Gold prices are no longer affected by investor reactions.Gold and silver prices posted strong gains on safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions, with the US dollar index falling sharply as the trading week began.
Market risk appetite was heightened at the start of the week, following a tense meeting on Friday between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, which raised concerns about US-Ukraine relations and the prospects of a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia.
Meanwhile, US trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China are set to take effect on Tuesday. Gold prices started the week on a strong note after posting its worst weekly performance in three months.
For April gold futures, the bulls still have the upper hand in the short term, but the uptrend on the daily chart has been temporarily invalidated. The next target for the bulls is to close above solid resistance at the contract high of $2,974/oz.
Meanwhile, the bears' target is to push the price below the key support at $2,800/oz. The first resistance is at $2,920/oz, followed by $2,942/oz. The first support is at the overnight low of $2,866.3/oz, followed by $2,850/oz.
Metals
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed sharply lower, rejecting resistance at the lower boundary of its previous range and dropping to the 240-day moving average. Testing the 240-day MA was an expected technical move, and after facing resistance at the 120-day MA, the index retested the 20,300–20,500 zone. This price action has formed the head of a head-and-shoulders pattern, making it crucial to watch for potential rebound attempts. However, since both the MACD and signal line have moved below the zero line, the market remains in a confirmed downtrend, making selling into rallies the preferred strategy.
As mentioned previously, if the Nasdaq finds support near the 240-day MA, a technical rebound toward the 60-day MA remains possible, as per moving average behavior. On the 240-minute chart, the index is holding support between 20,300–20,500 and still maintaining a golden cross. If the MACD avoids a bearish crossover with the signal line, the likelihood of a rebound increases, making buying near support a reasonable approach. However, the previous range low near 21,000–21,100 will likely act as strong resistance, making selling into rallies favorable. While no major economic reports are scheduled today, market volatility could increase due to comments from President Trump, so traders should maintain strict risk management.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower following news that OPEC+ plans to increase production. On the daily chart, both the MACD and signal line are sloping downward, confirming a gradual downtrend. However, the $66–67 zone remains a strong support level, while the $70.50 level is the key resistance to watch. For now, trading within the range is the most effective strategy. If oil fails to stage a recovery this week, the weekly chart could confirm a sell signal, reinforcing further downside risk.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed another bearish crossover, suggesting that selling pressure is continuing. Instead of chasing shorts, traders should wait for a pullback to support near $66–67 and consider buying on dips. Given that market flows remain mixed, oil is likely to trade sideways, making range-bound trading the most effective approach for now.
Gold
Gold closed higher, finding support near previous highs. On the daily chart, the index rebounded to the 5-day moving average, and since both the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buying pressure remains intact. However, given the wide gap between the MACD and the signal line, even if gold continues higher, it may face another pullback, making chasing long positions risky. On the weekly chart, the bullish trend remains intact, but since gold is now approaching the 5-week moving average, breaking above resistance may take time.
On the 240-minute chart, a strong rebound emerged from the previous resistance zone, which aligns with the 240-day MA. The MACD has also formed a golden cross, meaning that if the uptrend continues, price targets could extend toward the 60-period MA on the 240-minute chart, potentially reaching the 2,925 area. However, since this initial move is a single-bottom formation, the market could attempt to form a double-bottom before continuing higher, making buying at lower levels more favorable. Gold could also enter a consolidation phase ahead of Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, so traders should anticipate range-bound price action.
Risk management remains key, and I sincerely hope that March brings strong trading opportunities for all of you. Wishing you a successful trading day!
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XAUUSD H1 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 2891.37, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo projection and the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 2871.59, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2904.64, above the 100% Fibo projection.
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GOLD suffered a fierce sell-off, the US Dollar was strongerOANDA:XAUUSD Continuing to endure a fierce sell-off fueled by market profit-taking and a stronger US dollar, the US Dollar Index rose to a 10-day high on Friday of 107.66 amid concerns about US trade policy and data that raised fears of a recession.
US President Trump confirmed 25% tariffs will be imposed on Mexican and Canadian products next week, March 4. This increases market uncertainty.
Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau said Canada does not want to get into a trade war with the United States, but if the United States imposes tariffs on Canadian goods on March 4, Canada "will immediately have an extremely strong response."
Bloomberg said currency traders bought the dollar after US President Trump confirmed he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week.
On Friday, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model predicted that U.S. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 would be -1.5%, compared with a previous forecast of 2.3%. The US Dollar was boosted after the data was released due to concerns about an economic recession.
OANDA:XAUUSD fell to lows in early New York trading on Friday as Wall Street's major indexes opened weak as investors remained cautious about the potential for price pressure from President Trump's policies.
As US PCE inflation data was in line with expectations, the data suggested the Federal Reserve may be more cautious in cutting interest rates, which helped the dollar remain at a two-week high.
The US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in January, in line with expectations. The overall PCE price index in the United States increased 0.3% month-on-month and 2.5% year-over-year in January, also in line with expectations.
However, “personally” believes that PCE data does not significantly change Fed price expectations, so it essentially has a small impact on gold prices.
Spot gold prices fell 2.7% in the past trading week, the largest weekly decline since November last year.
Next, the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP), (ADP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports will become important market data. If inflation data rises too high, it could trigger a sharp sell-off in gold, and the opposite effect if slowing inflation data stimulates market bets on the Fed's ability to cut interest rates.
Of course, further analysis of the above data will be sent to readers in daily publications.
Economic data to watch next week
Monday: Euro Flash CPI Estimates, US ISM Manufacturing PMI
Wednesday: ADP jobs report; ISM US Services PMI
Thursday: European Central Bank Monetary Policy Decision, US Weekly Jobless Claims
Friday: US nonfarm payrolls.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week.
With its current position, gold does not have enough conditions to continue falling in price as long as gold maintains price activity above 2,835 USD and Fibonacci retracement of 0.382%, along with the Relative Strength Index above 50. On the other hand, a confirmation signal for gold price to end the downward correction cycle is price activity returning to the price channel.
However, traders also need to be careful as a new bearish cycle will open up once RSI goes below 50, the price chart is sold below 2,814 USD, so protective positions should be placed behind 2,814 USD.
In the short term, gold is still in a downward correction cycle and the notable points will be listed as follows.
As for "personally", I continue to defend the view that declines are only short-term corrections and not a sustainable trend, declines can also be considered an opportunity to buy.
Support: 2,835 – 2,814USD
Resistance: 2,868 – 2,900USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2896 - 2894⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2900
→Take Profit 1 2888
↨
→Take Profit 2 2882
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2819 - 2821⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2815
→Take Profit 1 2827
↨
→Take Profit 2 2833
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (MARKET)Technical Analysis
1. Trend & Price Action
• On the H1 timeframe, gold is rebounding from a recent downtrend and has formed a higher low, indicating a potential reversal.
• The M15 timeframe confirms this rebound, with price breaking above the short-term resistance.
• The M3 timeframe shows price consolidating near the highs, which suggests accumulation before another move higher.
2. Indicators
• MACD
• H1: Bullish crossover, histogram turning positive.
• M15: Bullish crossover, supporting further upside.
• M3: Neutral but not showing strong divergence.
• RSI
• H1: 62.74, indicating strength but not overbought.
• M15: 54.50, still room for upside.
• M3: 42.20, slight pullback, allowing for better entry.
3. Support & Resistance Levels
• Support: 2878.40 (M15 confirmed level)
• Resistance: 2905.50 (H1 key level)
Fundamental Analysis
• Gold has strong bullish momentum due to a weakening USD. If upcoming economic data or geopolitical uncertainty supports safe-haven demand, XAU/USD will likely push higher.
• Recent rally suggests institutional buying, and if momentum continues, 2905-2910 is a reasonable target.
Entry: 2891.30 (Current price, allowing for a slight pullback)
• Stop Loss (SL): 2882.00 (Below the recent support on M15)
• Take Profit (TP): 2909.00 (Key resistance on H1)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)
• Risk: 9.3 pips
• Reward: 17.7 pips
• RRR: 1:2 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Short gold, do you dare to continue doing it?Dear traders, the current operating space of gold is compressed near the 2888-2892 area. The overall range of fluctuations is narrow, and it has been unable to break through the 2892 line, indicating that the pressure above is obvious. If gold cannot break through the 2892 line, it will need to retreat to accumulate energy, and gold will also retest the 2875-2865 support area. On the whole, we still mainly short gold, but we should not pursue short gold too much.
If you can't grasp the buying and selling position, if you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to learn the correct trading logic and techniques in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update for 3-3-25 : Absolutely PerfectThis quick little update is for everyone who follows my research.
Today was absolutely PERFECT in terms of my expectations and how the SPY moved so far today.
A nearly perfect downward price trend targeting the 588 level.
Now, we'll see if we get a base and a squeeze higher before the end of trading today.
I'm so impressed with my ability to pinpoint these type of opportunities for everyone.
Remember, trading is about taking the opportunity to position your assets for gains.
Get some.
And please share your success stories if you have them.
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Stick to shorting gold!!!Dear traders, gold continues to rebound to around 2893. This rebound is really unexpected.
Fortunately, the intraday fluctuations are narrow. It was originally expected that gold would fall back after rebounding to around 2890. Unexpectedly, gold broke through the 2890 mark after a brief pause. However, the 2900-2910 area above can still pose short-term structural resistance to gold. Although I locked in a wave of profits in time, I suffered a slight loss in the process of shorting gold in batches. However, I am not worried about the short position. If gold cannot continue to break through the 2900-2910 area in one fell swoop, gold will also retest the 2865-2855 support area.
I will publish specific trading ideas and trading signals in my channel. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your finger and join my channel to make making money a pleasure. If you want to make money happily, you can join my channel!
XAUUSD: 3/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 2892-2930, support below 2850
Four-hour chart resistance 2876-2892, support below 2832
One-hour chart resistance 2876, support below 2860
Gold news analysis:
Last Friday, gold technical pressure 2884 mark further ushered in a very weak unilateral adjustment downward trend, Asian, European and American markets successively under pressure to fall and fluctuate downward, the US market accelerated downward to break through the 2840 mark to reach 2832 and began to rebound, closing near 2860, closing with a decline for two consecutive trading days, short-term gold price encountered resistance at the 2950 mark ushered in a daily level adjustment, today's Asian market opened under the influence of weekend news, gold price quickly rushed up to pierce the 2876 mark, and then fell into a shock consolidation.
Gold operation suggestions: Today's upper short-term resistance is 2876-2892. Any rebound before the daily level breaks through and stabilizes at 2892 is a short-selling opportunity. Pay attention to the lower low support around 2825-30. Overall, rely on this range to participate in high selling and low buying, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 2870near SL: 2875
Sell: 2892near SL: 2897
Use small size to control risk
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea off to a flying start and playing out as analysed.
We got our Bullish target hit at 2872 with a further cross and lock opening the range above, which has already given a nice push. We secured our pips and a nice clean finish to the day.
We will now look for the gap above to complete and then look for a further cross and lock to confirm a continuation or a failure to lock above will follow with a rejection to test lower Goldlturns for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2872 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2872 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2901
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2921
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2921 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2950
BEARISH TARGETS
2846
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2846 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2820
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2820 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2796
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2796 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2778 - 2753
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Be bold and follow me to short gold!!!Brothers, my last article showed that when the price touches the 2880-2895 area, we can short gold. When gold has reached the target area for the first time, I have started to short gold according to my trading ideas, and locked in a wave of profits in time when the price is close to the 2875 area. I believe that friends who follow my trading strategy must have made good profits!
At present, gold is still on an upward trend. Brothers, the current price is close to the 2888 area. You must seize the opportunity to start shorting gold. Our target below is still focusing on the 2865-6855 area. I will publish specific trading ideas and trading signals in my channel. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my channel to make making money a pleasure. If you want to make money happily, you can join my channel!
Are gold bulls back?Today, gold retraced its lowest to 2859 and then started to rebound. Gold is currently trading around 2870. Are gold bulls back?
After opening in the morning, it showed a volatile upward pattern. As far as the current trend of gold is concerned, although gold continues to rebound, this rebound is not strong and can only be regarded as a technical repair. From the hourly chart, the short-term resistance above is suppressed in the 2880-2890 area. When the price touches this area, we can consider shorting gold in a timely manner. The target area below is the 2865-2855 area.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-3-25 : Up-Down-UP Pattern CounterToday's pattern, and Up-Down-Up in counter-trend mode, suggests the markets will attempt to move downward after the open and attempt to retrace some (or most) of Friday's gain.
I do believe this downward price move is essential for the markets to build a moderate base before attempting to move higher into the march 11-16 topping pattern my research suggests will prompt another breakdown in price.
Ultimately, these moves up and down over the past 30+ days are establishing a sideways (mega-phone type) price structure that I warned was likely to happen more than 90+ days ago (back in December 2024).
What we are seeing right now is a rolling of price while uncertainty continues to drive capital away from technology, semis and innovation - moving into safety and security.
This will continue until July or August 2025, then capital will suddenly shift back into risk-ON in my opinion.
By the time everyone thinks the markets are breaking downward (crashing), that is when I think the markets will make a sudden shift toward growth and innovation as the US resumes a growth phase in late 2025 (carrying into 2026).
Currently, we are in a minor little "pause/rally" phase after the last bout of selling. This rally will likely end sometime after March 11 - leading to a breakdown in price starting between 3-14 and 3-17.
This is a trader's market.
Gold/Silver appear to have found a footing and seem to be bouncing. We'll see if Gold/Silver move above critical resistance and continue to rally higher.
BTCUSD has rebounded back to support/resistance, but has also moved into a new DUAL Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests increased price volatility for Bitcoin. I still believe we are moving into a very side-range consolidation pattern for Bitcoin.
I suggest staying fairly cautious today and setting up some trades for the pause/rally I expect to carry through this week for the SPY/QQQ. No need to get too greedy on a Monday.
Get some.
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XAUUSD ( GOLD ) TODAY'S CHART MAPPING IN 30M TFWelcome To Another Day Of TRADING Guys
As you know Xauusd is already at higher position and it's still in buying zone
Probably Xauusd make again 2790 so here is set-up for today
Support level 2770
2nd Support level 2762/59
Target well be. 2789
Let me know your thoughts in the comments section have a good trade guy's
GOLD Trend reversal? The GOLD (XAUUSD) index pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the loss of longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be an overbought consolidation after reaching the all-time high on 20th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at the 2896 level, 20-day moving average and the rising support trend line zone. An oversold bounce back from the current levels and a bearish rejection at the 2896 level could target the downside support at 2790 followed by the 2770 (50 DMA) and 2743 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 2896 resistance and a daily above below that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of the 2920 level followed by 2950.
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GOLD to continue in the downward move?Gold - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains negative.
The trend of higher intraday lows has also been broken.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
50 1hour EMA is at 2871.
The overnight rally has been sold into and there is scope for further bearish pressure going into this morning.
We look to Sell at 2874.5 (stop at 2895.1)
Our profit targets will be 2820.8 and 2809.8
Resistance: 2876.6 / 2890.0 / 2910.0
Support: 2855.0 / 2832.4 / 2815.0
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Gold is expected to go down, short goldBrothers, in my previous article, I clearly expressed the trading strategy of shorting gold when it rebounds to the 2875-2880 area. Now that gold has reached the target area as expected, I have started to short gold in batches according to my strategy.
As far as the current trend of gold is concerned, gold still failed to break through 2880 during the rebound. Gold's performance is not strong, and gold's short-term rebound can be regarded as a technical repair for this round of decline. If gold fails to break through 2880 during the rebound, then gold will continue to fall, so next we will mainly focus on the intensity of gold's retracement. According to the current gold structure, I expect gold to at least retreat to the 2860-2850 area.
Brothers, have you followed me to short gold? At present, gold has retreated slightly relative to the target area of our short selling. Our short position has begun to make money. We look forward to the continued decline of gold to bring us better profits.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
SILVER Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 31.462.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 32.363.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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After falling for several days in a row, where should gold go?Gold technical analysis: After the gold opened in early trading, the price shot straight up, with the opening price at the 2858 line, which is a strong short-term support level. After rising in early trading, according to market inertia, there is a high probability that the European market will continue to rise. The strong pressure above is at the 2885 line. When the price touches this point for the first time, short selling can be carried out during the day. Since the opening of the morning session was directly pulled up sharply, the entry position for long positions today will obviously not be too low. However, it should be noted that since the rebound of 2832, the possibility of directly hitting a new low again today is extremely small, so the probability of a direct sharp drop in price is unlikely. However, don’t think about gold too simply. The short trend does not mean that it will continue to fall without a counter-tick. It can be found that before gold fell, it made two supports near 2890. If it falls below 2890 later, then 2890 will change from a support to a suppression position. In the short term, the upper side focuses on the resistance of 2880-2890, and the lower side focuses on the support of 2860-2850.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, earn stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
3.3 Gold has not broken 2800, shorting goldThe main idea of short-term gold trading this week is to follow the trend and go short. In the next trading rhythm, the upper short-term pressure will focus on the area around 2880-2890. As long as this pressure point is not broken, there will be room for continued decline. However, there is a possibility of divergence in the current indicators. In the short term, as long as the rebound exceeds 2880, it will drive the Bollinger Bands to close and there will be room for growth. Therefore, the current strong trend point is 2880. At the beginning of this week, you can rely on this position to see a rebound. If it does not break 2880, you should go short first.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
EURJPY Bullish Breakout: Targeting 300 Pips Toward 161.500EURJPY is currently trading at 157.500, having completed a falling wedge breakout and now holding above a key support level. The falling wedge is a strong bullish reversal pattern, indicating that after a period of consolidation, buyers are stepping in to drive the price higher. If this support holds, EURJPY could gain further momentum, targeting the 161.500 level for a potential 300-pip move.
From a technical perspective, the breakout has already been confirmed, and price action suggests that bulls are in control. A strong hold above support, along with increased buying pressure, could push EURJPY toward its next resistance zone near 161.500. Traders should watch for bullish candlestick formations and volume confirmation to strengthen the breakout scenario.
On the fundamental side, the euro’s strength against the yen is largely driven by monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The ECB remains relatively hawkish, while the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping the yen weak. Additionally, risk-on sentiment in global markets tends to favor EURJPY upside.
In summary, EURJPY has broken out of a falling wedge and is holding above a critical support level, with bullish momentum building. If this level remains intact, the pair could see a 300-pip rally toward 161.500. Traders should monitor price action, volume, and any shifts in ECB or BoJ policy for further confirmation of the bullish trend.