Weekly Market Analysis - 9th April 2025Here we are with another market analysis. This time, a bit late in the week on a Wednesday, but it is what it is! We have CPI today and PPI tomorrow, so this should be an interesting week. Overall, gut instinct tells me we would be pushing lower for the DXY, but again, i'm not betting anything on it. I trade the candles, I trade the structure, I don't trade guesses.
I hope you find the video analysis useful. Take care this week!
- R2F Trading
Metals
This EURUSD Range Won’t Hold Much Longer – Expect Fireworks🧠 Current Market Context:
EURUSD is trading in a tight compression zone between 1.0935 support and 1.1000 resistance, following a sharp bullish leg from last week. Price is clearly slowing down, with smaller candles and rejection wicks near key levels — a sign of indecision, but also of an incoming breakout.
⚙️ Price Structure Overview:
The pair is forming higher lows but struggling to break above the psychological barrier at 1.1000, suggesting early signs of bullish exhaustion.
1.0935 has acted as a short-term demand zone, with price reacting to it multiple times, creating a clear price floor.
Buyers and sellers are now locked in a tight range — volatility is shrinking, and volume is likely building behind the scenes.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario:
If EURUSD breaks and closes firmly above 1.1000, we could see bullish continuation toward:
Target 1: 1.1035 – previous price reaction level.
Target 2: 1.1070 – resistance from late March.
A strong 1H close above 1.1000 confirms bulls are in control and may trigger stop orders above the round number.
🔽 Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario:
If price fails to break above 1.1000 and breaks below 1.0935, it opens the door for a short-term correction:
Target 1: 1.0900 – strong structure and psychological zone.
Target 2: 1.0860 – last major higher low and liquidity pocket.
A clean breakdown below 1.0935 with momentum would indicate the bulls are losing control.
⏳ Conclusion:
The market is too quiet right now, and that’s never a good sign — this kind of compression usually ends in a sharp impulsive move. Whether it’s a breakout above 1.1000 or a breakdown under 1.0935, a decision is coming.
This is a textbook case of “don’t predict — prepare”. Smart price action traders are watching... and waiting.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-8 : Absolute PerfectionThank you. Thank you to all of you who follow my videos and believe in my research.
The last few days/weeks have been absolutely incredible.
My SPY Cycle Patterns, on average, are about 70-80% accurate over a 12-month span of time. There are things, like news and big events (elections, outside forces, big news) that can disrupt any market trend and completely invalidate my SPY Cycle Patterns.
But, when the markets are generally left to their own accord, the SPY Cycle Patterns play out almost perfectly.
Yes, traders need to learn to adopt a PLAN A vs. PLAN B mentality with my SPY Cycle Patterns.
If Brad is right - this will happen. And if Brad is wrong, the opposite will likely happen.
But, the comments I've been receiving over the past 20+ days have been incredible.
Thank you.
Knowing that I'm reaching a larger group of people now (than when I started doing these videos about a year ago) and knowing that some of you are really seeing some BIG GAINS following my research is simply incredible.
I started doing these videos to prove my research and tools were incredible solutions for traders. But, at the same time, I started doing this to combat some of the scammers that are out there.
In my world, watching people (or hearing from them) after they've been scammed a couple of times is heartbreaking.
Most people put a lot of time and effort into trying to become skilled traders. I get it.
That's why I'm doing this - to show you the right path and to show you that price is the ultimate indicator.
Again, thank you from the bottom of my heart. Keep sending me those success stories and...
GET SOME.
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Trader's Alert: Gold Potential Top, Signal (Bullish Bitcoin)Gold today is making a strong move after hitting a new All-Time High. The current session is red and has the highest volume since November 2024. This is an early signal that can be interpreted as the top being printed. Very early.
Gold peaking can have a strong significance for us Cryptocurrency traders. Gold has been in a strong uptrend since December 2024. Bitcoin peaked and went sideways with bearish tendencies in December 2024. They have been moving in contrary direction. This can mean that a Gold top would produce a Bitcoin bottom.
The Gold peak can mean a change in market dynamics, all markets. Bullish goes bearish and bearish goes bullish.
Gold is still bullish on the weekly timeframe but with a parabolic rise. A parabolic rise tends to end with a sudden crash. A true parabola.
This is a friendly alert to all Gold traders.
XAUUSD is likely to go down.
Confirmation is needed.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
XAUUSD: Strong sell to the bottom of the Channel Up.Gold has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.183, MACD = 28.120, ADX = 55.711) as it made a HH rejection at the top of its 1 year Channel Up and almost reached the 1D MA50. A bounce like November 7th 2024 is expected here and then more selling to the 1D MA100. Take that chance to short and aim for a -9% decline in total (TP = 2,900).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart analysis is for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the idea shown:
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Key Points in the Analysis:
1. Current Price:
XAU/USD is around $2,982.92 at the time of the chart.
2. Trend:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook.
Price has been consistently rejected from the yellow supply zone (around 3,020–3,033).
EMA 200 (blue line) is above the current price, confirming downward momentum.
3. Rejection Zone:
Marked in yellow between 3,020 and 3,033. Labeled as “Reject points”.
Price failed to break above this zone multiple times.
4. Breakout Pattern:
Two descending rectangles highlight bearish continuation patterns.
A bearish flag or wedge is visible, followed by a breakout downward.
5. Target Zone:
Highlighted in yellow between 2,900 and 2,921, with target point at 2,920.615.
Price is expected to move down to this level.
6. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is declining and shows bearish divergence, supporting downside move.
Currently around 39.19, which is closer to oversold territory but still has room to drop.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Area: Rejection near 3,020–3,033 zone
Target: 2,920.615 (highlighted support zone)
Stop Loss: Could be placed above 3,033 (supply zone or EMA 200)
Confluence Factors:
EMA 200 rejection
Bearish RSI divergence
Repeated supply rejection
Breakout from bear flag structures
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAUUSD Breakdown Setup – Gold Bears Eye $2,845 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) has broken below its rising channel structure, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to potential bearish continuation. After a sharp rejection from the $3,167 high, price is currently consolidating just below the psychological $3,000 level, which now acts as resistance.
Key Technical Zones:
Current Price: $2,985
Resistance Zone: $3,000 – $3,005 (key rejection area)
Support Targets:
TP1: $2,923
TP2: $2,844
TP3: $2,832 (swing low)
Bearish Trade Setup:
📉 Entry Zone: If price retests and rejects the $3,000 resistance
📈 Invalidation Level: Break above $3,005
📉 Target Zones:
$2,923 – Previous structure support
$2,844 – $2,832 – Deeper support and channel base
Technical Confluence:
✅ Bearish flag formation following strong impulsive sell-off
✅ Channel break confirms shift in trend
✅ Lower highs and bearish momentum building beneath $3,000
✅ Strong psychological resistance at $3,000
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 8, 2025“Goldie’s mood swings: from drama queen to calculated killer.”
Gold decided to throw a tantrum after NFP and play peek-a-boo with everyone’s SL. But beneath the chaos lies structure—and we speak structure fluently. Let’s map this battlefield with sniper entries and cold logic. No guessing, just high confluence.
📌 Macro Context
🏛️ Geopolitical: Israel-Iran tensions still simmering. Headlines = spikes. Stay nimble.
💰 Fundamentals: Stronger USD post-NFP; Fed tone remains hawkish.
🔍 Technical Environment:
H1/H4 break of bullish structure
D1 printed a brutal engulfing candle
EMA 5/21/50 all pointing down on M30–H1, kissing goodbye to bullish hopes (for now)
“The spike was no accident. Smart money never sleeps.”
📉 Bias: Bearish intraday flow under OB 2980–3000
🔻 SELL SETUPS
🟥 SELL SETUP 1 – OB Rejection Sniper
📍 Entry: 2995–3000
🧠 Why: H1 valid OB + imbalance + bearish CHoCH on M5
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 2915
🛑 SL: 3008
💬 Classic OB rejection. Look for a wick grab then drop on LTF.
🟥 SELL SETUP 2 – Stop Hunt Pop
📍 Entry: 3010–3015
🧠 Why: Liquidity sweep above 3000, into bearish FVG zone
🎯 TP1: 2975
🎯 TP2: 2940
🛑 SL: 3019
💡 Ideal on a fast pump, then M1 bearish structure shift confirmation.
🟥 SELL SETUP 3 – EMA50 Tap & Fade
📍 Entry: 3035–3040
🧠 Why: Confluence of bearish trendline retest + EMA50 (H1)
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 2950
🛑 SL: 3046
🎯 Catch the fakeout bounce. Risk defined. Trend respected.
🟩 BUY SETUPS
🟩 BUY SETUP 1 – Deep Discount Bounce
📍 Entry: 2945–2955
🧠 Why: M30 OB + unmitigated FVG + 0.618 FIB
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 3030
🛑 SL: 2938
💬 Only valid if 2960 gets flushed cleanly with momentum shift.
🟩 BUY SETUP 2 – Retest of Previous Demand
📍 Entry: 2905–2915
🧠 Why: Unmitigated H4 OB zone + previous bounce structure
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 3000
🛑 SL: 2895
📈 Take this if we get heavy stop hunts early and DXY slows.
🟩 BUY SETUP 3 – Extreme Demand Sweep
📍 Entry: 2885–2895
🧠 Why: HTF demand zone + psychological 2900 + imbalance
🎯 TP1: 2950
🎯 TP2: 2980
🛑 SL: 2878
🧠 Perfect for the brave — sniper only on strong bounce confirmation (M5).
⚔️ Key Levels Recap:
🔸 3000–2980: Valid OB resistance zone
🔸 2960–2950: Discount reaction base
🔸 2915 / 2890: Deeper liquidity zones
🔸 3045: SL invalidation on bearish bias
🔸 2880: Final demand for aggressive longs
🧠 Strategy Notes:
Watch for manipulation moves into OB or imbalance before taking entries.
Wait for CHoCH or PA confirmation on M1–M5 before executing.
Don’t chase — sniper setups only.
💬 "Goldie might be emotional, but our setups aren’t."
🗣️ Let’s grow together!
🔥 If this sniper plan gave you clarity, drop a like & follow on TradingView 💬
Let’s grow a strong trading community built on structure, not signals.
Stay sharp & stay kind, legends! 💛
📌 No guessing. No chasing. Just smart money and structure.
PLATINUM Strong Triangle buy opportunityLast time we looked at Platinum (XPTUSD) was more than 2 months ago (January 30, see chart below) getting our expected rise and hitting the 999.50 Target:
This time the price is at the bottom (Support Zone) of the 11-month Descending Triangle pattern, which is a technical buy opportunity. The last Bullish Leg hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, while the one before the 0.786.
As a result we have a minimum 985.00 Target on this emerging Bullish Leg.
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Silver Tested Key Resistance LevelFenzoFx—Silver tested the $30.81 resistance level today. If this holds, the downtrend may resume, targeting $28.75 and possibly $27.73 if selling pressure persists.
A bullish reversal could occur if XAG/USD exceeds and stabilizes above $30.81.
>>> Trade XAG/USD at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker.
GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 2,984.73 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 29.921 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred. And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 30.271.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets with our Goldturn levels playing out and respecting in true level to level fashion.
After completing the Bullish target from the retracement range yesterday; we stated that we were now playing in a bigger range and if 2975 fails to lock and open the swing range, the retracement range should give bounces into our Goldturns above. This played out perfectly, as 2999 and 3015 was tested from the bounce. We will now like to see ema5 lock above 3015 for a stronger confirmation for a continuation into 3034 and potentially into 3055 to test the full range again.
However, if we see the break below 2975 retracement level; it will open the swing range, which always gives us a bigger swing action then our usual weighted level bounces. This is the main difference between the weighted level bounces and our swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148
BEARISH TARGETS
3034 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update 4-8 : Counter Trend Bottom/RallyThis video was created to help you better understand why it is important to WAIT for the SPY Cycle Patterns to setup efficiently.
It is critically important that all of you learn the three basic rules of trading.
1. Never try to force a position/trade. If your research tells you some type of price event/trend is likely - don't jump into the trade too early. Wait for confirmation and wait for price to confirm your analysis is correct.
2. Start with a small position. Never GO BIG on your initial trade. If you are wrong, you can manage the trade with a small win/loss. If price moves in the direction you expect, you can add more once you get confirmation the trend will continue (potentially).
3. BOOK PROFITS early and keep BOOKING PROFITS as the trend continues higher. You can always get back into the trade with CALL/PUT options - but if you don't learn to BOOK PROFITS EARLY (20-30% profits in the trade), then you'll very likely FAIL to build your account efficiently.
(Trust me, #3 is VERY IMPORTANT)
Beyond these three simple concepts, one of the most important aspects of trading with my SPY cycle patterns is to learn to WAIT for the pattern to setup efficiently.
Today is a great example.
The BOTTOM/Rally Start pattern was in Counter-trend mode. Thus, I expected it to be INVERTED - turning it into a TOP/Selloff Start pattern.
In order for that pattern to play out, we needed to see the markets open higher (and potential trend higher for a bit of time), then roll over into a top pattern. After that tops pattern setup, the markets should continue to move into a moderate selloff trend (downward).
Think about it. Were you smart trying to SELL INTO the rally this morning or were you smart to wait for the ROLLOVER and sell into the breakdown trend?
IMO, smart traders waited for the top to setup/confirm and started selling as we got into the breakdown trend phase.
Again, I'm trying to help you learn to become a better trader.
I hope this video helps.
Get some.
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GOLD - Price can continue to decline to $2920 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price moved inside a rising channel, making higher highs and holding above support levels.
Later, Gold broke resistance and continued to rise, reaching the upper boundary of the price channel.
After touching $3076 zone, price turned around and exited the channel with a strong bearish impulse.
Recently, it made a breakout below $3055 level and bounced from the area without a strong upward reaction.
Now Gold trades below resistance zone and holds under broken channel, forming local bearish structure.
In my opinion, Gold can continue to decline and reach $2920 points during the next wave down.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4/8 : Bottom/Rally Start - CounterFirst off, today's pattern is in a COUNTER TREND mode. Think of that as the pattern being INVERTED to the current price trend.
Next, the Bottom/Rally Start pattern is usually a base/bottom type of pattern that prompts a fairly strong bullish/rally phase in price.
This time, because it is inverted (in Counter-trend mode) and is forming within the broad consolidation phase of the current EPP pattern, I believe this Bottom/Rally Start pattern will really be a Top/Selloff start type of pattern.
Where price will find resistance in early trading, form a rollover top, and start to move back downward towards the 500-505 level on the SPY.
I don't believe this downward price move will attempt to break below 480-485 today. I believe today's move will be a moderate pullback in the trend.
Although any BIG news could disrupt the current support near $480, so be aware that any big news event could crush the markets (again) and send the SPY trying to retest the $480 support level.
Gold and Silver appear to be basing - perfect. I'm watching for Metals to really start to reflect the FEAR in the markets and rally above $3200 (Gold)/$39 (Silver).
BTCUSD appears trapped in the breakdown stage of the current EPP Consolidation phase and the new CRADLE pattern. No matter how I try to identify if I'm wrong with BTCUSD, I keep seeing the breakdown as the more dominant trend.
Get some.
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Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Wave 1 'Impulse Move' has moved very nicely to the downside & more is yet to come. So far the Wave 1 sell off has consisted of a 2,100 PIP move to the downside.
I'm now waiting on a Wave 2 correction of some sort, weather that's a 'Simple 3 Sub-Wave' or 'Complex 5 Sub-Wave' correction. During this correction I can enter more sell positions on behalf of my Gold Fund investors.
Silver Holds Ground as Markets Eye Fed CutsSilver hovered around $30 per ounce on Monday, staying volatile as markets reacted to Trump’s escalating trade war. The metal dropped 16% over three sessions as recession fears sparked a broad selloff, with traders liquidating metals to cover losses. China retaliated with tariffs after the US imposed levies on all countries, with others expected to follow. Trump’s tariffs excluded copper, gold, energy, and certain minerals. Despite the slump, silver may regain support as markets bet on more Fed rate cuts this year.
Technically first resistance level is located at 30.90. In case of its breach 31.40 and 32.50 could be monitored respectively. On the downside, the first support is at 29.00. 28.40 and 27.50 would become the next support levels if this level is passed.
Gold Jumps on Fresh Trade War WorriesGold rose above $2,995/oz on Tuesday, rebounding from a 4-week low as trade war fears fueled haven demand. Trump threatened a 50% duty on China starting Wednesday unless it drops its 34% tariffs, while the EU proposed 25% counter-tariffs on U.S. goods. Markets await Fed minutes (Wed), CPI (Thu), and PPI (Fri) for policy clues. Despite recent losses, gold is still up over 14% YTD.
Key resistance is at $3,050, followed by $3,085 and $3,105. Support stands at $2,956, then $2,930 and $2830.