GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [January 27 - January 31]Last week, the gold market continued to benefit from concerns related to tariffs and US President Donald Trump's statements on interest rates, along with a decrease in US bond yields and the USD, and gold prices traded. trading near a 3-week high of above 2,750 USD/ounce.
Ahead of the monetary policy meeting next week, it is predicted that the US Central Bank will keep interest rates unchanged and there will only be one interest rate cut this year, while Mr. Trump called on banks to Global central banks lower interest rates. This means there may be disagreements between Mr. Trump and the Fed. This is something that traders are paying attention to and gold prices are likely to benefit from its role as a safe haven asset.
This week's economic calendar will focus on central banks globally, with the US Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada announcing interest rate decisions on Wednesday, followed by an announcement from the European Central Bank. Europe on Thursday.
The market will also pay attention to some US economic data, including the December new home sales report released on Monday, durable goods and consumer confidence reports on Tuesday, GDP Fourth quarter weekly unemployment claims and pending home sales on Thursday, and PCE, personal income and personal spending on Friday morning.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, this week's gold price has broken out of the Downtrend line and the important resistance level at 2725, gaining momentum to near the 2790 resistance threshold. Next week, if the 2790 resistance mark is broken, broken, gold prices will continue to set record high prices for early 2025.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,730USD
Resistance: 2,770 – 2,762 – (All-time high)
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2831 - 2829⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2835
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2712 - 2714⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2708
Metals
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 26.01.2025After this week's huge pump, I do believe Gold will be hitting $2,800+ soon. There's 2 ways in which it'll happen;
Option 1: Price consolidates around CMP, trapping in new sellers before it shoots up.
Option 2: We see a downwards retracement towards $2,720 before price recovers up again in February.
XAUUSD 16/01/25XAUUSD continues to hold the same bias as the past two weeks. As always, trade from the lows and aim for the highs. Orion provides us with a clear rule set to follow, allowing us to sit back and wait for our alerts to trigger.
This week, the main plan is to build more upside momentum while waiting for price to return to the lows. This would align with our long entry criteria. If the current target highs are reached, we’ll look for new lows to form and trade from.
Our approach remains simple: trade long to the highs, then wait for the next setup to appear. With Orion guiding the way, we simply follow the rules.
Trade within your risk limits and trust Orion.
Gold correction comingOur algo suggests a correction in physical gold prices. This might be a slow decline over a year or so.
Target price is around 2300 i.e. 23 for AAAU.
All the best.
Marketpanda
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Xauusd | Market break the point 2770-2769 ?XAUUSD 2,770 885 | 27/January/2025 ( Market break the point 2770-2769 )
- This video is based on Educational Purposes
In Our Past Commentary we discuss that market should close the candle below the 2770-2769 area and Currently market is at 2770.885 which is quite close
So what will be the Possible Scenarios ?
- Bearish Scenario : If Market closed the candle below our Observation point we will hold our positions to 2760 point and we are confident market will touched at 2750.00 so basically there are two regions (2750 and 2739) which are indicated trying to push from levels .Although if candles closed below this region our expectations would be to touched 2680.00 area a new lowest point
- Bullish Scenario : if Market cant break the Support level which is at 2770 - 2769 area we are going to expect the All time high at 2790 to 2800.00 area
The Market Matrix - Gold, Crude, Nasdaq & DXY for Jan 26 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix.
Disclaimer
The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments.
Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
The creator of this content assumes no liability for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on the information provided. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these risks.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2785 and a gap below at 2747. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2785
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2785 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2811
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2811 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2836
BEARISH TARGETS
2747
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2747 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2712 - 2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2668 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2665 - 2633
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD → A U-turn? Medium-term targets. Up ahead, 2790FX:XAUUSD is taking advantage of the dollar correction and almost reaches ATH 2790. The chance of updating the maximum is quite high, but there are a few “BUTs”. Let's talk about the medium term and possible targets
Economically, the coming week will be quite important, there will be decisions on the Fed Funds rate , US GDP and PCE .
If the rate remains unchanged and the Fed's rhetoric is tough, this could put pressure on gold, a softer policy would support the metal, as would a slowdown in GDP growth if supported by actual data. PCE data may indicate that inflationary pressures remain. If the data is better than expected, it will strengthen the chances of further Fed rate hikes, which in turn will support the dollar and reduce demand for gold.
Technically, the price is heading towards 2790 and the chance of reaching this target is quite high, but the potential for further upside after breaking the resistance is not there yet as there is no energy to do so.
A strong move of 8% (since December 18) could easily be stopped by the resistance level ahead and gold could go into correction or consolidation
Resistance levels: 2790
Support levels: 2762, 2750, 2735
Overall, expected economic data points to support for the Dollar, which could put pressure on gold. Highlights for Gold are FOMC results and GDP data, as well as unexpected deviations from the forecast in economic data, which could change the current dynamics.
What to expect from the price? Most likely, after a correction to 2762 (liquidity zone), growth will resume and the price will head towards the most important target at the moment - 2790. The one and a half month rally may end with a false breakout of 2790 and the beginning of correction. I am not talking about the trend reversal yet, as we should follow the market reaction to the general situation.
Zones of interest within the correction may be several local and several global zones:
Local targets (if bullish): 2762, 2735
Medium-term targets (if trend change is confirmed): 2714, 2689, 2643
Regards R. Linda!
Analysis of the latest gold market trends:
Analysis of gold news: In the U.S. market on Friday (January 24), spot gold surged higher but encountered resistance and fell back. Spot gold bottomed out and rebounded on Thursday, falling to $2,735.83/ounce earlier in the session, but the change in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States performed worse than market expectations, and the dollar weakened after U.S. President Trump called for lower interest rates. Gold prices recovered all losses and closed at $2,754.59/ounce. Market attention remains focused on the broad impact of Trump's policies. Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: "Part of the reason is the dollar. The dollar rose early on Thursday and then was sold off, so it pushed gold off its lows. Thursday's trend is just a recognition of the direction of the White House. I think some of the volatility is due to this expectation." In his speech at the World Economic Forum, Trump emphasized his commitment to reverse inflation and announced that he hopes to cut interest rates immediately. He also urged other countries to take similar measures to address global economic challenges. However, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders believe that there is a 99.5% chance that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at the January 28-29 meeting. The uncertainty of Trump's future policies has prompted market participants to flock to safe-haven assets such as gold to hedge against volatility. Investors need to pay attention to Trump's dynamic news and changes in market sentiment. This trading day also needs to pay attention to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision and the January PMI data of European and American countries.
Gold technical analysis: The trend of gold prices is in line with our expectations. It has fallen back and risen many times during the period, and it has been emphasized many times recently that the 2790 line is the ultimate goal, and it is getting closer and closer! Gold first stepped back and then rose, closing higher at the end of the day. It stepped back to the 2736 line on the middle track of the 4-hour chart and stabilized and then rose and closed at a high level. The long channel remains unchanged, and the trend of rising while consolidating and correcting. The daily line is still strong and the strong consolidation correction replaced the retracement correction, closing at a high level in late trading. There is a high probability of breaking the high momentum the next day. Gold prices also opened up without hesitation in the Asian morning session. If it continues to break through the high of 2763 today, today's high will go directly to 2790! During this period, we will continue to maintain the idea of falling back and going long!
Gold is running in the 4-hour rising channel, which is also a step-up rising channel. Yesterday, it stepped back close to the critical point of the middle track. It has been emphasized before that in a unilateral market, the middle track is a strong and weak dividing point. Keep the middle track and look long. Yesterday, it perfectly stepped back to the middle track, which is equivalent to a perfect opportunity to enter the long position. The strong market is afraid of not giving the opportunity to enter the market. As long as there is a gold step-back, it is an opportunity to go long. The defensive position can be moved up to 2736. Traders who do not have any trading orders also choose to step back to go long at a low position. Because the gold price has also adjusted in the process of yesterday's downward exploration, and this wave will also be a new wave of rising waves, gold will inevitably rise and break through the previous high of 2763 and move towards a higher point! On the whole, our professional gold analyst team recommends that the short-term operation strategy for gold should be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2793-2798 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2765-2760 support line.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Levels For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold for next week.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 2786 - 2790 area
Support 1: 2718 - 2732 area
Support 2: 2689 - 2698 area
Support 3: 2655 - 2663 area
Support 4: 2614 - 2635 area
Support 5: 2596 - 2605 area
Support 6: 2583 - 2585 area
Consider these structures for pulback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2778 and a gap below at 2768. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2778
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2787
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2787 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2797
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2797 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2808
BEARISH TARGETS
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2757
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2757 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2746
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2746 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2732
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2732 WILL OPEN THE SWIG RAGE
SWING RANGE
2707 - 2697
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range.
Last week we stated that we have a candle body close above 2686 opening 2760 and we now also had ema5 lock to further confirm this gap
This was hit perfectly last week completing this target and allowing plenty of time after the confirmation to get in for the action.
We now have a candle body close above 2760 with a gap above at 2797 and will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
Previously we stated that the channel top was continuing to provide support like we stated for the past few weeks and. as long as we see no ema5 cross and lock below into the channel, we can safely continue with our plans to buy dips in this range.
- This is continuing to play out perfectly. You can see although we had many breaks into the channel with candle over the last few weeks, ema5 failed to break inside, confirming the rejection and providing support above the channel like we stated.
Last week we stated that the bounce from the channel was playing out, as analysed and now heading towards our 2729 AXIS gap target above.
- This was hit perfectly completing this target. We now have a candle body close above 2729 opening long range/term gap at 2856 and will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
LITM a lithium penny stock gets momentum LONGLITM is a lithium mining company with operations is Western USA and Canada now getting a
lift as lithium prices are rising. It popped 16% today and hit a screener on volume yesterday.
This is a junior miner compared with LAC and SGML. As such it is more reactive to price. All
indicators confirm the move including the extent of the trend, relative volume spiking and the
RS lines. This is a low float low volume stock.
Accumulation of a low float could precipitate more price action upward quite easily.
As a volatile penny stock LITM is risky. Right now, I see a long trade in a
small position ( < 0.001 of account balance) for the potential gain despite the obvious risk
SL at 10% Targets at 10% 20% (red line pivots to the left-1.2o December to Feb) then 70% (
pivot low March 23) and finally 250% for the runners ( January and July 23 high pivots). Time
will tell. I expect great profit in this swing trade with stratified partial profits and less time
effort in the trend using alerts and notifications. A trailing loss will be employed at 10%
once the trade is over 20% profit.
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
NASDAQ closed lower, finding support at the 5-day moving average. Last Friday unfolded as expected, with a correction to the 5-day line being part of the wave pattern, making a sell-oriented approach the best strategy for the day. The downward wave emerged in the afternoon rather than during the pre-market, resulting in extended consolidation. On the weekly chart, it formed a bullish candle, reaching the upper range of the box zone; however, the MACD has yet to fully cross above the signal line.
This week, the area between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages (20,800–20,600) could act as a short-term pullback buying zone. If this area fails to hold and prices close lower with a bearish candle, the market might revert to maintaining a wide-ranging box zone. Therefore, it's crucial to close the week with a bullish candle to confirm a buy signal.
On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are positioned above the zero line, indicating that buying pressure could persist. However, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting that significant additional surges are unlikely. A short-term correction perspective is advisable. If prices fail to decisively break above the 3-day moving average near 21,950, a correction to the 10-day moving average should be considered.
The 240-minute chart shows the emergence of a long bearish candle forming a double top. If Friday’s low at 21,844 is breached, there’s a strong likelihood of filling the gap created on January 22. The MACD and signal line still show a significant gap from the zero line, so there could be support and a rebound at the lower levels. In summary, while a short-term sell perspective is advisable, buying opportunities could emerge near the gap-filling zone around 21,700 during pullbacks.
OIL
Oil closed higher at $74, finding support and forming a bullish daily candle for the first time in six trading sessions. This bounce establishes a foothold at the key support level of $74. On the weekly chart, prices found support at the 5-day moving average. Although the MACD has crossed above the zero line, the signal line is still slightly below it.
If a bullish candle forms this week, it will confirm a buy signal on the weekly chart, favoring buy-oriented strategies. On the daily chart, prices could rise again, finding support at the 20-day moving average. However, the sharp downward angle of the recent decline from $79 and the ongoing sell signal from the MACD indicate that any rally may face resistance and pullbacks.
If prices rebound to the $77–$78 range, there is a high probability of a pullback. The $74–$79 range is likely to hold, with a period of consolidation allowing moving averages to converge. On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence is forming near $74, and the MACD is on the verge of generating a buy signal. A buy-oriented strategy on pullbacks is advisable.
GOLD
Gold closed higher with an upper shadow on the daily candle. On the weekly chart, prices reached the upper Bollinger Band. The MACD, however, has yet to achieve a golden cross above the signal line, keeping the sell signal intact. A strong rally with a long bullish candle would be required to confirm a buy signal.
If additional upward momentum fails and prices start to decline, the MACD may turn downward again. The current gap between the MACD and signal line suggests that an immediate buy signal might not be achievable. On the daily chart, buying pressure remains strong, and as long as the 10-day moving average holds, a one-way buying trend is likely.
On the 240-minute chart, resistance is evident at higher levels, and divergence in the MACD could occur. It’s advisable to avoid chasing prices higher. Given the staircase-like upward movement, a buy-oriented approach on pullbacks is recommended.
This Week’s Key Events:
FOMC meeting (Wednesday)
Tesla and Meta earnings reports (Wednesday)
Apple earnings report (Thursday)
Expect heightened volatility on Wednesday and Thursday. Good luck with your investments this week!
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21,850 / 21,785 / 21,720 / 21,630 / 21,530
-Sell: 21,970 / 22,010 / 22,055 / 22,105
OIL - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 74.15 / 73.40 / 72.80 / 72.40
-Sell: 75.20 / 75.95 / 76.40 / 77.10
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2,774 / 2,768 / 2,762 / 2,752
-Sell: 2,782 / 2,793 / 2,799 / 2,816
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
XAUMO: The Ultimate Multi-Timeframe Gold Analysis ReportXAUMO: The Ultimate Multi-Timeframe Gold Analysis Report
Period: January 27 – February 2, 2025
📊 Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend)
🔍 Ichimoku Analysis:
• Clouds (Kumo):
• Thick Kumo ($2,744-$2,752) providing strong long-term support.
• Future Kumo: Steep bullish slope with (Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B), reinforcing the bullish trend.
• Tenkan/Kijun (TK/KS) Crosses:
• Type of Cross: Bullish cross above the Kumo.
• Support Levels:
• Tenkan ($2,774): Dynamic short-term support.
• Kijun ($2,761): Key support during pullbacks.
• Chikou Span:
• Positioned above price and Kumo, confirming strong bullish control.
• Stable slope, suggesting minor consolidation.
📈 Regression Channel Analysis:
• Price is moving within an upward channel, with resistance near $2,785-$2,790, signaling potential overbought conditions.
🔗 Support and Resistance Levels (VRP):
• POC: $2,771 (Pivot point for accumulation).
• VAH: $2,785 (Supply zone).
• VAL: $2,756 (Demand zone).
📦 Supply and Demand Zones:
• Supply: $2,785-$2,790.
• Demand: $2,744-$2,752.
⏳ Sushi Kinko Cycles:
• 26-Period Cycle: Confirms bullish continuation toward $2,800.
📌 Tradeable Levels:
• Upside: $2,785-$2,810 (Fibonacci Extension 161.8%).
• Downside: Below $2,756 targeting $2,740 (VWAP).
⏳ 4-Hour Chart (Swing Trading)
🔍 Ichimoku Analysis:
• Clouds (Kumo):
• Moderate thickness supporting price at $2,744-$2,752.
• Steep bullish slope confirming momentum.
• Tenkan/Kijun (TK/KS) Crosses:
• Bullish cross above the Kumo, reinforcing the trend.
• Key Supports:
• Tenkan ($2,774): Immediate support.
• Kijun ($2,761): Major support.
• Chikou Span:
• Positioned above price and Kumo, signaling strong bullish pressure.
• Upward slope, enhancing bullish momentum.
📦 Supply and Demand Zones:
• Supply: $2,785-$2,790.
• Demand: $2,744-$2,752.
⏳ Sushi Kinko Cycles:
• 9-Period Cycle: Minor pullback toward $2,771.
• 26-Period Cycle: Signal for a move toward $2,800.
📌 Tradeable Levels:
• Upside: $2,785-$2,810.
• Downside: $2,756-$2,744.
⏳ 1-Hour Chart (Intraday)
🔍 Ichimoku Analysis:
• Clouds (Kumo):
• Weak clouds with support near $2,774-$2,771.
• Moderately bullish slope.
• TK/KS Crosses:
• Tenkan ($2,777): Immediate support.
• Kijun ($2,773): Key support level.
📦 Supply and Demand Zones:
• Supply: $2,785-$2,790.
• Demand: $2,773-$2,765.
📌 Tradeable Levels:
• Buy: $2,773 targeting $2,785.
• Sell: Rejection at $2,785 targeting $2,773.
⏳ 30-Minute Chart (Scalping)
🔍 Ichimoku Analysis:
• Thin clouds supporting upward momentum.
• Tenkan ($2,777): Immediate support.
• Kijun ($2,773): Major support for scalping.
📌 Tradeable Levels:
• Buy: $2,773 targeting $2,785.
• Sell: Rejection at $2,785 targeting $2,773.
🔑 Summary:
• Bullish Bias: Above $2,785 targeting $2,800-$2,810.
• Bearish Bias: Below $2,756 targeting $2,740.
• Pivot Point: $2,771 (POC).
📌 Session Insights:
• Tokyo: Scalping at $2,773.
• London: Rejection at $2,785 or breakout opportunities.
• New York: Breakout above $2,785 or correction toward $2,771.
🔗 A blend of analytical tools for a precise and balanced trading strategy.
Gold key levels with both buy and sell entries 12/01 to 17/01Gold key support and resistance levels for the coming week .
Ill look to enter a buy at 2692 monitering support and resistance levels to the upside.
For a sell my entry would be 2684 .
For Gold we have seen a rise after a strong drop , we have retraced from 2600 to 2690/91 area now we could see a correction to the downside again.
As always trade safe wait for levels and conformation of entry.
This is not finincial advice mearly shareing my technical analasis on gold for the coming week
$XAUUSD: Gold firing on all cylindersSeems like OANDA:XAUUSD triggered a weekly up trend again, you can see it has been trending up strongly since I called the long term trend in Gold would take place a while back (see related ideas). Trump's ideas regarding inflation and rates might influence the Federal Reserve's actions going forward, perhaps the market is pricing this in now.
Historically, precious metals move in correlation to real interest rates, that is, inflation adjusted interest rates. At times, Gold might be affected by broad scale deleveraging at times of market stress, since it acts as collateral for many investors, or it might be bought as a hedge for geopolitical risk. In normal periods, real rates influence price the most.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.