Current bullish movement there are still significant resistanceGold Market Update
In the short term, the gold market has entered an uptrend. This upward movement has been supported by a Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS), indicating a bullish momentum and a potential reversal or continuation of the trend to the upside.
However, despite the current bullish movement, there are still significant technical resistances that need to be considered before assuming a sustained rally. At the moment, gold is approaching a trendline resistance, which has historically acted as a barrier, limiting further upward price movement. In addition to this, there is also the presence of a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the same region, adding to the confluence of potential resistance zones.
If the price is able to break above both the trendline resistance and the bearish FVG, it would confirm the strength of the bullish trend, and we could expect the market to continue climbing higher, potentially testing even stronger resistance levels above.
On the other hand, if the market fails to break through this key resistance area and gets rejected, we may witness a retracement or a corrective move. In such a case, gold could decline back down toward the lower marked trendline, which would then act as the next significant support level.
In conclusion, the immediate price action around this resistance zone will be crucial in determining the next direction for gold. Traders and investors should watch closely for confirmation of either a breakout or a rejection before making any decisive moves.
Metals
Will gold continue its uptrend from the 3,300 USD level?Hello dear traders!
Gold prices continued to decline against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, falling below the previous psychological support level, which is now resistance, at 3,350 USD. The main reason was that the US Dollar gained some positive momentum as the market leaned toward the Fed maintaining its current policy in July following the May report, causing XAUUSD to move lower into the weekend.
From a technical perspective, as previously analyzed, gold broke below the psychological support level of 3,350 USD on Friday, with prices approaching the 3,300 USD support level at the time of writing. However, the RSI has dropped to the 30 level, indicating that selling pressure may be losing momentum, and global economic stress could potentially limit further losses.
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly TF 2025Overview
This analysis outlines the structural Fibonacci confluences, scenario planning, and macro-aligned projections for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe. It integrates multi-layered Fibonacci extensions and retracements, mapping out key support and resistance levels, and proposes a nuanced primary scenario that includes both intermediate rallies and corrective movements.
Primary Scenario – Multi-Stage Movement Hypothesis
We anticipate that gold may initially extend higher from the current level (~$3,325) to test the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $3,435, with the possibility of a further intermediate peak near $3,500. This level marks a psychological and technical resistance zone and could act as a temporary top.
Following this local peak, a corrective phase may unfold. This pullback could evolve into one of the two outlined correction scenarios:
1 TP Correction Scenario
Support Target: ~$2,950
Basis: 100% Fib extension confluence and prior resistance turned support
Expected Outcome: Price stabilizes at this level and resumes upward momentum
2 TP Correction Scenario
Support Target: ~$2,650
Basis: Strong historical structure + 100% Fib confluence from a broader cycle
Expected Outcome: This zone acts as a long-term demand accumulation area
Upon completion of the corrective structure, we expect gold to reinitiate its primary bullish trend.
Bullish Continuation Targets
TP1: ~$4,050 (161.8% Fibonacci extension)
TP2: ~$4,319 (261.8% Fibonacci extension)
These targets align with macroeconomic conditions, central bank accumulation trends, and long-term structural cycles.
Supporting Technicals
RSI: Holding above 50, indicating preserved bullish momentum
MACD: Positive crossover with widening histogram on weekly timeframe
Price Action: Strong support zone between $3,280–$3,300 aligning with 161.8% Fib retracement of the recent minor wave
Macro Fundamentals & Correlations
Central Bank Gold Demand: Sustained net buying by BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, supports the structural bid on gold
Fed Policy: Market anticipates a prolonged pause or gradual rate cuts, favoring non-yielding assets like gold
DXY & US10Y Yields: Any further decline in DXY or softening yields would add tailwinds to gold
Crypto Correlation: During inflationary hedging or systemic risk periods, gold and crypto may correlate positively, especially with weakening USD
Intermarket Relationships: Gold, DXY, and TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap)
Gold vs. DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold historically maintains an inverse correlation with DXY. A rising DXY tends to apply downward pressure on gold prices, while a falling DXY enhances gold's upside momentum.
Scenario Interactions:
If DXY breaks below 98, this could validate the bullish scenario for gold toward $3,435–$4,050.
If DXY rallies back above 100, it could trigger the correction scenarios ($2,950 or $2,650) in gold.
Gold vs. TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap)
Gold and TOTAL may show positive correlation during periods of USD weakening and global liquidity expansion.
Scenario Interactions:
If gold rallies toward $3,500 and TOTAL also breaks key resistance (e.g., $1.8T–$2T), this signals synchronized bullish risk appetite.
If gold corrects while TOTAL continues to rise, it could indicate rotation of liquidity from defensive to risk-on assets.
A simultaneous correction in both may occur if DXY strengthens aggressively or if macro shocks reduce global liquidity.
These intermarket relationships should be monitored continuously to assess the evolving macro context and validate the chosen scenario.
In the case of a gold correction toward $2,950 or $2,650, the impact on altcoins will hinge on the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop. If the correction stems from a healthy, technical rebalancing within a risk-on environment—without a concurrent surge in the U.S. dollar—it could signal a shift in capital from defensive assets like gold into more speculative plays, including altcoins. This type of capital rotation often benefits the crypto market, particularly if TOTAL (crypto market cap) holds or advances structurally. However, if the correction is caused by rising dollar strength, tightening financial conditions, or broader risk-off sentiment, altcoins may instead suffer alongside gold, as liquidity is withdrawn across the board. Therefore, the context and drivers behind gold’s correction are crucial in assessing its downstream effects on altcoin performance.
From a philosophical lens, gold's cyclical ascent and retreat mirrors the rhythm of nature and human experience—expansion, contraction, and renewal. Just as rivers carve valleys before surging toward the ocean, the market too must surrender gains to gather force. A correction in gold is not merely a financial event, but a moment of recalibration—an inhale before the next exhale of momentum. It invites reflection: whether wealth seeks refuge or ventures into risk, whether fear contracts or ambition expands. In this interplay, altcoins may inherit the restless spirit of capital in search of yield, as gold, the ancient anchor of value, briefly pauses in its timeless journey.
Conclusion
We present a multi-phased path for gold where:
An initial bullish breakout toward $3,435–$3,500 forms a short- to mid-term peak
A subsequent correction brings gold to either $2,950 or $2,650, depending on macro triggers
A renewed bull rally drives gold toward $4,050 and potentially $4,319 and beyond
This scenario reflects both the cyclical nature of market structure and the macro-fundamental backing that continues to support long-term gold strength.
XAUUSD: Neutral trade preparing a major breakout.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.070, MACD = 17.020, ADX = 34.480) a direct consequence of the sideways trading between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. The price action has rebounded on the former LH trendline, validating that it has resumed the long term bullish trend. The pattern that has prevailed so far is a Channel Up, and the current consolidation is similar to its first bottom sequence. We are bullish, aiming again for the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 3,420).
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Gold rebounds and repairs, is it a shock or a bull market?📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈 Market analysis:
At the gold hourly level, after the pressure in the Asian session in the morning, it directly fell to the vicinity of 3302. The big Yin effectively lost the lower track of the descending flag consolidation channel. The original 3318 line was the confirmation of the channel counter-pressure point, which happened to be the 61.8% split resistance level at that time. At the same time, it lost the middle track. Therefore, we gave a trading idea of looking at the rebound under pressure and continuing to decline in the European session. As a result, the market directly took a V-shaped wash-up and once pulled up to the vicinity of 3342.
The European session fluctuated strongly and rose. Before and after the US session, it took advantage of the retracement to lure the short position, and there is still the possibility of a second pull-up space. Therefore, in the subsequent retracement support level, pay attention to two positions, one is 3322-3324, and the other is the 61.8% division support level of 3318. If it stabilizes, there is a high probability that there will be a second upward space, pointing to 3348. If the pressure here cannot be overcome, the bottom will continue to oscillate back and forth. At that time, it will fall back to see if a secondary low point can be formed to further stabilize the support. If it goes straight through and stands on it, 3293 may already be the short-term low.
On the whole, I still hold short orders before the effective breakthrough of 3345, but at the same time, as the gold price rebounds and moves upward, the short-term support level is temporarily expected to be 3325-3320.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345
TP 3325-3315
BUY 3325-3330
TP 3350-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.496 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 36.646.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick update following on from yesterday’s post.
As expected, we got the push up after the EMA5 cross and lock above 3318, but price just fell short of our bullish target at 3352, leaving it open. This level now acts as a magnet, with price currently playing between 3318 and 3352, creating a tight range.
We're watching closely for tests on both 3318 and 3352, with direction confirmed only by EMA5 cross and lock. The gap to 3352 still remains, so any bullish momentum should aim to fill this cleanly.
Until one of these levels breaks with confirmation, we’ll likely continue seeing choppy movement in this range. We’ll keep using dips into support for intraday buys, targeting our usual 20–40 pip bounce trades as structure allows.
Once again, thank you all for your ongoing support and engagement, we’ll continue to keep you updated throughout the week, as price unfolds and setups confirm.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,322.70 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Bulls Breach Key Resistance – Momentum BuildsSilver (XAG/USD) has punched through a major horizontal resistance level around the psychological $35.00 mark, marking a significant technical breakout with bullish continuation potential.
🔍 Technical Highlights
Breakout Above Multi-Month Resistance: Price has cleanly broken above the key $35.00 zone, which had capped upside since late 2023. The breakout follows a tight consolidation range, suggesting a measured accumulation phase has ended.
Moving Averages Aligned Bullishly:
The 50-day SMA is rising sharply and sits well above the 200-day SMA.
Price is comfortably trading above both averages, confirming a strong uptrend structure.
MACD in Strong Positive Territory: MACD has surged above its signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum. No signs of a bearish crossover in sight.
RSI Enters Overbought Zone: RSI is currently near 70. While this signals strong momentum, it also raises the potential for short-term cooling or consolidation before any continued leg higher.
⚙️ Outlook
The breakout above $35.00 represents a major bullish development, potentially opening the door to further upside exploration. The impulsive nature of recent gains, combined with rising momentum indicators and trend-confirming moving averages, all favor the bulls. However, the overbought RSI suggests the possibility of a short-term pullback or sideways consolidation before the next move higher.
Traders may want to monitor for a potential retest of the $35.00 area as support, which could offer a higher-probability continuation setup within the broader uptrend.
-MW
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3345
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3326
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
XAUUSD: Strategy and Analysis for June 10Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3360, support level 3270
Four-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3290
One-hour chart resistance level 3327, support level 3303.
The key support level of gold at the opening of 3310 has been broken. The price repeatedly stabilized at the 3310 line yesterday, forming a narrow range of fluctuations in the 3310-3320 range. The previous slow rise had formed a step-by-step upward structure. At present, this structure has been broken as the price fell below 3310, because the downward pattern formed last Friday has been completed. Next, we need to pay attention to whether the market will start a daily decline.
Short-term ideas for Tuesday: Refer to the previous intensive trading area 3310~3320 price area, combined with the 15-minute level adjustment K-line pattern to find an opportunity to sell. The first key support position for the decline is 3290. If it falls below the support, the trend continues and may reach the 3250~3260 range.
XAU/USD: Gold's Critical Decision Point! FOR JUNE 06, 2025 📊 CURRENT SNAPSHOT
---
🎯 THE SETUP: "Golden Triangle Breakout"
Gold is sitting at a CRITICAL JUNCTURE - trapped between major support and resistance levels, forming what I call the "Golden Pressure Cooker" pattern.
🔍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🔴 RESISTANCE ZONE (The Ceiling)
* LWH (Last Week High): \$3,403.55 - Ultimate target
* LWL (Last Week Low): \$3,297.94 - Immediate resistance
* 4H FVG: \$3,350 area - Major supply zone
🟡 CURRENT BATTLEFIELD
* Price Action: Consolidating in tight range
* PWL (Previous Week Low): \$3,245.28 - Key pivot
🔴 DANGER ZONE (The Floor)
* DIE ZONE: \$3,121.70 - Critical support
* Break below = Major bearish signal
---
📈 MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
What the Chart is Telling Us:
1. 📊 Consolidation Phase: Gold has been ranging for several sessions
2. ⚡ 4H FVG Above: Acting as a magnet for price
3. 🎯 Triple Test: Price respecting the PWL level multiple times
4. 📉 Volume Decline: Typical before major moves
---
🚀 TRADING SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1: "Golden Rocket" 🚀 (BULLISH)
IF price breaks above \$3,297.94 (LWL):
* Target 1: \$3,330- +1.2% gain
* Target 2: \$3,350(FVG) - +3.9% gain
* Stop Loss: \$3,280 - Risk: -0.5%
Risk/Reward: 1:1.8 ⭐⭐⭐
SCENARIO 2: "Golden Avalanche" 📉 (BEARISH)
IF price breaks below \$3,245.28 (PWL):
* Target 1: \$3,200 (Psychological level)
* Target 2: \$3,121.70 (Die Zone)
* Stop Loss: \$3,297.94 (LWL)
---
💡 SIMPLE TRADING PLAN
🎯 FOR BULLS (Buy Setup):
```
ENTRY: Break above $3,298 with volume
STOP: $3,285
TARGET 1: $3,330
TARGET 2: $3,360
🎯 FOR BEARS (Sell Setup):
```
ENTRY: Break below $3,245 with volume
STOP: $3,298 (LWL)
TARGET 1: $3,200
TARGET 2: $3,122 (Die Zone)
---
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
1. Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of account
2. Wait for Confirmation: Don't jump early
3. Volume is Key: Breakouts need volume
4. Time Limit: Close if no movement in 2 days
---
🔥 WHY THIS SETUP MATTERS
Gold is at a crossroads! The tight consolidation suggests big players are accumulating positions. When this range breaks, expect explosive movement in either direction.
Smart Money Clues:
* Multiple tests of PWL = Strong support
* 4H FVG above = Price magnet effect
* Low volume = Calm before the storm
---
📊 MARKET CONTEXT
* Dollar Weakness: Could fuel gold rally
* Economic Uncertainty: Safe haven demand
* Technical Setup: Clean breakout pattern
* Timeframe: Perfect for swing trades
---
🎯 MY VERDICT
Gold is COILED and ready to EXPLODE!
The setup favors the bullish scenario due to:
✅ Strong support holding at PWL
✅ 4H FVG acting as price magnet
✅ Multiple failed attempts to break lower
✅ Overall uptrend structure intact
But remember: Respect the levels and trade the breakout, not your bias!
---
🚨 ACTION ITEMS
1. Set Alerts: \$3,298 (bull trigger) & \$3,245 (bear trigger)
2. Watch Volume: Breakouts need confirmation
3. Be Patient: Wait for clean breaks
4. Have Both Plans: Ready for either direction
---
Trade Smart, Stay Safe! 🥇💰
The market rewards patience and punishes impatience.
$Gold Fills the Gap – Is a Bullish Bounce Toward $3350 Next?By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that in last week’s analysis, the price successfully hit all four targets: $3338, $3332, $3326, and $3317, and finally closed on Friday at $3309. This move delivered over 390 pips of return, and I hope you made the most out of it!
Now, let’s move on to the latest gold analysis: As you can see, today gold dropped to the $3294 zone, finally filling the liquidity gap previously marked on the chart. Currently, gold is trading around $3315, and I expect further bullish movement toward the $3330 area as the first upside target.
After that, we should closely watch the $3332–$3352 zone for a potential corrective reaction.
There are more details in this analysis that I’ll share soon — with your support!
THE MAIN TA :
GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3346.2
Sl - 3353.30
Tp - 3330.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Gold: Easing China Tensions Could Weigh on XAUUSD Prices!!!Hey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,340 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,340 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Platinum 10 years accumulation 2 000 USD Overview of Catalysts
Here’s a detailed look at the top 10 key catalysts influencing platinum prices—and how they stack up on a 0–10 impact scale 🎯.
1. Supply Deficits (Mining Shortfalls) ⛏️
Trend: Persistent structural deficits—the largest since 2013—with a projected deficit of \~598 koz in 2024.
Drivers: Declining output in South Africa and Russia, underinvestment, and aging mines.
Impact Score: 10/10 – Direct upward pressure on price.
2. Industrial Demand & Green-Energy Growth 🏭
Trend: Industrial consumption is booming, with strong growth in sectors like wind turbines, glass, and electronics.
Support: This broad demand fuels a large part of the supply deficit, and goes well beyond automotive use.
Impact Score: 9/10 – Strong structural support.
3. Auto Catalyst Substitution (Pd → Pt) 🔄
Trend: Cost-effective substitution as platinum approaches price parity with palladium; significant volume was substituted in 2023, with more projected for 2024.
Significance: Boosts automotive demand in an area previously dominated by palladium.
Impact Score: 8/10.
4. Electric Vehicle Adoption (EVs) ⚡
Trend: EVs don’t use platinum in catalytic converters, which is a structural hit to demand as EV growth continues.
Significance: Long-term downside pressure.
Impact Score: 7/10.
5. Hydrogen Fuel Cell Demand 💧
Trend: Hydrogen vehicles use platinum, with projected demand growth toward 2030.
Limitations: Growth remains slower than battery EVs.
Impact Score: 6/10.
6. Recycling Constraints 🔄
Trend: Recycling, which provides about a quarter of supply, is falling due to fewer end-of-life vehicles and glass, reducing the supply buffer.
Market Effect: This amplifies supply tightness.
Impact Score: 6/10.
7. Chinese Emission Policies 🏭
Trend: China’s tightening emissions regulations are supporting demand, with end uses well protected against a slowdown.
Importance: China is the largest platinum user; policy gives stability.
Impact Score: 7/10.
8. Jewellery & Investment Trends 💍
Trend: Jewellery demand remains steady, and investment demand is rising.
Note: This is a smaller demand segment, but it is supportive.
Impact Score: 5/10.
9. Macroeconomic & Auto Production Outlook 📉
Trend: Weak global auto production is lowering platinum use, but recovery in auto could lift demand.
Aftermath: Economic rebound could support prices.
Impact Score:** 5/10.
10. Speculative Sentiment & Positioning 📈
Trend: Inventories are depleted; investors are waiting for a breakout.
Tipping Point: A price surge could spark momentum-driven demand.
Impact Score:** 4/10.
| Rank | Catalyst | Score (/10) |
| ---- | ---------------------------------- | ----------- |
| 1 | Supply Deficit | 10 |
| 2 | Industrial / Green-Energy Demand | 9 |
| 3 | Auto Catalyst Pd → Pt Substitution | 8 |
| 4 | EV Adoption (Negative Impact) | 7 |
| 5 | Chinese Emission Policies | 7 |
| 6 | Hydrogen Fuel Cell Growth | 6 |
| 7 | Recycling Constraints | 6 |
| 8 | Jewellery & Investment Demand | 5 |
| 9 | Macro Slowdowns / Auto Production | 5 |
| 10 | Speculative Positioning | 4 |
📌 Key Insights & Outlook
* Tight supply and diversified demand—especially from green energy and industrial sectors—are the strongest bullish forces for platinum.
* Auto-driven substitution offers further upside, while EV growth and recycling limitations act as constraints.
* Chinese regulations add resilience; hydrogen offers potential if growth accelerates.
* Jewellery and investment flows remain minor but supportive.
* Much depends on auto sector recovery and investor psychology—momentum effects could amplify gains if technical levels break.
🔮 Final Take
Platinum remains positioned for medium-term strength, thanks to severe supply tightness and robust non-auto demand drivers. For investors, key areas to watch are further deficits, industrial trends, and catalytic substitution. Be mindful of potential headwinds from EV adoption and macroeconomic softness, but the structural case remains compelling.
GOLD - Price can continue to fall to bottom part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew inside a rising channel, where it reached $3050 level and then broke it.
After this, price reached resistance line of channel and then made a correction to support line and then made an upward impulse.
Next, price exited from channel and continued to grow to $3430 level and even rose higher, but soon turned around.
Price made a fake breakout of this level and then started ot trades inside a flat, where it fell to bottom part.
Also, it made a gap, and later Gold started to grow to a resistance area, and when it reached this area, it bounced down.
At the moment, I expect that Gold will grow to resistance area and then drop to $3135 bottom part of flat.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
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HelenP. I Gold may break support level and continue to move downHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price reached support 2, which coincided with the support zone and tried to break it, but failed and dropped below. Then Gold turned around and made an impulse up, broke firstly 3125 level first and then reached support 1 and broke it too. After this movement, Gold continued to grow and reached the trend line, after which it started to decline inside a triangle pattern, where it first fell below support 1, making a first gap. Next, Gold tried to back up, but failed and dropped to support 2, after which it started to grow. In a short time, XAU rose to support 1, broke it, and some time traded between this level. Not long time ago, it rose to the trend line, which is the resistance line of a triangle as well, and then fell to the resistance zone. So, I expect that XAUUSD will break the support level and then continue to fall, thereby exiting from triangle too. For this case, I set my goal at 3225 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-10 : POP PatternToday's POP pattern suggests a potential big price move will take place. Given the overnight activity on the ES (rallying higher then rolling over), I suggest today's price move may attempt to retest these overnight highs, then repeat the breakdown phase into the close.
The markets continue to try to melt upward. This trend will continue until the markets decide to break downward.
After the deep low created by the tariff news, the markets continue to try to rally to new highs. It is very likely that Q2 earnings data may push the SPY to new ATH levels before we see any big rotation in price.
The markets have a tendency to move just above recent highs, then stall and revert downward as a pullback. This move may be no different.
The continued stalling of price trying to move higher recently suggests the markets are running into moderate resistance and I believe traders are actively pulling capital away from this rally.
The trend is still BULLISH. Stay cautious of this upward move as a breakdown could happen at any time.
Gold and Silver are moving into an impressive rally phase. Silver and Platinum have moved considerably higher over the past 10+ days. I believe Gold is lagging and will make a big move higher over the next 5 to 10+ days.
Silver is targeting $41-44+. Gold should target $3400 to $3500+ near the same time.
Bitcoin made a huge rally yesterday - reaching my 110,500 upper resistance level. Now, we see if Bitcoin has the momentum to carry higher or if it will fail and rollover into a downtrend.
It seems we are right as a MAKE or BREAK level in the markets. I'm still a believer of MELT UP until it fails.
I continue to watch for technical failure - but I've not seen it happen yet.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on June 10:
📌 Core driving factors
Safe-haven demand support: The turbulent situation in Los Angeles, USA, stimulated short-term safe-haven buying, limiting the decline in gold prices.
Fed policy expectations: Last Friday (June 6), strong non-farm data (employment growth exceeded expectations) strengthened the expectation of "high interest rates for longer", the US dollar strengthened (closed at 99.20), and gold fell back to $3,310/ounce under pressure.
Technical selling pressure: Gold prices failed to stabilize after hitting a high of $3,402, and bulls took profits, forming a short-term top structure.
📊 Technical analysis
1. Weekly level
Long upper shadow cross: It shows that there is strong resistance in the $3,400 area. If it cannot break through this week, a double top pattern may be formed (neckline support 3280-3300).
Key resistance: $3,355 (last week's high); key support: $3,300 (psychological barrier).
2. Daily level
The second peak fell back: 3403 US dollars formed a double top pressure, MACD top divergence, and the short-term adjustment pressure increased.
Key watershed: 3310-3315 (the intraday long and short battle point), if it falls below, it will look down to 3280-3250.
3. 4-hour level
Trend break: Lost the rising trend line and the middle track 3330-3335, short-term weakness.
Bullish counterattack signal: If it stands firm at 3315 and breaks through 3330, it may test the 3350 resistance again.
🎯 Trading strategy suggestions
🔹 Short-term operation (intraday)
Long order opportunity: callback to 3300-3310 light position long, stop loss 3285, target 3335-3345.
Shorting opportunities: shorting at 3345-3355, stop loss at 3365, target at 3310-3300.
🔹 Mid-term layout
Double top confirmation: If the weekly line closes below 3300, consider mid-term shorting, target at 3250-3200.
Breakthrough signal: If it stands at 3355, the double top will be invalid, and the upward trend will be 3400-3450.
⚠️ Risk warning
Pay attention to the forward guidance of the Fed's June interest rate decision and changes in the geopolitical situation. If risk aversion heats up or inflation data weakens, the gold price may break through $3,400.
(Note: The market is changing rapidly, and it is recommended to dynamically adjust the strategy in combination with real-time data.)