Metals
GOLD heads towards all-time levels with a more positive outlookOANDA:XAUUSD has recovered as US Treasury yields plummet amid a trade war, existential and dangerous. The increase in gold purchases by central banks has created more room for gold price increases.
US real yields, which are inversely correlated with gold prices, fell 8 basis points to 2.072%, which is positive for gold. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell 10 basis points to 4.519%.
Bloomberg said gold prices have stabilized near all-time highs after US President Trump ordered back-and-forth tariffs, increasing uncertainty in trade and the global economy.
Trump announced on Thursday local time that the United States will impose "reciprocal tariffs" on all countries exporting goods to the United States to restore a fair competitive environment in global trade, but has not yet given a specific implementation timeline.
This is a new escalation in the trade war after Trump announced an additional 25% tax on all steel and aluminum imported into the US.
The World Gold Council (WGC) revealed that central banks purchased more than 1,000 tons of gold for the third consecutive year in 2024. According to the World Gold Council, the amount of gold purchased by central banks increased by more than 54% year-on-year to 333 tons after Trump won the election.
Central banks, including China's increased gold holdings and expansion of exchange-traded funds backed by the metal, have also supported gold's 12% gain so far this year.
Today's key financial data and events: Friday, February 14, 2025
① 17:00 Eurozone revised annual GDP rate in the fourth quarter
② 17:00 Eurozone seasonally adjusted initial employment rate in the fourth quarter
③ 20:30 Canadian monthly wholesale rate for December
④ 20:30 US monthly retail sales rate
in January
⑤ 21:30 US monthly import price index ratio for January
⑥ 21:15 US monthly industrial output rate for January
⑦ 22:00 US monthly commercial inventory ratio in December
⑧ 01:00 the next day Total number of oil rigs in the United States as of week ending February 14
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold continues to rise for the second day after gaining support from the confluence of the upper channel edge and the 0.236% Fibonacci extension, and with its current position it has the conditions to continue rising with a target of all-time highs in the short term, more likely new era highs targeting around 2,952 USD.
The bullish technical structure has not changed, with the short-term trend highlighted by the price channel, while the Relative Strength Index is still pointing up with the green uptrend showing no signs of a possible downside correction.
During the day, as long as gold remains within the price channel, it still has a bullish outlook. Pullbacks do not see the RSI go below 80, and below EMA21 should only be considered a short-term correction and a short-term buying opportunity.
Along with that, notable levels will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,900 – 2,891USD
Resistance: 2,927 – 2,942 – 2,952USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
→Take Profit 1 2943
↨
→Take Profit 2 2937
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2892 - 2894⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2888
→Take Profit 1 2900
↨
→Take Profit 2 2906
Gold Faces Deep Correction Amid Profit-TakingYesterday, gold underwent a deep price correction, losing its recent highs as investors began to take profits, forming a new peak and breaking out of the rising wedge pattern.
In the short-term outlook, this precious metal is expected to continue its downward correction, especially after testing resistance at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, around $2,905 USD.
📌 Will gold maintain its bearish trend, or will buyers re-emerge soon? Let's keep an eye on these key levels!
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, finding support at the 3-day moving average. On the weekly chart, the index formed a strong bullish breakout candle, yet a confirmed buy signal has not yet materialized. This week, the focus will be on whether the index can hold support at the 3-week moving average, allowing for further upside potential. However, if the weekly candle closes as a bearish candle, a new sell signal could emerge, making this week’s closing price critical.
On the daily chart, as noted last Friday, the Nasdaq bounced off the 3-day moving average, which means today’s key support level is the 5-day moving average. This suggests that if the market pulls back in the pre-market session or briefly tests the 5-day MA intraday, a rebound could follow.
A key factor today is the U.S. market holiday, meaning today’s daily candle will merge with tomorrow’s session. If the market moves up first, it could present a short opportunity at the highs, while a downside move first could offer a dip-buying opportunity.
On the 240-minute chart, buying pressure remains strong, making buying on dips the preferred strategy. However, given the gap between price and the 5-day moving average, traders should avoid chasing longs and instead focus on buying at lower levels.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower following news of Ukraine-Russia peace talks. On the weekly chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning the buy signal remains intact. However, the gap between the MACD and the signal line is narrowing, suggesting that if a bullish crossover fails, a strong move could follow.
After four consecutive weeks of decline and last week’s doji candle, this week’s closing price is critical—if oil closes with a bullish candle, it could signal a potential reversal.
On the daily chart, both the MACD and signal line remain below the zero line, keeping the sell signal active. However, strong historical support levels make it difficult to short aggressively. Oil is also attempting to form a double-bottom pattern near $70, making a break above $72 a key bullish confirmation.
The short-term price action remains mixed, making lower time frames more relevant for positioning. On the 240-minute chart, the sell signal remains intact, with the key focus on whether oil breaks below $70. If oil fails to break lower, a bullish divergence could form, making chasing shorts a high-risk strategy.
Given that U.S. markets are closed today, liquidity will be lower, so expect reduced trading volumes.
Gold
Gold closed lower, forming a double-top rejection at previous highs. As mentioned last week, the 2950+ zone was an overextended level, and now the price has pulled back sharply.
On the weekly chart, gold remains in an uptrend, but a pullback toward the 5-week moving average remains possible. Since it is unclear how deep the correction may go, traders should only buy dips at lower levels to ensure proper risk management.
On the daily chart, gold closed below the 10-day moving average, marking a technical shift. Throughout this entire rally, the key rule was to buy as long as gold held the 10-day MA, but now that it has broken, the market has shifted into a range-bound structure.
However, since the MACD has not yet formed a bearish crossover, the market still has the potential for another rebound. Gold’s price action will depend on whether it can reclaim the 10-day MA or continue consolidating within a larger range.
For now, the 2915–2920 zone (near the 3-day and 5-day moving averages) is a likely resistance area, while downside risk extends toward the 20-day moving average.
On the 240-minute chart, a strong sell signal has appeared, but both the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, meaning that buying attempts could still emerge. Meanwhile, on the 60-minute chart, gold is testing its 240-period moving average, a level that often acts as a major support/resistance pivot.
Considering these factors, gold is likely to remain range-bound this week, making box-range trading strategies the most effective. Given that a double-top pattern has formed, further downside could trigger increased volatility, so traders should be cautious.
Today, the U.S. market is closed, with key events scheduled for later this week:
-Wednesday: FOMC Meeting Minutes
-Thursday: Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations
Rather than a new trend forming, markets are likely to consolidate within existing trends, leading to range-bound conditions. Risk management remains the top priority—stay disciplined, and have a successful trading week!
If you like detailed this analysis and today's strategy, please follow me and give it a boost!
Bullish bounce?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,790.01
1st Support: 2,721.96
1st Resistance: 2,929.89
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BRIEFING Week #7 : Whatch Out for the DollarHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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GOLD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅GOLD went down from
The resistance of 2942$ just
As we predicted in our previous
Analysis and keeps falling
So now Gold is locally oversold
And after the retest of the
Horizontal demand level below
Around 2868$ a local bullish
Correction is to be expected
LONG🚀
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XAU/USD 30-Min Analysis – Bullish Reversal & Breakout SetupGold (XAU/USD) - 30-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆📊
Key Observations:
Market Structure Shift (CHOCH - Change of Character) 🔄
The chart marks a CHOCH, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
This suggests that the recent downtrend may have concluded, and buyers are stepping in.
Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt 🎯
The price dipped below the SELL STOP level, likely triggering stop-loss orders.
A sharp rejection followed, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels.
200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) as Dynamic Support 📈
The price tested the 200 EMA (2,885.011) and bounced off, reinforcing the bullish case.
This suggests that institutional traders might be accumulating positions near this zone.
Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀
The highlighted grey box represents a potential order block or accumulation zone.
A breakout above this area could confirm the bullish continuation towards the target level (2,942.963).
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Retest of the grey accumulation zone (around 2,894 - 2,899).
Stop-Loss: Below the recent low (around 2,880).
Target: 2,942.963 (previous resistance & psychological level).
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1 (optimal for a trade execution).
Final Thoughts:
🔸 If price holds above the breakout zone, we could see a strong rally towards 2,942.
🔸 If it fails to hold and falls below 2,880, expect further downside retracement.
🔸 Bullish sentiment is favored, but confirmation is key! ✅
XAU/USD Breakout – Targeting $2,950?XAU/USD (Gold) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆📊
🔹 Current Price: $2,926.285
🔹 Recent High: $2,927.305
🔹 Recent Low: $2,923.840
🔹 200 EMA Support: $2,870.242 (far below current price)
Key Observations & Setup
✅ Breakout Confirmed: The price has broken out of a descending trendline, signaling bullish momentum.
✅ Target Zone: The red resistance zone near $2,945 - $2,950 is the next potential target.
✅ Potential Move: Price is expected to climb toward this resistance area before facing rejection or continuation.
✅ Support Levels: If the breakout fails, the previous resistance (now support) around $2,915 - $2,920 could be tested.
Trading Plan 📈💡
Bullish Play: If price holds above the breakout level, targeting $2,945 - $2,950 could be a solid setup.
Bearish Rejection: Watch for rejection at the resistance zone for possible short opportunities.
EMA Support: The 200 EMA remains far below, reinforcing overall bullish sentiment unless a major pullback occurs.
📢 Final Thoughts: This is a classic breakout & retest scenario. If momentum sustains, we could see a push into the resistance zone. Stay cautious for any rejection signals! 🚀🔥
GOLD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a strong
Bearish correction and
Looks locally oversold so
After it hits the horizontal
Support level of 2868$
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Breaking news, an important news that will affect the market! ! According to the news, senior US and Russian officials will meet in Saudi Arabia next week to prepare for the Trump-Putin summit, which will be held at the end of the month at the earliest. The details of the meeting and the list of participants are still being worked out. Saudi Arabia has invited representatives from the United States, Russia and Ukraine to attend the meeting in Riyadh.
According to the report, the goal is to finalize a date for Ramadan, which starts in March.
1. At first glance, this news may not be very relevant to businessmen, but it is not.
There are three major themes dominating the current global financial market:
First, the Trump administration;
Second, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut
Third, the possibility of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine
The market has been hyped for many rounds on the first two points, and the market has become immune to these two factors in the short term (lost interest). The third point is the speculation that has just emerged, and the market has not yet fully priced it. 50% of the factors for the decline of the US dollar this week are due to news from Russia and Ukraine. The market also has a probability expectation for the "possibility of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine", just like the expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This probability has exceeded 50% this week (30% last week).
2. Judging from the news itself, Trump seems eager to reach an agreement with Russia, prompting Russia and Ukraine to accelerate the ceasefire. It means that the geopolitical game has entered a new stage of "open talks and secret wars", and the market pricing mechanism will switch between risk on/off modes more frequently.
More content:
The location is Saudi Arabia, and Saudi Arabia may mediate in the middle - Saudi Arabia had a tense relationship with the United States before, but recently it has also cooperated with Russia in OPEC+
The United States bypassed Europe and directly contacted Russia at a high level - the two sides may be testing a certain "post-conflict framework", and "interest exchanges" in certain areas are not ruled out (possibly involving energy cooperation or lifting of some sanctions)
3. The subsequent progress of negotiations will have a certain impact on the financial market.
The analysis strategy is as follows:
As far as the crude oil market is concerned, any progress in negotiations may trigger a decline.
For the gold market, if the sudden plunge on Friday night is related to the "increased probability of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine", then there may be further declines in the future.
The agricultural product market may also be a major trading country, because Ukraine is a food exporter, and any ceasefire or agreement may improve food exports and lower prices.
In addition, Russian assets may also be revalued.
It is important to note that the Ramadan time window is mentioned as (March 10-April 9) - history shows that the conflicting parties often reach a temporary ceasefire at this stage. If it fails to achieve this time, it may trigger a reverse bet in the market.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
SILVER Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 32.147
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 32.524
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold poised to extend rally to 3010 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at this chart, we can observe that a few days ago the price entered an upward channel and began to rise steadily. Shortly after, it climbed to the 2660 support level, which aligned with the buyer zone, and even broke through it. However, before making further progress, XAU corrected to the channel’s support line. Following this correction, the price retested the level and resumed its upward movement, eventually reaching the second support level located within a support area. Initially, there was another correction to the channel’s support line, but soon after, the price broke through the 2770 level as well and kept moving higher. Eventually, the price broke out of the first channel and transitioned into a new upward channel, where it reached the current support level, which also coincided with another support area. Gold managed to surpass the 2880 level and continued its bullish momentum. At the moment, the price is still climbing, and I anticipate that XAU will correct back to the channel’s support line before continuing its upward movement within the channel. For this scenario, I’ve set my TP at 3010 points, which aligns with the channel’s resistance line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2905 and a gap below at 2872. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2905
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2934
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2987
BEARISH TARGETS
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2841
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2781
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2764 - 2740
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2928 with a correction target above at 2890 before that with ema5 lagging and due a touch above. We need ema5 to cross below 2890 to open 2857 and lock above 2928 to open the range above.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2890
2928
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2928 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2992
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2992 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3024
BEARISH TARGETS
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2890 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2857
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2813 - 2785
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2744 - 2713
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking and playing out perfectly, as analysed.
2904 AXIS target was hit last week completing this level and also into the channel top for the perfect finish and rejection.
We now have body close above 2904 AXIS but will need ema5 lock to confirm 2959, although the channel top is acting as resistance and therefore will need some ranging movement within the channel so it can slowly ascend into the 2959 respecting the channel dynamics.
We also need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
After completing 2729 and 2856, we were left with a very small body close above 2856 last week leaving 2976 open and we stated that will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
EMA5 is still yet to lock, however the body close already gave us a nice push up with over 700 pips. The full long term gap still remains open with a further candle body close left from last week.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained
Gold did not manage to update the All-Time High on Friday,
retracing from a key daily resistance.
The market is now trading within a horizontal range on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios:
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 2943,
a bullish continuation will be expected to the new highs.
Bearish Scenario
If the price breaks a demand zone based on a rising trend line
and a support of the range and closes below that,
a correctional movement will follow.
Alternatively, with the absence of fundamentals,
the market may stay within the range for a while, so be patient.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold Weekly Analysis – Bullish & Bearish ScenariosCurrent Market Structure:
Gold is trending upward within a well-defined weekly ascending channel and has not broken out yet.
The market is currently near the upper boundary of the channel, meaning a breakout or a potential rejection could occur.
Expected Movement This Week:
Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability If Momentum Holds):
A clean breakout above the channel resistance would signal continued bullish momentum.
The price could consolidate briefly at the breakout level before pushing higher toward $3,000+.
If a pullback happens after breaking out, we expect a retest of previous resistance (now support) before continuing upward.
Confirmation: Strong bullish candles with increasing volume.
Bearish Scenario (If Gold Fails to Break Above Resistance):
If gold fails to break out and rejects from the upper boundary, a correction is likely.
The first key downside target is around $2,760 (weekly level), aligning with previous structure.
A deeper decline could lead to $2,571, which is another weekly support zone.
Confirmation: A strong rejection wick, bearish engulfing pattern, or increased selling pressure.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk and can result in substantial losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
Weekly Market Forecast Feb 17-21stThis is an outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
FOMC on Wednesday. The news could impact the direction of the USD Index, so be mindful of it. The markets had a relatively bullish week. Trumps reciprocal tariffs study announcement eased some of the tension in the markets also allowed equities to run higher.
The metals saw a bearish turn at the end of the week, but caution should be taken if considering shorting these markets. The overall bullish trend is still in tact.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.