Get started

Metals

XAUUSD: Short-term strategy on February 13Technical analysis of spot gold Daily resistance 2950, ​​support below 2852 Four-hour resistance 2950, ​​support below 2896 The previous suggestion to buy at 2910 has risen to 2918. Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold fluctuated downward in the Asian and European sessions. During the CPI period, the price fell to 2864 and then started to counterattack. As of today, the highest point has risen to 2922. Judging from yesterday's trend, the first half of the market was running well, and a deep V rebound occurred in the NY market. From the current market, the daily chart shows signs of a V-shaped pattern. Yesterday's bottoming and rebounding directly limited the range of today's adjustment, so today is still a shock, and it is expected that the bottoming and rebound will hit the second highest point. At present, from the perspective of gold in the 4-hour period, today's support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2896-2900. If it falls back during the day, it will continue to look up and continue to rebound. The upper short-term resistance is 2928-35. Buy at a low price based on this range during the day and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. NY Market Strategy BUY:2900near
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
1
Gold Price Up 10% Already in 2025. Is $3,000 Only the Beginning?Gold XAUUSD clocked a 27% rise in 2024 when a flurry of events aligned to position the safe-haven asset front and center for global traders. This year, the shiny stuff is already off the charts and into new horizons, nearing $3,000 per ounce. Record after record, gold has defied all gloom-and-doom forecasters and permabears. But is that gold rush sustainable? Depends on who you ask. But the fundamentals are certainly there. A surge in US shipments is driving the latest leg up in the price as gold traders and dealers scramble to import boatloads of it before Trump potentially slaps a tariff on the metal, which has historically been free from such tax charges. A sweeping arbitrage trade is taking place between London and New York. The Americans are piling bullion bars on Comex, the New York commodity exchange while the Brits are seeing their gold reserves dry up, driving the cost of borrowing up by 10% or more (borrowers are usually commercial banks and gold-linked businesses). What’s more, the waiting time to pull gold from the Bank of England has skyrocketed from mere days to between a month and two months. The result of that arbitrage? Inventories in New York have soared roughly 100% since November’s Presidential election with stockpiles now sitting at more than $100 billion in value — that’s more than 1,000 tons. If it was easy to do it, then we could probably brush it off as pure speculation. But it’s a hassle. Here’s how it works: The London gold is not acceptable in New York. To close a contract and stack up the glittery metal in the US, the heavy stuff that’s being transported on planes across the Atlantic needs to be in differently shaped bars. Gold dealers need to first pass it through a refinery in Switzerland where it gets melted and reshaped into the shape Comex takes in New York. That’s how physical gold is different from pretty much any other physical asset like a stock certificate or a bond. Apparently, the insane tariff drama that releases a new episode every day could easily drive the price of gold higher. And that’s what Wall Street thinks will happen. Goldman Sachs GS , the formidable investment banking giant that’s over 150 years old, said in a note that gold prices could top $3,000 this year. It almost happened already and we’re not even past February. Gold hit a record high of $2,940 per ounce on Tuesday — cue the celebration among gold bugs. Another big reason for gold to shine in 2025 is how central banks warmed up to it in 2024. Let’s roll back the tape a little bit — the World Gold Council estimates that central banks last year stacked up more than 800 tons of gold. The biggest buyer on that list is Poland with 80 tons of it. The next four — Turkey, India, Azerbaijan, China. Digging a bit deeper, lower interest rates generally support the bullish narrative for gold, which is a non-yielding asset. Gold doesn’t generate passive income, it doesn’t pay dividends and doesn’t pay you any sort of return like a bond does. When interest rates fall, the environment benefits gold because the opportunity cost of holding it is less and investors jump in more easily. This said, pay attention to the economic calendar for any hot data releases that may stir up gold markets. With momentum being as strong as it is now, do you think gold has more room to the upside? Or are we now in froth land and prices could turn around? Share your thoughts on gold in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingView
21
Silver Prices Soar on Electrification DemandSilver rose above $32 per ounce, nearing a three-month high with high demand in the electrification sector, offsetting concerns over a hawkish Fed. The US ISM manufacturing PMI's unexpected rebound improved the manufacturing outlook, while China, India, and Indonesia encouraged investments in solar and wind power. Meanwhile, the US inflation data reduced expectations for lower Fed borrowing costs, increasing the opportunity cost of holding precious metals. The first resistance level will be 32.50 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 33.00 and 33.50. On the downside, 31.40 will be the first support level. 30.90 and 30.20 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by zForexcom
Gold Near Peak Level Despite Fed HawkishnessGold prices remained near a record high above $2,900 per ounce, as investors turned to trusted assets with rising trade tensions and economic uncertainty. The White House announced that Trump’s reciprocal tariffs could be introduced as early as Thursday, following his 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. These add to existing tariffs, including 10% on Chinese goods and 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports, though the latter are paused. Meanwhile, U.S. inflation data exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts and weighing on gold’s appeal. Technically, resistance stands at 2,949, with further levels at 2,975 and 3,000. Support is at 2,885, followed by 2,830 and 2,760 if declines continue.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by zForexcom
GOLD - Price can make correction move to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few days ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon reached $2695 support level. Next, price made a small correction and soon broke this level and continued to move up inside rising channel. Later Gold corrected to support line and some time grew near this line, after which bounced and rose to $2880 level. Soon, price broke this level too, and continued to grow to resistance line of channel, after which corrected. After this movement, the price continued to grow, so, I think that Gold can rise a little more and then start to fall. In my mind, XAU can decline to $2865 points, which is located inside the support area. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
2
HelenP. I Gold will rebound up from support zone to $2940 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Not long ago, the price entered a consolidation phase, where it initially climbed toward support 2, aligning with the support zone and even pushing slightly higher. Afterward, Gold dropped to the trend line near the lower boundary of the range and began oscillating around this line. Shortly after, Gold dipped below the trend line but surprisingly continued to climb and eventually broke out of the consolidation. The price then retested support 2 and rapidly advanced toward the trend line, followed by a brief correction before moving back to the trend line. Soon, Gold broke through this trend line near support 1, which also matched the support zone, and completed a retest. Following this, Gold rebounded to 2945 points before pulling back to the trend line for a correction. Recently, it broke the trend line again. At the moment, I anticipate that XAUUSD will drop to the support zone and then rebound, aiming for 2940 points while breaking back above the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
6
Gold Options Activity Point to Continuing RallyNot a single macro portfolio manager was fired for adding gold to their portfolio over the last two years. Such has been gold’s stunning performance. Will Gold’s ascent continue? Narratives and numbers signal unstoppable and solid bull run in gold for now. BULL CASE REMAINS INTACT AND IS INTENFISYING This paper will not delve much into fundamentals. We have covered it previously in Gold to Shine Bright on Fundamentals, Seasonality & Sentiments . In that we highlighted the three main forces at play: (a) Continued central bank purchases, (b) Rising consumer demand in China & India, and (c) Trump administration’s fiscal policies favouring gold. In addition to the above, US Dollar weaponization, De-dollarisation fears, and Tariff tensions, serve as additional tailwinds. TradingView Wizard, Konhow , has comprehensively covered the historical impact of tariffs on Gold in his recent paper and video . SENTIMENTS HAVE SURRENDERED IN FAVOR OF RISING GOLD This research note will not dive into the weeds of technical analysis either. TradingView’s Technical Analysis dashboard summarises it all elegantly. TradingView Momentum is in favour. Oscillators are neutral indicating little risk of price reversal. Overall, sentiment remains bullish gold. Gold prices as represented by CME Micro Gold Futures front month contract formed a golden cross on 10th January 2025. Since then, prices are up 8.5% as of 13th February 2025. Current prices are well above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day DMAs. RSI is in overbought zone. Expect some pull back in gold prices from time to time on profit taking. But the upward trend is undeniable. The MACD shows that Gold momentum continues to be on the rise but with waning bullishness. Readers can access the entire library of technical ideas focussing on Gold on TradingView’s Gold Ideas Page ideas page . OPTIONS MARKETS ARE SIGNALLING A SOLID BULL RUN AHEAD This paper aims to unpack recent activity in CME gold options market and its impact on prices. No contrary signals there either. Options market also signal bullish gold. QuikStrike is a free-to-use tool for registered participants on the CME Group website. The tool provides a vast range of analytics to guide portfolio managers & traders to better comprehend the underlying market. Each report comes with a helpful user-guide to describe the data covered within the report. Some key takeaways below: Open Interest Profile page shows that as of close of markets on 11th February 2025, total call open interest (“OI” for short) stood at 634,815 lots across all expiries and strikes. Aggregate put IO totalled up to 357,305 lots resulting in a put-call ratio (p/c ratio) of 0.56. Calls are options contract that represent a bullish view. While puts are contracts representing bearish outlook. At 0.56 p/c ratio, there are twice as many bullish positions for each bearish one. Source: CME QuikStrike Most Active Strikes allow portfolio managers and traders to analyse top strikes with shifts in open interest. Table below shows top 10 strikes registering the largest change in open interest between 4th February and 11th February. Starting first with the Calls (left section of the table below), participants have been building up open interest in strikes 4000, 3200, 3250, 4500, 4032, and 3,975. Call options have also booked reduction in open interest at strikes 3000, 3075, 3100 and 3025. On a net-basis, open interest is up 10,312 lots across these top ten strikes over various expiries this year. Source: CME QuikStrike Puts (right section of the table above) shows rising build up in open interest for strikes ranging from 2740 to 2880. Collectively, this indicates that market participants are rooting for gold prices to rise through USD 3,000/oz and to even rally past USD 4,500/oz. Will that happen? Only time will tell. Given that risk managers are establishing puts at such high levels point to strong support for gold prices at current levels. In a nutshell, current prices are not only formidably comfortable but the potential to rise is also highly probable. Shifting the attention to volatility, the CME Group also offers CVol which is another free-to-use tool. Portfolio managers and traders can visualise implied volatility behaviour on this tool. Source: CME CVol The GCVL which is the Gold CVol index shows implied volatility at 17.65 and with a positive skew of 1.08. Implied volatility easing even at an elevated prices indicates that market participants are comfortable at current price levels and do not foresee immediate large price moves. Skew on the CVol tool is defined as Up Var minus Down Var. Up Var is the likelihood of the price rising while Down Var measures the likelihood of prices falling. A positive skew shows that the market is pricing a higher likelihood of rising prices relative to a down move. FUND FLOWS INTO GOLD ETF IS UP 47% YOY Among its rich set of features, TradingView also shows daily ETF fund flows . GLD is the prominent ETF commanding assets under management (AUM) of USD 80.65 billion. This time last year, GLD ETF showed AUM of USD 54.77 billion. Fund inflows have spiked 47.25% over the past 12 months. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP With fundamentals, sentiment, options market, and fund flows all pointing to a price that is set to rise, this paper posits a long position using CME Micro Gold Futures expiring on 28th April 2025 (MGCJ2025) based on the following entry, exit levels and the reward-to-risk ratio: • Entry: USD 2,900/oz • Target: USD 3,100/oz • Stop: USD 2,800/oz • P&L at Target (USD per lot): +2,000 ((3,100 – 2,900) x 10) • P&L at Stop (USD per lot): -1,000 ((2,800 – 2,900) x 10) • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 2x Please note that Each Micro Gold Futures contract provides an exposure to 10 troy ounces. Both standard-sized gold futures (GC) and the newly launched 1-ounce gold futures offer avenues to express bullish sentiment on the yellow metal. This comprehensive suite of gold futures is tailored to enhance flexibility and precision, empowering investors to capitalize on market opportunities effectively. CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers. Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures. In collaboration with the CME Group, TradingView has launched The Leap trading competition. New and upcoming traders can hone and refine their trading skills, test their trading strategies, and feel the thrill of futures trading with a vibrant global community through this paper trading competition sponsored by CME Group using virtual money and real time prices. The competition lasts another 15-days. Please join the 48,000+ others who are actively honing their trading skills using virtual money. Click here to learn more. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by mintdotfinance
Silver H1 | Bullish rise to extend higher?Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 32.17 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 31.85 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 32.63 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by FXCM
2
Gold's Comeback: Buy the Dip or Stay Cautious?Hello everyone! How do you think we should trade gold today? Yesterday, gold experienced a sharp decline, but it quickly regained its bullish momentum, recovering to $2,915 at the time of writing—marking a 100+ pip rebound within the day. In the short-term analysis, we can see that gold has broken out of the falling wedge pattern and established a new support zone, as highlighted on the charts. The price moving above the EMA 34 and 89 is a positive sign, indicating bullish momentum. Based on my technical analysis and personal assessment, in the short term, I continue to favor a buy strategy, targeting a take-profit (TP) level at $2,940, with a stop-loss (SL) at $2,892. What about you? What’s your outlook on gold today? Drop a comment and let’s discuss!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_Scalping
3
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 2921.35-2919, a pullback resistance close to the 61.8% Fibonacci projectio and 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Our take profit will be at 2909.26, a pullback support. The stop loss will be placed at 2931.62, above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
Gold price stabilizes at 2900, will test historical highs againGold rose sharply to 2909 in the late trading, breaking through the 2900 mark and closing stable. The daily line rebounded and closed. Gold returned to the long structure channel. After the daily line pulled back to the MA5/7-day moving average, the NY market closing price stood above the 2900 mark again. The moving average still remained open upward, and the price ran along the middle and upper track of the Bollinger Band channel! In the short-term four-hour chart, gold retreated and tested the lower track of the Bollinger Band at 2865/63, forming a V-shaped reversal. With the reversal of the price, the MA10/7-day moving average re-formed a golden cross and the price closed above the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 2897. The RSI indicator retreated to the 50 value of the middle axis and then stabilized and turned upward! The hourly moving average opened upward and the price extended the MA10-day moving average upward. In intraday trading, the main thing is to buy at low prices during callbacks, and secondly, consider selling at high prices! The overall rhythm is to buy at low prices during intraday pullbacks, and then sell after the European and American markets hit the key resistance level or historical high! Last night's CPI data still failed to play a key role in the gold market. Under the premise of a big negative, gold only fell rapidly and then pulled back. The market volatility caused by the data did not continue! Although the CPI data is negative, the price of gold has bottomed out and rebounded by more than 30 US dollars. Bulls still hold on to the key position. On the market, gold looks more like it has rebounded after the last wave of bottoming! In the short term, the bulls are still quite strong! The current price is still above the short-term moving average, and there is no condition for the top. In the short term, gold is just adjusting and has not broken down. It will naturally continue to rise after the adjustment. This clarifies the direction of our future layout. In the later stage, we will continue to buy when the opportunity arises. The lower point is still focused on the 2886 point. There are many false breakthroughs in the market recently. Conservative operation points can be selected near 2880! Key points: First support: 2893, second support: 2886, third support: 2876 First resistance: 2916, second resistance: 2923, third resistance: 2936 Operation ideas: BUY: 2886-2889, SL: 2878, TP: 2910-2920; SELL: 2925-2928, SL: 2937, TP: 2910-2900;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
People still want to invest in gold.World gold prices at times dropped sharply when inflation data in the US heated up. Specifically, the consumer price index (CPI) in January 2025 increased by 0.5%, higher than the forecast increase of 0.3%. This information has reinforced the message of the US Federal Reserve (FED) not to rush to reduce interest rates due to the unstable economy. "Higher-than-expected CPI in the US put pressure on gold prices and market expectations for any interest rate cuts were almost extinguished." The recovery of world gold prices from lows in the past two days shows that investors continue to favor having a safe asset to combat inflationary pressures.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short (SELL STOP)Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • RSI at 76.04 is in the overbought territory, indicating a potential reversal. • MACD shows bullish momentum but is at a high level, suggesting a possible pullback. • The price has reached a key resistance area around 2905.74 after a strong bullish run. 2. 15-Min Chart: • RSI at 60.94 is approaching overbought conditions. • MACD shows weakening bullish momentum, hinting at a potential reversal. • Price has made a lower high compared to the previous peak, indicating bearish divergence. 3. 3-Min Chart: • RSI is neutral but showing signs of divergence. • MACD is flattening, suggesting momentum is fading. • Price action shows a failure to break above the recent high. Fundamental Analysis: • Gold is at a historically high level, increasing the probability of profit-taking and a corrective pullback. • Recent bullish momentum may face resistance due to overbought technical indicators. • There are no significant fundamental drivers supporting a continued rally at this resistance zone. Trade Details: • Entry: 2905.00 (Near the resistance level, anticipating a reversal) • Stop Loss (SL): 2915.00 (Above the recent high, to avoid false breakouts) • Take Profit (TP): 2885.00 (Key support area and maintaining a 2:1 RRR) Reasoning: • The overbought RSI on the Daily and 15-min charts suggests limited upside potential. • The resistance at 2905.74 aligns with historical levels, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. • Bearish divergence and fading momentum support a short position with a favorable risk-reward setup. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by KeN-WeNzEl
Gold Analysis – Potential Pullback Within Ascending ChannelKey Observations: Current Price: $2,900.48 Recent High: $2,907.29 200 EMA (Red Line): $2,758.59 (Strong support level) Projection: Price may correct lower towards the channel’s lower boundary (~$2,875) Analysis: 📊 Short-Term Bearish: A pullback could happen before further upside if the trend holds. If price breaks below the channel, a deeper correction towards the 200 EMA might follow. 🔍 Trading Idea: Traders might look for buying opportunities at the lower trendline (~$2,875-$2,880) if price shows support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight