Tariffs Fail to Spark Gold RallyGold fell below $2,780 per ounce as the strengthening U.S. dollar outweighed safe-haven demand following the U.S. decision to impose tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. Trump announced a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods and a 10% levy on Chinese imports, set to take effect on Tuesday. Although such developments typically stimulate demand for gold, the appreciating dollar and interest rate outlook are limiting upward pressure. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers while the inflationary effects of tariffs could keep borrowing costs high, weighing on the appeal of non-yielding assets like bullion. Some investors also engaged in profit-taking after gold recently hit a record high, further contributing to its decline.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2817 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2858 and 2900. On the downside, 2760 will be the first support level. 2727 and 2710 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Metals
Levels to watch out I’ve exited my long positions and am staying on the sidelines for now. I won’t be selling into the current strength just yet, as there’s still room for exhaustion around the 2850 level. I’ll consider entering shorts if the market closes below 2725, with targets closer to 2000.
History is likely to repeat itself, with retailers jumping into the FOMO at 3000.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 03.02.2025Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis
Trend Structure:
The chart shows a clear uptrend, forming a series of higher highs.
Price is currently near a trendline support, indicating a potential bounce.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: $2,770 - $2,775 (Trendline & previous resistance turned support)
Target (Resistance): $2,800 (Previous high & psychological level)
Stop Loss (SL): $2,765 (Below the trendline and key support)
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $2,770 - $2,775
Take Profit (TP): $2,800
Stop Loss (SL): $2,765
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with a small risk and a decent upside.
Technical Indicators:
Price retesting support zone.
If it holds above support, the bullish trend could continue.
Conclusion:
If gold bounces from the support, it could head towards $2,800.
A break below $2,765 could indicate further downside.
Bullish bias remains unless the support breaks.
**Gold (XAU/USD) Approaching Bearish Confirmation at Major ResisThis chart shows gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key resistance and support zones.
Key Observations:
1. All-Time High & Major Resistance:
- Price recently reached an all-time high and faced rejection from the major resistance zone.
- A pullback is currently in progress, and the chart suggests waiting for **bearish confirmation** before entering a short trade.
2. Bearish Expectation:**
- If the resistance holds and bearish confirmation appears, a sell-off toward the **1st target (2,772.32)** and then the 2nd target (2,750.15 - 2,750.43) is expected.
3. Major Support Zone:**
- If the decline continues, the **major support** area around **2,720** could be tested.
Trading Strategy:
- Wait for confirmation** before entering short positions.
- A strong **bearish rejection** from resistance will validate the short setup.
- If price breaks back above resistance, bearish bias would weaken.
Intraday plan: buy above 2765 and sell below 2806.The weekly chart of gold continues to be strong and the price continues to run in the bull trend channel. Gold hit a new historical high of 2817 on Friday. The further strengthening of the bulls has expanded the room for growth. The daily structure continues the upward trend. The latest MA10/7-day moving average has moved up to 2767/2775. After the price touched the upper track of the Bollinger Band, it fell back at the end of the week. The RSI indicator daily chart is above the 70 value.
The price of the short-term four-hour chart remains in the upper track of the Bollinger Band channel, and the moving average still remains open upward. However, after the RSI indicator is overbought at 80 values, it is necessary to pay attention to the price's high and fall and another wash adjustment. In view of this week's NFP data and a series of tariff policies of the Federal Reserve and the new government, the volatility of the gold market is expected to continue to expand this week, which is an opportunity and more risks. Participate cautiously and strictly manage risk control.
Pay attention to a few points in this trading day: In terms of the general trend, for bulls, the current support point of concern is around 2765, which is the point of bottoming out and stabilizing, that is, the starting point. According to the principle of strong retracement without breaking the starting point, as long as the market price remains above 2765, the market's bullish atmosphere will not change significantly.
This week's opening short-term suppression appeared near 2808, but it is difficult for the market to reverse quickly at this stage. In terms of trend operation, although callbacks occur from time to time during the session, there is no reason for a sharp drop or reversal of the trend, and the price retracement is still in line with the trend. The main trading idea is still to buy at a low price after a pullback
Key points:
First support: 2776, second support: 2765, third support: 2757
First resistance: 2795, second resistance: 2806, third resistance: 2818
Marginal price operation ideas:
BUY: 2765-2768, SL: 2757, TP: 2790-2800;
SELL: 2802-2805, SL: 2813, TP: 2770-2760;
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GOLD corrected and recovered, as the US Dollar soaredOANDA:XAUUSD Spot prices fell below 2,780 USD/ounce and recovered slightly. As of the time this article was completed, gold prices were trading at around 2,783 USD/ounce, as the strong US Dollar overshadowed safe haven demand. after the United States announced tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China.
On February 1, US President Trump signed an executive order imposing a 10% tariff on goods imported from China. The United States will also impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from Mexico and Canada. On the evening of February 2 local time, Trump announced that he would "definitely" impose new tariffs on the European Union.
While these developments typically boost safe-haven demand for precious metals, the stronger dollar and interest rate outlook have offset those pressures. The inflationary impact of tariffs could cause borrowing costs to remain high, which could put pressure on gold as it does not pay interest, while a stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated gold expensive. red and less attractive.
However, the current price decline is not something to worry about for the uptrend of gold prices, and in terms of general fundamental assessment, it still has a positive outlook in the near future when there are too many risks. with the potential for a long-lasting trade war.
On the daily chart, OANDA:XAUUSD recovered after approaching the 0.236% trendline Fibonacci extension and is currently trading around 2,783USD.
With its current position, gold still has conditions to increase in price with the price channel as the main trend and main support from the EMA21. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still in the green uptrend. Although the room for growth is not much, it does not mean it is over.
If gold breaks above the $2,785 technical level it will have upside conditions with a target then around $2,800 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci extension.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, above EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,774 – 2,762USD
Resistance: 2,785 – 2,800USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2827 - 2825⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2831
→Take Profit 1 2820
↨
→Take Profit 2 2815
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2767 - 2769⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2763
→Take Profit 1 2774
↨
→Take Profit 2 2779
XAU/USD Feb '25 OutlookJanuary we have Gold in Bull trend towards the Chinese New Year which is very common. I think it will be due for a pullback, as seen by a sell-off during Asian session.
We have a candle displacement, taking liquidity at $2790 and now a retracement back.
The first week of February will be full of economic news from PMI, NFP and England's Bank Rate. I expect some volatility and will take 1-2 setups, probably avoiding Thu and Fri.
XAUUSD N15 | Bearish DropBased on the M15 chart analysis, the price is rising toward our buy entry level at 2789.90, which is a pullback resistance close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 2772, an overlap pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 12802.96, above the 61.8% Fibo retracement level.
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Trade Idea for XAUUSD ( SELL STOP )Trade Idea for XAUUSD
Position: Short (Sell)
Reasoning:
1. Technical Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Price is at a key resistance level near 2775-2780, showing signs of exhaustion.
• M15 Chart: Recent strong bullish momentum has met resistance, and price has started to reject lower.
• M3 Chart: Short-term trend reversal, showing lower highs and a loss of bullish momentum.
• Indicators:
• RSI (14) on M15 & M3: Shows overbought conditions.
• MACD: Weakening momentum, signaling potential for reversal.
2. Fundamental Analysis:
• If upcoming macroeconomic data (e.g., NFP, FOMC, CPI) favors USD strength, gold will likely decline.
• Higher U.S. bond yields or hawkish Fed sentiment can put downward pressure on XAUUSD.
Trade Setup
• Entry: 2775
• Stop-Loss (SL): 2785 (Above recent highs)
• Take-Profit (TP): 2755
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
This trade idea aligns with technical resistance, short-term reversal patterns, and fundamental factors favoring a potential gold decline.
Short Term Pain for Long Term GainAfter an amazing and wild week last week, I believe tomorrow will be the start of an even crazier one. Trump Tariffs, Oil and Gas up along with the US Dollar, while tech is on the verge of another break down. Will Bitcoin finally break below 89k, while Gold and Silver possibly break to the upside? Exciting times if you're ready for it.
Gold Bears targeting Wave IV low $2,730?!As you can see the current market price has touched the previous Wave III, showing a CHOC (Change of Character) in market structure.
I will now be looking for bearish price action to carry on down towards the last major low Wave IV at $2,731📉
In any healthy bull or bear market, price should always take out Wave IV before it can carry on its intended trend run.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 2,787.21
1st Support: 2,715.57
1st Resistance: 2,858.98
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GOLD BREAKOUT CONFIRMED|LONG|
✅GOLD went up just as
We predicted in our previous
Analysis and the confirmed
The breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 2788$
While trading in an uptrend
Which reinforces our bullish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Bullish bounce?COPPER is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.1860
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 4.1137
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which is slightly above the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.2958
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Bullish momentum to extend?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,778.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,751.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,813.09
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish Momentum Catching Up in SilverThe Price has been on a quite choppy rise. It gives rise to several possible interpretations for the structure, but after several weeks of waiting it seems like it was creating a strong accumulation of orders, setting a base if you may, before taking off strongly to the upside. In the Wave Principle context we might be seeing a series of waves 1 & 2, no finally moving into the latter stages of a minor wave three.
The commodities market tends to display its strongest phase of the cycle in its last leg, leading me to believe that we are about to experience an aggressive rally during the minor wave five of higher degree wave three.
The rally hit a minor pause on Thursday and moved sideways for the rest of the week, however the break up should come swiftly after this coming week starts.
I do need to see the price respect the Friday low at around 31.12 for the view to hold. We might see some slight variations on the theme but a continued move below said level throw a wrench on the setup as a whole.
Happy Trading :)
Platinum towards Key Resistance. Watch Closely for Confirmation OANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously stepped in to drive prices lower. This area is a great zone to watch for potential rejection.
If price struggles to break above and we see bearish confirmation, I anticipate a pullback toward the $1,010 level at least. In this recording I will be explaining in more detail why I think this is a possibility and what to look for.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in.