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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3260 and a gap below at 3217. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3260 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3308 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3340 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3382 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3478 BEARISH TARGETS 3217 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS 3174 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE 3126 3078 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3034 - 2979 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3282 and a gap below at 3224. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3282 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3343 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3404 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3503 BEARISH TARGETS 3224 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE 3190 3138 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 3088 - 3046 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3046 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3015 - 2988 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Here’s the latest update on our daily chart idea, it’s been playing out perfectly! The daily chart is unfolding as projected, with price action respecting the structure of the Goldturn ascending channel. A breakout above the channel was confirmed by the EMA5 crossing and closing above the upper boundary. This move extended to test the 3433 Goldturn axis level, where price met resistance. Notably, EMA5 failed to sustain a close above 3433 Goldturn level, confirming a lack of bullish momentum and validating a rejection. Price has since reversed, re-entering the channel. Below, broader support is identified around 3104, which aligns with the channel’s half line. While this level may not be reached immediately, the current price range between 3297 and 3104 is significant. We may observe continued consolidation within this zone, with the half line gradually ascending. This dynamic could result in price interacting with the half line earlier than a direct move to 3104, providing potential bounce opportunities best monitored through lower timeframes for refined entries and validations. This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders. Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings. Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Quick update on our weekly chart idea, it's been playing out beautifully, helping us track the move down and catch the move back up. The weekly chart structure is unfolding in line with prior analysis. Price action reached the upper boundary of the ascending Goldturn channel and temporarily broke above it; however, the EMA5 remained confined within the channel, validating the upper trendline as dynamic resistance. A sustained EMA5 breakout above the channel would have confirmed a potential continuation of the breakout. Currently, price is consolidating within the Goldturn channel, with the 3189 level acting as immediate support. The channel half line of the channel may serve as a stronger swing support area, though price may not retest this level immediately. As the channel continues its upward trajectory, the midline will also rise, potentially aligning with price in future upward movements. This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders. Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows, we really appreciate the support! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
BTC - Golden Pocket & Strong FVG Resistance for a Short SetupThe current 15-minute chart of BTCUSDT reveals a textbook bearish setup forming as price retraces into a well-defined supply zone. This analysis focuses on structural breakdowns, liquidity engineering, and key Fibonacci confluences that may lead to a short-term reversal within intraday price action. Overview of Market Structure: BTCUSDT has been in a clear intraday downtrend with consistent lower highs and lower lows being formed. The recent price action reflects a temporary consolidation phase following the creation of a new swing low. This minor pullback appears to be corrective in nature, moving upward toward a previously established zone of inefficiency. At the center of this setup is a well-marked bearish fair value gap (FVG), highlighted with a blue shaded rectangle, where institutional selling is expected to have previously occurred. This FVG formed after a strong displacement candle, suggesting unmitigated sell-side imbalance left in the market. Retracement Zone and Fibonacci Confluence: As price retraces upward, it enters the equilibrium region of the recent bearish impulse, with notable confluences around the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. These retracement levels are critical markers where smart money algorithms often execute continuation plays during trending phases. Both the 0.618 and 0.65 levels fall within the center of the FVG zone, further strengthening the case for this being a valid supply area. These levels are plotted with horizontal lines on the chart and serve as ideal zones to monitor for signs of rejection or bearish order flow resumption. The 0.786 retracement, marked just above the upper boundary of the FVG, acts as a final extremity level. This level often coincides with liquidity pools where stop hunts are engineered before the actual move begins. Its proximity to a recent swing high makes it an area of interest for potential liquidity grabs prior to a deeper move down. Projected Price Path and Liquidity Targets: The projected blue path illustrates an expected liquidity sweep into the FVG zone, followed by a sharp rejection. This aligns with the idea of engineered liquidity collection before continuation in the original trend direction. The move anticipates price reaching back into the area of prior support, targeting unmitigated demand near recent lows. Of particular interest is the area around the 0.28 Fibonacci extension level, which acts as a probable magnet for price in the event of a successful rejection. The chart structure suggests that once the short-term retracement completes, there is room for a new impulse leg lower. Internal Structure Observation: The current lower timeframe structure shows rising momentum toward the FVG. However, this upward push lacks aggressive bullish volume and appears corrective rather than impulsive. This suggests that buyers are likely exhausting themselves as price nears the supply zone. Additionally, the structure within this move is developing lower-timeframe liquidity pools (equal highs and tight consolidation), which could act as inducement for a sweep before the potential reversal occurs. Conclusion: This chart offers a well-structured short setup based on supply zone rejection, Fibonacci confluence, and a bearish market structure. The fair value gap zone between the 0.618 and 0.65 retracement levels is key, and price action within this area will be crucial in determining the next directional leg. If bearish confirmation such as an engulfing pattern or break of market structure occurs within or after tapping this zone, it would validate the bearish outlook for a short-term continuation to the downside. This setup is ideal for intraday traders focused on precision-based entries rooted in institutional order flow principles.
Short
by Louigi_24
54
Gold can correct to support level and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After studying this chart, we can track the progression of Gold's price action from strong bullish momentum to its current consolidation. Initially, the market trended confidently inside an upward channel, with steady growth supported by the lower boundary of the channel and occasional corrections after touching the resistance line. Each pullback respected previous support zones, a strong signal of buyer control at the time. The most impulsive move came after the price exited the buyer zone, followed by a clean breakout above the resistance line of the channel. However, once the price entered the seller zone, we saw the momentum start to fade. A strong rejection occurred near the resistance level at 3370, which eventually triggered a series of lower highs and shifted the market into a more neutral, range-bound phase. Currently, Gold is trading inside a defined range between 3205 and 3370. The bottom of this range aligns perfectly with the buyer zone, which already acted as a strong support during the last decline. We can also observe the market beginning to show signs of reversal after tapping the zone again. Given the reaction from the support area and the structure of the range, I expect the price can bounce back and make another attempt to reach the 3370 resistance level, which is my TP1 for this scenario. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
14
How to Trade Gold with AI-Powered Algos in 2025📊 How to Trade Gold with AI-Powered Algos in 2025 A practical action plan for serious gold traders 🔍 1. Know Why Gold Requires Custom Algo Tactics Gold is volatile, news-sensitive, and driven by macro events like Fed policy, geopolitics, and inflation. Generic stock or crypto bots fail here — gold needs precise, event-aware automation. 🧠 2. Use AI-Powered Bots Trained for Gold Volatility Deploy bots that adapt to real-time data like CPI releases, bond yields, and geopolitical headlines. Use machine learning models that detect gold breakouts, consolidations, and safe-haven flows. Top AI algos for gold traders: Multiple systems based on MT4/MT5 Fully-automated, AI-based gold bot with breakout detection, precision entries, and built-in risk control. ⚙️ 3. Build or Choose the Right Algo Strategy for Gold Trend-Following: Use 21/50 EMA crosses on H1 and H4 Mean Reversion: Bollinger Band fades in range-bound sessions Breakout Algos: Trigger trades on CPI or FOMC event volatility Volume-Based AI: Analyze volume spikes vs. historical patterns 🧪 4. Backtest Gold-Specific Models Always test your bot using historical gold data, especially during NFP weeks, Fed meetings, and geopolitical escalations. Use data from 2018 to 2024 for high-volatility periods. Tools: TradingView for Pine Script testing, MetaTrader 5 for EA deployment 🛡️ 5. Control Risk with Gold-Specific Parameters Max drawdown: Keep under 15 percent Stop-loss: Always use hard stops (not just trailing) Position sizing: 0.5 to 1 percent of capital per trade Use volatility filters: Avoid entries during thin liquidity hours 🔄 6. Automate Monitoring and Adaptation Run multiple bots for breakout, momentum, and reversal setups Use dashboards to track gold-specific metrics like VIX, USDX, DXY, and 10Y Treasury yields Integrate AI that adjusts parameters after major data releases 🚀 7. Prepare for 2025 Market Structure Gold is increasingly driven by Central bank digital currency rollouts USD de-dollarization risks Global stagflation or recession themes DeFi and tokenized gold products Your algo must factor in these macro narratives using real-time data feeds 📌 Gold Algo Trading Success Plan 2025 Use AI bots built for gold volatility Trade high-probability breakouts post-news Backtest with gold-specific macro filters Maintain strict risk limits with max 15 percent drawdown Monitor global news and macro data with bot triggers Continuously optimize and adapt Gold is not just a commodity — it’s a signal of global risk. Automate smartly, manage risk tightly, and use AI to stay one move ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
28
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Long Opportunity from FVG Zone🔹 GOLD (XAU/USD) - Long Opportunity from FVG Zone Price has filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG UP) and tapped into a clear demand area. Strong reaction confirms bullish intent. I'm watching for a possible retest around 3,232–3,227 before a continuation to the upside. 📍 Entry Zone: 3,232 – 3,227 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,223 🎯 Target (TP): 3,263 📐 RR: Approx. 1:3 Key Points: Price broke structure to the upside. Liquidity sweep below intra-day lows. Bullish FVG acted as support. Clean upside inefficiency above. 🔔 If price gives a bullish confirmation on the retest, I’m looking to go long toward 3,263.
TVC:GOLDLong
by KechFx
Bitcoin Dominance TO 52% with in 7 to 14 days Bitcoin dominance has recently experienced a significant upward trend, reaching 64.96% on the daily timeframe. This surge highlights Bitcoin’s growing strength 💪 relative to the broader cryptocurrency market. Currently, dominance is approaching a key resistance level at 65.79% 📈, which is considered a potential reversal zone 🔄. 🧠 Technical Overview A closer look 🔍 at the recent momentum in Bitcoin dominance reveals signs of a maturing uptrend 📶. As the indicator nears historically significant resistance levels, the probability of a downward correction 📉 increases. Based on time-based analysis ⏱, signs of a pullback are expected to emerge within the next 7 to 14 days 📆 from the point of touching or nearing the 65.79% level. 🎯 Potential Correction Targets If the anticipated reversal materializes, the correction targets are as follows: First Target: A retracement to the 60% level, which has acted as prior support 🛑 and could temporarily halt further declines. Second Target (deeper correction): A move down to 52%, a strategic support level 🧱 that could pave the way for altcoins 🚀 to outperform.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by MMTRADING-BNB
1
The Bitcoin Illusion: Why $300K or $1M Is a Pipe DreamBitcoin enthusiasts love throwing around wild price predictions—$300K, $1M, even $5M per BTC—as if these numbers are inevitable. But let’s break down the math and expose the delusion behind these claims: Bitcoin at $300K or $1M? Let’s Do the Math - $300,000 is a number pulled out of thin air by Michael Saylor and Robert Kiyosaki, either deliberately misleading or financially illiterate. They fail to grasp that this would require a market cap of $6 trillion. - $1 million, as Cathy Wood foolishly claims, would require Bitcoin’s market cap to exceed $20 trillion—more than the entire GDP of the United States. - The idea that Bitcoin will magically absorb trillions in global wealth is pure delusion. Now, let’s put this into perspective: - Bitcoin reaching $100K was relatively easy because it required a market cap of just $2 trillion—a fraction of global liquidity. - But pushing Bitcoin to $300K or beyond requires trillions more, which is mathematically impossible without a massive influx of new capital—capital that simply does not exist. Your $100K to $1M Fantasy—Let’s Run the Numbers - Some Bitcoin holders believe their sub-$100K investment will make them multimillionaires. That's a lie and delusional: - If you bought 100k worth of Bitcoin at 83K per BTC, it would need to hit $830K per coin for you to even reach $1M. - That’s not financial genius—it’s blind faith in an impossible scenario. You’re Living in "The Matrix" of Crypto Lies - You’re not stacking wealth—you’re stacking HOPIUM. State Adoption Won’t Skyrocket the Price - Even if six U.S. states were considering Bitcoin treasuries, those purchases would be OTC (over-the-counter)—meaning they wouldn’t significantly impact market price. - Governments negotiate deals strategically; they don’t flood markets like retail investors hoping for price surges. The End of Bitcoin’s Accumulation Phase Bitcoin’s early adopters—the billionaires who pumped it up—have already made their money. The accumulation phase is over. - To push Bitcoin higher, these whales would need to inject substantial amounts of new capital—but they are overleveraged and drowning in debt. - Borrowed money must be repaid, and we're already past Bitcoin’s peak mainstream adoption which means there are no new waves of buyers to sustain the illusion. - Bitcoin is now entering a distribution phase, where early holders cash out, leaving retail investors holding the bag. The Rise of ETFs and Real Investments The world is moving on. Investors are waking up to the fact that: - ETFs offer real projects with actual purpose, unlike Bitcoin. - ETFs pay dividends, generate revenue, and contribute to real economic growth. - Newer crypto projects—like Stamps, art collections, gaming tokens, and smart contracts—are gaining traction and pulling capital away from Bitcoin. Bitcoiners will get left behind, holding worthless, declining bags of old-school crypto, while the future thrives in better technologies. The Harsh Reality: Bitcoin’s Future Is Bleeding Out Bitcoin isn’t the future—it’s a fading illusion. - The crypto cartel thrives on believers, feeding them fantasy while they cash out. - The idea that Bitcoin will replace fiat, become the global payment rail, and make every holder rich is a marketing illusion designed to keep people holding bags. - The longer people ignore reality, the harder the crash will be for them. Many think they’re ahead of the curve, but they’re just loyal believers in an unsustainable illusion. When this unravels, it won’t be Bitcoin’s future collapsing—it will be theirs.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by CassianDrake
1
SILVER: Will Start Growing! Here is Why: Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SILVER pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by UnitedSignals
1
PATIENCE WILL PAY OFF 〉LONG TERM BUY COMING SOON.As illustrated, I'm trying to visualize what the next couple of weeks could look like. Taking into consideration the fact that May + June are corrective months for gold historically (don't believe me; check the seasonality tool...) , Is likely for price to range up and down within quite a wide range anywhere between 3300 and 3100 before it enters a bullish continuation impulse by the end of June and into first week of July. ( I have illustrated 2 potential buying areas; one closer to price and another extended one lower ) That being said, one must adapt to such market conditions that will only offer certain structure offering a few intraday trades, but mostly short term trades or quick scalping moves all within a same trading session, simply because as each session comes in, they will target previous sessions highs or lows (ranging back and forth in an uncomfortable manner and without a clear direction). Asia would target Sydney's open, then London might target Asia's open, then NY might target any low or high in the opposite direction... and so on back and forth without truly holding a bullish or bearish structure longer than a few hours to a full calendar day before it turns around (sideways behavior). As price reaches "stronger psychological" price levels like 3150, 3100, 3050 and potentially 3000; then you might start seeing evident rejections within higher timeframes (4H and 1D); ideally seeing rejection wick/s followed by a nice push up showing true power and volume to the upside, potentially signaling the bottom of this correction phase. TIME should be aligned with this market behavior; that means that checking the seasonality tool. every year (on average 5, 10 and 15 years), gold makes a bottom during the first week of JULY ... So... market structure, price, and time must be aligned correctly and it will all make sense whenever that moment comes; hence, the title of this idea. I am personally not worried about any sort of economic event; news are only gas for the market to move and create liquidity and volatility. AT THIS POINT, THE ONLY THING THAT COULD TRIGGER A SIGNIFICANT MOVE IN GOLD, IS A GEOPOLITICAL EVENT THAT WOULD TRULLY TRIGGER UNCERTAINTY IN THE MARKETS... . -- GOOD LUCK! Persaxu
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
GOLD - Price can grow to $3370 resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently, price entered to pennant, where it at once bounced from support line and started to grow, but soon corrected. After this movement, Gold made upward impulse, and broke $3205 level, after which it made retest and continued to move up mext. Soon, it reached $3370 level, broke it and then rose to resistance line of pennant, after which started to fall. In a short time, price declined below $3370 level, breaking it again, and then some time traded below. Later, Gold continued to fall and declined to support level, which coincided with support line of pennant. Now, I think that price can bounce up from support level to $3370 level, exiting from pennant pattern. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
14
GOLD (XAU/USD, 4H) updateOn the 4-hour chart, GOLD has broken below the lower boundary of a pennant pattern on increasing volume, signaling potential for continued downside. Despite this, the asset remains within the confines of a bullish megaphone structure, whose boundaries are still intact. The EMA indicators (20/50/100/200) are aligned in a bearish sequence, exerting downward pressure. The price is consolidating below the $3295 level and is approaching key demand zones. Near-Term Downside Targets: - $3177 — Intermediate demand zone - $3063 — Major support level Technical Highlights: - Breakdown from bearish pennant confirmed by volume - Price action continues within the bullish megaphone pattern - EMA 20/50/100/200 positioned above price, indicating overhead resistance - Volume increases observed during downward moves - Key buyer interest zone: $3060–$3080 - Resistance zone: $3295–$3305 Following the breakdown from the consolidation pattern, gold is exhibiting a downward trajectory targeting support zones at $3177 and $3063. The bearish scenario is technically confirmed as long as the price remains below $3295. However, the movement within the bullish megaphone structure warrants close monitoring for potential shifts in momentum.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
De-Dollarization Debunked: Why BRICS Can’t Dethrone the USD!The Dollar’s Throne—Shaky or Rock-Solid? Picture this: a gang of economic rebels—Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and their new BRICS+ pals—plotting to topple King Dollar from its global throne. The headlines scream “De-Dollarization!” as if the U.S. dollar is about to be dethroned by a shiny new BRICS currency, backed by gold, blockchain, or sheer ambition. Sounds like a blockbuster, right? Except, here’s the twist: the dollar’s throne isn’t just solid—it’s practically welded to the global economy. So, why does the BRICS crew think they can pull off this heist? And why are they doomed to trip over their own ambitions? Buckle up for a 5,000-word joyride through the wild world of global finance, where the dollar reigns supreme, BRICS dreams big, and the numbers tell a story funnier than a sitcom. Act 1: The Dollar’s Superpower—Why It’s Still King Let’s start with a jaw-dropping stat: the U.S. dollar accounts for 88% of international transactions through the SWIFT system and 59% of global central bank reserves as of 2024. That’s not just dominance; it’s the financial equivalent of the dollar flexing its biceps while other currencies watch from the sidelines. The euro? A distant second at 20% of reserves. China’s yuan? A measly 2.3%. The dollar’s grip is so tight, it’s practically giving the global economy a bear hug. Why does the dollar rule? It’s not just because Uncle Sam prints greenbacks like they’re going out of style (though the U.S. debt is a whopping $34 trillion in 2025). The dollar’s superpower lies in trust, liquidity, and infrastructure. The U.S. has deep, liquid financial markets, a stable (ish) legal system, and no capital controls—things no BRICS nation can match. Want to trade oil? Dollars. Settle a cross-border deal? Dollars. Hide your cash from your dictator boss? You guessed it—dollars. The greenback is the world’s financial comfort food, and everyone’s got a craving. But here’s where it gets juicy: BRICS thinks they can crash this party. At the 2024 Kazan Summit, Russia’s Vladimir Putin called the dollar a “weapon,” while China’s Xi Jinping pushed for a BRICS “Unit” currency. Sounds spicy, but let’s unpack why this plan is less Ocean’s Eleven and more Three Stooges. Act 2: BRICS’ Big Dream—And Bigger Problems The BRICS Fantasy: A Currency to Rule Them All BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, plus newbies like Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE) wants to ditch the dollar for a new currency or a basket of their own—maybe even a gold-backed “Unit.” The pitch? Reduce reliance on the dollar, dodge U.S. sanctions, and flex their collective muscle (they represent 28% of global GDP and 44% of crude oil production). In 2023, one-fifth of oil trades sidestepped the dollar, a shift driven by Russia and China settling in rubles and yuan. That’s a bold move, right? Except, here’s the punchline: creating a BRICS currency is like herding cats while riding a unicycle and juggling flaming torches. Let’s break down why their dream is a logistical nightmare. Problem #1: No Trust, No Party BRICS nations don’t exactly exchange friendship bracelets. India and China? They’ve got border disputes so tense, their soldiers once threw rocks at each other. Russia and China might cozy up to dodge sanctions, but Brazil and India aren’t thrilled about Beijing calling the shots. A common currency needs trust—think the eurozone, where Germany and France (mostly) play nice. BRICS? It’s more like a reality show where everyone’s secretly voting each other off the island. X posts sum it up: “BRICS replacing the dollar? Mutual distrust and weak legal systems will kill any shared currency initiative.” Without trust, no one’s pooling their reserves or agreeing on who controls the money printer. Problem #2: The Yuan’s Not Ready for Prime Time China’s yuan is the closest BRICS has to a dollar rival, but it’s got stage fright. Only 7% of foreign exchange trading involves the yuan, and China’s capital controls keep it on a tight leash. Want to invest your yuan globally? Good luck—Beijing’s not keen on letting cash flow freely. Morgan Stanley’s strategists put it bluntly: “China would need to relax control of its currency and open the capital account. That’s not happening soon.” Plus, China’s economy isn’t exactly inspiring confidence. Consumer demand is sagging, and the property crisis is dragging on like a bad soap opera. The yuan’s share in global payments via SWIFT is up to 6.4% in 2024, but that’s still pocket change compared to the dollar’s dominance. Problem #3: Oil’s Not Enough BRICS+ produces 44% of global crude oil, so why not price it in their currencies? Saudi Arabia’s riyal is pegged to the dollar, and even their flirtation with yuan-based oil deals hasn’t gone far. Why? Oil is only 15% of global trade, and the dollar’s used for everything else—tech, cars, coffee, you name it. Even if BRICS prices oil in rubles or rupees, the rest of the world’s still paying for iPhones in dollars. And here’s a kicker: at the 2024 BRICS Summit, Russia advised attendees to bring dollars and euros because local banks preferred them over rubles. Talk about an own goal Act 3: The Dollar’s Kryptonite—Does It Exist? Let’s play devil’s advocate. Could BRICS pull off a miracle? They’ve got some tricks up their sleeves: blockchain-based payment systems like BRICS Bridge, gold-backed reserves (BRICS+ holds 42% of global FX reserves), and a push for local currency trade. Russia and China already settle 95% of their trade in rubles and yuan. That’s not nothing. But here’s the reality check: these moves are like bringing a water gun to a tank fight. The dollar’s dominance isn’t just about transactions; it’s about network effects. The greenback’s infrastructure—SWIFT, Wall Street, Treasury bonds—is a fortress. BRICS’ alternative, like the mBridge CBDC platform, is promising but embryonic. It connects China, Hong Kong, Thailand, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, but it’s nowhere near replacing SWIFT’s global reach. And gold? BRICS loves it—gold’s 10% of their reserves, half the global average—but it’s not a currency. You can’t pay for Netflix with gold bars, and central banks aren’t keen on lugging bullion around. The Atlantic Council’s 2024 “Dollar Dominance Monitor” says it best: “The dollar’s role as the primary global reserve currency is secure in the near and medium term.” Act 4: Trump’s Tariffs and the De-Dollarization Drama Enter Donald Trump, stage right, with a megaphone and a tariff hammer. In 2025, he’s threatening 100% tariffs on BRICS nations if they push de-dollarization. “Any BRICS state that mentions the destruction of the dollar will lose access to America’s markets,” he thundered. Sounds like a plan to keep the dollar king, right? Wrong. Here’s the irony: Trump’s aggressive tactics might accelerate de-dollarization. Sanctions and tariffs make BRICS nations double down on alternatives. China’s been diversifying reserves and pushing yuan trade for years, partly because of U.S. pressure. As one analyst put it, “Trump’s threats are a rallying cry for BRICS to act.” But don’t hold your breath. Tariffs hurt BRICS economies (China’s exports to the U.S. are 15% of its total), but they don’t solve BRICS’ internal chaos. India’s External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar said it plainly: “India has never been for de-dollarization.” Brazil’s also lukewarm, fearing a China-dominated BRICS. Without unity, their currency dreams are just hot air. Act 5: The Numbers Don’t Lie—Dollar’s Here to Stay Let’s crunch some numbers to seal the deal: SWIFT Transactions: Dollar: 88%. Euro: 20%. Yuan: 7%. Global Reserves: Dollar: 59%. Euro: 20%. Yuan: 2.3%. Oil Trade: 80% in dollars in 2023, down from 100%. Global Trade: 50% dollar-denominated. BRICS GDP: $28.5 trillion (28% of global). U.S.: $25.5 trillion (24%). The dollar’s share is slipping—reserves dropped from 72% post-WWII to 59%—but it’s still laps ahead. BRICS’ push for local currencies is gaining traction (Russia-China trade is 80% non-dollar), but scaling that globally is a pipe dream. The euro flopped as a dollar rival; the yuan’s too controlled; and a BRICS “Unit”? It’s a concept, not a currency. Act 6: Thought-Provoking Twist—What If BRICS Succeeds? Let’s indulge in a wild “what if.” Imagine BRICS pulls it off: a gold-backed Unit currency, blockchain payments, and oil priced in yuan. The dollar crashes, inflation spikes, and Americans pay $10 for a coffee. Scary, right? Former White House economist Joe Sullivan warned BRICS could swing an “economic wrecking ball” at the dollar. But here’s the catch: a BRICS win hurts BRICS too. Their economies rely on dollar-based trade—China holds $3 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds. A dollar collapse tanks their assets. Plus, who trusts a BRICS currency when China’s calling the shots? As Ray Dalio noted, de-dollarization is “financial risk management,” not a revolution. BRICS wants options, not chaos. Act 7: The Funny Finale—BRICS’ Comedy of Errors Picture BRICS at a poker table, bluffing with a bad hand. Russia’s got rubles nobody wants. China’s yuan is chained to Beijing’s whims. India’s like, “I’m just here for the snacks.” Brazil’s dreaming of free trade, and South Africa’s wondering why they RSVP’d. Meanwhile, the dollar’s dealing cards, smirking, “You sure you wanna bet against me?” The de-dollarization saga is a comedy of errors—big talk, small results. BRICS’ heart is in it, but their heads are in the clouds. The dollar’s not perfect (hello, $34 trillion debt), but it’s the only game in town. As Morgan Stanley’s James Lord said, “When global markets fall, you want dollars.” Epilogue: Keep Your Eyes on the Dollar So, what’s the takeaway? De-dollarization is a catchy buzzword, but BRICS can’t dethrone the dollar anytime soon. The greenback’s too entrenched, BRICS too divided, and the world too hooked on dollar-based trade. Will BRICS chip away at the edges? Sure—expect more yuan trades and blockchain experiments. But a dollar-free world? That’s science fiction, not finance. For traders, here’s a tip: watch DXY’s inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. A breakout above 100 could signal another dollar rally. For everyone else, laugh at the BRICS hype, stash some dollars under your mattress, and enjoy the show. The dollar’s throne isn’t going anywhere—yet.
TVC:DXYLong
by RoadToAMillionClub
Will the Fed or Trade Talks Move the Needle?🔎 GOLD WEEKLY SETUP – Will the Fed or Trade Talks Move the Needle? As we head into a pivotal week, gold finds itself boxed between macro pressures and structural indecision. After bouncing between 3,204 and 3,277 last week, all eyes are now on what could be the two biggest catalysts in months: the FOMC decision and renewed trade signals from Washington and Beijing. 🧭 The Bigger Picture 🇨🇳 China’s surprise SGX:40B tariff waiver suggests de-escalation and improving sentiment. 🇺🇸 US Nonfarm Payrolls came in stronger than expected — adding to hawkish Fed pressure. 💵 DXY & Bond Yields remain strong. As long as the USD holds above 105, upside for gold may remain limited. 🔔 This Week’s Macro Triggers 📆 FOMC Meeting & Powell’s Press Conference ➤ A dovish shift = bullish for gold ➤ Status quo or hawkish tone = room for further downside 📉 US–China Trade Headlines ➤ Continued easing = bearish pressure on gold ➤ New tensions = potential safe-haven bid 📊 Technical Landscape (H4/D1 Chart Focus) Price action is forming a clear descending wedge, with major support still intact around the 3,204 – 3,224 zone. Previous highs at 3,277 capped last week’s rally and now act as the first barrier to reclaim. We’re likely to see breakout potential increase mid-week as volatility kicks in post-FOMC. 🎯 Trade Plan – Week of May 6th 🔵 BUY ZONE A: Entry: 3,204 – 3,202 SL: 3,198 TPs: 3,208 → 3,212 → 3,216 → 3,220 → 3,225 → 3,230 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3,276 – 3,278 SL: 3,282 TPs: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250 → 3,240 ⚠️ Risk Watchlist 🏛 Fed’s tone on rates 📉 DXY approaching 106.5 🌍 Surprise geopolitical or tariff-related news 🧠 Final Thoughts: This is not a week to predict. It’s a week to respond. Gold is coiling. Structure is clear. Discipline over bias — wait for confirmation, execute with precision. 📌 Follow for midweek intraday updates and real-time FOMC response plans.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
3
Gold's Symmetrical Triangle Near Break – Support Test Imminent!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in my previous post and attacked the Support zone($3,282-$3,245) and Support lines for the second time . The question is, can Gold break the Support zone($3,282-$3,245) and Support lines or not!? Please stay with me . Gold is moving between Support zone($3,282-$3,245) and Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) again . In fact, it can be said that Gold has been moving in a range for the past 5-6 days . From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective, Gold appears to be forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. A break of either line could indicate the next direction for Gold, but since the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern is a Continuation Pattern , the lower line is more likely to break . In terms of Elliott Wave Theory analysis , it seems that we still have to wait for the next five downwaves . ------------------------------------------ Today, important U.S. data — JOLTS Job Openings and CB Consumer Confidence — will be released. Let’s quickly review their potential impact on Gold: JOLTS Job Openings : If the number comes lower than expected , it signals a weakening labor market, increasing the chances of a dovish Fed → Bullish for Gold . If the number is stronger than expected , it indicates a robust labor market, pushing the Fed to stay hawkish → Bearish for Gold . CB Consumer Confidence : A drop in consumer confidence reflects economic worries , driving demand for safe-haven assets like Gold → Bullish . A rise in consumer confidence shows economic strength, reducing the appeal of Gold → Bearish . Historical Impact : Both indices have caused strong intraday moves in Gold recently, especially if the figures surprise the market. Summary : Weak JOLTS and low Confidence → Gold bullish Strong JOLTS and high Confidence → Gold bearish Be prepared for high volatility during the releases. Always manage your risk carefully! ------------------------------------------ I expect Gold to attack the Support zone($3,282-$3,245) and Support lines for at least the third time , and if it breaks, the next target could be $3,223 . Note: If Gold can move above $3,393, we can expect more pumps and maybe make a new All-Time High(ATH). Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
21