GOLD → Testing Key Resistance with Potential to Reach 2726-2790OANDA:XAUUSD currently testing an important resistance level from which we can expect the price to continue rising to key levels such as 2726-2790. Technically, gold has entered the buying zone and the fundamental context supports it.
Gold is supported by weak US inflation data, moderate Fed expectations, hopes for Chinese stimulus measures, and fading concerns about President-elect Trump's disruptive trade tariffs which have supported the risk-on sentiment prevailing in markets, causing the US dollar to decline sharply.
Focus shifts to other economic data releases from the US, including December Retail Sales and Weekly Unemployment Claims, which will provide more clarity on the Fed's interest rate trajectory after January. Markets have fully priced in a rate pause at the Fed's policy meeting later this month. Gold prices will also remain dependent on any speculation surrounding Trump's tariff plans.
Technically, all eyes are now on the resistance zone at 2697-2700. If gold can consolidate above this area, buyers will quickly enter the medium and long-term playing field. But don't forget about the upcoming news releases.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Metals
Strong correction, quick recovery, pay attention to NFP dataOANDA:XAUUSD Strong correction then quickly recovered and returned to close to $2,878, an important technical level for a new up cycle to open.
In economic data released Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reported that initial jobless claims rose 11,000 to 219,000 last week, compared with an expected 213,000.
The data has weighed on the US Dollar Index (Dxy) for some time, which hit a two-year high of 110.17 on January 13 but has fallen 2% since then.
In the absence of tariff-related news, the market is focused on today's US nonfarm payrolls report, which will be the next big influence on the US monetary policy outlook.
In the latest news, the Federal Reserve announced on Thursday local time that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will testify in the US Congress next week. This will be the first time he has answered questions from members of Congress since last July.
Powell will testify before the Senate Banking Committee next Tuesday and testified before the House Financial Services Committee the following day.
Before the end of last year, the Fed cut interest rates by 100 basis points in three meetings. In January, the Fed voted to leave interest rates unchanged between 4.25% and 4.5%. At the press conference following last month's interest rate decision, Powell said the Fed was in no hurry to cut interest rates further.
US President Trump has toned down his criticism of Powell and his colleagues, which may help Powell's appearance go more smoothly. On Sunday, Trump said the Fed "did the right thing" by pausing interest rates.
According to LSEG data, the market now expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in July and a total of 46 basis points in December.
Markets today belong to the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, US nonfarm payrolls are expected to fall to 170,000 from 256,000 in January. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%.
The strong labor market is boosting economic growth and prompting the Fed to pause interest rate cuts as it assesses the inflationary impact of Trump's fiscal, trade and immigration policies.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold decreased and corrected then recovered when it gained support from the upper edge of the price channel, the Fibonacci extension 0.618% and Fibonacci 0.50%. Now that the rapid recovery has brought it back close to the target level of $2,878, the Fibonacci extension position is 0.786% and if the gold price is trading above this key technical level it will have conditions for a new bullish cycle with a target of around $2,900 in the short term, more than $2,918.
The relative strength index (RSI) is operating in the overbought area, but does not show any signs of a possible correction; a correction signal will be identified when the RSI folds below the 80 level.
During the day, the uptrend still dominates the technical chart, so the current pullbacks should only be considered a short-term correction without changing the trend. Along with that, notable locations will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,846 – 2,834 – 2,824USD
Resistance: 2,878 – 2,900 – 2,918USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2878 - 2876⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2882
→Take Profit 1 2871
↨
→Take Profit 2 2866
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2839 - 2841⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2835
→Take Profit 1 2846
↨
→Take Profit 2 2851
GOLD → False or true resistance breakout?OANDA:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above the previously broken boundary of the ascending channel. The struggle that has not ended creates risks for both buyers and sellers.
The weakening USD, coupled with the lack of clarity surrounding President Donald Trump's policy plans and ongoing trade wars, continues to provide support for gold.
Inflation expectations are rising amid a period of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, forcing the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain high interest rates for an extended period to control increasing price pressures. Since taking office, President Trump has provided little detail on his proposed tariffs, raising questions about the seriousness of these measures and their potential impact.
In the coming days and weeks, the precious metals market will be influenced by constantly shifting news from Washington.
Resistance levels: 2758, 2770
Support levels: 2750, 2745, 2730
Currently, prices are consolidating above previously broken resistance levels. If there is no bullish momentum and the price breaks through a false resistance channel, gold may decline toward 2745 - 2730.
However, a breakout above the local resistance level could trigger buying and push the price to the target: 2770.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
XAUUSD H1 I Potential Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 76.05, which is an overlap resistance
Our take profit will be at 2838.63, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 2883.65, above a swing high resistane and the 127.2% Fivobacci extension.
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The Friday Forecast; Best Setups Frr Feb 7This market outlook will cover 15 markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
Non Farm Payroll news tomorrow! This is likely to inject a lot of volatility into the markets.
I recommend to wait until after the news is announced before executing on any trades. You never know where the market will go!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed slightly higher with low volatility. As mentioned yesterday, the daily chart shows that the index is holding support at the 3-day moving average, while the MACD remains in an upward buy trend. However, resistance is evident along the upper trendline connecting previous highs.
Today, a pullback toward the 5-day moving average should be considered, and the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report will be a key catalyst in determining whether the uptrend continues.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, suggesting a consolidation phase that could gradually lift moving averages before another bullish wave emerges. Overall, a buy-on-dip approach remains favorable, particularly if a pre-market pullback toward the 5-day MA occurs. However, given the potential for increased volatility from today's data release, risk management is crucial.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower after facing resistance at the 3-day moving average. However, downside support remains strong, making further declines difficult, which favors buy-side positioning. Since oil has now tested the 3-day MA, today’s strategy should focus on selling near the 5-day MA if a rally occurs.
Both long and short positions should factor in weekly closing dynamics, as weekend geopolitical risks may lead to gap openings on Monday.
On the 240-minute chart, oil remains in a downward trend, but signs of base formation are emerging. The MACD is nearing a potential golden cross, so traders should watch closely for a momentum shift.
Additionally, geopolitical risks are increasing, with Trump tightening sanctions on Iran, adding to oil market volatility. Given these conditions, buying dips remains the preferred approach, but risk management is essential.
Gold
Gold closed lower, facing a sharp pullback after reaching the psychological level of 2900. The deep retracement suggests profit-taking at key resistance levels.
Despite this correction, the daily chart still maintains a buy trend, and as long as gold holds above the 10-day moving average on a closing basis, the overall bullish bias remains intact. However, given that the MACD is completing its third bullish wave, a consolidation phase is likely as the MACD and Signal line begin to narrow. For now, buyers should focus on entering at lower levels to optimize risk-reward.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has emerged, leading to the current pullback. However, the MACD and Signal line are significantly below the zero line, meaning that despite the downtrend, buying interest could emerge on any further dips. This structure reduces the appeal of chasing short positions.
Today's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is a major risk event, known for triggering extreme volatility in gold. As one of the most critical economic indicators for gold traders, managing exposure ahead of the release is crucial. Expect range-bound price action before the report, with a potential breakout afterward.
Stay disciplined and manage risk carefully, as today’s NFP release will drive market volatility. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21820 / 21750 / 21710 / 21625 / 21510
-Sell Levels: 21870 / 21930 / 22010 / 22070 / 22135
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 70.20 / 69.80 / 69.20 / 68.30
-Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.20 / 72.70
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2876 / 2871 / 2862 / 2855
-Sell Levels: 2885 / 2892 / 2896 / 2902
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Why XAU/USD Is a Day Trader’s Dream: Volatility, Liquidity, and XAU/USD is one of the most popular instruments for day traders due to its high liquidity, volatility, and strong correlation with macroeconomic events. Gold is considered a safe-haven asset, meaning its price tends to react sharply to global uncertainties, such as inflation, interest rate changes, central bank policies, and geopolitical tensions. This constant flow of market-moving news creates frequent trading opportunities, making it ideal for short-term strategies. Additionally, the forex market operates 24 hours a day, allowing traders to capitalize on price movements at any time, especially during key trading sessions like London and New York, where volume surges. The high liquidity of XAU/USD ensures tight spreads and smooth trade execution, reducing slippage and enhancing profitability for active traders. Moreover, the availability of leverage allows traders to control larger positions with smaller capital, amplifying potential returns. Technical analysis also plays a crucial role in XAU/USD trading, as gold tends to respect key support and resistance levels, trendlines, and Fibonacci retracements, making it suitable for traders who rely on chart patterns and indicators. With its combination of volatility, liquidity, and responsiveness to economic catalysts, XAU/USD remains a top choice for day traders seeking both momentum and profit potential in the markets. OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)We've seen an initial rejection from our resistance zone, with Gold down 470 PIPS so far. We have seen most of today's downside wiped, as Gold has pushed back up again.
We have NFP data tomorrow, so how Gold moves & the weekly candle closes, will indicate if we still have some further upside left next week.
INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE FOR XAUUSDSupport Zone: 2854–2859
Pivot: 2854.00
CURRENT TREND
Long positions over 2854.00, with targets of 2879.00 and 2890.00 in extension.
BREAKOUT
Below 2854.00, expect for further fall with objectives of 2840.00 and 2830.00.
The next resistances are at 2879.00 and 2894.00.
Supports and Resistances
2900.00
2890.00
2879.00
2867.09
2854.00
2840.00
2830.00
Trade closed: target reached
it reached target of 2840
Gold is overbought.GOLD is in an upward channel.
The indicators hint to overbought.
The chart has created a harmonic pattern.
We foresee a correction.
-------------------
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Trade Active
GOLD is in an upward channel between the trendlines.
The price is moving away from dynamic resistance and the channel's upper boundary.
The chart has created a harmonic pattern.
We expect XAUUSD to fall within the channel.
Bullish momentum to extend?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,812.53
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,776.95
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,871.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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XAU/USD Trade Idea: Potential Long Setup📊 Pair: XAU/USD (Gold)
💡 Trade Bias: Bullish
• Buy Entry: Around 2,816.691
• Take Profit (TP): 2,882.344
• Key Level (IDM): 2,839.487
🎯 Plan:
Waiting for price to take out the IDM level before moving into my order flow for a refined entry. Will look for a CHoCH flip on the 5M timeframe within the order block to confirm bullish intent.
🚨 Note: Price action near the IDM level and 5M confirmation will dictate the actual entry. Staying cautious until all confirmations align.
Gold might revert to the trend line following a rising riseHello everyone, today I'm ready to provide you with Gold analytics. A few days ago, we saw a big upward movement in the market, but before that, Gold traded near support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then it rebounded and surged to 2727 points before correcting even below support 2, but then it reversed and began trading inside the wedge. Price plummeted below the trend line and immediately rebounded, shattering the second support level and continuing to climb higher along this line.Gold ascended for a long time along this line, but on the fourth touch, it rebounded and reached the first support level, which corresponded with another support zone. Then it corrected to practically the trend line before quickly rising back to the first support, breaking it, and exiting the wedge. It then retested and increased its score to 2880 points. Now, I expect XAUUSD to make a correction to the trend line, which is positioned within the support zone. That's why I set my target at 2800 points, which corresponds to them. If you appreciate my analytics, please support me with a like or remark.
XAU/USD: A Possible Correction? (Read the caption.)Analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timescale reveals that, as expected, the price corrected to $2858 following yesterday's study. However, it rapidly recovered, gaining 240 pips to set a new all-time high of $2882.
Today, we finally had a pullback from $2882 to $2848, and gold is currently trading around $2868. If the market manages to stabilize below $2873.5 and is strongly rejected from this level, we may witness a fall down to depths under $2850.
With increasing market volatility and important macroeconomic events on the horizon, traders should exercise caution. Price activity near these levels will be key in deciding the next move, as gold responds to fundamental variables such as inflation data and geopolitical developments. Monitoring price activity near support and resistance levels will be critical for spotting potential trading opportunities.
Please support me with your likes and comments to encourage me to share more analysis with you and share your thoughts on the potential trend of this chart with me!
By Nexus Trades Zone
"Gold (XAU/USD) Breaks Key Support – short term targetsThe 1-hour chart for XAU/USD shows a potential bearish setup with a recent breakout below a key support level. The price is currently hovering around 2,857, with a strong downward move anticipated if the breakdown sustains. The marked "Breakout Below" indicates a possible continuation toward the first target around 2,850, and if further selling pressure persists, the second target near 2,835 may be reached.
The previous bullish structure saw multiple breakouts and changes in character (ChoCh), but the current price action suggests a shift in momentum. If price fails to reclaim previous levels, a deeper correction could be in play.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our plans to buy dips is playing out, as analysed.
Yesterday after completing all our Bullish targets we stated that we were now looking for a ema5 cross and lock above 2875 for a continuation above or failure to lock above will see a rejection into the lower Goldlturns for support and bounce.
- This played out perfectly with no lock above 2875 confirming the rejection into the lower Goldlturns, which gave the perfect bounce inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will now see play between the Goldturns and will look for ema5 cross and lock above or below the Goldturns to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2800 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2800 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2826 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2826 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2852 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2852 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2875 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2875 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2898 -
BEARISH TARGETS
2772 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2772 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2744 - 2712
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2712 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2685 - 2655
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Palladium Bullish ContinuationPalladium price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish momentum (after a credible reversal on the 4HR timeframe) as the price action may form another credible Higher Low with multiple confluences of key Fibonacci and credible Support levels.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 984.25
Stop Loss @ 942
TP 1 @ 1026.5
TP 2 @ 1068.24
Move Stop Loss to Break Even if TP1 hits.
XAUUSD Buy Limit OrderHey guys
I think we have a CHoCH in 1H TF but still we're bullish in 4H TF. So this area is good to set a buy limit order.
Let's see how the price reacts to this area.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 06.02.2025Market Analysis: Incomplete Head and Shoulders Pattern with Breakout & Retest Strategy
Pattern Identified:
The chart presents an incomplete Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which suggests a potential reversal or continuation depending on price action at key levels. The neckline of the pattern aligns with the green support zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone (Red Area - ~2,872): Price has tested this zone multiple times, making it a key level for a breakout.
Support Zone (Green Areas - ~2,860 and ~2,844): These zones act as crucial demand areas, where price could either bounce or break lower.
Possible Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks above the red resistance (~2,872) and successfully retests it as support, this would confirm a bullish continuation.
Entry Signal: Buy after a confirmed retest with bullish momentum.
Target: Next resistance levels around 2,884 - 2,890.
Stop-Loss: Below the previous structure (~2,864).
Bearish Breakdown:
If price fails at resistance and breaks below the green support (~2,860), a bearish move is likely.
Entry Signal: Sell after a successful retest of the broken support (~2,860) as new resistance.
Target: Lower support zone around 2,844.
Stop-Loss: Above the broken level (~2,868).
Neutral Range-Bound Scenario:
If price remains trapped between 2,860 and 2,872, traders should wait for a breakout before entering trades.
Trade Signal (Based on Breakout Confirmation)
Buy Signal: If price breaks and retests above 2,872, enter long with a target of 2,884+.
Sell Signal: If price breaks and retests below 2,860, enter short with a target of 2,844.
This strategy ensures safe trading by waiting for confirmation before taking positions.
Kindly follow, comment, and like to show support.
Gold reaches new highs every day, buy after stabilizationThere is no need to analyze the technical aspects too much. If it is strong and sideways, just buy directly. Once the correction is too deep and the stop loss is hit, continue to buy at low levels. The direction is more important than the position. The daily line has been rising continuously. Since mid-December 2024, gold has been like a wild horse running away. The gold price is completely out of control. There is no guessing the top of gold. Today's NY market continues to be bullish. There is no highest, only higher. The next target of 2900 and 3000 is no longer a dream.
In the short term, pay attention to the 2830-2840 area, which has become a new strong support. The bullish trend will be maintained in the short term. The idea is to continue to be bullish if it retraces close to the support band. If the retracement is limited, then look for opportunities to buy after the hourly line adjusts and retraces. If it stops falling and stabilizes, it is an opportunity to enter the market to buy. Use support as a defensive position to arrange a buying strategy. Currently, it touched the 2848 line in 1 hour and stopped falling slightly. Then pay attention to buying near 2848, including buying directly near the current price of 2856 and lower prices, with a stop loss below 2848. If the SL is hit, continue to buy at a lower price. The most worrying thing at the moment is missing the buying opportunity.