XAUUSD | 1H Chart Analysis | Uptrendurrently, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish momentum after breaking previous market structure to the upside. Price has formed a clear Higher Low (HL) and Higher Highs (HH), indicating that short-term structure has shifted into an uptrend.
🔼 Key Technical Observations:
The previous LL (Lower Low) got broken, and price created a new HL, showing buyer pressure.
The bullish structure is supported by an ascending trendline.
Price is currently trading near PDH (Previous Day High) and approaching a key supply/resistance zone (highlighted in red).
RSI is still not in extreme zones but steadily climbing, showing strength in the current bullish move.
📊 Current Market Structure:
Shift from previous downtrend into short-term uptrend.
Formation of clear HL & HH.
Price respecting trendline support.
Clean bullish break of internal resistance levels.
📌 Potential Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation):
If price holds above the PDH and supply zone gets broken, we may see continuation toward TP1 and higher.
Scenario 2 (Rejection & Short-term Pullback):
If price faces strong rejection from the current supply zone, short-term retracement is possible toward the previous demand zones or trendline support.
Possible pullback zones: 3340 → 3320 → 3310 area.
✅ Bias: Short-Term Bullish
As long as price holds above the HL zone and trendline, bulls are in control. But keep an eye on price reaction around current supply zone for any signs of weakness or reversal.
Metals
Gold Rebounds After Filling Gap >> Bullish Continuation in SightHello guys!
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of strength on the 4H chart after filling a key gap around the $3,290 level and bouncing off it with bullish intent.
🔹 What I see:
– Price previously broke out of a broad descending channel, flipping the structure bullish
– After forming a rising wedge, Gold corrected lower and filled the gap
– The zone around $3,290 acted as solid support, and the current bounce suggests bulls are regaining control
📈 Outlook:
If this bounce holds and momentum builds, the next area of interest is clearly marked:
🎯 First Target: $3,466 – an area of prior structure and possible supply
📍 Current Price: $3,329
🟢 Bias: Bullish (above $3,290)
🔴 Invalidated below: $3,244
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity if the structure continues holding. Keep an eye on price action near the recent local highs for confirmation.
SILVER Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 3,622.4.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,483.8 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | GOLD broke the wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● Price still respects the former channel roof (now support) at 3 315-3 320; every dip to this line (green arrows) printed a higher low, preserving the rising-wedge structure.
● A break of the local wedge cap at 3 350 would reopen the April supply/median target at 3 435; failure to pierce keeps the pull-back window open toward the lower grey band at 3 245, where the broader demand begins.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US ISM-services prices and NFP cooled, lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 % and capping real yields, while continued PBoC purchases offset ETF outflows, under-pinning bullion.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 305-3 320; confirmation above 3 350 targets 3 435, extension 3 500. Long bias void on an H4 close below 3 245.
-------------------
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Gold is in a state of shock again, the market is waiting for CPI📰 Impact of news:
1. May CPI data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold is still fluctuating, and the bulls and bears are currently in a stalemate. The market is waiting for the release of today's CPI data. From the 1H chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the gold price is above the 3331 middle track. RSI is stuck at 55, and the MACD golden cross green column is narrowing. For short-term trading, pay attention to the resistance of 3340-3350, and the support of 3320-3310 below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3320-3310-3300
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3330-3345
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OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD: Strategy and Analysis for June 11Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3375, support 3300
Four-hour chart resistance: 3360, support 3300
One-hour chart resistance: 3350, support 3320.
Yesterday, the Asian session retested 3301 and stopped falling and rebounded. The NY market fell again after touching 3348. Today, the Asian session price fell to 3315 and then bottomed out and rebounded. The gold price showed a continuous upward trend. Today, gold will rely on 3315 as a defense to find opportunities to rise. Above 3315, continue to look for opportunities to take more in the small cycle. Buy after the retracement to stop falling and stabilize. See if 3348 yesterday's high can be maintained.
In addition, let's pay attention to the impact of the US CPI data. The expected CPI value is 2.5%. If the CPI is lower than expected, gold may rebound to 3350-3360, and there will be greater room for growth after breaking through 3345; if the CPI exceeds expectations, gold may fall to 3315-3300, and sell after falling below 3320.
