Positive market, GOLD drops to 3,220 USD in short termOANDA:XAUUSD fell to $3,220/oz, down 0.61% on the day at press time, resuming a bearish trend and cooling demand for safe-haven assets. US President Trump spoke by phone with Russian President Vladimir Putin, with Trump saying Russia wants to reach a major trade deal with the United States and will immediately begin ceasefire negotiations with Ukraine. Ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, central bank officials remained on the sidelines, with the likelihood of a rate cut in the summer very low.
Trump said Russia wants to make a “big” trade deal with the United States. Trump posted on his Truth Social account that he spoke with Putin on Monday to discuss the deal. “I just had a two hour phone call with Putin and I think it went very well.”
Trump said he discussed a number of issues with Putin, primarily the ceasefire agreement between Putin and Ukraine. “Russia and Ukraine will immediately begin negotiations to achieve a ceasefire and, more importantly, an end to the war,” Trump wrote. “Both sides will negotiate the terms of this agreement, which is only possible because they have details of the negotiations that others do not. The tone and atmosphere of the talks were very good.”
After announcing the ceasefire, Trump also wrote that Putin was looking for a trade deal with the United States. “Russia wants to engage in massive trade with the United States after this disastrous ‘bloodbath’ is over, and I agree. Russia has a tremendous opportunity to create many jobs and wealth. The potential is limitless.” Trump also said that Ukraine could also benefit from a potential trade deal with the United States. He even added that the Vatican, represented by the new pope, would be willing to hold trade/ceasefire talks.
Recent cooperative initiatives between Putin and Trump, including the US President receiving a painting from Putin, have raised questions about how the US-Russia axis will affect trade dynamics between the two countries. The two countries have maintained active communication since Trump took office in January. Given the current global tensions, a new US-Russia trade deal would be a significant step forward.
Trump discussed peace in Ukraine with Putin on Monday after the US said it may have to pull out of a stalemate over ending Europe’s bloodiest conflict since World War II.
Looking ahead, markets are focused on a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, with traders now betting that the chances of a rate cut in the summer are extremely low.
The more positive news the market gets, the more pressure gold will face as cooling safe-haven demand will send investors looking for riskier assets.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
As noted to readers in previous publications since gold was sold below EMA21, up to now, it still has a short-term technical trend leaning towards the downside. Specifically, gold has repeatedly failed to overcome the resistance level of 3,250 USD and has decreased in price every time it approaches this level. And in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for momentum to decline ahead.
For gold to be in a position to enter a new bullish cycle, the most important condition is that it needs to break above the $3,300 base level then target around $3,371 in the short term.
On the other hand, once gold breaks below the $3,200 support point it could continue to decline with the target then around the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement in the short term.
For the rest of the day, the technical outlook for gold is bearish with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163 – $3,120
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3226 - 3224⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3230
→Take Profit 1 3218
↨
→Take Profit 2 3212
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3150 - 3152⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3146
→Take Profit 1 3158
↨
→Take Profit 2 3164
Metals
Gold Price Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting BreakoutGold Price Drops Amid Hawkish Fed Comments - Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting Breakout
Gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a sharp drop following recent hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve. The continuation of tight monetary policy has unsettled investors, leading to strong sell-offs during both the Asian and US trading sessions today.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold is forming a new sideways range, and if you zoom out to higher timeframes, you'll notice a classic bearish flag pattern developing. This suggests that gold is in a period of consolidation before a potential large-scale breakout. While the upward momentum from both the Asian and European sessions was strong, gold failed to break the critical 3250–3255 zone. This area remains vital for determining the next direction in gold's price action.
