Most Probable Path for Platinum Moving ForwardPlatinum may very well be developing a C&H pattern over the longer term, lagging gold and silver's similar pattern
This makes sense, as gold is the cyclical driver of the metals complex.
A pattern of this magnitude would yield a tremendous breakout, and as such, speculators should take below 1000/oz platinum as an opportunity to accumulate, as gold foreshadows the lagging metal's next move.
Metalsector
Hindalco Industries- Bullish swing- Real movement may begin now! NSE:HINDALCO
09.10.2024
Buy-Above 728
Target 01-770
Target 02-794
Stop Loss-707
Risk Reward- 1:2
1.Doji and followed by engulfing candle stick formation
2.Side ways breakout and retracement found
3.Resistance turned to support level reaction
4.Upside movement volumes are more compared to downside.
Tomorrow volumes are crucial for further movement
5. Price crossed above 21 EMA.
6. RSI taken support in bullish zone
7. Reversal signals found at 0.382 Fibonacci level
8. Metal sector is in focus due to increased demand
SAIL - The Steel that Sank the Titanic Vs Steel that Sails :) :)Its been 4 years since SAIL recovered from rock bottom price of 20. When late Big Bull Rakesh J took stakes in SAIL, it was trading somewhere around 90 and had reached a peak of 150+ and fell again to 65-70 levels
It took 2 years to complete the return journey back to 150+. Lets now compare the short- and long-term views and respective targets
Long Term View:
Quarterly Chart shows a Falling Parallel Channel Breakout + Retest & Strong Bounce
Long Term Targets are 235, 280
Short Term View:
On Daily chart, price has formed a Fresh Rounding Bottom BO above 170 for Target of 190
Summary:
Upcoming Targets - 190, 235, 280++
Disclaimer:
Stocks-n-Trends is NOT registered with SEBI. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions.
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-Team Stocks-n-Trends
Vedanta chanting the Vedas for a BlastVedanta - A picture is worth 1000 words...
Vedanta ATH 495 created in 2008 me. 16 years ka vanvaas se bahar aane ja time hai abhi
The bottom of the box is 60 and top.of the box is 495
From 2020, Vedl is making efforts to go higher - sideways - higher to ensure it gathers enough power to BO 495
Yes it will struggle a tiny bit when it tests 495 but that's not consolidation
The last major fall in Vedanta had a Fib Golden Ratio Retracmernt of 0.618 levels and from there the stock has blasted like a Rocket
Next Targets are 575, 875, 930
Reading Books is good, but kabhi kabhi theory chodke kuch picture bhi dekho. Books ka Black and White Print me Hariyali nahi dhikhayi deta. Samaj liya ? 😍
The Divine Rudra Veena made of Aluminium (NALCO)Recently all the Metals are going thru a Major Rally globally with Gold leading the Chart following by Silver, Copper, Steel and now Aluminium joins the Party
National Aluminium has formed an Interesting Pattern on Daily Timeframe resembling a "Veena" Musical Instrument and apparently NALCO is ready to play a divine song :)
Price Broke out of a larger Rounding Bottom pattern above 170 and then retested the BO zone and formed a Small Rounding Bottom pattern - the structure looks like a Veena
The upcoming Targets are 220, 250
Recommendation on NALCO was first given at 142 levels when it broke out of a Multi-Year (16 Years) Rounding Bottom pattern and as on date - we are holding with 35% Gain and waiting for 2x
Disclaimer:
3+ Years Teaching Experience in Stock Market - Technical Analysis, Behaviour Analysis, Advanced Patterns, Emotional Management, News based Trading...
We are NOT SEBI Registered and Our focus is NOT providing Buy/Sell Recommendations/calls. Primary Objective is to provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes.
We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its Side"
*** Important *** Consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions
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-Team Stocks-n-Trends
Hindustan Copper - Is it Really Copper or is it Gold ???For the past couple of Weeks - Gold is falling in the International Market. We all know that Commercial 22k Gold needs Copper to make it stronger, but here we are seeing Copper Turning Gold by itself...
Hindustan Copper is all set to rewrite history...
Technical Analysis:
Weekly: Beautiful Cup & Handle BO completed on Weekly with targets of 320, 370
Monthly: On Monthly scale though - the match is yet to begin. Once 320 is reached, at a monthly level it would trigger a huge Rounding Bottom Pattern with a much larger target of 615
Another multi-bagger stock. With the BO of Nifty Metal Index - many metal stocks are taking cue and joining the rally.
Make Hay While the Sun Shines....Make Money when the Metals are Hot :)
Disclaimer:
Stocks-n-Trends is NOT a SEBI registered company. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi--timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions.
If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments
-Team Stocks-n-Trends
Can Gold Rising Wedge Be Bullish? Bearish Pattern Break Up?Fellow Traders,
I marked the resistance lines I identified with red, and I identified a rising wedge pattern in white color on the chart. Behind the lines, gold has been accumulating a strong demand within the wedge. The chart pattern itself is a kind that tends to break downwards. In general, a rising wedge is a bearish setup. However, general rules don't work as much in trading as they do in other areas like biology. There's significant statistics for rising wedges to break in either direction.
With gold's growing demand and valuation, I think
the rising wedge could break upwards and trigger an elevated rally.
Or if it breaks down, as this pattern usually does, the wedge allows a steep bounce to retest the wedge before any reversal to bearish.
I can see a conflicting trend and chart pattern, but my two cents say a profitable long position more likely.
- Essa
Metal Sector and its component Daily Timeframe analysisMetal Sector and its component are in correction phase
NSE:CNXMETAL sectors NSE:HINDALCO NSE:JSWSTEEL NSE:NATIONALUM have created same structure as NIFTY50.
NSE:HINDALCO NSE:JSWSTEEL NSE:NATIONALUM daily candle close below entry level.
We can see all targets along with NIFTY50.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Palladium Outlook for the Next 3 MonthsSpot palladium is the physical form of palladium that is traded on the spot market. It is not a futures contract, and it is not subject to the same margin requirements as futures contracts. This makes spot palladium a more attractive option for investors who want to avoid the risks associated with futures contracts.
The outlook for spot palladium in the next 3 months is uncertain. On the one hand, the global economy is expected to slow down in the second half of 2023, which could put downward pressure on palladium prices. On the other hand, there are a number of factors that could support palladium prices in the coming months.
These include:
Rising demand from the automotive industry: Palladium is a key component in catalytic converters, which are used to reduce emissions from vehicles. As the global economy grows and more vehicles are produced, demand for palladium is expected to increase.
Supply constraints: The supply of palladium is relatively limited, and there are concerns that supply could be further constrained due to sanctions against Russia, a major producer of palladium.
Inflation: Inflation is expected to remain elevated in the coming months, which could make palladium an attractive investment for investors seeking a hedge against inflation.
Overall, the outlook for spot palladium in the next 3 months is uncertain. However, there are a number of factors that could support palladium prices in the coming months. Investors who are looking for a hedge against inflation or supply constraints may want to consider investing in spot palladium.
How to Trade Spot Palladium
There are a number of ways to trade spot palladium. One way is to buy and sell physical palladium bars or coins.
This is the most direct way to invest in palladium, but it can also be the most expensive. Another way to trade spot palladium is to buy and sell futures contracts on the London Platinum and Palladium Market (LPPM).
Futures contracts are a type of derivative that gives the buyer the right to purchase or sell a certain amount of palladium at a specified price on a specified date. Options contracts are another way to trade spot palladium. Options contracts give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase or sell a certain amount of palladium at a specified price on or before a specified date.
How to Trade Spot Palladium Options There are two main types of spot palladium options contracts: call options and put options. Call options give the buyer the right to purchase a certain amount of palladium at a specified price on or before a specified date. Put options give the buyer the right to sell a certain amount of palladium at a specified price on or before a specified date.
The price of a spot palladium option contract is determined by a number of factors, including the strike price, the expiration date, and the volatility of the underlying palladium price. The strike price is the price at which the buyer of the option can purchase or sell the palladium. The expiration date is the date on which the option contract expires.
The volatility of the underlying palladium price is a measure of how much the price of palladium is expected to fluctuate over time. To trade spot palladium options, you will need to open an account with a brokerage firm that offers options trading. You will also need to deposit funds into your account. Once your account is funded, you can place orders to buy or sell spot palladium options contracts.
Hedge Positions with Speculative Trading on the Stock Exchange
Companies that use palladium in their production process can hedge against the risk of changes in palladium prices by trading on the stock exchange. For example, a company that uses palladium in its production process might buy shares of a company that mines palladium.
This will help to protect the company from rising palladium prices, as the value of its shares will likely increase when palladium prices go up. Companies can also use options contracts to hedge against the risk of changes in palladium prices. For example, a company that uses palladium in its production process might buy put options on spot palladium.
This will give the company the right to sell palladium at a specified price, even if the market price of palladium falls. This will help to protect the company from losses if palladium prices fall.
Speculative trading on the stock exchange can be a risky proposition, but it can also be a way for companies to profit from changes in palladium prices. However, it is important to remember that speculative trading is not a guaranteed way to make money. Companies should carefully consider the risks and rewards before engaging in speculative trading.
Risk Warning
Trading stocks and options is a risky activity and can result in losses. You should only trade if you understand the risks involved and are comfortable with the potential for losses.
Rating: Mixed Outlook
Risk Disclaimer!
The article and the data is for general information use only, not advice!
The Trade Academy R&D Team
Risk Disclaimer!
General Risk Warning: Trading on the Financial Markets, Stock Exchange and all its asset derivatives is highly speculative and may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. It is important that you understand how Trading and Investing on the stock exchange works and that you consider whether you can afford the high risk of loss.
XAGUSD Parallel Channel LONG biasXAGUSD on the 15 minute chart had price action with a flat top then a VWAP line pullback
into some continuation then rising into a head and shoulders and a fall into a support /
demand zone with some tests of VWAP while underway. At present price sits on
the support zone in this horizontal parallel channel with about !% of range. The ZL MACD
well reflects the price action and has upgoing parallel lines at its terminus. The dual
time frame RS indicator shows both low and higher time frames in the mid-range near
to the 50 level. i see this as a good long trade setup for scalping or day trading especially
with a leveraged forex trade potentially yielding high returns relative to the risk on
the trade. It goes with out saying the trade needs to be managed for breakdown, breakout
for an add and fakeouts of those.
XAGUSD bounces up from VWAP LONGXAGUSD on the 15 minute chart- bounced off an intermediate term anchored
VWAP during the middle of the NY session. The Relative Trend Index indicator
and the Z-score are confirmatory. Price is now trending on the line of 2 standar
deviations above the mean VWAP line . I will open a trade here targeting
25.25 expecting a rise to the third deviation line in green before price should
hit some dynamic resistance. This would be about 1% ROI but leveraged on
forex several multiples of that. At the same time, I will review the AGQ ETF.
I expect the majority of the price rise to be at the overlap of the upcoming
London and NY sessions when trading volumes and volatility will be at their
highest.
VEDL-HOURLY/DAILY-AT SUPPORT LEVELSNSE:VEDL
Stock is consolidating between 275-285 from past a month. From past few days (Last week of June) The stock is getting seller pressure however it is not able to close below 275. It’s a sign of strength that buyers are defending this level.
Today Stock has shown a bullish hammer around the support level. It’s good time to go long with Small SL.
SL 273-274 , Target would be as per the risk reward.
This is only for educational purpose, please manage your risk accordingly.
XAGUSD Spot Silver Long XAGUSD on the 2H chart over the past month has ascended into a head and shoulders pattern
and then descended into a pivot on June 22nd. As it is now ascending, silver is a long trade
candidate. I see the stop loss as pivot low on 5/25 . Based on the volume profile and its
POC line, as well as the H & S pattern, the first target is the POC line at $ 23.3, the second
target at $23.45 which is the neckline of the pattern while the runner is $23.9 the horizontal
line of the top of the shoulders. I will take off 1/3 of the position at each target. Additionally,
I will raise the stop loss to break even upon getting halfway to the first target and to the first
target upon getting halfway to the second target. While leveraged on forex I expect
a high profit compared with the risk in the trade which will be risk off upon moving the
stop loss.
Get to the copper! 🐻🚁The industrial metals market often goes unnoticed by many traders, although some excellent trading opportunities are often to be found here. And with that, we say, "Get to the copper!" For things should get moving here quite soon. The completion of wave (ii) in magenta should be imminent here, the copper price should therefore initiate a bearish trend reversal in our target zone (highlighted in blue) and then indulge in extended sell-offs. Thus, depositing short positions between $3.89 and 3.96 should present an excellent opportunity to profit from the lift-off of the bearish chopper - which is, of course, headed south. We anticipate a significant sell-off before wave (iii) in magenta will at some later point be completed, at which point the bulls are expected to report back.
Why the Banks Won't Let Metals Bulls Win Metal bulls aren't well versed on the history of metal spoofing and the reason they do it, vault insurance limits. Allow me to educate you.
www.justice.gov
“With this verdict, the Department has secured convictions of ten former traders at Wall Street financial institutions,
including JPMorgan, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, The Bank of Nova Scotia, and Morgan Stanley.
Every major metals bank has been convicted, but they all got slaps on the wrist. JPM for example, got less than a billion dollar fine for over 12yrs of metal spoofing. That amounted to less than 3% of their profits for the previous year. One guy goes to jail from each metals desk. Business continues as usual, because the stakes are too high!
It all started during the last wild metals run after 2008. Why on Earth would they manipulate the price of their own assets DOWN!?!? Because of Vault Insurance limits....
www.bloomberg.com
With dozens of insurers underwriting, the maximum amount of insurance you can get on one vault is around 2 billion dollars, which is now only ~1000 ozt of Gold. Not to mention the other metals crowding the basket of metals they have in the vault, with expensive platinum group metals and rare earths.
So every time the prices of metals double, they are forced to either:
Sell off half of their most valuable collateral assets and cripple themselves as a bank
Buy, build, staff and insure twice as many vaults, small banks and transfer stations.
Neither of these options is feasible. It is the ultimate squeeze on banks, their Achille's heel. It's a widely know secret, that's why Metal spoofing is allowed to continue. If the banks sell most of their metals to the public, they're left with mostly junk bonds and overpriced real estate as collateral. Only the biggest Wall Street banks could/would survive it, if Gold suddenly doubled or quadrupled in price again.
Mints and bullion dealers are also constrained by the insurance limits; and they attempt to control it in tandem with banks by jacking up premiums disproportionately, when prices near range highs, like now.
You think they stopped? Then what happened to Nickel in March of 2022? When prices jumped 100% rapidly, they halted the market and refused to honor any calls! Business carried on as usual. www.reuters.com
You see these banks also have a vested interest in keeping input costs low for the companies they loan money to, and invest in on the stock market. So this phenomenon is readily apparent in industrial metals. Everything gets rangebound. When it's appropriate for the banks they will decide when to lift the range, but I doubt it's happening any time soon, if the nickel market is anything to go by.
HindalcoHello & welcome to this analysis
In this chart we can see
a diagonal breakdown which bought the stock down to 380
where it went into form a bullish harmonic cypher
to be followed by a bullish RSI divergence
It could now attempt further upside till 425, then 440 & 455 as long as it sustains above 400.
Good set up for momentum at the moment.
Dr Copper is telling us deflation is comingAt the beginning of June I put out an idea about shorting Copper . The market didn't do me the favor to get up to my entry, as I ignored past resistance. Probably got a little greedy too. Currently copper is sitting at support and could bounce up to 4$, maybe even up to 4.25$.
However in the long term, I see it go much much lower. In my opinion we are in a global recession, and probably even in a global depression. As interest rates and energy costs have risen rapidly, the demand for many things has gone down. We haven't seen the full effects of too much debt + lockdowns + WW3 + not enough energy production yet, but we are getting there. Copper going down is just the first step, and this could turn really really ugly.
The 2006-2008 top on Copper looks pretty similar to this one. Huge rally up, consolidation, attempt to breakout, failure, massive collapse. This time around we had a shorter cycle due to the lockdowns + stimulus + low rates + ESG , but this situation is truly reversing. We have no lockdowns, no stimulus, high rates and the ESG movement is clearly losing steam. Overall volume is low and that's a sign that demand for Copper isn't all that high. It was mostly supply being low, and not demand being high.
So how low could we go? The truth is that for some time this could be a bottomless pit. However, I believe the bottom will come in the 1.5-1.9 area, as the market needs to sweep the double bottom at 1.9. In terms of technical analysis this is the area anyone should be targeting. Once we get there, we could see a swift reversal as the Fed and all central banks are forced to cut rates and print money once again, in order to save the system from collapsing. They are stuck between a rock and hard place, and although they are doing their best to fight inflation now, they will soon be trying to fight deflation.