Metals
The bearish trend continues! 2895 continues to be bearish!On Friday night, the gold market was like a thrilling blockbuster with ups and downs. The gold price fell rapidly, and the big negative line fell directly to the 2830 line, as if a violent plunge was about to hit. However, the market did not fall all the way, and it was obvious that the power was not enough to achieve a deep plunge at the moment. From the technical analysis, at the daily level, the K line is a series of big negative line entities, the short-selling force is dominant, and there is no strong support below, and the subsequent decline may be brewing. Therefore, continuing the high-altitude operation strategy is a wise choice at the moment.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the gold price is firmly suppressed by the moving average. Every time there is a slight sign of rebound, it is like a fragile bubble, which is ruthlessly punctured by strong shorts as soon as it emerges. The upper 2895 and 2905 lines constitute obvious resistance levels. The rebound of the K line here is just a short respite, not a trend reversal. Below these two key resistance levels, the short-selling advantage is obvious. The strong degree of this wave of big short-selling market from the high of 2955 to the 2830 line is obvious to all.
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Gold short selling hits the target accuratelyRegarding the current market situation, first of all, the downward momentum in the golden hour chart is still intact, and the upper pressure level focuses on the 2880 line. In the 4H cycle, although the K-line ran below the Bollinger mid-track, the Bollinger closed, stopped falling and stabilized in the short term, and you cannot blindly chase shorts. The intraday operations will be handled according to shocks. The top will focus on the pressure of 2875-2885, relying on the pressure to rebound and go short. The bottom will gradually look to 2846 and 2832! However, we should also pay attention to gold today. If gold falls for the first time and touches 2845-2835, we can try to go long in small batches.
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3.3-day gold latest trend analysis and online guidanceTrump's latest tariff speech overshadowed the impact of signs of economic growth slowdown, boosted the US dollar, and caused gold prices to continue to fall. As of now, the lowest is around 2833. If tariff measures trigger a full-scale trade war, the global economy may fall into recession, and gold as a safe-haven asset will also be supported in the long term. However, as countries reach an agreement through negotiations to ease trade tensions, risk aversion may weaken, the support for gold prices will decline, and gold may fall further in the market outlook.
Today, gold opened high, reaching a high of around 2876. It is currently in a state of shock. From a technical point of view, the gold market is currently in an extremely weak state in all cycles, especially the daily cycle has now fallen below the support point of the Bollinger middle track, and the K line has a large negative state. According to this state, gold has now turned from extremely strong to extremely weak. If it continues to fall, pay attention to the low point of last week near 2832, so at the beginning of this week, we need to pay attention to the continuity of the decline in the daily cycle.
After three consecutive trading days of decline last week, the lower Bollinger band opened. Logically, this strength should continue. The current rebound is suppressed near 2880. As long as this suppression point is not broken, there is room for continued decline, but the current indicators are likely to diverge. In the short term, as long as the rebound exceeds 2880, there is still room for the Bollinger band to close. Specific operation idea: first follow the trend and finish the short position. Although it opened higher on Monday, we will prompt the short position around 2865-2875 on the weekend. There is also a 10-point profit in the morning. The current low has stopped rebounding around 2832, which shows that this position still has certain support. At the beginning of this week, you can rely on this position to see the rebound. If it does not break 2880, it is still necessary to go short first. If it does not break 2880, you still have to go short first.
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Gold shorts are still at home next, and gold will continue to beIt is reasonable that gold rose in the early trading for risk aversion, but gold did not break through the resistance of 2877, but rose and fell. Then the rise of gold for risk aversion may be digested, and gold will continue to be short. Gold 2868-2875 can be directly shorted!
The 1-hour moving average of gold is still dead cross downward short arrangement divergence. Although the gold bulls seem to rebound strongly in the case of risk aversion, the situation has not been reversed yet. Gold will fall directly under the resistance of the moving average. Then the strength of gold bulls to continue to rise is not strong. Gold will continue to be short. Gold 2868-2875 can be directly shorted first.
