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Meta (META): Watching for a SetbackIt has been a lovely rise within META since 2023. However, we are now continuing to range for some time, which is usually a sign of a possible setback before a continuation. This setback could be beneficial for sustainable growth and further rises.
Zooming in, we can observe a range building since February 2024. This range has been respected multiple times so far, and it seems likely to continue. However, the small breach of the top looks somewhat like a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) and could be a signal of profit-taking by many traders. If we breach through the $440 level, we could see a change of structure if a candle closes below it. If this happens, it would confirm our analysis. Until then, we might see higher prices as this is technically still a bullish trend within this range.
Another small indicator supporting our view is the bearish divergence on the RSI. While RSI is a good indicator with a high win rate, it’s not infallible, so this scenario might not play out. Still, this seems the most likely outcome to us at the moment.
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Meta Platforms (META) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Meta Platforms, a leading player in the tech sector, continues to push boundaries with its advancements in artificial intelligence and virtual reality. Recent developments highlight the company’s commitment to growth and innovation, making it a compelling investment opportunity.
Key Highlights:
AI Advancements: NASDAQ:META recently launched its Llama 3.1 AI model, which is outperforming GPT-4o. This cutting-edge AI technology is designed to enhance applications across Meta’s platforms, including Facebook and Instagram. The model’s efficiency improvements are expected to drive higher engagement in Reels and attract more advertisers.
Enhanced User Engagement: The advancements in AI are set to boost user engagement on Meta’s platforms, particularly through more interactive and personalized content. This positions Meta to capitalize on advertising revenue and maintain its leadership in social media.
Dividend Introduction: Meta has introduced a quarterly dividend, appealing to dividend investors and reflecting the company’s financial stability and confidence in its ongoing growth.
Growth Prospects: The company’s focus on AI and VR, combined with its strong financial performance, supports robust growth prospects and market leadership.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on META above the $450.00-$455.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target of $690.00-$700.00, Meta Platforms presents a strong investment opportunity driven by its innovative AI advancements, increased user engagement, and attractive dividend yield.
🏅 Meta Platforms—leading the future with AI and innovation! #META #TechGrowth 🚀📈
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META daily channel is getting tight.NASDAQ:META daily chart shows consolidation and has a lot of room to supply above recent highs, should the daily 5 SMA confirm to the upside. Watching closely to see which way this consolidation resolves, as there are always a million opinions, but only one confirmation.
META Market Insight: META (Meta Platforms, Inc.)
In our June 5th, 2024 forecast, we advised a sell slightly after the market’s peak. Though not the highest point, this decision preserved investor capital and provided better re-entry opportunities.
Key Points:
• First Green Line (October 7th, 2024): A buying opportunity as the market calms, offering a favorable entry.
• First Red Line (December 9th, 2024): A signal to consider taking profits or reducing exposure, preparing for potential turbulence.
• Second Green Line (February 10th, 2025): A time to reinvest or add to positions during a period of growth.
• Second Red Line (March 24th, 2025): Another cautionary moment, where safeguarding gains could be prudent.
These lines guide us, much like subtle signs in life, helping navigate the markets with both faith and strategy.
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META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought META before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 465usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-2,
for a premium of approximately $22.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
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Meta Shares Surges on Impressive Q2 Earnings & AI-Driven FutureMeta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ) experienced a notable 6% increase in its stock price following the release of its second-quarter earnings, which exceeded Wall Street expectations and presented an optimistic revenue forecast. The company's strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) are starting to deliver substantial returns, boosting confidence among investors.**
Strong Financial Performance
Meta reported a 22% increase in revenue for the second quarter, reaching $39.07 billion, up from $32 billion the previous year. This figure surpassed analysts' expectations of $38.31 billion. Additionally, the company's net income soared by 73%, rising to $13.47 billion, or $5.16 per share, compared to $7.79 billion, or $2.98 per share, in the same period last year. Analysts had predicted earnings per share of $4.73.
For the upcoming third quarter, Meta anticipates revenue to range between $38.5 billion and $41 billion, with a midpoint of $39.75 billion, again topping the average analyst estimate of $39.1 billion.
AI Investments Paying Off
Meta's leadership, including CEO Mark Zuckerberg and CFO Susan Li, highlighted that the company's substantial investments in AI are already yielding positive results. Zuckerberg noted that AI is enhancing content recommendations and improving advertising effectiveness, which he believes holds significant future potential. The company's advancements in AI are expected to unlock new revenue opportunities, including higher ad conversion rates, new digital assistants, and multimodal content creation.
Analysts at Baird emphasized that Meta's business remains robust, benefiting from years of AI-related investments. Similarly, Bank of America analysts view Meta as the leading AI player in the consumer internet space, citing evidence of strong ad growth and increased user engagement, particularly among younger demographics.
Capital Expenditures and Future Prospects
Meta has increased its capital expenditure forecast for the year to between $37 billion and $40 billion, up from the previous low-end estimate of $35 billion. This increase is primarily driven by spending on AI infrastructure, which is producing tangible business results. Barclays analysts noted that while the investment community is currently accepting the high AI capital expenditures, these investments are expected to bring new and exciting products that are not yet reflected in revenue forecasts.
Market Reaction
Meta's stock saw a premarket surge of over 7.5% following the earnings announcement. This rally marks a significant turnaround from the reaction to the previous earnings report in April when concerns over slower growth and high AI spending led to a sharp decline in stock price. The positive sentiment around Meta's recent performance and future prospects has reversed this trend.
Meta's Frankfurt-listed shares also experienced a rise of more than 7%, indicating strong international investor confidence.
Zuckerberg’s Wealth and Market Context
Meta's strong performance has also positively impacted CEO Mark Zuckerberg's net worth, which increased by $4 billion to an estimated $166.6 billion. Zuckerberg is currently the fifth richest person globally, behind Larry Ellison, Bernard Arnault, Jeff Bezos, and Elon Musk.
Broader Market Trends
Meta's success stands out against a backdrop of mixed results from other tech giants. Microsoft, Tesla, and Alphabet (Google's parent company) all saw declines in their share prices following their recent earnings reports, reflecting investor skepticism about the immediate payoffs from their AI investments. However, Meta's results suggest that strategic and well-executed AI investments can indeed deliver substantial short-term benefits.
Looking Ahead
As Meta continues to leverage its AI capabilities to drive growth and innovation, the company's future looks promising. Investors will be keenly watching the upcoming earnings report from Amazon, another major player expected to reveal significant AI-related capital expenditures. The broader tech industry's focus on AI underscores the transformative potential of this technology, with Meta currently leading the charge in demonstrating its value.
Conclusion
Meta's impressive second-quarter performance and optimistic outlook highlight the company's successful navigation of the evolving digital landscape through strategic AI investments. As Meta continues to innovate and expand its AI capabilities, it stands poised to capitalize on new revenue opportunities and maintain its position as a leader in the tech industry.
META Shares Rise Above $500META Shares Rise Above $500
Yesterday, after the close of the main trading session, social media giant META reported its second-quarter results, significantly exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $5.16, forecast = $4.72;
→ Revenue: actual = $39.07 billion, forecast = $38.26 billion;
→ Daily active users increased by 7% year-on-year to 3.3 billion;
→ Ad impressions grew by 10%, and ad prices increased by an average of 10%.
CEO Mark Zuckerberg stated that the integration of AI across all platforms, including Instagram, WhatsApp, and Facebook, is driving engagement growth.
Investors were undeterred by the fact that Reality Labs, the division focused on metaverse development, reported a loss of around $4.5 billion for the second quarter, bringing its total loss since its inception in 2020 to $50 billion.
As a result, during after-hours trading, META’s share price rose by 7%, surpassing the psychological $500 level.
What Could Happen Next?
On 19 July, our analysis of META’s chart identified an ascending channel (shown in blue) and highlighted the importance of support at the $455 level.
Since then, the share price attempted to break this level on 25 July, but this led to a surge in demand, with META’s price rising sharply and forming a candle with a long lower wick.
In pre-market trading today, META's price is above $505, and the main session is likely to open around these levels.
Technical analysis of META’s daily chart shows that:
→ The price is confidently returning within the channel boundaries;
→ Despite bearish signals from the July highs, strong fundamental data is helping bulls overcome these signals;
→ A broad bullish gap is likely to form on the chart, potentially serving as a support zone and aiding price movement within the current ascending channel.
According to TipRanks, Wall Street analysts have a 12-month target price for META of $549, suggesting potential growth towards the median line of the channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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