Nasdaq 100 Volatility. US Tech Stocks Remain 'Runoff Smelling'It's gone two months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. only two monts, really? 😸) since comrade Trump entered The White House (again).
Everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on hyped bullsh#t.
- And now?..
- It's gone. It's absolutely gone..!
Leveraged bets and crypto assets turned into Bearish market; all four major US indices (S&P500, DJIA, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000) are negative over the past two months, while Gold OANDA:XAUUSD has doubled in price over the past 5 years (4th time in history ever), and remain the only is premium positioned.
This is why we at our 💖 Beloved @PandorraResearch Team decided to paint this idea for Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index CBOE:VXN to emphasize (again) that nothing last forever and no one should chase a feather, or dust in the wind.
Broadly-known ominously among investors as the "fear index" and launched by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (now the Cboe) in 1993, the Volatility Index (VIX) is meant to present the market's expectation of volatility over the coming 30 days. The metric is derived from options prices on the S&P 500 Index and captures the anticipated swings that drive investor sentiment.
In recent years, the VIX has become a far more central index, especially during periods of financial turbulence, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. During these stretches, spikes in the VIX reflected widespread anxiety; during others, it's been a crucial barometer for market participants seeking a glimpse into investors' collective psyche. When the VIX is low, this suggests calm seas ahead. When it spikes, it signals approaching storms.
Every single stock index do have its own volatility.
This story (again) is about Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index CBOE:VXN
The Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index (VXN) is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by NASDAQ-100 Index (NDX) option prices. It measures the market's expectation of 30-day volatility implicit in the prices of near-term NASDAQ-100 options. VXN is quoted in percentage points, just like the standard deviation of a rate of return, e.g. 19.36. Cboe disseminates the VXN index value continuously during trading hours.
The VXN Index is a leading barometer of investor sentiment and market volatility relating to the NASDAQ-100 Index.
Learn more about Methodology for Calculation of the VXN Index, using official CBOE website.
Technical observations
The main technical graph indicates that CBOE:VXN Index has recently jumped to current 'above 20' basic points.
In nowadays 'above 20' VXN levels indicate on further potentail Bearish progress in US Tech Stocks (Nasdaq 100 Index NASDAQ:NDX ).
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
Metals
Gold (XAU/USD) Holds Above $3,000, But Momentum Slowing?Gold prices are holding firm above $3,000, with the metal last trading near $3,021.80, up 0.33% on the day. The broader trend remains bullish, supported by an ascending trendline and the 50-day SMA around $2,881, but price action has flattened out in recent sessions.
🔹 MACD is still above zero, but fading slightly—momentum may be cooling.
🔹 RSI at 65.63 is elevated but no longer overbought.
🔹 Price remains well above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the uptrend.
Support Zones:
$2,960 (trendline support)
$2,880 (50-day SMA)
Resistance:
$3,040 (recent swing high)
$3,100+ psychological level
Gold remains in an uptrend, but the bulls may need a catalyst to extend the rally meaningfully from here. Watch for a trendline break or momentum divergence as early warning signs.
-MW
Gold Nears $3,010, PCE in FocusGold hovered around $3,010 per ounce after three straight losses as markets observed Trump’s mixed tariff signals. He suggested possible levies on cars and Venezuelan oil but hinted some countries may be exempt from next week’s reciprocal tariffs, creating uncertainty.
Gold remained supported, though pressure came from Fed official Raphael Bostic, who forecast slower inflation progress and just one 25bps rate cut this year. Friday’s PCE data is now awaited for more clues on the Fed’s next move.
XAU/USD: Bullish Momentum Holds with Breakout PotentialXAU/USD closed its third straight bullish week, with price testing Tuesday’s low before rebounding and closing near the 50% mark of the weekly range. Despite a brief dip, the candle closed above last week’s high, showing continued strength. A breakout above the 3,000 level raises the potential for further gains, especially if the market opens with a gap up.
On the daily timeframe, Friday's candle recovered after early weakness, resembling a previous pullback seen earlier this month. With a 1.90% retracement, the structure suggests possible upward continuation. The market is currently moving sideways within Friday’s range, hovering around the 3,030 key level.
While high-impact news could cause volatility, any pullback toward the 3,000 support zone—aligned with the trendline and previous week’s high—may offer buying opportunities. A breakout from the inside bar pattern forming on the daily chart could target the 3075 resistance zone
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, forming a gap up on the daily chart. It showed a strong, one-directional rebound up to the 5-week moving average on the weekly chart.
Since the 5-week MA overlaps with the 60-week MA, it's unlikely to break through easily without a short-term correction.
On the daily chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, meaning that even if a pullback occurs, the strategy should remain buy-on-dip oriented.
There is still an open gap down to 19,960, which could be filled at any time—so it's important to consider the possibility of a retest of that level. If the gap is filled, that area could be a good support zone to buy from.
On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum entered around the zero line, confirming a breakout after basing in a range. Therefore, buying on pullbacks remains the preferred approach in this structure.
Crude Oil
Crude oil continued its upward move, closing higher on the daily chart.
With strong support around the $68 level, the market could potentially rise toward the $70 zone, and possibly test resistance between $70–$71, which is a key area to watch closely.
Overall, traders should continue to buy on dips, but be cautious with chasing long positions above $70. If taking short positions, they should be managed with tight stop-losses.
On the 240-minute chart, oil appears to be in the midst of a third wave rally, so any short positions should be considered above $70, while buying pullbacks remains valid.
Current Middle East tensions and U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil are contributing to a supply risk premium in oil prices.
Since the market is recovering from the lows and showing a positive technical setup, short trades should be managed carefully with proper risk control.
Gold
Gold closed lower, remaining within its range-bound structure. On the daily chart, gold is currently trading between the 3-day and 5-day MAs above, and the 10-day MA below, forming a narrow consolidation zone. This makes sell-at-highs and buy-at-lows strategies effective.
Since there's room for a pullback to the 5-week MA on the weekly chart, chasing longs is not advised. If the MACD crosses below the signal line, this could create a bearish divergence, leading to potential sharp downside, so caution is warranted.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is failing to break above the signal line and continues to decline. However, since the signal line remains above the zero line, a rebound attempt is likely, even if the MACD dips below zero.
Given the current slope and distance, it's unlikely that a golden cross will form soon. Also, traders should keep in mind that major economic data such as GDP and PCE reports are scheduled later this week, which could influence market direction.
If you can understand the daily chart structure, you can better anticipate intraday high/low ranges and potential wave patterns. Make it a habit to perform thorough daily chart analysis each day, and prepare a trading scenario that suits the market’s behavior. As always, questions are welcome.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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Gold continues uptrend from $3,000Dear traders, greetings to all!
Gold opened the new trading week at $3,023 per ounce, unchanged from the closing price last weekend. The precious metal remained steady at the start of the week as markets await the latest U.S. economic data releases in the coming days. Nevertheless, both analysts and experts believe that gold prices could continue rising as money flows from individual and institutional investors are choosing gold as a safe-haven asset.
The key data to watch this week is the core personal consumption expenditure index, excluding energy and food prices, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure. Markets will also focus on how U.S. consumers are coping in a world of increasing economic uncertainty. Additionally, other notable information this week includes S&P's global manufacturing PMI, services sector data; consumer confidence, new home sales; durable goods orders; pending home sales, and more.
Based on my personal assessment, I predict that gold prices will continue to rise in the short term, at least for the next few weeks. While the $3,000 price level might cause some hesitation among buyers, I still expect a steady upward trend.
Daily bias for Spot gold #xauusd I have spotted an absolute Low so we should definitely see some bullish pressure on gold for the rest of the day
Take a look at my markup as I have marked previous day high and low and from experience determined that the previous days low is an absolute low so we should definitely see some bullish pressure building up as the day goes on.
GOLD short-term market analysis and signalsGold continued to fall on the daily line, bottomed out and rebounded on Friday. After a sharp retracement of the 3000 mark, the gold price closed above 3020. The daily closing price was still above the MA10/7-day moving average, and the RSI indicator was running at a high value of 70. As of now, the MA10/7-day moving average still remains upward, at 3023/3000 respectively!
In the short-term four-hour chart, the gold price is in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the MA10/7-day moving average opens downward. The current resistance point is 3028 and the middle track of the Bollinger Band is 3032. The RSI indicator returns to the middle axis 50 value for consolidation. The hourly chart RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the price is in the middle track of the Bollinger Band. It is expected that the market will be consolidated in a large range at the beginning of this week!
After the market rose to the 3057 line, long positions took profits, and the market ran downward, with the lowest price reaching 2999. The current decline is just a correction to the previous rise. After the correction, continue to be bullish!
As for whether the correction is over, from the perspective of form, considering the current technical side is bearish, short-term operations are mainly sold at high levels below 3038, and then consider buying at low prices.
Key points:
First support: 3013, second support: 3005, third support: 2992
First resistance: 3030, second resistance: 3035, third resistance: 3046
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3000-3003, SL: 2992, TP: 3020-3030;
Sell: 3037-3040, SL: 3048, TP: 3020-3010;
GOLD INTRADAY, Overbought sideways consolidation capped by 3060Trend Analysis:
Gold price action exhibits a bullish sentiment, underpinned by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday movement appears to be a corrective sideways consolidation, suggesting that the bullish momentum remains intact despite short-term profit-taking and consolidation.
Key Level (3000):
The critical trading level to watch is 3000, which marks the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback toward this level, followed by a bullish bounce, would reaffirm the strength of the uptrend and could trigger further buying interest.
Resistance Levels:
If the bullish sentiment prevails and the price bounces back from the 3000 level, the upside targets include:
3060 - Immediate resistance level.
3082 - Secondary resistance level.
3100 - Long-term bullish target.
Bearish Scenario:
Conversely, a confirmed loss of the 3000 support level, accompanied by a daily close below it, would negate the bullish outlook. This breakdown could pave the way for a deeper retracement, targeting:
2984 - Initial downside support.
2951 - Major support zone.
Conclusion:
The Gold market remains bullish amid the prevailing uptrend, with the 3000 level acting as a critical support. A successful bounce from this level would likely see the continuation of the upward movement toward 3060, 3082, and 3100. However, a confirmed break below 3000 could trigger a deeper correction, opening the way for a retest of 2984 and 2951 support levels. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 3000 mark to gauge the next directional move.
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Gold starts to pull back, continue to shortSince gold has already started to adjust at a high level, and gold bears have gradually started to exert their strength, can gold fall below 3000 again? We will wait and see.
Operation ideas:
It is recommended to go short at 3035-3030, stop loss at 3045, and target at 3005-3000;
GOLD → Long Squeeze (False Breakdown of Bullish Trend Support)OANDA:XAUUSD following a strong wave of liquidation on Friday, gold is now retesting a key support area around 3004.9 – where price action briefly created a “false break” before staging a modest rebound. The broader bullish momentum remains intact, fueled by ongoing geopolitical tensions and heightened demand for safe-haven assets.
Last week, price action mainly fluctuated within the 3024–3045 consolidation zone. The Friday sell-off occurred against the backdrop of expectations that the White House will revise tariff policies, signaling a potential easing stance toward major trade partners. Additionally, positive sentiment stemming from ongoing negotiations in Eastern Europe – where the U.S. plays a pivotal role – continues to provide a supportive environment for gold.
This week, market focus shifts to U.S.–Russia talks and preliminary PMI data, both of which could inject significant volatility if outcomes deviate from expectations.
From a technical perspective, the 3024 level is the key pivot point. As long as buyers defend this zone, the bullish trend is likely to extend toward the 3045–3056 resistance range. A breakout above this resistance could open the door for a retest of the all-time high. However, price action near that zone could trigger profit-taking and lead to a temporary pullback.
Why GBPJPY is bullish ?? Detailed Technical and FundamentalsGBPJPY is currently trading around 193.000, with technical analysis indicating a potential bullish breakout that could yield gains exceeding 300 pips, targeting the 198.000 level. This anticipated movement is supported by the pair’s recent behavior, where it edged higher to 194.89 before a slight retreat, suggesting consolidation ahead of a possible upward surge. A strong breakout from the current resistance zone could trigger an aggressive bullish wave.
Fundamentally, the British pound has shown resilience, bolstered by stable economic indicators and a proactive monetary policy stance from the Bank of England. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen has experienced depreciation, influenced by the Bank of Japan’s commitment to maintaining ultra-loose monetary policies. The widening interest rate differential between the UK and Japan favors a stronger GBP, adding bullish momentum to the pair.
Technical indicators further reinforce the bullish outlook for GBP/JPY. The pair has been trading within a consolidation range, and a breakout above the current resistance level could signal the continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Moving averages and oscillators are aligning to support this bullish scenario, with the potential to reach the 198.000 target. Volume analysis also suggests growing buying pressure, which could accelerate the upward move once resistance is breached.
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a confirmed breakout could present a lucrative opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated 300-pip movement. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to mitigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in navigating this trading opportunity effectively.
Ukraine Talks and Gaza Tensions Influence XAUUSD Gold dipped to around $3,015 per ounce as hopes for a Russia-Ukraine peace deal grew after talks between Ukrainian and U.S. officials. Further negotiations with Russia are expected later today.
Despite the drop, gold remains supported by the tension over U.S. tariffs and Fed rate cut expectations. The Fed kept rates steady last week while signaling two potential cuts this year. Meanwhile, geopolitical pressures remain high as Israel resumed airstrikes on Hamas targets in Gaza.
Key resistance stands at $3082, with further levels at $3100 and $3,150. Support is at $3000, followed by $2,980 and $2,916.
Gold prices remain on the riseLast week, the world gold price surpassed the historical peak of over 3,057 USD/ounce but quickly decreased due to profit-taking pressure from investors. However, the price remained above the psychological support level of 3,000 USD/ounce - a level that many experts predicted would be an important support in the coming time.
The general sentiment in the market is still leaning towards optimism. Many central banks continue to increase their gold reserves as a way to diversify away from the USD. Meanwhile, individual investors and ETFs have also begun to return to the gold market.
Data from the SPDR Gold Shares fund shows that the amount of gold held has increased by more than 37 tons this year, to 910 tons. Although this figure is still lower than in 2020, the upward momentum is returning due to concerns about inflation and escalating trade tensions.
Could the Gold reverse from here?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,032.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,056.27
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 3,005.17
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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XAGUSD - Hunting for Bullish Entries on Smaller TFThe Silver/USD 4-hour chart displays a significant retracement from recent highs around $3,420, with price currently rebounding near the $3,300 level. This correction has brought price to test both the ascending trendline and the horizontal support at $3,275 (marked by the red line), creating a potential buying opportunity. Given the overall uptrend structure and the recent bounce from this dual support zone, we need to prepare for finding buy setups on smaller timeframes. Traders should shift to lower timeframe charts (15-minute, 30-minute, or 1-hour) to identify precise entry signals. The price action suggests a potential retest of the upper blue reaction zone after completing the current zigzag correction, as indicated by the directional arrow on the chart. Monitoring these smaller timeframes will help capture optimal entry points with tighter stop-losses while maintaining the broader bullish bias shown on this 4-hour chart.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SILVER pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3032 and a gap below at 3015. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking for a while now. If you have only started following us, please read the updates below at the bottom from previous weeks to see how effectively we have been tracking this.
Last week we completed target to the channel top and stated that if we see ema5 lock outside the channel then we will look for support outside the channel on the channel top for a continuation.
- This played out perfectly with ema5 cross outside of the channel top and then the channel top provided support for a continuation. We are now seeing no candle body close or ema5 lock above 3052 confirming the rejection and expect to see play between 3007 and 3052 to break and confirm our next range.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
LAST WEEK UPDATE
The half line of our unique channel gave the perfect bounce into the next axis target at 2904, inline with our plans to buy dips just like we stated. We now have a body close once again with ema5 cross and lock above 2904 leaving the range above open. We will continue to look for support at the ascending half-line of the channel, as we climb into the range.
PREVIOUS WEEKS UPDATE
After completing our Bullish targets we stated that the channel top will act as resistance confirmed with ema5 rejection. A break of the channel top with ema5 would confirm a continuation and failure would confirm rejection. This allowed us to identify true breakouts against fake outs.
We also stated that we need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range, should we continue to track further up. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom. The safest way to track this movement is by buying dips.
- Once again this played out perfectly as we got the rejection on the channel top followed with the channel half line test, which gave the perfect bounce like we stated. We will now either look for a continuation from this bounce or a cross and lock below the half line for a break into the lower channel floor.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
After tracking and completing our last weekly chart successfully we have now updated a new weekly chart idea to track our long term range and targets.
We are currently seeing a candle break above the channel half-line and will need ema5 to co=follow to confirm the break out for a continuation above.
However, we have a detachment to ema5 lagging also potentially due for a correction. The play range on the weekly chart is 2943 below and 3094 above. We will look for ema5 lock or body close above or below to confirm the next mid to long term range.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX