GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 2,849.355 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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Metals
XAUUSD: 25/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892.
Four-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2921.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell first and then rose yesterday, ushering in a strong bull bottoming out and breaking through the high. The US market accelerated to break through the 2956 mark and was suppressed and fell back. It quickly fell and once broke through the 2940 mark to reach around 2930, stabilized and rebounded, and finally returned to 2950 and closed.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2921, and the short-term pressure above focuses on the 2950-55 line. Continue to sell high and buy low in this range, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Buy: 2930near. SL: 2925
Buy: 2921near. SL: 2915
Buy: 2892near. SL: 2888
Use small size, control risk
Gold H1 | Falling towards a multi-swing-low supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,923.75 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 2,914.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 2,946.51 which is an overlap resistance.
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Gold is due for a fallGold is due to retest 2914 late this week. Macro drivers have subsided. As of yet, there have been no tangible effects of the Trump tariffs or government reductions in the real economy. As for the dollar, while it is still strong, volatility is down. Markets are settling in to wait and see the effects of the Trump presidency. For this week, given the relatively light macro docket this, gold bulls are going to be less aggressive, while bears will see an opportunity to push prices lower. Also gold has been in a range for the last two weeks and sits in the upper part of that range. And the average range of Gold has been falling for the last five sessions. Price will retest the lower part of this range down to 2914.
Gold will touch $3000In a comment to Kitco News, Chris Mancini - Portfolio Manager of Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX) - said that Western investors are pouring into gold ETFs to hedge against economic or inflation risks due to the impact of tariffs. He also emphasized that investment demand still has room to continue to increase.
"Gold is acting as a hedge against the devaluation of the USD and other currencies," he said. “Tariff measures could accelerate this process as global commodity prices rise. In addition, if global central banks (including the US Federal Reserve - FED) reduce interest rates or pump money to combat economic weakness, prices will tend to increase, making gold more attractive to investors.
"The buyers still show no signs of slowing down and this week continues to be a strong candle on the weekly chart. I think there is a high possibility that gold will reach the 3,000 USD/ounce mark in the near future, but there can also be big fluctuations around that level."
Trade Idea : XAUUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis:
• Daily Chart:
• Strong uptrend with price near all-time highs.
• MACD is bullish with strong momentum.
• RSI at 71.76, slightly overbought, but trend continuation is likely.
• 15-Minute Chart:
• Bullish structure, price making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD is positive, confirming upward momentum.
• RSI at 51.04, showing room for further upside.
• 3-Minute Chart:
• Short-term retracement but price is stabilizing.
• MACD is negative, indicating a possible dip before continuation.
• RSI at 41.60, approaching oversold levels, signaling a possible rebound.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold remains bullish due to:
• Market uncertainty (global economic instability).
• Strong demand for safe-haven assets.
• Weakening USD amid potential Fed rate cuts.
Entry: 2946 (Wait for price to stabilize after the short-term pullback on M3)
Stop Loss (SL): 2936 (Below recent support)
Take Profit (TP): 2966 (Near previous resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower following news that Microsoft is reducing its data center leasing. This week, the weekly chart suggests strong selling pressure, meaning long positions should be approached with caution.
On the daily chart, yesterday’s bearish candle confirmed the MACD sell signal, though the signal line remains above the zero line. In a broader context, a potential bounce could occur near key technical levels, including the lower Bollinger Band, 120-day moving average, and previous resistance zones.
Two days ago, a large bearish candle formed, and yesterday’s price action provided an opportunity to sell at the 3-day moving average. However, the market failed to test the 3-day MA during pre-market, leading to a false impression that the daily close was rejected at resistance. This illustrates how a daily close can sometimes be misleading, reinforcing the need to plan for alternative scenarios.
Since selling was executed at the 3-day MA yesterday, today’s key resistance level shifts to the 5-day moving average. Given the wide gap between price and the 5-day MA, a short-term rebound toward this level is possible.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line have moved below the zero line, confirming continued selling pressure. However, since the Nasdaq has now entered a key support zone from a previous range, a short-term bounce toward the 5-day MA is possible. Traders should be cautious with short positions and focus on range-bound strategies rather than chasing downside momentum.
Crude Oil
Crude oil gapped down but managed to close higher. Despite the ongoing MACD sell signal on the daily chart, oil held above the key $70 support level.
This week’s weekly close is critical—if oil can end the week with a bullish candle, it could set the stage for a potential reversal. Holding above $70 remains the key technical factor, as a breakdown below this level would signal further downside.
On the daily chart, if the market fails to extend lower and instead rebounds, a MACD double-bottom pattern could develop, reinforcing potential upside momentum. However, since market flows remain mixed, it is best to treat oil as range-bound until a decisive break occurs.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line are below the zero line, but price action is attempting a temporary rebound. While selling into rallies remains the preferred approach, traders should be cautious of event-driven volatility, as news developments could trigger sudden moves.
The $70 level remains the key downside level to monitor—if it breaks, selling pressure could intensify. Risk management is crucial when taking long positions.
Gold
Gold briefly made new highs before closing flat within its range. On the daily chart, the buy signal remains intact, but today’s session will be crucial in determining whether gold can sustain its momentum or enter a consolidation phase.
The key factor to watch is whether gold finds support at the signal line and continues higher or if a bearish crossover forms, leading to a range-bound correction.
On the 240-minute chart, a bullish MACD crossover has occurred, but for the uptrend to be confirmed, a strong breakout candle is needed. Without a significant bullish move, gold risks forming a bearish divergence, meaning that even if price breaks to new highs, the MACD may fail to confirm the move.
Since market flows remain mixed, a range-trading approach remains most effective, with a focus on buying at strong support levels and avoiding breakout trades. Traders should remain flexible and manage risk carefully, as both upside and downside scenarios remain open.
Looking at VIX futures, a strong buy signal has emerged at the zero level. Historically, VIX buy signals near zero tend to generate large price swings, suggesting that Nasdaq volatility may increase significantly. This increases the likelihood of a sharp correction, making risk management a top priority.
Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
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GOLD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a bullish
Rebound from the support
Cluster of rising and horizontal
Support levels so as Gold is
Trading in an uptrend we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
XAGUSD Possible IdeaXAGUSD has been moving bullish as it is in a higher time frame expansion phase. As we can see, it recently broke the previous 4h and daily high with momentum. It preceded to retrace and consolidate within the 4h and daily range, forming all sorts of internal liquidity in the process. It is now approaching a very strong demand zone that it could use to shift structure internally, targeting the latest 4h and daily swing high to form a new higher high.
XAU/USD may enter the resistance zone and then start fallingHello everyone, today I'm ready to provide you with Gold analytics. Not long ago, the price surged into the support zone before correcting back down to the trend line. Following that, it reversed and began rising in a wedge formation, finally hitting the support level, breaking through it, and continuing higher. Later, gold rose into the resistance zone, but it quickly corrected back to the trend line. However, it quickly recovered and returned to the resistance level. Following another drop to the trend line, the price resumed its upward trend. Gold quickly approached the resistance level and consolidated beneath it for some time before breaking through and touching the wedge's resistance line. Following this fluctuation, the price reversed and began to decline. It attempted to recover, but is now trading below the resistance level. From my perspective, XAUUSD is expected to retest the resistance zone before reversing and dropping back to the trend line, which also serves as the wedge's support. Given this view, I've set a goal of 2915, which is close to the trend line.
:
🚀 XAU/USD – Rising Wedge Formation! Key Breakdown Incoming? 📉
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart Analysis
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Ascending Trend Line is acting as strong dynamic support.
🔹 Resistance Zone at the top of the wedge is holding price down.
🔹 Support Zone has been tested multiple times, showing buying pressure.
🔹 Price is currently at the upper boundary of the wedge—possible rejection?
📉 Potential Trade Setups:
📌 Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects from the resistance zone, a drop toward $2,915 is likely.
A break below $2,915 could trigger further downside toward $2,880 support.
📌 Bullish Scenario:
A clear breakout above resistance and trend line invalidates the wedge.
If price closes above $2,950, it may rally toward $2,970 - $2,980.
🔔 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: $2,950 - $2,960
✅ Support: $2,915 - $2,880
💬 What’s your bias? Breakout or Breakdown? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥👇
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
XAU/USD: Prepare for a new all-time high near $3000?! (READ)Gold's one-hour chart analysis indicates that the price has precisely followed our prior estimate, reaching the projected level of $2951. Comparing the last five assessments demonstrates the accuracy of these projections.
Gold is currently priced about $2947, down from $2951 when it peaked. I foresee a little retracement before another upward movement.
Short-term aims include $2954 and $2956.
Medium-term aims are $2966 and $2969.
Please support me with your likes and comments to encourage me to share more analysis with you and share your thoughts on the potential trend of this chart with me!
:
🚀 XAU/USD – Bullish or Bearish? Key Levels to Watch! 📊
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart Analysis
🔥 Key Observations:
🔹 BOS (Break of Structure) confirms strong market movement.
🔹 Bearish Order Block (OB) at the top suggests potential resistance.
🔹 Liquidity Grabs ($$$) & FVG (Fair Value Gaps) indicate smart money activity.
🔹 Bullish Rejection Blocks (30m & 1H TFs) could act as key demand zones.
📈 Possible Scenarios:
📌 Bullish Case: If price holds above the Bullish Rejection Block, we might see a push towards $2,950 - $2,960.
📌 Bearish Case: A rejection from the Bearish OB could send gold back towards $2,920 - $2,900.
🔔 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: $2,950 - $2,960
✅ Support: $2,920 - $2,900
💬 What’s your bias? Bullish or Bearish? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️🔥
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
Gold might descend to a support level, breaching the resistance Hi, traders. I'd like to share with you my thoughts on Gold. On this chart, we can observe that the price has recovered from the mirror line and begun to rise. Shortly later, it approached the support level, broke it, and hovered for a while before returning to the mirror line. Later, the price broke through the support level once more and resumed trading inside a range. During this phase, it climbed to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, before retreating to the mirror line. Gold then dipped into the buyer zone before quickly rising over the mirror line and into the seller zone. Following this movement, XAU corrected below the mirror line and resumed its upward journey. Shortly later, the price approached the resistance level, broke through it, and departed the range. For a while, gold traded above the seller zone, but it subsequently plummeted and is presently hovering at the 2930 resistance level within the sale zone. I anticipate Gold will climb little before continuing to drop, eventually shattering the resistance level. Furthermore, I believe that following the breakout, it will prolong its slide toward the 2865 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost! 🚀
:
📉 XAU/USD - Bearish Reversal from Seller Zone! 🚨
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart Analysis
Key Insights:
🔹 Resistance Level Held Strong – Price tested the seller zone but failed to break through, signaling strong bearish momentum.
🔹 Buyer Zone Played Out – Earlier, buyers pushed the price up from a strong accumulation zone, but exhaustion is visible now.
🔹 False Breakout & Range Formation – A range developed at the top, indicating distribution before a potential drop.
🔹 Support Level in Sight – If the price follows the projected path, we might see a test of the $2,865 - $2,850 zone soon.
📊 Trading Plan:
📌 Bearish Bias: Look for short opportunities as long as price stays below resistance.
📌 Confirmation Needed: A break below $2,930 would strengthen bearish sentiment.
📌 Targets: $2,900, then $2,865 - $2,850.
🚀 What do you think? Will gold break down or bounce back? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇🔥
#gold #xauusd #trading #forex #priceaction #technicalanalysis
Long-Term Elliott Wave Analysis of Gold: A New Bullish Cycle let's review Gold Waves!
Wave I (1971-1974):
The initial rise in the early 1970s represents Wave I of the first large cycle. During this time, gold prices surged significantly due to the ending of the Bretton Woods system and the subsequent decoupling of the US dollar from gold. The price increases were driven by growing inflation concerns and geopolitical instability. This is a primary impulsive wave.
The end of Wave I appears around 1974, where gold saw a significant peak.
Wave II (1974-1976):
Wave II is a corrective phase, where prices corrected lower after the initial rally of Wave I. This wave retraced a portion of Wave I and is a typical ABC correction (labeled as the ABC corrective structure on the chart).
After reaching the low point, the market started another impulsive wave up.
Wave III (1976-1980):
Wave III is the strongest and most aggressive part of the cycle. This wave saw gold prices skyrocket during the late 1970s, driven by high inflation, political instability (e.g., the Iranian Revolution), and the second oil crisis.
Gold reached an all-time high in 1980, marking the peak of Wave III. This wave completed the first major bullish cycle in the chart.
Wave IV (1980-1999):
After the peak in 1980, gold entered Wave IV, a long and complex correction that lasted until the late 1990s. This correction lasted nearly two decades and saw prices decline dramatically during the 1980s and 1990s as inflation subsided and global economic conditions stabilized.
Wave IV is characterized by long periods of consolidation, with gold fluctuating around lower levels.
Wave V (1999-2011):
Following the completion of Wave IV, gold entered Wave V, the final impulsive wave of this long-term cycle. This wave began around 1999 and saw gold prices move higher, culminating in a bullish run from 2008 to 2011.
The global financial crisis and the subsequent loose monetary policies (quantitative easing and low-interest rates) from central banks across the world provided the perfect backdrop for gold to rally.
Gold peaked at $1900 in 2011, marking the end of Wave V in this cycle, representing the peak of the primary impulsive move.
ABC Correction (2011-2020):
After the peak in 2011, gold entered a significant ABC correction. This correction can be broken down into three parts:
Wave A (2011-2015): The initial correction after the peak, where gold prices fell sharply, reaching lows of $1050 in 2015.
Wave B (2016-2018): A partial rally as investors regained some confidence, with prices climbing to around $1360 before the next decline.
Wave C (2018-2020): The final leg of the correction, which saw a further decline and then an explosive surge in early 2020 due to the global economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
-----------------------------------------
New Cycle (Post-2020):
After the massive surge in 2020, the chart suggests that gold has entered a new cycle—starting from the COVID-19 pandemic's impact. This marks the beginning of a new impulsive wave (labeled as Wave I of the new cycle).
Wave I (2020-2025): From the lows of March 2020 to the current high, gold prices have surged sharply, indicating the early stages of the new bullish cycle.
Wave II (2025-2027): A potential correction (Wave II) could be expected, retracing a portion of the rise from the pandemic-induced lows. This is typical after any strong Wave I move, as markets consolidate before further rallies. the target area would be $2100! could these reasons cause this correction:
I suggest that once Wave II is completed, gold could see further strong moves in Wave III, which could lead to higher levels of gold prices—potentially above $4000-$5000 or even higher, depending on broader market dynamics and economic conditions.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We started with our first bullish target at 2950 complete. We will now need to see ema5 cross and lock above 20=950 to open the range above. Failure to lock above will see price reject for a test on the lower Goldturn at 2927 to complete the bearish gap.
We will see levels tested side by side until we see either weighted level break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2950 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2950 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2969
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2969 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2986
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2986 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3006
BEARISH TARGETS
2927
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2927 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2903
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2903 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2884 - 2861
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2861 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2841 - 2820
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
BTCUSD Theres No Way We Can Hit 1 Million Dollar Bitcoin, Right?I think that Bitcoin is on its way to some serious numbers. Numbers that most think are impossible. So many think that this cycle has to be like previous cycles. Oh its 840 days in the last cycle from bottom to top, or 4 year cycles etc. Its all bogus, this time is different regardless of what you think. Bitcoin is being locked in the ETF now and soon to be reserves of states, countries, city states you name the whole world is going to hoard Bitcoin. There is no more sloshing of capital like you're used to to created an altcoin season. There is no more Bitcoin dominance dropping, like you're used. It is simply different and thats the facts jack. Everyone selling now is going to regret it.
I believe that Bitcoin from 2009 to the end of 2023 was one giant cycle. We are at the beginning of a new cycle for Bitcoin. If you think the last one was fun, just wait till you see this one. Ill paste a picture of what I mean below so you can understand what Im saying.
People calling Michael Saylor stupid, saying hes buying the top, like they are smarter than him, or Blackrock, any other hedge fund, or countries, or US states. Everyone who thinks that is they are smarter than these people are going to have a rude awakening.
1 Million is just the beginning. Over the next 10 years Bitcoin is going to go to numbers that no one can even fathom. Not even the dreamiest of Bulls. I bet Bitcoin could hit 30-50 million dollars over the next 10 years. Why do I say that?
The world, especially the United States is about to go into a massive productivity boom over the next 10 years, cheap energy, increased efficiency in all sectors, AI expansion, new inventions, and massive wealth transfers from the baby boom generation. Trump saying that America is entering a Golden Age is absolutely correct. We are going to witness the most epic bull run in history from now to about 2035. Sure there will be corrections and crashes along the way, but itll just be a higher low and then off to the races again.
The baby boom generation is sitting on 78 TRILLION DOLLARS of wealth currently. As baby boomers retire or pass away, their wealth will likely be passed on to their children and grandchildren. This transfer of wealth will help future generations buy homes, pay off student debt, make other purchases, and invest. This will benefit Bitcoin tremendously because now theres barely anyone under 50 investing in Gold or Silver anymore, that stuff is stone age currecny. We are entering a digital AI age, we're not moving backwards. The gold for the new digital golden age is Bitcoin. So much money and capital will flow into Bitcoin and other crypto assets, stock market etc. That is why the smart are loading up!
Its going to be beautiful, so just have a seat, buckle up its going to be wild. None of this is financial advice this is just my opinion.
SILVER Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 32.462 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 32.729
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-24-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will attempt to make a Breakaway move.
I believe this breakaway will be to the downside after watching the rejection near the 609 level on the SPY play out and the breakdown of the Excess Phase Peak pattern over the past 2+ days.
However, if the breakdown I suggested (above) does not happen, I suggest the markets continue to FLAG SIDEWAYS into a FLAG APEX near the end of this week.
The SPY's trend is such that I see it either breaking down hard over the next 2-3 days (confirming the Excess Phase Peak breakdown) or stalling back into the FLAG formation and reaching the Apex near the end of this week.
That means traders need to prepare for one of two major price events: a continued major breakdown or a consolidation/reversion back to the 605-608 level within a sideways FLAG.
What I expect is a breakdown in price. That seems the most logical. But, after watching the markets continue to flag sideways over the past few weeks, I know the markets can stay illogical for longer than I can try to short this top. lol
Gold and Silver look ready to rally. This could be a huge upward move and very powerful for skilled traders.
BTCUSD looks ready to break downward. And I think a breakdown in Bitcoin would be timed with a breakdown in the SPY/QQQ as well.
This is going to be an interesting week. Start off by letting the markets try to settle today (for the first 10 to 30 minutes). You can't kick the markets to do what you want.
After watching this moderate pullback in pre-market trading, we need to see how the price will attempt to trend.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold