Metals
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key trading
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Technical Overview
Price: $3,428.71 (currently near the upper consolidation)
EMA 200: Around $3,367.38 (well below price, indicating strong uptrend)
Target Point: $3,468.52
Indicators:
RSI (14): 60.19–62.55 → shows moderate bullish momentum, not yet overbought.
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Key Technical Elements
1. Bullish Breakout Structure:
Price has broken out of a previous range, and is forming a bullish flag or rectangle, which typically leads to continuation higher.
Measured move projection from previous leg (approx. $51.57 gain) targets the $3,468.52 level.
2. Strong Support Zones:
Two yellow zones highlighted:
Upper support level (around $3,415): acting as immediate structure support.
Lower key support (around $3,380): crucial structure level from where the trend initiated.
3. Trend Line Support:
A clearly marked ascending trend line supporting higher lows—indicating bulls are in control.
Expect price to stay above this trend line to maintain bullish bias.
4. Volume & RSI Confirmation:
RSI remains in a bullish zone but isn’t overbought → leaves room for upside.
Volume remains steady, confirming healthy consolidation.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion & Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: On breakout or retest of minor support ($3,415–$3,420)
Stop Loss: Below trendline or below $3,415
Target: $3,468.52
Confirmation: Hold above trendline + RSI staying above 50
This is a classic bullish continuation setup supported by structure, RSI, and trend momentum. Traders could look for buying opportunities on minor dips or trendline retests.
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XAU/USD) breakout analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, highlighting a move toward the $3,450 target. Here's the full technical breakdown
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Technical Analysis – Gold (4H)
1. Breakout from Resistance Zone
Price has broken above a key horizontal resistance level (now turned support, marked in yellow).
The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle with momentum, suggesting buyers are in control.
2. Ascending Triangle Formation
Price formed an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern.
The breakout above the upper boundary confirms the pattern, projecting a potential measured move.
3. Trendline Support & Higher Lows
The structure shows a rising trendline (black), where price bounced multiple times — confirming a higher low sequence.
The confluence of trendline support + breakout level adds strength to the bullish case.
4. 200 EMA Confluence
The 200-period EMA (3,332.13) has been acting as a dynamic support throughout.
Price retested it earlier in the move, then surged upward — validating trend continuation.
5. RSI Indicator
RSI is at 71.13, entering overbought territory.
This implies strong bullish momentum, but a short-term pullback to retest the breakout level is possible.
6. Target Projection
Target Point: $3,450.90, calculated from the height of the triangle (~61 pts or 1.80%) added above the breakout zone.
A retest of the breakout area (yellow zone) around $3,370–$3,380 could offer a better entry before continuation.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bullish
Current Price: $3,397.62
Support: $3,370–$3,380 zone (previous resistance turned support)
Trend: Higher lows + breakout above resistance
EMA Support: 200 EMA at $3,332.13
Target: $3,450.90
RSI: 71.13 – bullish but near overbought
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EUR/USD | Bullish Momentum Builds – Next Targets Ahead! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as per the previous analysis, the price first made a strong move in two steps, successfully hitting the 1.15580 target. Upon reaching this key level, it reacted positively with increased demand and is now trading around 1.16520. Given the current trend, I expect further bullish movement soon, with the next potential targets at 1.16720, 1.17230, and 1.17500.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
$GLD / $GC – Gold Poised for Breakout as Hard Assets FlexAMEX:GLD / SET:GC – Gold Poised for Breakout as Hard Assets Flex
Gold is setting up for a major breakout, and the broader market is finally catching on to the hard asset trade. Whether it’s inflation ticking up or the never-ending government deficit spending, the market is starting to signal something big.
🔹 Macro Tailwinds:
Inflation pressures + record deficit = a perfect storm for gold.
The dollar is under pressure — metals ( AMEX:GLD , AMEX:SLV , SET:GC ) are responding.
This theme isn’t going away anytime soon.
🔹 Technical Setup:
AMEX:GLD and SET:GC (Gold Futures) are coiled tightly just under breakout levels.
Volume is steady, and momentum is building under the surface.
A move through current resistance could send this entire trade into overdrive.
🔹 My Positioning:
1️⃣ Options: Long AMEX:GLD calls with 1-month expiration — slow mover, but clean structure.
2️⃣ Futures: Trading SET:GC contracts on the breakout side.
3️⃣ Silver Exposure: Still holding partials in AMEX:SLV — it’s following gold’s lead but with more juice.
Why I’m Focused Here:
This is not a one-day theme — hard assets are becoming a rotation trade.
If this confirms, we could see multi-week upside in precious metals.
It’s rare to get clean technicals that align this well with macro.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Confirmed Break of Structure
Silver updated a year's high yesterday, breaking a strong daily resistance.
With a confirmed Break of Structure BoS, we can expect that
the market will rise even more.
The next strong resistance is 40.
It is a round number based psychological level.
It can be the next goal for the buyers.
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DeGRAM | GOLD exited from the triangle📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has burst above the five-month symmetrical-triangle ceiling at 3 400, converting that line into support; the breakout’s measured move targets the June peak 3 435 and aligns with the rising-channel top near 3 500.
● A tight bull flag is forming on higher-lows inside the new micro up-trend; repeated bids on pull-backs to 3 400-3 405 confirm fresh demand and favour continuation.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is buoyed by a softer USD and safe-haven demand as trade frictions grow and Fed guidance turns less certain, keeping XAU/USD firm above $3 400.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 400-3 410; sustained trade over 3 435 eyes 3 500. Bull view void on an H4 close below 3 360.
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GOLD - Strong Trendline & Golden Pocket ContinuationMarket Context
Gold is currently trading within a rising wedge structure on the 4-hour timeframe. This formation typically represents a tightening market, where buyers continue to push higher — but with decreasing momentum. The confluence of both trendlines and repeated Golden Pocket bounces makes this setup technically rich and worth watching closely.
Golden Pocket & Trendline Confluence
Throughout the recent move up, price has consistently reacted to the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone — often referred to as the Golden Pocket. Each major retracement has found support not only at this zone but also at a rising trendline, showing strong alignment between horizontal and diagonal demand. This dual-layer support has repeatedly led to sharp rebounds, reinforcing the bullish structure.
What Comes Next?
Price is currently sitting just below the upper resistance of the wedge. If history repeats, a retracement toward the lower trendline could be the next logical step. A reaction in the same region — where the Golden Pocket once again overlaps the trendline — could offer a high-probability long opportunity for continuation toward the top of the wedge or even a breakout.
Alternatively, if price breaks below the trendline with conviction, it could signal exhaustion in the current structure, potentially flipping the bias toward a broader correction.
Final Thoughts
This is a textbook example of how technical confluence can guide trade planning — especially in clean, trending environments like this. Remember: patience is key. Let the market come to your levels.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, a like would go a long way — and feel free to share your thoughts or ideas in the comments below!
3400 has been reached, wait patiently for a pullback to go longGold opened on Monday with a volatile rise. After breaking through the 3360-65 area, the bulls turned strong. After breaking through the 3375~80 area in the evening, the bulls accelerated their rise, reaching the highest point of 3402. It fluctuated sideways in the late trading, and the daily line closed at around 3397 with a big positive line! Gold temporarily broke the small range oscillation pattern, but the bulls were not strong, and it still fluctuated upward.
From the perspective of the intraday cycle, after yesterday's rapid rise, the market fell into a serious overbought state; however, yesterday's $60 big positive line supported the bulls, and it is expected that the market will fluctuate; the next focus is still the 3400 mark area. The pressure in the 3400~05 area was dense last night, and adjustments may be made at any time before the breakthrough; and since the rise of 3282, it has just touched the upper edge of the parallel channel. The big sweep will continue, but the range is constantly changing!
So although gold broke the recent volatility yesterday and hit the 3400 mark with a big positive line; however, if it cannot stand above it, then it will continue to fall; recently we have repeatedly and many times emphasized the importance of the 3400 mark. If it stands here, the market will gradually rise to 3420~25 and break through to the 3450 area before looking for a decline.
Today we will continue to focus on the 3400 mark area. First, we will rush to the high altitude, with the goal of retracement to the 3375 and 3356 regional support platforms, and then pay attention to long opportunities; if the bulls stand above the 3400 mark, they will further bullishly impact 3420~25 and break through the 3450 area before falling back.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,390.13
1st Support: 3,356.66
1st Resistance: 3,491.05
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DeGRAM | GOLD above the resistance📊 Technical Analysis
● Five successive rebounds (green arrows) from the 4-month rising‐channel base at 3 293 keep the primary up-trend intact while turning the former wedge roof into support.
● Price is compressing inside a 4-day ascending triangle whose ceiling sits at 3 366; a break projects 1 : 1 to the March top/outer channel rail at 3 435.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FXStreet notes bullion ETF holdings rose for a second week as softer US PMI prices dragged 2-yr real yields back to early-July lows, trimming the dollar bid.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 345-3 355; triangle breakout >3 366 opens 3 389 then 3 435. Long bias void on an H4 close below 3 293.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3498 (Wave 3).The price continues to move in a bullish direction, and I believe that now is the time to pay attention to the medium-term wave “3.” It is actively developing, and I believe that the target should be set at the maximum area of the higher-order wave “3” — the resistance area of 3498.
This is the nearest target, which carries significant weight.
Overall, the upward five-wave movement is developing according to the old scenario.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Silver Stays Strong on China Growth HopesSilver remained firm around $38.90 per ounce, holding near its highest levels since 2010. A weaker dollar and lower U.S. yields underpinned the metal, while traders await Fed Chair Powell’s comments and trade updates ahead of the August 1 deadline. China’s pledge to boost industrial growth also added to silver’s positive outlook.
Resistance is at $39.50, with support at $37.40.
Gold Surges to Five-Week High Amid Growing UncertaintyHello everyone! Let’s take a closer look at XAUUSD today.
Gold prices have rallied strongly, breaking above the 3,400 USD level and currently hovering around 3,420 USD — up 1.2% in the past 24 hours, equivalent to a gain of 34.7 USD.
This surge marks the highest level in five weeks, driven by heightened uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump's looming August 1 tariff deadline. With tensions rising, gold is likely to remain on an upward trajectory. The immediate resistance stands at 3,420 USD per ounce, while support is seen near 3,350 USD.
Investors are also eyeing next week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting, where rates are expected to stay unchanged — but a rate cut could come as early as October. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar continues to face renewed pressure heading into August, a factor that may further boost gold’s appeal.
Do you think gold will keep rising from here? Drop your thoughts in the comments — and good luck with your trades!
People don't like the truth! Let's be honest, people don't like honesty. They prefer ideas that affirm their own beliefs.
When I read articles and posts from newer traders, it's often from a place of "all in" diamond hands and the notion that things go up forever.
I've been a trader for over 25 years now, and the game isn't about making a quick buck, it's about making money over and over again. This got me thinking, the issue is when you deal with a small account you require leverage, small timeframes and of course the "shit" or bust mindset. If you lose a thousand dollars, $10,000 even $100,000 - what does it matter? That's no different than a game of poker in Vegas.
The idea of being 80% in drawdown, is alien to me. The idea of one trade and one win is also a crazy notion.
Instead of playing with the future, there is an easier way to work. This isn't about slow and boring, it's about psychology and discipline. 10% returns on a million-dollar account isn't all that difficult. Instead of aiming for 300x returns on an alt coin (due to the account size being tiny) You can make less of a percentage gain with a larger account size.
In terms of psychology - the word " HOPE " is used, way too often, it's used when you hope a stock or the price of Bitcoin goes up, it's used when you hope the position comes back in your favour, it's used when you want your 10,000 bucks to double.
This isn't trading, it's gambling.
The truth is, it's not the winners that make you a good trader. It's the way you deal with the losses.
Once you learn proper risk management, a downtrend in a market move is a 1-2% loss coupled with a new opportunity to reverse the bias.
As a disciplined trader, the game is played differently.
Let's assume you don't have $100k spare - prop firms are a great option, OPM = other people's money.
Remove the risk and increase the leverage, all whilst trading with discipline.
The market goes through many phases, cycles and crashes.
You don't always need something as catastrophic to take place, but if you are all in on a position. You need to understand that losses can be severe and long-lasting.
When everyone sees an oasis in the desert, it's often a mirage.
You only have to look at the Japanese lesson in 1989, when the Nikkei was unstoppable-until it wasn't. For that short space in time, everyone was a day trader, housewives to taxi drivers.
Everyone's a genius in a Bull market.
Then comes the crash. The recovery time on that crash?
34-years!!!
I have covered several aspects of psychology here on TradingView;
When it comes to trading, if you are able to keep playing. It's a worthwhile game. If you are gambling, it's a game whereby the house often wins.
Right now, stocks are worth more than their earnings. Gold is up near all-time highs, crypto, indices the same.
All I am saying is if you are all in. Be careful!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
GOLD Will Go Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,427.91.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,460.54 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,935.1
Target Level: 3,843.0
Stop Loss: 3,996.7
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
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Euro Surges as Dollar Falters Amid Political TensionsThe EUR/USD pair is experiencing a strong rally, breaking above the 1.1760 level — its highest point in two weeks as of Tuesday. This sharp move not only signals the Euro’s recovery strength but also highlights the impact of heavy selling pressure on the US dollar.
The driving force? Ongoing trade tensions, coupled with rising uncertainty surrounding the escalating feud between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, are shaking investor confidence in the stability of US monetary policy.
As a result, the dollar is losing its safe-haven appeal, paving the way for EUR/USD to climb higher. If this bullish momentum holds, the next key target for the pair could be around 1.1800.
Gold Approaches Key Resistance Within Bullish Channel – BreakoutCurrent Price Action:
Gold is currently trading at around $3,442, nearing the upper boundary of a well-defined upward-sloping channel. The latest candle shows bullish momentum with a strong close near the daily high, indicating continued buying pressure.
Key Observations:
Trend Structure:
The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows clearly visible.
Price is approaching a critical Fibonacci extension level (1.618), which could act as resistance.
Channel Dynamics:
Price is within a parallel ascending channel.
It is currently testing the upper channel boundary, which may either lead to a breakout or a rejection.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance: $3,442 (Fibonacci extension & channel resistance).
Major resistance: $3,500 (ATH - All-Time High).
Key support levels: $3,275, $3,114, and $3,057 (marked horizontal levels, also align with Fibonacci retracement zones).
Rejection Zones:
Historically, price has reversed at similar extension levels.
If rejection occurs, a pullback to the midline or lower channel boundary is likely.
Forecast:
If the current bullish momentum continues and price breaks above the channel resistance, we could see a move toward the ATH at $3,500 and potentially higher.
However, if the price faces resistance and fails to break above $3,442–$3,450, a short-term pullback to around $3,275–$3,114 is possible. This would offer a healthier correction within the broader uptrend.
The bullish structure remains valid as long as price stays above $3,057.
Silver H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 38.37 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 37.40 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 40.12 which is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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