GOLD: Market Is Looking Up! Buy!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 2,606.387$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Metals
SILVER:Short trading strategy
The recent silver long short game or fell sharply, daily line and weekly line or short trend, this week's big trend to follow gold, first look at the shock rebound, the second half of the week bearish, rebound is our short opportunity. The rebound to 30.90 can be shorted today. Target 30.5-30
GOLD My Opinion! SELL
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2592.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 2576.0
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 30.255 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 30.505
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD - Buy Gold!?The US dollar gained strength again last week due to the effects of Trump being elected as the next US president. Considering that the Republican Party will control the US Congress in both the House of Representatives and the Senate, it is expected that the implementation of Trump's pre-election promises will easily become law.
The new US president wants drastic cuts in corporate taxes and tariffs on goods imported from around the world, especially from China. From the point of view of the financial community, these actions could increase inflation and prevent the Federal Reserve from lowering interest rates in the future.
US inflation data in October indicated the persistence of price pressures. Also, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently stated that there is no need to rush to cut interest rates. This has led some market participants to believe that interest rate cuts will stop in the near future.
Mark Leboitt, publisher of VR Metals/Resource Letter, commented: "Gold's price correction is happening as expected, with a possible drop to the $2,300 level, although the long-term view remains to reach $3,700. considers
"Right now, gold is oversold, so we're likely to see a correction," he continued. In such a situation, buying at weak price points for long-term positions and doing short-term transactions with a buying approach can be considered a suitable strategy.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart.com, said: "For the coming week, an upward trend is expected. The excitement and frenzy surrounding the recent US election is likely coming to an end, which means the market will face new uncertainties. In such a situation, gold can once again be considered as a safe asset by investors and can be bought as a hedge against the volatility of other market sectors, especially the stock market.
This week for the US we have S&P Global manufacturing, services and composite PMI data to watch out for. The beginning of the easing cycle in September and the first reduction in interest rates have revived hopes for the improvement of data such as PMI, and economic activities are expected to improve, especially in the manufacturing and industrial sector, with the continued reduction in borrowing costs. Therefore, although we cannot expect a significant improvement in the short term, we can hope for the improvement of the production sector in the future and gradually.
In addition, the speeches of several central bank officials are also of particular importance to traders, as they try to get indications of the speed and possible depth of interest rate cuts. Among the important speeches of the week, we can mention Goolsby's statement on Monday and his appearance again with Hamek on Thursday.
GOLD → Are the buyers back? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is getting stronger after a false breakdown of support. The fundamental background also contributes to it. The focus is on resistance 2589 and 2618, which divide the market into two zones.
The attention of the markets is shifting to the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine. Biden (or those above him) decided to escalate an already tense situation with his authorization of long-range missiles before leaving office. (A rather bizarre maneuver that generally characterizes Democrats as advocates of war, not peace). Gold has been reacting accordingly since the opening session. China is trying to strengthen its economy, and the dollar's consolidation after the rally gives gold fans a chance.
Technically gold is in the range of 2604 - 2546. Since the opening of the session, the price has been rallying quite strongly, which increases the chances of resistance to stop this rise
Resistance levels: 2589, 2604, 2618
Support levels: 2559, 2546, 2531
The situation is complicated due to the mixed fundamental background. False breakdown of 2589 and consolidation below this zone will strengthen the sales. But, there is a probability of retest of 2618 (liquidity zone). Similarly, a false breakout will trigger selling.
But if the fundamental situation will strengthen in the direction of gold, the market will have a chance to change the local trend from 2618
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Gold encounters safe-haven rally, trend analysis and strategyLast week, the daily gold line fell to 2536 and supported on the 20-day moving average. Affected by the risk aversion of Russia and Ukraine at the end of the week, the Asian session rose by $30 compared with last Friday, and the price was above the oscillating platform. From the perspective of the 1-hour chart, the rebound has not ended! Sell high and buy low during the day!
The 4-hour moving average of gold is still arranged in a bearish divergent downward, and there is still no sign of turning. The decline of gold has not ended. In the short term, it is just a rebound. There are still many resistances above gold. Continue to go short at highs under the upper resistance of 2618. Gold 2616 can enter the market first.
