GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts following on from the election move that gave the drop into the lower Goldturns and our weighted levels all giving bounces inline with our plans to buy dips.
The swing range is providing the swing although the full swing range level has not been tested. We also have the swing completing the retracement range and leaving a candle body close gap above 2696 opening 2724, which will be further confirmed by ema5 lock.
Our current range is now between 2640 and 2724 to play within, until we see a ema5 lock breakout to confirm the next range.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Metals
XAU/USD : Bullish Movement Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we see that yesterday’s bearish trend played out as expected, hitting all downside targets at $2717, $2700, and $2686, even extending further to $2643. This aggressive decline resulted in over 1000 pips of movement within a single day.
Currently trading around $2670, gold faces a significant liquidity gap, and with the interest rate decision due tonight, I expect the price to recover and potentially fill this gap. Expect heavy market volatility—trade cautiously!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Smart Money Market Structure Order Block Trading🔸The principles of "smart money" trading focus on understanding the behavior of institutional investors, often referred to as "smart money," to make informed trading decisions. By analyzing market structure, order blocks, supply and demand zones, and market cycles, traders aim to predict price movements and make profitable trades. Here’s a breakdown of these key concepts and how they interact:
1. Market Structure
Market structure is the fundamental flow of price movement, typically defined by highs and lows that indicate trends. The market can be seen in three primary states:
▪️Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
▪️Downtrend: Defined by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL).
▪️Consolidation (Range-bound): Prices oscillate between a support (demand) and resistance (supply) level.
▪️Understanding market structure helps traders identify when a market is trending or ranging, which is essential for timing entries and exits.
2. Order Blocks
Order blocks are areas on a price chart where large institutional traders, like banks and hedge funds, execute significant orders. These blocks often indicate strong levels of support or resistance due to the substantial buying or selling activity.
▪️Bullish Order Block: Typically found before a strong upward move. It's the last bearish (down) candle before the price rallies, signaling a demand zone.
▪️Bearish Order Block: Typically found before a strong downward move. It's the last bullish (up) candle before the price drops, indicating a supply zone.
▪️Order blocks provide clues to where "smart money" has entered the market, suggesting areas where price may return for liquidity and where retail traders may find good entry points.
3. Supply and Demand Zones
Supply and demand zones are similar to support and resistance levels but with a focus on identifying imbalances. They represent areas where supply (sellers) and demand (buyers) are significantly unbalanced:
▪️Demand Zone: A price range where buyers are strong enough to prevent further price drops. This often corresponds to an area of support.
▪️Supply Zone: A price range where sellers have historically stepped in to prevent further price increases, serving as resistance.
▪️Prices often revert to these zones due to liquidity needs, creating entry points for trend continuations or reversals.
4. Lower Highs (LH) and Higher Lows (HL)
These are essential markers in identifying trend changes:
▪️Lower Highs (LH): In a downtrend, the price fails to reach a previous high, indicating seller dominance and potential continuation of the downtrend.
▪️Higher Lows (HL): In an uptrend, the price creates higher lows, suggesting that buyers are gradually gaining strength, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
These structural points help traders understand potential trend reversals or continuations.
5. Accumulation and Distribution Phases
These phases are critical to the Wyckoff Market Cycle:
▪️Accumulation: This phase represents a period where "smart money" accumulates positions at low prices. It typically occurs after a downtrend and is characterized by a consolidation or sideways price movement. This phase often signals a future uptrend.
▪️Distribution: This is the phase where institutional players offload positions after a significant price increase. Like accumulation, distribution appears as consolidation, often preceding a downtrend.
▪️Accumulation and distribution are often analyzed using volume patterns and price action to gauge when a trend may begin or end.
6. Market Cycles (The Wyckoff Theory)
Market cycles are a sequence of phases that price undergoes over time. According to Wyckoff’s methodology, there are four phases:
▪️Accumulation: Institutions build positions, often at a market bottom.
▪️Markup: After accumulation, the price starts to increase as demand outstrips supply.
▪️Distribution: Institutions sell off their positions, often at the top of the cycle.
▪️Markdown: Price declines as supply overwhelms demand, leading to a downtrend.
▪️Understanding these phases allows traders to anticipate potential turning points, which is critical in smart money trading.
Applying These Principles in Trading
The smart money trading approach uses these principles collectively:
🔸Identify Market Structure: Determine whether the market is trending or ranging, then identify order blocks, supply and demand zones, and significant highs and lows.
