Metals
GOLD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,290.99.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,179.46 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD → If you didn't catch the train, what should you do?FX:XAUUSD in a rally. Running into a train that is already in motion is prohibited due to the lack of ability to calculate risks. Ahead of the news, a correction is possible, which will allow us to find a place to trade
Gold continues to update an all-time high on the back of expectations of retail sales in the US and the speech of Fed chief Powell. Price growth was supported by strong data from China, increased demand for “protective assets” due to geopolitical tensions and trade risks between the U.S. and China. Additional support was provided by forecasts of gold price growth from ANZ to $3,600 by the end of the year
Technically, the psychological zones of interest 3325 - 3350 are ahead, from which a correction may form. The ideal scenario is to wait for a correction to local or intermediate support levels and only there look for an entry point.
Resistance levels: 3318, 3335, 3350
Support levels: 3275, 3265, 3244
On the background of a strong bull market it is worth using as a productive strategy to trade on the breakdown of resistance in order to continue growth, but in this case we need to wait for consolidation, we do not have it.
Or wait for correction, support retest and only then consider buying.
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions📌 Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions: How Far Can It Go? 🧨📈
Gold has reached another all-time high (ATH) as geopolitical tensions between the United States and China intensify. Markets have become incredibly sensitive, reacting sharply to political rhetoric and economic policy shifts from the world’s most powerful leaders.
As investors grow increasingly uneasy, gold continues to serve its role as a safe haven — but the real question now isn't whether gold will rise, but rather: how high can it go?
🌍 Geopolitical Sensitivity at its Peak
A single tariff threat or retaliation can trigger gold to surge by $30–$50.
Conversely, a pause in policy or a diplomatic “cool down” can cause price to drop hundreds of points.
In this environment, political narratives are driving markets more than technical setups.
This is one of those rare moments where fundamentals and news flow completely overshadow traditional chart signals. Even textbook candle confirmations are losing reliability — clean bullish closures are often followed by equally strong bearish rejections.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
Support Zones:
3,280 / 3,268 / 3,258 / 3,240 / 3,230
Resistance Zones:
3,292 / 3,302 / 3,310/ 3330
⚙️ Trading Zones
🔽 Sell Zone:
Entry: 3,330 – 3,332
SL: 3,336
TP: 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,315 → 3,310 → 3,300
📈 Buy Zone #1:
Entry: 3,270 – 3,268
SL: 3,264
TP: 3,274 → 3,278 → 3,282 → 3,286 → 3,290 → 3,300
📈 Buy Zone #2:
Entry: 3,240 – 3,238
SL: 3,234
TP: 3,245 → 3,250 → 3,255 → 3,260 → 3,264 → 3,268 → 3,274 → 3,280 → OPEN
⚠️ Final Thoughts & Risk Advisory
With geopolitical tensions rising and volatility surging, trading gold requires extra caution. Avoid chasing momentum blindly — even strong confirmations can flip without warning.
This is a market driven by emotions, news headlines, and global uncertainty, not just technicals. Always stick to your trading plan, and more importantly: respect your SL/TP at all times.
💬 How are you approaching gold in this macro environment? Share your views below – are you holding long or fading the rallies? 👇👇👇
Gold XAUUSD Possible Intraday Move 16.04.2025🟡 XAUUSD (Gold) Price Action Analysis – April 16, 2025
This setup is based on simple and pure price action—nothing fancy, just clean structure, breakout behavior, and the well-settled $25 range principle when Gold is out of consolidation.
✅ Buy Signal Zones (Based on Pure Price Action)
📍 Buy Zone 1: $3,270 – $3,275
Potential retest of the previous minor structure.
Buy on bullish reaction or rejection.
📍 Buy Zone 2: $3,240 – $3,245
Strong support aligning with 50% Fibonacci.
Previous resistance turned support—perfect for deeper pullbacks.
📍 Buy Scenario 3: No pullback, direct continuation
Buy on strong breakout above $3,299 targeting $3,325.
This aligns with the $25 range principle—a settled rule when Gold breaks out of range.
🎯 Target: $3,325
Pure price action logic: From the current structure, the next clean target lies at $3,325, exactly one $25 block higher.
