am humbled that you took the time to read, comment, etc. on any of my posts.
Thank you again.
Bill Davis - Technical Trader
META resistance another tryThe $172 resistance on META is strong and tough to break. Stock tried 5 times and got rejected today again. Keeping an eye on this one. Trend is still bearish, and we need more volume and accumulation to go up but the run in last last couple of days was wonderful. Waiting for retest and will add more to my LT.
$META FACEBOOK Meta Technology Falling Wedge Descending Channel$META FACEBOOK Meta Technology Company
Falling Wedge Pattern - Descending Channel - Double Bottom at support with a bullish harami on the 4 hour candle.
$META is looking bullish from here on a technical view for a bounce off the bottom trendline. If it breaks out and holds above the channel it has a measured move of $234 target.
GAPS are marked in RED.
Word on the streets says Mark Zucker is not hiring much and has been bringing the heat in on his current employees hoping to weed out the weakest links. Meta has had some failed crypto related launches and has thick competition in the social media world. Better management and highly talented individuals is exactly what the company will need in order to be first class in the metaverse and live up to the name.
METAIdeal set of trendline support here. If it were to break we'd be visiting another 50% haircut where a bottom may be found around 88-90$ on the stock. Brutal to think about but it is possible.
If it bounces here we could likely see 190-220 as major resistance on the upside.
Overall bearish but remember this and NFLX got destroyed before any other tech tickers so may be ahead.
Falling Wedge + Bullish RSI convergence on FAANGAlthough I biased bearish for the past year, the markets are clearly oversold and, furthermore, appear to be showing consolidative pattersn.
FAANG index is also showing bullish consolidation.
We have a falling wedge and a strong bullish RSI convergence.
I believe the recent downturn was also an ABC move.
So, in short, although we are down a lot, we have a very bullish outline despite the bearish macro-narrative.
Meta Platforms | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ | SHORT Meta Platforms, the tech giant formerly known as Facebook, has lost more than 50% of its market value this year as investors have been concerned about its slowing growth and polar plans. The broader sell-off in the tech sector, which was largely driven by rising interest rates and other macroeconomic factors, has only exacerbated the problem.
But did investors overreact by prematurely dumping Meta stock, which is still about 330% above its initial public offering price a decade ago? Let's look at a few reasons to buy Meta - and one reason to sell - to find out.
The company's advertising business may stabilize shortly
Meta gets almost all of its revenue from the advertising business, which it almost duopolizes with Alphabet's Google in the U.S. and other major markets.
In 2021, Meta's revenue rose 37% to $118 billion, but in the first quarter of 2022, it rose just 7% year over year to $27.9 billion. The company expects this slowdown to continue, and revenue to remain nearly flat in the second quarter.
Meta attributes this gloomy outlook mainly to Apple's privacy update on iOS, which has reduced the effectiveness of Meta's targeted advertising; strong competition from ByteDance's TikTok; slowing growth in Europe amid the war in Ukraine, and unfavorable foreign exchange rates.
These issues seem complicated, but Piper Sandler analyst Thomas Champion said he believes Apple took a more "accommodating" stance toward advertisers during the World Wide Developers Conference (WWDC) in early June. Champion noted that Apple has not tightened its privacy standards again and has even made a few changes to its SKAdNetwork that could open up new advertising opportunities for Meta.
Citi analyst Ronald Josi, who reiterated Meta's "buy" rating in early June with a $300 price target, said he also believes ad revenue growth will accelerate again in the second half of 2022 when near-term adversity eases. If that happens, Meta could finally dispel bearish fears about Apple and ByteDance and reassure investors that its advertising business could survive a potential recession.
The slowdown may be temporary
As Meta's revenue growth has stalled, the company has increased spending on new short videos for Facebook and Instagram, which could eventually expand its moat against TikTok, as well as on its loss-making Reality Labs segment, which makes virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) devices.
The combination of slowing sales and rising costs spooked investors, and the bears were convinced that Meta's days of high growth were over. As a result, analysts expect Meta's revenue to grow only 7% this year and earnings per share (EPS) to decline 14%. But if we look beyond 2022, Wall Street's expectations for the next two years are still quite optimistic.
We have to take these long-term estimates with a grain of salt, but they strongly suggest that Meta will be able to continue to monetize its core family of apps (Facebook, Messenger, Instagram, and WhatsApp) with new features. Meta served 3.64 billion active users in the last quarter, and this huge audience should remain a profitable target for advertisers.
Low expectations and low valuation
Meta trades at 14 times earnings estimates, making it the cheapest FAANG stock. This low ratio indicates that investors are not too confident in Meta's ability to overcome its recent problems.
However, market expectations for Meta are so low right now that any positive developments - including stabilization of the advertising business, tighter spending measures in the Reality Labs division, lower inflation, or other positive macroeconomic developments - are likely to drive the company's stock higher.
So it might make sense to just buy Meta as a value play rather than betting on more speculative technology stocks.
Meta's advertising business may have overcome the recent downturn, but the company still faces unresolved antitrust and privacy issues in the U.S., U.K., and Europe, as well as calls to spin off Instagram and WhatsApp into separate companies.
Sheryl Sandberg, Meta's longtime chief operating officer, who led the tech giant through many of these difficult times, also recently resigned, to be replaced by the company's chief development officer, Javier Olivan. It's unclear whether Olivan will be able to successfully confront all of these regulatory challenges, many of which could disrupt or stall the long-term growth of Meta's advertising business.
Obviously, Meta will face many obstacles shortly, but it is unlikely that its core platforms will ever disappear, like Myspace or Friendster. Its apps are still used monthly by nearly half the world's population. And the company still had $43.9 billion in cash and marketable securities last quarter, giving it plenty of room for new investments and acquisitions.
Simply put, Meta's strengths easily outweigh its weaknesses. Its stock isn't going to take off anytime soon, but the downside potential at these prices is pretty limited. Once the company's advertising business recovers, it could command a much higher valuation and bring impressive returns to patient investors.
$META Analysis, Key levels & Targets$META Analysis, Key levels & Targets
Ok, so I am actually just re-publishing this chart because the other one is gone now that it’s not $FB anymore…. Added one target… Stupid willy still shows possible downward momentum…
Any spike in VIX could be a nice opportunity to sell puts the green support levels…. or add shares to build a good swing trade... slowly... My eyes are definitely gravitating toward the target 4 level, for my personal trades... and I'm quite happy waiting for that alert to go off and then going long...
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I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
META Last chance to reverse their fortunesMeta Holdings (META) has been trading within a Channel Down ever since the huge early February gap down. The stock has failed to recover its lost 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) on the first rebound attempt and since it has been trading far from it as investors along with other known macro-economical parameters (inflation, war, Fed) are gradually losing faith in the company.
This is Meta's final attempt to reverse this sharp correction and find buyers as the price is now below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which is the level that has supported and kickstarted aggressive rebounds since April 2016. In fact you can see that with the application of the Fibonacci Channel extensions, from the moment Meta (formerly FB) started trading, slight breaks below the 2.0 Fib, have initiated three major rallies of +1 year.
If this is the level that saves the day for Meta indeed, investors will still have a Higher Highs trend-line to consider that has rejected the price three times already (red flags) but we will have time to make updates until then. Failure to hold this Support, could mean complete loss of investor confidence and the beginning of the end for the social media giant.
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