DeGRAM | GOLD growth has slowedGOLD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
On the 4H Timeframe, the indicators indicate the formation of a bearish divergence.
The growth of the chart has started to slow down.
We expect a decline.
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Metals
Waiting for buy confirmation above 2800. See below for analysisThe overall bottoming and rebounding trend of gold at the beginning of the week has undoubtedly laid a strong foundation for the bulls. It is understandable that the next step-back trend is bullish, but since the price fell after rising in the late trading and closed below 2820, I think it is necessary to make a short-term decline judgment on the intraday market trend.
From the current market, the daily chart shows three consecutive increases. The price at the beginning of the week effectively ran above the short-term moving average, and led the short-term moving average to rise. The Bollinger Bands opened upward as a whole. When other periodic indicators remain in a bullish arrangement, coupled with the upward movement of the macd indicator golden cross, it should be beneficial for the bulls to pull up in the short term, so the daily line is bullish as a whole.
In terms of 4 hours, the gold price fell after rising. The current price is still hovering above the short-term moving average, and the middle track of the Bollinger Bands also extends upward. Therefore, it can be judged that the short-term downward space of the gold price is limited. Although the macd indicator is golden cross, the upward potential is insufficient. Therefore, the overall 4-hour level can wait for the bulls to counterattack again after the decline adjustment.
For the lower support of gold, pay attention to the 2800 area. The movement above 2800 will help the bulls to test and break through 2830. If the bears take 2800, focus on the 2800-2795 area, which is the dense support area of the current technical pattern, so when the gold price approaches or touches it, you need to decisively arrange to buy.
For the upper resistance, pay attention to the vicinity of 2830. If the gold price stabilizes above 2808 during the day, the short position can only find an opportunity to participate when the resistance is touched for the first time, and be prepared for a long breakthrough at any time. If the gold price breaks the 2808 support first, then the possibility of breaking through 2830 during the day will be ruled out. At that time, it is necessary to arrange the short position at 2820 or above!
Key points:
First support: 2808, second support: 2800, third support: 2792
First resistance: 2823, second resistance: 2838, third resistance: 2850
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2802-2805, SL: 2793, TP: 2830-2840;
SELL: 2845-2848, SL: 2857, TP: 2810-2800;
XAU/USD : First LONG,then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that gold has now reached the $2808 - $2818 supply zone and is currently trading around $2810.
Given the liquidity gap created by the price surge from $2772 to $2811, I expect a price correction soon, but likely after one more bullish wave. If gold stabilizes above $2808, it could push higher towards the next targets at $2812, $2817.2, and $2820.
This analysis will be updated soon!
XAUUSD: 4/2 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2850, support below 2746
Four-hour resistance 2830, support below 2800
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold first fell and then rose, ushering in a deep V reshuffle. The European gold price continued to rise and broke through and stood near the Asian session's falling breakthrough point of 2802. The US gold price accelerated its rise in one fell swoop, breaking through the high point of 2817 last Friday and reaching near 2830. After falling under pressure, the closing gold price was near 2813, forming a bottoming and rising trend. After the overall gold price completed the extreme retracement confirmation during the day, it formed a strong bullish rebound.
From the current four-hour analysis, today's lower support focuses on the 2800 integer mark. If it stabilizes at this position during the day, you can continue to buy and look bullish first. The upper short-term resistance focuses on the 2828-30 area. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 2800 mark. Before the daily level falls below this position, continue to maintain the bullish pattern.
BUY:2790near SL:2785
BUY:2800near SL:2797
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold H1 | Approaching overlap supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,812.31 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 2,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 2,847.42 which is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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Silver H1 | Falling to overlap supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 31.29 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 31.06 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 31.97 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAU/USD Analysis - Bullish OutlookGold breaks through the critical resistance level of 2817, signaling strong upward momentum and potential for further growth.
After successfully breaching the key psychological level of 2817, gold confirms a valid breakout, supported by robust fundamentals such as high inflation, global economic uncertainty, and a growing demand for safe-haven assets.
The previous resistance at 2817 now serves as a strong support level, indicating that prices are poised to climb toward new all-time highs. Market sentiment remains bullish, with investors favoring gold as a hedge against volatile monetary policies and geopolitical risks.
The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rate adjustments continues to enhance gold’s appeal. Moreover, recent pullbacks have been shallow, highlighting strong buying interest.
DeGRAM | GOLD will continue to growGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
After reaching the upper resistance level, the chart went into correction and after reaching the lower channel boundary and 62% retracement level.
The price is moving from the support level, which coincides with the 62% retracement level, as well as from the lower trend line and the lower channel boundary.
We expect the growth to continue in the channel.
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SILVER Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 31.579.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 33.065 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so SILVER is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 30.622.
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"Gold Price Breaks Key Support: Potential Downside Ahead"This chart shows a potential bearish setup for gold, with a breakout below a key level. The price recently failed to sustain its move above a resistance zone and has started declining. The structure indicates a shift in momentum, with a possible move toward the lower trendline of the ascending channel. Key downside targets include the areas around 2799 and 2764, with stronger support near 2742. If the price remains below the broken level, further downside movement is likely. OANDA:XAUUSD
Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Gains as U.S. Factory Growth and Market Deficit Support Prices
Silver rose above $31.5 per ounce, staying near its highest level since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data increased demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs reduced concerns over protectionist policies. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, strengthening silver’s outlook as a key industrial metal. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive market deficit in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.80 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90. On the downside, 30.90 will be the first support level. 30.20 and 29.30 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
Gold Nears Record as Investors Eye U.S.China Tariffs - NFP DataGold held above $2,810 per ounce on Tuesday, near its record high, as safe-haven demand stayed strong amid global trade uncertainties. Trump postponed tariffs on Mexico and Canada for a month after steps to address border security and drug trafficking, while 10% tariffs on China are still set for today. These tariffs could increase gold's appeal as an inflation hedge but might lead to higher interest rates, weighing on non-yielding gold. Investors are also focused on this week’s U.S. labor data, especially Friday’s nonfarm payrolls, for economic insights.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2830 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2858 and 2900. On the downside, 2760 will be the first support level. 2727 and 2710 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
golden channel gold price are making higher highs with higher low and going rocket on trump trade war
lower trend line big support level
as long as price trading above lower white line it is bullish
if lower line breakdown then $2720 big support level
hawkish fed risk because tariff war has increased inflation expectation until it changes again on nfp on friday
XAUUSDUnder the current conditions, reaching 2840 requires a strong candlestick breakout above the 2830 resistance.
Probability of reaching 2840 today:
Given the resistance at 2830 and the approach of high-volatility sessions (such as New York), the probability of reaching 2840 remains **70%**, provided a valid breakout occurs.
Recommendation:
**Key Levels:**
- A breakout above **2830** with strong bullish candles signals continuation toward **2840**.
- In case of a pullback, watch the **2816-2820** support zone for potential rebounds.
**Trade Management:**
- If in profit, use a **trailing stop** around **2820** to protect gains.
- A breakout of **2830** may provide an opportunity to **add buy positions**.
- If market conditions change or new price action signals emerge, the analysis can be updated accordingly.
Market Forecast UPDATES! Tuesday, Feb 4thIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
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GOLD Setting up for a nice run!Now that we are in a new week and new month it looks like its setting up for a big move. Just have to wait for the killzones for a solid entry. I just need to see it fill in some gaps. Waiting for the Asian range but it looks like it might be bearish until the London session. For London we could see a sweep and then aggressive push to go bullish. We just have to wait and see.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The Nasdaq closed lower, forming a lower wick at the bottom. The market initially dropped in pre-market trading due to Trump’s tariff imposition issue but recovered to close the gap after the one-month grace period for Mexico was announced.
At yesterday’s closing price, the daily MACD triggered a sell signal. Although there was a gap-up today, further declines are likely as the resistance level holds. However, the MACD and Signal lines are still above the zero line on the daily chart, and it will take time for the 3-day and 5-day moving averages to pull down, suggesting that the index may form a wide-ranging box pattern before the trend leans towards further declines.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal appeared, and after a rebound, the MACD and Signal lines are reconnecting. Since a golden cross has not yet formed, a sell strategy on rebounds would be favorable. If the MACD fails to break above the Signal line and declines, a third wave of selling could follow.
From a broader perspective, the 5-day moving average on the monthly chart coincides with the lower boundary of the daily box pattern. Until this level is strongly broken downward, short-term buy opportunities remain valid near the lower boundary of the range.
OIL
Oil gapped up but closed lower. The price failed to break above $75, leaving an upper wick. The one-month tariff grace period for Canada resulted in a gap-down movement.
The key question is whether oil will attempt another rebound, using the 240-day moving average as support. It is crucial to see if a bullish candlestick forms while maintaining support above the 240-day moving average.
On the weekly chart, oil is trapped within a box range, and as the week progresses, it will be important to assess whether conditions develop for a breakout next week.
On the 240-minute chart, a rebound has occurred up to the 60-day moving average, following the characteristics of the 240-day moving average. Since the MACD and Signal lines remain below zero, selling pressure may persist. However, this is a high-probability divergence zone. If the third wave of selling fails and prices rebound, a sharp surge is possible, so traders should be cautious with aggressive short positions.
The overall approach should be to trade within the range, favoring buy positions on pullbacks.
GOLD
Gold dropped to the 10-day moving average but found support and closed higher. On the monthly chart, a pullback to the 3-day moving average around 2,770 is possible, and a correction to the low 2,800s has already occurred.
Gold's volatility is extreme due to tariff issues, so traders must carefully adjust their leverage to ensure safe trading.
On the daily chart, MACD continues to rise, so as long as the price does not close below the 10-day moving average, a buy strategy is recommended.
On the 240-minute chart, gold formed a buy signal after a pullback and is attempting a third wave of buying. However, it is crucial that gold continues rising to avoid forming a bearish divergence. If further gains do not materialize, gold may enter a box pattern.
Overall, a buy strategy remains favorable for gold. However, traders should be cautious of increased volatility due to today’s JOLTS report.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21510 / 21410 / 21345 / 21220 / 21120
-Sell Levels: 21580 / 21640 / 21680 / 21780
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 71.80 / 71.30 / 70.50 / 69.85
-Sell Levels: 72.75 / 73.15 / 73.80 / 74.50
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2844 / 2832 / 2827 / 2820
-Sell Levels: 2859 / 2864 / 2870 / 2874 / 2885
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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