The market changes rapidly. Gold bulls cannot turn the tide in the case of risk aversion. Then gold bulls may only be short-lived. Gold shorts will still be the main field in the future. Gold will continue to be short. However, gold should also pay attention to one thing today. If it does not fall for a long time, then the 1-hour moving average of gold may start to turn around, so it is necessary to give up the short first, and then readjust the thinking. If it can fall smoothly in the early trading, then gold shorts will continue to be the main field of shorts today.
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Update gold today!Dear traders!
During the Asian session on Monday, gold is attracting some buyers, aiming for the $2,900 level. Geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to support the precious metal while putting pressure on the US dollar, further aiding gold’s short-term recovery.
However, from a technical perspective, gold remains below the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating that the bearish trend is still in control. The key resistance zone at $2,892 - $2,895 could be a crucial area where sellers re-enter the market. If gold fails to break above this level, we may see a renewed downward move, reinforcing the dominance of the bears.
Gold may drop to 2800, follow me and short gold!!Brothers, yesterday was "Black Friday". Gold went up and down, but it broke through many supports, so the trading rhythm next week will still be mainly shorting gold.
At present, gold stopped falling and rebounded after hitting around 2830, and finally closed at around 2858. Although it has recovered most of its lost ground, gold is not considered strong as long as it is below 2860, and the rebound can only be regarded as a technical rebound repair. Over the weekend, there was another unstable news from Russia and Ukraine. Gold may have room to continue its upward trend due to the influence of the news. However, I predict that even if gold continues to rebound, it will still encounter obstacles at 2880. Gold may have room to continue to rise with the help of the news, but I expect that even if gold continues to rebound, it will still be blocked at 2880. So in terms of trading, we first consider ambush gold short trading below 2880. If gold can fall below 2830, then gold will inevitably continue to the 2820-2810 area, or even 2800.
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Sorry, I choose to short gold in this round!!!Every time I write an analysis, I hope that my friends who read it can gain something. Gold fell again on Friday to a new low. Gold fell sharply again on Friday and hit a new low. In the 4H cycle, it bottomed out and rebounded due to the news at the end of the day. Although gold prices hit a low of 2832 in late trading, they ushered in a wave of rebound. However, because the price is still running in the middle of the Bollinger Bands and below the short-term 10 moving average, it has driven the short-term moving average downward to the 2866-2888 area. In the domain, other cyclical indicators maintain a short position, and the overall downward trend of Bollinger Bands intensifies. However, the macd indicator fast line turns upward, failing to give short sellers downward momentum, and the RSI indicator intentionally strengthens the upward potential above the 30 axis. Therefore, at the 4-hour level, the overall downward trend of gold prices after short-term correction can still be seen. As long as the rebound is not strong, gold still has room to fall. Then next week's opening will focus on the resistance near 2880, but as long as it is still under pressure and blocked below 2880, then gold can continue to be short. If gold breaks through 2880 strongly, then it is necessary to adjust its thinking. Pay attention to news changes over the weekend, and we will do further analysis on Monday.
Finally, whether you are a novice trader, or you want to maintain a stable trading win rate to get more generous returns, or you want to create a valuable and free life through trading, or you are now deeply troubled by losses, you can find what you need at the bottom of the article, and wish all of us all the best in trading! Have a good weekend, brothers!!!
The direction today is short!On Saturday, the United States and Ukraine had differences in their opinions on the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, which is definitely good for gold in the short term. The price rose in the early trading, which is a fermentation release of the news. After the price rush is over, the shorts will naturally turn back. Even if you want to short at a high level, the trend is tortuous. It is not that a wave of news can reverse the downward trend of gold prices. You must intervene at the key price and do it. At this time, you must dare to short. Today, the price is 2865-2875 and go short directly! The direction today is to identify the short! Many news in the short term are just smoke bombs, don't be affected!
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Gold Price ActionHello Traders!
It's time to focus on Gold . Over the past two months, Gold has been in a strong uptrend , consistently forming Rally Base Rally (RBR) patterns. However, we are now seeing a shift in market structure . The price has recently rejected a new RBR formation and is beginning to create a Drop Base Drop (DBD) pattern.
Trading Strategy:
Swing Traders: This is a good opportunity to open a sell position and hold it as the bearish trend develops.
Day Traders: Follow the daily market direction , but maintain a bearish bias .
Key Points to Remember:
The market is currently bearish . Focus on sell trades only until the market structure changes.
We've seen strong demand over the past two months, but now it's supply's turn .
The USD is strengthening , which supports a bearish gold market .
Tips for Consistent Trading:
Keep your analysis simple . Avoid overcomplicating your charts.
Use multi-timeframe analysis to align your trades with the overall trend .
Avoid overtrading and strictly follow your risk management rules .
Remember, market structures repeat themselves. Stick to the process and trust your strategy.
Wishing you all the best of luck and happy trading! Stay disciplined and trade smart.
Thank you!
Gold Turning Bearish on H4Gold trading at 2866.xx
It failed to hold above suggested weekly levels 2953/2958 by making high that was expected weekly resistance on long term charts that achieved low of 2832 on last Friday.
Now as per H4 charts gold is changing bullish direction that started on Jan 2025 to corrective or sideways direction with expected resistance around 2907/2916 that limit the upsides upon test and correct gold further to 2839/2831 that is my initial Goal now.
Please note failing to hold 2831/2830 may open 2790/2756.
Buyers should work with cautions
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 2,879.45
1st Support: 2,788.35
1st Resistance: 2,952.32
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Gold📌 **Sell:**
✔ In short-term timeframes (M1, M5, M15), both MACD and Stochastic indicate overbought conditions and a potential downward correction.
✔ The M30 timeframe is still in an uptrend, but a pullback to the downside is possible.
🎯 **Conclusion:**
Success rate for selling: ✅ **70%** (more reliable than buying in the short term).
📌 **Strategy:** Short-term selling with a tight stop-loss and a corrective target towards lower support levels.
📌 **Buy:**
✔ In H1 and H4 timeframes, signs of a trend reversal are emerging, but MACD has not yet given a solid confirmation.
✔ If MACD turns bullish on H1 and Stochastic exits oversold territory, buying will be a safer option.
🎯 **Conclusion:**
Success rate for buying: ✅ **55%** (higher risk, requiring more confirmation).
📌 **Strategy:** Wait for MACD confirmation on H1, then enter a buy position upon resistance breakout.
🚀 **Final Recommendation:**
🔹 Enter short-term sell positions in lower timeframes with a tight stop-loss and proper risk management.
🔹 Wait for a confirmed buy signal on H1 and H4, as MACD has not yet turned fully bullish.
🚀 **Short-term selling (scalping) is more probable**, but additional confirmation is needed for a buy position.
### **Suggested Targets Based on Timeframes & MACD + Stochastic Analysis**
🔴 📉 **Sell Targets:**
Considering overbought conditions in lower timeframes and a potential downward correction, the best sell targets based on different timeframes are:
✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2850 (Short-term support in M5 & M15)
✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2842 (Key support in M30)
✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2830 - 2825 (Strong support in H1, aligning with the moving average)
🛑 **Stop Loss for Sell Positions:**
🔹 **2862** (Breakout of the current resistance in M15 & M30)
🔹 **2868** (If the price reaches this level, the trend may reverse)
---
🟢 📈 **Buy Targets:**
A **full confirmation from MACD in H1 and H4** is required for a buy setup. However, if the price rebounds from the **2830 support zone**, the following targets are expected:
✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2865 (Initial resistance in H1)
✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2880 - 2890 (Strong resistance zone in H4)
✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2915 (Long-term target if resistance levels are broken)
🛑 **Stop Loss for Buy Positions:**
🔹 **2825** (If this level is broken, the downtrend is likely to continue)
🚀 **Suggested Strategy:**
📌 **Short-term sell (scalping) from 2857**, targeting **2850 and 2842**, with a **stop loss at 2862**.
📌 **Buy if confirmed at 2830 - 2825**, targeting **2865 and 2880**, with a **stop loss at 2825**.
🔍 **Important:** Before entering positions, confirm with **trading volume and candlestick patterns in higher timeframes**. 🚀
Follow me to short gold and earn your first pot of gold this weeThis week, Trump's latest tariff speech overshadowed the impact of signs of economic slowdown, boosted the US dollar, and caused gold prices to continue to fall. If tariff measures trigger a full-scale trade war, the global economy may fall into recession, and gold as a safe-haven asset will also be supported in the long term. Today, Monday, gold rebounded to a high of around 2877 at the opening, and then fell to 2865 and fluctuated. Over the weekend, we gave an analysis strategy for today's opening. Over the weekend, we analyzed that the upper short-term suppression was around 2880. If you followed my trading strategy, you would short gold around 2875-2877. I believe you have now made more than 100pips in profit. Congratulations on successfully getting your first pot of gold in this week's transaction!
Regarding the next trading rhythm, short-term suppression at the top will focus on the area around 2880. If gold does not break through 2880, then we will still focus on shorting gold.
Finally, whether you are a novice entry-level trader, or you want to maintain a stable trading win rate to obtain more generous returns, or you want to create a valuable and free life through trading, or you are now deeply troubled by losses, you can find what you need at the bottom of the article, and I wish all of us all the best in trading!
Gold price today: The decline continues!Dear traders! What do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD – Buy or Sell?
Yesterday, gold continued its downward trend, dropping $27 from its highest point in the previous session at $2,885 per ounce. On March 1, gold closed the week negatively at $2,858 per ounce.
The main reason for this sharp decline in gold prices was the strengthening US dollar. The USD Index surged to 107.66, its highest level in the past 10 days, as financial markets grew concerned over the US administration's aggressive trade policies.
Specifically, former President Donald Trump confirmed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, effective March 4. Additionally, he announced an extra 10% tariff on Chinese goods. This policy has fueled uncertainty in the market, pushing investors toward the USD as a safe-haven asset, which has negatively impacted gold.
XAGUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 31.42–31.54, a pullback resistance.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 30.87, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 32.00, a pullback resistance.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold short-term trend analysis. Trading range is 2850~2900Gold ended its 9-day winning streak on the weekly chart. The weekly chart fell sharply for the first time since December. The retracement tested the MA5/7-day moving average, and the RSI indicator Zhonghui's central axis value was 50. The daily chart adjusted downward for four consecutive trading days. The MA10/7-day moving average formed a high of 2916 and opened downward and gradually moved down to 2903/12. At the same time, the 5-day moving average moved down to 2885, and the RSI indicator central axis was adjusted. The price was running in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band.
The price of the short-term four-hour chart was in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band channel, and the moving average opened downward. However, after the hourly and four-hour charts RSI indicators tested the 20 value and formed an overbought closing on Friday, they turned upward. Coupled with the stimulus of the weekend market news, gold opened at 2858 in the Asian session and rose sharply to 2876. A strong counterattack and pull-up was formed. It is not suitable to buy in the sharp rise of the Asian session at the beginning of the week. The 2893/2920 trend line of the descending channel has not formed a break, so the transaction is still based on the trend line waiting for high selling.
From the current market, even if the gold price may fall in the short term, we should also be alert to the weak NFP employment data or slowing wage growth this week, which may rekindle the market's expectations of the Fed's accelerated rate cuts and promote the rebound of gold prices. If it breaks through $2,900, it is expected to restart the bull trend. If the negative NFP data will strengthen the Fed's position of maintaining high interest rates, gold may be further under pressure to explore the $2,800 support. After the technical break, the short-selling momentum may be accelerated, increasing the risk of short-term downside.
Then for today's operation, the market will definitely stir up more waves. In the case of a sharp rise at the opening, if 2880 is not broken, we can still expect a fall back to the 2860-2850 area. In other words, the long position still needs to wait for 2860-2850 to stabilize before seeking entry. On the upside, if it breaks through and stabilizes above 2880, you can buy directly, and look for selling opportunities when it is blocked at 2890-2900.
Of course, the possibility of malicious reshuffles today cannot be ruled out. It would be better to compress the shock range to the range of 2900-2850, and then wait for the trend to become clear before following the market.
Key points:
First support: 2860, second support: 2853, third support: 2843
First resistance: 2880, second resistance: 2888, third resistance: 2896
Operation ideas:
Buy: 2850-2853, stop: 2842, target: 2870-2880;
Sell: 2878-2880, stop: 2889, target: 2860-2850;
XAUUSD H1 | Be arish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 2871, which is an overlap resistance close to the 50% Fibo resistance.
Our take profit will be at 28050.48, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2891/37, above the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Monthly, Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, finding support at the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart. Due to the sharp decline last week, the 20,500 to 20,300 range was a technical rebound zone.
On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, bringing the index below the 5-day moving average and forming a range with the 10-day MA. For March, the 3-day and 5-day moving averages will act as resistance, while the 10-day MA serves as support. Since the monthly MACD is still above the signal line, even if corrections occur this month, rebound potential remains, meaning traders should be cautious about chasing shorts aggressively.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq fell below the 20-week MA, accelerating the sell-off. The MACD continues to slope downward, keeping further downside potential open, but since the signal line is still above zero, the index may consolidate between the 3-week and 5-week moving averages, making a range-bound strategy effective this week.
On the daily chart, both MACD and the signal line have dropped below zero, confirming a bearish market structure. The 21,000 level was broken decisively with a large bearish candle, meaning that if price struggles to reclaim this level, further downside toward the 240-day moving average is possible. If the Nasdaq falls to the 240-day MA, traders should prepare for a potential technical bounce, as historically, this level has provided support. Reviewing moving average dynamics could be helpful for understanding this scenario.
On the 240-minute chart, Friday’s low produced a strong rebound, making the MACD's potential golden cross a key signal to watch. As long as the recent lows hold, buying opportunities may exist, but since the signal line remains far above zero, selling pressure may persist on any rallies. Traders should avoid chasing long positions and focus on range trading. This week, traders should keep an eye on China’s National People's Congress (NPC) on Tuesday and the U.S. Employment Report on Friday, as both events could increase market volatility later in the week.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower within a narrow range, continuing its sideways movement. On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, causing the MACD to turn downward while still maintaining a range-bound structure. Although the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buyers are still attempting to hold support within this range. For now, oil should be traded as a large range-bound market.
On the weekly chart, last week’s doji candle suggests indecision, and this week, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, triggering a sell signal. However, since a weekly close is needed to confirm this, the possibility of a trend reversal remains open. If oil continues lower this week, the sell signal will be fully confirmed, but if price rebounds, last week’s doji candle could mark a reversal point. Key bullish catalysts include Trump’s potential tariffs on Canada and Mexico, as well as the possibility of stricter oil sanctions on Venezuela. Meanwhile, bearish factors include economic slowdown fears reducing oil demand.
On the daily chart, breaking above $70 remains the key bullish trigger, but since the MACD has yet to form a golden cross, confirming an end to the downtrend is premature. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, indicating a potential recovery after a pullback. For now, traders should buy dips cautiously, but breaking above $70 remains the key factor for further upside confirmation.
Gold
Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, gold has fallen from previous highs to the lower Bollinger Band, meaning that additional downside (overshooting below support) remains possible.
On the monthly chart, gold formed a doji candle, indicating uncertainty. If gold found support at the 3-day MA last month, this month, traders should watch for support at the 5-day MA, as it could provide a buying opportunity on pullbacks.
On the weekly chart, gold has fallen to the 5-week MA, meaning that it has entered a range-bound structure. Since the lower support levels are still open, traders should avoid chasing long positions at highs and focus on buying lower. The U.S. Employment Report is due on Friday, which could increase volatility for gold.
On the daily chart, while the MACD is declining, the signal line remains well above zero, meaning that even if prices fall, rebound attempts are likely. On the 240-minute chart, further downside toward the 240-day moving average remains possible, but traders should watch for bottoming signals and potential support. If the MACD forms a golden cross, a strong rebound could follow, so monitoring short-term momentum shifts will be key.
February marked a transition to a range-bound market after an extended uptrend, suggesting that March could be a period of consolidation or further downside extension. Geopolitical risks have increased since Trump took office, and market volatility is rising due to key global events. Traders should focus on risk management and avoid overexposure. Wishing you a successful start to March! 🚀
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Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT) Technical Analysis
1. 1H Chart (Higher Timeframe Trend)
• Downtrend Reversal: Price was in a strong downtrend but is now bouncing off a key support near 2827-2830.
• MACD: Histogram is reducing bearish momentum, suggesting a possible trend reversal.
• RSI (14): Rising from oversold conditions (~54.89), indicating bullish momentum building up.
2. 15-Min Chart (Intraday Confirmation)
• Reversal Pattern: A sharp recovery from lows around 2849, forming higher lows.
• MACD: Bullish crossover with histogram turning positive, confirming bullish momentum.
• RSI (12): Nearing overbought levels (~68.23), but still has room for continuation.
3. 3-Min Chart (Entry Timing)
• Pullback to Support: Price is consolidating after a strong breakout above 2862.
• MACD: Still showing bullish structure but a minor pullback is visible.
• RSI (10): Neutral at 50.89, meaning price is neither overbought nor oversold, ideal for a continuation entry.
Fundamental Analysis
• Gold Demand: Potentially rising due to economic uncertainty, with investors looking for safe-haven assets.
• USD Weakness: If upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, job reports) indicate a slowing U.S. economy, gold could gain strength.
• Market Sentiment: If risk-off sentiment continues, gold could push higher.
Trade Execution
Position: Long XAU/USD
• Entry: 2865 (After minor pullback confirmation)
• Stop Loss: 2855 (Below recent pullback low)
• Take Profit: 2890 (Near previous resistance level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2.5:1
Rationale
• The uptrend reversal is forming on the 1H and 15M charts.
• Momentum indicators (MACD & RSI) support a bullish move.
• Strong demand and potential USD weakness could fuel further upside.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
New Month, New Week, New Opportunities on Gold! looking for price to flip back to bullish this week but we need to wait for a break in structure of a possible sweep of the lows first before we see it. Monday might just be flaky so being hesitant until Tues for the best move.
XAUUSD on Drop As Market is on bearish cycle after break of 2880 structural support & gives closing of weekly below the previous week candle.
What scanario we have?
▪️ if H4 candle remains below the structure support at 2880 then Market will reamin on selling side towards 2850 and 2842 in extension.
▪️on the other hand, at moment all concerns about closing of H4 candles at 2880.if 2880 suffer and invalidated and closes above 2881-83 this chart will be invalid and wait the correction to buy.
GOLD - Bearish Continuation Toward 2,840OANDA:XAUUSD is currently testing a key resistance zone within a well-defined descending channel, suggesting the potential for a bearish continuation. If price action confirms rejection at this level, we could see a move lower toward 2,840, which aligns with the channel’s midline. However, a breakout above this resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a shift in momentum.
This setup reflects the potential for a continuation of the prevailing downtrend. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! 📉🔥
