Gold - Short and Long Term Trading Idea - 24 Feb 25In the beginning of the last week of February, we expecting Gold to decline. There are several factors on small time frames, but also appear signs on larger time frames.
In fact it is difficult to predict an asset when it discovers new higher highs, but there are methods to determine the turning points. In past few weeks we expected price to close down to psychological level of $3'000 and it is close, but we don't expect to reach it. So in this case we enter in short positions with long term swing target of over $200.
We publish 2 trading ideas in one: one is more intraday, another one is long term swing trading idea.
Metals
First short gold, then long goldBros, driven by risk aversion, gold has risen rapidly to above 2920, breaking through the recent consolidation range of 2895-2885. However, due to the promotion of news, the continuity of gold's rise may not be strong. We must be careful of the trend of falling after rising, so we cannot aggressively chase long gold in short-term trading;
After consolidating in the past two days, gold has risen through the stimulation of news and got rid of the bottom area, and the rising structure is relatively complete. Then gold may try to rush into the upper 2930 resistance area again with the support of the rising structure, or even near the previous high of 2956. So in the next transaction, we can wait for gold to fall back to the 2900-2890 zone and try to go long on gold;
Of course, for now, before gold falls back to 2900-2890, we can safely short gold again in the 2915-2925 zone; after gold falls back to 2900-2890, we will go long on gold.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
XAUUSDXAUUSD is still in an uptrend. It is currently in a correction phase. If the price cannot break through 2957, in the short term, there is a chance that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
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Silver INTRADAY, Bullish breakoutSilver (XAG/USD) maintains a bullish outlook, supported by the long-term uptrend, characterized by a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The recent pullback appears to be a corrective move, currently testing a rising trendline support zone, which remains crucial for trend continuation.
Key Technical Levels
Immediate Support: $31.50 (previous consolidation range and trendline support)
Major Support Levels:
$30.60
$30.20
$30.00
Immediate Resistance: $32.13 (short-term breakout level)
Major Resistance Levels:
$32.30
$32.60
$33.50
Bullish Scenario:
A successful hold of 31.50 and a bullish bounce could trigger further upside momentum, with key resistance targets at:
32.13 – Initial resistance where some profit-taking may occur.
32.60 – A stronger resistance zone, potentially capping further gains.
33.52 – A key level that, if broken, could signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break below 31.50, especially with a daily close under this level, would shift the outlook bearish. In this case, downside targets include:
30.60 – First support level, where buyers may attempt to stabilize the price.
30.20 – A deeper support zone, signaling further weakness if breached.
30.00 – A key psychological support level that could confirm extended bearish momentum.
Conclusion:
Silver (XAGUSD), the 31.50 level remains the key pivot point. A bounce from this level could fuel a bullish move toward higher resistance zones, while a break below it would reinforce the bearish outlook, targeting lower support levels. Traders should watch for confirmation of either scenario before positioning.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | GOLD local oversoldGOLD is under an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower trend line and support level.
Indicators on small timeframes indicate oversold.
We expect that XAUUSD after consolidation above the support may bounce to $2900, which coincides with the 62% retracement level.
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Gold Futures - Potential Springtime ReversalGold futures have been on a rally, but recent price action suggests a potential shift. Could we be witnessing a Wyckoff distribution forming?
Understanding Wyckoff Distribution
The Wyckoff distribution pattern occurs when large institutions begin selling off their positions to retail traders before a downtrend begins. This phase is often characterized by sideways price movement, false breakouts, and key "Signs of Weakness" (SOW) that hint at an impending sell-off.
A Recent Sign of Weakness in Gold Futures
A possible sign of weakness in gold futures was observed recently when prices gave a false break out at what retail traders would label "key levels".
Historical Seasonal Trends: Spring Reversals
Looking at historical data, Moore Research Center, Inc. (MRCI.com) has tracked seasonal gold price patterns for over 40 years. Their findings indicate that gold often experiences price reversals during the spring months. This aligns with the idea that we could be heading into a seasonally weak period, increasing the likelihood of a distribution phase playing out.
What Traders Should Watch For
As Gold rallies back towards a new all time high we should be aware that it may be just a false break to form the final phases of a distribution schematic. This would form an upthrust, and upthrust after distribution, followed by a sharp retracement back into the range and ultimately leading to a sell off and market reversal.
Final Thoughts
While nothing is certain, the combination of the financial institutions footprint and historical seasonal data suggests gold traders should proceed with caution. Whether you’re trading futures or investing in physical gold, staying aware of these patterns can help you make informed decisions.
Do you think a Wyckoff distribution is playing out in gold? Share your thoughts in the comments!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-4-25: Top Resistance PatternToday's pattern is a Top Resistance pattern.
Usually, these types of patterns reflect a market where price moves higher - attempting to find a peak/resistance level, then rolls downward (confirming that resistance level).
Because of yesterday's strong selling after Trump's Tariff comments, I suggest the peak in today's price activity may be set in very early trading.
We're going to have to watch the charts to see how price reacts to more news and the continued restructuring of global economies.
One thing is obvious: the markets are resettling based on Trump's expectations and tariff comments. I checked out TLT and a few other symbols last night, and it appears the Predator Fed comments I made over the past 12+ months are still holding up very well.
Inadvertently, the US has moved into a position of being the 900 lb gorilla of the global markets.
Higher Fed rates for longer are putting pressure on global currencies and many global economies.
If Trump is able to secure more US manufacturing and a more secure US economy (reducing deficit spending), I can see the next 3+ years being very disruptive for the global markets.
Ultimately, though, building a strong US economy and going through this disruption will lead to explosive growth in 2026 and beyond. You may not see it now, but if we are able to organize our government/finances better going forward - start to think about how powerful that could be for the next 15 to 25+ years.
Next, thank you for all the great comments. Love it.
Gold and Silver are starting to make that recovery rally move after the last 7+ days of selling. This could be a very powerful move to the upside for metals and miners.
Bitcoin is still struggling and will likely stay trapped in a sideways range. that range could be $10k to GETTEX:13K in size - so stay cautious of wild volatility in BTCUSD if you are trading it.
Again,I want to urge all of you to consider your trading as "taking calculated risks" - not gambling.
I talked to a friend just yesterday, and he told me how I changed his life by helping him to stop the gambling-style of trading he was doing. Once you realize that trading is not about those HUGE WINS (sure they are nice) - but it is about staying agile, getting in and out with decent profits, and growing your account efficiently.
So, I urge you to step back and consider every new trade you take as "how much am I really risking if things go wrong". When you do that, you'll find you can still take the trade, but you'll teach yourself to manage your capital more efficiently.
Ok. Go Get Some!
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XAUUSDGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2930, support below 2892
Four-hour resistance 2930, support below 2882
One-hour resistance 2930, support below 2895
Analysis of gold news: Spot gold rose in the short term on Tuesday, and the price of gold has risen to around $2916/ounce. Supported by the weakening of the US dollar and the market's safe-haven buying stimulated by US President Trump's tariff policy, spot gold closed up $35.40, or 1.24%, at $2892.85/ounce on Monday. On Monday local time, US President Trump said at the NEW press conference that the United States will impose a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico on the 4th of this month, and said that there is no room for negotiation with these two allies. Trump also said on Monday that the United States will adopt "reciprocal tariffs" from April 2, and will also impose tariffs on countries that take measures to devalue their currencies. In addition, Trump said on social media that the United States will impose tariffs on "external" agricultural products from April 2. Concerns about the health of the economy have resurfaced, boosting market expectations for the Fed's rate cuts and increasing the appeal of gold.
Gold trading suggestions: Gold prices rose by $38 in the last trading session, mainly because US President Trump announced that the 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada will officially take effect on Tuesday, and the planned reciprocal tariffs will also be implemented on April 2. This move not only made the financial market uneasy, but also triggered widespread global attention to the new economic barriers in North America, providing safe-haven support for gold prices.
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is near 2930, and the lower support is around 2892. The daily level has not broken through and closed below this position before the market is bullish. The overall trend remains unchanged by relying on this range to maintain the main tone of low-multiple participation. In the middle position, watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2892near SL:2887
BUY:2900near SL:2895
BUY:2910near SL:2905
SELL:2930near SL:2935
Use small size to control risk
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances on Gold.
Resistance 1: 2916 - 2932 area
Resistance 2: 2952 - 2956 area
Resistance 3: 2998 - 3002 area
Support 1: 2832 - 2853 area
Support 2: 2772 - 2786 area
Support 3: 2714 - 2740 area
It looks like we are going to see a test of the current all-time high soon.
Remember that its breakout will push the prices much higher.
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BTC Bitcoin Dont Panic Here This Is A Perfect Measured MoveI like the line chart because it filters out the noise and only shows the close prices. As you can see Bitcoin plays out these double top measured moves almost to the T perfectly. I can go back further but I dont need to its fairly similar.
Bitcoin will bounce around here for a bit and come dow to close the 5 day at the measured move around 82k then its back to the races. We're not going to crash, its just getting started. It may wick below 82 but on a closing basis on the 5 day, which has been very accurate in its history, 82k is where the measured move is. Dont fall for the bearish we're gonna crash stuff. Bitcoin has a long way to go before any top.
Not financial advice just my opinion.
XAU/USD : 1000 Pips Down from ATH, What's Next? (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the one-hour timeframe, we can see that the price, based on the previous analysis, managed to rise by nearly 200 pips but then started to decline from the $2894 zone. Today, we witnessed a price correction down to $2859.
This week, gold has experienced a 3.5% correction from its all-time high, with a decline of over 1000 pips. Currently, gold is trading around $2860.
The attractive SELL zones are $2894, $2900, and $2906.
The attractive BUY zones are $2820, $2833, and $2845.
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HelenP. I Gold will continue to decline and break support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price dropped to the trend line before starting an upward movement. In a short period, Gold climbed to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, even briefly breaking through it. After a retest, the price resumed its upward trajectory. Later, Gold reached the resistance level, which aligned with the resistance zone, and even entered this area before making a corrective move. It then returned to the resistance zone, went through another correction, and quickly pushed back into the same area, breaking the resistance level in the process. Gold traded above the resistance zone for a while before reversing and starting to decline. Soon after, the price fell to the support level, breaking through the 2915 mark along with the trend line. However, not long ago, XAU changed direction and started climbing again. In my view, XAUUSD is likely to rise a bit further before resuming its downward movement. If it reaches the support level, there’s a possibility of a breakout, leading to further declines. With this in mind, my target is set at 2800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Shorting gold againFrom the current gold structure, it can be clearly seen that a certain amount of buying support has accumulated in the 2910-2920 area; however, in the absence of rebound strength, if gold cannot effectively break through the 2920-2930 area, gold is still in a relatively weak position.
So in terms of short-term trading, if gold cannot break through the 2920-2930 area, we can still continue to short gold based on this resistance area; but when executing the transaction, we must be careful that once gold strongly breaks through the 2920-2930 resistance area, gold may continue to fall back to the 2900-2890 area.
So in the short term, you can still try to short gold again. I have already shorted gold near 2915-2920. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to know more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the information at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Pay attention to gold's rise and fall, go short!Gold has currently traded as high as around 2910, and gold’s highs are constantly being refreshed. Are the bulls about to return?
The surge in gold this time is mainly due to the continued fermentation of the news of the breakdown of the US-Ukraine negotiations and the impact of Trump's speech in the early morning. Today, Trump will also deliver his first speech in Congress, which will undoubtedly add more uncertainty to the market. From the hourly chart, the current short-term resistance above gold is suppressed in the 2910-2920 area. In the short term, the bullish trend is relatively strong, but gold has not fallen after rising, so it is necessary to pay attention to the high and fall of gold. We can short in the 2920-2930 area.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
DeGRAM | GOLD retest of the supply areaGOLD is in an ascending channel below the trend lines.
Indicators are out of the oversold zone.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart is holding under the supply zone and 38.2% retracement level.
XAUUSD will continue to decline.
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Continue to short gold!!!Gold fluctuated during the day yesterday, and broke through in the evening, reaching a high of around 2895. As I expected yesterday, gold rebounded after a sharp drop, and continued to above 2890. After reaching 2890, the rebound strength of gold weakened, and there were signs of running downward again many times. This shows that the upper 2895-2905 area can still constitute a short-term structural resistance for gold. Therefore, the intraday rebound can rely on this position to short gold first. It is expected that gold will be able to fall back to the 2875-2865 area after being blocked.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2,916.729.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,961.498 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD approaching 2,900USD, conditions for correction endOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery remains high after yesterday's strong increase and the current gold price is at about 2,887 USD ounce, equivalent to a decrease of 0.20% on the day, limited by the lower edge of the technical price channel and the EMA21.
Geopolitical tensions and impending tariffs have boosted gold prices. Gold prices continue to rise again, but no other price increases have been confirmed yet.
Spot gold prices rose more than 1% on Monday, recovering from a three-week low hit in last week's final trading session, as a weaker U.S. dollar and U.S. President Trump's tariff policies spurred safe-haven buying.
On Monday local time, US President Trump said at a press conference that the US would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico on March 4 and said there was no room for negotiations with these two US allies.
Additionally, the US government announced it will impose an additional 10% tariff on Chinese products exported to the US starting March 4, citing fentanyl and other issues.
Mr. Trump also said on Monday that the United States would impose "reciprocal tariffs" starting April 2 and would impose tariffs on countries that devalue their currencies as sanctions. In addition, Trump said on social networks that the United States will impose tariffs on "foreign" agricultural products from April 2.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
After recovering from the support area noticed by readers in the previous issue at the area of 2,850 - 2,835 USD, gold has achieved the first target level at 2,880 USD and then approached the next target level at the original price point of 2,900 USD. It is also limited by the original price point of 2,900 USD when this is also the confluence of the lower edge of the price channel and EMA21.
Once gold breaks the $2,900 level and trades above it, it will be primed to continue rising, marking the end of the downward correction with a target then $2,942 in the short term, more than the location of the all-time peak.
The relative strength index is also receiving support from the 50 level, if bullish momentum takes it back above the 60 level, this will be a positive signal for gold price upside on the technical chart.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices is recovery with the condition of ending the above adjustment cycle, notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: 2,880 – 2,868USD
Resistance: 2,900 – 2,942USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2921 - 2919⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2925
→Take Profit 1 2913
↨
→Take Profit 2 2907
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2858 - 2860⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2854
→Take Profit 1 2866
↨
→Take Profit 2 2872
GOLD – Bullish Continuation Toward 2,915$OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within an ascending channel, indicating a strong bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and is now pulling back for a potential retest. This level previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a possible bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this zone, the price is likely to move upward toward the 2,915 target. However, a failure to hold this level could indicate a potential shift in momentum.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀
Unwavering belief in short sellingBrothers, gold continues to rise in the short term and has now touched the Asian high of 2906 again. However, whether the gold market, which has been stimulated by the news, can continue to rise remains to be seen!
And from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 2910-2915 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold cannot successfully break through this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may fall back again and retest the 2885-2875 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, I will not give up shorting gold, and I will still try to increase my position and continue to short gold based on the 2910-2915 resistance area!
Friends who have entered my bottom article have all obtained wrong profits as long as they follow my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to make making money a matter of course! I am eager to help you, but if you are unwilling to extend your hand, how can I help you!
Silver H1 | Potential bullish bounceSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 31.47 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 31.05 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 31.91 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
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