Beyond the Headlines - Gold Outlook June 16-20, 2025Beyond the Headlines: Gold's Ascent Amidst Global Shifts & Key Technicals 🌐🚀
Everything about the last week can be found here:
OANDA:XAUUSD 💰📈
We all know what's going on, I believe. Israel struck Iran 💥, and this conflict will likely take a bit before things cool down. 🥶
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## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰
### Israel / Iran
Since June 12, Israel launched "Operation Rising Lion," targeting Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz and Esfahan – over 128 killed, Iran claims. 🇮🇷 retaliated with missile and drone strikes on Haifa and Tel Aviv, killing at least 10. 🚀
**Outlook:** 🔥 Tensions are spiraling. Without urgent mediation, full-scale regional war remains a real risk. 💣
### India / Pakistan
Since the May ceasefire, few clashes have occurred. However, both navies increased readiness, signaling potential escalation at sea. 🚢
**Outlook:** ⚖️ Peace is fragile. A strategic dialogue is key to avoiding a renewed border or maritime conflict. 🙏
### Gaza Conflict
Between June 7–15, Israeli strikes killed at least 41 Palestinians, including 8 near an aid center in Rafah. Over 55,000 total deaths, and famine is looming. 💔
**Outlook:** 🆘 Gaza remains a humanitarian catastrophe. Global pressure for access and a ceasefire must intensify. 🕊️
### Russia / Ukraine
June 13–15: Russia returned the bodies of 1,200 Ukrainian soldiers in a rare POW swap gesture. 🤝 Fighting remains intense in Sumy and Toretsk; Russia hit a major oil refinery. 🏭
**Outlook:** 🕊️ While symbolic moves continue, no peace is in sight – battlefield outcomes will shape diplomacy. ⚔️
### U.S. - China Trade War
The U.S. hiked tariffs to 55% on key Chinese goods. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 responded with 10% on U.S. imports. Talks yielded a partial truce, but military-use rare earths remain unresolved. 💻
**Outlook:** 🔧 Tech remains the battleground. Without progress on critical materials, the trade war may deepen. 📉
### Global Trade War
The OECD revised global growth downward due to rising tariffs from the U.S. targeting 🇨🇳, 🇲🇽, 🇨🇦. Global trade volume is expected to shrink by 0.2–1.5%. 📉
**Outlook:** ⛓️ Supply chain disruption is spreading. Global trade will stay under pressure without coordinated policy. 🌍➡️🌍
### Trump vs. Powell
Trump labeled Powell a "numbskull" for not cutting rates, suggesting he might "force something" if re-elected. 🗳️ The Fed maintains policy independence ahead of a critical June decision. 🏛️
**Outlook:** ⚔️ Political pressure on the Fed is mounting. Expect more friction as the election cycle heats up. 🔥
### U.S. Inflation
CPI rose 2.4% YoY in May (from 2.3%); Core CPI held steady at 2.8%. Monthly growth was modest at 0.1%. Key rises were seen in healthcare and vehicle prices. 🚗🏥
**Outlook:** Inflation is stable but sticky. 🚦 The Fed will likely hold rates steady until clearer disinflation signals appear. 📊
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## Technical View 📐📈
### Market Structure:
Gold shows a clear **bullish market structure** with higher highs and higher lows. ⬆️ Recent price action suggests we're in a strong uptrend with institutional buying pressure. 🏦
### Key Levels:
* The chart shows a significant low around the **$3,245 area** (marked as "Low") which could act as a key institutional support level. 💪
* The current high near **$3,446** represents a potential institutional resistance zone. 🛑
* Look for potential **order blocks** around the **$3,380-$3,400 range** where price consolidated before the recent breakout. 🧱
### Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
There appear to be several gaps in the price action during volatile moves, particularly during strong rally phases. These could act as future support/resistance areas. 📉📈
### Gann Analysis:
The price movement shows strong adherence to Gann principles:
* The rally from the low follows a steep angle, suggesting strong momentum. 🚀
* Key Gann angles would place support around the **$3,300-$3,320 zone**. 📐
* The current price near **$3,436** is testing natural resistance levels based on Gann square calculations. 📏
### Fibonacci Levels:
From the significant swing low to the current high:
* 23.6% retracement: ~$3,395 📉
* 38.2% retracement: ~$3,370 📉
* 50% retracement: ~$3,345 📉
* 61.8% retracement: ~$3,320 📉
The golden ratio levels suggest key support on any pullback would be around the **$3,370-$3,345 zone**. ✨
### Institutional Levels:
* **Weekly/Monthly Levels:** The **$3,400** and **$3,450** areas appear to be significant institutional levels based on round numbers and previous price action. 🏦💰
* **Smart Money:** The accumulation pattern before the breakout suggests institutional participation. 🧠💡
### Cycle Timing:
Based on the timeframe (appears to be 30-minute bars from May 26-June 15):
* We're seeing approximately **3-week cycles** in the major moves. 🗓️
* The current rally phase appears to be in its mature stage. 🌳
* The next potential cycle turn could be approaching, suggesting caution for new longs at current levels. ⚠️
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### Trading Considerations:
* Watch for rejection at current levels near **$3,446**. 📉
* Key support confluence around **$3,370-$3,345** for potential re-entry. 🎯
* Volume and momentum divergences would be critical for timing any reversal. 📊🔄
Other indicators tend to show bullish scenario enhancements. 🚀
Gold has formed a ** Standard Bullish Flag pattern ** over a time from early April till today. 🚩🐂
Also, the structure of a ** reverse Head & Shoulders ** is existing and has broken the neckline! 🔄🗣️
Another indicator is an existing "** Ascending Bull Flag **." ⬆️🚩
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Metals
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3376 and a gap below at 3348. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3376
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3395 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3419
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3419 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3440
BEARISH TARGETS
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3330
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3288
3271
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3375 and a gap below at 3306. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3375
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3375 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2995
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Quick update on our Daily chart Goldturn channel setup.
Since our last post, price action has continued to play out within the structure as anticipated but with a new development: we’ve now had the challenge and rejection at the channel top. Price challenged the 3433 axis again but failed to lock above, confirming the resistance remains firm at this level.
To confirm a continuation higher into 3564, we’ll now need to see either a blue candle body close or the EMA5 cross and lock cleanly outside the channel. Without that confirmation, we treat any move to the top as a potential fade opportunity, not a breakout.
On the downside, daily support at 3272 remains intact and continues to anchor our range structure. As long as price holds above this level, we maintain our strategy of buying dips, especially when supported by our weighted Goldturn zones on lower timeframes (1H, 4H).
This rejection further validates the precision of our Goldturn channel. The structure continues to guide us effectively filtering the noise and keeping us on the right side of the setup.
Stay disciplined. The range is still in play until we get a clear break and hold above the top.
Watch 3272 and 3433 closely. The next move will hinge on whether bulls can finally break the ceiling or if sellers continue to defend this range top.
Let the market show its hand.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Following up on our previous weekly update = last week we saw the expected correction play out with a move down for the EMA5 detachment touch, highlighted by the circle on the chart. This was a healthy pullback within the structure and aligns perfectly with the Goldturn methodology.
While we previously had the candle body close gap at 3482, that target still remains open and active. The move lower was not a breakdown but a technical retest, setting up the potential for continuation higher once momentum returns.
Support continues to hold at 3281, reinforcing our buy the dip strategy within the structure. The price remains guided by the channel and is still following the expected trajectory toward the long term gap target.
We'll be watching closely for renewed strength to drive back toward 3482, and any close above recent highs could reignite that move. Until then, structure remains bullish and contained.
Stay disciplined and let price do the talking.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,599.6
Target Level: 3,126.8
Stop Loss: 3,914.2
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AI Algo Systems vs. Manual Trading: Which Delivers Real Results?AI Algo Systems vs. Manual Trading: Which Delivers Real Results? ⚖️
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Introduction
With the explosive rise of artificial intelligence (AI) in financial markets, traders everywhere are asking the million-dollar question:
Should I trust my trades to automation, or keep my hands on the wheel? 🧠🤖
This guide offers a real-world, side-by-side comparison between AI-powered algorithmic trading systems and traditional manual trading. We’ll highlight where each method dominates, when they fail, and how you can combine both to build a system that outperforms the rest. 💡
What Are AI Algo Systems? 🤖
AI trading systems use advanced machine learning models to:
• Analyze huge volumes of historical and real-time data 📈
• Detect patterns and trading opportunities faster than any human
• Automatically execute trades using coded logic, without emotion
🔬 Real-World Examples:
• Neural networks (LSTM, CNN): Predicting EUR/USD direction based on years of tick data
• Reinforcement learning agents: Managing position sizing dynamically in crypto scalping
• Predictive classifiers: Spotting likely trend reversals on S&P 500 based on 20+ indicators
Key Benefits:
• 🔄 Emotionless execution: No fear, no greed, just rules
• ⏱️ Lightning-fast trades: React to price action instantly
• 📊 Pattern recognition: Finds subtle correlations people miss
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What Is Manual Trading? 👤
Manual trading is powered by human intelligence and judgment. Traders use:
• Price action and SMC/ICT techniques (e.g., order blocks, BOS)
• Fundamental analysis: News, sentiment, macro reports
• Intuition and experience: Reading between the lines the way only humans can
🧑💼 Real-World Examples:
• A trader spots an untested order block on GBP/JPY and waits for liquidity sweep before entering
• Reading a dovish tone in FOMC minutes and fading the initial spike on DXY
• Using “market structure shifts” after a big news event to catch a reversal
Key Benefits:
• 🔍 Contextual awareness: Understand the full market story
• 🎯 Real-time adaptability: Adjust plans on the fly
• 🧠 Creative edge: Find setups no algorithm can code for
________________________________________
Side-by-Side Comparison Table 📋
Feature AI Algo Trading 🤖 Manual Trading 👤
Execution Speed Instant Slower, can lag
Emotions Involved None Prone to fear/greed
Adaptability Limited (needs retrain) High
Learning Curve High (coding/tech) Medium (market logic)
Strategy Flexibility Pre-coded only Unlimited creativity
Backtesting Automated Manual/semi-auto
Session Monitoring 24/5 via server Human-limited hours
________________________________________
When AI Algo Systems Work Best 💾
AI is unbeatable when you need:
• Scalability: Watching 10, 20, or even 100+ pairs 24/5
• High-frequency execution: Entering/exiting trades within milliseconds
• Repetitive strategies: Like mean reversion, breakout scalps, or arbitrage
📈 Example:
• Strategy: EUR/USD London open breakout
• Process: AI model detects volume and volatility spike, enters trade with 0.3% risk, targets FVG
• Results: 60% win rate, 1.8R average reward over 3 months
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When Manual Trading Wins 🧠
Manual skills shine when you need:
• Discretionary entries: Especially with complex SMC/ICT structures
• Adapting to breaking news: Sudden CPI, FOMC shocks, geopolitical headlines
• Making sense of market narrative: When volatility is off the charts and AI gets confused
🗞️ Example:
• News: Surprise ECB rate hike
• Setup: Price sweeps liquidity and forms new order block
• Action: Trader enters based on confluence of structure, sentiment, and news
• Why AI fails: Model trained on normal volatility might get stopped out or miss entry entirely
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Hybrid Strategy: The Best of Both Worlds 🌐
Elite traders combine the power of AI with human oversight.
Hybrid Workflow:
1. AI scans markets: Flags setups (order blocks, FVGs, volume spikes)
2. You review: Confirm bias with news, sentiment, or higher time frame
3. Entry:
o Manual (you pull the trigger)
o Semi-automated (AI suggests, you approve)
🔁 You save time, avoid missing setups, but keep critical discretion and control.
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Risk Management: Algo vs. Manual 📊
AI:
• Stops, lot size, SL/TP are auto-calculated
• Consistent, never emotional
• Example: EA manages all USD pairs with 0.5% fixed risk per trade
Manual:
• Trader might override risk plan
• Discipline needed—easy to “revenge trade” after a loss
• Example: You up your risk size after a losing streak, breaking your rules
Best Practice:
📌 Let AI calculate risk size. Manually approve or override the entry. Double safety net.
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Trader Case Study 👤
Name: Ray – $100K funded prop trader
Style: Hybrid (AI scanner + manual ICT confirmations)
Process:
• Sets HTF bias each morning
• AI scans for OB/BOS setups during NY session
• Manual review before entry
Performance:
• Win rate: 63%
• Avg R: 2.5
• Monthly gain: 9.7%
Ray’s Words:
“AI catches what I can’t see. I catch what it can’t understand.”
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Mistakes to Avoid ❌
• 🚫 Blindly trusting black-box AI: Always verify signals
• 🚫 Micromanaging every tick: Let automation work, don’t over-interfere
• 🚫 Running AI during high-impact news: Most bots aren’t built for chaos
• 🚫 Ignoring psychology: Even if AI executes, your mindset impacts risk and management
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Conclusion ✅
There’s no one-size-fits-all answer. The best traders in 2025 master both worlds. Here’s the winning formula:
• Harness AI’s speed and pattern recognition
• Lean on manual judgment for narrative and nuance
• Blend them with intention and structure for a trading system that’s fast, flexible, and resilient.
💥 Don’t pick sides. Master both.
That’s how the top 1% trade today—and win. 🚀⚙️📊
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Move After Opening?!
I think that there is a high chance that Gold will have a bullish opening.
The market closed, breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern
on an hourly time frame.
Fundamentals strongly support this bullish outlook.
Resistance 1: 3392
Resistance 2: 3420
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/CAD Trap in Progress? Smart Money Flips BearishUSD/CAD is currently in a rebalancing phase after the strong downside correction seen over recent weeks. Following a rejection in the 1.3900–1.4000 supply zone, price retraced down to a major demand area between 1.3500 and 1.3650, where it has shown a notable bullish reaction. The pair is now trading at 1.3734, and multi-frame data suggests we are in a transitional phase—not yet a confirmed bullish trend reversal.
COT Report – Institutional Positioning
The latest Commitments of Traders data (June 10th) reveals critical signals:
Commercials (hedgers and large institutions) have aggressively increased their long exposure on CAD, adding +27,999 contracts. This indicates strong expectations of Canadian dollar appreciation—bearish implications for USD/CAD in the medium term.
Non-Commercials (speculators) reduced their short CAD exposure by -14,319 contracts, signaling that speculative players are starting to unwind long USD/CAD positions.
Overall, the net shift shows institutional sentiment turning bearish on the pair, potentially pointing to a deeper downside once the current technical pullback completes.
USD Index COT – Dollar Momentum Weakening
On the USD Index, Non-Comms have added +1,279 long contracts, but positioning remains moderate. Commercials are flat, suggesting the dollar lacks strong bullish backing. This makes any sustained USD/CAD rally structurally fragile.
Retail Sentiment
Retail traders are 57% short and 43% long on USD/CAD. Although not extreme, this imbalance suggests confidence among retail participants in a bearish move—often preceding a short-term upward squeeze before an eventual trend continuation.
We could therefore see price move toward 1.3900 as a liquidity grab, setting the stage for a larger reversal.
Technical Analysis – Outlook
Key highlights:
A strong bullish reaction occurred from the 1.3500–1.3650 demand zone, previously well-respected.
The weekly RSI is still below the 50-level but is turning upward—momentum is improving.
Price structure shows room for a pullback to the 1.3900–1.4000 supply zone, which aligns with higher-timeframe order blocks.
This zone remains a critical resistance, and unless the macro and positioning context changes, a renewed bearish impulse is expected from this area.
Trading Outlook
The current picture presents a tactical short-term long opportunity, followed by a potential structural short setup.
📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Pullback (in play):
With price above 1.3700 and consolidating, there’s space for a rally toward the 1.3900–1.4000 supply zone. Ideal for short-term targets.
📉 Scenario 2 – Structural Short (priority bias):
Should price reach 1.3950–1.4000 and show bearish confirmation (e.g., engulfing, doji, rejection on H4/H1), this would be a prime area to initiate swing shorts, targeting 1.3600 and eventually 1.3450.
✅ Final Bias: Structural Bearish – Corrective Bullish
Watch for potential false breakouts above 1.3800–1.3900 to liquidate retail shorts before a more meaningful downside move. The sharp increase in commercial net long CAD positions supports a bearish USD/CAD bias for the coming weeks.
Forex and Gold Market Highlights June 21 2025Forex & Gold Market Highlights – June 21, 2025
🕒 Key Events This Week:
• 🏦 Fed officials signaling possible rate cuts vs. cautious economic tone
• 🌍 Escalating Israel–Iran tensions boosting safe-haven flows
• 🏭 Mixed U.S. macro data (retail sales, Philly Fed, housing) shaping Fed expectations
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💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1520 on Safe-Haven Flows
EUR/USD edged up to about 1.1520 amid weakness in the U.S. dollar, driven by global risk-off sentiment. Mixed signals from the Fed kept traders cautious.
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💷 GBP/USD Hovering Around 1.3500 on USD Strength
GBP/USD remains near 1.3500, slipping slightly off highs after weaker UK retail data. The pair faces resistance in the 1.3550–1.3600 zone.
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💴 USD/JPY Eyeballing 146 Resistance
USD/JPY climbed toward 146.00, driven by risk-averse USD demand and dovish BOJ stance. The pair is testing key retracement resistance near 146.76.
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🥇 Gold Pulls Back but Holds Ground
Spot gold slid to around $3,334 3,381 this week, under pressure from a stronger dollar and diminished Fed rate-cut hopes. Still, geopolitical jitters kept it from falling hard.
• Weekly drop of ~2.5%, trading in a $3,330–$3,400 range.
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📈 DXY Index Rallies on Risk Aversion
The U.S. Dollar Index rose ~0.45%, marking its strongest weekly gain in over a month due to heightened safe-haven flows amid Middle East tensions.
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📌 Market Outlook:
• EUR/USD: Mixed bias. May test 1.1550–1.1600 if risk-off continues; downside risk near 1.1400 if U.S. data surprises.
• GBP/USD: Expected to stay in the 1.3450–1.3550 range; UK economic data and USD momentum will be key.
• USD/JPY: Bullish tilt remains toward 146.76, but any BOJ hints of policy tightening could shake it.
• Gold: Pressure from a firm dollar is likely to persist. Watch for geopolitical developments and upcoming Fed signals for reversal clues.
XAUUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on XAUUSD
Overview:
Gold (XAUUSD) has shown consistent bullish momentum for over 16 months. Recently, we’ve seen a continuation of that strength, especially after breaking above the key $2,320 resistance zone. While there has been some temporary consolidation, the overall bullish structure remains intact, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and inflation hedging.
That said, I am still anticipating a possible continuation of the bullish momentum that has been in play for quite some time. Moving forward, I will be looking for a clear break above the 3380 region — followed by a successful retest of the breakout zone — before entering a long position.
Alternatively, a short opportunity may arise if the 3350 intraday resistance holds and the price fails to break above it. In that case, I will look for signs of further downward momentum toward the 3300 region.
🧭 Trading Plan:
✅ BUY:
Look for a break and retest of the 3355 region on the 4H timeframe.
🔻 SELL: Bias (Alternative Scenario):
If the price stays below the 3350 zone, then look for a potential short opportunity moving forward.
🎯 Targets & Risk Management: Targeting 1:2 R:R on both setups.
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Phil
H4 Outlook – Between Flip and Trap👋 Hey Gold minds, welcome to another sniper-level breakdown. We're mid-range between major sweep zones and watching carefully how price reacts around the current compression under key EMAs and FVG. Let’s break it down:
🔸 MACRO + FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
USD drivers this week:
🔹 Monday–Tuesday: Multiple FOMC Members speaking
🔹 Wednesday: Powell Testimony
🔹 Thursday: Final GDP + Unemployment Claims
🔹 Friday: Core PCE and UoM Inflation Expectations
Macro sentiment:
FOMC speakers remain hawkish while inflation is sticky. Gold reacts defensively as markets price in Powell’s tone. Liquidity traps on both sides still active. Gold consolidates below key liquidity at 3405, potentially setting up for either expansion or sweep rejection.
🔸 H4 STRUCTURE + BIAS
Market structure:
Price formed a Lower High (3452) and confirmed bearish intent with a break of structure to the downside (CHoCH & BOS).
Currently compressing under H4 Fair Value Gap and retesting an internal OB + EQ zone around 3360–3370, showing signs of rejection.
EMA Cluster:
Price is compressing between EMA 21 / 50 / 100, failing to reclaim EMA100.
EMA5 is crossing under EMA21 – short-term bearish bias holds.
Bias: 🔻 Bearish to neutral
As long as price stays under 3380, supply remains in control. Only a break and close above 3405–3415 would flip bias bullish short term.
🧭 Sniper Zones – H4 Precision Map
🔷 Type 📍 Price Zone 📌 Justification
🔵 Buy Zone #1 3315 – 3340 Valid OB , previous HL structure, FVG reaction support
🔵 Buy Zone #2 3280 – 3302 Deeper demand pocket, untapped imbalance
🟠 Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 FVG + internal OB + EMA compression = key battle zone
🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3415 Internal OB + unmitigated premium zone under LH
🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Extreme rejection zone — 3452 HH sweep logic + OB
🔸 Price Action Expectations (PA)
If price rejects 3360–3380, expect a clean push back to 3320, with possible deeper draw to 3300–3285.
A clean break and close above 3380 (not just a wick) may open the door for a sweep of 3405, where sellers are expected.
Only an aggressive news-driven breakout above 3415 would unlock the final trap zone toward 3450+ – lower probability unless Powell surprises.
✅ Conclusion & Execution Plan
🎯 Watch how price behaves around the Flip Zone — this is the decision point.
📉 Main bearish confirmation = strong rejection at Flip Zone or 3405.
📈 Bullish continuation only above 3415 with volume and closing strength.
💎 Best RR zones:
Sell 3405–3420 → targeting 3360 / 3340
Buy 3315–3340 → targeting 3360 / 3380
🔥 If this breakdown helped sharpen your edge, drop a 🚀 in the comments and like the post!
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GoldFxMinds
SILVER On The Rise! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SILVER and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 36.006 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 36.456
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD Daily Outlook | June 23, 2025👋 Hello Gold traders!
We’re entering a new week with structure sharpening around key zones. Price is now hovering just below the decision shelf at 3385, and all eyes are on whether bulls defend structure — or bears trigger the first real trap. Let’s zoom in with pure Daily focus and zero noise.
🔸 DAILY STRUCTURE OUTLOOK
Gold remains in a clear bullish trend on the Daily timeframe, with the last confirmed Higher High at 3452. However, current price is in a retracement phase, testing the area just below the BOS and reacting to recent liquidity sweeps.
Despite rising USD pressure, the bullish structure remains intact unless a daily close breaks below 3315.
📌 Daily Bias: Bullish (retracement phase active)
🧭 Macro Context:
Heavy Fed week: Powell testifies Tue & Wed, Core PCE and Consumer Sentiment hit Fri.
USD may remain supported short-term, but gold still benefits from long-term inflation hedge + geopolitical risk flows.
🔹 STRUCTURAL KEY ZONES (D1)
Type Zone Confluences
🟢 Buy Zone #1 3320 – 3340 Daily OB, FVG base, EMA50 , structure HL defense
🔵 Buy Zone #2 3265 – 3285 Untapped OB + imbalance, deeper fib retrace
🟠 Flip Zone 3363 – 3385 Former BOS, FVG retest, minor liquidity shelf
🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3425 First sweep of equal highs, premium OB, FVG pocket
🔴 Sell Zone #2 3440 – 3460 Extreme bull trap: clean OB top, imbalance cluster
🎯 EXECUTION PLAN
🔍 Flip Zone is your battlefield — if bulls reclaim this zone cleanly, we may revisit 3405.
📉 3405–3425 offers the first sniper short opportunity: liquidity sweep + OB + FVG = prime short trigger.
📈 3320–3340 is the cleanest high-RR long zone — only enter if price reacts with strength and forms a rejection candle or bullish engulfing.
🧊 If 3320 fails, standby at 3265–3285 for a deeper correction entry backed by clean OB/FVG logic.
✅ SUMMARY & ACTION PLAN
Wait for confirmation at the Flip Zone — do not force direction.
Most precise sniper trades expected:
🔻 Sell from 3405–3425 → target Flip Zone
🔺 Buy from 3320–3340 → target 3385–3400
Only engage with clear OB reactions and strong PA confirmation — no bounce chasing.
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— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | June 23–27, 2025👋 Hey gold traders! As we close out the FOMC week and head into the final stretch of June, gold continues to hold bullish structure — but this week's candle is entering a very sensitive premium area. Let's break it all down in full top-down clarity:
🔍 Weekly Structure Update
✅ Weekly BOS confirmed since November 2023
✅ Price holding above EMA 5/21/50 — bullish lock intact
🔼 Current HH printed at 3452
📍Price is now entering a weekly FVG + supply trap zone around 3440–3460
🟣 RSI divergence starting to appear — caution in premium
🗺 Key Weekly Zones
Type Price Range Context
🔵 Demand Zone 3150 – 3190 Weekly OB + EMA50 confluence
🟣 FVG Support 3284 – 3320 Fresh imbalance post BOS
🟠 Flip Zone 3363 – 3385 Retest of BOS + FVG bottom
🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Weekly OB + liquidity sweep area
🧠 Bias This Week
📌 Bullish, but extended.
We expect a reaction from 3440–3460, not blind continuation.
The next healthy buy opportunity is only valid on a retrace toward 3320–3280, aligned with imbalance + structure.
🧭 GoldFxMinds Game Plan
Above 3440–3460 = overextension — wait for trap/sweep confirmation 🧨
Below 3363 = bearish flip zone — risk of revisiting 3280
Ideal buy = 3284–3320 → only on bullish PA or reversal confirmation
📰 Upcoming Economic Events (June 23–27)
🗣 FOMC Speakers flood the week (Waller, Powell, Williams, Goolsbee, Hammack, etc.)
🏠 Existing & New Home Sales, Consumer Confidence, Pending Home Sales
🛢 Crude Oil & Natural Gas Inventory reports
📊 Final GDP q/q, Core PCE, Personal Spending/Income
📉 Durable Goods, Unemployment Claims
🧪 Bank Stress Test Results (Friday)
⚠️ This is a dense news week — stay alert for surprise volatility, especially around Powell’s testimonies (Tue & Wed).
⚠️ Summary:
We are no longer in discount — we are inside the premium trap. Gold remains bullish, but 3440–3460 is a red flag zone. If this becomes the top, watch the flip at 3363–3385. Only re-enter long if structure confirms.
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a comment, give it a like, and make sure to follow GoldFxMinds for more sniper-level updates every week!
📣 This post was made using the Trade Nation chart feed. As a partner in their influencer program, I receive compensation for using and sharing their tools.
GOLD H4 Chart Weekly Update For 23 - 27 June 25Hello Traders,
welcome to the weekly update, as you can see that market was in range last week
as for now 3400 Psychological remains in focus if market breaks 3400 successfully the GOLD will rise towards 3440
only breaks below 3330 GOLD will leads towards 3250 possibly
FED Chair Powell Testifies due in the upcoming week
USPCE PRICE INDEX due on Friday
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
HelenP. I Gold can rise to resistance level and drop to $3325Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a steady climb, the price began to lose momentum and eventually corrected back to the trend line. This zone acted as dynamic support and initiated a new wave of upward movement. However, unlike the previous impulse, the price started consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, signaling indecision and weakening bullish pressure. Now the structure is tightening near the resistance zone, where the price has already been rejected multiple times. The market appears to be preparing for another interaction with the resistance level around 3430. Given the overall context, fading bullish energy, repeated rejections, and the triangle formation, I expect the price to test the resistance one more time before reversing downward. My goal is the trend line support, which aligns with 3325 points. This zone offers a logical area for the price to move next, especially considering the limited momentum above and the growing risk of breakdown inside the triangle. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week across all our multi timeframe analysis.
We updated our 1H chart throughout the week catching the buys from the dips using our levels and ema5 cross and lock allowed us to track the movement with confirmation.
This is now an end of week update on our daily chart idea. This chart shows our perfect play into the channel top and then rejection for the movement down. We used our smaller timeframe charts to catch the bounces from this movement down.
Following up on our previous analysis, price action has continued to respect our Goldturn channel beautifully. The key takeaway here is that the channel levels are being respected with precision, validating the strength and reliability of our Goldturn channel framework.
We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold may exit from pennant and rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The price previously made a strong impulse upward, forming a downward pennant, but this move lost steam after touching the seller zone around 3430 - 3440. From there, the market reversed and dropped sharply below the support level, even creating a visible gap. Didn’t last long, the price recovered quickly and made another strong move up, breaking out of the downward pennant structure. Since then, Gold has been trading inside a new formation, an upward pennant, where both support and resistance lines are gradually converging. This setup suggests growing pressure and the potential for a breakout. Currently, the price is hovering near the support line of this upward pennant. In my opinion, we may see a small correction to test this support, followed by a bullish rebound. If the structure holds, Gold could break out upward and head directly toward the 3430 resistance level, which matches the upper boundary of the previous seller zone — this is my TP 1. Given the strong impulse structure and continuation pattern, I remain bullish and expect further growth after this local retest. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD → Consolidation within a falling wedgeFX:XAUUSD is consolidating. A major player is gathering a trading position inside a wedge ahead of distribution. But the main question is: in which direction?
Gold lost ground again on Friday after mixed holiday trading on Thursday. Traders are waiting for new signals from the Fed and monitoring the situation in the Middle East. Interestingly, gold fell as the conflict escalated further (which is not logical overall). The dollar is in a global bearish trend, and traders are waiting for a decision from Powell (who is under pressure from Trump to cut rates).
Technically, if we look at the wedge, we can see how difficult it is for the market to move. The price is stuck inside the consolidation. The intraday movement is very short, with long tails and a very weak reaction to both false breakouts and level break. Large players are building up positions inside the current channel. This may only hint at the possibility of future implementation (distribution).
Resistance levels: 3360, 3396, 3420
Support levels: 3338, 3320, 3302
On D1 - H4, gold is in a countertrend (bullish trend) correction and is testing the trend support + 0.7 Fibo zone. Below, there are fairly strong areas of interest — 3320 and 3302 — which gold may test before rising. However, within the wedge, there is a fairly high probability of a breakout of resistance and the 3360 level, followed by a rally to the liquidity zone at 3396
Best regards, R. Linda!