Metals
The Bullion on the Rise Again📊 FX:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Market Update
Hey traders,
While I couldn’t prepare our usual video analysis, here’s a detailed breakdown of the Gold market alongside chart snapshots.
Last week, Gold revisited the 2615 level, near the 38.2% Fibonacci zone , which turned out to be yet another bear trap. Many shorts got liquidated, as seen in the surge in short volume.
Thanks to our strategy, we stuck with the trend, entering at 2629 . We’re now running a strong 400 pips Open P/L , with Gold currently heading towards the 26.2% Fibonacci zone.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Minor resistance expected at 2685 and 2710 before reaching the 2750 target profit.
🔍 Fundamental Backup to Our Trade:
1️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions:
Escalating Middle East instability: Rebel forces ousted President Bashar al-Assad in Syria, heightening fears of broader regional uncertainty.
Safe-haven demand for Gold surged as investors sought security amidst these developments.
2️⃣ China's Gold Purchases:
China's central bank resumed gold acquisitions in November after a six-month break, providing additional bullish momentum.
3️⃣ Dovish U.S. Monetary Policy:
Friday’s U.S. jobs report indicated softening labor market conditions, fueling expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s final meeting this year.
Lower interest rates enhance Gold’s attractiveness as a non-yielding asset.
🔮 Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: Sustained geopolitical instability and dovish monetary policy may drive Gold above the 50-period SMA (~$2,678) and closer to our target.
Bearish: A reduction in geopolitical risk premium or sticky inflation could pressure Gold toward the 100-period SMA (~$2,586)- very unlikely.
Stay sharp, watch these levels, and trade smart! 💡
🧠 Let’s Collaborate!
What’s your take on GOLD this week? Share your ideas and charts below in comment. Let’s discuss whether we’re headed to new highs or revisiting support levels!
Cheers,
The NFX Team™ 💚
GOLD - Price can break mirror line and fall to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price broke $2585 level and entered to flat, where it continued to grow and reached $2720 level.
After this, price made a correction movement, after which some time traded and then bounced back.
Then Gold turned around and in a short time declined to $2585 level, after which started to move up between mirror line.
Price rose to $2720 level one more time and then broke it, thereby exiting from flat too and then continuing to grow.
But a not long time ago Gold started to decline and at the moment it trades almost near to mirror line.
Possibly, price can rise a little and then fall to $2720 level, breaking mirror line one more time.
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SILVER Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 30.136.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 31.006 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USD/JPY Hits Target Again! Massive 500 Pips Move! What's Next?By analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that the price has dropped precisely from the 156.75 zone, as anticipated in our analysis, and has hit the 154 target! The key demand zone is between 153 and 154.3, while the significant supply zones are 155.40, 157 to 158.2, and 158.8, respectively. The total return from this analysis has exceeded 500 pips so far! With your support, this analysis will be updated soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Latest Analysis :
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GOLD → Character changes, bearish premise emergesGOLD updates the low and tests trend support, testing the market and traders' nerves. The dollar is rebounding, putting pressure on the metal.
Gold is moving into a correction, gradually changing the bullish nature of the market to bearish under selling pressure due to growing demand for the dollar amid fears of a trade war over Trump's policies.
The issue of tariffs by the US is still open. Meanwhile, traders' attention is focused on data on durable goods orders and consumer confidence in the US, as well as the Fed meeting, the outcome of which will be announced on Wednesday.
Technically, after breaking the bullish structure, the price is testing the channel support. It is quite difficult to break this line from the first time and the price may form a correction to 2745, or to the imbalance zone, for example, to 2750- 2760 Fibo, before the market desire to sell resumes.
Resistance levels: 2745, 2751, 2760
Support levels: 2735 (trigger), 2717
If 2745 does not miss price and gold returns to 2735, then we should prepare for a break of trend support. In that case, an impulse to 2717 could form.
But, if 2745 does not hold the price, gold may test 2750 - 2760 before falling further.
Regards R. Linda!
SILVER BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONGwww.tradingview.com
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 30.831 area.
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Gold is waiting for resistance range to sell. Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2800, support below 2700
Four-hour resistance 2750, support below 2725-00
Gold operation suggestions: Gold hit a high of 2771 before the US market on Monday and then began to fall back, and the lowest hit 2730. Yesterday, the technical side of gold completed a wide range of long and short operations around the 2745 mark. After consolidation, it ushered in a suppression and fell sharply. Finally, the US market fell back and broke through the 2740 mark to stabilize near 2730. The daily K-line fell sharply and closed. The overall gold price encountered a stage of resistance at the 2785 mark and fell below the 2750 mark to usher in a deep adjustment. In the short term, the daily level double top suppression is expected to form above the 2780 mark. Yesterday, gold fell below the long and short wind watershed, so we will continue to wait for a rebound to sell, and we can choose to go long around 2700.
Today, the upper short-term resistance is around 2750. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be bearish. The lower target continues to focus on breaking new lows. The short-term support focuses on the 2718-25 line. The overall intraday relies on this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL: 2750near
SELL: 2725near
BUY: 2700near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
GOLD at Key Resistance: Will Sellers Take Control?OANDA:XAUUSD has reached a key resistance zone, an area where sellers have historically regained control. The ongoing bullish momentum may face exhaustion as price approaches this level, making it a potential turning point.
If bearish confirmation appears, such as rejection candles or a bearish engulfing pattern, I anticipate a pullback targeting the 2,740.000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. This setup reflects a possible short-term correction within the broader market context.
XAG/USD Channel Breakout (28.1.2025)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 29.26
2nd Support – 28.88
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce tot he 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,721.59
1st Support: 2,692.70
1st Resistance: 2,763.31
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ plunged to close lower, influenced by China’s Deepseek developments. On the weekly chart, the sell signal remained intact, and the gap-down movement pushed the MACD further downward, resulting in a sharp decline in the NASDAQ index. On the daily chart, a gap was created as a bearish candle formed with a high opening price. Given the moving average trends, breaching the 120-day moving average in the current range could trigger a downward wave, threatening the 240-day moving average as well.
However, the MACD on the daily chart has not yet crossed below the signal line (dead cross), so it’s worth observing whether the market rebounds to form a box range or continues its downward momentum. If the 120-day moving average is breached, a drop to the 240-day moving average is possible. It would also be prudent to consider levels as low as 19,800, which aligns with the 10-day moving average on the monthly chart and the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart.
On the 240-minute chart, a steep decline is evident, with the MACD and signal line falling sharply below the zero line. The angle suggests that further downward movement is likely, making sell strategies favorable during upward corrections. With the VIX index surging, volatility has intensified. Traders using one-contract strategies should consider scaling down their leverage—e.g., by using micro NASDAQ contracts or splitting positions into smaller increments like 0.01 lots through MetaTrader—allowing for more flexible risk management in these volatile conditions.
OIL
Oil closed lower, finding support at the 240-day moving average. This is a key level, as it overlaps with a prior resistance zone, making a pullback buy strategy effective in this range. However, the MACD has crossed below the signal line (dead cross), maintaining the sell signal, and this suggests that any rebound is likely to face significant pullbacks.
Rebounds are expected to occur within a large box range, with the market likely undergoing time corrections to align the moving averages. On the 240-minute chart, sell signals are evident. Even with further declines, the 240-minute chart indicates that the 240-day moving average could act as strong support, potentially allowing a rebound toward the 60-day moving average, which corresponds to approximately $76.
This aligns with a resistance level seen on the daily chart, making a pullback buy strategy advisable near this zone. Oil prices are also being influenced by the strengthening dollar, fueled by global market volatility. While AI-related factors have contributed to the dollar’s strength, the impact on oil prices is expected to be limited, with oil maintaining its own unique volatility.
GOLD
Gold plunged to close lower due to dollar strength amid heightened volatility. On the weekly chart, the MACD resumed its downward trajectory, with the gold price showing a steep decline. The MACD has not been able to cross above the signal line decisively, consistent with its pattern.
On the daily chart, it is critical to monitor whether the 10-day moving average provides support during the current downtrend. On the 240-minute chart, MACD divergence accompanied gold’s sharp decline. However, since the MACD and signal line are still above the zero line, there may be room for a rebound.
It’s essential to check for support and recovery near the 2,730 level. If prices rebound, gold could aim to test previous highs based on the daily chart trend. Avoid chasing prices lower with aggressive selling; instead, focus on pullback buying strategies.
If the NASDAQ continues its decline and gold follows suit, further downside toward 2,700 is possible. Overall, buying during pullbacks remains the preferred strategy, but strict risk management with stop-loss levels is crucial.
The volatility in U.S. markets has increased due to China’s Deepseek developments. As always, heightened volatility in futures markets presents both opportunities and risks. Traders who can maintain disciplined strategies may capitalize on this environment, while those who cannot may risk significant losses.
With Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, as well as earnings reports from Tesla and Meta on Wednesday and Apple on Thursday, market volatility is expected to remain high. Wishing you success in trading this week!
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21,260 / 21,140 / 21,100 / 21,040 / 21,890
-Sell: 21,365 / 21,415 / 21,480 / 21,540 / 21,660
OIL - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 72.60 / 72.00 / 71.40 / 70.60
-Sell: 73.55 / 74.40 / 75.00 / 75.95
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2,739 / 2,733 / 2,726 / 2,716
-Sell: 2,754 / 2,760 / 2,767 / 2,776
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Gold Approaching Major Resistance – Will It Drop to 2,736$?OANDA:XAUUSD is nearing the upper boundary of an ascending channel, which aligns with a major resistance zone. This area has acted in the past as a reversal point, making it a key level to watch for potential bearish movements.
If the price confirms rejection at this level, I anticipate a move downward toward the 2,736$ level, consistent with the channel’s structure and a nearby support zone. Conversely, if this resistance is breached, it could signal increased buying pressure and a continuation of the bullish trend.
BRIEFING Week #4 : Complex Week AheadHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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GOLD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅GOLD is approaching a demand level of 2720$
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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XAUUSD Analysis: Potential Bearish Pullback Towards Key Support📉 XAUUSD Daily Analysis 🔍
🚨 Potential for a Bearish Pullback 🚨
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential downward move after rejecting a key resistance level. If this momentum continues, we could see the price heading towards the support zone at 2680/2670.
💡 Key Insights:
📌 Market rejection at resistance = possible bearish momentum.
📌 Target support area: 2680/2670.
📌 Risk Management: Stick to 1-2% risk on trades.
⚠️ Historical Note:
When the market last hit an all-time high, it saw a sharp one-day drop. Stay cautious!
💬 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
Analysis of gold market trends next week:
Gold news analysis: Gold prices rose nearly 1% on Friday (January 24), close to the historical high set in October last year, mainly driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's call for interest rate cuts and uncertainty in his trade policy. Spot gold rose as much as 0.12% to $2,785.50 per ounce, up 2.8% this week. Gold prices are currently at their highest level since the all-time high of $2,790.15 per ounce set on October 31 last year. The U.S. dollar index fell to a one-month low, making dollar-denominated gold cheaper for foreign buyers. Gold prices are heading towards new all-time highs, coinciding with a correction in the US dollar. The dollar weakened as Trump hinted that he might relax his tariff policy on China and choose to reach a trade agreement. On Thursday, Trump said at the World Economic Forum in Davos that he would ask for an immediate rate cut. In an interview with Fox NEW, Trump said he preferred not to use tariffs to resolve trade issues with China. Zero-yielding gold is seen as a hedge during times of political and economic turmoil and performs well in a low-interest rate environment. Trump’s comments come ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, when policymakers are widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged.
Gold once again continued its previous upward trend on Friday. It hit the 2785 line at its highest in the US market and then retreated under pressure, approaching the historical high and closing at the 2770 line. The daily line also closed in the inverted hammer shape of the upper lead. Although There is a willingness to go higher and fall back on Friday, but for now, the support of 2770 is still resisting stubbornly, and it has not broken after all. Next week is also the announcement of the interest rate decision. Before that, gold is likely to be in shock. Of course, it does not rule out the early release of news. Once the Asian early trading opens flat next Monday, the 2770 line may also fall. What needs to be tested is the top-bottom conversion 2762-60 area below. This The position is also the rising point of the upward trend, while the upper suppression port remains near 2780-88. In the short term, it is likely to fluctuate around this range, waiting for a later breakthrough.
Judging from the 4-hour market analysis, the performance of the Asian morning session and the European session on Monday is also more important. The US session also needs to follow the trends of the European session for layout, regardless of whether the bulls can break through in the later period and set a new high again, or form a retracement correction. situation, there may be a wave of upward energy in the later period.
Our professional and experienced gold analyst team recommends the short-term operation strategy for next Monday
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 2758-2762, and add more positions when it falls back to 2750-2753, stop loss 2743, target 2780-2788;
GOLD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a local
Bearish correction while
Trading in an uptrend
So after it hits the
Horizontal support of 2720$
And after the retest we
Will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Gold - 15 min ( Gentle Buy and Sell Scalping After Break Out )In the context of the FXCM Gold market analysis, significant key levels have been identified on the 15-minute time frame. A bullish indication is present following a breakout above the key level at the 2771 area, accompanied by high trading volume. Conversely, a bearish scenario is anticipated should the price breach the key level at the 2755 area, also supported by increased volume. We prioritize delivering the most accurate trading opportunities and analyses, emphasizing precision rather than mere numerical data.
⚡️Gold / FXCM
Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf
🚨Bullish After Break key level + High Volume / 2771 Area
🚨Bearihs After Break key level + High Volume / 2755 Area
⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+