Gold Move 16.05.2025Suggested Sell Signal Criteria:
Price breaks and closes below the 3190-3196 zone.
On a retest back up to this zone, look for bearish candlestick patterns such as:
Bearish engulfing
Pin bar rejection
Shooting star
Confirm with volume increase on the break and retest.
Use stop loss just above the broken support (now resistance).
Target the lower support zone near 3120-3130 for take profit.
Metals
GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,202.52.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,258.41 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold - New ATH in the making?Overall Market Context
This daily timeframe chart of Gold (XAU/USD) reflects a textbook example of a bullish retracement within a broader upward trend. The price has recently pulled back after printing a significant swing high, which is currently the all-time high (ATH). This retracement brings Gold into a high-probability reversal zone, aligning several technical elements that point toward potential bullish continuation.
Retracement Into A Confluence Zone
Price has retraced into a key technical area defined by the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.618–0.65) and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). The golden pocket is widely regarded as one of the most reactive retracement levels in Fibonacci analysis, where institutional participants often enter or scale into positions. The addition of an FVG overlapping this zone strengthens its importance. An FVG is typically created by an aggressive move that leaves behind inefficient price action or unmitigated imbalances, and in this case, it represents an area where demand previously overwhelmed supply.
The combination of the golden pocket and FVG creates a strong demand zone, from which a bullish reaction is expected if the overall macro sentiment remains supportive.
Bullish Reaction And Confirmation
Price wicked slightly below the FVG, likely triggering liquidity stops resting beneath prior swing lows before showing signs of a strong bounce. This type of price action—known as a liquidity grab or "spring"—is often a precursor to significant reversals when it aligns with higher timeframe bullish order flow.
The current bounce from this zone suggests that smart money may have accumulated long positions here. If price continues to hold above this zone, it confirms a successful defense of this key area and increases the probability of bullish continuation. The market is showing signs of shifting from a retracement phase back into an impulsive phase.
Break Of Structure And Targeting Buy-Side Liquidity
The next key area of interest is the buy-side liquidity resting above the most recent swing high, labeled as the "BSL" (Buy-Side Liquidity). If price breaches this level, it will confirm a break of market structure to the upside and signal a continuation of the overall bullish trend.
Such a break would invalidate the idea of deeper retracement and instead align with an impulsive leg that could target the previous ATH—and potentially exceed it. This makes the current zone a critical pivot point in determining whether gold resumes its long-term bullish trajectory.
New All-Time High Scenario
Should the BSL be breached and momentum maintained, price is likely to head toward printing a new all-time high. From a psychological and technical standpoint, the break of an ATH often leads to price discovery, where resistance is minimal, and price action becomes more volatile and parabolic.
Traders and institutions monitoring historical highs often front-run such moves or aggressively participate once confirmed, driving increased volume and volatility. This behavior can lead to rapid upside extension, especially when supported by macroeconomic narratives such as inflation hedging, geopolitical tensions, or declining real yields—all traditionally bullish catalysts for gold.
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3209.1
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3224.3
My Stop Loss - 3201.4
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Global gold rises over 1% as the US dollar and US economic data Global gold OANDA:XAUUSD rises over 1% as the US dollar and US economic data weaken
Gold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday (May 15), supported by a weaker US dollar and weak US economic data, while Russian President Vladimir Putin’s absence from peace talks prompted some safe-haven buying.
At the close of trading on May 15, spot gold $TVC:XAU-AMEX:USD contracts gained 1.2% to $3,226.6 per ounce, after touching a more than one-month low earlier in the session. Gold FX:XAUUSD futures advanced nearly 1% to $3,218.70 per ounce.
The US dollar index fell 0.1%, making gold, which is priced in the greenback, less expensive for holders of other currencies.
Data showed that the US Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly declined in April, while retail sales growth slowed. Earlier this week, a report showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose less than forecast in April.
The market is pricing in the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September. Lower interest rates boost gold’s appeal as it is a non-yielding asset.
Thursday’s data added to the chances of a Fed rate cut, with more dovish expectations forming in the market.
Hanzo | Gold 15 min : Bullish Break– Next Move is confirmed 🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
Bullish After Break Out : 3208
Break Out Done
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Strong bullish reaction from a refined demand zone.
☄️Entry based on Smart Money Concepts: Break of structure + order block confirmation.
☄️Confluence with higher time frame support or key level.
☄️Bullish engulfing / displacement candle shows clear intent.
☄️Market in premium-to-discount transition zone.
Silver Retreats on Semiconductor TensionsSilver pulled back to around $32.50 in Friday’s Asian session, giving up part of its recent gains following reports that the U.S. plans to blacklist several Chinese semiconductor firms. Given silver’s integral role in electronics and chip manufacturing, the news weighed on sentiment.
Demand for precious metals has also weakened with easing trade tensions, as the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs, cutting U.S. duties from 145% to 30% and China’s from 125% to 10%. Despite this, silver found support from a weakening U.S. dollar, which followed soft economic data reinforcing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Powell, however, warned that persistent supply shocks could complicate inflation control moving forward.
Resistance begins at $32.50, with further levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
Gold Slides Toward $3,220Gold fell to approximately $3,220 per ounce, on track for a weekly loss of more than 3% as appetite for the precious metal diminished with easing global trade tensions. The 90-day tariff truce between the U.S. and China reduced fears of a drawn-out trade war, while geopolitical concerns also eased with a stable India-Pakistan ceasefire.
Talks between Russia and Ukraine are losing momentum. Although soft U.S. inflation data has reinforced expectations for at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, Fed Chair Powell cautioned that future inflation may be volatile due to persistent supply shocks.
Key support is located at $3,120, followed by $3,030 and $2,956. Resistance levels are seen at $3,250, then $3,300 and $3,350.
Gold is under pressure as the US dollar strengthensGold $TVC:XAU-AMEX:USD is under pressure as the US dollar strengthens and trade optimism spreads across the market. Prices slipped slightly early Wednesday as investors took profits after a rise from last week’s lows. Although US inflation came in lower than expected, the Fed’s lack of plans to cut interest rates anytime soon keeps gold OANDA:XAUUSD from gaining momentum. At the same time, optimism about new trade agreements between the US, China, the UK, and other countries, along with hopes for peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, are reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technically, the overall trend looks bearish. There’s no significant rebound from the support zone, indicating that selling pressure still dominates. Currently, prices are consolidating sideways before potentially testing the 3200 level.
Key resistance levels are at 3243, 3257, and 3269, while support is concentrated around 3222 and 3200.
If prices continue to fluctuate within the current range and test the 3222-3200 support zone, the downtrend is likely to persist in the short to medium term. However, it’s important to note that the market may create short-term “short squeezes” around resistance zones to challenge traders before prices fall further.
Wishing everyone successful and effective trading!
XAUUSD remains bearish unless it breaks 3265🗞News side:
1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan.
2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today
📈Technical aspects:
Today's opening correction is due to technical repair and adjustment, which is why I shorted. The support of 3200-3210 is of great significance to the short-term trend. If it can be supported here again, it may further promote the upward expansion space. However, after the rebound in the morning Asian session, it did not break through the 3265 line. On the contrary, the bulls began to weaken. Today is Friday, and the market is not expected to show a unilateral strong attitude. It will be treated as a shock during the day. Before breaking through 3265 above, we can short at a small level during the intraday rebound. Short-term operation suggestions, temporarily look at 3235-3240 on the upper side, and look at the support of 3210-3200 on the lower side.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSDTrade Type: Long (Buy Position)
Entry Point: 3,221.500
Stop Loss (S/L): 3,213.500
Take Profits (T/P):
First Target: 3,230.000
Second Target: 3,240.000
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
S/L at 3,213.500 and Entry at 3,221.500 → Risk = 8 points.
First TP at 3,230.000 → Reward = 8.5 points → RRR ≈ 1:1
Second TP at 3,240.000 → Reward = 18.5 points → RRR ≈ 2.3:1
GOLD falls to support $3,200, recovery momentum weakensOANDA:XAUUSD rebounded sharply on Thursday's trading day and weakened rapidly in the first half of the Asian trading session today, Friday (May 16). Gold is currently trading at $3,210/oz, equivalent to a decrease of $30 on the day, down about 0.93% as of the time of writing.
OANDA:XAUUSD accelerated their recovery on Thursday as weak US economic data fueled expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and weighed on the US dollar. At the same time, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s absence from Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Turkey also prompted some safe-haven buying.
Information surrounding the Russia-Ukraine talks is brought to readers through brief comments during the day.
Data released on Thursday showed that the US producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly fell in April and retail sales growth slowed significantly, while the consumer price index (CPI) for April released earlier in the week rose less than expected. The data showed that the US PPI unexpectedly fell 0.5% month-over-month in April, while the market expected a growth of 0.2%; the core PPI fell 0.4%, also below the expected growth of 0.3%. Meanwhile, US retail sales increased slightly by 0.1% month-over-month in April, slowing significantly from March's 1.7%.
Thursday’s data provided more room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and market expectations to become more dovish. Gold itself does not generate interest rates, and when rates fall, it increases the appeal of gold.
However, the impact from the data was not sustainable enough to generate a stronger rally, while new developments around the Russia-Ukraine talks are showing a positive trend. Gold is not benefiting from a risk-off environment.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart in the short term, gold is still in a position to decline in the short term with pressure from the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement point as the nearest resistance. Meanwhile, in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of folding as it retests the 50 level, which is noted as the closest resistance in terms of momentum to the current position of the RSI.
For now, the downside is also limited by the $3,200 base level, which is currently the nearest support and once it is broken below, gold is likely to continue its decline with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, which is the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, rather than $3,120.
For the day, gold still has a bearish technical outlook with the current positions listed below.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163 – $3,120
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3286 - 3284⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
→Take Profit 1 3278
↨
→Take Profit 2 3272
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3159 - 3161⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3155
→Take Profit 1 3167
↨
→Take Profit 2 3173
Can a V-shaped reversal continue the bull market?🗞News side:
1. Hamas official: If a permanent ceasefire is achieved, control of the Gaza Strip can be handed over
2. Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rates are no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to fall to 2.2% in April.
3. Russia and Ukraine reached a ceasefire at the technical level
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday, the gold price staged a V-shaped reversal and once rose to close near 3244. Although the technical indicators in the hourly chart show a favorable situation, there has been no correction in the current round of gold price increase, and the rise is slow. In addition, the RSI has entered the overbought area, so we need to be alert to the possibility of gold price correction today. Focus on the 3250-3260 resistance on the top and the 3210-3200 support on the bottom.
SELL 3245-3250 TP 3210-3200
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.2564, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3266.64, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 3118.01, below a swing low support.
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XAUUSD STRUCTURAL ZONE PLAN – MAY 16, 2025🔍 XAUUSD STRUCTURAL ZONE PLAN – MAY 16, 2025
No SL/TP – Only Clean POIs to Watch Like a Sniper.
🟥 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 ZONA 1: 3285–3295
→ Daily OB + extreme liquidity pocket
Clean unmitigated OB on Daily
Sweep risk above prior LH + inducement layer
If price gets here, we watch for top-out or violent rejection
🧠 Ultimate bull trap if news spikes high
🔻 ZONA 2: 3265–3275
→ H4 + H1 OB confluence
Reactive supply zone
FVG left unfilled + imbalance
Strong zone for reversal traps post-news
🧠 Ideal for NY session liquidity grab
🔻 ZONA 3: 3240–3252
→ Active intraday premium FVG
NY high sweep + imbalance fill
Close to 61.8% retrace from swing
Major inducement area
🧠 Watch for rejection behavior after sharp move up
🔻 ZONA 4: 3228–3235
→ M15 OB zone, micro trap
Minor supply zone inside HTF FVG
If rejected early in London, it can lead to NY sweep reentry
🧠 Less reliable alone – use with structure break
🟩 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟢 ZONA 1: 3165–3172
→ H4 demand zone retest
Key CHoCH area on H4
Previously unmitigated base
Inside 50–61.8% Fibo range
🧠 Best zone for continuation if structure remains bullish
🟢 ZONA 2: 3140–3150
→ M30 OB + breaker zone
Below liquidity shelf
If we see a sharp drop, this becomes a must-watch bounce zone
🧠 Entry only if confirmed M5 BOS/CHoCH post-sweep
🟢 ZONA 3: 3110–3125
→ Extreme demand zone
Daily structure sweep zone
Oversold + full mitigation level
Last line of defense before HTF shift
🧠 Deep discount – don’t enter without confirmation
🔐 STRUCTURE TRACKER – MAY 16
Level Type Price Range Description
🔼 Premium Roof 3285–3295 Daily OB cap, max squeeze trap
🔼 Supply Layer 3265–3275 Rejection zone – spike entry risk
🔼 Trap Area 3240–3252 NY fakeout risk zone
🔼 Micro OB 3228–3235 Intraday trap area
🔽 Reclaim Demand 3165–3172 Strong CHoCH demand zone
🔽 Break & Retest 3140–3150 OB + breaker base
🔽 Liquidity Sweep 3110–3125 Deep discount reaction zone
🎯 Final Note:
Don’t force setups. These are sniper POIs — if no structure break or CHoCH → no trade.
We don’t chase candles. We trap impulsive traders and ride the reaction.
News will hit. Flow will spike. Stay reactive.
GOLD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,222.40 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,193.95.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS 🔥 XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS & PURE GOLD FLOW INCOMING 🔥
No setups. No predictions. Just sniper vision + POIs that matter.
– by GoldFxMinds
🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – POWELL DAY: LIQUIDITY MODE ON
Tomorrow, May 15, markets lock eyes on U.S. Unemployment Claims + Powell Speech at 15:30 (UTC+2).
After CPI’s downside surprise and increasing signs of a softer Fed tone, volatility is guaranteed.
We are in a recalibration phase, with panic selling possibly pausing... but not over — yet.
Expect:
Fakeouts before confirmation
Traps near equilibrium
Massive liquidity sweeps NY session
🧭 STRUCTURE FLOW – MULTI-TF ALIGNMENT
TF Bias Status
D1 🔻 Bearish CHoCH confirmed + BOS → rejection from 3455 FVG, now testing deep discount.
H4 🔻 Bearish LL formed. BOS at 3220 confirmed. Price now in strong OB at 3180–3174.
H1 ⚖️ Neutral–Bullish CHoCH + consolidation under 3200 = decision zone.
M15–M5 🔼 Corrective Bullish BOS from 3174 low. FVG + OB reaction at 3184–3187. No trend reversal yet.
⚡️ BIAS & SESSION EXPECTATIONS
Session Bias Notes
Asia Flat–Reactive Expect low-volume bounce/consolidation.
London Neutral–Bullish If price holds 3174 and reclaims 3187, possible pre-news pump.
NY Pre-News Bullish Bias Only if 3200–3205 breaks clean with structure shift.
Post-News Volatility Trap Zone Eyes on sweep + reversal OR fakeout > continuation. No early entries.
📍 ZONE MAP – EYES ON POIs ONLY
🟢 BUY WATCH AREAS (Do Not Buy Until Confirmed)
Zone Price Reason
🟢3180–3174 Deep Reactive Demand -Active OB that gave current bounce. Watch CHoCH on M5–M15 if price retests.
🟢3165–3150 Sweep Zone -Clean SL liquidity zone. If swept with reversal → sniper entry confirmed.
3125–3110 Final Demand POI-Deep OB + FVG unmitigated on H4. Perfect for fakeout spike if 3165 breaks.
🔴 SELL WATCH ZONES (Trap Reversal Areas)
Zone Price Reason
3200–3205 Bull Trap Supply-BOS zone from May 13. If we reject here → continuation down confirmed.
🔴3235–3245 NY Spike Trap→OB + FVG confluence. If spiked after news, look for rejection wick → sell setup.
🔴3285–3295 Final Premium Cap→ D1 OB supply. Only if price explodes post-news → expect top-out or massive rejection.
🔐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – LEVEL TRACKER
Type Level Status
Weak low 3174 Hit & reacting. Confirmed bounce.
Key invalidation SL zone 3165 Critical. If broken → 3125–3110 in play.
Bullish reclaim trigger 3200–3205 Flip this = momentum back to buyers short-term.
Trap zone 3235–3245 Watch for wick trap after Powell.
Final rejection cap 3285–3295 Premium OB. No further upside expected beyond here.
🧩 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK FOR TOMORROW – NO SETUPS, ONLY SMART REACTIONS
DO NOT BUY blindly under 3200 — structure is still bearish until flipped.
If 3165 sweeps → wait for CHoCH M5/M15 and reclaim. Otherwise, let it drop toward 3125–3110.
If price pumps into 3205 before Powell → sell trap zone active.
If price pumps into 3235–3245 post-news → ideal premium reversal zone.
🎯 FINAL NOTES
This isn’t a day for basic setups. It’s a liquidity game.
We’re in sniper territory, and gold’s volatility is about to hit full throttle.
So tomorrow:
Track these POIs, not bias.
Let the market show you its cards.
React only to clean CHoCH or BOS.
💬 Comment below if you’re watching the reclaim… or waiting to slap the trap.
We’ll post a post-Powell recap + directional update.
No fear. No hope. Just levels.
— GoldFxMinds
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 32.513 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 32.783 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE Hey Everyone,
Another productive session on the charts, with our strategy of buying dips delivering solid results once again.
This is a follow up on our 4-hour chart setup. The week began with our initial bearish targets being achieved, each confirmed by decisive candle body closures. Additionally, momentum conditions allowed for EMA5 lock confirmations at key levels, reinforcing the validity of the moves.
Today, price action tested the secondary swing range following a confirmed break and EMA5 lock below the primary swing zone. This led to a clean retracement and a reaction from the secondary swing range, with price covering the full range of the swing, a strong technical sign of structure respecting prior levels.
Looking ahead, we are closely monitoring for one of two scenarios:
1. Primary swing range completion – If price continues its upward momentum and completes the move back to the primary range, this could set the stage for a potential breakout.
2. Rejection at current zone – Should price fail to reclaim the primary swing range, we anticipate a retest of the lower Goldturn zones as support. A successful hold and bounce from this level would reinforce the broader range dynamics and offer renewed long opportunities.
We'll remain reactive to price structure and momentum alignment, especially in relation to key support/resistance levels.
Mr Gold
GOLDVIEWFX