SILVER Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is making a local
Bearish correction but
Silver Is trading in an uptrend
So after the retest of the
Horizontal support below
At 31.58$ a local bullish
Rebound is to be expected
Buy!
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Metals
XAUUSD 9/2/25XAU is running bullish for the sixth consecutive week. We called for a new all-time high last week and the week before. If new highs form, we will shift our attention to them, but as it stands, we are anticipating another all-time high. Gold is being driven by fundamentals as well as a strong potential for gains based on past performance.
We now look to Orion for the daily bias, and as expected, it remains bullish. Based on this, we have key lows marked on our chart, with the third being a high-volume low. From our understanding, we expect a counter-trend move to start the week before continuing with more long positions. If price reaches our lower areas, we will look for the correct entry to follow through on these moves.
Trade your plan and manage your risk. Always follow Orion.
Anticipating Movements in XAU/USD for the Week AheadAs of February 9, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) is trading at approximately $2,861.26. Analysts anticipate a bullish trend for gold in the upcoming week. Economies.com projects that gold may test the $2,900 level as a key resistance point. Similarly, 30rates.com forecasts that gold prices could reach $2,923 by Thursday, February 13, 2025, and $2,941 by Friday, February 14, 2025. These projections are influenced by various factors, including geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties, which often drive investors toward safe-haven assets like gold. However, it’s important to note that market conditions can change rapidly. Therefore, it’s advisable to monitor real-time market updates and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
ETH—Signs of Life AppearingSmall, but significant signs of life showing on the 2 day RSI over the 11 day course of time shown as ETH continued to make lower lows, RSI made higher highs suggesting bullish divergence.
2 day RSI was arbitrarily used to show this divergence due to it being more apparent, though 3, and 5 day RSI additionally show the same bullish divergence
Feedback Appreciated,
Thanks
A BUY and a SELL on GOLD (5 mins/15 mins TF)Hello guys,
According to the chart, it looks like most traders are sellers in the market. However, the price needs to rise a bit more before a sell movement begins.
An important note: I see an uptrend for gold in the higher time frames (HTF), so all positions should be scalped with a small stop-loss (SL). Please be careful and manage your entry volume accordingly.
Let me know your thoughts on these positions.
XAG/USD "Silver vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2900.0) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest swing low level Using the 2H timeframe swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Thieves TP 33.6000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The XAG/USD "Silver vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a neutral trend (but there is higher chance to bullishness in long term),., driven by several key factors.
🟡 Fundamental Analysis
1. Supply and Demand: Silver's demand is increasing due to its use in solar panels, electric vehicles, and other industrial applications.
2. Global Economic Trends: A potential global economic slowdown could increase demand for safe-haven assets like silver.
3. Mining Production: Silver mining production is expected to increase in the next few years, which could put downward pressure on prices.
🟢 Macroeconomic Factors
1. Inflation: The current inflation rate is 2.5%, which is within the target range of most central banks. A moderate inflation rate is positive for silver prices.
2. Interest Rates: The current interest rate environment is low, which is positive for silver prices. Low interest rates make it cheaper for investors to borrow money and invest in silver.
3. Global Economic Growth: The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, which is positive for silver prices. Investors tend to seek safe-haven assets like silver during times of economic uncertainty.
4. US Dollar Index: The US Dollar Index is currently at 97.50, which is relatively strong. A strong US dollar can put downward pressure on silver prices.
⚪ Technical Analysis
1. Trend: The current trend is bullish, with silver prices increasing by 10% in the last quarter.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.
🔴 Market Sentiment
1. Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 40% bullish, 30% bearish, and 30% neutral on silver.
2. Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 50% bullish, 20% bearish, and 30% neutral on silver.
3. Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions.
