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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Move After Opening?! I think that there is a high chance that Gold will have a bullish opening. The market closed, breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame. Fundamentals strongly support this bullish outlook. Resistance 1: 3392 Resistance 2: 3420 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
USD/CAD Trap in Progress? Smart Money Flips BearishUSD/CAD is currently in a rebalancing phase after the strong downside correction seen over recent weeks. Following a rejection in the 1.3900–1.4000 supply zone, price retraced down to a major demand area between 1.3500 and 1.3650, where it has shown a notable bullish reaction. The pair is now trading at 1.3734, and multi-frame data suggests we are in a transitional phase—not yet a confirmed bullish trend reversal. COT Report – Institutional Positioning The latest Commitments of Traders data (June 10th) reveals critical signals: Commercials (hedgers and large institutions) have aggressively increased their long exposure on CAD, adding +27,999 contracts. This indicates strong expectations of Canadian dollar appreciation—bearish implications for USD/CAD in the medium term. Non-Commercials (speculators) reduced their short CAD exposure by -14,319 contracts, signaling that speculative players are starting to unwind long USD/CAD positions. Overall, the net shift shows institutional sentiment turning bearish on the pair, potentially pointing to a deeper downside once the current technical pullback completes. USD Index COT – Dollar Momentum Weakening On the USD Index, Non-Comms have added +1,279 long contracts, but positioning remains moderate. Commercials are flat, suggesting the dollar lacks strong bullish backing. This makes any sustained USD/CAD rally structurally fragile. Retail Sentiment Retail traders are 57% short and 43% long on USD/CAD. Although not extreme, this imbalance suggests confidence among retail participants in a bearish move—often preceding a short-term upward squeeze before an eventual trend continuation. We could therefore see price move toward 1.3900 as a liquidity grab, setting the stage for a larger reversal. Technical Analysis – Outlook Key highlights: A strong bullish reaction occurred from the 1.3500–1.3650 demand zone, previously well-respected. The weekly RSI is still below the 50-level but is turning upward—momentum is improving. Price structure shows room for a pullback to the 1.3900–1.4000 supply zone, which aligns with higher-timeframe order blocks. This zone remains a critical resistance, and unless the macro and positioning context changes, a renewed bearish impulse is expected from this area. Trading Outlook The current picture presents a tactical short-term long opportunity, followed by a potential structural short setup. 📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Pullback (in play): With price above 1.3700 and consolidating, there’s space for a rally toward the 1.3900–1.4000 supply zone. Ideal for short-term targets. 📉 Scenario 2 – Structural Short (priority bias): Should price reach 1.3950–1.4000 and show bearish confirmation (e.g., engulfing, doji, rejection on H4/H1), this would be a prime area to initiate swing shorts, targeting 1.3600 and eventually 1.3450. ✅ Final Bias: Structural Bearish – Corrective Bullish Watch for potential false breakouts above 1.3800–1.3900 to liquidate retail shorts before a more meaningful downside move. The sharp increase in commercial net long CAD positions supports a bearish USD/CAD bias for the coming weeks.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
16
Forex and Gold Market Highlights June 21 2025Forex & Gold Market Highlights – June 21, 2025 🕒 Key Events This Week: • 🏦 Fed officials signaling possible rate cuts vs. cautious economic tone • 🌍 Escalating Israel–Iran tensions boosting safe-haven flows • 🏭 Mixed U.S. macro data (retail sales, Philly Fed, housing) shaping Fed expectations ________________________________________ 💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1520 on Safe-Haven Flows EUR/USD edged up to about 1.1520 amid weakness in the U.S. dollar, driven by global risk-off sentiment. Mixed signals from the Fed kept traders cautious. ________________________________________ 💷 GBP/USD Hovering Around 1.3500 on USD Strength GBP/USD remains near 1.3500, slipping slightly off highs after weaker UK retail data. The pair faces resistance in the 1.3550–1.3600 zone. ________________________________________ 💴 USD/JPY Eyeballing 146 Resistance USD/JPY climbed toward 146.00, driven by risk-averse USD demand and dovish BOJ stance. The pair is testing key retracement resistance near 146.76. ________________________________________ 🥇 Gold Pulls Back but Holds Ground Spot gold slid to around $3,334 3,381 this week, under pressure from a stronger dollar and diminished Fed rate-cut hopes. Still, geopolitical jitters kept it from falling hard. • Weekly drop of ~2.5%, trading in a $3,330–$3,400 range. ________________________________________ 📈 DXY Index Rallies on Risk Aversion The U.S. Dollar Index rose ~0.45%, marking its strongest weekly gain in over a month due to heightened safe-haven flows amid Middle East tensions. ________________________________________ 📌 Market Outlook: • EUR/USD: Mixed bias. May test 1.1550–1.1600 if risk-off continues; downside risk near 1.1400 if U.S. data surprises. • GBP/USD: Expected to stay in the 1.3450–1.3550 range; UK economic data and USD momentum will be key. • USD/JPY: Bullish tilt remains toward 146.76, but any BOJ hints of policy tightening could shake it. • Gold: Pressure from a firm dollar is likely to persist. Watch for geopolitical developments and upcoming Fed signals for reversal clues.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
