$META April will tank stock to 20day SMA on 10D chartBe Patient and wait for April with this bad boy. 9 Count is already underway.
Meta
$SPY $SPX $4600 Target 🎯 This is going to get interesting. I find myself lazy to post charts but also wanting credit for the Gold in my brain. Its time ⌚
Facebook, Instagram & Threads Back Online After OutageMeta Platforms. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ), the parent company of popular social media platforms like Facebook and Instagram, faced a brief outage on Tuesday morning, disrupting services for users worldwide. Despite the outage lasting approximately two hours, Meta swiftly restored access to its platforms, alleviating concerns among users and investors alike.
Key Outage Details:
The outage primarily impacted Facebook and Threads, with users reporting difficulties accessing the platforms as early as 10 a.m. ET. Instagram users also faced issues, including feed refreshing problems. However, Meta spokesperson Andy Stone reassured users, stating that the technical issue was promptly resolved, attributing it to a temporary glitch.
Impact on Presidential Primaries and Social Media Campaigns:
The timing of the outage coincided with Super Tuesday presidential primaries in the U.S., raising concerns for political campaigns reliant on social media platforms for voter engagement. The disruption underscored the critical role platforms like Facebook and Instagram play in modern political communication strategies.
Market Reaction and Tech Disruptions:
The outage prompted a flurry of activity on social media, with hashtags like "#instagramdown" and "#facebookoutage" trending on X. Meta's stock saw a slight dip, reflecting investor sentiment amidst the temporary service disruption. Additionally, Meta acknowledged "major disruptions" across its business products, including Meta Admin Center and Facebook Login.
Broader Tech Landscape:
Google's YouTube also experienced technical difficulties on the same day, further highlighting the interconnected nature of tech platforms. While Meta's outage was swiftly resolved, disruptions in other services like Gmail raised questions about potential underlying infrastructure issues in the tech ecosystem.
Conclusion:
Despite occasional setbacks like the recent outage, Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) continues to be a dominant force in the social media landscape. As users and investors navigate occasional disruptions, Meta's ability to swiftly address technical challenges reaffirms its commitment to ensuring seamless user experiences.
Meta Faces Legal Hurdles in Brazil Over Name DisputeMeta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ), the parent company of Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, has been ordered by a Sao Paulo court to cease using its name in Brazil within 30 days. This decision comes after a local computer services provider, Meta Servicos, filed a lawsuit claiming damages due to confusion between the two entities.
The lawsuit, filed by Meta Servicos, alleges that since Meta's name change in 2021, it has suffered significant harm, including being wrongly implicated in over 100 lawsuits and having Instagram profiles disabled for alleged impersonation. Meta Servicos, based in Barueri, Brazil, registered its brand with Brazil's National Institute for Intellectual Property in the late 2000s, establishing prior rights to the name.
Meta's failure to comply with the court's decision could result in significant financial penalties, with the appeals court in Sao Paulo ruling that Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) must pay 100,000 reais ($20,201) per day for non-compliance.
This legal dispute highlights the importance of brand protection and the potential consequences of overlooking intellectual property rights. Meta's rebranding efforts, which aimed to focus on the development of the "metaverse," a virtual environment seen as the future of the internet, now face significant challenges in Brazil.
While Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) has not yet responded to the court's decision, the implications of this ruling extend beyond the immediate name change. It underscores the complexities of navigating international legal systems and the need for multinational corporations to conduct thorough due diligence when rebranding or expanding into new markets.
Furthermore, this case serves as a cautionary tale for companies operating in the digital age, where the boundaries between virtual and physical assets are increasingly blurred. As the metaverse gains traction as a new frontier for innovation and commerce, ensuring clear and distinct branding becomes even more critical to avoid confusion and potential legal entanglements.
FB (META), What is going on?Stocks fall one after another !
We Saw a considerable decline in FB (Meta) Stoc k after earning report after hours of last trading session. What is happening for FB (Meta) in terms of Elliott waves?
FB (META), has likely completed a primary degree ascending cycle started on 4th Sept 2012 at 17.55 USD . This cycle took 9 years to be completed therefore, we can imagine how boring will be the correction phase before completion !
If true , FB (META) has started a correction decline form ATH (384.33) down to Retracement levels with today's pre-market price around 0.382 level.
Although 0.382 retracement is also possible for wave 2s , I give very low possibility to bounce back from this level according to timing and corrective patterns.
Retracement down to 200 , 157 and even 96 USD corresponding to 0.5 , 0.618 Golden Ration and 0.786 Retracement levels is very possible, I tried to show the probability of each possible Retracement with thickness of arrows with the thickest to be the most probable ( As I suppose ) and vice versa.
After completion of this primary degree wave 2 , there will be a huge up going wave which is primary degree wave 3 . This wave 3 will push the price up to at least 700 USD and even higher ( Very good news for long term investors ) depending on at which retracement level this boring correction phase ends. It is too soon to talk about this target we can update our targets in next years !
Please note this is a very long term prediction so, there will be lots of ups and downs and fluctuations in our path. What is happening on FB (META) is more than likely similar to whats happened for ETSY, SHOPIFY, SQ and many others in the market.
As I showed on the chart, this is what I see as the most probable scenario which means there are more optimistic scenarios. Mots probable more optimistic scenario is that FB ( META) is just correcting the wave cycle labeled as wave (5). As far as the stock is trading above 170 USD, this scenario is valid.
Hope this analysis to be helpful and wish you all the best.
META Analysis! Trend Reversal!META Weekly Analysis!
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern Formation in META!
Trend Reversal in META!
META was in a clear downtrend. After it has made a Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern on a weekly timeframe. It has given a breakout to it's neckline and retested it so it can be act like a next support level which i've extended. Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a Trend Reversal Pattern. Now we can see a strong bullish momentum. The important upside levels are marked on the chart so please have a look on it and one more important thing is we can set a stop loss below the neckline.
Thank You!
Disclaimer = All my analysis are for Educational Purpose only. Before entering into any trade - 1) Educate Yourself 2) Do your own research and analysis 3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio 4) Don't trade with full capital
META Technical Analysis and Trade Idea#META has experienced a remarkable bullish surge. However, the 1D timeframe indicates potential weakness as we see the trend ranging sidweays creating lower highs. We are considering a possible retracement towards the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone potentiall trading through the gap evidenced on the chart. This area typically attracts increased liquidity due to sell stops, potentially encouraging long positions from institutional traders.
Trading Considerations Meta Platforms:
Counter-Trend Short: Explore a short entry near the current price level, strategically placing a stop-loss above the recent highs. Maintain a 1:1 risk-reward ratio for this trade.
Fibonacci Buy: Target a potential buy opportunity close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This aligns with the possible accumulation of long positions by larger market players. Utilize a stop-loss below the recent swing low, and define target levels as shown on the screenshot.
Disclaimer: This analysis offers my personal market interpretation for educational purposes and should not be considered direct financial advice. Always prioritize your own independent research and thorough risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
Still room to run to 420 (at least)META target by end of Feb 2024 is 420.
3 most likely paths to target:
1) 1pt solid black arrow = earnings pop to 405-413 and then continue to 420 by 2/7/2024
2) 2pt (thick) solid black arrow = earnings pop and then run to 420 by 2/21 (more conservative)
3) 2pt (thick) grey arrow = drop to 373-378 after earnings which would get bought up fast and then run to 420 by end of Feb. (would be great opportunity to enter long).
Not playing this for earnings but it should be a good indicator for what market will do mid-term. My expectation is SPY will continue higher to 500+, and the earnings today 2/1 will be a catalyst for this.
I think at least 2 of 3 of the big tech earnings will be bullish todaym maybe all 3:
META to 420
AMZN to 164
AAPL to 198
META Is it finally time to correct?Meta Platforms (META) has been among the biggest winners in 2023 and of course is having a great start to 2024 as well. Those who follow us know that we have been big bulls on META even right on its 2022 bottom (see charts below), when most of the market had lost faith in the company's operations, business model and its ability to generate profit.
We even mapped to perfections its V-shaped recovery to new All Time Highs (ATH)
As the company had one of its best 1W candles in history last week following the dividends announcement, we are starting to consider a short/ medium-term pull-back for the stock. This is also justified by historic price action. Since the current large Megaphone pattern started in mid 2018, META has corrected to or below its 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level within a -16.00% to -19.77% decline range, 5 times. On all cases except for the initial 2023 recovery, the 1W RSI was overbought above the 70.00 mark. Right now the 1W RSI is on its most overbought state in history.
As a result, we have a growing belief that it is time for the social media giant to start correcting again. A minimum of -16.00% decline will deliver a $410.00 Target level for META, just below the 0.236 Fibonacci level. Note that during all such declines, the 1W MA5 (blue trend-line) provided support, closing all candles above it.
Do you think it is time for a 4 - 6 week correction?
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Air BNB back to 114 after earnings ? Some analysts express bearish views on Airbnb, but these assessments might be misguided according to Bernstein.
Key points of bearish sentiment include:
Airbnb’s room nights have grown by only 8% on a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) since 2019.
The company has relied on price increases (9% per year) rather than volume growth.
Airbnb’s average prices are 40% higher today compared to 2019, leading some to believe it has lost its edge as a budget-friendly hotel alternative.
Booking.com, a competitor offering both hotels and short-term rentals, has narrowed the room night growth gap against Airbnb.
Meta: Reached the Destination 📍✅Meta has reached our (now greyed our) Zone and started a pullback. We primarily expect the magenta-colored wave (iii) have already reached its high. Accordingly, we currently see the stock in a correction of the same-colored wave (iv), which should ideally push the price back towards the round $400 mark. According to our alternative scenario (38%), it would possible that the stock immentily rises. However, this scenario would merely shift the top of the wave alt. (iii) in magenta, which is why we expect another countermovement to the south afterwards before we can move on to the final stage of the green wave (1). As soon as the high of wave (1) in green could is set, we are preparing for a more extensive wave (2) correction.
META- Undervalued & Oversold. Market Cap - 426 Billion
META has been on a 9 year bull run, in that period, it has firmly cemented itself as a digital marketing juggernaut.
When it reached its all time high of $384.33 back in September 2021, it had an enormous market cap of 1.064 trillion dollars.
At the time, it was only the fifth U.S. company to hit the milestone , joining Apple , Microsoft , Amazon and Google-parent company Alphabet .
However the last 12 months have been somewhat brutal for Zuckerberg & co, the share price has dropped a staggering 60% to date,
making this the biggest correction Meta has ever endured.
Economic uncertainty, regulatory pressure and more recently, a first ever earnings miss, investors were quick to hit the panic button & add to the selling pressure.
In February, Meta went down in history for the biggest one-day crash in the stock market. The company’s stock lost about $230 billion in market value in a single day.
Meta revenue slipped to $28.8 billion in the second quarter, missing the $28.9 billion analyst estimate. Gross profit was $23.6 billion, down 0.5% from the equivalent quarter last year.
In April, Apple introduced a change to its privacy policy that requires apps to ask users if they want to be tracked, this made META's ad selling business less affective, with only a reported 16% of users agreeing to be tracked.
The privacy crackdown is set to cost Meta at least $10 billion in lost sales in 2022 alone.
As a result of the data drought, Meta shifted their ad spending to Google because its flagship search-ad business relies on customer intent—users’ search terms immediately reveal what they are interested in—rather than data collected from app and web tracking.
Google , the world’s largest digital-ad company by revenue, generated its highest sales growth in more than a decade in the third quarter.
The sensational rise of short-video sharing app TikTok, has seen many users defect with approximately 1.4 billion monthly active users now on the popular platform.
This is quickly approaching Instagram, which has approximately 2 billion monthly active users.
This year, TikTok is on track to triple worldwide ad revenues, to $11.6bn, more than the $10.44bn for Snapchat and Twitter combined.
This forced META to focus more on short-videos in the form of "Reels". Reels recently reached $1 billion in annualized revenue for the first time, Reels now has a higher revenue run rate than Facebook /Instagram Stories at identical times post-launch.
Mark Zuckerberg is betting his company’s future on the metaverse — a virtual space in which people interact with each other using avatars and developing AR / VR technology.
He said that he plans to invest heavily in his company’s metaverse ambitions & that will mean losing significant amounts of money on the project in the next three to five years.
This massive shift has shaken up already nervous investors, however should one of its Reality Labs products change the world, it would be the jolt this company needs to continue funding its ambitions.
The company once suffered a colossal 19% drop in 2018 after posting disappointing revenue and user figures for the second quarter of that year, however it bounced back before going on to make all time highs.
Facebook has 2.74 billion monthly active users, No other platform offers this kind of reach.
Facebook is the world’s third-most visited website- outranked only by Google and YouTube. It’s also the top Google search query.
Facebook is the second-most downloaded free app in the App Store.
63% of the U.S. population over age 12 uses Facebook .
32.4% of Facebook’s audience is aged 25-34.
Seniors are the fastest-growing group of Facebook users. More than 37% of people born in 1945 or earlier are on Facebook , up from 26% a year earlier.
74% of high-income earners use Facebook For those earning $75,000 or more, Facebook is the preferred social network.
Facebook is also the most popular social network (besides YouTube) for college graduates, with 74% of them using the platform. LinkedIn again comes second with this group, at 51%.
Facebook users spend 34 minutes per day using the platform.
36% of people get news from Facebook .
79.9% of Facebook users only access the platform on a mobile device.
An average Facebook user clicks on 12 ads per month.
Facebook has an advertising audience of 2.14 billion.
Meta's balance sheet includes $40 billion in cash, equivalents and short term investments, with $16 billion in total debt (although some of this may include operating liabilities).
The firm's free cash flow generation is very strong, with $8.5 billion generated in the quarter, up 8.9% year over year.
$5 billion worth of stock was approved for purchase in the second quarter. In addition, the company authorized another $24.32 billion for stock repurchases.
Meta further reduced its full-year operating expense during its latest earnings update. Its current operating expense guidance sits at $85.0-$87.0 billion for 2022
From a TA point of view, there are a number of reasons to be bullish which include-
- A very strong oversold signal (not shown due to limitations using invite-only scripts on public ideas)
- 9 + 5 oscillators recently printing divergence -look left,
- RSI / MFI / Stochastic are all oversold & sit @ record lows,
- Pulling a fib from the 2018 lows, we could see that price currently sits @ the 0.786 Fibonacci level,
- Decreasing selling volume,
- Support trendline being tested.
Should the 0.786 / support trendline not hold, long-term bulls should look for buys @ 2018/2020 lows.
Can price drop further? Sure! Timing tops or bottoms is not my thing.
Will Zuckerberg's metaverse gamble pay off? Only time will tell.
As it stands, Meta remains in a strong position with enormous reach, should the massive investment in metaverse pay off, there is no doubt that Meta will go on to make new highs.
Speculative Setup, DYOR. Strictly a long term play. Allow 24-72 Months for this idea.
Stock Market All time high Fake out or Continue? | MAG7 Analysis00:00 QQQ Forecast
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apple what next apple is trading sideways
expect a down-move if start trading below 178 mark
overall regression trend of 80%
above 188-192 mark will resume its strong uptrend
volume on sell side are higher than average volume
META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on META:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 395usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-9,
for a premium of approximately $19.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
#META This is my view 🤔I expect that the stock has reached the bottom, and we will see the beginning of a rise and a recovery from these areas
The chart is on the 6-month frame
I expect that the coming years we will see a wonderful growth of the company
Of course, this is not investment advice. This is just an idea I wanted to share with you
Please support the idea by pressing the like button and writing your opinion in the comment box
Good luck 🌹
Can META break the Resistance Line? Weekly chart, META is trading in a rising rectangle, and the MACD indicator went negative. This signals a possibility for correction.
Below the support line (RED), the next strong support is 244 - 242
The other direction, after crossing the resistance line (BLUE), the near target will be 430
We are now at an extreme in meta based on BB bands I am now in a 20 % net short in dec 480 puts filled at 53.50 I feel we are seeing the Bubble phase Risk in this trade is high But I am at a 20 % position
Meta TradeBeen in a bull trend for some time, and doesn't look like a situation where you want to sell. Earnings coming out, but they have been only positive in the recent past so a go with the flow type of trade . In a bull trend like this, you don't want to go against it.
Meta's Meteoric Rise: Unveiling Record ProfitsMeta (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ), the parent company of social media giant Facebook, is making waves in the business world after an impressive fourth-quarter earnings report that surpassed expectations and sent its stock soaring by 14% in after-hours trading. The company's robust performance is underlined by a tripled profit, a landmark first-ever dividend payment, and a $50 billion share buyback, signaling a newfound confidence in its financial position.
Financial Highlights
The financial highlights include earnings per share of $5.33, beating the expected $4.96, and revenue of $40.1 billion, surpassing the anticipated $39.18 billion. Daily active users (DAUs) and monthly active users (MAUs) also exceeded expectations, demonstrating the sustained growth of Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) user base. The average revenue per user (ARPU) reached $13.12, outperforming the forecasted $12.81, showcasing the company's ability to monetize its user engagement effectively.
The impressive results are attributed to Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) online advertising business rebounding from challenges faced in 2022. Sales surged by 25% year over year, reaching $32.2 billion, the fastest growth rate since mid-2021. Simultaneously, the company implemented cost-cutting measures, with expenses decreasing by 8% year over year to $23.73 billion. The operating margin more than doubled to 41%, reflecting increased profitability.
Net Income
Net income skyrocketed to $14 billion, tripling from $4.65 billion a year earlier. Meta's strategic decisions, such as the announcement of its first-ever dividend payment of 50 cents per share on March 26, illustrate its commitment to delivering value to investors. The company's cash and equivalents ballooned to $65.4 billion at the end of 2023, up from $40.7 billion a year earlier, further supporting its shareholder-friendly initiatives.
The bullish momentum continues a trend from 2023 when Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) stock nearly tripled, reaching a record high in January. As of the latest trading data, Meta's( NASDAQ:META ) market capitalization has surged to almost $1.2 trillion, solidifying its position as one of the tech industry's heavyweights.
Sales Report
Sales in Meta's Reality Labs unit surpassed $1 billion in the quarter, underlining the growing importance of virtual reality. However, the virtual reality unit reported losses of $4.65 billion, emphasizing the challenges and investment required to establish a foothold in this evolving market.
Despite Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) financial success, the company faces scrutiny from lawmakers, as CEO Mark Zuckerberg and other executives recently testified before the Senate Judiciary Committee. The hearing addressed concerns about child exploitation on Meta's family of apps, underscoring the ongoing challenges faced by social media platforms regarding user safety and mental health.
Future Outlook
Looking ahead, Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) anticipates first-quarter sales in the range of $34.5 billion to $37 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. The company remains committed to advancing artificial intelligence and the metaverse, with Zuckerberg emphasizing continued investments in these areas. Notably, despite growth, Meta's headcount decreased by 22% year over year, reflecting the efficiency achieved through organizational changes and layoffs.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) stellar financial performance, marked by record profits, a historic dividend, and a thriving stock price, showcases the company's resilience and adaptability in the rapidly evolving tech landscape. As it continues to navigate challenges in user safety and content moderation, Meta's strategic focus on innovation and financial strength positions it for continued success in the ever-expanding digital frontier.
AMAZON ENTER 162 TP 165 AFTER EARNINGS NASDAQ:AMZN
ENTER 162 TP 165 AFTER EARNINGS
Amazon
Revenue Growth: Analysts expect Amazon’s revenues to rise 11.4% YoY in Q4 and hit a record high of $166.2 billion1. The company’s Q3 operating margin of 7.8% was the highest since early 20211.
Profitability: Amazon posted record net profits in Q3, and the metric almost hit a milestone of $10 billion1. Analysts expect Amazon to post per-share earnings of $0.81 in Q4, which is 285% higher than the corresponding quarter last year1.
Cost-cutting Initiatives: Amazon has undertaken several cost-cutting initiatives that have helped to improve its profits, despite slowing revenue growth1.
Bullish Target Price: The 210 price target from Wedbush places the firm among the most bullish for Amazon stock2. The average 12-month target price for AMZN stock from Wall Street analysts is 179, according to FactSet2.
Amazon Web Services (AWS): The top-line growth of Amazon’s enterprise-focused AWS has been gradually falling, and YoY revenue growth slipped to an all-time low of 12% in Q31. However, Amazon has stressed that the segment’s growth is "stabilizing"1.
Consumer Sentiment and Business Spending: During their Q3 earnings call, Amazon said consumers are trading down amid still-high inflation and a challenging macro environment1. It will be crucial to watch for commentary on the business spending environment in 2024
META ENTER 408 TP 416 AFTER EARNINGS NASDAQ:META
Growth and Profitability: Bank of America Securities analyst Justin Post maintains a bullish stance on Meta stock, citing potential for growth and profitability1. His analysis anticipates a fourth quarter revenue surpassing the consensus estimates, driven by a 22% year-over-year increase1. This optimistic outlook is fueled by the positive momentum of Reels and advancements in artificial intelligence1.
Monetization of Reels and Messaging: Post believes that Meta is in the early stages of monetizing Reels and messaging, and that ongoing AI and machine learning integrations will enhance user engagement and advertising spend1.
New Products Leveraging AI: The anticipation of new products leveraging Meta’s AI assets, combined with an attractive valuation excluding Metaverse losses, further supports the Buy recommendation1.
Bullish Diagonal Spread: Some investors are going bullish on Meta stock with a diagonal spread2. This strategy involves buying a call option and selling a shorter-term call option against it2.
Advancements in Tech Tools: Meta continually advances its next-gen tech tools, like their AI Code Llama for coding assistance3.
Investment in Metaverse: Meta Platforms is investing billions into the metaverse4. Changes to iOS have stalled Meta’s top line, but Wall Street thinks this will be short-lived
ENTER 408 TP 416 After Earnings
LI AUTO TP 35 BEFORE EARNINGS Li Auto, a China-based electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has been receiving positive attention from investors and analysts. Here are some reasons why:
Ambitious Goals: Li Auto’s management has set an ambitious vehicle-delivery goal1. They aim to sell at least 400,000 units of the Li L7, Li L8, and Li L9 in 20241, which would exceed their total of 376,030 vehicles sold in 20231.
Innovative Ideas: Li Auto is trying out an interesting idea similar to what Nio is doing1. This could be referring to Nio’s flagship showroom, known as Nio House, which is a unique vehicle showroom that resembles a home1.
Strong Partnerships: Li Auto has a partnership with Nvidia, where Nvidia’s Drive Thor autonomous driving chip will power Li Auto’s ET9 electric sedan1.
New Launches: Li Auto is gearing up to launch its flagship multi-purpose vehicle, the Li MEGA, on March 11.
Positive Analyst Recommendations: Li Auto Inc. Sponsored ADR currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.10, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations made by five brokerage firms
