Gold (XAU/USD) 4‑Hour Technical Analysis: July 23, 2025Gold continues to trade in a bullish structure on the 4‑hour timeframe, holding above $3,420 after a steady advance from early July lows. At the time of writing, XAU/USD stands at $3,423.8, confirmed by Investing.com. This analysis employs a comprehensive blend of globally‑recognized technical tools — ranging from price action and classical indicators to institutional concepts — to identify the most probable trading zones and a high‑conviction setup.
Current Price Structure and Trend
On the 4‑hour chart, gold maintains a clear bullish market structure, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows since early July. The current price action unfolds within a well‑defined rising channel, bounded approximately between $3,400 on the lower side and $3,450 on the upper. Twice in the past week, price has tested and respected the channel’s lower boundary, confirming its validity.
Support and resistance levels are evident: immediate support lies at $3,410, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July impulse wave. Below that, $3,390–$3,395 offers secondary support at the channel’s base and a longer‑term Fibonacci cluster. Resistance is concentrated at $3,445–$3,450, aligning with the channel top, upper Bollinger Band, and prior swing highs, while a secondary ceiling may emerge near $3,468–$3,470, corresponding to an Elliott Wave 3 extension target.
Candlestick, Volume, and Momentum
Recent price action has been supported by bullish candlestick formations. Notably, a strong bullish engulfing bar formed at $3,410 earlier this week, affirming institutional demand at that level. Volume profile analysis shows the heaviest transaction cluster between $3,410–$3,420, confirming this area as a smart money accumulation zone.
Volume‑weighted average price (VWAP ) currently runs near $3,418, with price holding above it, reflecting institutional positioning in favor of the bulls. Momentum indicators support the trend: MACD on the 4‑hour has just crossed bullish, RSI prints at 60 — strong but not overbought — and ADX climbs to 24, indicating a trend strengthening phase.
Indicators, Patterns, and Institutional Concepts
Trend indicators reinforce the bullish view. The 50‑ and 100‑period exponential moving averages converge around $3,415–$3,420, providing dynamic support. Ichimoku analysis shows price well above the Kumo (cloud), with a bullish Tenkan‑Kijun configuration. Bollinger Bands are widening, and price is leaning toward the upper band — a classic signal of volatility expansion in trend direction.
Classical and harmonic patterns offer further evidence. The current consolidation resembles a bull flag, suggesting continuation. Elliott Wave analysis points to a third wave in progress, with an upside projection into the $3,448–$3,468 area. Smart money concepts confirm that the recent break above $3,420 constituted a bullish break of structure (BOS), with price now retracing into a favorable gap (FVG) and a 4‑hour bullish order block anchored around $3,410–$3,415.
Liquidity and stop‑clusters likely sit above $3,445 and $3,468, making these logical targets for bullish campaigns.
Market Context and Sentiment
Gold is benefiting from a softening US dollar and a drop in volatility indexes. Seasonal tendencies also lean bullish into late summer. Sentiment on professional platforms aligns with this view: TradingView top authors and FXStreet analysts favor buying pullbacks into $3,410–$3,415 and targeting $3,450–$3,468, which harmonizes with this analysis. No major divergence from consensus is noted, adding to confidence.
Identified Trading Zones
Two strong buy zones emerge on the 4‑hour chart. The most immediate and highest‑confidence zone is $3,410–$3,415, supported by channel support, Fibonacci retracement, VWAP, moving averages, and an order block. Below this lies a secondary buy zone at $3,390–$3,395, tied to deeper Fibonacci support and the rising channel’s lower boundary.
On the other hand, clear sell zones are defined at $3,445–$3,450, where upper channel resistance, Bollinger bands, and prior highs converge, and a secondary zone at $3,468–$3,470, aligned with wave targets and round‑number psychological resistance. These areas are likely to attract profit‑taking and potential reversals.
The Golden Setup
Among the findings, one trade stands out as the highest‑conviction setup:
A long position at $3,415, with a stop loss at $3,405 and a take profit at $3,450.
This trade is backed by strong confluence: price pulling back into a well‑defined demand zone ($3,410–$3,415) that features order block support, Fibonacci retracement, VWAP alignment, EMA cluster support, and a rising channel boundary. The target sits just below the first significant resistance band ($3,445–$3,450), offering a favorable risk‑to‑reward ratio. The confidence level on this setup is rated at 8/10, given the multi‑method alignment and consistent sentiment from professional sources.
Summary Table
Category Levels / Details
Buy Zones $3,410–$3,415, $3,390–$3,395
Sell Zones $3,445–$3,450, $3,468–$3,470
Golden Setup Long @ $3,415 / SL $3,405 / TP $3,450 (Confidence: 8/10)
In conclusion, gold maintains a constructive technical outlook on the 4‑hour timeframe. The prevailing bullish structure, reinforced by classical and institutional methodologies, supports a continuation toward the $3,450–$3,468 region. The suggested Golden Setup provides a disciplined, high‑probability entry at a key inflection zone, consistent with both technical evidence and prevailing market sentiment.
Metals
XAGUSD Outlook – 40 Remains the Next TargetIn my previous XAGUSD analysis, I argued that the trend was strongly bullish and that a move toward 40 was the next logical outcome. At the time, price was correcting, and I highlighted the 37.50 zone as a key area to look for long opportunities.
✅ Indeed, Silver respected that zone perfectly —
It retested the broken consolidation, found support, and then surged higher, marking a new multi-year high in yesterday’s session.
________________________________________
🔍 What Now?
Nothing has changed in the broader view:
• Trend: Strongly bullish
• Structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain intact
• Behavior: Dips are being bought aggressively
As long as the recent 37.50 low is not broken, the strategy remains straightforward:
Buy dips within bullish continuation
________________________________________
🎯 40 in Sight — But Don’t Be Surprised if It Goes Further
The 40 zone remains the natural next target — a major psychological level.
But based on current momentum and breakout strength, Silver could go even higher in the coming weeks and months. If buyers keep control, we might even see new ATH test by year's end (50 zone).
________________________________________
🟢 Conclusion
This breakout confirms the larger trend.
The pullback to 37.50 was bought, as expected, and now Silver is making its move.
Strategy should remain the same:
Stay long above 37.50
Buy the dips
Watch how price reacts near 40 — but keep an open mind for higher levels
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Gold Update – Strong Breaks, Strong BullsYesterday, after the break of the key 3370 resistance, Gold corrected slightly toward 3383, then consolidated briefly in that area. From there, it launched into a strong new leg up, closing the day once more near the highs, around 3430.
📌 What’s important here is that the price did not even come back to retest the broken resistance — now turned support. Combined with the strong daily close near the high of the range, this gives us a clear message:
➡️ Bulls are in full control.
________________________________________
🔍 This Week – Three Key Breaks
So far this week, Gold has delivered three major breakouts:
• ✅ A clean breakout from the box consolidation that kept price stuck and indecisive last week
• ✅ A decisive break above the 3400 psychological figure
• ✅ A breakout above the symmetrical triangle resistance, which had been forming since late April
Each of these is significant on its own. Together, they suggest a shift toward a more aggressive bullish scenario.
________________________________________
🔮 What’s Next?
All these breakouts point to the potential for more gains ahead.
In fact, the next logical step could be an attempt to mark a new All-Time High.
My view remains the same:
Buying dips remains the strategy of choice, with a focus on the 3400 zone as a key support area, and a swing target around 3500.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
SILVER Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price made a
Bullish breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 39.10$
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅GOLD is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 3450$
After trading in an uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 3414$
SHORT🔥
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Gold Market Update – Key Zones for the Next MoveHey gold lovers! As the NY session wraps up, the chart is a painting of tension: gold boxed tight between major structure — and the real action is only about to start.
Bias:
At this stage, gold remains in a short-term bullish structure as long as price holds above the 3421–3428 decision area. A break and hold below this zone would shift the bias to neutral or bearish for the next sessions.
🎨 What’s drawn on the chart?
🟥 3472–3478 Supply Zone:
The ceiling, still untouched — this is where every failed breakout has left a “scar” on the chart. If we finally reach this zone, watch for wicks, rejections, or that rare, clean breakout candle. Sellers and patient bulls are both watching for “the drawing” to be complete.
