UPDATE XAUUSD DAILY PLAN – APRIL 2, 2025🦍 XAUUSD DAILY PLAN – APRIL 2, 2025
Feed: VANTAGE | Based on Price Action, SMC, OB, FVG, Liquidity
🌍 Macro & Political Context
📰 Geopolitical tension remains high: war in Ukraine, Trump tariffs = gold stays strong as safe-haven
💸 Inflation concerns + central bank demand continue fueling bullish pressure
🧠 Gold printed an ATH @ 3148, but market is now reacting with clear Smart Money footprints
🧠 SMC Structure Overview
🔺 3335–3340 → Liquidity/Accumulation Zone → Not a sell zone
🔻 3107–3115 → Strong rejection zone → Valid demand
📊 Price is compressing between a major supply and key liquidity below
📌 Smart Money may grab liquidity below before making the next bullish move
🎯 TRADE SCENARIOS – SNIPER SETUPS
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 1 – Trend Continuation Entry
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 3115 – 3120
Confluences:
Bullish OB on M15
FVG in discount
Strong reaction from this zone yesterday
Sell-side liquidity swept at 3112
Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH + engulfing on M5
SL: Below 3107
TP1: 3135
TP2: 3145
TP3: 3150+ (ATH retest)
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 2 – Deep Discount Entry
Bias: Bullish (Liquidity grab + imbalance fill)
Entry: 3085 – 3092
Confluences:
H1 FVG + unmitigated OB
FIBO 61.8%
Below key liquidity at 3100
Confirmation: M1/M5 reversal pattern + CHoCH
SL: Below 3075
TP1: 3115
TP2: 3135
TP3: 3148+
🔴 SELL SCENARIO 1 – Fakeout Above ATH
Bias: Short-term reversal
Entry: 3146 – 3150
Confluences:
Sweep of ATH @3148
H4 supply zone
Possible overextension / inducement
Confirmation: M5 rejection + CHoCH
SL: Above 3155
TP1: 3130
TP2: 3115
TP3: 3100
🔴 SELL SCENARIO 2 – Break in Structure Setup
Bias: Trend shift / Lower High
Entry: 3127 – 3132
Confluences:
LH formed under 3140
BOS on M15
Rejection from OB retest
Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + rejection wick
SL: Above 3136
TP1: 3112
TP2: 3092
TP3: 3080
🧲 Key Liquidity & Imbalance Zones
Zone Type
3335–3340 🔒 Liquidity / Accumulation
3148–3150 💥 Buy-side Liquidity (fakeout)
3107–3115 🟢 Demand zone (bullish base)
3085–3092 🔵 Imbalance + OB + 61.8% FIBO
3075 🧨 Stop hunt / liquidity clearance
🧘 Final Notes
📌 Patience > Prediction
🧠 Wait for confirmation. Don’t force the entry.
🗞️ News and Trump can still throw wild cards — stay reactive.
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#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SniperTrading #FVG #OrderBlocks
Metals
Middle East heats up, GOLD rises more than 20 USDIn the Asian trading session, the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly jumped by more than 20 USD in the short term and the gold price just touched 3,135 USD/ounce. The situation in the Middle East suddenly became tense and the US Department of Defense sent more aircraft carriers and bombers to the Middle East, increasing risk aversion, which boosted the demand for safe havens.
The latest news from Bloomberg News in the US said that in the context of the US declaring to continue the fight against the Iran-backed Houthi rebels and escalating tensions with Iran over Iran's nuclear program, US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth ordered the dispatch of more troops to the Middle East, including the USS Carl Vinson aircraft carrier strike group and many fighter jets.
The Carl Vinson will arrive in the region after completing the Indo-Pacific exercise. Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell said in a statement Tuesday that the Defense Department will also extend the deployment of the USS Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group in the region. The rare deployment of two aircraft carriers echoes a show of force last year under the Biden administration.
"Secretary Hegseth made clear once again that if Iran or its proxies threaten U.S. personnel and interests in the region, the United States will take decisive action to protect our people," Parnell said.
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Monday that any attack by the United States or Israel would be met with "decisive retaliation." US President Donald Trump has previously threatened to bomb Iran if it does not sign a deal to give up its nuclear weapons.
Last week, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said there would be no direct talks with the United States as long as the Trump administration continued its "military threats." "If there is no deal, the bombing will come," Trump warned in an interview last weekend.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold tested the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level and declined slightly after receiving support from the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level. As we have communicated to our readers in previous publications, given the current fundamental context and technical chart conditions, further price declines are possible, but should only be considered as short-term corrections and not a trend. Or we can consider the downward corrections as another buying opportunity.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, there is still a long-term main uptrend, with the main support from the EMA21 and the short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel.
For now, gold is capped by the $3,135 level, once this level is broken above gold, there will be conditions to continue to refresh the all-time high set on yesterday's trading day with the next target being the $3,172 price point of the 1% Fibonacci extension.
During the day, the bullish outlook of gold will be highlighted by the following technical levels.
Support: $3,108 – $3,100 – $3,086
Resistance: $3,135 – $3,149 – $3,172
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3171 - 3169⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3175
→Take Profit 1 3163
↨
→Take Profit 2 3157
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3085 - 3087⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3081
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3099
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures:
Resistance 1: 3149 - 3151 area
Support 1: 3099 - 3104 area
Support 2: 3048 - 3057 area
Support 3: 3024 - 3036 area
Support 4: 2997 - 3001 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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INTRADAY MOVEMENT EXPECTEDi can see still there is liquidity above at the poc of the weekly volume
but if the price can cross up the level it can visit the next resistance above
so if the price at london session cross down the value area i will expect visit the levels shown on the chart as support and make the rejection
so we have to follow the plan and and use the levels on the chart risk management safe the profit secure the orders after the price move stop at break even
we wish happy trade for all
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 3,127.89
1st Support: 3,084.91
1st Resistance: 3,146.14
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XAUUSD M15 | Bearish Fall Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 3133.65, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Our take profit will be at 3119.35, a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 3150.50, which is above the swing high resistance.
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. Although a sell signal briefly appeared in the previous session, the MACD failed to form a bearish crossover with the signal line, instead finding support and rebounding. The index strongly bounced from its low, reaching the 5-day moving average (MA) before closing with an upper wick.
Since the MACD is supporting the signal line and potentially resuming an upward trend, the key level to watch is whether the price can break through the strong resistance at 19,625–19,675. As long as the MACD does not confirm a bearish crossover, it is advisable to trade within the range.
On the 240-minute chart, the index rebounded from the bottom while generating a buy signal. However, with strong resistance around 19,675, if the price pulls back once more, it could either form a double bottom or resume a strong upward move from a single-bottom structure.
Although the MACD has crossed above the signal line (golden cross) on the 240-minute chart, it is still far from the zero line, suggesting that further pullbacks may occur after additional gains. It is important to avoid chasing the price and instead focus on buying dips at key support levels while maintaining a range-trading approach.
Crude Oil
Oil closed flat, facing resistance at $72. On the daily chart, the price broke above the 240-day MA and is now testing resistance from a previous supply zone. It is likely to consolidate within a range while pulling up the short-term moving averages.
The daily MACD has moved above the zero line, lifting the signal line as well. If the price remains in a range-bound consolidation, the signal line will eventually rise above the zero line, further supporting a bullish structure.
Key upcoming events include today’s oil inventory report and tomorrow’s OPEC meeting, which could act as catalysts for either a continuation of the rally or a pullback. Since there is still a gap between the 3-day and 5-day MAs, range trading remains the best approach.
On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum continues, but given the heavy supply at previous resistance levels, a period of sideways movement or a pullback is likely.
If a bearish crossover occurs on the 240-minute chart, oil could drop below $70. For now, monitor whether the uptrend can hold, and if it does, consider trading within the range while managing downside risks.
Gold
Gold closed lower after an overshoot to the upside. On the daily chart, the price was in an overextended high position, with a significant gap from the 3-day and 5-day MAs. After a brief rally, selling pressure emerged, leading to a bearish close.
Since gold has yet to properly test the 5-day MA, a pullback to this level remains a possibility. However, the daily MACD is still trending upward, and liquidity remains strong, increasing the likelihood of a one-way rally unless the 10-day MA is broken. Short positions should be approached with caution.
On the 240-minute chart, a bearish crossover has occurred, leading to a pullback from the high. However, since the uptrend remains intact, even if the MACD crosses below the signal line, the fact that it is still above the zero line suggests a potential rebound.
The best strategy is to focus on buying dips at key support levels, as the market is likely to consolidate before resuming a trend move. Be cautious when trading within a range-bound market.
With Friday’s U.S. employment report approaching, market volatility remains elevated. Trump’s tariff policies are increasing concerns about inflation and a potential economic slowdown. The interpretation of upcoming economic data will be crucial in determining market direction.
Risk management remains essential, so trade cautiously and stay prepared.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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SILVER Trend Following Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support line and the price
Is about to retest it so
We are bullish biased
And after the retest we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold running out of Gas to keep pushing up!I have been waiting for a solid pull back. Price looks like it wants to give it up. But since it is so bullish I have to wait for it to show its hand first before assuming. If price wants to continue with the strong bullish action I feel they need to come back and correct some of the price action first. Looking for signs they want to continue for Asian Session.
GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025👇
🦁 GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025 📆
📍 Macro & Political Context
🗞️ Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing war in Ukraine + fresh tariff threats from Trump are sparking investor fear. Safe-haven flows into gold continue.
💰 Fundamentals: Inflationary fears remain strong. Market eyes the US NFP later this week. Fed is silent... too silent. 👀
🌍 Central banks are still buying gold – clear sign of institutional appetite.
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend: Bullish HTF ✅
Current Price: $3,113
All-Time High: $3,148 (Reached recently – likely liquidity swept!)
Last Valid BOS: H1 and H4 both show bullish structure, but a correction is brewing. 🍃
📊 Key Technical Zones & Confluences
🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Below
📌 $3,100 – Clear liquidity pool (equal lows + psychological level)
🔥 Below $3,100 to $3,085 – Strong imbalance zone + unmitigated FVG
🧲 Expectation: Price may grab liquidity here before next leg up
🔷 Imbalance + Discount Zone
📉 $3,085–$3,095 – Massive H1/H4 imbalance. Could be a POI if price breaks $3,100
🧱 Valid Demand OB (H1) inside this zone + FIBO 61.8% retracement from last impulse
🔺 Premium Rejection
🧱 H1/H4 OB near $3,135–$3,145 = Price sharply rejected = probable redistribution zone
✂️ This was also the weekly high, which got swept = liquidity taken
🎯 Plan of Action
🟢 Scenario 1: Long Entry from Discount Zone
"Let them take the liquidity, we take the reversal!" 💸
Entry Zone: $3,085 – $3,095
Confluence:
Valid H1 OB (confirmed with PA)
Imbalance zone
FIBO 61.8% + structure break
Sell-side liquidity sweep from $3,100
Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + Bullish engulfing or low volume sweep
SL: Below $3,078
TP1: $3,130
TP2: $3,145
TP3: $3,150 (liquidity magnet again)
🔴 Scenario 2: Short if Price Pushes Back to $3,140+
Catch the premium short 🧨
Entry Zone: $3,140 – $3,148
Confluence:
All-time high sweep (liquidity trap)
HTF OB rejection
Weakness shown on M15
Confirmation: M5-M15 CHoCH + engulfing
SL: Above $3,155
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,100
TP3: $3,085
🧠 Final Notes
📌 Be reactive, not predictive – wait for PA confirmation at POIs
📰 Watch news – especially unexpected geopolitical catalysts or Fed surprise
🧘♂️ Stick to risk management. At ATHs, volatility is high and manipulation common.
👉 If this breakdown helped you, don’t forget to FOLLOW for more sniper setups and smash that ❤️ LIKE button to show some love!
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XAU/USD Gold Bullish Momentum – Targeting $3,153+?📊 XAU/USD Daily Analysis – Bullish Continuation in Ascending Channel
🔹 Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a well-defined ascending channel, respecting both dynamic support and resistance levels. The trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming since late 2024. Currently, price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,153 – $3,200 (potential breakout target)
Current Price: $3,020 (holding above key mid-range support)
Support Levels:
Channel Midline Support: ~$2,980
38.2% Fibonacci Retracement: ~$2,900 (potential corrective zone)
Channel Bottom Support: ~$2,700 (strong demand area)
🔹 Bullish Scenario 🟢
A break and close above $3,153 would confirm a bullish breakout, opening the door for a rally toward $3,200 and beyond.
Momentum remains strong, with price structure favoring continued upside as long as it stays above the midline of the channel.
🔹 Bearish Scenario 🔴
Failure to break above $3,153 could trigger a short-term pullback toward $2,980 - $2,900, where buyers may re-enter.
A confirmed breakdown below the ascending channel would invalidate the bullish setup and expose $2,700 - $2,600 as potential downside targets.
🔹 Conclusion & Trade Considerations
Bias: Bullish as long as price remains inside the ascending channel.
Entry Considerations: Retest of $3,020 - $2,980 as support could offer a high-probability long setup.
Breakout Confirmation: A daily close above $3,153 strengthens the bullish case for continuation.
NFP + tariffs = market chaos? In addition to tariff rumors, reports, and retaliations, this week’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) could add even more volatility to markets.
Gold continues to hit record-high after record-high (best quarterly performance since 1986), could be the most important asset to watch.
The market consensus expects the US economy to have added 128,000 jobs in March, down from February’s 151,000.
Danske Bank is more cautious, perhaps responding to Consumer confidence deteriorating to its lowest level since 2013, projecting just 110,000.
Trading Economics is even more bearish, forecasting an increase of only 80,000 jobs. What do they know that others don’t? If they're right, markets may not be priced for it.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lie sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,124.63
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,146.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 3,097.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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XAUUSD: Flashing a strong sell signal.Gold is highly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.258, MACD = 52.020, ADX = 63.587) and today is having its first strongly bearish 4H candle. This is because the price hit the top of March's Channel Up and got rejected. The HH should now give way to a bearish wave for a HL on the 4H MA50. This is a validated sell opportunity to go for yet another -1.80% decline and target the bottom of the pattern (TP = 3,093).
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Copper is red hot right now. Here’s whyCopper’s COMEX price hit a new high on 26th March making the red metal red hot right now. The first three months of 2025 have seen industrial metals make noticeable gains with the Bloomberg Industrial Metals Subindex up 10.55% year to date1. Copper’s gains, however, stand out for numerous reasons.
Tariffs
The additional premium of COMEX prices over the London Metal Exchange (LME) prices reflects aggressive buying by US traders importing copper in anticipation of a possible 25% tariff on copper imports. This speculation has been fuelled by President Trump last month ordering a probe into the threat to national security from the imports of copper. As aluminium imports were also recently subjected to tariffs, markets are speculating that copper might be next.
This rush has triggered a shift in global flows, with metal moving out of LME warehouses and into US Comex facilities, where copper is held on a “duty paid” basis to avoid future levies. As traders front-run potential policy changes, this behaviour is tightening global supply and fuelling price gains, adding to a market already under pressure from rising demand and a looming supply squeeze.
Demand
China has given an additional boost to copper prices having announced a new action plan to boost domestic consumption by raising household incomes. The stimulus is seen as a positive signal for copper demand, especially as retail sales have already shown stronger-than-expected growth early in the year. China has also set itself a GDP growth target of 5% for 2025, and so far this year, its manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) has remained in expansionary territory — a sign that the economy is holding steady. With momentum building across consumption and manufacturing, copper is getting a fresh tailwind despite lingering weakness in the property sector.
Further support for industrial metals, including copper, has come from Germany’s recently unveiled €1 trillion infrastructure and defence spending plan — a move that will inevitably drive greater demand for base metals.
Supply
Supply tightness in the copper market is being driven by several structural and emerging challenges. Exceptionally low processing fees—caused by an oversupply of smelting capacity, particularly in China—have placed financial strain on global smelters, prompting companies like Glencore to halt operations at its facility in the Philippines. Looking ahead, Indonesia’s proposal to shift from a flat 5% copper mining royalty to a progressive rate of 10–17% risks discouraging future production growth. These supply-side pressures come as the International Copper Study Group reported a slight global copper deficit in January 2025. While a similar shortfall at the start of 2024 eventually turned into a surplus, this time the combination of weakening smelting economics, policy headwinds, and solid demand could make the current deficit more persistent and impactful.
Several major copper miners have recently downgraded their production estimates for 2025, adding further pressure to an already tight market. Glencore suspended output at its Altonorte smelter in Chile2, while Freeport-McMoRan delayed refined copper sales from its Manyar smelter in Indonesia due to a fire3. Anglo American expects lower output from its Chilean operations amid maintenance and water challenges, and First Quantum Minerals faces reduced grades and scheduled downtime4. These disruptions are likely to tighten global copper concentrate supply, potentially widening the market’s supply-demand imbalance just as demand continues to strengthen.
Sources:
1 Source: Bloomberg, based on total return index as of 28 March 2025.
2 Reuters, March 26, 2025
3 Reuters, October 16, 2024
4 Metal.com. February 14, 2025
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the Markets today, with our analysis playing out perfectly completing our 1h chart idea.
After completing 3090, 3103 and 3117, we stated that the lock above opened 3128 and just fell short and we were looking to buy dips to complete this target. This played out perfectly hitting this target and completing the chart idea.
We will update a new 1h chart idea later this week and in the mean time, please refer to our multi time frame chart ideas (weekly), that we shared Sunday, which are still in play.
BULLISH TARGET
3090 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3090 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3103 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3103 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3117 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3117 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3128 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX