XAU/USD : Possible Correction Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that after yesterday's last analysis, the price corrected to $2858 as expected. However, it quickly rebounded, surging 240 pips to reach a new all-time high at $2882!
Today, we finally witnessed some correction from $2882 down to $2848, and gold is currently trading around $2868. If the price manages to stabilize below $2873.5 and experiences a strong rejection from this level, we might even see a correction down to levels below $2850.
With increased market volatility and key macroeconomic events on the horizon, traders should stay cautious. Price action around these levels will be critical in determining the next move, as gold continues to react to fundamental drivers such as inflation data and geopolitical developments. Monitoring price behavior near support and resistance levels will be essential for identifying potential trade opportunities.
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Metals
EUR/USD : First SELL, then BUY! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 3-day EUR/USD chart, we can see that, as expected, the price has resumed its correction and is currently trading around 1.03. I still anticipate further downside movement in this range.
The key demand zones are 1.02, 1.005, and 0.99. So, the strategy remains: first, look for SELL opportunities, and then wait for a solid BUY trigger at these levels! 🚀
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Platinum Prices Poised for Decline as Seasonality & Supply ZonePlatinum prices are currently approaching a key Supply zone as the Futures contract PL1! retraces following an initial bearish impulse. This price action suggests that the market may be poised for further downside movement.
Analyzing seasonal trends reveals a potential for bearish behavior, consistent with patterns observed over the past decade. Historically, this time of year has often been associated with a decline in platinum prices, making the current setup particularly noteworthy.
With these indicators in mind, we are actively monitoring the market for short setups. The convergence of the price approaching the Supply zone and historical seasonality trends reinforces the possibility of a downward move in platinum. As the market unfolds, we aim to position ourselves accordingly to take advantage of any shorting opportunities.
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DeGRAM | GOLD formed a declining topGOLD is in a local descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from resistance at $2870 and the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart is holding in the channel and trying to form a descending top.
On large Timeframes the indicators indicate overbought.
We still expect a correction.
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GOLD recovered strongly, Trump stimulated risk aversionDuring the Asian trading session on Monday (February 10), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot has recovered strongly after a short decline. Gold price has now recovered to about 2,874 USD/ounce, a sharp increase of about 15 USD during the day.
US President Donald Trump said on Sunday local time that he would announce a 25% tariff on all imported steel and aluminum on Monday.
Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One that the tariffs would apply to metal imports from every country. He did not specify when the tariffs would be applied. Trump also said he would announce corresponding tariffs later this week for countries that impose tariffs on U.S. imports.
These comments stimulated the market's risk aversion, the Asia-Pacific stock market and the US stock futures market fell, and the two safe-haven assets, the US dollar and gold, recovered together.
On the daily chart, OANDA:XAUUSD recovered after receiving support from the upper channel edge, and in terms of technical structure nothing changed from previous releases with a bullish bias dominating the technical chart.
Maintaining price activity above the 0.236% Fibonacci extension provides the conditions for continued upside with the next target being at $2,891 the 0.382% Fibonacci extension, more so than the original price point of $2,900.
With the price channel making a short-term uptrend, along with the Relative Strength Index providing no signs of a strong downside correction, gold is expected to continue searching for new all-time highs. The positions will be noted as follows.
Support: 2,869 – 2,844 – 2,834USD
Resistance: 2,891 – 2,900USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2906 - 2904⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2910
→Take Profit 1 2899
↨
→Take Profit 2 2894
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2829 - 2831⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2825
→Take Profit 1 2836
↨
→Take Profit 2 2841
SILVER Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 32.270.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 30.893 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD → First declines, then continues to conquer $2,900OANDA:XAUUSD is currently moving slowly on a bullish trend platform, with the price fluctuating around $2,868 and rising by approximately 0.45% on the day.
Inflation remains on an upward trajectory, and gold is responding as a safe-haven asset. "Gold is on track to reach $2,900 per ounce, and market sentiment remains highly optimistic, despite the short-term strength of the U.S. dollar."
Furthermore, recent statements from Federal Reserve officials indicate that major policy uncertainties—including tariffs and other issues stemming from the early days of former President Donald Trump's administration—are among the biggest challenges in determining monetary policy direction in the coming months.
Currently, the market's focus is on the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, set to be released on Friday, which will provide further insights into the overall strength of the economy and the Fed’s policy path. Theoretically, a disappointing jobs report could strengthen the case for interest rate cuts in the U.S., thereby boosting gold prices. However, the opposite scenario is also possible.
From a technical standpoint, gold prices may decline from the $2,870 resistance level to accumulate liquidity and prepare for further upward movement. Specifically, the price could react to lower trend boundaries and the previously broken resistance of the ascending channel. There are no fundamental or technical reasons to break the current trend, and growth may resume after a potential false breakout.
Regards Bentradegold!
XAUUSD correction to the 1H MA50 technically needed.Gold (XAUUSD) stayed unaffected by the Tariff War, as we mentioned on last week's analysis (Feb 03, see chart below) and easily hit our 2845 Channel Up Higher High Target:
This time a new, more aggressive Channel Up, on the 1H time-frame has emerged and is already on its 2nd Bullish Leg. Technically, the 1H RSI being overbought at 80.00, calls for a short-term correction.
We expect a technical pull-back to the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), which will be the next buy entry fir the final +3.90% run and a Channel Up Higher High at 2945.
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GOLD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GOLD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 2,816.028 level.
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XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle Breakout (07.02.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2890
2nd Resistance – 2904
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Contracting triangle on XAUHi everyone
what are you doing this days?
After a strong bullish trend from 2780 to 2880 and completing two upward legs, we are now trapped in a contracting triangle.
The scenario I anticipate for the market's next move is marked in red: an upward push toward the identified resistance zone, followed by a drop to the lower trendline.
What do you think ? comment below
I hope you capture the best profits from the market!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2872 and a gap below at 2851. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2807 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2885
2898
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2898 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2911
2923
BEARISH TARGETS
2851
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2851 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2841 - 2819
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2794
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2782 - 2764
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Silver Struggles at Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play?Since reaching the 32.30 resistance zone last Wednesday, OANDA:XAGUSD has been trading in a range-bound consolidation phase.
On Friday’s NFP release, the price spiked back into this resistance area but quickly reversed, closing the day near the 31.70 support level.
Currently, Silver is rebounding once again from this support, which could present a good shorting opportunity for sellers.
My bias is bearish as long as 32.50 resistance holds, and I expect a potential decline toward 31.00 in the near term.
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 32.125, aligning with a key resistance level and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. This setup suggests a potential bearish reversal.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 31.658, where buyers may look to step in near a previous support zone.
The stop loss is set at 32.638, positioned above the previous swing high, providing sufficient room for fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2880.26, that lines up with the 78.6% Fibo retracement
Our take profit will be at 2855.42, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 2896.71, above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Trade Idea: Long Position on XAUUSD ( BUY LIMIT )Analysis Summary
1. Trend Analysis:
• The Daily chart shows a strong uptrend, with price making higher highs and higher lows.
• The 15-minute chart supports the uptrend with a series of pullbacks and continuations.
• The 3-minute chart shows some volatility but confirms higher support levels.
2. Technical Indicators:
• MACD (Daily): Strong bullish momentum.
• RSI (Daily at 74.59): Overbought but not showing reversal signals.
• Moving Averages: Price is riding above short-term MAs, indicating continued buying pressure.
3. Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold is in a strong uptrend due to market uncertainty and demand for safe-haven assets.
• U.S. economic data, interest rate outlook, and inflation trends remain supportive of gold’s rally.
Trade Setup
• Position: Long
• Entry: $2860 (Buy on a slight dip)
• Stop-Loss (SL): $2845 (Below recent support)
• Take-Profit (TP): $2890 (Aligned with the trend and recent highs)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1
Conclusion
• Bias: Strongly bullish
• Probability of success: High, as long as gold maintains momentum above $2850
• Risk: If price breaks below $2845, further downside correction is possible.
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower as the market digested the Employment Trends Index (ETI) report. On the weekly chart, a sell signal is in play, yet the index remains within a range-bound structure. Until it reclaims the 5-week moving average, any upside move could still face rejection.
On the daily chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning the buy signal remains intact. A critical moment is approaching: will the index break below the 20-day and 60-day moving average golden cross, or will it regain bullish momentum? If a daily sell signal emerges, downside targets extend toward 20,940, where the Bollinger Band lower boundary and 120-day moving average converge.
Although a gap-down occurred today, as long as the daily buy signal holds, traders should approach this market with a range-bound mindset rather than assuming a strong breakdown.
On the 240-minute chart, the index encountered resistance at the upper range boundary. A bearish engulfing candle triggered a sell signal, but since both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, this still suggests a range-bound market. Buying dips and selling rallies remain the most effective strategy.
Market volatility is increasing following Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. Additionally, Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release could be a major catalyst—keep it in mind when positioning.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off support on the daily chart. The weekly chart shows strong support at the 20-week moving average, making further downside moves challenging. The $70–71 zone remains an attractive buy area, and with the weekly buy signal still intact, traders should avoid aggressive short-selling.
On the daily chart, oil has yet to reclaim the 5-day moving average, and the MACD remains below the zero line, while the Signal line is still above it, indicating a mixed market structure. Given the potential for a bullish MACD crossover, long positions remain more favorable.
The ideal price action scenario would involve a push to the 10-day moving average, a pullback to retest the $70–71 range, and then a double-bottom formation, leading to a strong upside breakout.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has re-emerged, suggesting a short-term bottom formation. Additionally, MACD bullish divergence is forming, reinforcing the bullish case. Selling into weakness should be avoided, while buying dips remains the preferred strategy.
Gold
Gold closed higher but formed a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure at the highs. On the weekly chart, gold is trading above the Bollinger Band upper boundary, placing it in overbought territory.
At the start of the week, traders should avoid chasing highs and instead focus on buying pullbacks at key support levels. If gold continues to extend gains, shorting near the highs could be an option.
However, volatility is expected to increase due to key data releases:
Wednesday: U.S. CPI
Thursday: U.S. PPI
On the daily chart, the long wick suggests that gold may enter a consolidation phase around 2,900. If the 5-day moving average is lost, a 10-day moving average pullback could set up a range-bound structure. The MACD is in the process of narrowing toward the signal line, indicating that a corrective phase may occur this week. Buying pullbacks remains the preferred approach.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has broken above previous highs, but the MACD is declining, signaling bearish divergence. Now that a sell signal has emerged, the MACD is shifting lower. In the short term, selling rallies remains more favorable, while long positions should only be considered near strong demand zones.
Given the CPI release on Wednesday, gold may remain range-bound until then. Stay cautious, and trade within the range.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21550 / 21470 / 21420 / 21340 / 21220
-Sell Levels: 21680 / 21715 / 21800 / 21900
Crude Oil - Range-Bound Market
-Buy Levels: 70.70 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.20
-Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.50
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2885 / 2878 / 2873 / 2862 / 2856
-Sell Levels: 2906 / 2917 / 2926
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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XAUUSD's Volatility: Will it Fake Us Out or Continue Long?Many have been anticipating Gold to move in both directions. Some are expecting a nice drop while others are camping out for that long. I've been on both sides. Here, I explain my reasons for wanting to Long Gold (XAUUSD) with anticipated targets for both a short-term sell and the buy continuation.
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