SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Feb 3, 2025 Afternoon UpdateWell, it seems everyone did quite well playing my prediction of a breakdown (again) in the markets today. Last week, I continued to warn the markets were very fragile and would likely break downward aggressively.
Of course, the political drama (tariffs) helped to move the markets a bit this weekend. But, still, it was great to hear from everyone who made a healthy profit today.
GET SOME.
I also have been getting questions about the RALLY - RALLY - (counter-trend) RALLY setting up on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday this week. So, I created this video to help you understand why I believe those RALLY days will be rather muted on Wednesday/Thursday and maybe a type of topping pattern on Tuesday.
I see the markets as breaking downward (breaking away from the dual Excess Phase Peak patterns), and because of that, I see the markets should attempt to move aggressively downward over the next 15+ days. I don't see any reason for the markets to mount a big rally right now - unless we are talking about a pullback in a downtrend.
So, watch this video, pay attention to what I see, and then we'll see how things play out.
Go GET SOME. This is a true trader's market.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Metals
GOLD → The trend is not broken, gold could go even higherFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen after a small correction. There is a zone of interest ahead and the price may form a correction to the support before it starts to storm ATH
Gold is rising due to the growing risks on the background of the tariff war started by Trump. Despite the risks posed by the US residents as well, he is willing to continue to do so. In addition, his comment about the Fed, “The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates” gave aggressive support to the dollar, but that didn't break gold, which is heading for the highs. The trend is not broken and interest in the metal due to growing risks is also growing. The focus is on US and Chinese economic data as well as Fed statements.
Technically, the support in the form of the previous ATH - 2790 plays a key role and gold may test this area once again before continuing its growth. But, in the short term, it is worth keeping an eye on 2800.
Support levels: 2795, 2790
Resistance levels: 2802, 2808
There may be a small correction from 2802 or from 0.7-0.79 fibo before the price decides to storm this area again to consolidate above the support before rising further.
Regards R. Linda!
Tariffs and Gold: A Trade War’s Golden Ripple EffectTariffs, especially those involving major economies like the U.S. and China, can impact gold prices by influencing inflation, economic growth, and market uncertainty. If tariffs lead to trade wars, economic slowdowns, or higher consumer prices, investors may seek gold as a hedge against inflation and economic instability, driving prices up. Conversely, if tariffs strengthen a country’s economy by protecting domestic industries and boosting confidence in the local currency, gold prices may decline as investors favor riskier assets. The overall effect depends on how tariffs influence global economic conditions and investor sentiment.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out perfectly, as analysed.
We started with our bearish target at 2794 hit followed with cross and lock opening 2778, which was also hit. No further cross and lock below 2778 confirmed the rejection for the bounce from the weighted level. This bounce completed our Bullish target above 2807 and then a further cross and clock confirming 2819, which was also hit. True level to level action with confirmations!!
We will now look for a cross and lock above 2819 for a continuation or a failure to lock above will see Goldturns below tested for support.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2807 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2807 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2819 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2819 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2832
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2832 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2845
BEARISH TARGETS
2794 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2794 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2778 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2764
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2764 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2753 - 2739
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2739 WILL OPEN THE SWIG RAGE
SWING RANGE
2722 - 2707
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?!We previously mistook the $2,790 peak as the Wave 5 high which was wrong. We have re-counted the wave analysis & updated accordingly!
Gold is currently in its Wave 5 bull run which should be ending soon. Drop down to the lower TF’s to look for a change in market structure to bearish, before entering sell’s.
BTC/USD : Bull or More Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 6-hour Bitcoin chart, we can see that, as expected, the price successfully surged to $106,500, hitting the $104,200 and $105,300 targets.
Last night, Bitcoin experienced a decline, finally filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) we discussed in the previous two analyses, with a correction extending to $91,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $95,000, and as long as it holds above the $90,000 support, we can anticipate further upside.
The next potential targets are $96,200, $97,600, and $101,700.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 2797.9 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2778.9
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD → Since the trend is still intact, gold may rise evekeeps getting stronger following a minor adjustment. A zone of interest is ahead, and before the price begins to storm the ATH, it can correct to the support.
The escalating risks associated with Trump's tariff battle are driving up the price of gold. He is prepared to keep doing so in spite of the dangers that the US citizens also present. The dollar also received strong support from his statement regarding the Fed, "The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates," while gold, which is on its way to the highs, was unaffected. The tendency is continuing, and as the risks associated with the metal increase, so does interest in it. The Fed announcement and US and Chinese economic data are the main topics.
Technically, the preceding ATH-2790 serves as a crucial support, and gold may test this region once more before extending its upward trajectory. However, it is worthwhile to monitor 2800 in the near future.
Support levels - 2795, 2790
Resistance levels - 2802, 2808
Before the price decides to attack this level once more to consolidate above the support before rising further, there can be a slight correction from 2802 or from the 0.7-0.79 fibo.
Will Economic Data Push Gold to New ATH or Cause a Reversal?Yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced the Funding Rate , and Jerome Powell's speech followed. These events created market volatility, influencing traders’ sentiment towards gold. Now, we turn our attention to today's key economic data releases .
Today's Key Data Releases & Gold Impact :
Advance GDP : The reported 2.3% is weaker than expected (2.7%), which may create mild support for gold as it signals slower economic growth. A stronger GDP reading would have strengthened the USD, putting downward pressure on gold.
Unemployment Claims : The 207K claims are better than expected (224K), suggesting a strong labor market, which may limit gold’s upside as the USD gains strength.
Advance GDP Price Index : The reported 2.2% inflation is lower than the expected 2.5%, which could reduce gold’s appeal, as it suggests easing inflationary pressure.
Given today’s key economic data, gold is likely to face downward pressure due to stronger labor market data and lower inflation, although the weaker GDP might provide some support in the short term. Expect volatility based on the combination of GDP growth and inflation trends.
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Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is approaching its Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and All-Time High(ATH=$2,790.17) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 can be completed in PRZ . ( Of course, if the other wave counting scenario happens, we should have a correction from PRZ ).
I expect Gold to follow the Roadmap I specified in the chart.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold (XAU/USD) Near Key Resistance – Watching for Bearish ReversThis chart shows XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a potential sell opportunity around the weak high zone near $2,810-$2,820.
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Confirmation Needed :
- The price is approaching a resistance zone within an ascending channel.
- A rejection or bearish confirmation (e.g., candle reversal, strong wick, or BOS downward) is needed before entering a short position.
2. Structure & Key Levels:
- Break of Structure (BOS) signals previous bullish momentum.
- Change of Character (ChOCH)** suggests a possible shift in trend.
- The weak high at the upper channel trendline indicates a potential reversal.
3. Potential Downside Targets:
- $2,797 – First key level of support.
- $2,770-$2,750 – Stronger demand zones.
- $2,741-$2,720 – Final deeper support area.
Trading Plan:
- Wait for bearish confirmation** before entering a sell.
- A breakdown of intraday support near **$2,797** would strengthen the bearish case.
- If price breaks above $2,820-$2,828, the bearish bias is invalidated.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-3-25 : Breakaway PatternOn a day like today, where the markets broke down with a huge GAP downward, what can I say except...
Just like I predicted.
For months I've been warning of the Jan 21-23 Inauguration peak/top that will lead to a Deep-V breakdown on Feb 9-12. And, like clockwork, the markets peaked just after January 23 and rolled downward into the breakdown phase - headed towards my Deep-V base/bottom setup near Feb 9-12.
At this point, I'm just going to sit back and collect my profits. You should be doing the same thing today - BOOK those profits.
Gold and Silver are moving into an upward CRUSH pattern. It could be very explosive.
Bitcoin has broken downward again - just like I predicted.
Over the next 30+ days, the markets will enter a very volatile and rotating price phase. Be prepared for wild price rotations.
This is a true trader's market. Go get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
ETH/USDT : Get Ready for the next Bullish Move! (READ)By analyzing the weekly (logarithmic) chart of Ethereum, we can see that the price experienced a sharp crash last night, dropping to $2100. After reaching this key demand zone, Ethereum rebounded and is currently trading around $2600.
As long as the $2200 support holds, we can expect further bullish momentum. The mid-term targets for Ethereum are $3900, $4600, $5700, and $7400. 🚀
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Holds Firm as Safe-Haven Demand Rises Amid Tariff UncertainSafe-Haven Gold Rises Amid Tariff Concerns
Gold Technical Analysis
The price has reached our bullish target, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
Today, gold appears to be consolidating between 2,805 and 2,788 until a breakout occurs.
However, the overall trend on the Daily and Weekly timeframes remains bullish.
For a bullish continuation, gold must close a 4-hour or 1-hour candle above 2,805, which could push the price toward 2,822.
On the other hand, if the price closes below 2,788, it may trigger a bearish move toward 2,772 and 2,758.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2805
Resistance Levels: 2812, 2822, 2833
Support Levels: 2788, 2772, 2759
Trend Outlook
Consolidation Range: 2,805 - 2,788
Next Bullish Confirmation: A break above 2,805
Bearish Outlook: If the price breaks below 2,788
Previous idea:
XAUUSD Gold will keep rising within the upward channelHello everyone, I have Gold analytics ready for you today. The price in this chart dropped to support 2, which was also the support zone. It briefly traded close to this level before rising to support 1. Gold then reversed course and fell to support 2, which it shattered and fell slightly below when it got there. The price swiftly recovered to support 2 following this movement, and it then briefly traded in the support area. The price then corrected once more before beginning to rise inside an upward channel and breaking support 2 shortly after. The price in the channel dropped to the trend line, which also serves as the channel's support line and proceeded to ascend after that. Gold breached this level after rising to support 1, which also happened to be the location of another support zone. The price quickly climbed to the channel's resistance line before correcting to the trend line, but it recently bounced back and kept rising. I anticipate that XAUUSD will rise to 2800 points within an upward channel as a result.
GOLD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,801.13.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,788.28 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD WEEKLY TRADING PLAN & GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAPHello everyone,
View our most recent one-hour chart levels and goals for the upcoming week.
With a gap above at 2807 and a gap below at 2794, we are witnessing price movement between two weighted levels. To find the next range, we must watch for the ema5 to cross and lock on either weighted level.
Until one of the weighted levels breaks and locks to confirm direction for the next range, we will test levels side by side.
When making purchases from dips, we shall bear the aforementioned in mind. We will be able to trace the movement down and then catch bounces up thanks to our upgraded levels and weighted levels.
Taking 30 to 40 pip drops, we will keep buying dips using our support levels. Each of our level structures, as previously said, provides 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is plenty for a pleasant entry and exit. You may examine how well the levels we released each week for the previous 24 months were used to trade with or against short- and mid-term swings and trends by backtesting them.
The following bearish target, 2778, will be opened by an EMA5 cross and lock below 2794.
The following bearish target, 2764, will be opened by an EMA5 cross and lock below 2778.
The recovery range of 2753–2739 will open when the EMA5 cross and lock below 2764
The swing rage will be opened by an EMA5 cross and a lock below 2739.
RANGE OF SWINGS 2722–2707
XAGUSD Analysis: Bullish Trend Faces Resistance – What’s Next?👀 👉 In this video, we analyze XAGUSD (silver) in detail. While it has been in a bullish trend on the higher timeframe, it is currently trading into resistance and appears overextended. On the four-hour timeframe, we can see a bearish break in structure. My overall bias remains bullish, but I’m waiting for a break of the current high, followed by a retest and fail, before considering an entry. This is not financial advice.
XAUUSD Channel Up unfazed by Tariff War.Gold (XAUUSD) is rising today following the Tariff announcements between the U.S. and their strongest trade partners. This rise is taking place just before the price touched the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which has been the absolute Support (hence buy entry) of January's Channel Up for the past month.
With the 4H RSI also making (so far) a V-shaped reversal, similar to all 4 previous Higher Lows of the Channel Up, we believe that this is once more a buy opportunity. All previous bottoms (Higher Lows) rebounded to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (from High to Low). This gives us a 2845 Target for the next technical Higher High.
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GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 2,687.784 area.
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