🟤 COT Report
1. Non-Commercial Traders: 35% long, 65% short
2. Commercial Traders: 40% long, 60% short
3. Non-Reportable Traders: 25% long, 75% short
🔵 Positioning
1. Institutional Traders: 40% bullish, 30% bearish, 30% neutral
2. Banks: 35% bullish, 35% bearish, 30% neutral
3. Hedge Funds: 42% bullish, 28% bearish, 30% neutral
4. Corporate Traders: 30% bullish, 40% bearish, 30% neutral
5. Retail Traders: 50% bullish, 20% bearish, 30% neutral
⚫ Overall Outlook
1. Bullish: Silver prices are expected to increase due to increasing demand and a potential global economic slowdown.
2. Volatility: Silver prices are expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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XAUUSD analysis for the weekLet’s craft a forward-looking analysis for XAU/USD (gold) based on plausible macroeconomic narratives, historical patterns, and potential catalysts. Keep in mind this is a speculative exercise—actual outcomes depend on unpredictable events.
Key Factors Shaping XAU/USD
1. Federal Reserve Policy
Bullish for Gold: Lower real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
Risk: If the Fed pauses or signals a "higher for longer" stance due to sticky inflation, gold could face headwinds.
2. U.S. Dollar Dynamics
A weaker USD (due to rate cuts or fiscal concerns, e.g., U.S. debt sustainability debates) would amplify gold’s appeal.
A stronger USD (safe-haven demand during a global recession or Fed policy reversal) could pressure gold.
3. Global Recession Risks
If major economies (EU, China) slide into recession, gold may rally as a safe haven, even if the USD strengthens temporarily.
4. Geopolitical Landscape
U.S. Election Aftermath: Policy uncertainty post-2024 election (taxes, tariffs, fiscal spending) could drive volatility.
New Conflicts: Escalation in Taiwan, Middle East, or Russia-NATO tensions would boost gold demand.
5. Central Bank Demand
Continued diversification away from USD reserves (e.g., BRICS+ nations) may sustain structural gold buying.
6. Inflation Trends
A resurgence of inflation (e.g., energy shocks, supply chain disruptions) would reignite gold’s role as an inflation hedge.
Scenario 1: Bullish Rally (2900–3000)
Catalysts:
Fed cuts rates aggressively (150+ bps total) amid a U.S. growth slowdown.
China’s property crisis spirals, triggering global risk-off sentiment.
Middle East conflict disrupts oil flows, spiking inflation.
Technical Outlook: A breakout above $3,000 (psychological barrier) could trigger algorithmic buying and FOMO momentum.
Scenario 2: Bearish Correction (2800-2600)
Catalysts:
Fed halts cuts due to stubborn inflation (CPI rebounds to 3.5%+).
USD surges as EU/Japan face deeper recessions.
Central banks slow gold purchases, ETFs see outflows.
Technical Outlook: A drop below $2,800 (hypothetical 2024 support) could trigger stop-loss cascades.
Scenario 3: Sideways Churn (2750-2900)
Catalysts:
Markets digest conflicting data (mixed growth, moderate inflation).
Geopolitical “cold wars” (U.S.-China tech/trade) persist without escalation.
Technical Outlook: Range-bound action as bulls and bears await clarity.
Strategic Takeaways
Prepare for Volatility: Gold will react sharply to Fed policy shifts and geopolitical “surprises.”
Watch the USD: A sustained DXY breakdown below 106 could turbocharge gold’s rally.
Risk Management: Use options or trailing stops—gold’s moves could be exaggerated in thin liquidity.
Final Note
By February 2025, gold’s path will depend on how 2024’s unresolved macro risks (debt, inflation, elections) unfold. While the long-term bullish case for gold remains intact (debasement hedging, de-dollarization), short-term swings will hinge on Fed credibility.
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GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2867 and a gap below at 2833. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2867
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2867 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2894
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2924
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2924 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2958
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2958 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2979
BEARISH TARGETS
2833
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2833 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2800
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2800 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2771 - 2743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD BUY TRADE SIGNAL GOLD ANALYSIS🔹 Current Trend:
Gold has been showing a bullish trend, respecting key support zones while maintaining a higher-low structure. The 20-period WMA (Weighted Moving Average) at 2,864.780 is acting as dynamic support.
🔹 Key Levels:
✅ Support Zone: 2,854 - 2,861 (Marked in Green)
✅ Resistance Zone: 2,886.812 (Marked in Red)
🔹 Trade Setup:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Price is consolidating at a strong support level and forming a potential higher low structure.
A breakout above the current consolidation could trigger a bullish move towards 2,886.812.
If price holds above the 2,861 zone, this can be a confirmation for further upside movement.
📉 Bearish Invalidations:
A break below 2,854.420 would indicate potential weakness, possibly leading to a move toward 2,841.082.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Buy Entries on confirmation of bullish price action above the support zone.
Stop Loss placed below 2,854 to minimize risk.
Take Profit at 2,886 to capitalize on the potential bullish momentum.
⚡ Are you bullish or bearish on Gold? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️🔥
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TradeSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold NEW ATH to $2,912?! (1H UPDATE)4H chart has hit our resistance zone & rejected. But, on the smaller TF we're currently seeing a re-distribution schematic play out on Gold ahead of its sell off which means we MIGHT see 1 more new ATH. Re-distribution schematics normally take place in between Wave 3 high, Wave 4 low & Wave 5 high.
This sell off schematic normally builds up within a 'Flat Correction' channel, which traps in early sellers & late buyers into the market. This is why it's a hard pattern to recognise.
⭕️POI 1: $2,857 - $2,848
⭕️POI 2: $2,826 - $2,817
I am Amazed how XAU/USD Gold moving in a channel of 18 degrees. FX:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! I am amazed by how XAU/USD Gold is moving in a channel of 18 degrees on hourly chart. I am a student of market geometry and how often we see such a clear trend, really fascinating! The scenario here is clear just trade the bounce off of the lower channels and we will only be short if market breaks below lowest band on this chart until then we are bullish. Keep your first targets @ upper band. Keep following for more ideas.
SILVER: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the SILVER pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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**ICT Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (4-hour Chart)**Certainly! Here is the analysis of the chart in English, focusing on the ICT (Intraday Cycle Theory) perspective and addressing the potential for a drop below 2850:
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**ICT Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (4-hour Chart)**
From an ICT standpoint, the current price action suggests a critical juncture. The recent rally has brought the price to a significant resistance level around 2861.25 USD. This level coincides with a key Fibonacci retracement and a previous swing high, making it a crucial point to watch.
### Key Observations:
1. **Cycle Highs and Lows**: The price has been oscillating within a defined cycle, with recent highs and lows forming a pattern that could be indicative of a potential reversal. The current price is near the upper boundary of this cycle.
2. **Fibonacci Levels**: The price has reached a major Fibonacci resistance level, which often acts as a strong barrier. A failure to break above this level could lead to a pullback.
3. **Momentum Indicators**: While not explicitly shown, momentum indicators like RSI or MACD would be useful here. If these indicators show divergence (i.e., price making higher highs while the indicator makes lower highs), it could signal a loss of upward momentum.
### Potential Scenarios:
- **Scenario 1: Breakout Above 2861.25**: If the price manages to sustainably close above this level, it could indicate a continuation of the uptrend. However, this scenario seems less likely given the strong resistance at this level.
- **Scenario 2: Rejection at 2861.25**: If the price fails to break above 2861.25 and starts to decline, it could signal the start of a correction. In this case, the next key support levels to watch are around 2850 and then lower levels such as 2780 and 2720.
### Conclusion:
Given the current setup, there is a significant risk of a pullback if the price fails to break above 2861.25. If the price drops below 2850, it could trigger a more substantial correction, potentially leading to further declines towards the lower support levels mentioned.
Traders should remain cautious and consider placing protective stops below 2850 to manage risk effectively. Additionally, monitoring volume and other technical indicators can provide further confirmation of the direction of the trend.
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This analysis should help you understand the potential risks and opportunities in the current market situation.
Gold : Bearish Correction in Play, Key Support at 2809Gold Technical Analysis
The price dropped from its all-time high (ATH) recorded on Friday.
At the start of the week, gold is expected to undergo a bearish correction, as the daily candle shows strong bearish momentum, potentially driving the price toward 2,841 and 2,823. However, the key support level at 2,809 will be crucial—a daily candle closing below this level would confirm further bearish continuation. Otherwise, a bounce from this area could signal the beginning of another strong bullish phase.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2861
Resistance Levels: 2873, 2887, 2918
Support Levels: 2841, 2823, 2809
Trend Outlook
Bullish Confirmation above 2880
Movement Range: 2861 – 2841
Bearish while below 2861
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
After hitting and completing 2729 target 2 weeks ago, we then stated that we had a candle body close above 2729 opening long range/term gap at 2856 and will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
- We got the ema5 lock to further confirm this and this was then hit perfectly last week completing this target. We now have a very small body close above 2856 leaving 2896 open and will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Analysis Retest, and Target of 3000XAUUSD, which represents the price of gold (XAU) against the US dollar (USD), is currently trading at 2860. The target price is set at 3000, indicating a bullish outlook. The market is following the support and resistance pattern, a common technical analysis method. Currently, a small retesting phase is occurring, where the price is momentarily pulling back before resuming its upward trend. This retest is a natural market movement that helps confirm the breakout strength. If the support holds, buyers will likely push the price toward the 3000 level. The psychological resistance at 3000 might cause some fluctuations. However, if momentum remains strong, the price could surpass this level. Traders should monitor volume and market sentiment for further confirmation. Proper risk management is crucial, as unexpected reversals can occur.
HelenP. I Gold on Track to $2910: Uptrend ContinuesHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Not too long ago, the price broke through Support 2, which aligned with a support zone, and dropped down to the trend line. Following this move, the price began climbing along the trend line, but later it broke below it and fell further. Afterward, Gold rebounded to Support 2, broke it again, reached the trend line, and continued to rise from there. For a considerable period, the price was rising just below the trend line. However, after some time, Gold partially broke above this line but then resumed moving upward while staying below it. Eventually, the price broke through Support 1, which also coincided with a support zone, made a retest, and rebounded, finally managing to break through the trend line. From there, the price rallied from the trend line up to 2880 points, made a correction back to the trend line, and recently resumed its upward movement. In my view, XAU/USD may correct back to the trend line before continuing its ascent. With this in mind, my target is set at 2910 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see our new daily chart idea after completing our last daily chart idea last week.
We have now drawn a new channel in our unique way to establish the trend range and currently seeing price play between 2827, the channel half line support and 2904 axis resistance level.
We will need to see 2904 level broken for a continuation to test the channel top and we also have the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom.
]This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our monthly chart idea for our long term/range analysis.
Our Monthly chart idea is now finally complete from candle body close above 2702 leaving 2825 axis target open, which is now hit and complete.
Please review all the historical updates below to see how we have been tracking this chart over several months. We will share a new long range monthly chart idea from next month.
LAST UPDATES OVER THE PREVIOUS MONTHS
Previous month in December we stated that the month started with a detachment to ema5 below for a correction, which was highlighted with a small mini circle on the chart for visual purpose.
- This detachment to ema5 was completed perfectly.
We also stated last month in December that the area above 2589 is a strong level of support with ema5 providing dynamic support now for a bounce.
- This also played out perfectly with ema5 providing dynamic support and above our 2589 support level for the push up, perfectly hitting our axis target 2702.
We then stated that we had two days for month end and will need a body close above 2702 for confirmation for a further continuation or a body close below 2589 to confirm the channel top test below. We also stated that if price closes this month in this range without the body closes, then we are likely to see play between this range for another month with not much detachment on the next monthly candle to ema5, which means the likely dynamic support should be provided by ema5 from the beginning of the month.
- This played out perfectly in January as the the ema5 provided the dynamic support right from the start, which followed with a nice push up. We now also have a candle body close above 2702 leaving a gap to 2825 Axis our long term target that we have been tracking over the months.
We will continue to use all support structures, across all our multi time frame chart ideas to buy dips also keeping in mind our long term gaps above. Short term we may look bearish but looking at the monthly chart allows us to see the bigger picture and the overall long term Bullish trend.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU Long Term Analysis (Everyone Should Be Careful)Now that we have so much data available, it looks like we have a large diametric on the chart.
We are now at the end of wave E. You should be careful of emotional buys.
It is expected that by hitting the supply, the price will enter the correction phase for more than 1 year.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
XAUUSD ANALYS#XAUUSD ANALYS
####### This analysis was loaded with the correct wavenumber. ######
With this wave count, we can say that here, by hunting liquidity, $2950 will move towards $2700 to complete micro-wave C of wave 4.
I hope this analysis has helped you.
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The analysis was done by Mr. Khosravi.
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