Metals
SILVER Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER made a bullish
Breakout of key horizontal
Level of 32.60$ and the
Breakout is confirmed
Which combined with the
Fact that Silver is trading in
A strong uptrend makes us
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting further growth
Buy!
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Post Market Update : Big Squeeze CloseToday is quite a day in terms of trading volatility and volume. We've not seen a low-volume day like today in the SPY for more than a year.
It is very likely this rally near the close of trading was more of a short-squeeze and not really a momentum breakout.
We'll see how things play out tomorrow. But, I'm not budging related to my expectations of a breakdown in the markets over the next 5-10+ days.
I see this market as completely over-cooked to the upside - and it seems to be evident in the lack of buying volume playing out.
My Custom Crash index is flat and topping. My Custom Volatility Index is flat and topping. My Custom US Leading Index is actually LOWER so far this week.
One thing is certain, there is a lot of open "air" below the 598 level on the SPY.
Buckle Up.
When it breaks - it may be a BIG BREAKDOWN setting up.
Get Some.
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GOLD STRONG BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅GOL D made a strong bullish
Rebound from the horizontal
Support below of 2868$ just as
We predicted in our previous
Analysis and and is going up now
Which combined with the fact
That gold is trading in a strong
Long-term uptrend along the
Rising support line makes us
Bullish biased and IF we see a
Bullish breakout of the
Horizontal resistance level above
Around 2940$ this will serve as
A confirmation of our bullish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation on Gold
SWING LONG🚀
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GOLD Very Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an
Strong uptrend but the
Price will soon hit a strong
Horizontal resistance level
Of 2943$ which is an
All-time-high so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Gold NEW ATH to $2,954?! (1H UPDATE)Gold’s absolutely rocketing today, so far running 430 PIPS in profit. We’re not too far from our TP!
However, I’d like to see some retracement back down towards $2,917 - $2,913 before hitting our TP. There’s a chance that Gold might be creating a complex 5 Sub-Wave (A,B,C,D,E) triangle. If this complex triangle wave shapes up, it’ll give us the opportunity to enter ANOTHER buy position🚀
Daily Market Outlook: BTC, DXY & Gold – Key Trade Setups (#5)The market still seems indecisive , but I’m here to find the best trade triggers for BTC and Forex. Let’s break it down.
📊 DXY – Breaking Key Support
DXY has entered a corrective phase after breaking below the 107.335 support.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
105.656 (Aligned with the 30% Fibonacci retracement)
103.367 (Aligned with the 60% Fibonacci retracement)
💡 106.602 could act as a short-term support, and if it breaks, it might be time to focus on USD pairs for potential setups.
🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Retesting ATH?
Gold rejected its all-time high at 2937.91 and now seems to be retesting this major resistance.
📊 What’s happening?
Gold is still in an uptrend, but momentum is fading.
Smaller bullish candles vs. larger bearish candles indicate possible exhaustion.
A correction could be healthy, but shorting remains risky in an uptrend.
📌 Trade Triggers:
✅ Long Entry: After a confirmed breakout above 2940
❌ Short Entry: Below 2879.74 (High risk due to trend direction)
📉 BTC – 95K Support Breaking?
BTC is attempting to break below the 95K support. If this level is lost, we could see a move toward 92K, 85K, and even 82K.
📌 Strategy:
✅ Short Trigger (Activated): 95245 (Yesterday’s signal)
✅ If You Missed It: Wait for a pullback or a new structure before entering.
Final Thoughts
⚠ This is a highly volatile market – avoid chasing trades and wait for confirmations.
⚠ If you’re not using risk management, these setups may not be suitable for you.
I’m Skeptic , see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! <3
GOLD Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Drop to 2,911$OANDA:XAUUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if sellers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, there is a high likelihood of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 2,911 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Tracking Crisis with This Ratio – US Markets vs GoldThese are the 3 major crisis over the last 25 years. The dot com, 08 and the recent 9% inflation crisis.
Before each crisis get into its full swing, I have observed there was a surge in gold.
In this tutorial, I will share:
1) Why a surge in gold before each crisis?
2) What are the key variables that we should be looking out for this year? and
3) I hope I don’t sound too ambitious in discussing how to time this move?
E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Ticker: NQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $5.00
Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our chart idea playing, out as analysed.
After completing our Bullish target yesterday at 2905, we stated that we were now looking for ema5 to lock above 2905 for a continuation to the range above.
- We got the lock above 2905, which opened 2934. This gave a nice push up of over 200 pips with plenty of time to get in for the action. The gap still remains open.
