Gold NEW ATH to $2,954?! (1H UPDATE)Congrats to anyone who took the buy last night. Gold prices are now up 200 PIPS in profit since I called it live last night!
Wave 5 of Gold is in full effect & on its way towards a new ATH of $2,954🚀
Metals
Gold NEW ATH to $2,954?! (1H UPDATE)Gold buy now running 450 PIPS in profit. We’re not too far from our TP!
Gold has rejected off a strong resistance zone so could possibly reverse early. If it does then I will close out my buy manually & keep you all updated.
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 2941.7 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2952.86
Recommended Stop Loss - 2937.0
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD - Gold, no competitors!Gold is located in a 2 -hour timeframe, above EMA200 and EMA50 and is on its uptrend channel. Gold reform to the demand range will provide us with a good risk position for us.
According to Tom Stevenson from Fidelity International, gold remains resilient despite challenges such as high interest rates and a strong dollar, continuing its march towards the $3,000 mark. However, while these fundamental factors persist, he believes that silver could be a more attractive investment option in the future.
Stevenson notes that gold prices have increased tenfold since 2000 and have surged by over $1,000 since late 2023. Yet, he argues that fundamentally, gold should not be this expensive.
He explains: “Historically, precious metals tend to underperform when interest rates rise. This is because, unlike bonds, stocks, cash, or real estate, gold does not generate income for investors. When other assets offer appealing returns, there is less incentive to hold onto what economist John Maynard Keynes once referred to as the ‘barbarous relic.’ This situation remains true today, yet gold continues to set new record highs.”
Stevenson also believes that gold should benefit from a weaker dollar. He states: “Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, when other currencies strengthen against the dollar, their purchasing power for gold increases.Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, global demand for gold should decline. However, despite Trump’s policies reinforcing the dollar, gold remains on an upward trajectory.”
He concludes that this signals something important to the market: “Gold’s performance suggests that not everything is as stable in the world as some may think. It indicates investor concerns, and history has shown that ignoring gold’s signals during times of uncertainty is a mistake.”
Stevenson further emphasizes that central banks around the world are taking steps to hedge against risks. Since the onset of the Ukraine war and subsequent sanctions, countries like Russia, China, India, and Turkey have increased their gold purchases in an effort to reduce their dependence on the U.S. dollar. He points out that gold has long been recognized as a valuable store of wealth and a diversification tool, as it carries no credit risk unlike paper currencies. According to him, central bank gold purchases in 2024 have surpassed 1,000 tons for the third consecutive year.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk, the world’s richest man and head of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E), has shared memes resurfacing old conspiracy theories regarding the status of the U.S. government’s gold reserves at Fort Knox. In response, a prominent politician seized this rare opportunity to call for greater transparency.
Senator Rand Paul, a Republican representative from Kentucky, replied to one of Musk’s posts advocating for an annual audit of Fort Knox, writing, “Let’s do it.” So far, no evidence has surfaced to support Musk’s theory of missing gold, but the status of these reserves remains highly classified.
Gold (XAU/USD) Triangle Pattern – Key Support Test Incoming!Gold (XAU/USD) Triangle Pattern – Key Support Test Incoming! ⚠️
📊 Timeframe: 4H
💰 Current Price: $2,939
📉 Pattern: Ascending Triangle Breakdown Potential
Market Overview:
Gold has been forming an ascending triangle, with price reacting between the top resistance line and the rising trendline support. The price is now rejecting the upper boundary and could head towards key support zones before making its next move.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ First Support Area: $2,925 - $2,930 (Short-term bounce zone)
✅ Next Support Area: $2,900 - $2,910 (Stronger demand zone & trendline support)
✅ Resistance: $2,950 (Breakout level for bullish continuation)
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Price Rejection at the Top Line of Triangle: Selling pressure is increasing near resistance.
🔹 Support Retest Possible: If price moves lower, the first support area could act as a minor bounce zone, but if broken, we may see a drop to the next support area at $2,900.
🔹 Trendline Test Incoming: The bottom line of the triangle is critical—if it holds, we could see a bullish reversal. A breakdown would signal further downside.
Trade Plan:
🔹Bearish Scenario:
- If price breaks below $2,925, it could drop towards $2,900 support.
- Short Entry: Below $2,925
- Target: $2,900
- Stop Loss: $2,945
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
- If price holds the trendline support and shows bullish confirmation, we could see a **bounce back towards $2,950.
- Long Entry: Near $2,900 with confirmation
- Target: $2,950
- Stop Loss: $2,885
Gold Analysis – Ascending Channel with Resistance RejectionGold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Ascending Channel with Resistance Rejection 📉
📊 Timeframe: 4H
💰 Current Price: $2,939
📈 Trend: Uptrend within an ascending channel
Market Overview:
Gold is currently trading inside an ascending channel, respecting both dynamic support and resistance. However, the price has shown multiple rejections at the resistance zone, indicating a potential pullback.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance Zone: $2,950 - $2,960 (Strong rejection area)
✅ Support Levels: $2,920 (Dynamic support), $2,882 (Major support)
✅ Critical Breakdown Level: Below $2,882 could signal a deeper correction
Technical Pattern:
🔹 Double Top Formation at Resistance: Price failed to break higher, showing a bearish reaction.
🔹 Dynamic Support Retest: The price could test the ascending channel support near $2,920.
🔹 Lower Highs Forming: A sign of weakening bullish momentum.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects the resistance again, expect a pullback towards $2,920 - $2,910.
A breakdown below the ascending channel could trigger a drop to $2,882 or lower.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above $2,920, bulls may attempt another breakout towards $2,960+.
GOLD Looks Like A Giant Bull Trap Price To Fall DramaticallyThis move in gold has been nice but I think its almost over. This was a giant bull trap in my opinion. Over the next few years I see Gold coming down to the bottom trend line then longer term probably below $1000 after it breaks the rising wedge.
I think the Golden Age of America is a real thing. Cheaper energy, more advanced ways of mining, new large gold deposits will be found. Gold will always be relevant but will never be used as money again. No real need for it other than industrial uses. Eventually we'll be able to manufacture gold, silver, and pretty much any other metal and there wont be a need for mining anymore. We're moving forward not backwards.
Best of luck my friends, none of this is financial advice.
Gold prices are also maintaining at historic peak levelsAccording to analysis, the domestic and foreign gold markets are being strongly influenced by the forums of the US Federal Reserve (FED) and the main US trade lists.
Recently, President Donald Trump continued to announce that he could impose a 25% tax on imported cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals...
Investors continue to look to gold as a safe foreign channel, amid worries about international trade tensions and negotiations to end the conflict in Ukraine that have not yet had positive results as expected.
The USD index remained at its lowest level in about 2 months, around 106.9 points, also supporting the rise of gold prices.
Gold Surging - Will the RSI Overbought Matter?📈 Gold Extends Gains in Strong Uptrend
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,938, continuing its rally within a well-defined ascending channel (orange lines).
Price remains above both the 50-day EMA ($2,776) and 200-day EMA ($2,576), reinforcing bullish momentum.
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance:
$3,000 → Psychological level, upper bound of the channel.
Support:
$2,900 → Lower channel trendline.
$2,850 → Stronger support if the uptrend weakens.
📊 Momentum Check:
RSI at 71.56 → Overbought territory, a pullback or consolidation is possible.
Price hugging the upper trendline, suggesting a short-term correction could be healthy.
🚀 What’s Next?
Bulls want to see $2,900 hold as support to sustain the trend.
A break below the channel could trigger profit-taking toward $2,850 or even the 50-day EMA ($2,776).
Gold’s trend remains bullish, but overbought conditions warn of potential volatility.
-MW
XAGUSD - How far will silver go?!Silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If we see a correction, we can re-enter the silver purchase and accompany it to the ceiling of the ascending channel. Then we can sell within the specified supply zone with an appropriate reward for risk.
In recent weeks, analysts have warned investors that gold prices breaking strongly above $2,800 suggest an overbought market.Therefore, it is not surprising to see some profit-taking finally occurring, especially since gold prices have surged by more than 11% since the beginning of the year.
In contrast, silver has been notably underwhelming. Despite having strong bullish fundamentals, it has not experienced price increases on par with gold. Moreover, silver is more unpredictable, as its volatility is twice that of gold.
In recent days, U.S. President Donald Trump has taken bold steps in trade and foreign relations. On Tuesday night, he announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported cars, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductor chips. This decision comes at a time when global markets are grappling with heightened uncertainties, while hopes remain for an end to the Ukraine conflict.
A 25% tariff on imported cars could significantly impact the global automotive industry, which has already been facing challenges. Trump has long criticized what he perceives as “unfair treatment” of American car exports in foreign markets. For instance, the European Union imposes a 10% tariff on imported cars—four times higher than the 2.5% tariff the U.S. levies on passenger vehicles.
Similar tariffs are planned for pharmaceuticals and semiconductor chips, starting at 25% and set to increase significantly next year. However, Trump did not specify an exact timeline for implementation, stating that he wants to give pharmaceutical companies and chip manufacturers time to establish production facilities in the U.S. to avoid these tariffs.
Beyond their immediate impact on specific industries, these tariffs could have long-term repercussions, such as higher business costs and rising prices for consumers. Trump also indicated that he expects major corporations to invest more in the U.S. soon, although he did not provide further details.
Amid these trade developments, Trump has initiated negotiations with Russia, signaling a potential shift in diplomatic relations between the two nations. On Tuesday, senior officials from both countries took steps toward rebuilding ties, agreeing to collaborate on ending the Ukraine conflict, increasing financial investments, and restoring diplomatic relations. This meeting marks a significant shift following three years of U.S. efforts to isolate Moscow.
Meanwhile, a massive influx of gold and silver has entered the U.S., as major banks and market players hedge against potential tariff threats. This surge in demand has driven up gold and silver prices, creating notable premiums in North American markets. However, a research firm argues that concerns over tariffs may be exaggerated.
In a report by BCA Research, commodity analysts revealed they had taken a short position in silver as a contrarian play against tariff fears.
They stated, “There is a strong likelihood that the U.S. will not impose import tariffs on gold, silver, platinum, or copper. There is no compelling economic or political motivation for the U.S. to take such action.” They added, “Since the recent surge in precious metal prices has been driven by tariff concerns, investors may react negatively to these price increases.”
BCA also noted that if the U.S. were to impose tariffs on gold and silver, they would likely be introduced alongside steel and aluminum tariffs.
Analysts concluded, “The silver market is relatively shallow and less liquid, making it more vulnerable to short-term price declines than gold. However, any short-term weakness presents an attractive opportunity for cyclical and structural positioning in this precious metal.”
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 17 - Feb 21]OANDA:XAUUSD have leveled off after a series of record increases, ending the week below 2,900 USD/oz due to strong profit-taking activities. The main reason is that geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe have eased, reducing the need for safe havens. President Donald Trump had a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin about ending hostilities in Ukraine and suspending tariffs until a review is completed in April 2025.
Gold prices may continue to adjust in the short term, but in the long term, safe haven demand due to economic instability and trade war will push prices up. In addition, central banks stepped up gold purchases, with more than 1,000 tons in 2024 - much higher than the average level in the 2010-2021 period, contributing to supporting the rise of gold.
China launched a pilot project allowing 10 insurance companies to invest up to 1% of assets in gold. It is forecast that these companies can buy up to 28 billion USD of gold (about 300 tons), accounting for 6.5% of annual physical gold demand, contributing to boosting the market.
SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Index (economic index measuring business conditions of the manufacturing industry in New York state, USA. This index is announced monthly by the US Federal Reserve (FED) New York branch, based on a survey of manufacturers in the region).
Wednesday: US housing data (New homes and construction permits), FED meeting minutes.
Thursday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey.
Friday: S&P Flash PMI, US Existing Home Sales
📌Technically, on chart D1, after surpassing the peak at 2790, the gold price increased another 150 and tends to adjust again.
Currently, the support level to pay attention to is around the dynamic resistance level as well as the hard resistance level at 2790, while the resistance level is set around 2942. Next week, if the gold price maintains the trading level above the 2800 threshold, it is expected that the momentum will increase to set a new record high price. In case the price declines and adjusts too deeply, there is a risk that the gold price will be subject to downward selling pressure.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,881 – 2,857USD
Resistance: 2,900 – 2,942USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2789 - 2791⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2785
GOLD Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2,953.88.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,994.97 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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XAU/USD Short Trade Setup – Bearish Rejection from ResistanceGold is showing **signs of weakness** near the **$2,903 - $2,863** resistance zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement and previous price action. This setup favors a short position, aiming for a deeper retracement.
### 🔹 **Trade Setup:**
- **📍 Entry:** Around **$2,903 - $2,863**, key resistance levels.
- **🛑 Stop Loss:** Above **$2,942**, to avoid false breakouts.
- **🎯 Take Profit Targets:**
- **First TP:** **$2,843** (early support zone)
- **Second TP:** **$2,824** (-0.5 Fibonacci level)
- **Extended TP:** **$2,785** (-1 Fibonacci level for a deeper correction)
### 📊 **Trade Rationale:**
✅ **Key Resistance Zone:** Price is struggling around $2,903 - $2,863, suggesting a potential reversal.
✅ **Fibonacci & Market Structure:** The setup aligns with key retracement levels and past support zones.
✅ **Bearish Confirmation Needed:** Watching for rejection wicks or lower timeframe breakdowns before full commitment.
### ⚠️ **Risk Management:**
- If price **breaks above $2,942** with strong momentum, I will **exit** the trade.
- Monitoring **volume and candlestick patterns** for additional bearish confirmation.
Let’s see how this setup unfolds! 🚀📉
Would you adjust any levels, or does this match your plan? 🤔
USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Targeting 0.94000USDCHF is currently trading at 0.90200, with a bullish flag pattern forming, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.94000 target. The bullish flag is a continuation pattern that typically follows a strong upward move, followed by a period of consolidation before the next leg higher. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s upper trendline, it could trigger a bullish wave, pushing USDCHF toward its next resistance levels.
From a technical perspective, the flag’s consolidation phase suggests temporary indecision in the market. However, as long as the price remains above key support levels and breaks out with strong volume, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. A confirmed breakout above the resistance could provide an entry opportunity for traders aiming for the 0.94000 target.
Fundamentally, the US dollar remains supported by the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rate cuts. Recent economic data from the US, including inflation figures and labor market strength, have kept the dollar strong against the Swiss franc. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a relatively dovish stance, which could further weaken CHF and support the bullish case for USDCHF.
In summary, USDCHF is forming a bullish flag pattern, awaiting a breakout for further upside movement. A strong breakout above the resistance level could trigger a rally toward 0.94000, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should closely monitor price action and key economic events to confirm the bullish continuation.
Gold Analysis GOLD Analysis and Trade Setup
Gold is currently testing a historically significant resistance level that has repeatedly acted as a barrier to price advancement. Given the strength of this resistance zone, it is reasonable to anticipate a potential rejection or pullback. Historically, such levels often prompt a reversal, particularly after a retest of the structure, which could further confirm the resistance's validity. The likelihood of a rejection at this level is supported by the principles of technical analysis, as repeated tests of a resistance level tend to reinforce its significance. In summary, while the current setup suggests a potential pullback from the resistance level, traders should remain cautious and monitor key technical and fundamental factors.
GOLD Set to make new Highs before the week ClosesI was looking for a bigger pullback but we didnt get it. The way price is moving and based on the FOMC news I think the pull back is over and price is ready to continue bullish. We just came into the killzone and things look like they are lining up. Trailing stop along the way.
XAUUSD gains traction above 2876James, hello everyone.
Last week, we saw a significant drop in gold prices. At one point, the price of gold fell to a low of $2,876. Currently, the price of gold is trading around $2,898, stable for the week.
It is clear that the price of gold is starting a new week on a positive note, supported by the continued weakness of the US dollar (USD) and US Treasury yields.
Regarding the volatility of gold this week, the price of gold has also increased sharply due to tensions surrounding the upcoming tariff war between the United States and the European Union (EU). "The European Commission will consider strict import restrictions on some foods produced according to different standards to protect its farmers, reflecting the reciprocal trade policy of US President Donald Trump," the Financial Times (FT) reported on Sunday.
Additionally, it should be noted that gold prices could be volatile in the coming day as a US national holiday is likely to add to the action. Speeches by Fed officials Christopher Waller, Patrick Harker and Michelle Bowman will be closely scrutinized ahead of the Fed Minutes on Wednesday.
XAUUSD - Trading strategy for this week!Hi guys!
What do you think about gold?
The 4H chart shows gold consolidating in a sideways range, with Bollinger Bands tightening – signaling an imminent breakout.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $2,950 - $2,955 (needs to break for further upside).
Support: $2,930 - $2,920 (potential BUY zone).
Trading Plan:
Wait for a retest of $2,920 - $2,930 and look for a strong bullish reaction to enter BUY positions.
Short-term target: $2,950 - $2,970, extended target: $3,000.
Stop-loss below $2,910 to manage risk.
Risk Management: If price breaks below $2,910, it could trigger a deeper correction—stay cautious.
Stay patient, wait for confirmation, and execute with precision – 500 pips are on the table!
Gold Maintains Uptrend – Buyers in ControlGold closed the session yesterday, and the bullish trend remains intact. The metal ended trading around $2,935, with buyers firmly in control.
From a technical perspective, EMA 34 and 89 continue to signal an upward reversal. Gold is moving within an ascending price channel, while accumulating momentum inside a consolidation range.
After a short-term correction to establish a new peak, gold is expected to break the trendline and continue its rally toward new record highs.
Sailing27db97e52ec7b1b43e5391bb5861b8d4cf37d3a7c3a1a06d3aa0533382d52733
Bitcoin's conservative addressable share of speculative assets is 2%.
The total market cap of the speculative portion of assets are as follows:
Real Estate: $2.14 trillion
Gold: $7.83 trillion
Silver: $108 billion (0.108 trillion)
Stock Market: $21.8 - $32.7 trillion (We'll consider the lower and upper estimates)
Bonds: $7.035 - $14.07 trillion
Total speculative market cap: $38.913 trillion to $56.848 trillion.
Conservative estimate for Bitcoin's share of this is 2%, or 0.778T-1.137T
The conservative multiplier for Bitcoin, is 118x. This means that for every $1 invested in Bitcoin, the market cap tends to increase by $118. Let's assume 10x instead.
0.778T-1.137T X 10 = 7.783T - 11.370T
Conservative projected price range 350k-666k
Market Cap details below:
Real Estate:
* Total Market Cap: $379.7 trillion
* Speculative Portion Market Cap: $2.14 trillion (Investment real estate)
* Speculative Portion: 0.56%
Gold:
* Total Market Cap: $19.57 trillion
* Speculative Portion Market Cap: $7.83 trillion
* Speculative Portion: 40%
Silver:
* Total Market Cap: $1.816 trillion
* Speculative Portion Market Cap: $108 billion
* Speculative Portion: 5.95%
Stock Market:
* Total Market Cap: $109 trillion
* Speculative Portion Market Cap: $21.8 - $32.7 trillion
* Speculative Portion: 20-30%
Bonds:
* Total Market Cap: $140.7 trillion
* Speculative Portion Market Cap: $7.035 - $14.07 trillion
* Speculative Portion: 5-10%
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower as Walmart’s earnings report raised concerns about slowing consumer demand. Today marks the weekly close, and since the weekly chart has not yet confirmed a buy signal, any downward movement in the MACD could increase the likelihood of further declines.
On the daily chart, the 10-day moving average is acting as support, aligning with the upper boundary of the February range. The MACD remains in a buy signal, but market flows are mixed, suggesting that choppy price action with alternating bullish and bearish candles could persist.
Until a strong breakout candle decisively clears previous highs, it is safer to treat the current market as range-bound. While the bullish bias remains, traders should monitor whether the daily MACD generates a sell signal, which could shift momentum in favor of sellers.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is declining sharply, indicating that buying pressure is weak. However, since the signal line is still above the zero line, a rebound attempt could emerge between 21,800 and 21,900. If the gap between the MACD and the signal line continues to widen, traders should avoid chasing long positions, even if a short-term bounce occurs.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, finding support near the $71 level. A buy signal has appeared on the daily chart, though it is not yet confirmed. The MACD and signal line have formed a golden cross, but today’s daily close will likely determine whether the buy signal holds.
If the buy signal remains valid, oil could be forming a double-bottom pattern, confirming a base before moving higher. However, given weekend geopolitical risks, holding positions over the weekend (overweekend exposure) should be approached with caution.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has pulled back toward the signal line before resuming an upward move, forming a wave 3 buying pattern. Since further upside momentum is possible, traders should focus on buying dips rather than chasing breakouts.
Gold
Gold closed higher after breaking above its previous high. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are closely aligned, meaning that if gold prints a bearish candle and breaks below the 10-day moving average, a bearish crossover (death cross) is likely.
Since the MACD and signal line are still at elevated levels above the zero line, any selloff is likely to be met with buying interest, keeping the market range-bound. However, if gold breaks below the lower boundary of the current range, a sharp sell-off could occur, making stop-loss management crucial for long positions.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has briefly broken above a triple-top formation before pulling back, forming a whipsaw pattern. This suggests that a further drop is likely.
If the MACD on the 240-minute chart crosses below the signal line, it could mark the start of a trend reversal, making this a key technical level to watch.
Overall, gold remains in a range-bound environment, but selling at highs is currently more favorable. If buying at support, stop-loss management is essential.
As we close out the weekly session, traders should focus on risk management and ensure safe trading strategies. Take the weekend to rest, recharge, and maintain a healthy balance between trading and personal life. Wishing you a successful trading day and a great weekend!
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World gold prices increased in the context of the USD fallingFinancial markets became more concerned on Thursday due to concerns of new tariffs from the US and rising tensions between the US and Europe. In addition, the tense relationship between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy also makes the market uneasy, especially when there are signs that Donald Trump may be leaning towards Russian President Vladimir Putin in negotiations on the Russia-Ukraine war.
Gold prices delivered in April maintain a strong upward trend, with the main motivation coming from safe haven demand and speculative cash flow. Currently, the important resistance level is identified at 2,973.4 USD/ounce - the highest level just established, followed by 2,985 USD/ounce. If gold surpasses $3,000/ounce, the upward momentum could continue.
Resist : 2954 , 3000
Support : 2933 , 2900 , 2850
Targeting a new era peak, risks blanket the marketOANDA:XAUUSD hit another all-time high as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs increased market fears of a global trade war, boosting safe-haven demand.
Trump's tariff policy and global market reaction
Trump said on Wednesday that he would announce new tariffs on lumber, autos, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals "next month or sooner."
Since taking office on January 20, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum.
As trade risks increase, global central banks are likely to continue buying gold, which is one of the key supporting factors for gold prices.
Ukraine situation and the possibility of gold correction in the short term
Trump also criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy as a "dictator" on Wednesday and warned that Ukraine must quickly reach a peace deal with Russia or lose the country.
If a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is reached, geopolitical tensions could temporarily ease in the short term, which could put pressure on gold prices. However, gold still has enough fundamental support and the long-term uptrend could continue.
Fed policy and Swiss gold exports soar
Minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting released Wednesday showed that Trump's early economic policies have raised concerns about rising inflation. This reinforces the Fed's stance on maintaining the current interest rate policy.
According to foreign media, Swiss customs data showed that Swiss gold exports increased significantly year-on-year in January, with gold exports to the United States reaching their highest level in at least 13 years.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold reached the target level of 2,946 USD, readers noted in the previous issue that the price point of the Fibonacci extension was 0.382%, it broke this level to renew its all-time high.
With the current position, if gold takes price action above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level once again, it will have conditions to continue to increase with a target then around 2,971 USD in the short term, more than 2,996 – 3,000 USD.
The relative strength index also does not indicate any possibility of a downward correction in terms of momentum.
During the day, the short-term uptrend of gold prices will be noticed by trend, and as long as gold remains in the price channel, it still has a main bullish outlook, declines should only be considered as short-term corrections or a buying opportunity.
Notable locations will also be noticed again as follows.
Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD
Resistance: 2,954 – 2,971 – 2,996USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2975
→Take Profit 1 2963
↨
→Take Profit 2 2957
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2905
→Take Profit 1 2917
↨
→Take Profit 2 2923
