XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 2675.12, which is an overlap support close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 2720, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 2641, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Metals
Gold Analysis Today DECEMBER 12, 2024 Strong Growth or Collapse?SPDR Gold Trust Gold Fund bought 2.59 tons of gold yesterday, December 11
Important resistance: 2733 - 2740 - 2750
Important support level: 2680 - 2675 - 2700
XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD trading strategy
around price area:
BUY XAUUSD around 2700-2701
Stoploss: 2695
Take Profit 1 : 2710
Take Profit 2: 2720
Take Profit 3: 2730
“If there is a break through the 2728 area during the day, we should watch to sell around the 2749-2750 area in a long-term channel.”
SELL XAUUSD around 2749-2750
Stoploss: 2756
Take Profit 1 : 2745
Take Profit 2: 2740
Take Profit 3: 2733
Note: Always install Stoploss in all cases to be safe!
ANALYSIS OF GOLD TREND TODAY, DECEMBER 12, 2024: UP OR DOWN?Technical Analysis from the Chart:
The price has broken through the previous descending trendline (yellow line) and is now in a recovery trend. Currently, the price is approaching a strong resistance zone at $2,710 - $2,725, an area where selling pressure has been prominent in the past.
Key Levels:
Main Resistance: $2,710 - $2,725 (previous highs and key Fibonacci zone).
Nearby Support: $2,680 (MA200 and Fibonacci 0.618).
Strong Support: $2,650 (previous lows and psychological support level).
Indicators:
RSI: Currently near the overbought zone, signaling a potential price pullback in the short term.
Stochastic: In the overbought zone and showing signs of a possible reversal.
Price Action Pattern:
The price is currently testing a strong resistance zone. If it fails to break through, there is a chance it will correct back to support.
Trading Strategy for XAUUSD in the Current Price Range:
SELL XAUUSD around the $2,720 - $2,721 zone:
Stoploss: $2,726
Take Profit 1: $2,715
Take Profit 2: $2,710
Take Profit 3: $2,700
“If the price breaks above $2,728, look for a sell around $2,749 - $2,750 in a longer-term channel.”
BUY XAUUSD around the $2,679 - $2,680 zone:
Stoploss: $2,674
Take Profit 1: $2,685
Take Profit 2: $2,690
Take Profit 3: $2,700
Note: Always set a stoploss in every trade to ensure safety!
@Henrybillion wishes you a successful trading day!
GOLD just passed $2,700, pay attention to CPI dataWednesday (December 11) on the Asian market, OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery increased again in the short term. Gold price has just surpassed the important milestone of 2,700 USD/ounce, reaching the highest level of the day as of the time this article was completed at 2,703.65 USD/ounce.
Attention is turning to the US consumer price index (CPI) today (Wednesday) and the producer price index (PPI) on Thursday, both data will be important in influencing the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates.
According to market surveys, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to increase 0.3% in November, with year-on-year increases expected to be 2.7% and 3.3%, respectively. %.
Overall and core producer prices in the United States are expected to increase 0.2% month-on-month in November, with year-over-year increases of 2.6% and 3.2%, respectively.
CPI data in line with expectations is unlikely to hinder interest rate cuts, but if the data shows inflation progress is slowing, the likelihood of a third consecutive rate cut by the Fed may decrease.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "FedWatch Tool" shows that the futures market expects an 86% chance that Fed Chairman Powell and his colleagues will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at their meeting on August 17-18. /12.
In addition, gold prices also skyrocketed when the Chinese central bank resumed gold purchasing activities. Meanwhile, the geopolitical situation plays an important role and still has many potential risks after Syrian President Bashar al-Assad was overthrown.
Gold is considered a safe investment during times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty and tends to appreciate in low interest rate environments.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has initial conditions for a bullish outlook as it broke out of the falling price channel after a long period of sideways accumulation.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index also rose above the 50 level, which should be considered a positive signal for the future growth prospects as it will move towards the 75-100 area. With that, EMA21 which was the previous resistance has now become the most notable support.
Gold prices are pushed above the original price level of 2,700 USD, keeping price activity above the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level will provide conditions for a new bull cycle with the target then around 2,730 USD where the Fibonacci retracement is located. 0.236%, more than the Volume Profile POC level.
During the day, gold has all the technical conditions to increase in price and is temporarily limited by the original price of 2,700 USD. The notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,693 – 2,676 – 2,663USD
Resistance: 2,700 – 2,730USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2721 - 2719⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2725
→Take Profit 1 2714
↨
→Take Profit 2 2709
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2659 - 2661⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2666
↨
→Take Profit 2 2671
XAUUSD - Gold Monthly TargetOverview:
Gold and silver have outperformed most other "safe haven" assets. These precious metals are ending the year with remarkable gains. Investors have flocked to them as hedges against inflation and market volatility, helping to drive their values upward.
Price:
The Bull trend started back in March! (2040). Nine months of continued bullish price actions and blue candles and the price has topped all the way to 2800. Last month (November) we saw gold drop to 2500 finding support.
Today gold is back on track creating higher highs in the intraday timeframes.
Monthly:
The Cup and handle pattern. On the monthly gold is currently in the cup and handle bull run. Pay attention to the Fibb retracement levels. Gold has already touched the 50% and found support at the .618. With the current volume and bullish momentum, gold could easily find the strength to break higher and reach the target (3500) in the next 3-4 months
Monthly Pattern Target:
3560
Key Levels:
Resistance:
2750
3150
Support:
2500
2600
XAUUSD - 4hr Bum n Run updateLong story short... The market is currently playing inside the zone 2625-2655. (30pip range)
Gold should maintain above 2615. a Close below this level counld invalidate the Bump and run pattern and continue with more bearish pressure.
Its NFP week and you know the USD has been gaining strength. Wait for the breakout above 2655 before entering another Buy. We need strong bullish candles with high volume to make this setup a low-risk trade.
The targets are still the same:
Targets:
1 - 2685 (quarter 3 high)
2 - 2710 (target 1)
3 - 2750 (target 2)
4 - ATH
XAUUSD BuySetupHi everyone.
As we broke the structure stronger than previous one with higher volume, so I think this trend is going to continue to meet the weekly orderblock.
I think this area is good to set an order.
This order has a tight SL, so please consider the risk management.
I'll send another setup for this entry in the comment below. don't forget to check it ;)
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
GOLD → Retest 2720. CPI ahead, what to expect?FX:XAUUSD is coming out of a long consolidation and testing 2688. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this zone, but the risks are increased by the publication of CPI...
Gold was boosted by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East and renewed buying of gold reserves by China. Amid looming tariffs announced by Trump and weakening labor market conditions, the US inflation report will be crucial in determining the Fed's easing trajectory in the coming months.
Further upside for gold prices hinges on the release of US CPI data, which is likely to set the pace for US Fed action early next year.
Technically, gold is heading towards broad range resistance as well as the 2720 liquidity zone. The chances of reaching the target are high, but a sharp approach and high news volatility could trigger a false breakout.
Resistance levels: 2705, 2720
Support levels: 2688, 2675, 2658
The CPI data may trigger both a rise in the dollar and a deep correction, depending on the interpretation of the current US economy. Gold may react accordingly, but it all depends on the actual data.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Piptastic day on the charts once again, with our chart idea playing out to perfection!!!!
We were able to track and trade the entire move up from Monday confirmed with ema5 lock for each gap target. Yesterdays update finished off with ema5 cross and lock above 2679 opening 2697.
- This target was completed perfectly today followed with further cross and lock above 2697 opening 2712, which was also hit today completing this chart idea.
We can now move over to our 4H chart idea to continue to track the movement should it decide to push further up, until we share our new 1H chart idea on our Sunday update.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2645 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2645 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2661 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2679 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2679 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2697 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Gold overall is still holding bearish. I originally expected a ‘Flat Correction’ on the lower bound of the range, but price is now creating that same correction, on the upper bound of the range. Market analysis is still valid & I’m still holding my sell position’s open.
Market structure would be invalidated if price broke ABOVE previous Wave 5 high.
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Gold overall is still holding bearish. I originally expected a ‘Flat Correction’ on the lower bound of the range, but price is now creating that same correction, on the upper bound of the range. Market analysis is still valid & I’m still holding my sell position’s open.
Market structure would be invalidated if price broke ABOVE previous Wave 5 high.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 12-11: Flat Down PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will slide downward after the CPI data came in as expected.
I believe the markets are going to roll into an Excess Phase Peak pattern over the next 5+ days - setting up a big potential downward price swing (the Anomaly Event) before the end of 2024.
Gold is moving into a CRUSH pattern today. We may see a very big price move (I suspect higher) today as traders move to hedge weakness and market concerns globally.
Bitcoin recently set a new lower low, showing us that the dominant trend is Bearish.
Bitcoin set up another potential Excess Phase Peak pattern, totaling four current Excess Phase Peak patterns in this broad sideways consolidation range.
The breakout, either to the upside or downside, in Bitcoin could be very explosive.
Remember, we continue to trade into a low liquidity price trend throughout the end of 2024. So stay cautious and stay aware of the risks for the Anomaly Event.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Trade Idea NOWGold (XAU/USD) Intraday Trade Idea
Entry: $2,698
Stop Loss: $2,693
Target: $2,705
This setup provides a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.6, making it a favorable short-term trade opportunity. The entry is based on a key support level, with the target aligning with the next resistance zone.
It’s essential to monitor price action closely at the target level for signs of reversal or continuation.
👉 Follow me for more trading setups and updates:
XAU/USD : Gold will pump to $2700 ? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price opened with a positive gap today, showing a rise from $2633 to $2676. Notably, gold finally made its next move upon reaching this level, and we have seen a correction from $2676 to $2666 so far. The key question now is where the price will close in the next 6 hours.
We might see an initial rejection, but due to recent developments in the Middle East and increased risk, further growth in gold prices is anticipated. Keep a close watch on gold's reaction to the levels of $2689 to $2695. This analysis will be updated moment by moment as the price moves!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD / Bearish Volatility Amid CPI ExpectationsGold Technical Analysis
The price reached our target perfectly in the previous idea.
Today the market will be volatile due to the CPI results, and we expect bearish momentum depending on the expectation is excced the previous result, so that will make a bearish volatility on the GOLD market.
As long as trades below 2706 will be bearish to get 2678, to get a more bearish area should close 4h or 1h candle below 2678 to touch 2665 and 2653
On the other hand, to be bullish should CPI release less than 2.7% to get 2719 and 2732
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2705
Resistance Levels: 2719, 2732, 2739
Support Levels: 2678, 2665, 2653
Trend Outlook: Bearish Volatile
GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2693.4
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2670.0
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2,695.926.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2,617.334 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD - 4hr Bum n Run update (final)Let the Trade ride! Understand pullbacks will happen but the price is in motion. Respect the trend.
Gold has officially broken about the accumulation phase. Price has retraced back to previous resistance confirming new support. (2675)
Keep in mind:
Today
Core CPI m/m and CPI y/y
Thu
Dec 12
Core PPI m/m and PPI m/m
**Both of these red news events could shift the short term. watch for wicks and false breakouts