GOLD - Bearish Head and ShouldersHello Traders !
The GOLD price formed a head and shoulders pattern.
Currently, The neckline is broken !
So, I expect a bearish move📉
_______________
TARGET: 3170🎯
Metals
GOLD recovers to initial target, confirmation point continuesOANDA:XAUUSD surged in the first half of trading on Monday (May 5), briefly surpassing the $3,270/ounce mark and marking a daily gain of more than $30. as uncertainty over U.S. tariffs spurred safe-haven flows, supporting gold prices. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut in June is also boosting the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Bloomberg reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump plans to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign-made films, which is not a huge deal, but it does escalate the trade war. "I am authorizing the Department of Commerce and the United States Trade Representative to immediately begin proceedings to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign-made films imported into the United States," Trump wrote on his Truth Social social media platform. "We want our movies made in the USA again!"
Gold prices have risen nearly 25% this year, hitting a record high above $3,500 an ounce in April, but have retreated in recent weeks. Bloomberg notes that factors driving gold’s recent rally include safe-haven buying fueled by Trump’s destructive trade and geopolitical policies, as well as speculative demand from China and buying by global central banks.
According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" on May 5: The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 96.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 3.2%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 63.3%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 35.6%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 1.1%.
Technical outlook analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still bullish as the price action remains above the important support EMA21. At the same time, the price channel that is noted as the main long-term trend channel remains stable.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of weakness as it falls to approach the 50 level, which is noted as the closest support in terms of momentum.
Going forward, if gold rebounds above $3,245, it could rebound to the short-term target of $3,267, more than the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, and then the full price point of $3,300.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, its long-term trend remains bullish, but the risk of a deeper correction is when the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level is broken below, once this level is broken below gold is at risk of further selling to $3,163 in the short term. This also means that technically gold is in an ideal support area for bullish expectations, long positions should be protected below the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
In the coming period, gold has technical conditions that favor a bullish recovery, and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,245 – 3,228USD
Resistance: 3,267 – 3,270 – 3,292USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3302⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3310
→Take Profit 1 3296
↨
→Take Profit 2 3290
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3173 - 3175⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3169
→Take Profit 1 3181
↨
→Take Profit 2 3187
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Retest 3275 – Confirm the Next Bullish Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
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💯 Main Focus: Bullish Retest at 3275
We are watching this zone closely.
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Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3265
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3318
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3270 – Major support / Key level
➗ 3325 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 3272 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 3325 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 3270 – Equal lows
• 3328 – Equal highs
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Retest 3275 – Confirm the Next Bullish Move
How to arrange when gold fluctuates upward🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films
📈Technical aspects:
In the morning, we seized the opportunity to short and earn a wave of profits. Then gold fell back to 3255 and rebounded again, moving upward in a fluctuating manner. From the hourly chart, Friday's low was around 3220 and today's high was around 3270. In this trend, 3255 may be the short-term low for short-term trading. From the daily chart, gold has closed the cross star. The current gold price is more critical. If it breaks through 3285, it may continue to rise to the 3295-3300 line. If the gold price fails to effectively break through 3285, it may usher in a wave of retracement. It will be a good time for us to go long.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,270.07
Target Level: 3,197.87
Stop Loss: 3,317.86
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Silver H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 32.46, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 31.50, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 33.15, an overlap resistance.
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XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3275.86, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3222.63, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 3314.24, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold Setup: Range or Rip? Here's the PlaybookGold’s been on a tear lately — driven by safe haven demand as real yields soften and global uncertainty lingers.
But here’s where things get interesting...
We’re now watching what could be a textbook head and shoulders pattern start to take shape.
📊 Current Range:
Right now, price is stuck between 3380 and 3280 — and it’s acting like it knows it.
⚡ Possible Scenarios:
🔁 Scenario 1: Range Play
Short near 3380
Long near 3280
Let it ping-pong and catch the edges.
📈 Scenario 2: Breakout Long
Confirmation above 3380
Look for momentum follow-through into 3420+
📉 Scenario 3: Breakdown Short
Break below 3280
Eyes on the 3220s for a potential flush
🧠 The key? Drop to the lower time frames near these zones and wait for clean setups during active sessions — especially NY open or post-data volatility.
💬 How are you playing this? Breakout or bounce? Drop your take 👇
#gold #tradingview #futures #technicalanalysis #metals #xauusd #tradingstrategy #macro
Whats the direction for the Week? We should wait to see...Looking for price to go Bullish...But i need to allow Monday to play out first to give us a solid direction. They could go bullish early or they could pull back to give a lower entry first.
Gold: Will 3,260 Flip From Supply to Springboard?Micro Gold Futures — 30 min chart
BULLISH ABOVE 3,260 | BEARISH BELOW
🗺️ Structure in Focus
Macro bias (4 h/1 D): remains bearish — lower highs & lows since late‑April.
Intraday context: price climbing in a rising channel; buyers defend each channel low since 1 May.
Grey zone 3 255‑3 260:
• 61 %‑78 % Fib retrace of the last leg down
• Breakdown base now acting as supply
• Mid‑channel + intraday VWAP overhead
A decisive H1 close above 3 260 plus a bullish retest flips the bias long toward ≈ 3 280.
🧭 Trade Map
🔴 Base‑case short
• Trigger – bearish reaction inside / below 3 255‑60
• Targets – 3 230, then 3 210 (-27 % Fib extension)
• Invalidation – H1/H4 close > 3 260
🟢 Flip‑bull plan
• Trigger – H1 close above 3 260 and zone holds as support
• Target – 3 280 supply (channel top + prior S/R)
• Invalidation – H1 close back under 3 250
(Risk ≤ 1 % per idea; scale out at interim levels.)
📊 Narrative to Watch
Fed speakers & US data could jolt real yields and gold flow.
Asia session often sets the tone—watch Shanghai physical premium chatter.
Softening DXY gives the upside‑break thesis a tail‑wind.
What’s your play—fade the zone or ride the breakout? Smash the boost 🔥 and follow for live updates!
Not financial advice; just sharing my plan.
Tags: #Gold #XAUUSD #Futures #PriceAction #Fib #TechnicalAnalysis
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,148.98
1st Support: 3,051.82
1st Resistance: 3,430.57
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BUYS For the Markets. Wait for BUYS in Gold and Silver.In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 5 - 9th.
The Indices are moving higher, and it's buys until they are not. Simple.
Gold is near potential support at 3201. This may present a great buying opportunity once the lows are swept. A weakened USD will help this cause.
Silver has made a bearish market structure shift (MSS), so buys are not yet on the table. If it disrespects a Daily -FVG, then sells are warranted. It is considerably weaker than Gold.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Thank you so much!
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XAU / GOLD🌟 GOLD: THE BIGGEST TRADE OF SUMMER 2025
XAU/USD Forecast
📈 PHASE 1: SHORT-TERM RALLY (after small correction to 3172$)
We expect a bounce toward the $3,789–$3,800 resistance zone.
🔴 PHASE 2: THE SHAKEOUT
May 27 SELL ZONE.
After May 27, the cycle flips.
Expect a violent correction, retracing into key support around $2,880–$2,970 or even lower.
🟢 PHASE 3: THE BUY ZONE — July 13 +/- few days.
Mid-July marks the ideal long-term entry into TVC:GOLD before the explosive move.
🚀 PHASE 4: THE BREAKOUT
Target: ATH above $4,000 by late summer
Yes, EUROTLX:4K + gold is coming — but only after the market resets.
GOLD - Is this the end of the Bull Run?Gold has once again followed my previous analysis — turning bearish right at key levels! 🚩 After an incredible bull run where price kept making new highs, signs are now pointing to a possible top. We could be entering a short-term bearish phase here, with potential for a deeper correction if momentum builds.
Right now, I’m holding a bearish bias. I’ll be watching for solid sell setups, especially around those well-defined resistance zones. There’s also an unfilled gap below that could attract price action — keep an eye on that level (chart shows the zone clearly 🔎).
I’ll be looking for confirmation through structure breaks and clean retests before entering shorts.
What’s your take — are we seeing a reversal brewing, or is this just a dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below!
If this analysis helps, a boost or follow would mean a lot — and keeps you in the loop for the next moves! 🚀
Silver pleasurable ATMMany people are happy with their silver positions... What will make them sell it??
A loss of 50% into 2027 with a fake capitulation bottom.. Pump and dump??
They would be able to stock up on all the silver needed for smart cities and military weapons.
I like silver and we need it. BUT they need it manipulated to a cheap price and the military industry gets what it wants.
BE SAFE, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!!
Natural Gas | Oil | Dollar | Silver | Gold Price ForecastPrice action, multi time frame, trend analysis on
NYMEX:NG1! PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS AMEX:UNG | Oil | Dollar | Silver | Gold Price Forecast
XauUsd bullish outlook✅ Reasons for Entry:
✅ Third Touch on H4 Extreme Trendline confirms clean anchor & rejection
✅ Strong RBS zone at 3235 — previously supported upward impulsive move
✅ Visible demand rejection wicks on H1 and M15 — signs of buyer defense
✅ Bullish market structure still intact on D1 (trend continuation bias)
✅ Extreme Trendline + Structure + Rejection = High-probability setup
Auto Generated by Custom Smart Trading Chart AI
Why Palladium Is the Smart Play Right NowGold is hitting record highs, and silver is riding the wave—but smart investors know that diversification is key. While everyone is chasing gold, Palladium and Platinum are quietly setting up for a massive opportunity.
🔹 Palladium’s Market Position
✅ Palladium is rarer than gold—annual production is significantly lower.
✅ Industrial demand is surging, especially in automotive catalytic converters.
✅ Supply constraints due to geopolitical factors and mining limitations.
🔹 Palladium’s Role in the Green Revolution
🌍 Palladium is critical for reducing vehicle emissions—used in catalytic converters to meet stricter environmental regulations.
⚡ Hydrogen fuel cells and clean energy tech are increasing demand for Palladium.
🔋 Electronics & semiconductor industries rely on Palladium for conductivity and durability.
🔹 Gold Is at the Top—Time to Rotate?
📈 Gold is at all-time highs, making it expensive for new investors.
📉 Palladium has corrected from its highs, creating a buying opportunity.
💡 Diversifying into Palladium & Platinum now could be a strategic hedge against gold’s potential pullback.
🔹 Palladium’s Supply Crunch
⛏️ Russia & South Africa control most of the world’s Palladium supply—geopolitical risks could tighten availability.
📉 Mining output is declining, while demand remains strong.
💰 Lower supply + rising demand = price surge potential.
🔹 Platinum: The Underrated Hedge
💎 Platinum is historically undervalued compared to gold & Palladium.
🚗 EV & hydrogen fuel cell adoption could drive Platinum demand higher.
📊 Platinum-to-Gold ratio suggests Platinum is deeply discounted.
🔹 Final Thoughts
Gold is great, but smart investors look ahead. Palladium and Platinum are positioned for growth, with strong industrial demand, supply constraints, and undervaluation compared to gold.
📢 Now is the time to accumulate Palladium & Platinum before the market catches on.
TVC:PALLADIUM TVC:PLATINUM TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER
Now That Gold Ended Bearish Weekly, What Next?After the indecision in the upper week, XAUUSD resumed its sell‑off this the trading week and closed below the prior week’s low, locking in a bearish weekly close. With momentum skewed to the downside, a mean‑reversion likely to occur over the next few weeks.
N.B!
- XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gold
#xauusd
SILVER Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 32.014
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 32.660
My Stop Loss - 31.682
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3263.7
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3249.1
Safe Stop Loss - 3271.6
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bitcoin Hype vs. Reality: A Breakdown of Bitcoin DelusionBitcoin enthusiasts often dream of mass adoption, corporate treasuries, and state-backed investments driving its price to astronomical levels. But let’s examine the actual numbers behind these claims.
🔹 The $1M Bitcoin Fantasy
Many believe Bitcoin will reach $300K, $500K, or even $1M. But what does that actually require?
💰 Bitcoin’s current circulating supply is approximately 19.5 million coins.
💰 At $830K per coin, the total market cap would be $16 trillion—which is:
✅ More than China’s entire GDP ($6T)
✅ 5x the market cap of Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google & Tesla combined
To put this into perspective, the entire global crypto market cap is currently around $2.99 trillion. Expecting Bitcoin alone to hit $16 trillion is beyond unrealistic.
🔹 Why Government & Corporate Adoption Won’t Skyrocket Price
Bitcoin believers often cite governments and corporations buying Bitcoin as proof it will moon. But here’s the reality:
⚠️ State & corporate purchases are OTC (Over-The-Counter) deals—they do not impact market prices like retail speculation.
⚠️ Governments negotiate strategically, they don’t impulsively buy at public prices to pump the asset.
⚠️ Treasury holdings do not guarantee higher prices—they only serve as reserves, not market drivers.
State adoption might increase legitimacy, but it won’t magically push Bitcoin past gold or global GDP levels.
🔹 Bitcoin’s Volatility vs. Gold’s Stability
Bitcoin is often compared to gold as a store of value, but its history tells a different story:
📉 Bitcoin has crashed over 80% multiple times—far from a stable asset.
📉 Extreme volatility makes it unreliable for wealth preservation.
📉 Liquidity issues create uncertainty, making it impractical for widespread adoption as money.
Gold, by contrast, has proven stability for centuries, with intrinsic value, industrial use, and universal acceptance.
🔹 Bitcoin Will NOT Absorb the Global Economy
Some claim Bitcoin will replace fiat, surpass gold, and absorb trillions in wealth. But the economic reality is:
❌ Bitcoin remains speculative, driven by market sentiment, not intrinsic value.
❌ No nation will abandon fiat for Bitcoin—they will regulate, integrate, but never replace sovereign currency.
❌ Bitcoin lacks industrial utility—gold has actual use in electronics, medicine, and aerospace.
🔹 The Crypto Dream vs. Financial Reality
Crypto thrives on believers, feeding them narratives that sound appealing but don’t match real-world economic fundamentals.
Bitcoin is not overtaking gold.
Bitcoin is not absorbing global wealth.
Bitcoin is not making every holder a millionaire.
Numbers don’t lie, but ignoring them won’t change reality. When the hype fades, speculative investors will face the harsh truth: Bitcoin is not a guaranteed path to riches—it’s a high-risk, volatile asset that operates in an unpredictable market.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 3260 - 3288 area
Resistance 2: 3350 - 3386 area
Resistance 3: 3482 - 3501 area
Support 1: 3191 - 3210 area
Support 2: 3135 - 3167 area
Support 3: 2956 - 2981 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
