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Gold another bullish breakout supported at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 3387 – initial resistance 3400 – psychological and structural level 3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 3290 – minor support 3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
Want to Know What Happens in Crypto? Check Silver InsteadThe Gold/Silver ratio is one of the key indicators that highlights major turning points in modern economic history. Similarly, the ETH/BTC ratio is widely followed as a gauge of strength in the crypto market and the beginning of altcoin seasons. Interestingly, these two ratios also appear to correlate well with each other. As adoption of both Ethereum and Bitcoin has grown, the Gold/Silver and BTC/ETH ratios have started to move more closely together. They often follow similar patterns, with tops and bottoms forming one after the other. For clarity, this analysis uses the BTC/ETH ratio rather than ETH/BTC. Historically, BTC/ETH tends to lead during market tops, followed by a similar move in the Gold/Silver ratio. This pattern has been observed repeatedly since 2020. When it comes to bottoms, the timing between the two ratios is usually tighter, as seen during the 2020, 2021, and 2024 lows. The latest signal came from a top in the BTC/ETH ratio, and the Gold/Silver ratio now appears to be following that move. Given the cyclical nature of crypto markets, both ETH and silver could be at the early stages of new upward trends. For a potential trend reversal, it may be wise to keep a closer eye on silver in the coming weeks.
by ftdsystem
XAU/USD Update: Ready for a 12% Surge?Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Is XAU/USD about to explode or crash? We’ve formed a symmetrical triangle pattern , and its breakout triggers could deliver solid profits for longs or shorts. Let’s dive into the details with the Daily timeframe to see the big picture. ✔️ Daily Timeframe: Our HWC is strongly bullish. After hitting $ 3,497.80 , we entered a secondary retracement phase, forming a symmetrical triangle. If we break resistance at $ 3,444.18 , my targets are the next ceiling at $ 3,494.50 and, long-term, $ 3,796.64 . But if we break support at $ 3,796.64 , it could signal a major trend change from uptrend to downtrend, opening shorts. Next supports are $ 3,206.32 and $ 3,019.31 —use these as your targets. 📊 Key Insight : Risk management is key to surviving financial markets. Stick to max 1%–2% risk per trade to stay safe. 📉 Market Context: Markets are predicting a major recession in the U.S. economy. If it happens, Gold will be the only safe-haven asset. So, I personally favor riding Gold’s uptrend. This historic drop screams one thing: global markets are losing faith in U.S. monetary and fiscal policies, big time. And that’s a loud wake-up call for investors: It’s time to bulletproof your portfolio. What’s that mean? Your stocks, real estate, cash, bonds , you name it... They’re slowly but surely turning to Gold . 💬 Let’s Talk! Which Gold trigger are you eyeing? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticLab
1
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 14Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3412, support below 3339 Four-hour chart resistance 3400, support below 3349 One-hour chart resistance 3390, support below 3353 Gold news analysis: In the Asian market on Monday, spot gold hit a high of 3374, a new high since June 23. Trump announced last weekend that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the European Union from August 1, further heating up the market's concerns about international trade and providing momentum for gold prices to rise. Gold prices rose 1% last Friday, closing at 3357, as investors sought safe-haven assets after US President Trump announced multiple tariff measures. Analysts said the uncertainty premium has returned to the market again. Last week, Trump stepped up his tariff offensive against Canada, saying that the United States would impose a 35% tariff on Canadian imports in August and planned to impose a comprehensive tariff of 15% or 20% on most other trading partners. Trump also announced last week that he would impose a 50% tariff on imported copper and a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour level 3349--53 range support, and the upper pressure focuses on the suppression near the 3400-3412 range. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3350. If the four-hour level stabilizes above this position, continue to buy on dips. Buy: 3350near Buy: 3356near
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD (Gold) - Future Outlook (as of mid-July 2025)In continuation :- The future outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) is a complex interplay of various macroeconomic factors, geopolitical developments, and market sentiment. As of mid-July 2025, several key themes are likely to shape its trajectory: Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Expectations (Central Bank Actions): Impact: Gold is a non-yielding asset. Therefore, its attractiveness is highly sensitive to interest rate movements. Higher interest rates (or expectations of them) tend to increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, as investors can earn more from interest-bearing assets like bonds. Conversely, lower rates or a more dovish stance from central banks (like the U.S. Federal Reserve, ECB, BoJ) reduce this opportunity cost, making gold more appealing. Current Context: As of mid-2025, markets are closely watching central bank rhetoric regarding potential rate cuts. If inflation continues to moderate, leading to clearer signals or actual rate cuts, this would likely be a positive catalyst for gold prices. However, if inflation proves stickier or central banks maintain a "higher for longer" policy, gold could face headwinds. Inflation Outlook: Impact: Gold has historically been considered a hedge against inflation and a store of value during periods of rising prices. Current Context: If inflation remains elevated or shows signs of re-accelerating, demand for gold as an inflation hedge could increase, providing support to prices. If inflation falls back significantly to central bank targets, this traditional appeal might lessen somewhat, unless other safe-haven drivers emerge. U.S. Dollar Strength: Impact: Gold is primarily priced in U.S. dollars. A stronger U.S. dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers holding other currencies, potentially dampening demand. A weaker dollar has the opposite effect, making gold cheaper and generally supportive of higher gold prices. Current Context: The dollar's strength is heavily influenced by U.S. interest rate differentials and the relative economic performance of the U.S. versus other major economies. A "risk-off" environment can also lead to dollar strength (as a safe-haven itself), which can create a counteracting force for gold. Geopolitical Risks and Economic Uncertainty: Impact: Gold is a classic "safe-haven" asset. In times of increased geopolitical tension, economic instability, financial market turmoil, or escalating conflicts, investor demand for gold typically surges as a store of value. Current Context: Global geopolitical landscape remains complex, with ongoing regional conflicts, trade disputes, and political uncertainties. Any escalation in these areas would likely contribute to increased safe-haven demand for gold. Similarly, if there are growing concerns about a global economic slowdown or recession, gold's appeal as a safe haven could strengthen. Central Bank Gold Demand: Impact: Central banks globally have been significant buyers of gold in recent years, diversifying their reserves away from the U.S. dollar. Their sustained buying provides a structural floor to gold demand. Current Context: Continued strong buying by central banks, particularly from emerging economies, is expected to remain a supportive factor for gold prices in the medium to long term. Overall Future Outlook (Mid-July 2025 Perspective): The outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) appears cautiously bullish in the medium term, with potential for continued appreciation. Positive Drivers: The primary drivers are the increasing likelihood of future interest rate cuts (even if gradual), potentially persistent underlying inflation concerns, and the ongoing elevated geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties. Continued strong central bank demand further underpins this outlook. Potential Headwinds: A significantly stronger-than-expected U.S. dollar (e.g., due to a major global "risk-off" event that drives dollar demand, or robust U.S. economic outperformance leading to delayed rate cuts) could provide a counteracting force. Rapid disinflation could also temper some of gold's appeal. In summary, Gold is likely to remain an important asset in investor portfolios, acting as both an inflation hedge and a safe haven. Its price action will be particularly sensitive to central bank policy shifts and global stability. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance
OANDA:XAUUSD
by shoonya0000
Gold Bullish Above 3342 – Watching 3365 BreakoutGold Futures Rise on Trade & Geopolitical Tensions Gold continues to gain as renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and rising geopolitical risks weigh on market sentiment. While markets have become somewhat desensitized to Trump’s recurring trade rhetoric, concerns remain that resolutions may be delayed. Technical Outlook: As long as the price holds above 3342, the bullish trend is likely to continue toward 3355 and 3365. A stable close above 3365 would open the way to 3395. However, a 1H close below 3342 may trigger a pullback to 3329. Pivot: 3342 Resistance: 3355, 3365, 3395 Support: 3329, 3319, 3309
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
8
SILVER Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER. Time Frame: 17h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,903.0. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 4,102.1. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
XAU/USD technical analysis setup Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 6-hour timeframe, focusing on a key resistance zone that could trigger either a bullish breakout or a bearish reversal. --- Analysis Summary Current Price: $3,357.95 Trend Context: Price is testing a strong resistance zone with a possible breakout or rejection in play. --- Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout 1. Resistance Zone: $3,357–$3,372 Multiple previous rejections. A confirmed close above $3,372.77 signals bullish strength. 2. Upside Targets: Target 1: $3,393.87 Target 2: $3,452.08 3. Indicators: RSI at 63.74, approaching overbought but still with room to rally. EMA 200 is trending upward, supporting bullish bias. --- Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection 1. If price fails to close above $3,372.77, a rejection from resistance is likely. 2. Downside Targets: Reversal projected toward the key support zone at $3,246.97 EMA 200 at $3,300.97 may provide temporary support before breakdown. --- Trade Ideas Direction Entry Level Stop-Loss Target 1 Target 2 Bullish Close above $3,372 Below $3,346 $3,393.87 $3,452.08 Bearish Rejection from $3,357–$3,372 Above $3,380 $3,300 → $3,246.97 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary This is a critical decision point for Gold. A breakout above resistance can propel price to $3,450, while rejection could drive price back to $3,246. The reaction at the current zone will dictate the next major swing. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
FX:XAUUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
16
Short position profit, focus on 3355-3345 support📰 News information： 1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data 2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve 3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues 📈 Technical Analysis： The short-term bears have successfully hit the TP to realize profits, and the trading strategy is still valid. Continue to pay attention to the 3355-3345 support during the day. If effective support is obtained here, you can consider going long. For the rebound, the first TP can focus on the 3365 line. If the gold price breaks through 3380 in the future, it will not be far from 3400. If it falls below, pay attention to the support of 3330-3320 below. It is expected that this is the limit position of short-term bearishness. The impact of tariffs is still there, and the bullish trend remains optimistic in the short term, unless Europe, Japan and other countries have a new solution to tariffs. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3355-3345 TP 3365-3380-3400 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Copper: Event-driven Trade Idea on Recent TariffsCOMEX: Micro Copper Futures ( COMEX_MINI:MHG1! ), #microfutures The Event On July 9th, President Trump announced that he would impose a 50% tariff on imports of copper, effective August 1st. The decision was based on national security assessment. Copper is the second most used material by the U.S. Department of Defense. The President intents to use tariffs to reduce reliance on imports and shore up support for domestic production. Immediate Market Reaction U.S. copper prices ended Tuesday’s session over 13% higher — the sharpest single-day gain since 1989. The September COMEX copper futures contract was settled at $5.584 a pound on Friday, up 35.7% year-to-date. Due to tariffs, Copper in the U.S. is priced at a large premium over international markets. • UK: LME copper contract was quoted at $9,660.5 per ton on Friday. • China: SHFE coper futures was settled at RMB 78,420 per ton. It can be converted to $10,959.4 via the Dollar/RMB exchange rate of 7.1555. • US: COMEX copper quote of $5.584 can be converted to $12,312.7 per ton. • As of Friday, COMEX copper is priced at a 27.5% premium over LME copper, and a 12.3% premium over SHFE copper. The U.S. Copper Market The U.S. Geological Survey reports that the 2024 total refined copper consumption was 1.8 million metric tons. Of which, 850,000 tons were from mining, 150,000 tons were refined from scrap, and 810,000 tons from imports. Chile is the biggest source of U.S. copper imports, accounting for 581,000 tons, or 71.7% of total imports. Canada is the second largest, for 169,000 tons, or 20.9%. Copper is a widely used base metal, found in products ranging from machinery, electronics, household goods, housing, infrastructure projects, to aircraft and missiles. Since President Trump announced a probe into copper in February, traders have been poised for a hike on copper duties, leading to major shifts in inventories away from Europe and Asia and into the U.S. The Next Event: Will the Copper Tariffs get postponed or reduced? The goal to increase domestic production of copper is very challenging. It will take years to ramp up and decades to fully meet demand — at a massive upfront investment cost. Hiking the import duties would not help national security. It could not change the fact that the biggest copper mines are in Chile, Peru and Canada. A sharp increase in the cost of copper will quickly translate into wide-ranging inflation in the U.S. In my opinion, once the Trump administration realizes the full impacts, we could possibly see a crawl-back from the intended copper tariffs. The effective date would be postponed, the tariff rate could be reduced, and many companies may get exemption/waiver. We have seen similar maneuvers happening multiple times in the past few months. Overall, the actual impact of copper tariffs will be much smaller than the original announcement. Shorting COMEX Copper Futures Historically, the price difference between COMEX and LME coppers has been near-zero and was around the $150 level in 2024. Since February, COMEX copper has been trading at $500-$1,500 premium over LME. As of Friday, COMEX copper futures have gone up 35% this year and are now priced at $2,652 per ton above LME copper. In my opinion, these price differences reflect no economic fundamentals. It is purely due to the ever-changing global tariff conflict. If President Trump rescinds his tariff narratives, we could likely see a large drop in COMEX copper prices. A trader sharing this view could explore shorting the COMEX Micro copper ( GETTEX:MHG ). Last Friday, the September micro copper futures contract (MHGU5) was settled at 5.5910. Each contract has a notional value of 2,500 pounds of high-grade copper, or a market value of $13,977.5. To buy or sell 1 contract, a trader is required to post an initial margin of $1,100. The margining requirement reflects a built-in leverage of 12.7-to-1. Let’s use a hypothetical trade to illustrate how to use a short futures position to take advantage a potential reduction on copper tariffs. Hypothetical Trade: • Short 1 MHGU5 contract at 5.5910, and set a stop loss at 6.00 • Trader pays $1,100 for initial margin Scenario 1: Tariffs go into effect, copper rises to $6.57 • Futures reflect a 50% premium over current LME copper price, which is at $4.38 per pound • Short order stop loss at 6.00, and the maximum loss is $1,022.5 (= (6-5.591) x 2500) • The trader loses most of the margining fund, but owes no more Scenario 2: Trump Rescinds Tariffs, Copper falls to $4.38 • COMEX copper will be priced at No premium over LME • Short position gains: $3,027.5 (= (5.591-4.38) x 2500) • The hypothetical return will be 275.2% (= 3027.5 / 1100) The above scenarios show that • When copper falls, short position will have higher returns due to its leverage nature. • When copper rises, the stoploss will kick in to set maximum losses. The above trade idea could be deployed using the standard-size Copper Futures contract. Its notional value is 25,000 tons, which is 10 times bigger than that of the micro contract. The initial margin is $11,000. The standard-size contract is more liquid. On Friday, it had a total volume of 60,313 contracts, and an open interest of 221,682. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX_MINI:MHG1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
1
Early Week Pullback Ahead of Key Economic ReleasesGold Outlook – 14 July | Early Week Pullback Ahead of Key Economic Releases 🌍 Market Sentiment & Macro Overview Gold has started the week with a sharp retracement after filling prior liquidity gaps (FVG) from the past two weeks. This early weakness signals a risk-off tone as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of a heavy macroeconomic calendar and geopolitical trade discussions. This week’s high-impact events include: 📌 US CPI (Inflation Data) 📌 US PPI (Producer Prices) 📌 Unemployment Claims 📌 Retail Sales Figures These data points will likely set the tone for price action through the second half of the week, with potential for sharp moves in gold. 📉 Technical Snapshot – M30 Chart Structure Price swept minor liquidity above recent highs Pulled back by more than $15 from the short-term top Currently trading below the intraday VPOC (~3358), suggesting short-term bearish momentum If the selling pressure holds, we may see a move toward: ⚠️ 333x zone — initial liquidity pool ❗ 332x zone — deeper liquidity grab before any bullish reversal 🧭 Trading Plan – Key Zones and Setup 📥 Buy Setup: 3331 – 3329 (Zone of Interest) Stop Loss: 3325 Target Levels: TP1: 3335 TP2: 3340 TP3: 3344 TP4: 3350 TP5: 3360 – 3370 ✅ A highly reactive zone — ideal for intraday long setups if price sweeps into this area and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., volume spike or rejection wick). 📤 Sell Setup: 3393 – 3395 (Resistance Re-Test) Stop Loss: 3399 Target Levels: TP1: 3390 TP2: 3386 TP3: 3382 TP4: 3378 TP5: 3374 – 3370 – 3360 📉 Potential scalp zone if price retests resistance with signs of exhaustion. Monitor closely for bearish structure confirmation. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 3358 3368 3374 3394 Support Zones: 3349 3340 3331 3318 These zones remain relevant for both momentum trades and reversion setups. ⚠️ Strategy Considerations At the time of writing, gold is trading indecisively around the M30 VPOC. No clear breakout has occurred yet. ⏳ Wait for volume confirmation during the London session 🚫 Avoid impulsive entries based on emotions or FOMO ✅ Stick to your risk parameters and let price come to your level 🧠 Summary & Bias Gold is experiencing an early-week technical correction after recent strength. The market is in "wait-and-see" mode, with macro drivers likely to dictate direction from mid-week onwards. 📍 Watch the 3331–3329 zone closely — it remains the most attractive level for long setups. 📍 The 3393–3395 zone is a key area to fade strength if price struggles at resistance. Patience and precision are key this week. Let the market reveal its intention, and trade accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Two Bullish Entry's Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal 3311 Zone 🩸Bullish Break 3343 Zone ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
43
Silver Analysis – Strong Bulls and a Clean Setup AheadLast month, Silver printed a new multi-decade high, a major technical milestone. Since then, price has entered a sideways consolidation, forming a rectangle — but what stands out is this: 👉 Silver bulls have absorbed every dip, even when Gold dropped. That’s strength. And strength usually precedes breakout. 🔍 Current Situation At the time of writing, price is trading around 37.20, and from the current structure, it looks like nothing is standing in the way of an upside break. We don’t predict — we prepare... And this chart looks ready. 🎯 Next Target: 40.00 USD? A push to 40.00 looks like the next “normal” target. But don’t forget: that’s a 3,000 pip move. This type of move will require patience Plan your trade. Respect your risk. Let the bulls work. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
12
Market Structure & Technical Context 14 July 20241. Price Action & Market Structure Gold has broken recent swing highs above ~$3,360, marking a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) and signaling upward momentum continuity Recent pullback zones around $3,350–$3,340 formed a clear Higher Low (Change of Character) — textbook price action confirmation. 2. Fibonacci Retracement / Extension Measuring from the last swing low near ~$3,326 to swing high ~3,374: 38.2% retracement at ~$3,352 coincides with the current bounce zone. 50% retracement at ~$3,350 aligns with key structure support. Upside extension targets: 1.272 at ~$3,396, 1.618 at ~$3,425 — overlapping major resistance zones 3. ICT & Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Order Blocks (OBs) identified near $3,340–$3,342 (prior resistance turned support) — ideal demand zone. A recent Buy-side liquidity grab eclipsed above $3,360, sweeping stops and gathering liquidity before the breakout — classic ICT setup . A Fair Value Gap (imbalance) lies around $3,345–$3,350 — zone to expect value-driven retracement. Higher timeframe has clear SMC alignment: BOS above 3,360 with CHoCH already formed. 4. Major Supply / Demand & Support / Resistance Zones Demand: $3,340–$3,352 (OB + Fib + BOS confluence). Supply: $3,380–$3,385 (intraday swing high resistance), followed by zone at $3,396–$3,400. Key resistance at $3,360–$3,362 — confirmed supply pocket that needs to be reclaimed 5. Moving Average Confirmation The 4‑hour SMA/EMA 100–200 band is sloping up just below current price (~$3,340–$3,350), reinforcing the bullish context . 1‑Hour Intraday Setups (Aligned with HTF Bullish Bias) Setup A: Pullback into 4‑Hour OB / Fair Value Gap Entry: Limit buy at $3,345–$3,350. Stop: Below $3,335 (below imbalance & BOS). TP1: $3,362 (former resistance). TP2: $3,380 (next supply block). Setup B: Breakout Retest of 3,360 Entry: Buy on retest of broken resistance at $3,360. Stop: Below $3,356. TP1: $3,380. TP2: $3,396 (Fib extension confluence). Setup C: Momentum Continuation Fresh Breakout Entry: Market buy on clear H1 BOS above $3,365. Stop: Below breakout candle low (~$3,360). TP: $3,396 (1.272 Fib) – extend to $3,425 if momentum strong. The Golden Setup: Setup A—buy from $3,345–$3,350—has strong confluences: 4‑hour demand OB + fair value gap, 38.2–50% Fib retracement, SMC BOS/imbalance alignment, ICT-style order block zone. This offers high edge with confluence clusters. ✔ Summary Report: Direction & Key Zones Directional Bias: Medium-term (4H): Bullish, confirmed by BOS above 3,360, higher lows, OB and Fibonacci alignment. 🔹 Primary Buy Zones: $3,345–$3,350 — 4H OB + fair value gap + Fib. $3,360 on retention — breakout retest zone. Momentum entry >$3,365. 🔹 Key Target Zones: First resistance: $3,360–$3,362. Next supply: $3,380–$3,385. Extension target: $3,396 (1.272 Fib), then $3,425 (1.618 Fib). 🔻 Watchdownside Risk: Daily invalidation if drop below $3,335 (4H OB break). Next support at $3,326–$3,330. 📋 Consolidated Table: Setups at a Glance Setup Entry Zone Stop Targets Golden $3,345–$3,350 $3,335 TP1: $3,362 / TP2: $3,380 Breakout Pullback $3,360 retest $3,356 $3,380 → $3,396 Momentum BOS >$3,365 (H1 BOS) < $3,360 $3,396 → $3,425 Final Thoughts On the 4‑hour chart, price is firmly in a bullish regime, supported by price structure, SMC, ICT concepts, and Fibonacci confluence. The $3,345–$3,350 zone is the highest‑probability entry for buyers, offering excellent risk/reward. The Golden Setup targets ~$3,380 and beyond, combining structure, gap fill, and liquidity strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Gold trend forecast for next week, continue to go longAfter the gold broke through on Friday, we started to turn long, and gold rose strongly. Gold finally rose as expected, and the gold bulls are still strong. If there is no major change in the news over the weekend, the decline next week will not be large, and we can continue to buy. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross upward and the bulls are arranged and diverge. The strength of gold bulls is still there, and the gold moving average support has also moved up to around 3330. After gold broke through 3330 yesterday, gold fell back to 3330 and stabilized and rose twice. The short-term gold 3330 has formed a strong support. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 3330 next week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
The impact of tariffs continues, shorting is expected to retrace📰 News information： 1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data 2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve 3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues 📈 Technical Analysis： During the weekend, the Trump administration's tariff information continued to come out, causing a large amount of funds to flow into the safe-haven market, triggering an escalation of market risk aversion. Although the collapse in the previous tariff remarks did hit the market's buying enthusiasm to a certain extent, the strong rise on Friday also stimulated the market's buying enthusiasm again. This, whether it is on the way down or on the way up, has attracted retail investors to a certain extent. As we judged on gold on Friday and the weekend, short-term bulls are undoubtedly strong. However, I think it is very dangerous to continue to chase long positions at high levels. Therefore, I tend to short-term and then consider continuing to chase long positions after the market retreats to the support level. First of all, the CPI data will be released tomorrow. With inflation in the United States currently heating up, the Federal Reserve is undoubtedly resisting a rate cut in July. This has, to some extent, dampened the enthusiasm of bulls. Secondly, it is necessary to pay attention to the response of Europe and Japan to the tariff issue. Due to the timeliness, the current market expectations are undoubtedly limited. In the short term, the RSI indicator is already seriously overbought. For today's operation arrangement, it is recommended to short at the rebound of 3365-3375. If the gold price continues to maintain a strong trend in the short term and breaks through this resistance area, it is time to stop loss. First of all, we should pay attention to whether 3355-3345 can be broken. Once it falls below the support of 3355-3345, we will need to see the 3330 line below, and it may even fall below 3300. Therefore, we also need to take precautions and follow up. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3365-3375 TP 3355-3345 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 13th, 2025XAUUSD 7/13/2025 XAUUSD 4 hour Long Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bullish Daily - Bullish 4hour - Bullish Gold is looking pretty bullish this week as we saw a significant push above our 3,320.000 resistance zone. Looking to ride that same trend through this next week. Bullish continuation - After a nice rally last week gold looks primed for another long setup. Ideally, price action goes for the retest of 3,320.000 and forms a higher low. This would confirm bullish structure and we can begin targeting higher toward major levels of resistance. Bearish Reversal - For us to consider bearish setups we would first need to see a break back below 3,320.000 followed by a confirmed lower high. If this happens we can consider short positions and look to target lower toward major levels of support.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ForexLeague