We will continue to look for ema5 lock above or below each of the levels to determine the next range. Lock failures will also confirm rejection in which case lower Goldlturns will be used for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2905 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2934
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2987
BEARISH TARGETS
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2841
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2781
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2781 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2764 - 2740
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD: Approaching the 3k top. Correction expected to 2,850.Gold has turned overbought again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.094, MACD = 56.680, ADX = 55.310), recovering last week's losses and ia marching towards a new ATH. Technically we expect it to approach the psychological level of 3k and once it gets as close to the HH trendline as possible, correct. The signal is given by the 3D RSI whose LH trendline has marked both Gold's highs in the past 12 months. The technical corrections aimed at the 0.382 Fibonacci level, so go short there and TP = 2,850.
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Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 18.02.2025📊 Market Structure & Price Action Analysis:
Key Support Zone: $2,903 - $2,906 (buy zone)
Key Resistance Target: $2,921 - $2,927
Liquidity Grab: Possible fakeouts below $2,903 before a bounce.
Trend Bias: Short-term bullish momentum, expecting a bounce off support.
📈 Intraday Scalping Trade Setup:
✅ Buy Entry: $2,903 - $2,906 (Look for price reaction confirmation)
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,915
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,921 - $2,924 (Partial close & trail stop)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below $2,898 (Tight SL for quick exit)
⚖ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 to 1:3
🕵 Scalping Confirmation Checklist:
✅ Bullish Rejection Wicks at $2,903 - $2,906
✅ Increased Volume on the bounce
✅ Break & Retest of minor intraday resistance
✅ Monitor Order Flow for buy-side momentum
⚠ Risk Management:
Exit Quickly if price fails to hold above $2,903
Move SL to Breakeven once TP1 is hit
Avoid Chasing Entries if price already starts moving up
📌 Scalping Tip: Use smaller lot sizes with quick execution to secure profits efficiently.
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Gold extends rebound after Friday’s dumpGold is caught between a rock and a hard place, as it holds above the technically-important $2,900 level. On the one hand, the existing bullish momentum means traders are happy to continue buying every dip they can get their hands on – which looks to have again been the case after Friday’s dump. But on the other, speculation is running high, and many traders would welcome a correction to shake out froth, particularly if geopolitical risks start to ease. Trump’s stated ambition to resolve conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza could dent safe-haven demand should he succeed. His protectionist policies and aggressive spending plans may also fuel inflationary pressures, delaying rate cut expectations and supporting bond yields.
Given these considerations, traders are treading carefully. While the broader trend remains intact, the risk of a deeper pullback cannot be ignored at these elevated levels. For gold to reach the $3K without first staging a short-term correction, it may take an escalation in the geopolitical risks, particularly about Ukraine.
For now, though, the buyers have returned. Keep an eye on support around $2900-$2906 area which needs to hold for gold to maintain its short-term bullish bias.
Short-term resistance comes in around $2920-$2925, which was being tested at the time of writing. This area was the last support zone pre Friday’s breakdown, making it a key battleground.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-18 : GAP PotentialAs the markets continue to struggle to break away from the current consolidated/sideways price trend, one thing is certain: The current FLAG/EPP pattern is setting up an explosive price move.
My expectations are for a price breakdown, as my predictive modeling and GANN Cycle Patterns suggest that Major Bottoms will set up near February 21 and March 21-23.
These major Bottoms suggest a strong potential for a price breakdown, reflecting uncertainty for the first half of 2025.
Additionally, I believe the strength of the US Dollar is driving a "Capital Shift," where foreign capital is actively moving away from currency and economic risks, pooling aggressively into the safest currency and assets. This translates into capital pooling into US, UK, and EURO assets to avoid broader currency devaluation events.
The dynamics of the global markets are very interesting right now. The influx of capital into the strongest economies with the strongest currencies may present a MELT-UP type of market trend. However, the uncertainty related to future US economic growth and performance may prompt some deep downturns/pullbacks in price.
I don't see how the US markets can move past the economic turmoil of broad government restructuring until after June/July 2025.
Therefore, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious of any melt-up trend. The markets want to move higher, but there are currently extreme volatility risks related to any potential price breakdowns.
I'm watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin to see if we move back into any euphoric phase. And right now, I'm seeing metals starting to move into a type of panic selloff while Bitcoin is struggling to regain any real strength.
The continued sideways trend of Bitcoin leads me to believe the euphoria is diminishing, and reality may be setting in. That means we may be in for a bumpy ride over the next 90+ days.
Stay fluid and stay cautious of any big breakdowns.
Get some.
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Best Strategies to Identify a Bearish Reversal in Gold Trading
In this article, I will explain to you 4 efficient strategies to identify a bearish reversal with technical analysis in Gold trading.
You will learn price action, SMC and technical indicator strong bearish signals.
First, let me remind you that different bearish signals may indicate a different magnitude and a degree of a potential reversal.
While some signals will be reliable for predicting short term reversals, some will be more accurate in projecting long-term ones.
One more thing to note is that one of the best time frames for bearish reversal confirmations on Gold is the daily. So, all the cases that will be explained will be on a daily time frame strictly.
XAUUSD Bearish Reversal Signal 1 - Bearish Price Action Pattern.
One of the perfect indicators of the overbought state of a bullish trend on Gold is bearish price action patterns.
I am talking about classic horizontal neckline based patterns like head & shoulders, inverted cup & handle, double/triple top and descending triangle.
Typically, these patterns leave early bearish clues and help to predict a coming downturn movement.
A strong bearish signal is a breakout of a horizontal neckline of the pattern and a candle close below.
The price may continue falling at least to the next key support then.
Above is the example of a head and shoulders pattern on Gold, on a daily. Its formation was the evidence of the overheated market. Bearish breakout of its neckline confirmed that, and the price continued falling.
Bearish Reversal Signal 2 - Rising Channel Breakout.
When the market is trading in a healthy bullish trend, it usually starts moving with the boundaries of a rising channel.
It can be the expanding, parallel or contracting channel.
Its support will represent a strong vertical structure , from where new bullish waves will initiate after corrections .
Its breakout will quite accurately indicate a change of a market sentiment and a highly probable bearish reversal.
Look at this rising parallel channel on Gold chart on a daily. The market was respecting its boundaries for more than 3 months.
A bearish violation of its support was an accurate bearish signal that triggered a strong bearish movement.
Bearish Reversal Signal 3 - Change of Character & Bearish Price Action.
One of the main characteristics of a bullish trend is the tendency of the market to set new higher highs and higher lows. Each final high of each bullish impulse is always higher than the previous. Each final low of each bearish movement is also higher than the previous.
In such a price action, the level of the l ast higher low is a very significant point.
The violation of that and a formation of a new low is an important event that is called Change of Character CHoCH.
It signifies the violation of a current bullish trend.
After that, one should pay attention to a consequent price action, because CHoCH can easily turn into just an extended correctional movement.
If the market sets a lower high and a new lower low then, it will confirm the start of a new bearish trend.
That is the example of a confirmed Change of Character on Gold on a daily. To validate the start of a new bearish trend, we should let the price set a lower high and a form a bearish impulse with a new lower low.
Bearish Reversal Signal 4 - Death Cross.
Death cross is a strong long-term bearish reversal signal that is based on a crossover of 2 moving averages.
On a daily time frame, it is usually based on a combination of 2 Simple Moving Averages: one with 50 length and one with 200 length.
The signal is considered to be confirmed when a 50 length SMA crosses below 200 length SMA.
It is commonly believed that it signifies that the market enters a long-term bearish trend.
On the chart, I plotted 2 Moving Averages. When the blue one crosses below the orange one, a global bearish trend on Gold will be confirmed
The 4 bearish signals that we discussed will be useful for predicting short term, mid term and long term bearish reversals on Gold.
While price action patterns will indicate local bearish movements, Death Cross will confirm a global trend change.
Learn to recognize all the signals that we discussed to make more accurate trading and investing decisions.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD rises above 2,900 USD again, attention to Trump and PutinOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery increased significantly due to factors such as a weaker US Dollar, geopolitical risks and uncertainty in US trade policy. As of the time this article was completed, spot gold increased to 2,909 USD/oz, an increase equivalent to 0.39% on the day.
The World Gold Council revealed central banks purchased more than 1,000 tons of gold for the third consecutive year in 2024. According to the World Gold Council, central banks' gold purchases increased 54% year-on-year to 333 tons after Trump won the election.
On Monday local time, at the suggestion of French President Macron, leaders of many European countries held an emergency meeting in the French capital Paris to discuss issues such as the situation in Ukraine and collective European security.
According to French press reports, the biggest disagreement at the meeting that day was whether to send troops to Ukraine under the peacekeeping framework or not. British Prime Minister Starmer said the UK is ready to send ground troops if necessary. Germany and Spain objected.
At the same time, Ukraine's peace negotiations also became the focus of market attention. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Monday that he would travel to the Saudi capital Riyadh and hold talks with US representatives on Tuesday.
US President Donald Trump said on Sunday that he will soon meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Saudi Arabia.
If a peace agreement is reached between Russia and Ukraine, this may be the driving force for gold to be able to adjust significantly down in the near future. On the contrary, if the agreement "goes nowhere", gold will continue to increase in price because geopolitical risks once again increase.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
From the support level of 2,881 USD, note to readers in the previous issue that gold has surpassed the initial target level at the original price point of 2,900 USD and currently maintains price activity above this level.
With the current position, gold has conditions to continue to increase in price with the goal of reaching an all-time peak rather than renewing the previously achieved all-time peak.
The upward relative strength index shows that the bearish momentum is also weakening, giving way to overwhelming buying force.
In general, in terms of the overall technical picture, gold still tends to be completely bullish, and notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,900 – 2,881 – 2,857USD
Resistance: 2,942USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2921 - 2919⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2925
→Take Profit 1 2913
↨
→Take Profit 2 2907
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2849 - 2851⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2845
→Take Profit 1 2857
↨
→Take Profit 2 2863
Gold rebound has begun, target 2940Today, the gold market is rising steadily, fluctuating around 2900. In the past few hours, it has started to rise steadily. There has been a rebound and continued upward trend. The support below is around 2880, and the short-term pressure above is around 2910-15. Pay attention to the 2920 line. If it breaks through 2920, it will continue to rise. We continue to hold it. It is not impossible to return to around 2940.
tp1:2920
tp2:2940
XAUUSDAffected by the holiday in the USA, the gold price fluctuated in a narrow range yesterday, with a slight increase on the daily line. The overall trend is in line with our expectations. The price failed to form an effective continuation after the decline. After rising to 2940 last week, it encountered secondary suppression and then fell sharply. This week, the price did not break the previous low, continuing the pattern of nearly a year. The price briefly stabbed the support and then quickly repaired the decline. The main chart currently shows a weak short signal, but further confirmation is needed. The sub-chart MACD indicator is glued at a high level, with signs of forming a dead cross, suggesting a risk of decline.
If the 4-hour candle falls below the support, it will rise sharply, and the price will temporarily recover some of the lost ground, but the rebound strength is weak. Focus on the recovery of the 26-day moving average. If the price re-stands on the moving average, it is expected to start a wide range of oscillations.
In the medium and long term, the gold price is still in an upward trend, and a decline of tens of dollars in the short term is unlikely to change the trend direction. Regardless of whether 2942 is a stage top, the construction and confirmation of the head pattern requires a repeated process.
From the daily chart, gold is still in an upward trend, and the trend has not changed, but the current momentum is gradually weakening, and the upper 2942 is also the previous high position, which is of reference significance from a technical perspective. The market may form a wide range of fluctuations at a high level.
From the 4-hour chart, the gold bullish arrangement is still intact, and it can rebound effectively when it touches the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. At present, it encounters resistance at 2942 near the previous high, and there is a potential double top to be played. And due to the excessive stretching of the previous bulls, it often takes a period of adjustment. Therefore, without further news stimulation, it is unlikely that gold will rise fiercely, and you can capture the callback market.
This week, pay attention to the competition between the high point 2942 and the neckline 2865. After the second high and then falling back, the 4-hour chart has the possibility of constructing a double top callback. This week, focus on the neckline 2865. The loss of this position will further deepen the adjustment space. Intraday trading is mainly based on callback buying, supplemented by rebound selling!
Key points:
First support: 2888, second support: 2880, third support: 2873
First resistance: 2910, second resistance: 2918, third resistance: 2924
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2883-2885, SL: 2874, TP: 2910-2920;
SELL: 2910-2913, SL: 2922, TP: 2890-2880;
Gold Consolidating at 2,918 – Break Above 2,934 or Drop to 2,873Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – February 18, 2025
Gold is currently testing the pivot level at 2,918, with price action indicating potential consolidation before making the next move. The market structure suggests that gold may remain within the 2,918 - 2,873 range before a breakout.
Technical Outlook
Bearish Scenario: If gold fails to hold above 2,918 and closes below this level, a drop toward the 2,873 support is expected. A confirmed break below 2,873 would push the price further down toward 2,859 and 2,840.
Bullish Scenario: For gold to continue its bullish trend, it must break above 2,934, confirming further upside toward 2,956.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 2,918
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2,934, 2,956
🔹 Support Levels: 2,873, 2,859, 2,840
📉 Directional Bias: Gold is expected to trade within 2,918 - 2,873 before a breakout. A move below 2,873 confirms further downside, while a break above 2,934 resumes the bullish trend.
💬 Will gold break 2,934 for new highs, or drop below 2,873? Share your thoughts! 👇🔥
Gold Rallies Above $2,900 Again, Will it Hold? Gold has retested the record high of 2,940 twice, raising concerns about a potential double or triple-top formation, as the RSI hovers near overbought levels last seen in November 2024—after which Gold retreated nearly 100 points.
However, the latest price action still indicates strength to the upside, driven by haven demand amid unresolved negotiations concerning the Russia Ukraine war.
Ahead of the talks, the EU reaffirmed support for Ukraine, while Ukraine rejected any agreement made on its behalf, as discussions shifted exclusively between the US and Russia.
Possible scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A close above 2,940 could extend gains toward $3,000 and $3,050.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the 2,940 resistance holds, Gold could retrace to support levels at 2,860, 2,790, and 2,720, respectively
- Razan Hilal, CMT