📝 Summary:
✅ Buy from $3,270–75 or $3,240–45, with confirmation.
✅ Buy on breakout above $3,299 targeting $3,325.
🚫 Avoid shorts—structure favors bulls.
This is simple and pure price action. No indicators, no confusion—just structure, reaction, and levels.
Hit like, follow, comment and share to show support.
SILVER at a CROSSROADS: Bounce or CRASH to $28?🔹 General Context
Silver has shown a strong bullish reaction from the lows around $28, later reaching a key monthly supply area between $34 and $35. However, this zone has once again been firmly rejected, leaving room for a potential deep retracement.
🟥 Key Zones
🔴 Monthly Supply Zone (34.00 - 35.00 USD): Strong resistance already tested multiple times. Candlesticks show strong rejections and long upper wicks.
🟥 Weekly Supply Zone (33.00 - 34.00 USD): Breaker block or mitigation area that triggered a strong bearish move.
⬛ Current Weekly Support Zone (32.00 - 31.90 USD): Price is currently testing this area. A new impulse could arise here — or we may witness a breakdown.
🟦 Monthly Demand Zone (28.20 - 29.20 USD): The last area defended by buyers in the mid-term. A realistic target in case of breakdown.
📊 Price Structure
The short- to medium-term trend remains bearish, with lower highs and strong rejection candles.
Current price action shows indecision, with lower wicks on recent weekly candles but smaller bullish bodies — a sign of potential accumulation... or just a pullback?
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is in the neutral-high zone, not yet overbought, but in a downward phase → more room for downside if buyers don’t step in soon.
No clear divergences visible, but watch for signals on the daily timeframe.
🧭 Possible Scenarios
✅ BULLISH Scenario:
Condition: Support holds between 32.50 and 31.90 USD with a clear reversal candle.
Target: Move back toward the supply zone at 33.80 – 34.90 USD.
Confirmation: Break above 33.00 USD with increasing volume.
❌ BEARISH Scenario:
Condition: Weekly close below 31.90 USD → sign of weakness.
Target: Zone between 29.20 – 28.20 USD, a potential new institutional buy area.
Confirmation: Strong bearish break with follow-through and lack of buying reaction.
🧠 Operational Conclusion
Silver is at a critical decision point: bearish pressure from the monthly zones is evident, but as long as the 31.90/32.00 zone holds, buyers may still defend. A clean breakdown would open the door for a drop below $30.
Gold starts to surge, will it fall?In the early trading of the Asian market on Wednesday, spot gold rose slightly, once rising to around $3,275. Driven by safe-haven demand, US President Trump's uncertain tariff plan made investors nervous, and the relatively weak US dollar also provided support. The price of gold rose 0.59% on Tuesday to close at $3,229.27/.
According to US media, due to little progress in negotiations, the EU expects US tariffs to continue. Next is the EU's countermeasures. As one of the major trading partners of the United States, once the EU countermeasures, risk aversion will return; it is bound to constitute a wave of positives for gold bulls. This is also the reason why gold failed to successfully form a decent decline after several downward explorations at the beginning of this week; not only the EU, but also Japan, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, etc. will continue to counterattack!
The 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold continues to diverge upward, then gold bulls will continue to exert their strength. After gold breaks through 3245, 3245 has formed support in the short term. If gold falls back to 3245 in the morning, buy on dips. The strength of the previous wave of gold in the morning is still there, so after the surge, you should wait patiently for adjustments and continue to buy. Gold fell back to around 3250 in the early Asian market, and you can continue to buy.
Since the gold bulls have broken through, then go long with the trend, just wait patiently for opportunities. The gold bulls are rising steadily, let us continue to cheer for the gold bulls.
Based on the above analysis
In the gold bull trend, consider the callback layout of long orders first in today's operation. Pay attention to the resistance of 3280-3285 US dollars on the top and the support of 3255-3250 US dollars on the bottom.
Operation strategy 1: Sell in the range: 3283--3284 SL:3295
TP: 3260--3255
Operation strategy 2: Buy in the range: 3257--3256 SL:3245
TP: 3280--3282
Gold Trades I'm taking Today 1
So this is how i'll be making my videos from now on, talking about trades i will be taking if triggered, and i update if it was a win or loss.
For this trade, I'm playing with descending triangles and waiting for a break. These patterns are my best but they are more functional on higher-timeframes. This is a 45: meaning it might work or it might not.
I'm learning to just go for it when it comes to gold because i've missed a lot of trades because i hesitated. Let's see how this one plays out..
DXY Bounce Should Yield a Great Buy in Metalsestimated time frame 1-2 weeks to begin a ~1 month correction to a level we have not seen in a while
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 3241.69, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 3278.31, aligning with the 161.8% Fibo extension.
The stop loss is placed at 3185.65, below a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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GOLD is sending a clear signal!TVC:GOLD has been raging for years now and is sending a clear signal!
Are we going higher or are we due for a major correction!
Analysis of the latest trend of gold market on April 16:
Interpretation of news:
Risk aversion cools down
Gold rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of $3245.51/ounce during the session before turning down and finally closing at $3210.39 (down 0.85%). The main reason is that the White House exempted some electronic products from high tariffs, and the market risk appetite rebounded.
Key focus events:
Expectations of the Fed's policy shift: If the risk of economic recession increases, the Fed may suspend interest rate hikes or even cut interest rates, which will support gold in the long run
Geopolitical and tariff dynamics: The final scale of US tariffs on China and the trend of the June FOMC meeting may trigger market fluctuations.
Daily data: US import price index in March, New York Fed manufacturing index in April, and financial reports of Bank of America, Citigroup, etc.
Weekly major events: Fed Chairman Powell's speech + US "terrorist data" (retail sales), or further clarify the policy path.
Key points of long-short game
Favorable factors: potential economic recession, Fed's shift to easing, and geopolitical uncertainty.
Negative factors: short-term risk sentiment improved, dollar rebounded, technical overbought callback demand.
Technical analysis:
Daily level
Peak risk: Monday closed negative and failed to stand at the 3245 high. If it fails to break through this level on Tuesday and Wednesday, it may confirm the stage top and start a deep callback.
Key support: 3200-3205 area (previous breakthrough level), if it fails, it will look down to 3180-3150.
H4 cycle
Short-term trend: Currently holding the Bollinger middle rail (near 3195), if it remains above this, it may rise to the 3235-3245 range again.
MACD indicator: If a dead cross is formed and the momentum weakens, the callback signal will be strengthened.
Operation strategy
Short-term:
Short-term opportunity: Rebound to the 3230-3235 pressure zone and try short with a light position, stop loss above 3245, target 3210-3200.
Long position opportunity: Go long after the pullback to the 3200-3205 support band stabilizes, stop loss below 3190, target 3220-3230.
Mid-term: If the daily line closes negative continuously and falls below 3200, you can arrange a short position with a target of 3150-3100; on the contrary, if it breaks through 3245, chase the long position and look at 3280.
Key points:
Resistance: 3230-3235 (intraday strength and weakness boundary), 3245 (historical high).
Support: 3205-3200 (bull and bear competition area), 3195 (H4 middle track), 3180 (neckline).
Risk warning:
Be alert to Powell's speech releasing hawkish signals or retail data exceeding expectations, which may trigger a rebound in the US dollar and a sharp drop in gold.
If the geopolitical situation escalates (such as the conflict in the Middle East), the safe-haven property of gold will be highlighted again.
Conclusion: Gold is facing technical correction pressure in the short term, but the medium- and long-term bullish logic remains unchanged. It is recommended to focus on high shorts during the day, strictly stop losses, and pay close attention to news catalysts.
Unpopular opinion, but I think it's time to short GoldThis melt-up is approaching resistance, and the symmetry on the chart is compelling. It could set up a great short opportunity as gold consolidates ahead of its next major move higher, likely in 2027.
However, if it breaks out of the current channel, we could be entering a true melt-up phase — and there's potential for significantly higher prices.
4.15 Gold Trend Analysis Operation Strategy：
The core logic of the current gold trend
Double top suppression: A phased double top is formed near 3245. If the short-term rebound cannot break through 3220 (the original support turns into resistance), it may fall further.
4-hour level weakens:
MA10 moving average falls below, and 3220 becomes the key resistance.
If it cannot stand firm at 3220, it may drop to the MA20 moving average support (3180-3170).
Hourly line oscillation pattern:
Solidation within the range of 3193-3215, pay attention to the gains and losses of the MA10 moving average.
Downward line → callback to the middle track (near 3180); long lower shadow → continue high-level oscillation.
Today's operation strategy
🔹 Short order (main idea)
Entry: light position short near 3218-3220, stop loss 3225 (to prevent false breakthroughs).
Target: 3200-3195→Break to 3187.
Logic: 3220 resistance is effective + 4-hour structure is bearish.
🔹 Long order (auxiliary idea)
Entry: 3187-3190 stabilizes and goes long, stop loss 3180 (strict risk control).
Target: 3200-3210→Break to 3215.
Logic: 3180-3170 is the key support area, short-term rebound demand.
Key reminder
Characteristics of oscillating market: When there is no major data, sell high and buy low as the main method, avoid chasing ups and downs.
Breakthrough response:
Break above 3225→Stop loss for short orders, wait and see whether it will go long after stepping back.
Break below 3180→Stop loss for long orders, pay attention to the support effect of 3170.
Position management: Single transaction position ≤5%, stop loss must be brought!
📌 Summary: Prioritize rebound shorts during the day, but be wary of bullish counterattacks near 3180. Strictly follow the signals and don't hold orders!
GLD: in resistance zone to form mid-term top Price reached and important resistance levels to start forming the top of upward trend since 2022 bottom.
In precious metals fifth waves tend to extend beyond standard fib levels. So if price moves beyond 300, the door opens for a move to 308-330 resistance zone.
Wishing you successful trading and investing decision and thank you for attention!
The latest gold strategy analysis and precise guidanceAfter the surge, the bullish momentum weakened. The price fell back to around $3,100 during the European session, testing the lower support of the channel. Although the CPI data is bullish, if the inflation rises and strengthens the Fed's expectation of delaying interest rate cuts, it may suppress the upside of gold prices. Technically, if it falls below the 3100 support, it may fall back to the 3080-3078 range; on the contrary, if it stabilizes, it is expected to rebound to the 3150-3154 resistance line.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold at 3145-3155. Target 3115
Gold 10 yearsOne photo win thousand word.
Dollar collapse is inevitable.
The matter is, How long can it hold?
Will Copper Equities Catch up Before a Slowdown?Copper equities are lagging the metal and wit recession looming will they have time to be milked
XAGUSD H4 | Be arish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 32.71, a pullback resistance
Our take profit is set at 31.25, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 34.52, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold Assignment review and Intraday Reversal Market ProfileGold London consolidation and New York meltdown. Explaining the reasons. And OTE fibonacci levels
GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3.209.40 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,236.71.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD - Possible top formation on gold ?XAUUSD probably topped as I expected around 3200 - 1 fib extension from low 1046 to high 2075 and higher low 1614 (started to short at the precedent low 3157)
big daily bearish divergence on RSI as well
maybe double bottom in 1 or 2 weeks then will go all down till september thats my forecast
daily POC/and back to 0.618 fib extension is my target ~ 2500 (around -20% move)
____
any new ATH could bring gold to next fib extension at around 3850
Cheers
GOLD INTRADAY bullish above 3150Gold remains in a bullish trend following a breakout above previous all-time highs. The recent price action suggests strong upward momentum, with buyers currently in control.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
3150 – Key level from recent consolidation; likely to act as strong support.
3134 and 3074 – Deeper support levels if 3150 fails.
Resistance:
3270 – First major resistance target.
3285 and 3310 – Additional upside targets on continued strength.
Scenarios:
Bullish: A pullback to 3150 followed by a bounce could trigger a move toward 3270 and beyond.
Bearish: A daily close below 3150 would weaken the bullish setup, potentially leading to a drop toward 3134 or 3074.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently showing bullish momentum, but watch for a possible pullback to 3150. A bounce from that level would confirm continued strength, while a break below it would shift the short-term bias to neutral or bearish.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
