GOLD 4H: not all that glitters is bullish...The 4H chart shows a clean descending triangle breakdown. Price failed to reclaim the trendline and was rejected under both MA50 and MA200. The bounce into 3325–3340 was absorbed — classic liquidity sweep and fade. Volume confirms bearish control.
Technically, the breakdown below 3320 opens the way toward $3293 (1.0 Fibo), $3250 (1.272 extension), and final target at $3195 (1.618), where buyers might step in. RSI supports the continuation without signs of reversal. Structure broke — and the market is telling us where it's heading.
Tactical plan:
— Entry at market or on a retest of $3325–3335
— Targets: $3293 → $3250 → $3195
— Stop: above $3340 (above MA50 and broken trendline)
When gold looks shiny, smart traders look deeper. This breakout isn’t golden — it’s a trap for late bulls.
Metals
XAUUSD : Ready for More Upside Before Another Fall ?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price initially followed our bullish scenario, climbing 140 pips up to $3336. However, after hitting that level, gold reversed and entered the bearish scenario, dropping below $3300 and eventually finding support around $3255.
This area acted as a strong demand zone, and we’ve since seen a rebound. Currently, gold is trading around $3273, and as long as price holds above the marked demand zone (Bullish Rejection Block), we may expect another bullish move before price potentially targets the liquidity below $3245 and $3203.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold: Market analysis and strategy for June 27Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3350, support level 3250
4-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3245
1-hour chart resistance level 3300, support level 3280
Technical indicators show that the 4-hour moving average system shows a dead cross arrangement, and the MACD indicator dead cross continues. The gold price has fallen below the lower track support of the Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Channel is narrowing. The short-term price is in a low-level weak consolidation pattern.
The 1-hour chart price broke the previous low of 3295, but the price is oversold and may rebound in the short term. The short-term support level below is around 3280. If it falls below, continue to look at the 3271-3245 range; the important pressure level is around 3300!
If there is a short-term rebound before the NY market, wait until the rebound before continuing to sell! The current minimum is 3279. After the short-term stabilization, refer to the resistance of 3300/3310 to sell.
Sell: 3300near
Sell: 3310near
XAUUSD Daily Update: Gold Enters "Strong Bearish MomentumXAUUSD Daily Update: Gold Enters "Strong Bearish Momentum" – Where Are the Opportunities?
Hello TradingView Community!
Hot news from the Gold (XAUUSD) market today! We've just closely analyzed the Daily Chart and spotted a crucial signal: Gold's downward momentum is extremely strong and clear! This indicates that the short-term trend may have shifted, or selling pressure is currently overwhelming other supporting factors.
🌍 Current Macroeconomic Context (A Multi-faceted View):
Previously, we discussed how a weaker USD might support Gold. Indeed, concerns about the Fed's independence (due to rumors of Powell's replacement) and expectations of Fed rate cuts have pushed the USD lower, typically a positive for Gold.
However, the market isn't driven by just one factor. The sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran is reducing Gold's safe-haven demand. It appears that, at present, factors like decreased safe-haven demand and potentially strong technical breakdowns are prevailing, creating significant selling pressure on the daily timeframe. We also need to emphasize that the market remains very cautious about confirming a bottom for Gold, and we are still awaiting crucial US economic data (especially PCE on Friday) and FOMC speeches.
➡️ In summary: While a weaker USD theoretically supports Gold, the price action on the daily chart clearly shows bears are dominating. We must respect this signal and adjust our strategy accordingly.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis (Focus on Daily Chart - Strong Bearish Momentum!):
Based on the strong bearish signal from the Daily timeframe and key price levels from the chart (image_e9d325.png):
Primary Trend on Daily: Clearly strong bearish momentum. Large, consecutive bearish candles breaking previous support zones indicate overwhelming selling pressure.
Resistance Zones (Potential SELL Opportunities - where price might retrace before falling further):
3313.737 - 3315: This is the nearest and most important resistance area. If the price retraces here, it could present an opportunity to sell.
3321.466 - 3330.483: A stronger resistance zone, if price retraces deeper.
3341.947: Extremely strong resistance, unlikely to be reached in this context unless there's a major trend-reversing news event.
Support Zones (BUY Opportunities - extremely cautious, only for Scalp or clear reversal signals):
3294.414: Immediate support, but could be easily broken if bearish momentum persists.
3276.122: The next support area if the price continues to fall.
3264.400: This is a very strong support and a potential downside target if bearish momentum holds. Consider BUYs here only if price hits this level and shows clear reversal patterns on smaller timeframes.
🎯 Updated XAUUSD Trading Plan (Prioritizing SELLs):
Given the strong bearish momentum on the Daily chart, we will prioritize active SELL entries and approach BUY scalps with extreme caution, only at very strong support levels or with clear reversal confirmations.
1. ACTIVE SELL TRADES (Priority):
SELL ZONE 1 (Selling at near resistance):
Entry: 3313 - 3315 (If price retraces to this area and shows bearish rejection candle patterns on H1/H4)
SL: 3320 (Just above the nearest resistance)
TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 - 3276.122 (Next target according to the chart) - 3264.400 (Final target if strong bearish momentum continues)
SELL ZONE 2 (Selling at stronger resistance - if deeper retracement):
Entry: 3331 - 3333 (If price retraces deeper and shows reversal signals)
SL: 3337
TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3294.414
2. CAUTIOUS BUY TRADES (Only for Scalp/Clear Reversal Signals):
BUY ZONE (BUY SCALP AT STRONG SUPPORT):
Entry: 3266 - 3264 (Only buy if price hits this zone and shows clear reversal signals on M15/M30, such as reversal candle patterns, RSI divergence, etc.)
SL: 3260 (Very tight, acknowledging higher risk)
TP: 3270 - 3276.122 - 3280 - 3284 - 3290 (Aim for short TPs, no expectation of prolonged uptrend in strong bearish conditions)
INTERMEDIATE BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3284 - 3282 (If price has broken down through here and retraces, wait for confirmation)
SL: 3278
TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 (Short-term targets only)
⚠️ Crucial Factors to Monitor Closely Today:
Price Action at Resistance/Support Levels: How price reacts at these key marks will dictate the next move.
US Macro Data (especially PCE on Friday): Any surprising news can rapidly reverse the current trend.
FOMC Speeches: Can induce significant volatility in USD and Gold.
Geopolitical Situation: Although currently optimistic, any unexpected developments could reignite safe-haven demand.
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Our original sell bias from $3,347 which I posted live for you all, is now running in deep profits! Market is now down & running 810 PIPS in profit in just 2 days.
We have broken structure to the downside, crossing below our previous 'Wave E' low, indicating & acting as stronger confluence that Gold will carry on down towards our $2,800 target. Huge profits en-route for us all in this free channel.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A fantastic close to the week as our analysis once again played out level to level with precision!
As a follow-up from yesterday's post:
- The swing range completed the move into 3348, as expected.
- However, we had no further EMA5 lock above, confirming rejection back into the swing range.
- This was followed by an EMA5 cross and lock below 3306, opening the secondary swing range.
- That range played out perfectly today, hitting both 3288 and 3271 targets.
We’re now seeing a bounce off those levels giving the 20 to 40 pips, and we will now be observing to see if the full secondary swing is completed.
It's Friday, and it's been a PIPTASTIC week across the board. Well done to everyone following the plan and sticking to the levels.
QUICK RECAP
BULLISH TARGET
3376 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3348 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3330 - DONE
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3288 - DONE
3271 - DONE
We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,274.66 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Nasdaq Hits New ATH at $22,570 – Eyes Now on $23,200 and $24,000By analyzing the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index followed our previous analysis perfectly, hitting the $22,400 target and printing a new all-time high at $22,570!
Momentum remains strong and bullish, and we expect price to continue climbing toward the next targets. Based on the original projection, upcoming targets are $23,200 and $24,000.
Stay tuned for the next update!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 35.998 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 35.727..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3270.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3260.7
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3289.4
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD - Gold Bearish Bias Remains StrongXAU/USD remains under bearish pressure on the 4-hour timeframe. Until price breaks and closes above $3,336 with strength, selling the rallies remains a preferred strategy. However, watch for potential bounces near support zones, especially if momentum weakens or reversal candles appear. The price is currently trading below both the 50, 100 and 200 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend. The recent price action has respected the trendline resistance and failed to break higher, reinforcing sellers’ control.
Price structure has formed a descending channel, which often signals a bearish continuation. However, if price finds a strong reaction from support, a temporary rebound could occur before further downside. Overall sentiment is cautious due to recent geopolitical de-escalation between Iran and Israel, which reduced gold’s safe-haven demand. Dollar strength, driven by hawkish Fed tone, continues to pressure gold.
Key Support Levels :
$3,295 – A minor support where previous candles showed buying interest.
$3,289 – Critical horizontal support and psychological level.
$3,270 – Next significant support if $3,289 breaks.
$3,240 – Major support zone, last line before larger downside moves.
Key Resistance Levels:
$3,310 – Near-term resistance and EMA zone.
$3,320 – Price rejection level from earlier 4H candles.
$3,336 – Strong resistance with previous swing highs.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
This Trendline Has Held Since January, Will Gold Finally Break?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a key ascending trendline that has acted as dynamic support since early 2025. Today's price action shows strong bearish pressure, but confirmation is still needed as the daily candle has not yet closed below the trendline. A decisive close beneath this level would signal a potential shift in market structure and open the door for further downside. Fundamentally, mixed U.S. data adds to the uncertainty—while Personal Income (-0.4%) and Spending (-0.1%) came in below expectations, the Core PCE Price Index rose to 0.2%, suggesting lingering inflationary pressure.
If price breaks and closes below 3,260, I’ll consider a bearish continuation toward 3,200, 3,120, and possibly 3,000. However, if bulls defend this zone and reclaim 3,300+, a short-term bounce could still play out. For now, I'm staying patient and waiting for the daily close to confirm direction.
GOLD recovers, capped by $3,350, trend viewOANDA:XAUUSD recovered then weakened as it failed to break above $3,350, supported by a weaker dollar and market uncertainty sparked by reports that U.S. President Donald Trump could replace Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in September or October. The reports raised concerns about the future independence of the Federal Reserve, boosting demand for safe-haven gold.
On Wednesday, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he was considering three or four candidates to replace him. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump was even considering announcing a potential successor as early as September or October.
The current market narrative is that once Trump nominates a new Fed chair, market expectations will tend to favor a more “dovish” Fed. This could lead to a weaker US dollar, higher long-term US Treasury yields and higher stock prices.
Forexlive points out that this story may be more an emotional reaction than a result of objective and rational thinking. The policy of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) is decided not only by the Fed Chairman but also by a majority vote of the 12 voting members (including 7 directors and 5 regional Fed presidents). The Fed Chairman does have a lot of influence, but he does not have absolute control over monetary policy. The Fed was originally designed to be independent of political pressure.
Moreover, even if Trump nominates the next chairman, there is no guarantee that this will automatically lead to a rate cut. In fact, Powell was also nominated by Trump, but his monetary policy decisions are still based on professional judgment rather than serving Trump's wishes.
So, in the worst case, the market could face policy uncertainty as differences between FOMC members increase and more disagreements emerge. Currently, there are fewer moderate members on the committee, while neutral or hawkish members dominate.
Markets are now focused on personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data due later today (Friday) for further clues on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates.
On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran appeared to be in place on Wednesday after Trump hailed a swift end to the 12-day conflict at the NATO summit and said he would seek a commitment from Iran to abandon its nuclear ambitions in talks next week.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold recovered and reached the initial target at 3,350 USD, the nearest resistance is also the price point of the EMA21 noted for readers in the previous publication.
However, the recovery momentum is currently weakening, specifically at the time of writing, the gold price is falling below 3,320 USD. Gold falling below 3,320 USD provides conditions for a possible decline with the next target around 3,302 - 3,300 USD, which is the area of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement confluence with the lower edge of the price channel.
In terms of momentum, the RSI is heading down and breaking below 50, which should be considered an initial bearish signal.
Overall, gold does not have a clear long-term trend as the uptrend is still the main trend, while the momentum is showing signs of decline.
But personally, I am still leaning towards the uptrend, and continue to look for positions to buy.
Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,302 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,320 – 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3353
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3272 - 3274⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3268
→Take Profit 1 3280
↨
→Take Profit 2 3286
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent.
A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter).
Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time.
However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least.
What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1.
A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150...
Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility.
I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
Gold Confirms Breakdown — Eyes on $3100 TargetGold has broken below the neckline of multiple Head & Shoulders formations, signaling potential downside continuation. This technical development opens the path toward the projected target around $3100, Let’s monitor whether the pattern fulfills its full potential.
#Gold #XAUUSD #HeadAndShoulders #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPattern #GoldForecast #TradingView #Commodities #PriceAction
GOLD → Local bearish trend. Retest of support.FX:XAUUSD is technically looking a little weak. Support is being retested amid de-escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. Interest in the metal is waning.
On Friday, gold remains under pressure ahead of data on the core PCE index, a key inflation indicator for the Fed. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, this could strengthen expectations of a rate cut as early as July, supporting gold. The probability of a July cut is currently estimated at 21%, and 75% for September. Amid dollar volatility caused by rumors of a possible Fed chair replacement and trade negotiations with the EU and China, traders remain cautious, awaiting clarity on inflation and monetary policy
Technically, before falling, gold may form a correction to 3320 (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 3320, 3336, 3347
Support levels: 3293, 3271
If the fundamental background remains unchanged and gold continues to decline towards support at 3293 and break through this level, the breakout could lead to a fall to 3271. However, I do not rule out the possibility that after a sharp decline, a correction to 3320 could form before the fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Holds Above $3340 as Dollar Drops and Fed Uncertainty Rises GOLD OVERVIEW
Gold Holds Gains as Dollar Weakens and Fed Uncertainty Grows
Gold climbed above $3,340 per ounce on Thursday, supported by a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar amid growing dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve.
Adding to market speculation, U.S. President Donald Trump hinted he may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October, potentially reducing Jerome Powell’s influence before his term ends in June and boosting expectations for a more accommodative policy stance.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – XAU/USD
Gold shows bearish potential if the price can stabilize below the pivot level at 3,341.
However, while trading above 3,341, a short-term correction toward 3,364–3,365 is likely before any renewed selling pressure.
Today’s U.S. GDP release may add further volatility and direction to the market.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 3,341
Resistance: 3,364 → 3,373
Support: 3,320 → 3,302
previous idea:
Waiting for data release to rebound and short📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
The current price of 3280 has a higher profit and loss ratio advantage. Technical indicators show that the hourly chart is severely oversold. Combined with the top and bottom conversion of 3300 above, there is a 20-point rebound space in the short term. If the PCE data is in line with the trend, gold prices are expected to quickly regain the 3,300 mark. Note that negative data beyond expectations may cause a brief decline.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3295-3280-3275
TP 3298-3300-3310
SELL 3300-3310
TP 3290-3280-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Is gold in an ascending triangle, or in a wider range?A quick technical piece on TVC:GOLD . What are your thoughts?
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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HelenP. I Gold will rebound up from trend line to $3400 levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After looking at this chart, we can see how the price after a prolonged consolidation inside a large wedge pattern, XAUUSD, approached the ascending trend line again - this line has acted as a key support several times in the past. This time is no exception: the price reacted to it with a bullish bounce. We can see a confluence here — trend line support coincides with the lower boundary of the wedge and the local support zone at 3270 - 3250 points. Now the price is trading above this line, showing early signs of recovery. Given the symmetry of this structure and past behavior, I expect gold to continue rising from current levels. The nearest major obstacle lies in the resistance zone around 3400 - 3420, which acted as a turning point before. That’s why my current goal is set at the 3400 level. If bulls hold the trend line, we may see a steady move toward this key resistance. Given the trend line reaction, wedge structure, and current momentum, I remain bullish and expect further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD - SELL TO $3,288 (1H VIEW)Still looking for a move lower into the $2,787 - $3,276 zone, to take out the June low, like I mentioned to you all a few days ago.
Tomorrow is Friday so be careful as price action could be choppy & use strict risk management.
⭕️Imbalance Left Below $3,300 Psychological Number.
⭕️Either Wave 2 or Wave C Not Complete of Major Impulse Move Down.
⭕️Sellers Holding Below Resistance Zone.
TP: $3,288
GOLD Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,290.38.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,315.54 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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