19
XAUUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on XAUUSD Overview: Gold (XAUUSD) has shown consistent bullish momentum for over 16 months. Recently, we’ve seen a continuation of that strength, especially after breaking above the key $2,320 resistance zone. While there has been some temporary consolidation, the overall bullish structure remains intact, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and inflation hedging. That said, I am still anticipating a possible continuation of the bullish momentum that has been in play for quite some time. Moving forward, I will be looking for a clear break above the 3380 region — followed by a successful retest of the breakout zone — before entering a long position. Alternatively, a short opportunity may arise if the 3350 intraday resistance holds and the price fails to break above it. In that case, I will look for signs of further downward momentum toward the 3300 region. 🧭 Trading Plan: ✅ BUY: Look for a break and retest of the 3355 region on the 4H timeframe. 🔻 SELL: Bias (Alternative Scenario): If the price stays below the 3350 zone, then look for a potential short opportunity moving forward. 🎯 Targets & Risk Management: Targeting 1:2 R:R on both setups.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Adefxc
H4 Outlook – Between Flip and Trap👋 Hey Gold minds, welcome to another sniper-level breakdown. We're mid-range between major sweep zones and watching carefully how price reacts around the current compression under key EMAs and FVG. Let’s break it down: 🔸 MACRO + FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT USD drivers this week: 🔹 Monday–Tuesday: Multiple FOMC Members speaking 🔹 Wednesday: Powell Testimony 🔹 Thursday: Final GDP + Unemployment Claims 🔹 Friday: Core PCE and UoM Inflation Expectations Macro sentiment: FOMC speakers remain hawkish while inflation is sticky. Gold reacts defensively as markets price in Powell’s tone. Liquidity traps on both sides still active. Gold consolidates below key liquidity at 3405, potentially setting up for either expansion or sweep rejection. 🔸 H4 STRUCTURE + BIAS Market structure: Price formed a Lower High (3452) and confirmed bearish intent with a break of structure to the downside (CHoCH & BOS). Currently compressing under H4 Fair Value Gap and retesting an internal OB + EQ zone around 3360–3370, showing signs of rejection. EMA Cluster: Price is compressing between EMA 21 / 50 / 100, failing to reclaim EMA100. EMA5 is crossing under EMA21 – short-term bearish bias holds. Bias: 🔻 Bearish to neutral As long as price stays under 3380, supply remains in control. Only a break and close above 3405–3415 would flip bias bullish short term. 🧭 Sniper Zones – H4 Precision Map 🔷 Type 📍 Price Zone 📌 Justification 🔵 Buy Zone #1 3315 – 3340 Valid OB , previous HL structure, FVG reaction support 🔵 Buy Zone #2 3280 – 3302 Deeper demand pocket, untapped imbalance 🟠 Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 FVG + internal OB + EMA compression = key battle zone 🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3415 Internal OB + unmitigated premium zone under LH 🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Extreme rejection zone — 3452 HH sweep logic + OB 🔸 Price Action Expectations (PA) If price rejects 3360–3380, expect a clean push back to 3320, with possible deeper draw to 3300–3285. A clean break and close above 3380 (not just a wick) may open the door for a sweep of 3405, where sellers are expected. Only an aggressive news-driven breakout above 3415 would unlock the final trap zone toward 3450+ – lower probability unless Powell surprises. ✅ Conclusion & Execution Plan 🎯 Watch how price behaves around the Flip Zone — this is the decision point. 📉 Main bearish confirmation = strong rejection at Flip Zone or 3405. 📈 Bullish continuation only above 3415 with volume and closing strength. 💎 Best RR zones: Sell 3405–3420 → targeting 3360 / 3340 Buy 3315–3340 → targeting 3360 / 3380 🔥 If this breakdown helped sharpen your edge, drop a 🚀 in the comments and like the post! 🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for more real-time, structure-based sniper plans. 🧠 Precision isn't optional. It's the edge. 🔹 Disclosure: As part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program, we receive monthly compensation for using their charts. GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
2
SILVER On The Rise! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on SILVER and concluded the following: The market is trading on 36.006 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 36.456 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD Daily Outlook | June 23, 2025👋 Hello Gold traders! We’re entering a new week with structure sharpening around key zones. Price is now hovering just below the decision shelf at 3385, and all eyes are on whether bulls defend structure — or bears trigger the first real trap. Let’s zoom in with pure Daily focus and zero noise. 🔸 DAILY STRUCTURE OUTLOOK Gold remains in a clear bullish trend on the Daily timeframe, with the last confirmed Higher High at 3452. However, current price is in a retracement phase, testing the area just below the BOS and reacting to recent liquidity sweeps. Despite rising USD pressure, the bullish structure remains intact unless a daily close breaks below 3315. 📌 Daily Bias: Bullish (retracement phase active) 🧭 Macro Context: Heavy Fed week: Powell testifies Tue & Wed, Core PCE and Consumer Sentiment hit Fri. USD may remain supported short-term, but gold still benefits from long-term inflation hedge + geopolitical risk flows. 🔹 STRUCTURAL KEY ZONES (D1) Type Zone Confluences 🟢 Buy Zone #1 3320 – 3340 Daily OB, FVG base, EMA50 , structure HL defense 🔵 Buy Zone #2 3265 – 3285 Untapped OB + imbalance, deeper fib retrace 🟠 Flip Zone 3363 – 3385 Former BOS, FVG retest, minor liquidity shelf 🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3425 First sweep of equal highs, premium OB, FVG pocket 🔴 Sell Zone #2 3440 – 3460 Extreme bull trap: clean OB top, imbalance cluster 🎯 EXECUTION PLAN 🔍 Flip Zone is your battlefield — if bulls reclaim this zone cleanly, we may revisit 3405. 📉 3405–3425 offers the first sniper short opportunity: liquidity sweep + OB + FVG = prime short trigger. 📈 3320–3340 is the cleanest high-RR long zone — only enter if price reacts with strength and forms a rejection candle or bullish engulfing. 🧊 If 3320 fails, standby at 3265–3285 for a deeper correction entry backed by clean OB/FVG logic. ✅ SUMMARY & ACTION PLAN Wait for confirmation at the Flip Zone — do not force direction. Most precise sniper trades expected: 🔻 Sell from 3405–3425 → target Flip Zone 🔺 Buy from 3320–3340 → target 3385–3400 Only engage with clear OB reactions and strong PA confirmation — no bounce chasing. 💬 If this outlook gave you clarity, drop a 🚀 and a like to support the work — it helps more traders find it. 💡 Got feedback or want to ask something? Comment below — we read everything. 📌 Follow GoldFxMinds for high-precision sniper plans, every single day. 📌 Disclaimer: I'm part of Trade Nation's Influencer Program and receive compensation for using their charts on TradingView. This content is for educational purposes only. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
11
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | June 23–27, 2025👋 Hey gold traders! As we close out the FOMC week and head into the final stretch of June, gold continues to hold bullish structure — but this week's candle is entering a very sensitive premium area. Let's break it all down in full top-down clarity: 🔍 Weekly Structure Update ✅ Weekly BOS confirmed since November 2023 ✅ Price holding above EMA 5/21/50 — bullish lock intact 🔼 Current HH printed at 3452 📍Price is now entering a weekly FVG + supply trap zone around 3440–3460 🟣 RSI divergence starting to appear — caution in premium 🗺 Key Weekly Zones Type Price Range Context 🔵 Demand Zone 3150 – 3190 Weekly OB + EMA50 confluence 🟣 FVG Support 3284 – 3320 Fresh imbalance post BOS 🟠 Flip Zone 3363 – 3385 Retest of BOS + FVG bottom 🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Weekly OB + liquidity sweep area 🧠 Bias This Week 📌 Bullish, but extended. We expect a reaction from 3440–3460, not blind continuation. The next healthy buy opportunity is only valid on a retrace toward 3320–3280, aligned with imbalance + structure. 🧭 GoldFxMinds Game Plan Above 3440–3460 = overextension — wait for trap/sweep confirmation 🧨 Below 3363 = bearish flip zone — risk of revisiting 3280 Ideal buy = 3284–3320 → only on bullish PA or reversal confirmation 📰 Upcoming Economic Events (June 23–27) 🗣 FOMC Speakers flood the week (Waller, Powell, Williams, Goolsbee, Hammack, etc.) 🏠 Existing & New Home Sales, Consumer Confidence, Pending Home Sales 🛢 Crude Oil & Natural Gas Inventory reports 📊 Final GDP q/q, Core PCE, Personal Spending/Income 📉 Durable Goods, Unemployment Claims 🧪 Bank Stress Test Results (Friday) ⚠️ This is a dense news week — stay alert for surprise volatility, especially around Powell’s testimonies (Tue & Wed). ⚠️ Summary: We are no longer in discount — we are inside the premium trap. Gold remains bullish, but 3440–3460 is a red flag zone. If this becomes the top, watch the flip at 3363–3385. Only re-enter long if structure confirms. 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a comment, give it a like, and make sure to follow GoldFxMinds for more sniper-level updates every week! 📣 This post was made using the Trade Nation chart feed. As a partner in their influencer program, I receive compensation for using and sharing their tools.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
1
HelenP. I Gold can rise to resistance level and drop to $3325Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a steady climb, the price began to lose momentum and eventually corrected back to the trend line. This zone acted as dynamic support and initiated a new wave of upward movement. However, unlike the previous impulse, the price started consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, signaling indecision and weakening bullish pressure. Now the structure is tightening near the resistance zone, where the price has already been rejected multiple times. The market appears to be preparing for another interaction with the resistance level around 3430. Given the overall context, fading bullish energy, repeated rejections, and the triangle formation, I expect the price to test the resistance one more time before reversing downward. My goal is the trend line support, which aligns with 3325 points. This zone offers a logical area for the price to move next, especially considering the limited momentum above and the growing risk of breakdown inside the triangle. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
9
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone, Great finish to the week across all our multi timeframe analysis. We updated our 1H chart throughout the week catching the buys from the dips using our levels and ema5 cross and lock allowed us to track the movement with confirmation. This is now an end of week update on our daily chart idea. This chart shows our perfect play into the channel top and then rejection for the movement down. We used our smaller timeframe charts to catch the bounces from this movement down. Following up on our previous analysis, price action has continued to respect our Goldturn channel beautifully. The key takeaway here is that the channel levels are being respected with precision, validating the strength and reliability of our Goldturn channel framework. We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
Gold may exit from pennant and rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The price previously made a strong impulse upward, forming a downward pennant, but this move lost steam after touching the seller zone around 3430 - 3440. From there, the market reversed and dropped sharply below the support level, even creating a visible gap. Didn’t last long, the price recovered quickly and made another strong move up, breaking out of the downward pennant structure. Since then, Gold has been trading inside a new formation, an upward pennant, where both support and resistance lines are gradually converging. This setup suggests growing pressure and the potential for a breakout. Currently, the price is hovering near the support line of this upward pennant. In my opinion, we may see a small correction to test this support, followed by a bullish rebound. If the structure holds, Gold could break out upward and head directly toward the 3430 resistance level, which matches the upper boundary of the previous seller zone — this is my TP 1. Given the strong impulse structure and continuation pattern, I remain bullish and expect further growth after this local retest. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
12
GOLD → Consolidation within a falling wedgeFX:XAUUSD is consolidating. A major player is gathering a trading position inside a wedge ahead of distribution. But the main question is: in which direction? Gold lost ground again on Friday after mixed holiday trading on Thursday. Traders are waiting for new signals from the Fed and monitoring the situation in the Middle East. Interestingly, gold fell as the conflict escalated further (which is not logical overall). The dollar is in a global bearish trend, and traders are waiting for a decision from Powell (who is under pressure from Trump to cut rates). Technically, if we look at the wedge, we can see how difficult it is for the market to move. The price is stuck inside the consolidation. The intraday movement is very short, with long tails and a very weak reaction to both false breakouts and level break. Large players are building up positions inside the current channel. This may only hint at the possibility of future implementation (distribution). Resistance levels: 3360, 3396, 3420 Support levels: 3338, 3320, 3302 On D1 - H4, gold is in a countertrend (bullish trend) correction and is testing the trend support + 0.7 Fibo zone. Below, there are fairly strong areas of interest — 3320 and 3302 — which gold may test before rising. However, within the wedge, there is a fairly high probability of a breakout of resistance and the 3360 level, followed by a rally to the liquidity zone at 3396 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
Middle East Tension: Read This Before You Trade today⚔️🕊️💣 Middle East Tension: Read This Before Markets close for the Weekend 🌍🔥✌️ Video: Hey traders, Today’s landscape is delicate and raw: we stand between a possible US strike on Iran and a chance for leaders to step back from the edge. Many are asking: Should I bet on gold? Should I short the indices? Should I buy oil? Here’s my honest read, straight from today’s video (which I highly recommend you watch for full context 📺): 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) Still ranging sideways. The last move hit my resistance zone perfectly. For now, BTC keeps its cool — but watch out: global fear can spark sudden moves, or the opposite, a liquidity crunch. 👉 Gold & Silver Yes, they’re classic safe havens — but don’t fall for the textbook trap. When true chaos strikes, big players often sell profitable gold positions to cover losses elsewhere. So an initial spike is possible, but deep pockets can reverse it fast. This is why I’m cautious: I do not expect a guaranteed pump on gold or silver. 👉 Crude Oil (WTI) The chart says it all: any strike in the Middle East fuels oil prices fast. But as I’ve always said — I do not long oil during human tragedy. Ethics over easy pips. 👉 Indices & USDJPY Gaps are likely. Risk assets may get hammered if bombs fall. If leaders choose dialogue instead, expect a risk-on rebound. The USD stays a wildcard: trust in the US remains, but shocks test that trust. 👉 Airlines Pausing Flights? Yes — major airlines are avoiding the Gulf. That alone signals how real this risk is. ✅ My plan is clear: I never short disasters. I never profit from pain. I am LONG on humanity and peace. I’d rather lose a trade than wish for blood in the streets. I do have some carefully calculated positions open tonight — fully risk-managed and small-sized. If Monday gaps bless me, fine. If peace wins and my trades lose? Even better. 👉 Watch the full video for my live charts, context, and unfiltered thoughts. This text is just a recap — the full idea is already posted as a video. Stay sharp. Stay ethical. Protect your capital and your soul — one good trade is never worth your humanity. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by FX_Professor
7
Middle East Tension & Markets: My Honest Stance🌍🕊️✌️ Middle East Tension & Markets: My Honest Stance 💣 🔥 🗡️ Hi everyone, It’s Friday, June 20th — and we face a fragile moment: the uncertainty of possible US military action against Iran. 📉📰✈️ On my charts: Bitcoin (BTC) reached key resistance and now ranges sideways as we await clarity. Gold (XAUUSD) remains the classic safe haven — it holds an ascending structure, but profit-taking could trigger dips if markets crash. Silver (XAGUSD) is similar, yet needs broader industrial strength to outperform gold. Crude Oil (WTI) could spike dramatically if bombs fall — but I choose not to profit from pain. USDJPY & USD pairs reflect global trust in the dollar and US stability — I’ll cover this more next week. My personal stance is simple: 💙 I never short disasters. I never profit from human suffering. I am LONG on humanity and peace. 🕊️✌️🌈 👉 I expect potential market gaps between now and Monday: ✅ Bad news (war) → gold, silver, oil likely pump ✅ Good news (diplomacy) → risk assets rebound, oil stabilizes I am positioned carefully with small risk and clear stops. My goal: protect my capital, trade my plan, but never bet on pain. If I lose because peace prevails — I win as a human. Stay safe, trade wisely, and never forget: sometimes the best trade is no trade at all. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by FX_Professor
5
Silver Offers More Upside and Less Risk Than Bitcoin In the ever-evolving landscape of investment opportunities, two assets often stand out for their allure as alternative stores of value: silver and Bitcoin (BTC). Both have captured the imagination of investors seeking diversification beyond traditional equities and bonds, yet they cater to vastly different risk profiles and market dynamics. Recently, Bitcoin has experienced a notable dip in its price, prompting renewed debate about its stability and long-term potential. Amid this backdrop, silver emerges as a compelling alternative, offering more upside potential and less risk compared to the volatile cryptocurrency. While crypto enthusiasts argue Bitcoin's dominance and rising market cap cement its position as a leading asset, silver’s fundamental strengths, historical resilience, and current market positioning make a strong case for its outperformance in the near term. This article delves into the comparative analysis of silver and Bitcoin, exploring their respective market conditions, risk-reward profiles, fundamental drivers, and technical outlooks. It also addresses the counterarguments from Bitcoin supporters and examines why, despite BTC’s impressive $2 trillion market cap and higher global asset ranking, silver presents a more attractive opportunity for investors seeking stability and growth in the current economic climate. ________________________________________ The Current State of Bitcoin: A Dip Sparks Concern Bitcoin, often heralded as "digital gold," has been a transformative force in the financial world since its inception in 2009. Its meteoric rise over the past decade, culminating in a market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion at its peak, has solidified its status as a dominant alternative asset. As of late 2023, Bitcoin ranks among the top global assets by market value, far surpassing silver, which holds a market cap of approximately $1.4 trillion based on total above-ground silver stocks valued at current prices. However, Bitcoin’s recent price dip—following a period of intense volatility—has raised eyebrows among investors. After reaching an all-time high near $73,000 in early 2023, BTC has corrected by over 20%, trading closer to $55,000-$60,000 in recent weeks (based on hypothetical data for this analysis). This decline has been attributed to a combination of factors, including macroeconomic pressures like rising interest rates, regulatory scrutiny in major markets, and profit-taking by institutional investors. Such volatility is not new to Bitcoin; it has historically experienced sharp corrections of 30% or more during bull runs. Yet, each dip reignites debates about its reliability as a store of value, especially for risk-averse investors. Crypto supporters have been quick to defend Bitcoin, emphasizing its long-term upward trajectory and growing adoption. They argue that Bitcoin’s market cap, which dwarfs silver’s, reflects its superior position in the global asset hierarchy. Moreover, institutional interest—evidenced by the entry of major players like BlackRock and Fidelity into Bitcoin ETFs—underscores its staying power. Proponents also point to Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and finite supply (capped at 21 million coins) as reasons it remains a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, even amidst short-term price fluctuations. Despite these arguments, Bitcoin’s inherent volatility remains a sticking point. Its price swings are often driven by speculative fervor, market sentiment, and external shocks—factors that are difficult to predict or model. For investors prioritizing capital preservation alongside growth, Bitcoin’s risk profile during periods of uncertainty can be a significant deterrent. This is where silver steps into the spotlight as a more stable alternative with comparable, if not superior, upside potential in the current market environment. ________________________________________ Silver’s Resilient Appeal: A Safe Haven with Growth Potential Silver, often referred to as the "poor man’s gold," has been a store of value for centuries, long predating the advent of cryptocurrencies. Unlike Bitcoin, which operates purely in the digital realm, silver is a tangible asset with intrinsic value derived from its industrial applications and historical role as currency. In 2023, silver prices have shown relative stability compared to Bitcoin, trading in a range of $22-$28 per ounce, with recent movements suggesting a potential breakout above key resistance levels. Fundamental Drivers of Silver’s Upside Several fundamental factors position silver for significant upside in the near to medium term, especially when compared to Bitcoin’s current challenges: 1. Industrial Demand and Green Energy Boom: Silver is a critical component in various industries, notably in the production of solar panels, electronics, and batteries. The global push for renewable energy has driven a surge in demand for silver, as it is the most conductive metal and essential for photovoltaic cells. According to the Silver Institute, industrial demand for silver reached a record high in 2022 and is projected to grow by 8-10% annually through 2025. This structural demand provides a solid foundation for price appreciation, unlike Bitcoin, whose value is largely speculative. 2. Supply Constraints: Silver mining output has struggled to keep pace with rising demand, creating a persistent market deficit. In 2022, the global silver market recorded a deficit of over 200 million ounces, the largest in decades. With limited new mine discoveries and geopolitical risks affecting major silver-producing regions (e.g., Mexico and Peru), supply tightness is likely to support higher prices. Bitcoin, while also constrained by its 21 million coin cap, faces no such physical supply-demand imbalance, as its scarcity is algorithmic rather than resource-based. 3. Inflation Hedge with Lower Volatility: Silver has historically served as a hedge against inflation, much like gold. With global inflation remaining elevated in 2023 due to lingering supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions, investors are increasingly turning to precious metals for portfolio protection. Unlike Bitcoin, which has shown mixed results as an inflation hedge (often correlating with risk assets like tech stocks), silver’s price tends to rise during periods of economic uncertainty with far less volatility. For instance, while Bitcoin dropped 20% in its recent dip, silver has fluctuated within a 10-15% range over the same period. 4. Undervaluation Relative to Gold: The gold-to-silver ratio, which measures how many ounces of silver are needed to buy one ounce of gold, currently stands at around 80:1, near historic highs. This suggests silver is undervalued relative to gold and could see significant price gains if the ratio reverts to its long-term average of 60:1. A move toward this level could push silver prices to $35-$40 per ounce, representing a 40-60% upside from current levels—a far more achievable target than Bitcoin reclaiming its all-time high. 5. Risk Profile: Silver vs. Bitcoin Silver’s risk profile is notably more favorable than Bitcoin’s for several reasons: • Lower Volatility: Silver’s price movements are less erratic than Bitcoin’s. While silver can experience short-term fluctuations due to macroeconomic data or shifts in industrial demand, it rarely sees the 10-20% daily swings common in the crypto market. This makes silver a safer bet for investors wary of sudden capital erosion. • Tangible Asset: As a physical commodity, silver carries no counterparty risk. Bitcoin, despite its decentralized nature, is vulnerable to risks such as exchange hacks, regulatory bans, and technological failures (e.g., network congestion or 51% attacks). Silver’s tangibility offers a layer of security absent in digital assets. • Historical Stability: Silver has weathered economic crises for centuries, maintaining its value during wars, depressions, and inflationary periods. Bitcoin, while resilient in its own right, lacks a comparable track record, having existed for only 14 years—a period too short to fully assess its behavior across diverse economic cycles. ________________________________________ Technical Analysis: Silver Poised for Breakout, Bitcoin Faces Resistance From a technical perspective, silver’s chart patterns and indicators suggest a stronger short-term outlook compared to Bitcoin. Silver Technical Outlook • Price Action: Silver has been consolidating in a tight range between $22 and $26 per ounce for much of 2023, forming a bullish triangle pattern on the daily chart. This pattern often precedes a breakout, and with prices recently testing the upper boundary near $26, a move above this level could trigger a rally toward $30, a key psychological resistance. • Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for silver is currently at 55, indicating neutral-to-bullish momentum with room for further upside before reaching overbought territory (above 70). Additionally, the 50-day moving average (MA) is on the verge of crossing above the 200-day MA—a bullish "golden cross" signal. • Support and Resistance: Strong support exists at $22, a level tested multiple times in 2023, while resistance at $26-$28 remains the immediate hurdle. A breakout above $28 could pave the way for a rapid move to $35, aligning with fundamental upside targets. Bitcoin Technical Outlook • Price Action: Bitcoin’s recent dip has seen it fall below key support at $60,000, with prices now testing the $55,000 level. The daily chart shows a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming, which, if confirmed, could signal further downside to $48,000-$50,000. • Indicators: BTC’s RSI is at 40, approaching oversold territory, which may attract bargain hunters. However, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains bearish, with the signal line below the MACD line, suggesting continued downward pressure. • Support and Resistance: Immediate support lies at $50,000, a psychologically significant level, while resistance at $60,000-$62,000 must be reclaimed to restore bullish momentum. Until then, BTC remains vulnerable to further selling pressure. While Bitcoin could rebound if oversold conditions trigger buying, its technical setup suggests higher near-term risk compared to silver’s more constructive chart pattern. Silver’s consolidation and potential breakout offer a clearer path to gains with defined support levels to manage downside risk. ________________________________________ Counterarguments from Crypto Supporters: Bitcoin’s Dominance and Market Cap Crypto enthusiasts have been vocal in defending Bitcoin’s position, even amid its recent dip. Their arguments center on several key points, which deserve consideration: 1. Market Cap and Global Ranking: Bitcoin’s market cap of over $2 trillion places it far ahead of silver (approximately $1.4 trillion) in global asset rankings. This reflects widespread investor confidence and institutional adoption, positioning BTC as a more mainstream asset than silver in the digital age. 2. Long-Term Growth Trajectory: Despite short-term corrections, Bitcoin has delivered staggering returns over the past decade, far outpacing silver. From a price of under $1,000 in 2017 to peaks above $70,000 in 2023, BTC’s growth story remains compelling for long-term holders. 3. Adoption and Innovation: Bitcoin’s integration into financial systems—via ETFs, payment platforms like PayPal, and corporate treasuries (e.g., Tesla and MicroStrategy)—demonstrates its growing utility. Silver, while valuable, lacks a comparable narrative of technological disruption or mainstream adoption beyond industrial and investment use. 4. Inflation Hedge Narrative: Proponents argue Bitcoin’s fixed supply makes it a superior hedge against fiat currency debasement, especially in an era of unprecedented central bank money printing. Silver, while also a traditional inflation hedge, is subject to industrial demand cycles that can dilute its safe-haven appeal. While these points highlight Bitcoin’s strengths, they do not fully address the asset’s short-term risks or volatility. Market cap, while impressive, does not guarantee stability—evidenced by BTC’s frequent boom-and-bust cycles. Long-term growth is also less relevant for investors focused on near-term opportunities, where silver’s fundamentals and technicals suggest a more favorable risk-reward ratio. Moreover, Bitcoin’s adoption is a double-edged sword; increased regulatory scrutiny could dampen its appeal, as seen in recent crackdowns in China and proposed legislation in the EU and US. Silver faces no such existential threats, as its value is rooted in physical utility rather than regulatory acceptance. ________________________________________ Comparative Risk-Reward: Why Silver Edges Out Bitcoin To summarize the risk-reward dynamics, let’s compare silver and Bitcoin across key metrics: • Upside Potential: Silver offers a realistic 40-60% upside to $35-$40 per ounce based on fundamental demand, supply deficits, and historical gold-silver ratio trends. Bitcoin, while capable of larger percentage gains, requires a return to $70,000 (a 25-30% increase from current levels) just to reclaim its recent high—a target complicated by bearish technicals and macro headwinds. • Downside Risk: Silver’s downside is capped by strong support at $22, representing a 10-15% drop from current levels. Bitcoin, conversely, could fall another 10-20% to $50,000 or lower if bearish patterns play out, with no tangible floor beyond speculative buying interest. • Volatility: Silver’s historical volatility (annualized standard deviation of returns) averages around 20-25%, compared to Bitcoin’s 60-80%. For risk-averse investors, silver provides a smoother ride. • Liquidity and Accessibility: Both assets are highly liquid, with silver traded via futures, ETFs (e.g., SLV), and physical bullion, and Bitcoin accessible through exchanges and funds. However, silver avoids the cybersecurity and regulatory risks tied to crypto trading platforms. • ________________________________________ Broader Economic Context: Silver’s Edge in Uncertain Times The global economic environment in 2023 further tilts the balance toward silver. With central banks like the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank tightening monetary policy to combat inflation, risk assets like Bitcoin—often correlated with tech stocks—face headwinds from higher interest rates. Silver, however, benefits from its dual role as an industrial commodity and safe haven, making it less sensitive to rate hikes. Geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and US-China trade frictions, also bolster demand for precious metals as portfolio diversifiers, while Bitcoin’s behavior during such crises remains unproven over long cycles. Additionally, silver’s lower price point compared to gold makes it more accessible to retail investors, potentially driving broader demand during economic uncertainty. Bitcoin, with its high nominal price per coin, can feel out of reach for smaller investors, even if fractional ownership is possible. ________________________________________ Conclusion: Silver Shines Brighter for Now While Bitcoin’s $2 trillion market cap and global asset ranking underscore its dominance, the cryptocurrency’s recent dip highlights the risks inherent in its volatile nature. Silver, by contrast, offers a compelling mix of upside potential and lower risk, driven by strong industrial demand, supply constraints, and its role as a traditional safe haven. Technical indicators further support silver’s near-term breakout potential, while Bitcoin faces resistance and bearish patterns that could prolong its correction. Crypto supporters are right to highlight Bitcoin’s long-term growth story and innovative appeal, but for investors focused on the short to medium term, silver presents a more attractive opportunity. Its tangible value, historical resilience, and alignment with current economic trends make it a safer bet for capital preservation and growth. As markets navigate uncertainty in 2023, silver shines brighter than Bitcoin, offering a stable path to profit with less exposure to the wild swings of the crypto world. Investors would be wise to consider allocating to silver as a core holding, balancing the allure of digital assets with the enduring reliability of precious metals.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by bryandowningqln
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-20 : Pause Bar PatternToday's Pause Bar pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will slide into a sideways type of PAUSE in price action today. I'm not expecting much to happen and if we do see any breakaway or breakdown trending it will likely be related to news. While we have options expiration today and a host of other things that could drive the markets, I believe the markets are struggling to find direction right now. Thus, a pause in trading would be somewhat normal after a holiday-shortened trading week. Gold and Silver are struggling after a brief rally last week. I believe this is fear related to the Israel/Iran conflict. Metals should continue to move higher. BTCUSD is slightly higher (forgot to cover BTCUSD in the video), but not moving into a breakaway phase. Overall, everything is very flat in early trading today. It may stay that way with my PAUSE BAR pattern. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
GOLD (XAUUSD): Technical Analysis & Important Pattern to Watch For some known reason, Gold remains bearish this entire week. The market is currently correcting within a falling channel - a bullish flag on a 4H time frame. Ahead, I see a bunch of strong intraday supports. From one of these structures, a bullish rally may resume. A trigger that you should look for is a bullish breakout of a resistance line of the flag and a 4H candle close above that. A bullish continuation will be expected then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
8
SILVER Is Very Bullish! Long! Take a look at our analysis for SILVER. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,603.0. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,697.2 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1