META 529 AFTER EARNINGS ? REASONS WHY !!
AI Integration and Advancements: Meta has been prioritizing the integration of artificial intelligence across its applications, which has played a crucial role in the company’s rally2. The market has responded positively to Meta’s efforts in developing and monetizing AI applications, leading to a boost in the stock price.
2. Digital Advertising Market Recovery: The digital advertising market has seen a rebound, which has directly benefited Meta’s core revenue stream. As one of the leaders in digital advertising, Meta’s financial performance has improved with the market’s recovery.
3. Operational Cost Reduction: Meta has implemented several rounds of layoffs, reducing its operating costs significantly. This move has improved the company’s profitability and margins, making it more attractive to investors.
4. Strategic Shifts: Meta has made strategic shifts, such as scaling back its investments in the metaverse, which were initially met with skepticism. This change in strategy has improved investor confidence and contributed to the stock’s growth.
5. Market Conditions: The overall market conditions, including interest rates and economic policies, have also played a role in Meta’s stock performance. A favorable environment for tech stocks has helped propel Meta’s stock to new heights.
Meta
META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META when ARK did that:
nor bought the META before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 480usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-3,
for a premium of approximately $24.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$META 13 Count ending Friday April 12th9-13 Reversal Possible. If Price Action remains stable, the 13 count 10D candle will end on Thursday, April 11th. For now, stay patient while price chops around this area. Loses $500, will head for 480s. Hourly suggests a pullback to $498 based on MACD plateau.
META: Is it the top or one more high leftTechnically META top could be in. Like NVDA, it can keep sliding until a critical support level breaks and waterfall ensues. However, the last wave 5 of 5 did not quite end in a blow off top type fashion; something you would expect from a major primary degree top. There was however, significant RSI bearish divergence on the daily timeframe, that tells us it was some kind of a top. I am not sure if it was a wave 5 of 5 top or a wave B or 4 type of top on the minor degree. One way to tell would be for $460 - $450 support to hold. If that does not hold and stock slides to fill the large gap, then that weakness would be very difficult to overcome and one thing would lead to another thing and next thing we know, price will be in the 200s. So, that is my line/zone on the sand. This is however, a bit scary to stay long and potential upside is limited at the moment. It is better to see how things play out and eventually not in a distant future, there will be a great opportunity like late 2022 to get in this stock for a really life changing growth.
TESLA lays off more than 10% staff. Is this its 'META moment'?It was reported this morning that Tesla (TSLA) "will lay off more than 10% of its global workforce, an internal memo seen by Reuters on Monday shows, as it grapples with falling sales and an intensifying price war for electric vehicles".
The market has so far reacted with strong selling of more than -3% in early trading. But is this really bad news?
Not so long ago (November 09 2022), another high tech giant that was heavily decimated at the time, Meta Platforms (META), announced lay offs of around 13% of the company (more than 11000 employees). This was just 5 days after the November 04 2022 market bottom. The result (chart on the right) was an aggressive recovery above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which turned into a Support for 240 days straight.
Of course the fundamental difference is that the 2022 Low for Meta was the Bear Cycle bottom of the Inflation Crisis while Tesla's Channel Down has been the picture of its underperformance for almost a year relative to the rest of the market (and the Magnificent 7 in particular).
However it shouldn't be overlooked that such cost driven news are fundamentals capable of turning the profitability of a company around and Meta's case is such a representative example. Meta was massively oversold in November 2022 (-75% from ATH) and similarly Tesla is massively oversold now (-60% from ATH). Meta managed to completely recover and smash through to new All Time Highs (+38% from previous ATH). In November 2022 it was all doom and gloom for the social media giant and it is worth searching for news headlines at the time to see the similarities with Tesla's situation today.
Time will tell of course, but we wanted to bring this comparison to you and help you draw your own conclusions.
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🗓️Weekly Report: Key levels & Trade IdeasGENERAL MARKET REVIEW
Concerns over a potential military attack by Iran on Israel triggered a gap down in the market at the beginning of trading on Friday. Following these events, there was a surge in oil prices, which then led to widespread sell-offs across the board. Virtually all stocks took a hit, with growth stocks experiencing declines ranging from $2 to $72, notably including MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR .
For this evening's analysis, we'll begin by examining the charts of the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) and the S&P-500 (SPX).
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SPX-500
The SP:SPX has been movig lower and plundged to the 50-day Simple Moving Average (red) on Friday. Holding this line could lead to an oversold bounce on the market.
However, should a broader market selling start, then it is very possible that we test the 5000 psychological level or even the 4700 level that was rejected in August 2023 and February 2023.
💡Another interesting fact SP:SPX has created 22 all time highs this year (2024) and returned more than 25% over the past five months and has gone more than 1 year without experiancng a 1 day decling more than -2%. This is the 6th longest such streak since 1965. If you are wondering when are the other times:
2007, 1986, 1996, 2018, 1993. On average the index makes only 29 consecutive trading days without a 1 day that has more than -2% decline💡
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QQQ
Very similar as it is clinging on the 50-day Simple Moving Average. QQQ and SPX are holding much better than the IWM or DIA, which have been consistently underperforming on their Relative Strength against the SPX.
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META
Meta has earnings on 24April (Wednesday). It has been holding very well and is a constructive pattern. You can see a triangle forming. Pay attention to the volume pattern. When the stock is moving up in this base the volume bars are higher than when the stock is moving lower
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NVDA
Too choppy for anything more than a quick trade. Next Technical buy point for me is at the $974 on heavy volume. I could start nibble on it with a quarter or a half position size as it is making constructive formations within this forming base. Constructive formations = higher highs, tight pivots. This is very watched stock so it would have high correlation to the general market
META: TikTok-Induced Correction Afoot It looks like NASDAQ:META has found a meaningful top as more technical signals agree a short setup has formed.
Three significant trendlines have been broken, and today a significant fib retracement level was neatly rejected as TikTok drama continues its inevitable path of escalation.
It's tempting to immediately target the gap below, but there is a POC on the 4H that is perfectly confluent with the .786 fib retracement level that I would expect to act as a strong support level temporarily.
Technicals aside, META will certainly get caught in crossfire of some sort from further regulation of social media. Social media companies will likely struggle in sympathy as the situation continues maturing.
With an extraordinarily overheated macro backdrop, and an incredibly delicate geopolitical landscape, NASDAQ:META is liable to be put under additional pressure on its decline.
NVIDIA SL 850 TO 1000 ENTER BETWEEN THIS LEVELS Dominance in AI and Software Solutions: NVIDIA stands out as a leader in software and AI solutions. Its technology is crucial for various applications, including AI training, autonomous driving, and the metaverse. The company’s strong position in these areas provides a solid foundation for growth1.
Beat-and-Raise Potential: NVIDIA is expected to deliver a strong earnings report. Despite high demand for its artificial-intelligence hardware, the company may still outperform expectations. Analysts anticipate a beat-and-raise scenario, which could drive the stock price higher1.
Long-Term Tailwinds: The secular trends favoring AI, autonomous driving, and the metaverse are long-term tailwinds for NVIDIA. As these technologies continue to evolve, NVIDIA’s revenue streams from software and AI solutions are likely to grow consistently1.
Trade Strategy
Entry Point: Consider entering the trade when NVIDIA’s stock price is around the current market price (approximately $434.86).
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss at $850. If the stock price drops to this level, exit the position to limit losses.
Take Profit: Aim for a take profit target of $1000. If the stock reaches this level, consider selling to lock in profits.
META: Potential 5 to 10 Bagger in 2024Fundamentals:
If the NFP numbers explode up on Friday, then that means that the FED might have to increase rates, putting pressure on US companies' earnings. This may cause META to topple a bit before earnings. If not, then the same rate for longer. It is the first Friday of the week.
Sales have accelerated in META and earnings are above 20% q/q. However, its three-year earnings are below 5%. But if this changes when earnings come out in April 2024, then that will renew META as a super stock for 2024. It will be added to the two I already have: NOW, and NVO.
Technical Market Scenario:
The SPX500 has a 2.5%-10% market correction. Then rallies to Around 6000 By End of 2024.
Technicals:
ON the daily chart, META broke out and pulled back with higher volume, signaling caution for tomorrow. If it does not continue tomorrow, then I anticipate consolidation for the month in META, then an earnings breakout.
uHd with extreme bullish indicator.
