GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (UPDATE)Just because our 'sell trade' is running in deep profits, does not mean we completely rule out the possibility of any alternative trades.
As long as Gold remains above Wave 2 high ($3,245), this Gold bullish bias remains an option. As traders we always have to be prepared to adapt to different market conditions.
Metals
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,880 (UPDATE)Beautiful melt overnight, with Gold down close to 400 PIPS so far. Zoom in to the left & you'll see I've also added in a trendline which sellers have now start taking out. Another strong confluence of sellers taking control.
I warned you all last night not to sleep on Gold. My Gold Fund investors are in deep profits😉
The callback is coming to an end, don't chase the short easily#XAUUSD
The long positions held last night have already left the market at a loss😔. After the Asian session opened, I continued to watch the trend of gold, but it did not effectively rebound to the ideal target area. After repeatedly testing around 3393, I chose to manually exit the market📀.
Gold is currently somewhat overcorrected, with the hourly line falling into severe oversold territory📉. But the market will eventually return to the bullish trend🐂. Why do I say that? First, there are less than 8 days left before the final deadline for tariffs. Second, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut is also approaching. In the medium and long term, there is definitely no problem with being bullish. There will be initial jobless claims data later, which will affect the trend of gold today. We need to pay some attention to it👀.
From the daily line, the current Bollinger Band middle track is near the 3343 line, and the SMA60 moving average is near the 3330 below. In the short term, the downward momentum of gold is released, and it is expected to test the 3343 mid-line support below💪.
📊Therefore, we can consider going long again at 3360-3343 below and look towards 3375-3385. Short-term losses don’t mean anything. With the recent frequent news fluctuations, we still have a good chance to turn losses into profits🚀.
🚀BUY 3360-3350
🚀TP 3375-3385
Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead XAUUSD 24/07 – Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead
🧭 Market Outlook
Gold has dropped sharply from the 343x region, exactly as outlined in yesterday’s plan. Price has broken below the ascending trendline on the H1 chart and is now tapping into lower liquidity zones (FVG + OBS), signaling continuation of the short-term bearish move.
Key context to watch:
Traders are awaiting final decisions on US global trade policy agreements.
Next week’s FOMC meeting may confirm expectations of an interest rate cut.
Later today, markets will react to US PMI data and Jobless Claims, which could trigger volatility.
📊 Technical View
While the higher timeframe trend (D1/H4) remains bullish, the short-term structure has broken, and the market is now exploring unfilled liquidity pools below. Once these are swept, we anticipate a strong long-term BUY opportunity.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
📌 Short-Term Strategy:
Look for short-term SELL setups on retracements toward resistance zones. Wait for clear rejection signals before entering.
📌 Mid/Long-Term Strategy:
Prepare to BUY from major Key Levels once price taps into deep liquidity zones. Ensure confluence and good risk/reward before entering.
🔎 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Upper Resistance Zones:
3393 – 3404 – 3414 – 3420 – 3428
🔻 Lower Support Zones:
3375 – 3366 – 3352 – 3345 – 3330
🔽 Trade Setups
✅ BUY ZONE: 3352 – 3350
SL: 3345
TP: 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3414 – 3416
SL: 3420
TP: 3410 → 3406 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380
⚠️ Risk Reminder
No major economic news is scheduled for today, but unexpected political statements or geopolitical tensions could cause price spikes.
✔️ Always follow your SL/TP strictly.
✔️ Avoid entering without solid confirmation.
✔️ Watch how price reacts to the levels above.
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GOLD: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,359.59 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,350.22.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3364.8
Sl - 3359.2
Tp - 3376.2
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
XAUUSD Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the H1/M15/M5 timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
Gold Approaching 3365 Breakout: Bullish Continuation Above TrendDaily Analysis:
Price is respecting the long-term trendline support and still holding firmly above the 3300 region. Bulls are defending structure with a clean series of higher lows. No major change in trend as long as price remains above 3246.
4H Analysis:
Price is consolidating above the trendline and building structure around 3350. A clean break and close above 3365 could ignite a push toward the 3450 supply zone.
1H Analysis:
Descending trendline break confirmed with bullish closure. Retest holding well above 3350. If structure remains intact, next short-term target is 3375–3390.
Confirmation & Entry:
Break and close above 3365 with strong bullish candle = confirmation. Optional entry on 3350–3355 retest. Targets: 3390, 3450.
GLD – Price consolidates at highsPrice is hovering just above the 50-day EMA at 307, showing signs of short-term hesitation near the Fibonacci pivot. The upper Bollinger Band sits at 314, leaving moderate room for expansion if momentum picks up.
The RSI reads 48, reflecting a balanced setup without clear directional bias. MACD remains slightly positive, suggesting a still-constructive but soft momentum.
Key levels to watch include the pivot at 307 and the support at 301. On the upside, the 314 area aligns with both R1 and the upper band, acting as the next challenge.
Volume is up sharply (+22%) despite a mild -0.9% price pullback, indicating possible accumulation beneath the surface.
As long as price holds above the 50-day EMA, the structure remains intact.
A move away from the pivot zone will likely define the next directional wave.
Gold setup for coming week.Hi everyone
This is our setup going into the last week of July trading week.
We could possibly see market retest the 3321-3324 zone & make its way back up to 3347 area, this will also be an area to be monitored for possible break out that will lead back to 3362.
We are looking to get a possible downward pressure from 3345 area to 3303.
Let always look at what market presents & bag potential profits at pivitol areas.
Have a good weekend & good trading week coming up
Gold under pressure as USD strengthensGold is facing significant selling pressure as the US dollar regains momentum. Currently, XAU/USD is trading near $3,337, down over $31 from the session high, and pressing directly against the ascending trendline.
The stronger USD is making gold—an asset that yields no interest—less attractive to investors. If this dollar strength continues, the likelihood of a trendline break and further downside is very high.
On the economic front, U.S. jobless claims have fallen to their lowest level in three months, signaling a resilient labor market despite sluggish hiring. This stable jobs data is expected to support the Fed’s decision to hold interest rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in the upcoming policy meeting, even amid rising inflation pressure driven by President Donald Trump’s tariff policies.
At this moment, sellers are in control. Traders should closely watch upcoming support zones and trading volume to spot reasonable entry points.
Good luck!
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for July 25Gold technical analysis:
Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3300
4-hour chart resistance 3375, support 3342
1-hour chart resistance 3350, support 3333.
Gold, starting from 3438 this Wednesday, has fallen by nearly $100. It rebounded quickly after falling to 3351 yesterday. After sideways fluctuations in the Asian session, the current price is around 3343, and the key support below is around 3333. From a spatial point of view, this wave of adjustment is nearing its end. After waiting for the adjustment to be completed, the market will most likely return to an upward trend.
The short-term top and bottom resistance at the 1-hour level is around 3351. For intraday short-term operations, the current gold price is around 3343. Pay attention to the bearish trend near 3351. If it does not break near 3333, it will be bullish again!
SELL: 3350near
BUY: 3333near
Gold is holding strong at support!GOLD – Bullish Bounce Coming? CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold is moving inside an upward channel.
A bounce is likely from $3,335 – eyes on $3,425 📈
Don’t miss the move. Let the market pay you! 💰
📈 If the bounce happens, price may rise toward:
Target 1: $3,375
Target 2: $3,425+
✅ Price just touched the bottom of the channel around $3,335 – a strong support area.
✅ RSI is oversold ➜ This usually means a bounce is coming.
✅ Momentum indicators are showing signs of bullish reversal.
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,338.79 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,351.09.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 38.780 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 38.635.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Tests Year-to-Date TrendlineGold is getting a breather from recent newsflow and is now testing the trendline on the daily timeframe. The Japan deal, some positive developments in the EU–US negotiations, and yesterday’s Trump–Powell "sitcom" have helped ease concerns about the economy.
Although the trend began in December, when viewed from April, it clearly forms an ascending triangle pattern. Ascending triangles typically break to the upside, which could favor gold bulls. However, the lower support line is being tested very aggressively and has been challenged multiple times, which is not a good signal.
Today could be decisive, potentially leading to a downside break or an upward move that sets the tone for the weekly close. For gold traders, today and Monday could be key in determining the medium-term direction.
Bearish Channel Development and Key Support Zone Test1. Technical Overview (15m timeframe):
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,342.80, showing signs of continued downward momentum after forming a bearish reversal pattern from the 3,404–3,410 USD resistance area. The price action has now developed into a clear descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows forming in a structured manner.
2. Key Price Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support Zone:
🔹 3,335 – 3,330 USD – This zone aligns with previous structure and the lower bound of the descending channel. A break below this area could accelerate selling pressure toward deeper Fibonacci zones.
Next Major Support (Medium-term):
🔹 3,310 USD – A critical zone where price reacted strongly during the last pullback. A breakdown here would shift sentiment fully bearish in the short-term.
Resistance Levels:
🔹 3,358 – 3,360 USD: Minor intraday resistance near the upper bound of the descending channel.
🔹 3,375 USD: EMA21 and previous structure level.
🔹 3,404 – 3,410 USD: Major confluence resistance from recent highs.
3. Price Action and Indicators:
Descending Channel: Price is respecting the upper and lower trendlines of the bearish channel. No bullish breakout signal confirmed.
Volume: Decreasing on the bounce, rising on the decline – a bearish volume structure.
RSI: Near oversold (not shown, but implied from price exhaustion), could suggest a bounce, but no divergence confirmation yet.
EMA Trend: EMA21 and EMA50 (not shown but assumed from price slope) are likely crossing downward on higher timeframes, reinforcing bearish pressure.
4. Strategy Suggestion – Scenarios for Intraday Traders:
🔻 Scenario A – Continuation Short (Sell on Retracement)
Entry: Around 3,358–3,360 (upper bound of descending channel).
SL: Above 3,365.
TP1: 3,335
TP2: 3,310
Confirmation: Look for bearish engulfing or pin bar rejections on the 5m–15m timeframe.
🔺 Scenario B – Countertrend Long (Bounce from Channel Base)
Entry: Near 3,330–3,335 (support zone).
SL: Below 3,325.
TP1: 3,350
TP2: 3,360
Note: This is a riskier trade and should only be taken with bullish reversal confirmation (hammer, bullish divergence on RSI, or break of structure on LTF).
5. Summary:
Gold is currently in a short-term bearish correction, respecting a well-defined descending channel. Price is approaching a critical support zone (3,330–3,335), where a potential intraday bounce may occur, but trend remains bearish unless a clear break
XAUUSD - 1hr | Head and ShouldersSimple Trading: Head and Shoulders Pattern
With the price topping out at 3440 , gold is now making a pullback to clear some LOWS. Watch 3375
If gold remains under 3375 , the price may continue to fall. If Gold rebounds above 3375 , we should see the price start to consolidate as buyers will try to take control.
**Keep in mind, the price has already made its way 50% to the target.
This entry is a higher risk**
Patterns Target: 3325
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Technical Analysis Report - 25 July 2025 📌 Market Context & Sentiment Overview
The gold market is currently trading in a state of technical compression, with the price hovering just beneath the mid-3360s. After a significant rally earlier in the month, the recent sessions have seen price action coiling within a tight ascending triangle—a classic pattern known to precede breakouts.
According to recent publications by FXEmpire, FXStreet, and Investing.com, sentiment remains moderately bullish. Analysts point to strong institutional demand near the 3320–3330 zone, while also warning of resistance pressures near the 3380–3390 zone. These insights align with our technical findings, which suggest a developing structure with increasing breakout potential.
📊 Technical Structure Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe)
🔹 Price Action & Structural Patterns
The prevailing structure is a rising triangle anchored between support at 3320 and resistance near 3380–3390. Price has been forming higher lows, indicative of underlying buying pressure, while simultaneously facing resistance at increasingly frequent tests of the upper band. The contraction of candlestick bodies and volume confirms the presence of a coiling market—hinting at an imminent directional move.
The presence of upper-wick rejections near 3380 signals seller interest, while long-tailed candles at 3330 underscore buyer defense of the rising trendline. This dynamic equilibrium is the hallmark of a triangle formation nearing completion.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels
Our analysis identifies the following zones as technically significant:
Key Support (Buy Zones):
3320–3330: This zone hosts a major bullish order block, 8/21 EMAs, and the lower trendline of the rising triangle. It is further supported by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement drawn from the 3300 low to the 3390 swing high.
3300–3310: A psychological level and previous 4-hour swing low. Acts as a secondary defense level.
Key Resistance (Sell Zones):
3380–3390: Triangle resistance, aligned with the 50 EMA and a bearish order block.
3440–3450: An upper extension zone if breakout materializes, noted in external institutional outlooks.
🔹 Volume, VWAP & Institutional Concepts
Volume has notably contracted, a classical feature of triangle formations, with most trading volume aggregating at the mid-point (~3345–3355). VWAP sits just below the current price, reflecting mean reversion tendencies. Furthermore, liquidity pockets are observed just beneath 3320, suggesting potential for liquidity grabs before a bullish reversal.
From a Smart Money lens:
A bullish order block has formed near 3320–3330.
A bearish OB and resistance cap prices around 3380.
A small Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies around 3340–3350, acting as a potential price magnet.
🔹 Indicators & Oscillators
Moving Averages: The 8/21 EMA cluster lies just below current price, offering dynamic support.
MACD: Negative but converging—suggesting bearish momentum may be waning.
ADX: Reading ~40, indicating a trending market, though momentum has slightly slowed.
RSI: Hovering near 35–40, close to oversold; signals potential bounce.
Stochastics & CCI: Both deeply negative—supporting the case for a mean-reverting move.
🎯 Strategic Buying & Selling Zones
✅ High-Probability Buy Zones
3320–3330:
Rationale: Confluence of bullish OB, rising trendline, EMAs, and Fib 61.8%.
Confidence: High (★ ★ ★)
3300–3310 (buffer zone):
Rationale: Psychological and historical swing low support.
Confidence: Moderate
❌ High-Probability Sell Zones
3380–3390:
Rationale: Triangle resistance, prior highs, and bearish OB presence.
Confidence: High
3440–3450:
Rationale: Post-breakout measured move target and potential take-profit zone.
Confidence: Moderate
🏆 The Golden Setup: High-Conviction Trade Idea
Direction: Long
Entry: 3325
Stop Loss: 3300
Take Profit: 3390
Confidence Level: ★ ★ ★ (High)
🔍 Justification
This setup takes advantage of the strongest structural support within the triangle—centered around 3325. This level is reinforced by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, bullish order block activity, and EMA compression, all coalescing with the triangle’s rising support line.
Indicators are turning from oversold, and the volume profile suggests that institutional players may look to engineer a liquidity sweep under 3330 before a continuation push to test the 3380 resistance. The reward-to-risk ratio is favorable, and the setup offers clear invalidation with a tight stop at 3300.
Should momentum continue post-breakout, a secondary TP could be explored at 3440. However, for the purpose of tactical execution, 3390 is a strategically sound exit point.
🧠 Sentiment Cross-Check & Market Alignment
External sentiment and professional forecasts support the underlying thesis of a bullish breakout, pending confirmation. TradingView’s top technical authors emphasize the breakout of this ascending triangle toward 3440+, while Investing.com’s shorter-term signals reflect bearish pressure that aligns with our buy-the-dip strategy.
This synthesis of internal and external analysis increases our conviction in a long-biased tactical approach from the current support zone.
✅ Summary Table
Buy Zones Sell Zones Golden Setup
3320–3330 (primary) 3380–3390 (primary) Direction: Long
3300–3310 (buffer) 3440–3450 (extension) Entry: 3325
Stop Loss: 3300
Take Profit: 3390
Confidence Level: ★ ★ ★ (High)
🔚 Final Thoughts
Gold’s current price structure presents a rare opportunity—one defined by tight consolidation, structural clarity, and institutional footprints. As the market coils within a classic triangle, the 3320–3330 zone emerges as a high-probability springboard for long positions. With precise risk management and a disciplined approach, this setup offers traders a compelling entry with defined technical boundaries.
The golden rule now: Respect structure. React to confluence. Trade with conviction.