🟩 3383–3390 Demand Zone:
The real floor. On your chart, it’s the base built by strong bounces and those long wicks buyers left behind. If price falls here, it’s not just a line: it’s a zone where new rallies are born and the market might “paint” a major reversal.
🟦 The Middle is Just Noise
Price is coiling, painting confusion in the center — but the edge zones are where structure and opportunity live.
Don’t be the trader who gets erased in the chop. Let price draw the story at supply or demand before making your move.
💡 Plan for Tonight
Wait for price to reach 🟥 supply or 🟩 demand.
Watch the “drawing” — will you see a wick, a rejection, or a true breakout?
Only trade once the story is clear at the edges.
Drop your best chart art or scenario below!
like🚀🚀🚀and 🔔 Follow for real structure updates & daily market stories — let’s turn trading into a masterpiece, together.
GoldFxMinds
Nifty Metal: Heating Up or Just Polishing the Armor?After a healthy consolidation phase, the Nifty Metal Index is finally starting to flex some muscle. While it’s been behaving like a shy warrior at a dance-off, the structure now looks technically stronger and poised for a potential bullish breakout.
We’ve seen two failed breakout attempts (clearly marked with trendlines)—both classic cases of “all hype, no flight.” But this time, after a tight range consolidation between July 9th and July 18th, it has stepped out of its shell and is teasing a real move.
Next resistance around ₹9,675—and maybe even beyond, if momentum supports the story.
Until then, sitting tight, sharpening the filters, and scouting for individual metal stocks showing relative strength!!!
GOLD → Correction before continuing the rally to 3450FX:XAUUSD updates its local maximum to 3401.5 and enters a consolidation phase ahead of news. The dollar correction gives speculators a chance...
The price of gold is correcting from 3400. The reason is profit-taking ahead of Powell's speech at 12:30 GMT and waiting for clarity on US trade negotiations with the EU and Japan before August 1.
Gold remains sensitive to the progress of negotiations and the dynamics of the dollar, which is weakening amid political uncertainty, declining yields, and pressure on the Fed from Trump.
Technically, after exiting consolidation and retesting 3400, the price is entering a local consolidation phase.
Focus on key levels: 3401, 3382, 3375. A false breakdown of support could trigger a recovery phase.
Resistance levels: 3402, 3393
Support levels: 3382, 3375, 3362.75
The distribution phase has been halted by resistance, and the price has moved into a countertrend correction due to uncertainty. Markets are waiting for positive signals from the Fed. Local and global trends are bullish, which may support the price overall...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bulls are still the main theme, 3400 is not the high point📰 News information:
1. Fed Chairman Powell delivers a welcome speech at a regulatory conference
2. The tariff deadline is approaching
📈 Technical Analysis:
Today's opening high reached around 3402, and did not effectively break through the upper resistance of 3405-3415. As I said yesterday, a decline and return to the moving average is an inevitable result. The tariff issue is still there, with the deadline on August 1, and the daily MACD indicator still shows a golden cross. The general direction of short-term bullishness has not changed, but from a technical point of view, gold still has room to fall to correct the overbought part.
Below the day, we first focus on the top and bottom conversion position of 3377-3375. As time goes by, the 4H middle track will probably resonate with the 50% position of the Fibonacci line at 3355, which is also a good long position I expect. Therefore, if the price falls back to 3380-3375 for the first time during the day, you can consider going long. If the price continues to fall, pay attention to the second opportunity to go long at 3355, with the target at 3390-3410.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3380-3375
TP 3390-3410
BUY 3360-3350
TP 3370-3380
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Long the copper for a potential breaking upWith the expectation of PPI bouncing back from the deep valley because China is launching a 1.3 Trillion infrastructure plan to build the largest hydro dam in the Yarlung Tsangpo Grand Canyon on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the long term global demand of industrial copper is more bullish than last time.
In the aspect of currency, the bullish steepener yield curve of US T-bill is giving a continuous momentum to industrial commodities.
Imma entry in the bottom of the current consolidation and add position as the breaking in the next weeks
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Price has pushed up as expected back into the $3,400 zone, where we had a lot of pending liquidity that needed to be wiped out. Now that liquidity is collected I am patiently waiting for some form of 'distribution price action' to play out, before I consider selling. Until then I'm sitting on the sideline.
If Gold takes out Wave 2 high ($3,451) then bearish structure is invalidated & we can start looking at buy trades.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly like we analysed.
As a follow up from yesterday, after completing 3356, we noted that EMA5 cross and lock opening 3404, which was hit perfectly today as analysed. With strong momentum, we also cleared the 3424 Bullish Target.
We will now look for an EMA5 lock above 3424 to open the next bullish level at 3439. Alternatively, a rejection here may see lower Goldtruns tested for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels, taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures gives 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you backtest the levels we’ve shared every week for the past 24 months, you’ll see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid-term swings and trends.
The swing ranges give bigger bounces than our weighted levels, that’s the difference between the two.
BULLISH TARGET
3356 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
BEARISH TARGETS
3331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3311
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3311 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3266
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Don't chase the bullish trend,wait for the short position layout#XAUUSD
The tariff policy recently announced by the US government is undoubtedly the focus of the current gold market. Trump also tied the tariffs to the trial of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, adding to policy uncertainty. ⚖️
The implementation of the tariff policy may push up commodity prices, thereby exacerbating inflationary pressure, which is both an opportunity and a challenge for gold📊. On the one hand, rising inflation expectations may enhance the attractiveness of gold as an anti-inflation asset; on the other hand, the strengthening of the US dollar and US Treasury yields may offset this positive. 💡
At present, the lower support has moved up to the 3375-3365 area, where a top-bottom conversion position will be formed. The upper short-term resistance level is 3387-3393, the previous high. If the market touches this for the first time, you can try to see a double top fall.
🚀SELL 3385-3390
🚀TP 3365-3355
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry Level -3422.5
Sl - 3428.1
Tp - 3408.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAU/USD | Get Ready for Another Bullrun, $3500 is Coming!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, the price finally closed at $3350. After the market opened today, we saw an initial correction down to $3339 (exactly as expected), followed by another strong bullish wave, pushing gold above $3400 just moments ago. If the price stabilizes below $3398 within the next 4 hours, I expect a potential rejection toward $3388 and $3377. However, if gold holds above $3400, the next target will be $3409. Key demand zones are $3365–$3375, and levels $3355, $3344, and $3336.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish & Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Accurate Bullish Reversal : 3380
🩸 Accurate Bearish Reversal : 3314.5
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakout Ahead?Gold is currently consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern around $3,389. If it breaks above $3,402, we can expect a bullish continuation toward $3,420 and beyond. Key support lies at $3,367; a breakdown below this level would turn the trend bearish. The overall trend is still bullish, but a breakout is needed for confirmation.
📈 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario:
- Break above $3,392–$3,402 zone.
- Targets: $3,420 > $3,450 > $3,480
- Supported by strong upward BOS (Break of Structure) and higher lows.
❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
- Breakdown below $3,373–$3,367 zone.
- Targets: $3,355 > $3,345
- Would invalidate current bullish structure and form a lower low.
🔮 Trend Bias:
Bullish Bias remains intact as long as price stays above $3,367 and maintains higher lows. However, consolidation suggests waiting for breakout confirmation from the triangle before entering new trades.
🧭 Trend Outlook:
Gold is currently consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern, which typically precedes a breakout — either upward or downward. The price is holding above the key Fibonacci support levels and the overall market structure is bullish, suggesting an upward continuation is more likely if buyers maintain momentum.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD Trade Idea: Golden Cross Signals Bullish MomentumGold (#XAUUSD) is surging after breaking above the 61.8% Fibonacci level, confirming strong bullish momentum!
📊 Key Observations:
Price has bounced off the upper trendline, with an imbalance below, suggesting a possible small correction.
The MA50 has crossed above the MA200, forming a Golden Cross – a highly bullish signal!
🎯 Trade Strategy:
🔼 Consider buying ONLY if price consolidates above 3400 & the nearest fractal.
✅ Target: 3435 (next resistance zone)
⚠️ Watch for pullbacks – the Golden Cross supports upside, but a retest of support could offer a better entry.
GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,392.264 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️