GOLD LONG-TERM FORECAST UPDATEMonthly Chart: Gold is forming an internal high and low, indicating a potential reversal.
Weekly Chart: Inside bar formation, waiting for market sweep. Expecting a bullish move after sweep.
Daily Chart: CRT pattern confirmed, targeting lower levels. Our bullish area remains at $2580-
Stay tuned for further updates!
Metals
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3271.6
Sl - 3260.0
Tp - 3293.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks 📌 Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks – Political Noise Drives Volatility 🧨📉
Gold (XAU/USD) saw a sharp intraday drop following comments from President Trump, who confirmed that trade talks with China are “ongoing” — despite China denying any official negotiations had taken place. The market interpreted this as a signal of de-escalation, prompting a short-term price correction.
Gold had previously rallied past $3,500/oz, supported by a weaker USD and strong demand from bargain hunters after last week’s sharp decline. However, the current political contradictions and tariff headlines are creating erratic moves across all asset classes.
🌍 Fundamental Context
The USD weakened, stocks lost momentum, and risk sentiment shifted after a confusing round of statements from the US and China.
Meanwhile, US jobless claims rose slightly, reflecting a resilient labour market amid tariff-related headwinds.
Today’s Core Retail Sales data in the US could add more volatility heading into the weekly candle close.
It’s Friday — expect possible liquidity sweeps and aggressive price spikes as the market prepares for weekend risk-off moves.
📊 Trading Outlook – 26 April
We're seeing signs of a tactical pullback, but long setups should be delayed until political headlines stabilise. Focus on intraday reaction zones — not aggressive positioning.
🔻 SELL ZONES
3384 – 3386
• SL: 3390
• TP: 3380 → 3376 → 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → ???
3406 – 3408
• SL: 3412
• TP: 3400 → 3396 → 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360
🟢 BUY ZONES
3288 – 3286
• SL: 3282
• TP: 3292 → 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3310
3270 – 3268
• SL: 3264
• TP: 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290
🛡️ Final Notes & Strategy
Avoid rushing BUY entries — allow Price to complete its corrective phase and wait for structure and confirmation.
Today’s Core Retail Sales (US) could trigger a fresh wave of volatility.
It’s also weekly close Friday, so prepare for potential false breaks and stop hunts.
✅ Stick to your TP/SL. Protect your capital first — clarity will come when the dust settles.
💬 Are you watching for a short-term bounce or planning to fade strength near resistance? Let us know in the comments below! 👇👇👇
SILVER: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 32.982 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,270.77 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,242.15..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD:25/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3370, and the support level is 3260
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3328, and the support level is 3260
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3320, and the support level is 3287.
Gold rose to 3370.7 in the Asian session today and then fell sharply to 3287.4. It is currently trading around 3293. The technical side shows a fierce game between long and short positions.
If it falls below 3287, the decline will extend to 3260-3250. Then we will continue to short to 3200 next week.
If it breaks through 3328 upward, it will turn strong in the short term and continue to be bullish.
It is recommended to follow the trend trading after the breakthrough. The volatility is too large and it is not suitable for the strategy of selling high and buying low
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-25 : Inside Breakaway patternToday's Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern. I suggest this pattern could play a pivotal role in how the markets setup for the May 2 Major Bottom pattern I'm expecting.
You'll see in this video how any move to the upside could present a broadening of the consolidation range - resulting in even bigger price volatility going forward.
Yet, I believe the markets will stall and roll a bit downward/sideways today. Possibly resulting in a move back into the lower consolidation range as we ROLL off resistance.
As I suggested last weekend, I see no reason to assume the markets are "cleared for take-off" yet. Tariffs and political concerns are still driving uncertainty.
I think we are seeing Q1 earnings inflate the markets while the fundamental elements of the global markets are still somewhat unsettled.
I urge traders to HEDGE any open trades going into this weekend. If the markets don't make any clear moves today, hedge any positions you hold into next week.
Gold & Silver are showing signs of minor panic selling. I see that as traders wanting to retest the $3300/$33 levels for Gold/Silver.
I still believe Gold/Silver will skyrocket higher. But, probably not going to happen today.
BTCUSD is making an interesting move higher. Potentially invalidating the previous EPP pattern and/or setting up a very broad consolidation range.
It will be interesting to see how BTCUSD continues to trend over the next few months.
Remember, I'm hopefully helping all of you find ways to improve your trading and find better results.
Get some..
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Gold can break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. For a while, Gold was confidently moving within an upward channel, with each impulse supported by rebounds from the lower boundary. After breaking out of the buyer zone, the price made a strong bullish move, supported by momentum and healthy corrections. This movement continued up to the current support level at 3285, where the price began to stall. Then, a classic Head and Shoulders pattern has now fully formed. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible and aligned with the support area, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. This isn't random, it's a well-defined reversal signal forming after an extended bullish leg. The rejection from the right shoulder shows evident seller control, and the price is now testing the neckline from below. The support area has already been broken once, and any bounce from here appears corrective rather than impulsive. Given this setup, I expect that price can fully breakdown toward the 3060 level, which acts as both a strong historical support and my TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold’s ATH Rally Slowing Down – Needs Correction!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been on a strong uptrend in recent weeks , creating a new All-Time High(ATH) almost every day. Will a new ATH be created after $3,500 in the coming days? What do you think?
Gold is moving between the Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) and Support zone($3,282-$3,245) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has started to form Corrective Waves after recording the latest ATH . Gold is completing a Zigzag Correction wave (ABC/5-3-5) ( most likely ).
I expect Gold to start declining again after approaching the Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) and attack the Support lines and Support zone($3,282-$3,245) . It seems like Gold needs a correction , do you agree with me!? In the worst-case scenario for my analysis, Gold starts falling from the resistance zone($3,431-$3,406) .
Note: If Gold can move above $3,440, we can expect more pumps and maybe make na ew All-Time High(ATH).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold forms a top patternOn the H4 chart, the gold price chart is forming a clear bearish structure after forming a three-peak pattern in a row around the $3,435–$3,470 range. Each time the price touches this range, it is strongly rejected, indicating that selling pressure controls the market. The fact that the price cannot maintain above the EMA34 and EMA9 at the same time is also a sign of confirmation of a weakening trend in the short term.
Although gold recovered slightly to the $3,365 range in the Asian session on April 25 thanks to news of PBOC money injection and a weakening USD, the buying pressure was not enough to break the bearish structure. The price quickly reversed and fell below the $3,300 mark, confirming the possibility of further correction in the near future.
Currently, the price has cut below the two EMAs and broken the nearest bottom at $3,290, triggering a bearish signal according to the “small head and shoulders” pattern on the H4. The next target is the strong support zone of $3,180–$3,220. If this zone is broken, the correction trend may extend deeper to the $3,100 area.
The appropriate short-term strategy at this time is to wait for the price to retrace to the $3,310–$3,330 area, cut losses above $3,350 and take profits around $3,200. The bullish scenario will only happen if the price breaks above $3,370 and closes above the old resistance – then the bearish structure will be broken.
GOLD (XAUUSD) : Is it the bearish time?!Hello guys!
Key Elements:
Internal Trendline (broken): A previously respected trendline is now broken, indicating a potential shift in trend.
S&D (Supply & Demand) Zone: Located around the $3,280–$3,300 region.
Bearish Rejection Zone: Price attempted to push higher into the $3,360–$3,380 resistance zone but was rejected.
Arrow Indicating Bearish Target: Projected move toward $3,245.94.
why:
1. Trendline Break
The internal bullish trendline has been decisively broken, a classic sign of a trend reversal or at least a significant pullback.
After the break, price retested the underside of the trendline, failed to reclaim it, and showed bearish pressure.
2. Supply Zone Rejection
A clear rejection occurred from a supply zone ($3,360–$3,380), evidenced by long wicks and bearish candles.
This confirms the presence of sellers and likely distribution at that level.
3. Volume Profile Insight
The point of control (POC) and high-volume node sit around the $3,245 region, which also aligns with the marked bearish target.
Price is likely to be drawn toward this level as it's a fair value area where previous consolidation occurred.
4. S&D Flip
A previously bullish demand zone (around $3,280) has now become a resistance level, confirming a shift in market sentiment.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
Target: $3,245.94
Confirmation: Failure to close above $3,360 and continued lower highs suggest bearish continuation.
✅ Confluence Factors Supporting a Move Down:
Trendline break and successful retest.
Rejection from resistance (supply zone).
Lower high formation.
Volume profile attraction to a lower value area.
Bearish market structure forming.
____________________
📌 Conclusion:
This chart setup suggests a short-term bearish bias for Gold Spot (XAU/USD), with a potential drop toward the $3,245 zone. Traders may consider watching for confirmation via continued bearish price action and potential volume increase on the next leg down.
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday, right after posting the analysis, the price quickly hit the first target at $3307, then experienced a bounce and rallied to the $3369 supply zone. From there, gold faced more downward pressure and eventually reached the targets at $3303, $3297, and nearly $3285.
Currently, gold is trading around $3291, and if $3285 is broken, we could expect further downside toward levels below $3259.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD (XAUUSD, 1H) Double Bottom & Continuation to Lower FibsOn the 1-hour chart, gold attempted to form a double bottom structure, which initially showed bullish potential. However, the price action quickly reversed near resistance, failing to sustain above key EMAs and trendline zones. This invalidates the reversal attempt and reaffirms the current bearish structure within the descending channel.
The price is now trading back below broken support and heading towards deeper Fibonacci retracement levels, with visible supply pressure and repeated failure to hold any bullish breakout. Volume has shifted lower on rallies, confirming weak buyer commitment.
Downside targets (Fibonacci structure):
– $3251 – 0.382 retracement
– $3221 – 0.618 retracement (primary structural support)
– $3165 – 0.786 extension zone (final support before breakdown scenario)
The descending wedge remains valid. Unless the market reclaims $3305–$3334 with strong confirmation, the corrective leg toward the lower support zones is likely to continue. A clean break below $3220 would open the door for a move toward the $3160s.
The failed double bottom setup confirms bearish continuation. Structure, volume, and trendlines all align with a move lower. Watch for reactions at $3221 and $3165 as critical levels.
Silver INTRADAY uptrend continuation supported at 3247Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3383
Resistance Level 2: 3414
Resistance Level 3: 3457
Support Level 1: 3247
Support Level 2: 3184
Support Level 3: 3112
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 3227Gold prices slipped on Friday and are on track to end the week lower.
China denied any ongoing trade negotiations with the US, contradicting former President Trump's claims.
Despite this, markets are rallying on deal speculation, with traders rotating out of Gold and into equities.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3392
Resistance Level 2: 3457
Resistance Level 3: 3500
Support Level 1: 3227
Support Level 2: 3173
Support Level 3: 3130
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340🎯 April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340 💥our first TP
Today’s NY session was all about precision and patience.
🔹 The market opened with a calm continuation of the post-Claims structure, giving bulls a final chance to reenter from the 3310 sniper zone, previously posted in our daily plan.
📍 Breakdown of the 3310 Buy
• Zone: H1–H4 demand confluence
• Confirmation: Clean rejection on M15, followed by consolidation and impulsive breakout
• Confluence:
– Untouched OB + FVG
– Price locked above M30 EMA100
– Discounted fib zone
– RSI bounce on M15
• Execution: Buy 3310.70 → TP 3340.78
• Result: +300 pips
Not just a technical win — but a mindset win. Snipers don’t chase. They wait.
🧠 NY Session Notes
• No macro drivers today, which gave full control to pure PA + structure
• Liquidity was swept below 3310 before aggressive buying stepped in
• Once price reclaimed 3330–3340, we saw a clean continuation to premium
• TP hit with no retest — textbook sniper exit
💬 Let’s Talk – No Chart Needed
📈 Did you catch the 3310 buy?
💭 How did your NY session go?
👇 Drop your thoughts or reentry ideas below — we learn every session.
📲 Like, Comment, and Follow to keep this stream of real structure-based updates alive.
We don’t predict. We react.
And today, we reacted perfectly. 💛
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,304.80.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,261.30 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GOLD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,299.27
Target Level: 3,358.08
Stop Loss: 3,259.94
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Silver Holds Ground on Mixed Trade SignalsSilver is trading around $33.50 on Friday morning, continuing to show greater sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts and trade news due to its dual role as both a precious and industrial metal. Recent price movements were shaped by mixed signals in U.S.-China trade relations. Although the Trump administration reportedly considered tariff reductions, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent clarified that no formal proposals have been made and negotiations have not yet begun.
Technically, silver faces initial resistance at $33.80, with further levels at $34.20 and $34.85 if the upward move continues. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $33.15, followed by $31.40 and $30.20 if further weakness occurs.
Gold is still Strong; Long-Term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange.
After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase.
Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD April Rally Continues📉 Flash Corrections and New Highs:
Gold has shown sharp swings, dropping to $3,287 per ounce and swiftly hitting a historic high of $3,500. These moves are not chaos but reflect deep processes within the global financial system.
🔍 Key Drivers of Today’s Gold Market
1️⃣ Geopolitics on Edge:
Trade wars between the US and China, political instability, and the upcoming US elections have fueled demand for safe assets. Central banks continue purchasing gold at a pace exceeding 1,000 tons per year, challenging the dominance of the US dollar.
2️⃣ Stagflation and Fed Policy:
Markets are pricing in rate cuts, traditionally strengthening gold’s position. Even short-term easing of geopolitical tensions hasn’t derailed the bullish trend — inflation expectations and weakening consumer confidence keep pushing prices upward.
3️⃣ China as a Major Player:
It’s not just state-level purchases — retail demand among China’s Gen Z is hitting new highs. Institutional mandates requiring gold holdings further tighten global supply, reinforcing upward pressure.
📊 Technical Outlook : Where to Look for Entry Points
Support Levels: $3,260 – $3,280
Resistance Levels: $3,420 and the psychological barrier at $3,500
April followed a classic scenario: breakout to new highs, profit-taking, and return to key levels for position re-entry. For the attentive investor, this isn’t a reason for panic but an opportunity to reload into a long-term bullish trend.
Gold is not just an asset — it’s a barometer of trust in the global financial system. Every time the system falters, gold shines brighter.
Conclusion
The gold market in April 2025 is a textbook example of how global risks turn into opportunities for those ready to act. Volatility only scares those who don’t understand it.
As always, stay one step ahead.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold. Further downside is possible.Hey traders and investors!
Gold price bounced from a contextual level 3283 — the correction low within the dominant buyer’s initiative on the daily timeframe.
Further downside is possible. Watching levels 3381 and 3283.
The structure in this post is based on the logic of Initiative Analysis (IA).
Gold Analysis – New Leg of Correction Incoming?It’s been a “special” week for Gold, with wild swings that kept me mostly on the sidelines – except for Monday’s take profit. Now, however, the market is starting to show more clarity.
❓ Has the Market Topped Out?
After a dip to 3260, the price reversed sharply, gaining over 1,000 pips to reach 3367. Yet, both recent attempts to push higher were rejected.
Now, with the spike from 3360 to 3500 looking like a blow-off top, the stage seems set for a new leg of correction.
🔍 Key Technical Signs:
• Heavy selling pressure near recent highs.
• Price action suggests buyers are exhausted.
• 3370 becomes a key resistance – as long as it holds, bearish setups are favored.
📉 Trading Plan:
My approach is simple:
👉 Sell rallies
🎯 Target: a 1,000+ pip drop if 3370 remains intact.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.