META bounced off of daily 486 horizontal support.
Daily flag pole breakout
Daily Chart:
Weekly Chart:
Comment:
If the above scenario plays out and insider and investor expectations increase or are solid, then I expect META to be at $600 to $1000 within 12 months. However, If META topples, then there is a large buy zone area to watch at $400; a confluence area of a 50% fib, horizonal support from September 2021's all-time high and kijun support.
Meta Surged to New Heights is there Room for Continued Growth Meta and Amazon stocks have risen following an increase in their price targets by a Wall Street analyst team. Jefferies, the analysts, reiterated a buy rating for Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) and raised their price target for the Facebook parent company to $585 from $550. Additionally, they raised their price target for Amazon stock to $225 from $190. Meta's stock has risen more than 3.5% to $525.62, and Amazon's stock is up more than 1% at $184.88, approaching an all-time high above $188 reached in July 2021.
Jefferies' report stated that Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) has too many advantages to count compared to competitors in the digital advertising market. Meta's revenue is mostly driven by ads, and the company has been investing in artificial intelligence tools to help drive more engagement and ad sales on its applications. They include Facebook, Instagram, Reels, WhatsApp, and Threads. As a result of these investments, Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) has developed several strategic advantages over peers, such as a strong artificial intelligence-based recommendation engine for its Reels short-video product that is driving more time spent on Facebook and Instagram.
Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) is set to report its first-quarter earnings on April 24 and has seen a 47% increase in its stock price this year. In addition, Meta Platforms Inc. ( NASDAQ:META ) is reintroducing cash bonuses for content creators on its social media apps. The company is testing the "Spring Bonus" initiative in the United States, South Korea, and Japan, rewarding creators on Instagram for engagement not just on videos and reels, but pictures as well. The maximum creators can earn in thirty days is $30,000. The company will also similarly reward select creators for engagement on Threads, its Twitter-like social app, and content labeled as "collaboration" or "branded" will not be eligible for monetization.
Technical Outlook
Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) for 20 weeks now has been trading above the 200, 100 and 50-day Moving Averages respectively with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 63 indicating strong bullish sentiment.
META to $455Overview
META is approaching a possible landslide that may take the share price to around $455. An influx of insider liquidation paired with healthy market skepticism supports the possible correction.
Fundamentals
Overall the company appears healthy according to their 2023 Annual Report. The only filings that I found concerning was the abundance of 144s that indicate insider liquidation. As of late, insider liquidation has been heavily present amongst most of the Magnificent Seven companies (GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, and TSLA)
Technicals
A bear flag is forming after the rally momentum rounded out and is now beginning to develop a descending triangle. The oscillators don't support a breakdown at the current time so a possible bounce back to the triangle's resistance line around $505-510 is possible as the pattern continues to develop.
Meta Madness: Big Crash or Further Surge After the Mega Rise?Meta is a particularly intriguing stock that experienced a significant selloff at the end of 2021, with an overall pullback of 77%. Since then, however, we've witnessed an extraordinarily robust surge of 444%, which is remarkably strong. Yet, this rise came without any interim corrections, raising questions about when such a correction might occur. We've concluded our Wave I in September 2020 and have since formed an ABC correction, ending Wave II at $88.41. Following this, we've seen a rise to, and here's where it gets interesting, two possible scenarios: either an overshooting Wave (B)—note that this would mean Wave 1 isn't where it currently is, but rather at the Wave (B) level of $384. If Wave (B) precisely hits 138% at $496, which we've exactly reached without exceeding, this is where our concern lies. We'd like to see Meta invalidate this scenario by surpassing the $496 mark for a larger pullback to occur. Primarily, however, we're inclined to believe that we're heading into a Wave (2) correction, expected to lie between 50 and 78.6%, that is, between $288 and $174. Following this, the trajectory for Meta is anticipated to climb significantly, but this remains a scenario for the distant future.
EU Launches Probe Into Meta, Apple and GoogleIn a landmark move under the newly enacted Digital Markets Act (DMA), the European Union has initiated a comprehensive investigation into tech behemoths Apple, Alphabet (Google's parent company), and Meta (formerly Facebook). The probe, which marks the EU's first under the DMA, aims to scrutinize potential anti-competitive practices and ensure fair competition within the digital ecosystem.
The investigation, announced on Monday, encompasses a range of issues spanning from Apple's App Store policies to Google's search engine practices and Meta's advertising model. At the core of the probe are concerns regarding anti-steering rules, self-preferencing, and the implications of Meta's "pay or consent" model on user privacy and choice.
Apple and Alphabet, in particular, face scrutiny over their implementation of anti-steering rules, which prevent businesses from informing users about cheaper alternatives outside of their app stores. This investigation underscores the EU's commitment to fostering a level playing field for businesses and consumers alike, amidst growing concerns about the dominance of tech giants in shaping digital markets.
Notably, Apple's recent run-ins with the EU, including a hefty 1.8 billion euro fine for anti-competitive practices related to music subscription services, underscore the regulatory pressure facing tech giants operating within the European market. The probe into Apple's App Store policies and Safari browser further highlights the EU's focus on ensuring user choice and fair competition within the iOS ecosystem.
Meanwhile, Alphabet faces scrutiny over potential self-preferencing in Google search results, raising questions about the company's adherence to fair competition principles. With the EU probing whether Google's display of search results favors its own services over rivals', the investigation sheds light on the complex dynamics of digital markets and the challenges of regulating tech giants with vast influence over online ecosystems.
In the case of Meta, the investigation centers on the company's ad-free subscription model and its impact on user consent and data privacy. The EU's scrutiny of Meta's "pay or consent" model reflects broader concerns about the accumulation of personal data by tech gatekeepers and the need to provide users with meaningful alternatives.
As the EU's investigations unfold, tech giants are bracing for potential fines of up to 10% of their total worldwide turnover, highlighting the significant financial implications of regulatory non-compliance. Moreover, the probes underscore the evolving regulatory landscape facing tech companies, as policymakers seek to address concerns about market concentration, data privacy, and consumer welfare in the digital age.
META could fall from ATH SHORTMETA on the weekly chart is at the ATH which is as a consequence at the third upper VWAP line.
The RSI indicator shows the faster line crossing under the slower line. The relative trend
index has topped out. Both represent bearish divergence. META makes its money with
advertising dollars for revenue. There are increasing challengers to split revenues that could
go down if a recession happens. Other headwinds are the federal regulatory blaming META
for issues such as foreign interference in our elections, or child molestors floating on
the platform without adequate protections for minor or collusion in a monopoly with other
high flying targets. I find this to be a good juncture to take a short trade in META on a swing
looking for it to last until the next earnings period.
Short METAThe recent top is our first pivot point, we will anchor short entries below the 472 level with target 1 at the previous top 384. This is the first test trade against a pivot top and a tight stop range should be set.
There is a massive short upcoming which will be a steep fall, a crash fractal unless the cycle alters in an unlikely event.
Trade safe, stay connected..... good luck
META/ Facebook Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
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1-17-2024
RED UMVD pulling the price DOWN deep into Green TrapZone. Lets see if GREEN UMVD shows up and buyers rescue this retrace !
META: $440 is the least sellers can target.META Platforms may have turned neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 53.558, MACD = 15.800, ADX = 23.681) but remain extremely overbought on the 1W (RSI = 76.808). The stock hit the HH trendline that dates back to January 2018, while the 1W MACD is about to form a Bearish Cross. During these six years, the stock has had five standard corrections (excluding the 2022 Bear Cycle) between -15.90% and -44.00%.
The minimum one was the most recent in August 2023. We expect at least such a -15.90% correction before buyers start accumulating again above the 1W MA50, so our sell target is placed accordingly (TP = 440.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Meta Platforms:From Struggle to Surge - 2024 Investment OutlookIn 2022, Meta Platforms faced turbulent market conditions amid doubts surrounding CEO Mark Zuckerberg's metaverse ambitions, resulting in a significant 64% decline in share prices. However, the company's trajectory has undergone a remarkable transformation since hitting rock bottom, with shares soaring by 321% since the close of 2022.
Despite this impressive rebound, Meta's shares continue to present an attractive investment opportunity, supported by several compelling factors.
Meta stands out as one of the top-performing stocks in 2023, trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 25.6, representing a discount compared to the Nasdaq-100 index's average forward P/E of 30.4. Wall Street analysts anticipate significant growth for the company, with projected compound annual rates of 14% for revenue and 21.3% for earnings per share over the next three years.
Moreover, Meta's unparalleled dominance in the social media landscape is a key driver of its appeal. With Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, and Messenger boasting over 4 billion monthly active users collectively, Meta's reach is unmatched, engaging nearly half of the global population.
The company benefits from formidable competitive advantages, including powerful network effects and a substantial data advantage, positioning it as a leader in digital advertising. With $132 billion in revenue in 2023, Meta has become the preferred platform for advertisers seeking targeted advertising and value for their spending.
Meta's robust financial performance further enhances its investment appeal, with a 2023 operating margin of 35% and $43 billion in free cash flow. The company's strong finances enable it to return capital to shareholders through stock buybacks and dividends, reflecting its commitment to delivering value to investors.
In conclusion, Meta Platforms emerges as a compelling investment opportunity in 2024, offering an appealing valuation, unparalleled social media reach, and robust financial performance. With its leadership position in the digital landscape and strategic investments in the metaverse, Meta is poised for continued growth and success in the years to come.
Unlocking $META's Momentum: A 10AM Breakout Analysis -5min ChartDive into the heart of market volatility with our latest analysis of NASDAQ:META 's price action, centered around the critical 10AM box on the 5-minute chart. This video breakdown offers a comprehensive look at the key movements and trading opportunities that emerge in the early hours of trading. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just getting started, our insights will help you understand the nuances of NASDAQ:META 's behavior and how to potentially capitalize on its patterns. From technical indicators to momentum shifts, join us as we uncover the strategies that could define your next big trade
Is Nvidia and the Top 10 short opportunities? Nvidia’s stock price surge has triggered discussions of a potential "bubble" in AI stocks.
Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, has recently expressed her concern and reduced Ark's exposure to Nvidia, citing the possibility of overly optimistic expectations, prompting her to sell a modest $4.5 million worth of Nvidia shares. So perhaps she is not overly concerned about a bubble bursting.
But it's not just Nvidia that has some analysts worried. Torsten Sløk, chief economist at Rowan's wealth management, pointed out that the top 10 companies in the S&P 500 are currently more overvalued than the top 10 during the mid-1990s tech bubble.
Jeremy Grantham echoed concerns about overvaluation, warning of an impending burst of the AI bubble. But Grantham is a permanent wall street doomsdayer, so take this warning with some skepticism.
In contrast, Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, expressed optimism about artificial intelligence, emphasizing its tangible applications in various sectors such as cybersecurity and pharmaceutical research. Dimon stressed that unlike the hype surrounding the internet bubble, AI's potential is genuine and substantial.
Maybe this means that similarly inflated stocks like CrowdStrike (cybersecurity) and Eli Lilly (pharmaceutical) can live up to the potential that their high stock prices are indicating? Or maybe there are additional shorting opportunities with these two stocks?
PHUN Long Trade Expecting Continuation PHUN is in the advertizing business specializing in targeting consumers with smart filterning of
the ads tailored to their websurfing and data history. That said, it competes with Google,
Facebook, Snapchat and all the rest. it is far more volatile than them as a small cap company.
The trade is in capturing the volatility.
On a 120-minute chart, PHU was in a state of dormancy and almost no range in late 2023
but awoke in the current year. The all-the-highs are in the 80 range back in 2022. From the
highs of January to the recent low on March 1st, PHUN dropped more than 70% in 40 days or so.
On the chart, it has broken out of deep undervalued territory and is not situated near the
anchored mean VWAP and is at the POC line of the volume profile. It traded nearly 70
million shares about 20X the running average. I see this as an opportunity for a long
trade at or near the VWAP where institutionally based traders are likely to trade. The
volume and volatility make this obvious. A similar combination of volume and volatility last
occurred about January 16 and propelled the price more than 250% in 4 days. While a similar
move should not be expected, even 50% in 4 days is an excellent return for the risk taken.
I will set a stop loss of 10% for this volatile stock while targeting 18 and 22 from the VWAP
band lines on the chart.