GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,257.82.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,352.14.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Metals
Silver - Short Term Sell Trade Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 30th I shared this idea "Silver - Expecting Retraces Before Prior Continuation Lower"
I expected retraces and further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bearish move delivered, as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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SILVER BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,305.2
Target Level: 3,164.4
Stop Loss: 3,398.5
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold Forecast: Haven Apetite Back in SightGold is currently testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the drop from $3,500 to $3,200, located at the $3,380 level.
A clear hold above 3390 could pave the way back toward $3,430 and the $3,500 resistance zone.
• A breakout above $3,500 may extend the rally toward $3,700 and the $4,000 target zone.
• On the downside, short-term support levels may be seen at $3,350, $3,300, and $3,260.
• A confirmed drop below $3,260 could trigger deeper downside risks, with potential moves back toward $3,200, $3,160, $3,080, and $3,000.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Gold surges thanks to China buying goods, waiting for FED waveInternational gold prices jumped to 3,332 USD/ounce, up more than 72 USD compared to the bottom of last night's session. The main driving force came from the wave of gold buying in China, when concerns about the weakening economy caused people to massively turn to gold as a safe haven. The H4 chart shows a strong increase, EMA34 has crossed EMA89, establishing a clear short-term uptrend. If gold surpasses 3,340 USD, it is likely to head towards the old peak around 3,420–3,500 USD.
Crude oil prices are still fluctuating strongly around 57.2 USD/barrel, creating an unstable foundation for the commodity market. The FED will announce its policy in the early morning of May 8. Although it is expected to not change interest rates, any statement can move the market. This will be the next big catalyst for gold.
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3377.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3357.7
Recommended Stop Loss - 3387.7
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DeGRAM | GOLD Finished Correcting?📊 Technical Analysis
● After two successful touches of rising-channel support near $3 200, XAU/USD pierced the resistance line and the triangle, confirming a bullish breakout.
● A pattern of higher lows now projects a fresh impulse toward the channel top at ~$3 500.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Goldman Sachs forecasts central banks will keep buying bullion amid recession fears, driving gold to $3 700 by year-end.
● Traders price in ~80 bp of Fed rate cuts from July, lowering real yields and bolstering gold’s appeal.
✨ Summary
Channel breakout + strong CB demand and Fed-cut bets support a short-term long bias: a clear break above $3 315 targets $3 500; view invalid below $3 200.
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GOLD H8 Update: Bulls will target 3600 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback looks complete now
▪️3000/3200/3400/3600 USD key S/R
▪️Reversal at 3200 USD
▪️Resistance near 3400 USD
▪️Bulls maintain strategic advantage
▪️Target for BULLS 3600 USD
▪️short-term dips are possible
▪️focus on buying dips
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips
▪️TP BULLS 3600 USD
🏦Fed Outlook: Mixed data fuels speculation on policy shift. Analysts see gold’s pullback as a new buying opportunity.
🌏Asian Demand: China and India remain key forces in price direction, alternating as major buyers.
📦Tariff Watch: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tension continues to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping gold in play.
🛑Geopolitics: No major updates on Iran-U.S. talks, India-Pakistan, or Russia-Ukraine ceasefire yet. These remain key risk triggers.
XAUUSD Price Action: Bullish Break + Liquidity Sweep Trade Idea🪙✨ Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Outlook ✨📈
I’m currently analyzing XAUUSD on both the daily and 4H timeframes, and here’s what I’m seeing:
🚀 Price has broken bullish structure and is now looking overextended, pushing into a buy-side liquidity zone—clearly visible to the left of current price action. 💰📊
It’s clearing buy stops, which could trigger a retracement soon. 🧲🔁
🎯 I’m watching closely for a pullback into the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone on the current price swing—that’s my key point of interest for a potential long setup, provided we see a healthy pullback followed by another bullish break of structure. 🔍🔐
🧠 Not financial advice—just my personal analysis. Always manage risk. ⚠️📉
Skeptic | XAU/USD Analysis: Gold’s Next Big Move Is Brewing!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off the morning with a deep dive into XAU/USD —gold’s serving up some exciting opportunities right now! 😊 Activating our triggers could spark a sharp move, potentially reigniting the major trend from before, so stick with me to the end of this analysis. As always, we’ll start with the Daily Timeframe to get the big picture. Let’s dive in! 📊
📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
It’s clear as day—the major trend is bullish . We’re seeing higher highs and higher lows, which, per Dow Theory, confirms a solid uptrend. After gold hit a peak at 3502.48 , it entered a secondary corrective trend, pulling back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This correction was healthy, and the price action suggests the uptrend still has plenty of juice left. 💪
Post the sell-off candle on May 1, it looks like the correction might be done, and we’re now heading to test the resistance at 3425.31 . If that level breaks, we could see the major uptrend resume with some serious momentum. With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 1-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers.
⏰ 1-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
The last trigger I used for a long position was at 3270.75 , and it’s been performing nicely so far. But if this growth is to continue—and the correction is truly over—we’re about to see some explosive moves. The long trigger I’m about to share is worth the risk. Plus, if we don’t enter longs around these levels, it’ll get trickier later. A break above 3494.51 could come with heavy shadows, hunting stop losses, or it might spike too fast, leaving us without a good entry. So, the smarter play is to enter now with lower risk and higher R/R. Here’s the plan:
Long Setup 📈
Open a long position after a break above resistance at 3383.61 .
Target? The previous ceiling is a good start, but don’t close too early. Enter with the mindset that if the ceiling breaks, you’re already in a position, sitting pretty. Personally, I’m keeping my earlier long from below open, letting those profits run for peace of mind later. 😎
Short Setup 📉
For shorts, patience is key. Wait for a rejection from these levels, followed by a break below support at 3270.75 . That’s when we open a short position. No rush to short just yet—gold’s not showing signs of a momentum shift. But if it does, we could see deeper corrections, so keep both triggers on your radar. 🐻
🧠 Why This Matters
Spotting these triggers in a multi-timeframe setup gives us an edge, aligning short-term moves with the bigger trend. It’s all about stacking the odds in our favor. Want more insights like this? Check out my latest article on multi-timeframe strategies —it’s a game-changer! 📚
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
XAG/USD Stable Ahead of Fed DecisionSilver (XAG/USD) held steady on Tuesday, underpinned by safe-haven demand as U.S. tariff tensions and global growth concerns persisted. Although the U.S. dollar saw a slight recovery, silver maintained its ground with markets focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy decision. Expectations for unchanged rates and possible future easing could continue to lend support to silver in the near term.
The first resistance is seen at $33.80, with higher levels at $34.20 and $34.85 if momentum builds. Support begins at $32.00, followed by $31.40 and $30.20.
Gold Climbs on Safe-Haven DemandGold climbed to nearly $3,360 per ounce on Tuesday, marking its highest level in over a week, as renewed tariff threats from President Trump increased safe-haven demand. Trump announced a 100% tariff on foreign films and signaled upcoming measures targeting pharmaceuticals. Investors are now focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to stay unchanged despite Trump’s push for cuts.
Resistance is expected at $3,385, then $3,450 and $3,500. Support stands at $3,300, followed by $3,265 and $3,200.
Gold returns to the bull market as expected, follow-up layout🗞News side:
1. The “demand shock” of the Trump administration’s tariffs on the global economy
2. The United States rejected Japan’s request for a comprehensive exemption from 10% reciprocal tariffs and country-specific tariffs in recent negotiations.
3. The conflict between Israel and the Houthis
📈Technical aspects:
From a technical point of view, the 4H gold bulls are once again making an impact. At the top, we focus on the short-term suppression of the 3380-3390 line, focusing on the suppression of the 3400 line. Below, we focus on the short-term support of the 3350 line, and the important first-line support of 3335-3340. In terms of operation, we mainly go long by stepping back on 3350-3360, and the target is temporarily looking at 3380-3390. In the middle position, we should watch more and move less, pursue orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD → Gold not ready to fall? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is forming a local bottom and is not ready to continue falling. The price is breaking through the downward resistance amid a weakening dollar and a complicated fundamental backdrop.
At the beginning of the week, the price of gold stabilized above $3,250 as investors returned to defensive assets due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade agreements with China and Japan, as well as growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine.
The weakness of the dollar ahead of the Fed meeting and declining expectations of a rate cut are also supporting demand for gold. The focus remains on US trade news and the possible hawkish tone of the Fed this week.
Technically, the price is testing the bottom of the range as resistance. If there is no reaction to the false breakout and the price continues to storm 3268, then a breakout and consolidation above the level will allow it to strengthen to 3292-3314.
Resistance levels: 3269, 3294, 3314
Support levels: 3243, 3222, 3204
The price is forming a second retest of 3269 since the session opened. Buyers are testing resistance for a breakout. If the bulls break 3269 and consolidate above 3270, the chances for growth will be good. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the liquidity zone at 3243 before growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Breaks Wedge, 3270–3280 Now Key Pivot for RecoveryGold's recent retreat has slowed, forming a descending wedge pattern that has now been broken. This is a constructive setup for a potential upward reaction after falling $300 from the $3,500 high. The 3,270–3,280 zone is now the short-term pivot point. If this level breaks as well, the upward move may finally begin.
Potential targets include the 38.2% retracement level at 3,316 and the main resistance zone at 3,355–3,370.
XAUUSD M15 | Be arish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3374.12, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3347.96, aligning with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 3392.59, above a swing high resistance.
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GOLD Potential ReversalIt appears that we've reached a significant top in the market, with price action showing signs of a potential dump. Liquidity has been taken out at this level, and we are now looking at lower price targets, which align with the lines below, marking new liquidity points. These areas could serve as key support levels as the market tests them for further reaction.
The price structure suggests a possible drop to the target zones around 3,300 / 3,200 & 2970 where we could see renewed buying interest. Stay cautious as we approach these levels, as they may present opportunities for short entries ahead of the market correction.
Keep an eye on the evolving price action for further confirmations.
Silver Analysis: Bearish Continuation Toward $31 Support ?🧠 Chart Context & Setup
Chart Type: Candlestick
Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red) — 32.814
EMA 200 (Blue) — 32.559
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 33.600 – 33.950
Price faced repeated rejection in this zone, confirming it as a valid supply/resistance area.
Support Zone: 30.600 – 31.100
Marked as the next potential demand zone, aligning with previous accumulation and reaction levels.
Current Price: ~32.618
Just below the 50 EMA and slightly above the 200 EMA.
🔄 Market Structure
The market experienced a strong bearish impulse in early April, followed by a bullish correction that reclaimed the 200 EMA.
Multiple internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps were taken before forming a potential lower high (LH) at the resistance zone.
The recent bearish move broke below the EMAs and previous structure, indicating a possible shift back to bearish momentum.
📉 Bearish Scenario Outlook (Most Probable as of Now)
The chart shows a projected lower high formation, likely leading into a continuation of the bearish move.
If price fails to break back above 32.800–32.900, we could expect a sell-off toward the support zone (30.600–31.100).
This move aligns with:
Breakdown below EMAs
Failed bullish continuation
Rejection from a strong resistance zone
🧭 EMA Analysis
EMA 50 > EMA 200, but the price is now sandwiched and showing signs of weakness.
If price sustains below both EMAs, momentum is likely to favor bears in the short to medium term.
⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch
Any strong bullish engulfing candle reclaiming the 33.000 zone could invalidate the bearish thesis.
Fundamentals like USD volatility, inflation data, or geopolitical tension could impact Silver drastically.
✅ Conclusion
The chart currently suggests a bearish continuation setup, with the potential for price to revisit the $31.00–$30.60 support zone after rejecting resistance. A retest of broken structure around 32.700–32.800 might provide an ideal entry for sellers.
Silver – Bearish Move Toward Support🧠 Market Overview:
Instrument: Likely Silver (based on file name).
Chart Context: The price is currently trading below both the 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), indicating bearish momentum and a possible shift in market structure.
📊 Key Technical Components:
🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
50 EMA (32.614) is above the 200 EMA (32.526) but both are above the current price.
This crossover is recent and could indicate the beginning of a larger downtrend if confirmed by continued price action below both EMAs.
🔹 Market Structure:
POI (Point of Interest) marks a previous swing high where selling pressure emerged.
The chart shows internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps both above and below consolidation areas, hinting at smart money manipulation to grab liquidity before making a move.
🔹 Resistance Zone:
Clearly defined between approx. 33.4–34.0, where price was rejected after a failed attempt to break higher.
Multiple rejections from this zone show strong selling pressure.
🔹 Support Zone:
Sitting between approx. 30.8–31.2.
Price previously consolidated here before a bullish move, making it a likely target for a return test or a potential bounce.
📉 Bearish Scenario & Projection:
The price broke below a short-term structure and failed to hold above EMAs.
The current price action shows a bearish pullback likely to form a Lower High (LH).
The projected path shows a pullback to previous support-turned-resistance, followed by a breakdown targeting the support zone.
✅ Bias:
Short-term bias: Bearish
Medium-term bias: Bearish, unless price reclaims the 200 EMA and consolidates above the resistance zone.
🔍 Confluences Supporting Bearish Outlook:
Price below EMAs (dynamic resistance).
Failed higher highs with liquidity sweeps (indicating smart money selling).
Clear market structure shift to the downside.
Anticipated retest of support zone around 30.8–31.2.