Buy: 3320near SL:3315
Buy: 3350near SL:3345
Try to avoid trading during news releases to avoid increased liquidity and violent market fluctuations that will hit the SL when buying/selling
Gold Potential Bullish Breakout OpportunityGold seems to exhibit signs of overall potential Bullish momentum if the price action forms a prominent Higher High with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 3.403
Stop Loss : 3328
TP 1 : 3478
GOLD | CPI Data in Focus – Key Levels at 3347 and 3318GOLD | OVERVIEW
Gold remains under pressure due to ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions, with additional focus on the upcoming U.S. CPI data, which is expected to have a strong market impact.
Forecast CPI: 2.5%
Previous CPI: 2.3%
Current Scenario:
If the CPI comes in above 2.5%, it would signal stronger inflation, reducing the likelihood of rate cuts. This would pressure gold lower, continuing the downtrend toward 3318, then 3303, and possibly 3292.
Alternative Scenario:
If CPI is below expectations, it would suggest easing inflation and open the door for rate cuts—supportive for gold. In that case, a break above 3347 could lead to 3366, and then 3375.
Support Levels: 3318, 3303, 3292
Resistance Levels: 3347, 3366, 3375
Gold Set for Intraday Upside AttemptGold is trying to move upward on the intraday chart, building on the last top. If the 3340–3342 zone holds, a move toward 3360 could begin today. For now, it’s still a touch-and-go situation.
A tame US-China deal, and higher inflation data expectations for today causing this bullish pressure.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30M Trade Setup – June 11, 2025GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30M Trade Setup – June 11, 2025
Bias: Short (Bearish Pullback Continuation Under 3,350)
SELL SETUP
Entry:
Below 3,338 (break of minor intraday support and confirmation of bearish continuation)
Stop-Loss (SL):
3,353 (above recent local high and intraday resistance)
Take-Profit 1 (TP1):
3,320 (early week support zone)
Take-Profit 2 (TP2):
3,300 (deeper support and key structure level)
Technical Confluence
MACD:
Bullish momentum cooling after recent push
Histogram starting to flatten after short upside expansion
RSI:
Sitting at 61.22, pulling back from overbought territory
Slight bearish divergence visible with price action
Price Action:
Series of lower highs forming after sharp bounce
Recent upside capped near 3,345
Risk of further pullback increases if price breaks below 3,338
Risk Rating: Medium
Market still digesting recent move; watch for confirmation under 3,338 to avoid early entry fakeouts.
Silver Holds Near 13-Year HighsSilver has surged past the $36.40 per ounce mark, reaching its highest level in 13 years after a clean breakout from a one-month consolidation phase spanning April and May 2025. The breakout targets the $37 level and aligns with a rising channel defined by higher lows since February 2024.
If silver retraces below $36, potential support levels include $35.70, $35.30, and $34.70, which may offer a base for consolidation or a recharge before continuation of the broader uptrend. A sustained hold above $37.30 could open the path toward the $40 level, further validating a larger inverted head and shoulders pattern on the monthly chart.
Are we on track to revisit 2011 highs in 2025?
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Tactical Bullish Break Out )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3345
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
Htf Levels for gold In this video I look at the Higher term timeframe and mark what I consider to be 2 relevant levels looking forward for the month of June .
At the present we are sitting in the middle of the range but at some point we will break out or down from that range and the levels I have highlighted may be of guidance for gold traders.
In this video I use the Trend based Fib Extension, Tr pocket , vwap and standard fibs.
GOLD recovers strongly, market will wait for US CPI dataOANDA:XAUUSD rebounded strongly in Asian trading on Wednesday (June 11) after a sharp decline in the New York session on Tuesday. The current gold price is around $3,341/ounce, up nearly $20 on the day.
Traders are awaiting the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May. Estimates suggest that prices are likely to rise as US households feel the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. As a result, the Federal Reserve is likely to remain in a wait-and-see mode, keeping interest rates in the range of 4.25%-4.50%."
Economists expect the US CPI to rise to 2.5% year-over-year in May from 2.3%, and the core CPI to rise to 2.9% year-over-year from 2.8%.
OANDA:XAUUSD rose in Asian trade on Wednesday, even as the US and China said they had agreed on a plan to ease trade tensions during talks in London.
According to Bloomberg, easing between the world's two largest economies would be negative for safe-haven assets like gold, and the lack of a decline in gold prices suggests investors are waiting for more developments.
Gold prices have risen more than 25% this year as US President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies have changed geopolitical dynamics, prompting central banks to buy gold to divest from US assets.
Bloomberg also said investors are looking ahead to Thursday’s US Treasury bond auction and weak demand could boost gold’s appeal as a safe haven.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after receiving support from the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, the important support area noted by readers in the previous editions, gold has recovered once again.
The short-term upside target remains unchanged at $3,371 of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rising from 50 is also a good signal for bullish momentum, and the large gap between the overbought area and the RSI shows that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead.
During the day, as long as gold remains above $3,292, it remains bullish in the short term with targets of $3,371 in the short term, more than the raw price point of $3,400. The positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,300 – $3,292 – $3,250
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3380
→Take Profit 1 3368
↨
→Take Profit 2 3362
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3249 - 3251⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3245
→Take Profit 1 3257
↨
→Take Profit 2 3263
Current bullish movement there are still significant resistanceGold Market Update
In the short term, the gold market has entered an uptrend. This upward movement has been supported by a Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS), indicating a bullish momentum and a potential reversal or continuation of the trend to the upside.
However, despite the current bullish movement, there are still significant technical resistances that need to be considered before assuming a sustained rally. At the moment, gold is approaching a trendline resistance, which has historically acted as a barrier, limiting further upward price movement. In addition to this, there is also the presence of a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the same region, adding to the confluence of potential resistance zones.
If the price is able to break above both the trendline resistance and the bearish FVG, it would confirm the strength of the bullish trend, and we could expect the market to continue climbing higher, potentially testing even stronger resistance levels above.
On the other hand, if the market fails to break through this key resistance area and gets rejected, we may witness a retracement or a corrective move. In such a case, gold could decline back down toward the lower marked trendline, which would then act as the next significant support level.
In conclusion, the immediate price action around this resistance zone will be crucial in determining the next direction for gold. Traders and investors should watch closely for confirmation of either a breakout or a rejection before making any decisive moves.
Will gold continue its uptrend from the 3,300 USD level?Hello dear traders!
Gold prices continued to decline against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, falling below the previous psychological support level, which is now resistance, at 3,350 USD. The main reason was that the US Dollar gained some positive momentum as the market leaned toward the Fed maintaining its current policy in July following the May report, causing XAUUSD to move lower into the weekend.
From a technical perspective, as previously analyzed, gold broke below the psychological support level of 3,350 USD on Friday, with prices approaching the 3,300 USD support level at the time of writing. However, the RSI has dropped to the 30 level, indicating that selling pressure may be losing momentum, and global economic stress could potentially limit further losses.
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly TF 2025Overview
This analysis outlines the structural Fibonacci confluences, scenario planning, and macro-aligned projections for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe. It integrates multi-layered Fibonacci extensions and retracements, mapping out key support and resistance levels, and proposes a nuanced primary scenario that includes both intermediate rallies and corrective movements.
Primary Scenario – Multi-Stage Movement Hypothesis
We anticipate that gold may initially extend higher from the current level (~$3,325) to test the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $3,435, with the possibility of a further intermediate peak near $3,500. This level marks a psychological and technical resistance zone and could act as a temporary top.
Following this local peak, a corrective phase may unfold. This pullback could evolve into one of the two outlined correction scenarios:
1 TP Correction Scenario
Support Target: ~$2,950
Basis: 100% Fib extension confluence and prior resistance turned support
Expected Outcome: Price stabilizes at this level and resumes upward momentum
2 TP Correction Scenario
Support Target: ~$2,650
Basis: Strong historical structure + 100% Fib confluence from a broader cycle
Expected Outcome: This zone acts as a long-term demand accumulation area
Upon completion of the corrective structure, we expect gold to reinitiate its primary bullish trend.
Bullish Continuation Targets
TP1: ~$4,050 (161.8% Fibonacci extension)
TP2: ~$4,319 (261.8% Fibonacci extension)
These targets align with macroeconomic conditions, central bank accumulation trends, and long-term structural cycles.
Supporting Technicals
RSI: Holding above 50, indicating preserved bullish momentum
MACD: Positive crossover with widening histogram on weekly timeframe
Price Action: Strong support zone between $3,280–$3,300 aligning with 161.8% Fib retracement of the recent minor wave
Macro Fundamentals & Correlations
Central Bank Gold Demand: Sustained net buying by BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, supports the structural bid on gold
Fed Policy: Market anticipates a prolonged pause or gradual rate cuts, favoring non-yielding assets like gold
DXY & US10Y Yields: Any further decline in DXY or softening yields would add tailwinds to gold
Crypto Correlation: During inflationary hedging or systemic risk periods, gold and crypto may correlate positively, especially with weakening USD
Intermarket Relationships: Gold, DXY, and TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap)
Gold vs. DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold historically maintains an inverse correlation with DXY. A rising DXY tends to apply downward pressure on gold prices, while a falling DXY enhances gold's upside momentum.
Scenario Interactions:
If DXY breaks below 98, this could validate the bullish scenario for gold toward $3,435–$4,050.
If DXY rallies back above 100, it could trigger the correction scenarios ($2,950 or $2,650) in gold.
Gold vs. TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap)
Gold and TOTAL may show positive correlation during periods of USD weakening and global liquidity expansion.
Scenario Interactions:
If gold rallies toward $3,500 and TOTAL also breaks key resistance (e.g., $1.8T–$2T), this signals synchronized bullish risk appetite.
If gold corrects while TOTAL continues to rise, it could indicate rotation of liquidity from defensive to risk-on assets.
A simultaneous correction in both may occur if DXY strengthens aggressively or if macro shocks reduce global liquidity.
These intermarket relationships should be monitored continuously to assess the evolving macro context and validate the chosen scenario.
In the case of a gold correction toward $2,950 or $2,650, the impact on altcoins will hinge on the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop. If the correction stems from a healthy, technical rebalancing within a risk-on environment—without a concurrent surge in the U.S. dollar—it could signal a shift in capital from defensive assets like gold into more speculative plays, including altcoins. This type of capital rotation often benefits the crypto market, particularly if TOTAL (crypto market cap) holds or advances structurally. However, if the correction is caused by rising dollar strength, tightening financial conditions, or broader risk-off sentiment, altcoins may instead suffer alongside gold, as liquidity is withdrawn across the board. Therefore, the context and drivers behind gold’s correction are crucial in assessing its downstream effects on altcoin performance.
From a philosophical lens, gold's cyclical ascent and retreat mirrors the rhythm of nature and human experience—expansion, contraction, and renewal. Just as rivers carve valleys before surging toward the ocean, the market too must surrender gains to gather force. A correction in gold is not merely a financial event, but a moment of recalibration—an inhale before the next exhale of momentum. It invites reflection: whether wealth seeks refuge or ventures into risk, whether fear contracts or ambition expands. In this interplay, altcoins may inherit the restless spirit of capital in search of yield, as gold, the ancient anchor of value, briefly pauses in its timeless journey.
Conclusion
We present a multi-phased path for gold where:
An initial bullish breakout toward $3,435–$3,500 forms a short- to mid-term peak
A subsequent correction brings gold to either $2,950 or $2,650, depending on macro triggers
A renewed bull rally drives gold toward $4,050 and potentially $4,319 and beyond
This scenario reflects both the cyclical nature of market structure and the macro-fundamental backing that continues to support long-term gold strength.
XAUUSD: Neutral trade preparing a major breakout.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.070, MACD = 17.020, ADX = 34.480) a direct consequence of the sideways trading between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. The price action has rebounded on the former LH trendline, validating that it has resumed the long term bullish trend. The pattern that has prevailed so far is a Channel Up, and the current consolidation is similar to its first bottom sequence. We are bullish, aiming again for the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 3,420).
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Gold rebounds and repairs, is it a shock or a bull market?📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈 Market analysis:
At the gold hourly level, after the pressure in the Asian session in the morning, it directly fell to the vicinity of 3302. The big Yin effectively lost the lower track of the descending flag consolidation channel. The original 3318 line was the confirmation of the channel counter-pressure point, which happened to be the 61.8% split resistance level at that time. At the same time, it lost the middle track. Therefore, we gave a trading idea of looking at the rebound under pressure and continuing to decline in the European session. As a result, the market directly took a V-shaped wash-up and once pulled up to the vicinity of 3342.
The European session fluctuated strongly and rose. Before and after the US session, it took advantage of the retracement to lure the short position, and there is still the possibility of a second pull-up space. Therefore, in the subsequent retracement support level, pay attention to two positions, one is 3322-3324, and the other is the 61.8% division support level of 3318. If it stabilizes, there is a high probability that there will be a second upward space, pointing to 3348. If the pressure here cannot be overcome, the bottom will continue to oscillate back and forth. At that time, it will fall back to see if a secondary low point can be formed to further stabilize the support. If it goes straight through and stands on it, 3293 may already be the short-term low.
On the whole, I still hold short orders before the effective breakthrough of 3345, but at the same time, as the gold price rebounds and moves upward, the short-term support level is temporarily expected to be 3325-3320.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345
TP 3325-3315
BUY 3325-3330
TP 3350-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD