The short-selling idea remains unchanged, defend 3355📰 News information:
1. Powell responds to White House issues
2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs?
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold closed with a long lower shadow on the daily line yesterday and closed with a doji on the hourly line. In the short term, gold may continue to rise and is expected to touch the 3355 line. If gold cannot break through and stabilize above 3355, then gold may fall back. We can still consider shorting, and the target can be 3330. If the trend is as expected, it may form the embryonic form of a head and shoulders bottom. On the contrary, if the gold price breaks through 3355, stop loss on short positions and pay attention to the high resistance of 3375-3385.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3355
TP 3330-3320
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Metals
Bear-Trap armed: Gold ticks 4 / 5 boxes - waiting for the spark
1️⃣ Why the 2020 déjà-vu is EVEN louder
2025 (now) 2020 (pre-rally)
TradingView ideas still bearish 💬
> 70 % 60 % bearish
Managed-money net-longs ≈ 115 k
(-35 % from Apr) –25 % from peak
+ $741 m PM-ETF inflow, first after months Record IN-flows
G/S ratio 87 (< 90) Fell to 95
S&P keeps making highs. Ditto
2️⃣ What’s still different
Real 10-y TIPS yield +0.7 % vs -1 % in 2020 → smaller monetary tail-wind.
Gold is already at an infl-adj. record – expect a short & sharp squeeze, not a fresh multi-year super-cycle (yet).
3️⃣ Checklist – updated
Signal Status 18 Jul Comment
———————————————————
Gold DAILY close ≥ $3 200–3 250 YES – $3 354 ✔
G/S ratio < 90 YES – 87 ✔
CFTC net-longs < 150 k YES – ~115 k ✔
ETF flows turn positive. YES – $741 m ✔
Equity stress (VIX > 25 or SPX −5 %) NOT YET – VIX 16.5 ✖
4 / 5 boxes = 99 % primed. One spark missing.
4️⃣ What could light the fuse
Date Potential trigger Why it matters
22 Jul Mega-tech Q2 earnings (NVDA/AMD) Any guidance miss → SPX wobble
30 Jul FOMC Fed holds but sounds dovish USD dump + yield spike risk
1 Aug Trump s “reciprocal” duties Imported-inflation scare → VIX pop
Early Aug. DXY crashes < 96 in < 5 days. Disorderly USD slide = funding stress
Hit ≥ 2 of: DXY < 96, VIX > 25, SPX -5 % or HY-spread +75 bp → final ✔.
Bottom line
The bear-trap thesis aged well: sentiment, positioning, ETFs, and G/S ratio have already clicked bullish.
Only equity-market stress is missing. A fast USD slide or a tariff shock right after a neutral Fed is the most likely detonator.
Stay nimble: Collect premium inside $3 250-3 400 while volatility sleeps – but keep alarms on VIX 25 and DXY 96. One red headline could still launch the squeeze.
Disclaimer: Educational opinion, not investment advice. Futures & CFD trading is risky – do your own research and consult a professional.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for July 18Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3382, support: 3310
Four-hour chart resistance: 3375, support: 3332
One-hour chart resistance: 3365, support: 3345.
From a technical perspective, the price of gold has recently formed a wide range of fluctuations in the range of 3310-3365 US dollars, reflecting the unclear market direction. At present, the short-term moving average of gold is supported at 3332, and other periodic indicators are also in a bullish arrangement. The overall decline at the hourly level is limited, and the bulls still have the momentum to rebound.
3310 on the daily chart constitutes a key support. If it falls below, it may fall to the July low of 3287-3282. On the upside, if the resistance level of 3366 US dollars is effectively broken, it may trigger short stop losses and push the gold price back to the 3400 US dollar mark. Pay attention to the resistance of 3366-3377 above and the support of 3345/3332 below
BUY: 3345near
SELL: 3365near
Gold Eyes 3365 – Breakout or Rejection?GOLD | Technical Outlook
Gold maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above 3355, aiming to test the 3365 resistance level.
However, signs of rejection at 3365 may emerge, especially if the 4H candle closes below this level. In that case, expect a period of sideways consolidation between 3365 and 3342.
A confirmed 1H candle close above 3365 would signal bullish continuation toward 3373, with an extended target at 3395.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3355
• Resistance: 3365 / 3375 / 3395
• Support: 3342 / 3333
Outlook:
• Bullish above 3355
• Breakout above 3365 confirms further upside
• Rejection at 3365 may lead to short-term range-bound movement
Bottom-out rebound, 3338 short orders enteredYesterday, the gold market was affected by Trump's remarks about firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. After briefly falling below 3320, the price quickly rose by nearly 60 points, reaching a high of 3377. Trump later clarified that the news was false, triggering a gold sell-off, and the market rose and fell. As of Thursday's European session, gold prices fell back to around 3320. After a rapid rise and fall in the US market on Wednesday, the downward trend continued on Thursday, with the US market hitting a low of 3310 before rebounding. Judging from the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands failed to open downward, indicating that the current market lacks continuity and the overall market remains in a volatile pattern. In a volatile market, it is recommended to pay attention to key support and resistance levels for high-selling and low-buying operations. The upper resistance range is currently at 3343-3351, and the important watershed support level below is at 3310.
OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD! Pre-Market Analysis For Friday July 18th!In this video, we'll present pre-market analysis and best setups for Friday July 18th.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Silver bullish above 3770The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3770 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3770 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4000 – initial resistance
4077 – psychological and structural level
4160 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3770 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3727 – minor support
3685 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 3770. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TradeIdea – Gold (XAUUSD)Looks like a bullish breakout is brewing!
✅ Price has broken out of the descending channel
✅ Retested the global trendline support
✅ Reclaimed the 200-day moving average (MA200)
✅ Momentum indicator surged above the 100 mark
✅ Visible imbalance zone above — potential target area
📌 If price consolidates above $3350, consider a long setup:
🎯 Target 1: $3370
🎯 Target 2: $3375
🧠 Watch for confirmation before entry — structure and momentum alignment is key.
Gold bullish breakout supported at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
FX Setup of the Day: EURAUD SELL ZONEHey traders 👋
📌 SELL / EURAUD – Technical Breakdown
🟢 Entry: 1.78579
🎯 Target 1: 1.78304
🎯 Target 2: 1.78026
🎯 Target 3: 1.77636
🔴 Stop Loss: 1.79039
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00
I’ve carefully validated these levels and crafted a clean, focused analysis for you.
Every like seriously fuels my drive to produce more top-tier content 📈
Your support genuinely means a lot to me.
Thanks from the heart to everyone showing love 💙
🎯 Clear targets, solid strategy.
🤝 Let’s move forward with logic and discipline.
DeGRAM | GOLD correction from the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Repeated rejections at the channel mid-band (3 346) and the higher swing-highs marked by red arrows form a descending wedge inside the bigger rising channel.
● Price has slipped back under the intraday up-trend and is tracking a fresh 30 m falling channel; a close below 3 328 completes the bear setup and points to the lower channel rail / former bounce base at 3 296.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US retail-sales surprise (+0.5 % m/m) lifted 2-yr Treasury yields while Fed’s Daly warned “inflation progress isn’t enough”, reviving dollar demand and capping bullion.
✨ Summary
Short 3 340-3 345; sustained trade beneath 3 328 opens 3 296 → 3 255. Thesis void on a 30 m close above 3 355.
-------------------
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Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected ) what do you think before Price Move , GOLD Bullish or Bearish & why ?
lets spread the Knowledge
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3339 Zone
🩸 Bullish Reversal : 3311Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
XAUUSDDear traders,
In my previous analysis, I mentioned that gold could extend its short-term decline after being rejected from the range boundary. However, that bearish structure was quickly invalidated following a sharp upside move, signaling a potential trend reversal. If this momentum continues, I anticipate that price may soon reach the levels of 3,355 and 3,365.
Feel free to leave a comment if you have any thoughts to add. Good luck!
EURUSD long Lion SETUPhello everyone
the price is in a strong demand area
as liquidity has been withdrawn
and the fair value gap has been filled
but we are waiting for formation pattern on a smaller frame in order to enter an upward wave.
we also have resistance area
so in short. I expect an upside go upppp
Silver Rebounds Toward $38 as Dollar EasesSilver rebounded toward $38 per ounce on Friday, recovering from a two-day decline as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields eased. The move reflected shifting sentiment on Fed policy and trade conditions after earlier losses sparked by inflation data that reduced hopes for near-term rate cuts.
U.S. stock futures edged higher following record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, driven by strong retail sales, lower jobless claims, and optimism in AI-related tech stocks after Taiwan Semiconductor’s positive forecast. On monetary policy, Fed officials remain divided: Mary Daly expects two rate cuts this year, while Adriana Kugler urges caution due to tariff-driven inflation. President Trump reinforced trade tensions by sending letters to over 20 partners setting new tariffs between 20% and 40%.
In corporate updates, United Airlines expects stronger earnings in the second half of 2025, and Chevron signaled higher future cash flow as production in its top U.S. oil field nears a plateau.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 37.20.
Stronger U.S. Data Pressures Gold PricesGold remained below $3,340 per ounce on Friday and was on track for its first weekly decline in three weeks. The metal faced pressure after stronger U.S. data, including a rebound in retail sales and a sharp drop in jobless claims, reduced the immediate need for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Fed Governor Adriana Kugler backed keeping rates steady for now, pointing to economic resilience, while San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly maintained her outlook for two cuts in 2025.
Resistance is at $3,370, while support holds at $3,320.
Gold prices fall in the short term – What's next?Hello everyone, what’s your take on gold?
Today, gold continues to attract short-term selling pressure as USD buying momentum returns and expectations for Fed rate cuts diminish. On the other hand, an overall positive risk sentiment is also seen as another factor weighing on the precious metal.
At the time of writing, gold is trading around the EMA 34 and 89 near 3,336 USD. With no major updates expected, the market is likely to remain steady throughout the day.
From a technical perspective, the bearish trend persists, with prices capped below the trendline. A series of lower highs and lower lows could push XAUUSD to retest deeper levels, potentially reaching the 3,300 USD mark. However, lingering trade uncertainties may limit losses for this safe-haven asset.
This is just my view on the market, not financial advice.
Gold's Short-Term Decline: What's Next?Hello everyone, what do you think about gold?
Today, gold continues its short-term downtrend. After new data was released at the end of yesterday’s trading session, the USD rose by 0.3%, and U.S. Treasury yields also increased, reducing the appeal of gold. Additionally, the latest unemployment claims data shows improvement in the U.S. economy, which has contributed to the drop in the precious metal.
As of writing, gold is trading around the EMA 34, 89 levels at 3,336 USD. With the recent news, the market is expected to maintain its current stance throughout the day, as no new significant updates are expected.
From a technical standpoint, the downtrend remains in place, with prices continuing to be capped below the trendline. The series of lower highs and lows could likely lead XAUUSD to test lower levels, with the possibility of reaching the 3,300 USD mark.
What do you think about the price of gold today? Let us know in the comments!
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,337.24
Target Level: 3,283.55
Stop Loss: 3,372.93
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold (XAU/USD) Premium Technical Outlook - 18 July 2024As gold continues to trade near record highs, the market’s current price action around $3,336–3,340 demands a sharp, disciplined technical view. This premium analysis combines price action, Fibonacci techniques, institutional concepts (ICT and Smart Money Concepts), and advanced supply–demand dynamics to identify actionable trade opportunities.
We anchor on the 4-hour timeframe for directional bias and zoom into the 1-hour chart for precision intraday setups.
📊 4‑Hour Timeframe: Structure and Directional Bias
Gold remains in a clear bullish structure on the 4-hour chart, as evidenced by sustained higher highs and higher lows. The most recent bullish Break of Structure (BOS) occurred above the $3,320–3,325 level, confirming buyers’ control for now.
Currently, price hovers near equilibrium at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, testing prior resistance as potential support. This zone aligns with a small fair value gap (FVG), reinforcing it as an area of interest for smart money participants.
Key 4H Levels to Watch
Level Significance
$3,360–3,365 Major supply zone & bearish OB
$3,350–3,355 Minor resistance
$3,337–3,340 61.8% Fib / equilibrium
$3,330–3,333 BOS retest & key support
$3,300–3,310 Strong demand zone & bullish OB
$3,285–3,295 Secondary demand zone below BOS
The directional bias on 4H remains neutral-to-bullish, contingent on price holding above $3,300. A clean break and close above $3,360 could open a path to $3,400–3,420, while a sustained drop below $3,300 would mark a change of character (CHOCH) and shift bias to bearish.
🪙 Institutional Concepts in Play
Order Blocks (OB): Strong bullish OB sits at $3,300–3,310, while a bearish OB dominates at $3,355–3,365.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): On the bullish side, $3,300–3,315 remains unfilled; on the bearish side, $3,330–3,345 caps rallies.
Liquidity Grabs: Dips toward $3,295–3,300 appear to sweep sell-side liquidity, while spikes above $3,360 tap into resting buy stops.
The area around $3,330 remains a key battleground where smart money likely accumulates positions before the next impulsive move.
⏳ 1‑Hour Timeframe: Intraday Trade Setups
On the 1-hour chart, the market is compressing between a bullish order block and bearish supply. Price action shows evidence of short-term liquidity sweeps and reactions to imbalances, offering two clear scenarios for intraday traders.
📈 Setup A – Bullish Zone Bounce
Entry: Buy limit at $3,332–3,333
Stop-loss: Below $3,328
Take-Profit 1: $3,345
Take-Profit 2: $3,355
Rationale: Confluence of 4H demand, Fib retracement, BOS retest, and 1H bullish order block.
📉 Setup B – Supply Rejection Short
Entry: Sell limit at $3,355–3,360
Stop-loss: Above $3,365
Take-Profit 1: $3,337
Take-Profit 2: $3,330
Rationale: Price into 4H bearish OB, aligning with supply and stop runs above recent highs.
🌟 The Golden Setup
Among these, the Bullish Zone Bounce at $3,332–3,333 stands out as the highest-probability trade. This level represents maximum confluence:
Retest of 4H BOS.
Bullish OB on 1H.
61.8% Fibonacci support.
Unmitigated fair value gap.
This setup offers a favorable risk–reward profile with clear invalidation and multiple upside targets.
🔎 Summary Table
Bias Key Support Zones Key Resistance Zones
Neutral-to-bullish $3,300–3,310, $3,330–3,333 $3,350–3,355, $3,360–3,365
Intraday Setups Entry Zone Stop-Loss Take-Profit Targets
Bullish Zone Bounce 🌟 $3,332–3,333 < $3,328 $3,345 / $3,355
Supply Rejection Short $3,355–3,360 > $3,365 $3,337 / $3,330
📣 Final Word
Gold maintains a structurally bullish outlook above $3,300, with strong institutional footprints evident in the $3,300–3,333 demand zones. Traders should remain vigilant around $3,360, where sell-side liquidity and supply are concentrated.
The Golden Setup — a bullish bounce from $3,332 — offers the best confluence and statistical edge intraday.
Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better EntriesIf you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement.
In this post, you’ll learn:
What Fibonacci retracement is
Why it works
How to use it on your charts (step-by-step)
Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market
🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?:
Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback.
It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets.
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number.
The key Fibonacci levels traders use are:
23.6%
38.2%
50%
61.8%
78.6%
These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following.
💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level:
💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback
What it indicates:
Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum.
Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend.
Best action:
Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders.
Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation.
💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest
What it indicates:
Healthy pullback in a trending market.
Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in.
Best action:
Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups.
Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades.
Stop Loss 0.618 Level
💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground
What it indicates:
Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move.
Market is undecided, can go either way.
Best action:
Wait for additional confirmation before entering.
Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone.
Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward.
Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels
💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio”
What it indicates:
Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal.
High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions.
Best action:
Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles).
Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward.
Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves).
Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market.
Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level
💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone
What it indicates:
Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses.
Risk of trend failure is higher.
Best action:
Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence.
Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned.
Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets.
Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels
⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders:
Day trading:
Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts.
They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations.
Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders.
However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals.
Swing trading:
Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks.
They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades.
Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective.
🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?:
Fibonacci levels work because of:
Mass psychology – many traders use them
Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines
Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones
It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly.
🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step):
Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run.
✏️ Follow These Steps:
Identify the swing low (start of move)
Identify the swing high (end of move)
Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move)
The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc.
These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them.
🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later)
Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding.
📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example:
1.First we Identify the direction of the market:
2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point:
Lets zoom in a bit:
Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence:
Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high:
This will act as our entry point for the trade.
3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels:
Stop Loss:
For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations
Take Profit:
For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits.
Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example:
This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow.
After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point.
As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction.
🔻 In a downtrend:
Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback.
XAU/USD Example:
As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well.
⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy:
✅ Always use Fib in confluence with:
Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows)
Key support/resistance zones
Volume or momentum indicators
Candle Patterns
Elliott Waves, etc.
❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees.
📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily)
💡 Final Thought
Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react.
When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike.
🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets.
💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!