First support: 2571, second support: 2563, third support: 2554
First resistance: 2605, second resistance: 2616, third resistance: 2627
Trading strategy:
BUY:2573-2571
SELL:2616-2618
Sell high and buy low according to resistance support
XAUUSD 1D MA100 hit after 9 months! Expect ATH if it holds.Gold (XAUUSD) eventually broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) last week and our bearish break-out signal easily hit the 2650 Target:
As you can see that was exactly on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), what we claimed is the first long-term Support level. In fact that 1D MA100 test was the first touch in 9 months (since February 15 2024).
Technically, as long as it holds, we are expecting the long-term Channel Up to rebound on this Higher Low and start the new Bullish Leg towards a Higher High, which will be a new All Time High (ATH) for Gold.
The 1D MACD is reversing and if it forms a Bullish Cross, it will be the confirmation of the Bullish Leg. The last time actually it formed one this low (below 0.0), the Bullish Leg that followed reached the previous Resistance and then pulled-back again to the 1D MA50.
As a result, we are now targeting the previous Resistance level at 2790. If however we get a 1D candle closing below the 1D MA100, we won't hesitate to book the small loss again and reverse to a break-out sell, targeting a potential contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 2440.
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GOLD - Price can make small correction and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price declined in falling channel, where it fell below $2655 level and reached support line of channel.
Then price turned around and started to grow inside rising channel, where it soon reached $2655 level and broke it.
In this channel, price grew to resistance line and continued to move up near this line, until it reached $2790 points.
After this, price turned around and started to decline, exiting from rising channel and fell to $2655 level.
Soon, Gold broke this level too and fell to $2560 level, where it bounced from support area and started to grow recently.
I think that XAU can little correct to support level and then continue to move up to $2655 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold will continue to decline between the trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago price entered to consolidation, where it some time traded near resistance 1, which is the bottom part of this pattern. Next, the price rebounded up to the top part of the consolidation, after which little corrected and later fell back to resistance 1 already. After this, Gold some time traded in the resistance area, after which turned around and started to grow, and soon exited from consolidation. Later, the price broke resistance 2, which coincided with one more resistance zone and some time traded near. After this, the price turned around and rebounded up to the trend line and then started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to resistance 2, after which broke it and continued to move down between trend line. Soon, the price fell to resistance 1, broke it too, and continued to fall next. At the moment, Gold trades near the trend line and I expect that XAUUSD will break the trend line, after which continue to decline next between this line. Therefore I set my goal at 2500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAUUSD, WEEKLY CHART... here's how it looks.I've been trying some custom approach / experiment on detecting reversal play in advance stages -- and my current case study is XAUUSD. Here's how it looks. Based on weekly data, we got a thinning price line with a shifting inverted support lines (bottom lines). A good confirmation Identifier would be a complete horizontal inverted support line shift.
1950 (completed support line) would be the key price point for that level.
Touch it, and we got a BUY SIGNAL. Non-confirmatory (risky) would be 1940 level.
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always.
Trading opportunity for XAUUSD Gold _ Flag PatternBased on technical factors there is a Buy position in :
📊 XAUUSD
🔵 Buy Now or by Analysis
🪫Stop loss 2553.000
🔋Target 1 2615.000
🔋Target 2 2655.000
💸RISK : 1%
We hope it is profitable for you ❤️
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GOLD--> Buyers stop believing in gold. Are the bears coming?OANDA:XAUUSD rose, but remained below $2,600 early on Monday, snapping a six-day losing streak. Geopolitical risks favored the safe-haven metal amid reduced demand for the US Dollar.
However, expectations of a less aggressive Fed rate cut and rising US Treasury yields are likely to limit further gains for XAU.
Attention is now focused on the upcoming speech by Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, as there are no major economic releases due on Monday. Geopolitical developments will also be closely watched to see if they have any significant impact on the safe-haven asset.
Technically, Gold is forming a smooth and calm move towards new highs after a false breakout near $2,575. Notably, an uptrend is emerging on the H1 timeframe.
A pullback to the imbalance zone or local resistance level may form before the news as traders try to recover losses. However, I predict that after this correction, the price will likely continue its downtrend.
Gold Price Today, November 18: Recovery TrendThe global gold price has recorded an increase, fluctuating around 2,584 USD/ounce. This week, the gold market is expected to remain relatively quiet, as fewer important economic data will be released. Key pieces of information that investors are awaiting include housing market data and building permits in the U.S., new home sales, and the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey. Additionally, statements from Federal Reserve officials will be closely monitored to assess the likelihood and pace of future monetary policy adjustments.
Looking at the technical chart, with support at 2,562 USD/ounce, gold is gradually recovering its upward momentum. If gold holds above this support level, it is likely to continue rising toward the next resistance level around 2,600 USD/ounce, and could go even higher if strong capital flows into safe-haven assets. However, if the 2,562 support is broken, gold may face downward pressure, with the next support level around 2,540 USD/ounce. Economic factors and Fed policies will play a crucial role in shaping the short-term trend of the gold market.
What do you think about today's gold price? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold Technical Analysis: Potential Bounce Within a ChannelThe provided chart shows a clear bullish structure, with Gold trading within an ascending channel on the daily timeframe.
However, recent price action indicates a pullback from the channel's upper resistance. Below is the detailed analysis:
Price Structure: Gold has been respecting the boundaries of the ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows confirming the bullish trend.
Internal Trendline: The internal trendline has been tested and temporarily broken, leading to the ongoing retracement.
Support Zone: The price has reached a significant horizontal support zone ($2,530-$2,490), coinciding with the lower boundary of the channel. This area is expected to act as a strong support for a potential rebound.
Scenario 1 (Bullish Rebound): If the price bounces from the current support zone, it could retest the key resistance at $2,700 and potentially aim for the channel's upper boundary.
Scenario 2 (Bearish Breakdown): A confirmed break below $2,490 could invalidate the channel and lead to further downside movement, targeting lower support zones around $2,300.
WTI continues to decline, even as Biden reverses policyAccording to CFTC data, the net long position of crude oil speculators decreased by 21,944 lots to 71,587 lots, reflecting that market expectations of rising crude oil prices have cooled.
TVC:USOIL fell during the Asian session on Monday (November 18), trading around $66.90/barrel, a drop equivalent to 2.43% on the day.
Basically, although the geopolitical situation is heating up, its impact on oil prices is limited. The main reason is that global demand is expected to continue to decline, which is an important factor limiting the recovery of oil prices.
EIA inventories also increased last week, which is not favorable for a supply-side recovery in oil prices. According to CFTC data, the net long position of crude oil speculators decreased by 21,944 lots to 71,587 lots, reflecting that market expectations of rising crude oil prices have cooled.
Biden reverses policy on Russia-Ukraine conflict, allowing Ukraine's military to use US weapons to attack Russia's homeland President Joe Biden's administration has allowed Ukraine to use US-made weapons to attack Russia's homeland Russian land.
This is a major reversal in Washington's policy in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Sources said Ukraine plans to launch its first long-range strike in the coming days, but they did not disclose details due to concerns about operational security. There are still two months until President-elect Trump will take office on January 20.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has for months asked for Ukraine's military to use US weapons to attack military targets deep inside Russia. Biden's policy reversal has created some risks in the market, but it is also not considered good support for oil prices when there is a very high possibility that when Trump takes office, all policies related to the War in Ukraine will be abolished.
On the daily chart, TVC:USOIL is still maintaining the main downtrend sent to readers in previous publications with the current short-term target at about 66.44USD.
The relative strength index (RSI) is pointing down with a steep slope and away from the oversold area, suggesting a broad bearish outlook ahead.
As long as WTI crude oil remains below its 21-day moving average (EMA21), it will still have a bearish near-term trend outlook. And once WTI crude oil is sold below 66.44USD it will have the conditions to fall a bit more with the target then being around 65.28USD.
During the day, the downtrend of WTI crude oil will be noticed again by the following technical levels.
Support: 66.44 – 65.28USD
Resistance: 68.11 – 68.77USD