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GOLD: Navigating the Effects of Inflation and Treasury YieldsGold prices have declined for the second consecutive day, influenced by a variety of factors. The ongoing optimism surrounding Donald Trump's trade policies continues to bolster the US Dollar (USD), which is exerting downward pressure on the precious metal. The price of gold (XAU/USD) is building on the significant losses incurred last week and remains under selling pressure as trading commences on Monday, influenced by the prevailing bullish sentiment towards the USD. The promise of expansive economic policies from President-elect Trump has kept the USD near a four-month high reached last week, which is a significant factor dampening demand for gold. Additionally, Trump's proposed 10% tariff on all US imports is anticipated to ignite inflationary pressures, limiting the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to implement aggressive rate cuts. This environment is supportive of rising US Treasury bond yields, further incentivizing investors to move away from the non-yielding gold. From a technical standpoint, we are eyeing potential scalp opportunities near the first demand zone around 2,600. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that retail investors are taking long positions, whereas institutional investors—often referred to as "smart money"—are positioned inversely. The strengthening dollar and our analysis point to a likely bearish trend ahead. Additionally, we have previously opened a short position in Silver (details available on our TradingView profile) as we anticipated this type of scenario unfolding for precious metals. In summary, the combination of robust USD performance and inflationary expectations looks set to keep gold under pressure in the near term. ✅ Please share your thoughts about XAU/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FOREXN1
1
Gold's Bearish Trend Persists: More Declines Ahead?As the week kicks off, gold continues its downward adjustment, slipping by over 130 pips and currently hovering around the $2,670 mark. In the short term, this precious metal appears likely to extend its losses. Sentiment among both analysts and retail investors has turned cautious after an extended period of optimism. The technical outlook suggests gold remains firmly in a downtrend, with last week’s sell-off fueled by a resurgent USD and rising bond yields. Gold may face further declines in the near future. While the long-term uptrend for this metal is still intact, a significant correction seems inevitable. Even with potential rate cuts in the U.S., strong demand for gold is not guaranteed. Thus, I believe the downward trend may continue.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chipucu
Bearish trend, the lower target is around 2600Gold daily line fell below a new low again. After a short rebound was blocked, it began to fall. After a short correction, it was ready to break the low again to open the falling wave, and at the same time pulled the indicator to turn downward. The short-term market is expected to repair the rise, and the trading strategy is to maintain the rebound short position. Gold 4-hour moving average continues to cross the downward short position arrangement. The decline of gold is far from over. After gold fell below the last low of 2643, gold now 2643 has become a resistance to suppress gold's rise. Gold continues to be sold below 2643 in the Asian session. Gold rebounds near 2640 and can be sold. First support: 2603, second support: 2592, third support: 2578 First resistance: 2633, second resistance: 2642, third resistance: 2658 Trading strategy: BUY:2602-2604 SELL:2640-2642
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
Gold Prices Plummet Today (November 12)Global gold prices have dropped significantly, mainly due to the strong rise of the US dollar and an increasing willingness among investors to take on risk. The primary reason is that the market is expecting a cautious policy stance from the Federal Reserve under the leadership of President-elect Donald Trump, which has boosted investor confidence in economic stability and reduced the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Looking at the technical chart, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines have not shown any signs of reversal, indicating that the downward trend in gold prices is still intact. Currently, the nearest resistance is at 2,706, while solid support is at 2,609. If gold continues to face selling pressure at the resistance zone, the likelihood of a deeper decline towards the support level at 2,609 is quite high. There is even a chance that gold could break through this support level if it revisits the resistance at 2,661. Will gold prices continue to fall, or will there be a reversal in the future? What do you think?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alisa_Rokosz
Gold Bearish Trend Analysis: New Bottom May Be FormingWelcome to all gold traders! After a volatile week with a series of news, today's gold price has gradually shown a downward trend. At this time, gold is fluctuating around the 2670 threshold and has not yet found the momentum to escape the downward trend. Many people must be wondering: Why did the gold price drop so sharply? Regarding the international market situation: The main reason for the recent gold sell-off is the strengthening of the USD, which increased sharply after a series of remarkable economic news. In particular, bond yields increased due to concerns about new tax policies and tax cuts that could push inflation back. Investors reacted to the possibility that the Fed would maintain tightening policies for longer, putting great pressure on gold prices. Gold Technical Analysis and Forecast: On the technical chart, gold has broken below both the 34-day and 89-day exponential moving averages (EMA), which is a clear signal that the downtrend could continue. Currently, gold is hovering around the support level of 2665, while the nearest resistance level is at 2680. If the support level of 2665 is broken, there is a high possibility that gold will continue to fall to lower levels, such as the bottom of 2643 and even deeper.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
GOLD Will Go Lower! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2,664.030. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2,633.716 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Silver Heading for a Breakdown? targeting $30📉 Silver Heading for a Breakdown? ⚠️ OANDA:XAGUSD is facing a major test at $33.10. Failing to hold this level could see Silver tumbling down towards $30! 🚨 📊 Key levels to watch: Breakdown at $33.10 Major fall expected below $32.50 📉 RSI divergence and rising selling pressure signal that a correction might be on the way! 📉📉 Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis: The daily chart of Silver (XAG/USD) reveals critical insights for traders: Resistance and Breakdown Levels: Silver has reached a critical resistance zone at $33.10. Any failure to hold above this level signals a potential breakdown. $32.50 serves as the major breakdown point, and if prices dip below this, we could expect further downside movement towards $30. Bearish Momentum: The recent price action shows a lower high, which could signify weakening bullish momentum. This is further reinforced by the declining RSI, indicating bearish divergence. Next Key Support at $30: The next major support sits around $30. If Silver breaches the $32.50 mark, the expectation would be a move towards this psychological level. Volume Insight: A slight increase in volume near the recent resistance suggests strong selling pressure at higher levels. Traders should watch for any spike in volume accompanying a breakdown. Conclusion: If Silver breaks below the $32.50 level, a drop towards $30 becomes highly likely. Traders should monitor for potential bearish confirmation, especially with the weakening RSI and volume cues.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by profitoptionnew
GOLD SELLING ZONE WITH CPI AHEAD 4HRHELLO TRADERS As I can see Gold on shorter TF it could drop till these levels bestselling zone drawn based on technical re-test after breakout to downside on channel and tested fib Golden ratio 0.50 Friends chart is easy and simple to read technically we can see a stronger DXY pulling toward 106.00 levels geopolitical issue are going on but technically its was overbought and Weekley RSI above on 70 zone incoming strong CPI Data can make some volatile moves in markets this week Russian president Putin Continue talk with Trump on Ukraine War Friends it's just a trade idea only based on technical analysis share Ur thoughts with us and Stay Tuned for more updates
TVC:GOLDShort
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY
Trading Signal For Gold Trading Setup: A Trading Signal is seen in the Gold XAUUSD (h4) Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW ⬇️Sell Now or Sell on 2673.1 ⭕️SL@ 2712.1 🔵TP1@ 2564.1 🔵TP2@ 2515.6 🔵TP3@ 2441.1 Previous signal Previous signal What are these signals based on? Classical Technical Analysis Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands Risk Warning Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pullbacksignal
XAUUSD: 11/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2761, support 2638 Four-hour resistance 2678, support 2638 Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall gold price fell sharply from a high level. Today, Monday, the short position continued from last Friday, and the trend is still mainly short selling. Judging from the current market trend, we still need to continue to be bearish on the market this week. Pay attention to the short-term 2668 line pressure on the upper side. The key pressure point on the upper side is maintained at 2675~2680, which is also the dividing line between long and short this week. The key support below is maintained near 2638. Once it continues to break down, it is very likely to start a large downward trend. The operation is still treated as rebound short selling, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. SELL:2668near SELL:2638near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
Gold Extends Bearish Trend Below 2677 with Key Support at 2644GOLD Technical Analysis The price completed its retest up to 2706 and then dropped as previously anticipated. Today, the bearish trend continues, with price stability below 2677, which suggests further downside toward 2644 and possibly 2629. As long as trading remains below 2670, the bearish momentum is expected to persist, targeting 2644 and 2629. To confirm a bullish shift, a 4-hour candle close above 2677 is required. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 2665 Resistance Levels: 2677, 2695, 2706 Support Levels: 2644, 2629, 2607 Trend Outlook: Bearish trend while under 2677 previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
GOLD BREAKDOWNA chart representation of what may happen on Gold in the week and beyond. Monthly TF still looks significantly bullish as the Gold Market Price is currently still trading above the previous significant monthly lows. We don't need the price to just trade below but close below to ascertain the presence of weakness in the current bullish trend. On the Weekly TF, price has shown a clear push signifying a building up in bearish momentum before and after the US elections last week. Nevertheless there is the monthly lows as support to hold off what sells we are seeing and resume bullish trend. Until the break of that area, we will only keep seeing the current push down as gathering liquidity to continue the preceding bullish pressure. Coming to the lower TF, the chart clearly shows Possible rejection zones that may be used as indicated and based on special confirmations know to my trading style, I will be looking forward to join in for buys or sells where significant. Fundamental - The uncertain nature of Trump's first approach upon assuming second term may stir trade tensions globally and mixed sentiments may have an effect on price volatility until his policy implementations are clearer.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by KEMMATRADES
The downtrend of GOLD is still dominantUnder pressure from the strengthening of the US Dollar TVC:DXY and as markets digest the potential impact of Donald Trump's victory on US interest rate expectations, OANDA:XAUUSD fell again on Friday (November 8) after recovering. Biggest weekly drop in months. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday but said it would adopt a cautious strategy for further cuts. Trump's victory has raised questions about whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates more slowly and in smaller amounts because of the former president's tariff policies. However, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the election results would have no "short-term" impact on monetary policy. So far this year, expectations of a half-basis-point interest rate cut starting in September have supported gold's record recovery. Although OANDA:XAUUSD considered a safe haven from inflation but a possibility for higher interest rates has reduced the appeal of non-yielding gold. Due to Trump's tariff policy, his election has led to market speculation that the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could be smaller and slower. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell did not provide advance guidance on monetary policy and left options open at future meetings. He emphasized that because the economy is strong, the Fed can take its time lowering interest rates. Powell acknowledged that even after Thursday's rate cut, policy remains limited as officials aim to lower interest rates to neutral levels. In terms of Friday's economic data, the University of Michigan's Consumer Confidence Index showed US consumer confidence rose to a seven-month high in early November and an index measuring US expectations Households on the future rose to their highest level in more than three months. Specific data shows that the initial value of the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index in the United States increased to 73.0 in November, much higher than the previous value of 70.5 and expectations of the market is 71.0. Additionally, the preliminary value of the University of Michigan's expectations index in the US rose to 78.5 in November, the highest since mid-2021. These surveys were conducted between October 22 and November 4, before Mr. Trump was elected president of the United States. Overall assessment of the current fundamental picture is that Gold is suffering from two main impacts as President Trump is likely to boost the USD due to his tariff policies and economic trends, this is not true. Gold's correlation with the US Dollar is beneficial. On the other hand, gold is supported by the Fed's interest rate trend, and the market's expectations of continued interest rate cuts. However, in the short term, with Trump newly re-elected, the need to create an impression may dim the market's attention to the Fed and gold will be under more pressure from the USD's potential. According to official data released last Thursday, the People's Bank of China's (PBoC) chain of stopping gold purchases extended to the sixth month in October. China's gold reserves reached 2,063.84 tons at the end of last month. However, the value of this gold reserve has increased thanks to the continuous increase in gold prices. As of September 30, the value of the country's gold reserves had increased to $191.47 billion, up from $182.98 billion at the end of August. About this week's economic calendar Next week's economic calendar is relatively light, with major economic news events including US core October CPI data on Wednesday, PPI report on Thursday and data on claims weekly unemployment claims as well as US retail sales data on Friday. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will also speak on Thursday, his first opportunity to comment on the incoming administration and central bank independence. These events will be the focus of market participants and could have an impact on the gold market. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold stopped recovering after reaching EMA21, the most recent key resistance level noted by readers in previous editions. Currently, the weakening momentum is also limited with the closing position still above the $2,684 technical point which is the nearest horizontal support and then the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. Although the downward momentum is limited, in general the trend and technical conditions are still leaning towards the possibility of a decrease in price with the short-term trend being noticed by the price channel and important resistance at EMA21, on the other hand, The relative strength index (RSI) is also bending downward from the 50 area, showing signs that there is still ample room for price decline ahead. Judging from the technical chart, gold tends to decline in price and notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,668 – 2,640USD Resistance: 2,697 – 2,700 – 2,710USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2721 - 2719⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2725 →Take Profit 1 2714 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2709 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2639 - 2641⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2635 →Take Profit 1 2646 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2651
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM & COPPER Weekly Forecast Nov. 11thThe Metals are at areas of supportive discount arrays, but will they move higher. The latest COT Report indicates the institutional traders are betting on higher prices, even when the assets seem to be in consolidation. Monday is a US bank holiday, and Tuesday may start slow, but I suspect the price action will be clearer come Wednesday. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NYMEX:PL1!
by RT_Money
3
Gold: A Sudden Pivot and Decline… All Eyes on Powell and the FedGold’s Outlook Amidst Global Shifts: Anticipating the Federal Reserve’s Decision and Trump’s Return to Power Gold (XAUUSD) currently exhibits a technical reversal setup, hinting at a potential downward trend in the medium to long term. The fundamental landscape is shifting to favor the U.S. dollar, subtly steering capital away from gold. This pivot is influencing price targets and investor sentiment, aligning more with an appreciation of the dollar than a rally in precious metals. In a surprising twist in U.S. politics, Donald Trump has regained the presidency. What does this political shift mean for gold and other key markets? Historically, Trump’s policies have leaned toward deregulation and fiscal expansion, potentially fueling inflation. With an administration focused on rapid economic growth and bold policies, there’s a plausible scenario for rising inflation, increased demand for the dollar, a robust stock market, and strengthening U.S. bond yields. Yet, gold and currency markets might not see immediate benefits from this environment. Trump’s known stance toward China and Europe, marked by economic confrontation and protectionist measures, could eventually provide a supportive backdrop for gold, although this may not manifest immediately. Investors may perceive gold as a safe haven in the face of prolonged U.S.-China tensions, but significant gains may only materialize over time—perhaps not until late next year or beyond. So, what are the forward-looking targets for gold? Analysts are keeping an eye on potential pullbacks to levels like 2400, 2300, or even 2200. Should the selling pressure increase, a test of the 2000 mark isn’t out of the question. These medium to long-term projections underscore a cautious outlook, hinging heavily on both domestic policy under the new administration and ongoing global economic challenges. At present, however, the immediate focus lies with the Federal Reserve. This Thursday’s rate decision is critical: Will the Fed cut by another 0.25% to continue economic support, or opt for stability and keep rates steady? Yet, the spotlight is less on the rate decision itself and more on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary. Any signals that the Fed may ease up on its current rate cut cycle could impact markets dramatically, especially those tied closely to interest rates like gold. Hints of a potential slowdown in easing could push investors away from the yellow metal as confidence in the dollar strengthens. From a technical perspective, gold appears to be re-entering a price range, with attention drawn to significant internal levels, including the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement line—a crucial marker. Should gold breach this level, a resumption of the downtrend may be imminent. If sellers reclaim control below this level, a deeper pullback may follow. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 2670, 2685, 2696 Support: 2652 (trigger point), 2637, 2624 As a correction pattern emerges in the wake of recent declines, traders are monitoring for a potential false breakout. If gold experiences a brief push above these resistance points but subsequently consolidates below them, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend. In summary, gold's trajectory will be shaped by a unique combination of technical pressures and fundamental shifts. Trump’s return and its implications for inflation and foreign policy, combined with the Fed’s upcoming rate guidance, form a complex backdrop. Investors should brace for heightened volatility, as the evolving policy landscape and economic indicators will likely be pivotal in determining gold's next moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
GOLD On The Rise! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2623.4 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 2669.3 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
2
XAUUSD: The Downtrend Is Not Over YetDear Traders! Today, gold prices fell sharply, ending the week at $2,684, recording a decrease of 0.83%. The rising US dollar, fueled by political uncertainty, put a lot of downward pressure on gold. The shift of investors to riskier assets added to the selling pressure on gold in the market, reinforcing the bearish trend. Analysis of the 4-hour chart shows that gold prices are currently facing resistance at the important resistance zone of $2,700 - $2,715. The 34 EMA has crossed below the 89 EMA, a sign that sellers are in control. If the price fails to break through this resistance zone and continues to be under pressure, gold is likely to find support at $2,640 - $2,656. In the event that the price drops below $2,640, the short-term bearish outlook will become stronger, with a deeper target in the near term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
SILVER LOOKING FOR A SUPPORT TO START 2025 HELLO TRADERS As I can see Silver is now rejected from ATH 35$ and looking for a support to make new ATH as we had mention in our analysis for Weekley based view on Silver for incoming 2025 technically its now trading under the support zone which was 32$ we expected one more retest to that level so it kiss the Fib Golden Ratio 0.50 zone which is our selling zone till design TP Friends its just a trade idea share Ur thoughts with us Stay Tuned for more updates
TVC:SILVERShort
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY