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Buying the Dip or Catching a Knife? My Gold Setup Explained.Entered a long position on XAU/USD from the 1H demand zone following sharp intraday selling into a key support level. With gold hovering near $3,300 and a significant testimony from Fed Chair Powell on deck, the setup aligns with both technical rebound potential and fundamental uncertainty that could fuel upside. The goal here is to play the liquidity vacuum left after aggressive positioning was cleared, with tight invalidation and asymmetric reward. Technicals: • Entry aligned with prior price inefficiency and confluence of multiple demand zones • 1H structure shows clear deviation below the range with immediate buy-side response • EMA channel flattening, indicating potential compression ahead of expansion • First target: $3,352 • Risk-managed with defined stop-loss below $3,260 Execution Note: This is not a “hold forever” trade. It’s an opportunistic reaction to unwind + sentiment imbalance. Fundamentals • Gold saw a 25% surge in 2024 due to safe-haven demand and dovish policy, but enters 2025 under pressure from: ▫️ A strong USD ▫️ Higher cost of carry ▫️ Speculators taking profit • Fed policy remains the core variable: ▫️ A hawkish tone from Powell could weigh on price ▫️ Rate cuts would likely revive bullish momentum • Central bank demand remains supportive • Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran) could trigger safe-haven bids again. Bearish headwinds: • Waning bullish momentum per RSI divergence • Reduced rate cut expectations post-election • Powell’s testimony could revive volatility either way. This is a short-term tactical long, not a macro bet. With sentiment temporarily overextended and key support defended intraday, this is a high R/R window to exploit Powell-related volatility. Let’s see how price reacts into $3,350+. Any sustained strength there would open room toward $3,400, while failure would confirm a retest of $3,260s. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by AR33_
BTC/USD Fake out before Pump | Bullish Flag formationBTC/USDT (1D) Market Outlook – July 1, 2025 Introduction BTC is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern after printing a swing high at 108.9K and a recent swing low at 98K. The price sits just below a major supply zone. Context 1: Key Zones Supply: 104.6K – 112.1K Demand: 74.4K – 82.5K Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3 zones below price, with one near 88–90K Context 2: Technical Confluence Liquidation Zone: 106.2K Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618): 102.1K Psychological Levels: 105K and 110K Context 3: Market Structure Pattern: Bullish flag Trend (LTF): Sideways/consolidation Volume Profile: Heavy activity near 105K–110K Bullish Scenario Breaks above 106.2K (liq zone) Pulls back to 102.1K (golden pocket), forms higher low Retests resistance for continuation Alt scenario: clean breakout above resistance → ATH retest Bearish Scenario Breaks below 106.2K and flag support Fills FVG, breaks prior low at 98K Triggers macro downtrend toward 88–90K zone Summary BTC is at a decision point inside a bullish flag, facing supply. A break above 106.2K favors upside continuation, while rejection and a lower low could trigger a deeper retracement. Watch key levels closely.
Long
by King_BennyBag
10
Gold Holds Above 3342 Ahead of Key U.S Data –Bullish Bias IntactGold Rises as Market Awaits Key U.S. Economic Data Gold prices are pushing higher as investors position ahead of today’s major U.S. economic releases, including NFP and unemployment figures. Expectations of weaker data are supporting bullish sentiment. Technical Outlook (XAU/USD): Gold maintains a bullish structure as long as it trades above 3,342. → A push toward 3,365 is likely → A 1H close above 3,365 would open the path toward 3,375 However, if price closes below 3,342 on the 1H chart, bearish momentum may build, targeting 3,331 and 3,320 Key Levels: • Resistance: 3,365 / 3,375 / 3,390 • Support: 3,341 / 3,331 / 3,320
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
First Drop to 3307–3289, Then Buy for the Next UptrendOur system has identified a strong short signal across short-term, medium-term, and long-term timeframes as of July 3, 2025, with confidence levels above 89%. All durations are aligned, indicating a synchronized momentum shift. Entry Point : 3354.43 Short-Term TP : 3334.30 Medium-Term TP : 3320.89 Long-Term TP : 3307.47~ 3289 📉 Based on the current market structure and signal convergence, TeconLab expects XAUUSD to drop into the 3307–3289 range, where a potential reversal zone is likely to form. 🛡️ Safest Entry for Buy: The 3289 level is considered the most favorable area for entering long positions after the expected correction completes. 📈 After reaching this zone, our system anticipates a new uptrend to begin, offering a fresh opportunity for upside movement. The TP Zigzag path displayed on the chart outlines the projected decline with target steps, preparing for a potential bullish reversal afterward.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by teconlab
3
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 3,347.97. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,408.78 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
DeGRAM | GOLD retest of the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis ● Price holds above the broken blue resistance line, now acting as support near 3 347, while an inner up-sloper is guiding a stair of higher lows inside the new grey channel. ● The confluence of channel mid-line and 3 355 swing high is the gate; its clearance activates an equal-width objective at 3 380, with the outer rail / former consolidation lid at 3 425 next. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Easing US ISM-services prices trimmed real 2-yr yields and the dollar, while latest WGC data show June net central-bank purchases rising for a third month, reviving dip-buying in gold. ✨ Summary Long 3 345–3 355; hold above 3 355 targets 3 380 → 3 425. Invalidate on an H1 close below 3 320. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
4
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy July 3, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy July 3, 2025: Yesterday's trading session went in line with our prediction when the gold price approached the 332x support area and then bounced back strongly. However, at the beginning of today's Asian session, the price corrected sharply after peaking at 3365. Fundamental analysis: The number of ADP jobs in the United States recorded a decrease of 33,000 in June, the lowest since March 2023, which shows that the labor market is clearly weakening, raising concerns about the slowdown of the US economy. Technical analysis: After approaching the 332x support area, the gold price bounced back strongly, currently the gold price is still following the MA 20. We will wait at the support areas to be able to trade, however, today's reports and news can strongly influence, leading to unpredictable fluctuations in the gold price; In addition, we should also be careful before the short profit-taking phase that may occur today or tomorrow. Important price zones today: 3322 - 3327, 3338 - 3343 and 3375 - 3380. Today's trading trend: BUY (scalp). Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3337 - 3339 SL 3334 TP 3342 - 3350 - 3360 - 3380. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3322 - 3324 SL 3319 TP 3327 - 3340 - 3360 - 3380. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3378 - 3380 SL 3383 TP 3375 - 3365 - 3355 - 3345 - Open (small vol). Wish you a safe and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
OANDA:XAUUSD
by dieginrig
TRADING KNOWLEDGE – MOVING AVERAGE (MA)The Moving Average (MA) is a popular technical indicator that helps smooth out price data to better identify market trends. MA doesn't predict the future but helps traders clearly see the current direction of the market. 🔍 2 Main Types of MA: 🔔 SMA (Simple Moving Average): The average of closing prices over a set period (e.g., SMA 20 = average of the last 20 candles). 🔔 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Similar to SMA but gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to market changes. 📈 What is MA used for? 📍Trend Identification: 💡Upward sloping MA → Uptrend 💡Downward sloping MA → Downtrend 📍Trading Signals: 💡Price crossing above MA → Buy signal 💡Price crossing below MA → Sell signal 📍Combining Two MAs (Short & Long Term): 💡Short MA crosses above long MA → Buy signal (Golden Cross) 💡Short MA crosses below long MA → Sell signal (Death Cross)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RyderForex
Gold Breakout Retest – Will PRZ Trigger the Next Rally?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) as I expected in yesterday's idea . Gold seems to have broken the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) and Resistance lines and is pulling back to this zone. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed wave 3 and is currently completing wave 4 . I expect Gold to have a chance to rise back to the Resistance zone($3,394-$3,366) after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,297=Worst SL Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
23
GOLD → Attempt to consolidate above 3350 for growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD , after retesting resistance at 3347, is breaking through the key level, while bulls are trying to hold their ground above support. There is potential for growth to 3400. Gold retreated from its weekly high of $3366 ahead of key US employment data (NFP), which could set a new direction for the movement. But technically, this looks like a correction to consolidate above the level before continuing to rise. After three days of growth, the price faced selling amid a recovery in the dollar and profit-taking. Weak employment data (especially below 100,000) could reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut as early as July and support gold. Conversely, a strong report will strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The market is bracing for high volatility Resistance levels: 3363, 3393, 3400 Support levels: 3347, 3336, 3311 The price has entered a new range of 3345-3400. Consolidation is forming above the support level before a possible rise. I do not rule out another retest of 3345-3336 (liquidity zone) before realization and a rally to 3400. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
Gold Market Update: Stuck in summer time range / SeasonalityGold is stuck so far last 4-6 weeks in tight range trading conditions due to summer time seasonality also strong gains previously expecting range locked conditions in July as well here's an overview of 5 years and 10 years of seasonality data by month until at least August expecting dead market conditions it's best to focus on trading the range or trading with automated algo instead. Here are the two tables showing month-over-month percent changes in gold prices (London PM fix USD/oz) for June, July, and August: | Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % | | ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: | | 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% | | 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% | | 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% | | 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% | | 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% | | Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % | | ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: | | 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% | | 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% | | 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% | | 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% | | 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% | | 2018 | 1,270.00\* | 1,230.00\* | 1,194.00\* | –1.09% | –3.15% | –3.02% | | 2017 | 1,257.00\* | 1,243.00\* | 1,280.00\* | +0.72% | –1.10% | +2.93% | | 2016 | 1,255.00\* | 1,364.00\* | 1,322.00\* | +3.24% | +8.67% | –3.11% | | 2015 | 1,180.00\* | 1,172.00\* | 1,116.00\* | –2.06% | –0.68% | –4.69% | | 2014 | 1,320.00\* | 1,311.00\* | 1,312.00\* | –0.65% | –0.68% | +0.08% | 🔍 Summary Highlights June has been weak more often than not—negative in 6 of the past 10 years. July shows modest gains overall—positive in 7 of the last 10. August is the strongest summer month—positive 6 times out of the past 10, with several double-digit y/y gains (like +10.99% in 2020).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
28
Gold Supported by Trade HopesGold traded around $3,360 per ounce on Thursday, supported by news of a US-Vietnam trade deal and ongoing dollar weakness. The deal, which eases some tariffs on Vietnamese goods, increased hopes for further bilateral agreements. Meanwhile, softer US labor data, ADP figures showed the first payrolls drop in over two years, strengthened the case for Fed easing. Tensions in the Middle East, with Iran halting cooperation with the UN nuclear agency, added a touch of geopolitical risk. Resistance is at $3,395, while support holds at $3,330.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Gold trend analysis and layout before NFP data📰 News information： 1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data 2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve 📈 Technical Analysis： Due to the Independence Day holiday this week, the NFP data was released ahead of schedule today, while the policy differences within the Federal Reserve have brought uncertainty to the market. Judging from the market trend, the 4H level shows that the gold price tested the upper track yesterday and then turned to high-level fluctuations after coming under pressure. In the short term, the structure still has bullish momentum after completing the accumulation of power. Although there was a correction in the US market yesterday, it stopped falling and rebounded near 3335, further confirming the strength. At present, the upper resistance in the European session is at 3365-3375, and the short-term support is at 3345-3335 below. Intraday trading still requires good SL to withstand market fluctuations. In terms of trading, it is recommended to mainly go long on callbacks 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3365-3375 TP 3350-3340-3335 BUY 3335-3330-3325 TP 3350-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 3Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3400, support level 3300 4-hour chart resistance level 3382, support level 3327 1-hour chart resistance level 3364, support level 3341 After bottoming out, the lowest point of yesterday's correction, 3327, has become an important support. Today's gold is still a strategy of buying at a low level. This idea can be maintained before the release of NFP employment data. Tomorrow, the US Independence Day will be closed for one day. The NFP data will be released in advance today, and the trading market will be closed in advance. Judging from the current market trend, today it broke through the previous high of 3357. Today's Asian session slightly rose to 3365 and then quickly fell back to 3341. The low point of the Asian session retracement of 3341 is a small support. The second is the low point of 3333 in the US session yesterday. The support point of 3333/41 can be bought when the European session falls back. The possibility of a unilateral rise in the high point of today before the NFP data is small. I expect it to fluctuate and wait patiently for a pullback to buy. Today's NY market risk is relatively high. Please try to avoid trading during news time! Buy: 3341near Buy: 3333near
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold Gains Strength as the Dollar Wobbles – What’s Next?Hello, my dear friends – let’s take a fresh look at gold after yesterday’s moves! At the moment, gold is trading steadily around 3,345 USD as the market awaits tonight’s highly anticipated U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. Yesterday’s ADP data caused a mild shake in sentiment, showing the first drop in private sector employment in over two years. This immediately fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve could move to cut interest rates sooner than expected — putting pressure on the U.S. dollar and offering support to gold as a non-yielding safe haven. Meanwhile, the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has slipped to its lowest level in nearly three years, making dollar-denominated assets like gold more attractive to international investors. On top of that, lingering geopolitical tensions and ongoing strong central bank buying continue to reinforce gold’s role as a long-term store of value. From a technical perspective on the H4 timeframe, gold is showing a very tight structure after breaking out of a prolonged downtrend channel. Price is currently consolidating between 3,330 and 3,360 USD, with a clearly defined bullish formation: higher highs and higher lows — a strong signal that the uptrend is starting to take shape again. The key level to watch now is 3,358 USD. If price breaks above this level with convincing buying momentum, I expect gold to enter a new bullish leg toward 3,390 – 3,407 USD, aligning with the Fibonacci 1.618 extension — often a magnet for price during strong trends. On the other hand, if there’s a short-term pullback, the support zone around 3,327 – 3,318 USD will be critical, offering a potential re-entry point for buyers looking to ride the next wave up. This is not a phase for impulsive decisions — but it’s definitely not a moment to be passive either. The breakout could come fast, and only prepared traders will be ready to act.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Smith_TradingFX
9
GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakout.FX:XAUUSD breaks the downward resistance line on the senior timeframe and tests the upper limit of the trading range amid the falling dollar and Powell's speech. The metal may continue its upward movement. The dollar's rise was short-lived after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at an imminent interest rate cut, but not in July... The probability of a rate cut in July fell to 22%, and in September to 72%. Markets are awaiting fresh employment data (ADP and Nonfarm Payrolls), which could influence the prospects for rate cuts. Weak reports could revive interest in gold, but for now, the asset remains under pressure due to the short-term strengthening of the dollar and uncertainty surrounding Fed policy. Technically, if the pre-breakout structure remains intact and gold continues to attack resistance within the local range of 3347-3330 (3335), the chances of further growth will be high... Resistance levels: 3347, 3358 Support levels: 3336, 3316, 3311 The global trend is upward, and locally, the price is also returning to growth. If the bulls can maintain the current trend, break through the resistance at 3347, and hold their ground above this level, then the next target will be 3390-3400. I do not rule out a correction to 3325, 3316 (liquidity hunt) before the growth continues. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
44
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3355, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8 Fib retracement. Our take profit is set at 3343 an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 3365.97, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu