XAU/USD Weekly Outlook: Potential Pullback or Breakout?XAU/USD Weekly Chart Analysis 🏆📉📈
1️⃣ Current Price: $2,919.35
2️⃣ Key Observations:
Distribution on H4: Potential sign of a short-term reversal. 📉
Divergence: Suggests weakening momentum at the highs, increasing the probability of a pullback. ⚠️
Multiple Unfilled Mitigation Blocks (MB): Areas of interest where price may retrace for liquidity grabs. 🧐
Fair Volume Ranges: Notable levels around $2,700 - $2,500, where price might stabilize if a correction occurs. 🔄 3️⃣ Potential Scenarios:
If price breaks down from the H4 distribution, expect a retracement toward the nearest MB unfilled levels (~$2,700).
If bulls hold momentum, breaking above current resistance (~$3,000) could push prices into price discovery. 🚀
💡 Conclusion: Watch for price action around the unfilled MBs and fair volume ranges. A correction seems likely unless buyers step in aggressively.
🔥 Trade Wisely & Manage Risk! 🔥
Metals
Index to watch out for next week is Metal Index. The index that did very well this week and which has potential to carry forward the momentum into the next week seems to be the Metal index if it can cross 2 major hurdles at 8941 and 9227. Currently the closing of CNX Metal Index is at 8926.90. In the coming weeks if we get a closing above 8941 and eventually above 9227 the index has a potential to go north wards towards 9453, 9828 or even 10K plus levels if the rally in Nifty and the one we are seeing in the Metal index sustain. Metal index this week gave a closing above Mother line of 50 weeks EMA which is at 8750. RSI of the Metal index has also entered a bullish looking territory. The significance of Mother and Father lines, Parallel Channels, RSI can be learned by reading my past articles or by reading my Book The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation which is available on Amazon or can be availed by contacting me. The book is one of the highest rated books on Amazon in it's category. Now if this breakout actually happens in the Metal Index the stocks that composit the metal index will be the beneficiary in general. Some might benefit more some might benefit less and some might not benefit but for index to move upward the stocks composing it have to perform well. To know which stocks will do better than others we will have to look at their individual charts. The stocks which make the metal index are Welspun Corp, Hindalco, Nalco, Hindustan Zinc, Tata Steel, Vedanta, Sail, NMDC, hindustan Copper, Jindal Steel, JSW Steel, Jindal Stainless, Apl Apollo Tubes, Ratnamani Metals, Adani Enterprise. Thus it is obvious some of these stocks have potential to benefit if index does well. Choose wisely after consulting your investment advisor, studying fundamentals and Technicals of each company.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Gold trading continues to win and make profitsFriends who followed me to short in the 2920-2925 area, I made a profit of 140 pips this time, which is a good trading result. It has been proven to be effective. Others are still waiting and watching. I directly hit hard to short gold. This wave of operations is a sure win. Just wait and count the money.
This week's cumulative profit reached 30k. This achievement is inseparable from the close tracking of the market, the flexible use of technical analysis, and the accurate interpretation of fundamental news. Next week we will continue to maintain a rigorous trading attitude, optimize strategies, and continue to write good results in the gold market.
You can move your fingers and join my channel to make making money a pleasure. If there are good trading opportunities later, I will share them again in the channel. If you want to make money happily, you can join my channel.
XAGUSD: Buy opportunity inside this Channel Up.Silver has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.179, MACD = 0.256, ADX = 29.375) as it posted a strong rebound this week, despite today's temporary pullback. This rebound took place at the bottom of the medium term Channel Up, pricing its HL. We are still at the start of this wave and we expect to repeat the +16% rise of the previous one. The trade is long, TP = 35.500.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
PIPTASTIC finish to the week!!!!
After updating our 1H chart all week with perfect weighted level bounces, clearing our Bullish targets from every dip, we now finish up with our 4H chart update.
We got our 2889 target start of the week, followed with EMA5 cross and lock opening 2914, which was also hit perfectly. We then got our ema5 lock above 2914, opening the range above. We were able to ride this all the way into 2930 with more room left for the full gap. However, end of week now, so we will update our charts for Sunday for the week ahead.
BULLISH TARGET
2889 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2889 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2914 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Seize the opportunity to short goldTrading must have methods and rules, and it is not done casually based on feelings. In addition to trends, the market also has time points, and the position and time must match. Therefore, risk control is the first consideration. Only with appropriate position management can you dare to do it and take it, not afraid of stop loss, and gradually stabilize profits according to the trading system.
So in the short term, you can still try to short gold again. I have already shorted gold near 2920-2925. The target is 2910-2900 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, are you following me to short gold?
Gold Bullish to $1,963- 1H TF (UPDATE)Gold Wave 5 (Major Wave Y) moving perfectly as I called for previously! We're seeing a nice push up towards our ATH target of $2,963 which could possibly hit next week.
Because this is the last 'impulse wave' to the upside (Wave 5), price has been moving slow. But that's the way the Elliott Wave Theory works. Last wave moves slow, in order to trap late buyers & sellers.
Digesting the US & Canada job numbers The numbers are out and, so far, the market is reacting logically. Let's dig in!
NASDAQ:AMD
NASDAQ:AVGO
NASDAQ:NVDA
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
MARKETSCOM:EURUSD
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 2917.6
Sl - 2925.1
Tp - 2902.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2904.45
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2918.5
Safe Stop Loss - 2896.8
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-7-24 : Rally PatternAs many of you know, I've been expecting the SPY/QQQ to find support (seeking a base/bottom) for the past 3+ days. The amount of selling has been somewhat extreme. We are currently in a downtrend.
So, my expectation of a base/bottom is related to the breakdown of the Excess Phase Peak pattern and the previous support levels (pre-election and recent lows) that suggest price will attempt to hold/base/bottom near recent support.
As of yesterday's close, price had broken downward, still within the support range.
So, again, I urge caution as I believe price will be very volatile while attempting "hammer out a base/bottom" (if it happens).
Overall, my bias is to the downside because of the current trend. Yet, The RALLY pattern today suggests we may see a recovery above 577 on the SPY which may lead to a rally targeting 580+.
Gold and Silver are holding up well and should setup a base/bottom today on the Counter-Trend Top/Resistance Pattern. I don't expect Gold and Silver to rally very strong today. I expect more of a melt-up in trend for metals.
Bitcoin is still consolidating and moving into a very tight Flag Apex range. As I pointed out in today's video, a shorter-term Flag apex will be reached on Sunday (3-9). I believe Bitcoin will become very volatile over the next 3+ days - attempting to break away from a GETTEX:13K consolidation range.
This apex volatility could drive the SPY/QQQ into extreme volatility as well.
Unless you are very skilled at targeting short-term price swings - stay very cautious of this volatility as it could end up turning and biting back.
It's Friday. I'm planning on watching and only trading when I believe there is a very clear opportunity for profits.
I got dinged around (took some lumps yesterday) trying to trade while driving and handling family issues. Lesson learned - don't force it.
The markets will settle into a trend next week. So, be prepared to sit and watch if you don't like what you see on the charts today.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
XAU/USD: Gold at a Critical Crossroad: Will $2930 Hold or Break?By analyzing the gold chart on the two-hour timeframe, we can see that the price followed the expected bearish movement yesterday, correcting from its recent high of $2928 down to $2900 before finding temporary support. Currently, gold is trading around $2916, showing signs of indecision as it consolidates within a key range.
🔍 Key Levels & Liquidity Considerations
A significant liquidity pool exists between $2928 and $2930, which could act as a magnet for price. If gold moves toward this range, we might witness liquidity collection before a potential strong rejection and deeper decline.
As long as gold remains below $2930, the bearish outlook remains intact, and further corrections toward $2900 and potentially lower levels could unfold. However, if buyers manage to push the price above $2930 and sustain a breakout with clear confirmation and bullish momentum, we could see gold targeting levels above $2950 in the coming sessions.
📌 Primary & Alternative Scenarios:
🔹 Primary Bearish Scenario: A move into the $2928-$2930 liquidity zone, followed by rejection and continuation of the correction.
🔹 Alternative Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout above $2930 with a strong close and confirmation, leading to further bullish expansion toward $2950+.
🎯 Final Outlook
At this stage, the bearish bias remains dominant, but traders should carefully monitor price action near key liquidity zones before executing positions. Watching how gold reacts around these critical levels will be crucial in determining the next major move.
Stay updated as we track the market closely! 🔥
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD Is Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2,919.850.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,971.950 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD sideways consolidation below ATHThe GOLD (XAUUSD) index pair price action sentiment appears neutral, supported by the loss of longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be an overbought sideways consolidation after reaching the all-time high on 20th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at the 2896 level, the support trend line zone. An oversold bounce back from the current levels and a bearish rejection at the 2896 level could target the downside support at 2880 followed by the 2860 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 2930 resistance and a daily above below that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of the 2940 level followed by 2956.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Keep an eye on gold! Wait for the best time to enter the marketOn the road of trading, impatient people often lose their way, and only those who are patient can grasp the real opportunities. If you don’t have a good position to participate in the transaction, it is just right to hone your mind and let patience become your trading background. When the time is right, you can reap rich rewards in one fell swoop.You can move your fingers and join my channel to make making money a pleasure. If there is a good trading opportunity later, I will share it again in the channel. If you want to make money happily, you can join my channel.
GOLD: First Red DayHello traders and welcome back to my channel, as always, don't forget to leave me a like and a comment to support my work, I don't share too much because I constantly try to select best market's template with a great potential of success.
I strongly believe in quality above quantity!
If you have been following me since a while, you should remember that any of my analysis are not a forecast, I'm not interested in understanding and/or predicting what the market is going to do. Why?
Because guessing is literally 50/50 and is not part of my job.
Now, let's talk about GOLD.
I really like the current template and how the new month started, and to me, we can have a great opportunity to see a weekly pump and dump scenario setting up today with NFP or keep moving some more day into the new week.
To understand better the logic behind, let's analyse the market more deeply.
I didn't show in this chart the previous week, but you can have easily a look by yourself and you will realise that it started breaking down in a full week of down move, main reason today I would like to be looking for a short setup (if a short setup will be identified)
Monday, opening range of the week and the month, it was a clear pumping day, triggering long traders in the market and closing out of balance. The market now may be in place and other time frames are potentially involved in the market.
Tuesday, GOLD proceeded pumping higher, especially during the London session, triggering for the second time long traders in the market, and again closing out of balance.
Wednesday it kinda tap the weekly high, but most of all I can see the market consolidating. To me, it's a first sign of potential volume trap up high.
Thursday, the previous daily low was triggered, stopping eventually traders long from Wednesday, which they were trying to keep buying up high, and closing the day as a first red day, which potential can be a sell signal.
Today, Friday, the market is still inside the consolidation, and NFP can be very interesting in terms of completing this pattern, and I will be willing to take a sell high opportunity after the news.
Thesis:
- My main thesis is currently short, is a common weekly template of pump and dump if setup correctly
But obviously, I'm not here trying to predict, this is only the setup I'm looking for.
Yes, the market can keep going higher, in fact, I cannot exclude a scenario of breakout, pullback, continuation, on top of Monday high, which is the opening range of the week.
How do I know which direction is the market taking?
I don't know, until I will see a setup, either a pump and dump (and I will be lookingto short the dump and the weakness of the market).
Either if I can see a dump and pump, I would be willing to buy the strength on the frontside of the pump during NY session.
For better undressing, I will be sharing the intraday perspective during the NY session.
Gianni
COPPER at Key Resistance: Will Sellers Push Toward 4.5230?PEPPERSTONE:COPPER has reached a significant resistance level, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as strong supply, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
If the price confirms a rejection within this supply zone, I anticipate a move downward toward the 4.5230 level. This setup suggests the possibility of a retracement after the recent upward movement.
Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, before entering short positions.
DeGRAM | GOLD came out of a downward channelGOLD is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel where it formed a bullish takeover.
The chart held above the 38.2% retracement level and also formed a bullish flag before breaking the upper channel boundary.
We expect XAUUSD to rise after consolidating above the dynamic resistance.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold 2919-2925 short, waiting for non-agricultural guidanceBefore the non-agricultural data is released, the short-term trend is likely to continue to fluctuate. At present, the amplitude of the fluctuation is too large. The current support below is maintained at 90, and the pressure above is maintained at 20. In the short term, we can do some oscillation operations around this range. Once a breakthrough occurs, we can continue to follow up in the later stage. The previous value of non-agricultural data is 14.3, and the expected value is 16. The value in the evening is likely to be higher than 16, which may also have a negative effect. In the day, we still wait for the bulls to pull back and short near 2919-2925, and the target is the area near 2910-2900.
You can move your fingers and join my channel to make making money a pleasure. If there is a good trading opportunity later, I will share it in the channel again. If you want to make money happily, you can join my channel.
NFP News IdeaHello everybody, I hope you are doing well and you had a profitable week.
Today is the last day of week and today is Nfp high impact news.
As you know gold is running sideways for 5 days 300 pips up and 300 pips down. I expect that if price pullback at 2911 - 2907 gold will fly to the 2932 and it will drop when price touches 2935 - 2940.
Let's see what happening.
Kindly drop your thoughts here
GOLD & NONFARM – BREAKOUT OR CORRECTION?📌 Market Overview
The global financial markets are closely watching the upcoming U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on March 7. As one of the most anticipated economic releases of the month, it is expected to trigger significant market volatility.
🔥 Geopolitical Uncertainty & The Impact on Gold & USD (DXY)
US trade policies toward China and other key economies continue to fuel uncertainty, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe haven.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains highly volatile, directly influencing gold price movements.
Investors are waiting for Nonfarm data to determine whether gold will break new all-time highs (ATH) or undergo a correction.
⚡ Expected Price Movements
Gold is currently consolidating within a broad range of 2929 - 2892, a level it has held throughout the week. Based on historical Nonfarm Payroll data, today’s price swing is expected to be between 45-50 points, possibly reaching 60 points! This presents a major trading opportunity, with the key being to catch the breakout direction.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels – Breakout Watch
🔺 Resistance Levels: 2920 - 2928 - 2943 - 2954
🔻 Support Levels: 2892 - 2884 - 2872 - 2859 - 2838
🚀 Trading Strategy for Today
Gold is still trading within a range-bound structure, with no confirmed breakout yet.
Wait for a breakout confirmation before entering trades.
A market update will be provided before the Nonfarm release to refine the strategy.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2874 - 2872
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 2868
🎯 Target (TP): 2878 - 2882 - 2886 - 2890 - 2895 - 2900
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2952 - 2954
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 2958
🎯 Target (TP): 2948 - 2944 - 2940 - 2935 - 2930
📌 Key Trading Reminders
💥 Nonfarm data is expected to create high volatility – prepare for sharp moves!
✔ Stick to TP/SL to avoid excessive risk exposure.
✔ Wait for clear breakout confirmation before opening positions.
✔ Manage risk effectively and control emotions – today could be a decisive market moment!
📢 Do you think gold will break to new highs or face a correction? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
Policy Volatility Keeps Gold at $2,900Gold hovered around $2,900 per ounce, set for a weekly gain. While Trump temporarily paused 25% tariffs on most Canadian and Mexican goods, Canada’s retaliatory tariffs remain, and China’s countermeasures take effect next week.
U.S. labor data showed mixed signals as layoffs hit a 2020 high per the Challenger report, while jobless claims fell more than expected. Investors now await the non-farm payrolls report for further labor market insights and potential Fed policy impact.
Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.