🔸Recognize Key Levels: Watch for accumulation and distribution phases at these levels, helping to anticipate likely future movements.
🔸Confirm with Volume: Use volume analysis to confirm accumulation or distribution activity.
🔸Set Entries and Exits at Smart Money Zones: Utilize identified order blocks and supply/demand zones to enter trades with the trend (markup or markdown) or exit before a reversal.
🔸By combining these elements, traders seek to align with the strategies of institutional investors, capturing trends early and minimizing exposure during less favorable periods.
GOLD → Fundamental Swing. What to expect from gold?FX:XAUUSD updates the low to 2643. The reason - change of fundamental background and outflow of funds to safer assets... But, Powell supported the metal by lowering the US interest rate....
Overall, the fundamental backdrop for gold has changed to negative. The impact is not short-term and can only increase further, but the metal will be supported by the Chinese market and the Middle East conflict. Yesterday gold strengthened to 2710, testing key resistance on the back of 0.25% interest rate cut. Powell gave a hint that the Feds are generally willing to continue the easing course. The environment is quite interesting...
Technically, gold is in a local descending channel and below 0.5 Fibo. If the bears keep the 0.5 - 0.7 fibo zone under their control, gold may continue to weaken towards 2650 - 2600.
Resistance levels: 2696, 2714, 2720
Support levels: 2685, 2652
Technically, after a busy week, the metal may go into a consolidation phase, for example in the area of 2714 - 2685, but it is still worth paying attention to resistance and support from which strong moves can be formed...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD - Price can reah resistance level and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew inside rising channel, where ot fell to support area and then bounced up, breaking $2500 level.
Then price rose in channel to $2605 level, exited from rising channel, and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, Gold rose to top part and then made a correction to $2605 support level, after which bounced up.
Price exited from flat and continued to grow inside pennant, where it rose to resistance line, breaking $2710 level.
But recently, XAU turned around and made downward impulse, exited from pennant, and broke $2710 level one more time.
Now it growing and I think Gold can reach resistance level and then fall to $2605 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Gold Rise to Resistance Zone: Elliott Wave!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct as I ✅ expected in previous posts ✅. Did you profit from this move!?
Gold started to rise well from the Support zone($2,645-$2,625) and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700) and the lower line of the ascending channel (broken) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has succeeded in completing microwave 3 . We should wait for the completion of microwave 4 , and then probably microwave 5 will end in the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700) and Monthly Pivot Point .
⚠️Note: We should expect more pumps if Gold goes above the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSDT: Key Support Zone for Potential ReboundBTCUSDT recently surged, reaching around 76,350 USDT, but now shows signs of a potential pullback. The chart indicates that a retracement could occur towards the support zone around 73,400 USDT (highlighted in blue).
If BTC holds above this support level, it could create a strong foundation for another upward push, potentially leading to a continuation of the bullish trend. Traders should watch for price action around this support zone, as a bounce from here may signal a resumption of the uptrend.
XAGUSD_3Hhello
Analysis of silver in the medium term time frame
Elliott wave analysis style
The market is in 5 downward waves, which is currently in a descending channel and in the 5th downward wave.
For the next week, the important resistance is the number 31.700, and by maintaining this number, it will continue to fall towards the number and range of 3.000 and 30.400, which is the end of the fall, and it can enter a new upward trend towards the number 33.000.
Gold (xauusd): Potential Pullback After Downtrend Breakhello guys!
let's analyze GOLD!
Downtrend Break: The sharp decline suggests a bearish sentiment as gold fails to hold previous support levels around $2,693.
Retest Zone: There is a potential retest zone around $2,678 - $2,693. If the price retraces to this area and faces resistance, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend.
Next Support Target: If the bearish momentum continues, the price may reach a major support area around $2,610 - $2,630 (highlighted in grey), which aligns with a longer-term trendline support.
Continuation Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Price could retrace to the $2,678 - $2,693 area, face resistance, and continue downward toward the support zone.
Scenario 2: If the price breaks above $2,693, the bearish bias may temporarily weaken and move towards higher resistance levels.
Gold can make small correction and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to wedge, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline to the support line. When the price dropped to this line, it broke the 2650 level, after which later, Gold started to grow and in a short time backed up to the 2650 level. Soon, the price broke this level one more time and then made a retest, after which continued to move up. In a short time price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then started to trades between the 2740 level. Later, the price broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the wedge, and even exited from this pattern. But then it dropped to the seller zone, some time traded inside, and then made a downward impulse to the buyer zone, breaking the 2740 level. After this, Gold started to grow and now it continues to rise to this day. So, in my mind, Gold will little correct and then continue to move up to the 2740 resistance level. For this case, my TP is at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD: The Downtrend Is Not Over YetDear Traders!
Today, gold prices fell sharply, ending the week at $2,684, recording a decrease of 0.83%. The rising US dollar, fueled by political uncertainty, put a lot of downward pressure on gold. The shift of investors to riskier assets added to the selling pressure on gold in the market, reinforcing the bearish trend.
Analysis of the 4-hour chart shows that gold prices are currently facing resistance at the important resistance zone of $2,700 - $2,715. The 34 EMA has crossed below the 89 EMA, a sign that sellers are in control. If the price fails to break through this resistance zone and continues to be under pressure, gold is likely to find support at $2,640 - $2,656. In the event that the price drops below $2,640, the short-term bearish outlook will become stronger, with a deeper target in the near term.
EURUSD strategic outlook: BEARS will target 1.0500🔸Hello guys, today let's review H8 price chart for eurusd. Previously
recommended buying low near 1.0650, TP hit +400 pips, congrats
if you followed. you can review original setup via link below.
🔸Range lows defined at 0650 , range highs set at 1050/1100.
This is the active trading range for EURUSD since early 2023 it's
well-defined and it's very unlikely that price will exit this range
any time soon (not until 2026).
🔸Currently we got a strong rejection near range highs at 1100
and this resistance is too strong for the bulls to break atm,
price was already rejected multiple times from this level.
there are no bullish catalysts in euro zone to break 1.10/1.11 S/R.
🔸Recommended strategy position traders: bears focus on short selling rips/rallies, targeting range lows at 0500/0550. Bears will take over from
here, so there is no valid setup for bulls on buy side. Keep in mind
that this is a swing trade setup and provided low volatiliy in EURUSD
it may take a while to hit the targets (multiple weeks).
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Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
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Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-8 : Counter-trend RallyHappy Friday everyone,
Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Rally in Counter-trend mode.
I interpret this as a moderate downward price trend for the SPY - possibly pulling the SPY into the GAP created after yesterday's opening GAP rally.
I got into deep detail related to the potential anomaly event setting up over the next three weeks for the SPY & QQQ in this video.
I also go into a fairly deep analysis of Gold and Silver - relating my expectations and how these moves align cleanly with an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern.
And, I even go into broad detail for BTCUSD and how I see multiple aligned Excess Phase Peak Patterns setting up to drive big trends over the next 3-4 weeks.
As I stated near the end of this video, the next 5-7+ years are going to be filled with opportunity. I suggest everyone get ready for the biggest opportunity of your life.
I hope you enjoy my videos and research. I know some of you have already experienced tremendous success following my research.
I'm urging to you consider the opportunity that will be available as the markets continue to trend through my window of opportunity - and how you want to try to profit from these moves.
Remember, the markets will always be there - but these opportunities are unique to the next 5-7+ years.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great day on the charts today with our swing range doing exactly what it says on the tin. We got the big drop yesterday from the election volatility, yet our levels were still respected technically, providing the reactional bounce.
Swing range bounce gave us 2690. A close above this level will see the upper levels being retested again, keeping in mind the long range gap above on this chart idea. Failure to close above this level will see a retest on the swing range again.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Analysis: Short Fibonacci ResistanceIn this 1-hour Gold chart (XAU/USD), we observe the price retesting a significant area around the 2687 level after a recent downtrend. Fibonacci retracement levels are applied to gauge potential retracement zones.
Entry Position: A potential short entry can be taken near the 2687 level, where price is facing resistance.
Take-Profit Target: The first profit target could be set around 2664, where the next support lies, aligning with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Stop-Loss: Consider placing the stop-loss above the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 2699 to minimize risk if the price breaks higher.
Gold price continues to reverse the trendAt the close of the U.S. trading session, global gold prices settled around $2,684 per ounce, marking a sharp decline of over $22 per ounce compared to the previous session's close.
The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a 0.25% rate cut, bringing the current interest rate to a range of 4.5-4.75%. Typically, a Fed rate cut leads to a weaker USD; however, this time, the greenback surged overnight, strengthening in the international currency basket.
The Dollar Index saw a significant rise of 0.42%, reaching 104.950 points, which pressured investors to lock in profits on gold after a strong rally in the previous session.
Given this, the USD may continue to strengthen, and gold could face further declines, especially as Fed Chair Powell delivered remarks following the rate cut decision, signaling a possible prolonged strength for the dollar.
Focus on 2700, short on highs in US tradingGold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge downward in the short position, without any signs of turning. Gold's short position has not ended yet, and there is still room for downward movement. Yesterday's rise in gold has digested the expectations brought by the interest rate cut. It has fallen back after being under pressure at 2710 many times, indicating that gold's bullish momentum at high levels is not strong. The US market rebound is still short. Gold rebounds below 2710 in the US market, and it continues to be short at highs.
It can be shorted first when it rebounds near 2700. The market changes rapidly. Don't be fooled by the seemingly strong rebound as a reversal. Gold continues to be short.
Trading strategy:
Shorting on rallies in US market.
SELL: 2699-2701
GOLD → U-turn and fall... Waiting for Powell (Fed)FX:XAUUSD is forming a reversal setup with a bias for the medium and long term. The fundamental background is changing in favor of the dollar at the expense of gold, as well as changing the targets...
Trump is the new (old) president of the United States. What does that mean? Rising inflation, a rising dollar, stock market and bonds are possible, but not gold or currency markets. But because Trump's policies promise to be tough on China and Europe, gold may get additional support from investors, but not in the near term, perhaps not in the next year. What are the targets to gold going forward? 2400, 2300, 2200. 2K is not excluded.
Now all eyes are on the Fed rate meeting later on Thursday. Will they cut 0.25% or keep the rate the same? The important aspect in that case is the regulator's comments and hints (slowing down the easing cycle is not ruled out). Waiting for Powell...
Technically, gold is returning to the range, so the focus is on the internal levels and the key 0.5 fibo, from which the decline may resume
Resistance levels: 2670, 2685, 2696
Support levels: 2652 (trigger), 2637, 2624
A correction after the spill is being formed. False breakdown and subsequent consolidation below the above resistance levels will be a signal for the continuation of the fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD A BUY ZONE FOR YEAR 2025 RALLY TO 2900$HELLO TRADERS
As i an see gold has just retrace after creating a |ATH 2790$ and now successfully retraced to 2665 zone which we draw in our previous drawings and now created a validation confirm of 3rd test to trend line and with fibo level it had tested 0.50 golden levels also we draw another channel on this chart it is trading in uptrend and investors are looking for the 3000$ per ounce in 2025 easy TP we combine both technical and fundamental for more accurate confirmation have a previous outlook on our posted charts from since April 2024 till now ..
Trading is an Art learn and earn from markets easy money Friends Geopolitical issues around the Global running conditions is really bad. If some 1 is thinking Trump can Solve these War issue, then it looks impossible in my view angry IRAN RUSSIA NORTH KORA SUDAN GAZA LEBONAN and other many regions.. We can see a very bad economy conditions of US which need years to reset Bricks in the Game now for more De-Dollarizing and we can see how banks and hedge fund manager Smart money Accumulating the Gold from the day Wars going on and escalating more and more day by day .... Trump Need some Serious actions to change his economy which is hard to seem.
Friends its just a trade idea with very low risk and looking for a bigger reward share ur thoughts with us it help many
Stay Tuned for more updates if trend gets change bez trend is ur friend
Fibonacci/Gann & 3-6-9 Chart Play: The TOP may be IN I was trying to identify if/how the market may be topping in relation to the post-election rally phase and started with a blank Daily SPY chart.
After drawing a few line of the chart, I started with an idea that Broad market pullbacks may be the key to identifying/timing market expansion phases (coupled with a bit of logic).
This video highlights this theory going back to 2018 and examines a number of price pullback trends as well as Fibonacci Timing structures related to Fibonacci Price Expansion blocks.
I think you will find this very useful as I continue to delve deeper into the 3-6-9 structure, polarity shifts (binary shifts) and trying to unlock the secrets of price trends/extensions.
Hope you enjoy...
Oh.. and it looks like the US markets are about to top if my research is correct.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Hellena | GOLD (1H): Short to support area 2641.84.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue the downward movement, but before this movement there is a high probability that the price will reach the area of 2734, then continue the downward movement.
There are only 2 options to enter the position.
Either you take a risk and enter on the market.
Or you wait for the local high of 2710 to be updated.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!