Should the bearish trend continue, if we break the support trendline below the current price, the likelihood of the bearish flag pattern playing out rises to around 80%. This could lead to further price corrections.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: 3205, 3194, 3280, 3262
Resistance Levels: 3244, 3262, 3278, 3286
📈 Trading Strategy:
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3294 - 3292
Stop Loss (SL): 3288
Take Profit (TP): 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3272 - 3270
SL: 3266
TP: 3276 → 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3330
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3242 - 3244
SL: 3248
TP: 3238 → 3234 → 3230 → 3226 → 3220 → 3210
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3276 - 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240
⚠️ Risk Management:
As we approach the close of the week, the volatility in gold could intensify, especially with the Fed’s actions, market sentiment, and geopolitical developments. Always follow your TP/SL to safeguard your investments and avoid unnecessary risk.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
The market is in a consolidation phase, and it's essential to wait for confirmation before taking significant positions. If gold fails to break the 3250–3255 resistance zone, the chances of a more significant move downwards increase. However, be cautious, as the market is volatile, and things can shift rapidly.
Silver Holds Near $32.60 on CeasefireSilver hovered around $32.20 per ounce during Tuesday’s Asian session, easing for a third consecutive day as safe-haven demand faded. The hopes for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump after a call with President Putin, tempered market uncertainty and weighed on silver’s appeal.
However, losses were limited following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and a series of weak economic data, including CPI, PPI, and retail sales. These reinforced expectations for two Fed rate cuts this year, likely starting in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool projections.
Strong industrial demand, especially from the solar sector, continues to support silver’s longer-term outlook. Markets now look for upcoming Fed speeches for further direction.
XAG/USD faces resistance at $32.50, with higher levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
Gold Slips with Ceasefire HopesGold declined below $3,320 per ounce as hopes for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine reduced the appeal of safe-haven assets. The drop followed a statement by US President Donald Trump announcing that both nations had agreed to "immediate" talks, potentially without US involvement, after a conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
On Monday, gold had gained 0.6% in response to Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating to Aa1 from Aaa, which raised concerns about long-term debt sustainability. However, with geopolitical tensions easing and investors awaiting fresh comments from Federal Reserve officials, gold reversed course.
XAU/USD now finds resistance at $3,250, with further levels at $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support is seen at $3,120, followed by $3,030 and $2,956.
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – May 19, 2025Key Supply Zone: 3246–3252
This area is a major resistance. If price fails to break and hold above, expect a rejection back to 3230 or even 3212.
However, a clear breakout and hold above 3252 will likely trigger bullish continuation toward 3275.
✅ Signal Setup
Scenario 1 – Rejection Short (preferred until breakout)
Sell Zone: 3246–3252
SL: Above 3260
TP: 3230 / 3212
Scenario 2 – Breakout Long
Buy Above: 3252 (on 5–15min structure shift or BOS)
SL: Below 3244
TP: 3265 / 3275
📌 Wait for confirmation — either rejection wick or clean breakout with retest.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis: Short Setups Shine in a Tight Market! Hey everyone, Skeptic here! After checking out the market today, I’m zeroing in on XAU/USD (Gold) for some prime short opportunities. 😊 Let’s dive into the charts and unpack why this could be a sweet setup. We’ll start with the Daily Timeframe to get the big picture. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
Gold’s been riding a strong major uptrend, but we’re now in a corrective phase. Here’s what’s going on:
Trend Context: We’ve had a robust bullish trend, with weak corrections and sharp, high-momentum rallies.
Double Top Formation: A double top formed, and after breaking its neckline, we’ve entered a secondary corrective trend.
Key Levels:
Bullish Continuation: A break above the ceiling at 3416.19 confirms the major uptrend’s continuation.
Deeper Correction: A break below support at 3126.75 could push us down to 3019.98.
Recent Candles: They’re getting smaller and tighter, signaling market indecision. The next few days could define Gold’s direction—up or down.
This compression means we need to be ready for a breakout in either direction. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to find our long and short triggers and understand why this tightness matters.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
After the first corrective wave hit the 3126.75 support, we’ve entered a continuation triangle pattern. Here’s the plan:
Short Setup:
Trigger: A break below the triangle’s floor at 3206.32 is a solid short opportunity.
Why It Works: This is a continuation pattern, so no extra confirmation is needed—price action leads the way.
Outlook: Red candles have shown more strength than green ones, and the pattern supports bearish momentum from the prior wave, making a downward break more likely.
Long Setup:
Trigger: Wait for a break above the resistance at 3249.68 .
Confirmation: Look for support from RSI or SMA to boost confidence.
Risk Management: Keep position risk low, as the bearish momentum is stronger right now.
My Take: I’m leaning toward a bearish move due to stronger red candles and the pattern’s bearish bias. For shorts, use reasonable risk, but for longs, tighten your risk to stay safe. 😎
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Silver Outlook: Consolidation Continues Amid Tech and Haven HypeDespite Nasdaq's recent 400-point pullback from the 21,446 high, silver has extended its one-month consolidation, with momentum and price action suggesting the calm before the breakout.
The intersection of haven demand and renewed interest in tech-sector investments—particularly around AI—could reestablish silver as a preferred alternative asset.
From a daily time frame perspective, Silver is consolidating both in price and momentum. A decisive close above the $33 level could pave the way toward $33.70, $34.30, and $35.
On the downside, a break below $31.60 could trigger losses toward $31, $30.30, and $29.50.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
EURUSD Gaining Momentum – Is a Breakout Just Ahead?After several choppy sessions, EURUSD is now showing strong short-term recovery signals, having broken out of its previous descending channel. The pair is currently hovering around 1.123, continuing to defend a key support zone.
The upward momentum is being fueled by developments on both sides:
👉 From the U.S., consumer confidence continues to weaken, and growing expectations of an early Fed rate cut are weighing on the dollar.
👉 From Europe, fresh economic data from Germany and France came in better than expected this morning, helping the euro regain strength in the short term.
Combining both technical and fundamental factors, the current accumulation pattern on the H1 timeframe could act as a launchpad for a potential breakout toward 1.1227 resistance, and possibly beyond the upper trendline boundary.
🎯 Trading idea: Look for buy setups if a bullish candle confirms around 1.1220–1.1230, with stop loss placed below the EMA and the previous support zone.
Gold at the Edge – Will Support Hold or Break?Hey everyone! Great to see you again for today’s gold market update.
Right now, gold is trading around $3,230, consolidating inside a tight wedge pattern. Momentum is slowing, and the EMAs are compressing — clear signs that a breakout could be right around the corner. This kind of setup often leads to explosive moves, offering short-term profit opportunities.
The chart suggests price may continue to coil for a few more swings before potentially breaking down below the trendline. If that happens, the next support target lies near $3,161 — a level that previously sparked a strong bullish bounce.
Still, we can’t rule out the opposite — a sharp breakout to the upside if buyers step in. That’s why risk management is key here. Make sure your TP and SL are in place.
📉 Your turn – do you think gold is about to break higher or drop lower?
Let me know in the comments!
xauusd: Market analysis and strategy on May 20Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3167
Four-hour chart resistance 3252, support below 3192
One-hour chart resistance 3222, support below 3192
Gold news analysis: Spot gold continued to rise at the opening of this week on Monday (May 19), but failed to break through the key resistance of $3250. The market showed a cautious sentiment under the interweaving of multiple factors: Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating, the renewed tension in the Middle East, and Trump's tariff remarks on risk sentiment, which together constitute the core logic of gold price fluctuations. At present, gold is in a narrow range of fluctuations, reflecting that the market's pricing of credit risk and policy uncertainty is still insufficient. If Moody's rating downgrade triggers a continued sell-off of US bonds, and if the conflict in the Middle East escalates, gold prices are expected to rely on the support of $3,200 to accumulate strength to attack $3,250. On the contrary, if Trump releases a signal to ease the situation between Russia and Ukraine or the Federal Reserve downplays the impact of the rating, it is not ruled out that the technical support of $3,150 will be stepped back. In the short term, we need to pay close attention to two dynamics: one is whether the long-term US Treasury yield can be stabilized below 5%, and the other is whether the ground operations in the Middle East will be expanded. The technical side needs to confirm the effective breakthrough of $3252 before a new round of trend space can be opened.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the first-line support of the 3192 mark, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour level 3252 and the four-hour level 3284. The short-term long and short strength watershed 3192 first-line mark, and the overall support relies on this range to maintain high selling and low buying.
BUY:3200near SL:3195
BUY:3250near SL:3145
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 3226.46, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3196.93, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.4481, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold Bulls Regaining Control? Here's What to Watch Next!Hello traders, Galvin here – let’s dive into today’s gold price action!
Currently, XAUUSD is showing signs of a mild recovery after rebounding from the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone around $3,200, which aligns closely with the EMA34 support. On the daily timeframe (D1), the market structure remains clearly bullish, supported by a consistent sequence of BOS and CHoCH patterns that confirm buyers have been in control since February.
Although the recent pullback was relatively deep, it remains well within the bounds of a healthy uptrend. Sellers tried to push price below the first FVG, but strong buying pressure quickly emerged near the EMA34 — a zone that the market clearly respects. The fact that price bounced before even touching the deeper FVG near $3,100 further reinforces the notion that the bullish trend remains intact.
On the macro side, U.S. economic data continues to deliver mixed signals — with PPI rising while consumer sentiment weakens. This uncertainty is starting to undermine expectations for the Fed to maintain high interest rates, and as a result, the USD is softening slightly. That, in turn, is lending short-term support to gold’s rebound.
Given both the technical signals and the macro backdrop, I believe this recent dip is just a correction within a broader bullish structure. If gold holds above the $3,200 zone and prints a confirmed bullish candle, the path toward the $3,300 resistance and possibly even $3,450 becomes more likely — aligning with the midline of the ascending channel.
🎯 Trading Strategy: Wait for price to revisit the $3,220–$3,200 area and look for a clear buy confirmation before entering. Set stop loss below the deeper FVG zone and aim for $3,300 as your short-term target, with an extended goal at $3,450. However, if price breaks decisively below $3,200, the scenario of retesting the $3,100 zone will come into play — so caution is key.
My bias remains bullish — but only with proper price action confirmation.
What about you? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
XAUUSD Deep Analysis Using Neural Networks Technology #xauusdThis analysis by ss7trader neural networks technology. this will higher chance to hit the take profit target and if you need any help or question then you can ask me on tradingview @ss7trader mostly i am available or you can also comment in the idea. also must like share the idea to getting these type of market analysis daily basis.
XAUUSD ICT analysis W1 rejected from the W1 FVG
D1 shows PDL manipulation --> next day model (bullish)
H4 CISD -- This confirmed the bullishnexx
Target - D1 Swing point , but since today was an inside bar , this shows consolidation and creates more liquidity for the price to take on the following day.
But from where ?
from H4 POI - FVG , this POI is located below the today's low which serves as the liquidity.
XAUUSD Long Setup:
📊 XAUUSD Long Setup – Fair Value Gap Strategy (FVG UP)
The current setup highlights a bullish scenario on XAUUSD using the Fair Value Gap (FVG) strategy. Price is approaching an FVG zone marked between 3,211 and 3,227, which acts as a potential demand zone.
✅ Entry Idea: Expecting a short-term retracement into the FVG UP zone, with a bounce near 3,227 before resuming the bullish move.
🎯 Target: 3,266
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,211
The idea aligns with smart money concepts where price tends to rebalance inefficiencies before continuing the trend.
📈 Waiting for confirmation price action in the FVG zone before entering long.
Gold - Follow The Macro Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange.
After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase as marked by the red falling channel.
Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Very long term gold.Roughly $2900 levels are important support, if it falls below that region, gold may continue its downward trend for the next few years. Afterwards, I think the 5th and final wave may rise.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 19:
Core logic analysis
Negative factors
The strengthening of the US dollar: the cooling of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations (the market is currently pricing in a 58 basis point rate cut by the end of the year, a significant reduction from April) suppresses the attractiveness of gold.
Risk appetite rebounds: The easing of Sino-US trade tensions weakens the demand for safe-haven assets, leading to long-term profit-taking.
Technical selling pressure: The weekly big negative line (a drop of nearly 4%) forms a short-term bearish trend, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of further correction.
Potential support
Long-term downward trend in real interest rates: If the Fed starts a rate cut cycle this year, gold will still have allocation value in the medium and long term.
Key technical support: There is long defense in the 3150-3140 area (daily line division and channel lower track), and if it stabilizes, it may trigger a rebound.
Key technical points
Upper resistance:
3210-3212 (anti-pressure point on Friday, May 16, which may confirm the short-term bottom after breaking through)
3230-3250 (strong resistance area, short orders can be considered when rebounding to this point).
Support below:
3170-3150 (core support area, if it falls below, it will look down to the previous low of 3120)
3140 (lower channel track, breaking may trigger an accelerated decline).
Operation strategy for next week
1. Trading in the shock range (high probability scenario)
Bull opportunity:
If it falls back to the 3150-3170 area and stabilizes (such as the K-line closes with a long lower shadow or the hourly chart diverges), go long with a light position, stop loss below 3140, and target 3210-3230.
Confirmation signal on the right: If the price stabilizes above 3212, you can follow up with a long order, with a target of 3250.
Short opportunity:
Rebound to 3230-3250 under pressure (if a stagflation pattern appears), go short, stop loss 3260, and target 3180-3150.
2. Breakthrough and follow-up strategy
Break above 3250: may start a new round of uptrend, follow up long orders when it falls back to 3230, target 3300.
Break below 3140: beware of deep correction, short at rebound 3160, target 3120-3100.
Risk warning
News disturbance:
If the speeches of Fed officials and US economic data (such as CPI and retail sales) strengthen the expectation of interest rate cuts, it may reverse the decline of gold.
The sudden escalation of the geopolitical situation (Russia-Ukraine conflict, etc.) will boost safe-haven buying.
Position management:
The current market is volatile, it is recommended to enter the market in batches with light positions and strictly stop losses (3-5 US dollars is appropriate).
Summary
Next week, gold is likely to fluctuate and bottom out in the range of 3150-3250, focusing on the gains and losses of 3150 support and 3212 breakthrough. Investors need to respond flexibly, avoid chasing ups and downs, and wait for key positions to be confirmed before trading in line with the trend. In the medium and long term, if the Fed's policy changes, gold still has upside potential, but it needs to digest technical selling pressure in the short term.
Silver INTRADAY sideways consolidation Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3332
Resistance Level 2: 3365
Resistance Level 3: 3409
Support Level 1: 3188
Support Level 2: 3138
Support Level 3: 3090
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold INTRADAY sideways consolidation continuationKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3288
Resistance Level 2: 3320
Resistance Level 3: 3350
Support Level 1: 3200
Support Level 2: 3173
Support Level 3: 3150
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,233.07 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,221.68 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
3235 line becomes short-term resistance? Golden layout at night!🗞News side:
1. Trump's dialogue with Russia and Ukraine on ceasefire
2. The seriousness of the situation in Israel
📈Technical aspects:
In the short term, the three key factors affecting the gold market are the certainty of tariff policies, geopolitical risks, and the pace of the Fed's interest rate cuts. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is a tail risk that deserves attention. Its impact on the global order far exceeds other geopolitical conflicts. It is expected that the conflict may see a key turning point in May and June, and the Fed's interest rate cut is likely to be implemented in the third quarter. At that time, the gold and silver markets may face greater negative pressure, and prices may fall back to 3000-2800 or even lower. Technically, the double top pattern at the daily level has been established. Although there is a certain resistance at the 3235 line of gold in the short term, considering the tail risk, the possibility of evolving into a triple top cannot be ruled out, and we need to be vigilant against the inducement of multi-money rises and washes.
🎁BUY 3220-3215
🎁TP 3230-3240
🎁SELL 3250-3255
🎁TP 3235-3225
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start tot he week with all our chart ideas playing out as analysed. This is an update on our 4H chart idea.
We began the week hitting our bullish target at 3235. Moving forward, we will monitor for a confirmed EMA5 cross and lock above 3235 to validate a potential move toward the next target at 3298.
If price fails to hold above 3235, we anticipate a retest of lower Goldturn support levels. These levels will serve as potential zones to identify bullish reversal opportunities.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3235 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3235 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3298
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3298 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3394
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3394 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3170
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3170 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3120
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3120 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3077 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3236 - 3176
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3176 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3033 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX