Xauusd (GOLD): I am thinking to short positionshello guys!
let's analyze GOLD
Liquidity Hunted:
The chart highlights a liquidity grab near the recent high (marked as hunted), where the price spiked above resistance before reversing sharply.
Downtrend Movement:
Gold has shown strong bearish momentum, breaking below a rising trendline and key support levels.
A continuation toward the gray demand zone around $2,585–$2,595 is likely.
Key Demand Zone:
The gray highlighted area is the next potential support, where buyers may step in to halt the decline.
Scenarios:
Scenario 1: If the price respects the demand zone, a short-term bullish rebound towards $2,620–$2,630 can occur.
Scenario 2: Failure to hold the demand zone could push Gold further down toward the blue support area near $2,539–$2,535.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently bearish, with a strong possibility of reaching the demand zone at $2,585–$2,595. Traders should monitor this level for signs of a reversal or continuation, with $2,539 as the next downside target if support fails.
Metals
Silver (XAG/USD) Testing Long-Term Trendline SupportChart Analysis:
Silver prices are approaching a key rising trendline (black) that has supported the market throughout 2024. This level could provide a pivotal point for the next directional move.
1️⃣ Rising Trendline Support:
The trendline, drawn from the January 2024 low, has consistently acted as support. Silver is currently testing this level around $30.39, which aligns with a potential decision zone.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Price has slipped below the 50-day SMA at $31.64, suggesting near-term bearish pressure.
200-day SMA (red): The longer-term trend remains intact, with the 200-day SMA rising steadily near $29.57.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Hovering at 42, showing weakening momentum but not yet oversold. Traders may monitor for divergence signals.
MACD: The MACD line is below zero, with a slight bearish crossover forming, reinforcing a cautious outlook.
What to Watch:
A decisive move below the rising trendline could bring the 200-day SMA ($29.57) into focus as the next key support.
On the other hand, a bounce from this trendline might signal renewed bullish momentum, with resistance likely at the 50-day SMA ($31.64).
RSI and MACD movements could offer early clues for price direction.
Silver is at a technical crossroads as it tests critical long-term trendline support. Traders will be watching closely for confirmation of the next move.
-MW
XAUUSD-GOLD | 15M | SCALPING TIMEHello guys, I made XAUUSD-GOLD analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY ( XAUUSD-GOLD ) 2650,0
🟢TP1: 2653.0
🟢TP2: 2655.0
🟢TP3: 2663.0
🔴SL: 2641.0
Medium Risk
GOLD: Growth & Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the GOLD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-17: Momentum Rally PatternToday's Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will rally higher - possibly attempting to find a top.
What I find interesting is the big rally in the QQQ/Nasdaq yesterday. Possibly, the Momentum Rally phase hit the NQ yesterday.
Overall, I'm still looking for the markets to attempt to roll into a topping pattern. So, I'm staying very cautious of any big market moves right now.
Yes, if you look at the QQQ/NQ, it looks like the markets are in liftoff mode (bullish), but other data suggests the markets are actually weakening and pulling into a reversion phase.
Gold and Silver will likely find a base/bottom soon. I picked up some Call options on SILJ and GDX recently anticipating the potential rally move.
Bitcoin is well beyond a 100% measured move higher. Even though I believe Bitcoin can rally to 112k - 115k, I'm urging traders to stay cautious (still).
My data suggests the markets are weakening and possibly moving into a pullback/reversion phase.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Short-Term Targets for Gold After Breaching $2,650 Short-Term Targets for Gold After Breaching $2,650
1. Immediate Downside Targets:
$2,600: Minor support level; likely to be tested soon.
$2,575–$2,550: Stronger support zone; potential area for profit-taking or reversal.
$2,500: If momentum remains bearish, this could be the extended target.
1. Entry Point:
Enter a sell position $2,650
2. Profit Targets:
First Target (T1): $2,600 (close part of the position).
Second Target (T2): $2,575.
Final Target (T3): $2,550 (full exit unless trend remains strong).
3. Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss just above $2,660–$2,670 to protect against a false breakout or rebound.
Risk Management
Avoid over-leveraging; short-term gold movements can be volatile. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
XAUUSD: 17/12 Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627
Four-hour resistance 2673, support below 2627
Gold operation suggestions: Gold is currently in a volatile situation. As for the current trend, the two consecutive days of retreat last week have basically destroyed the previous upward trend. The daily short-term moving average has also formed a suppression pattern. The previous support level is also likely to be converted into top pressure, forming a suppression effect. In terms of operation, it is still treated as a rebound short.
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance continues to focus on the NY market high of 2662 last Friday. The intraday pullback relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. Pay attention to the short-term support of 2640 below, and focus on the support of 2627.
BUY:2645near
BUY:2627near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAU/USD : LONG, SHORT, LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price failed to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday. With news favoring the dollar index, gold experienced further declines, reaching $2664 so far. Now, we can expect an upward correction, likely followed by another drop before gold resumes its rally towards levels above $2700. This analysis will be updated further, so stay tuned and follow step by step!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SILVER Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 30.270.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 31.022 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on SILVER right now from the resistance line above with the target of 30.300 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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Today's trading range is 2643~2664Gold closed higher on the daily chart, but the price still closed below the MA10 daily average of 2660. The RS1 indicator was adjusted at the middle axis, and the daily Bollinger Bands gradually narrowed. The short-term four-hour chart fell into a shock adjustment around the 43/64 range, and the moving average closed. The hourly chart Bollinger Bands closed, and short-term trading was still the main focus during the day, with shocks and sideways trading!
Gold was still in a shock repair market yesterday, but it eventually fell under pressure. Gold was still in a bearish shock overall, and the rebound was still an opportunity to continue to be short!
The gold 1-hour moving average was still a dead cross downward short arrangement, and the gold adjustment has not ended. Gold fell under pressure at 2665 yesterday, indicating that gold is still in a strong resistance zone above 2660, and it is still selling at highs under pressure at 2665.
First support: 2648, second support: 2643, third support: 2631
First resistance: 2660, second resistance: 2667, third resistance: 2678
GOLD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly falling on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 2,662.621 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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Gold H1 | Potential bearish breakoutGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a potential breakout level where the strong bearish momentum could drive it lower.
Sell entry is at 2,646.55 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 2,670.00 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 2,617.47 which is a swing-low support.
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XAUUSD (XAU/USD)📉 Sell Signal for XAU/USD
✅ Suggestion: I expect a drop for gold. You can enter a market sell position.
🎯 Target Area:
1️⃣ 2643.654
📊 This is a great opportunity to capitalize on the downward move. 🚀
💬 To manage this signal effectively and receive more signals:
1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊
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GOLD stable, pay attention to data and upcoming eventsOn the Asian market on Tuesday (December 17), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable, gold price is currently around 2,651 USD/ounce and there are almost no significant fluctuations.
In the coming days, the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Bank of Japan will hold monetary policy meetings to decide on interest rates, while also hinting at what 2025 might hold.
The Fed is expected to cut base interest rates by 25 basis points. The change has long been priced in, meaning the focus will be on the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), or Dotplot chart, in which policymakers detail their expectations on inflation, growth, interest rates and employment. These will have a significant impact on the US Dollar.
CME's "Fed Tracker" shows traders see a 95.4% chance the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday.
Today (Tuesday), the US Census Bureau will release retail sales data for November, which is expected to trigger market volatility during this trading day.
Surveys show U.S. retail sales are expected to rise 0.5% monthly in November, after rising 0.4% in October.
US retail sales data typically has a greater impact on financial markets, potentially influencing the trend of assets such as the US dollar and gold.
If US retail sales data is stronger than expected, the US Dollar could strengthen, thus pushing gold prices back down; On the other hand, a weaker-than-expected retail sales report will stimulate a recovery in gold prices.
In addition, on the same day, the NAHB home price index in the US will be announced for December, which is expected to increase slightly to 47 from the previous value of 46.
In terms of technical structure, not much has changed so readers can review the previous weekly publication linked below.
In the coming time, the technical chart of gold prices will be noticed by some notable patterns as follows.
Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD
Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2678⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2684
→Take Profit 1 2673
↨
→Take Profit 2 2668
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2621 - 2623⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2617
→Take Profit 1 2628
↨
→Take Profit 2 2633
Gold: Bullish Move AheadThe gold market has been exhibiting bullish momentum, supported by an upward trendline. After reaching a recent low at approximately 2,611.93 USD, the price has shown signs of a rebound near key Fibonacci levels. The key support area around 2,610.00 USD (0.786 retracement level) is holding strong, and gold is now approaching the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level at 2,669.02 USD.
If the price manages to break above the 2,669.02 level, the next target would be near the 0.236 level around 2,699.16 USD. The bullish trend could accelerate further if gold surpasses the 2,726.10 USD resistance zone.
Key Levels:
Support: 2,611.93 USD
Resistance: 2,726.10 USD
Fibonacci Retracements: 2,655.54 (0.618) and 2,669.02 (0.50) act as significant levels for potential breakouts.
Forecasting the direction of gold for the rest of this yearAt the beginning of the trading session on December 16 (US time), world gold prices increased. The market expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on December 17-18 (US time). Investors took advantage of buying gold to get ahead of the uptrend after the Fed's decision.
After a series of unusual developments in gold in recent times, experts are still cautious with the precious metal in the short term. Some investors are tending to sell to take profits in the last weeks of the year.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, said that the direction of gold depends on the Fed's decision. Gold is at risk of falling to the $2,600/ounce mark if the Fed signals a smaller reduction or stops cutting interest rates next year.
Forecasts that the US economy will likely be more stable and stronger next year. This means the Fed has little reason to lower interest rates, and gold prices may not receive as much support as this year.
Gold price forecast December 17, 2024World gold prices increased slightly as the USD dropped. Recorded at 9:45 am on December 17, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,470 points (down 0.08%).
The gold market is cautious as investors prepare to receive the decision of the US Federal Reserve (FED), which is expected to reduce interest rates with a "hawkish" message after the monetary policy meeting. last of the year.
Although gold prices maintained a sideways trend ahead of Wednesday's decision, one analyst said the message from the Fed could lead to a larger correction in the precious metals market.
This medium-term upward trend is mainly driven by new economic policies, including deeper corporate tax cuts and increased tariffs on imports to the US. These policies could cause inflation to increase in 2025 and beyond.
Wong also highlighted that real yields on the 10-year note have rebounded sharply after testing the 1.9% support level last week. If it increases to 2.29%, the opportunity cost of holding gold will be higher, making gold less attractive to investors.