META can turn bearish if it fails to break this Channel.Our previous call on Meta Platforms (META) was on July 26 (see chart below), almost 4 months ago when we gave a strong long-term buy signal on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line):
Despite the excellent timing of the call, we has seen in the past 30 days that the price action has diverged from the model and the current Bullish Leg of the Channel Up isn't as strong as the previous two inside a 2 year span that each rose by +95%.
The price has instead turned sideways, mimicking the price action of the two Accumulation Phases that emerged after each of the Bullish Legs topped. The 1D RSI being on a Bearish Divergence (Channel Down already) technically agrees with that, so if you followed our July buy call, it might be best to book the handsome profit now and wait.
What to wait for? Well it all depends on a new pattern that has emerged, a Diverging Channel Up (dashed trend-lines). As long as the price is trading inside it, there is greater probability to give us a lower buy entry near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) again. In that case we will take it and target the top of the Diverging Channel Up at $660.
In the event that the price breaks above the Diverging Channel Up, we will buy the bullish break-out and pursuit the previous $800 Target as that would mean that the original 2-year Channel Up remains the underlying pattern dictating the long-term movement of the stock.
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Metaplatforms
META on a new expansion wave to $800.Meta Platforms / META is pulling back again to test the 1day MA50, which has been holding since September 11th.
The pattern is quite similar to the January 2nd 2024 pull back, a bullish break out that also took place after a prolonged consolidation pattern.
The 1week RSI patterns between the two are also fairly similar.
As long as the 1day MA50 holds, we expect META to stay on this expansion wave.
Target $800 which is a +93.92% rise from the bottom, the rise that formed the previosu peak (April 8th 2024).
Previous chart:
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META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on META:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 570usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $21.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Rally Revved: Meta Shifts into High Gear After Rate CutsThe stock price has been on a wild ride this year, marked by significant volatility.
A clear Cup & Handle formation has emerged on the chart, suggested a potential continuation of the existing trend.
Following a successful breakout, the stock has maintained its position above the breakout level, demonstrating strength.
The price action suggests that the stock could potentially rally by 18-20% in the short term.
META: Targeting $700 at least by the end of the year.META platforms is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.256, MACD = 7.090, ADX = 26.657) as it is making a healthy rebound on the 1D MA50. The 1 year Channel Up is posting recurring phases inside it and at the moment we are on similar grounds as early December 2023. Even the 1D RSI is identical between phases. Technically that suggests that the Channel Up can top on a HH after a +92% rise from the bottom but having the 0.618 Fibonacci level as a clear Rising Resistance, we will settle for a TP = 700.00 by the end of the year.
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META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought META before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 465usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-2,
for a premium of approximately $22.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Meta Shares Surges on Impressive Q2 Earnings & AI-Driven FutureMeta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ) experienced a notable 6% increase in its stock price following the release of its second-quarter earnings, which exceeded Wall Street expectations and presented an optimistic revenue forecast. The company's strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) are starting to deliver substantial returns, boosting confidence among investors.**
Strong Financial Performance
Meta reported a 22% increase in revenue for the second quarter, reaching $39.07 billion, up from $32 billion the previous year. This figure surpassed analysts' expectations of $38.31 billion. Additionally, the company's net income soared by 73%, rising to $13.47 billion, or $5.16 per share, compared to $7.79 billion, or $2.98 per share, in the same period last year. Analysts had predicted earnings per share of $4.73.
For the upcoming third quarter, Meta anticipates revenue to range between $38.5 billion and $41 billion, with a midpoint of $39.75 billion, again topping the average analyst estimate of $39.1 billion.
AI Investments Paying Off
Meta's leadership, including CEO Mark Zuckerberg and CFO Susan Li, highlighted that the company's substantial investments in AI are already yielding positive results. Zuckerberg noted that AI is enhancing content recommendations and improving advertising effectiveness, which he believes holds significant future potential. The company's advancements in AI are expected to unlock new revenue opportunities, including higher ad conversion rates, new digital assistants, and multimodal content creation.
Analysts at Baird emphasized that Meta's business remains robust, benefiting from years of AI-related investments. Similarly, Bank of America analysts view Meta as the leading AI player in the consumer internet space, citing evidence of strong ad growth and increased user engagement, particularly among younger demographics.
Capital Expenditures and Future Prospects
Meta has increased its capital expenditure forecast for the year to between $37 billion and $40 billion, up from the previous low-end estimate of $35 billion. This increase is primarily driven by spending on AI infrastructure, which is producing tangible business results. Barclays analysts noted that while the investment community is currently accepting the high AI capital expenditures, these investments are expected to bring new and exciting products that are not yet reflected in revenue forecasts.
Market Reaction
Meta's stock saw a premarket surge of over 7.5% following the earnings announcement. This rally marks a significant turnaround from the reaction to the previous earnings report in April when concerns over slower growth and high AI spending led to a sharp decline in stock price. The positive sentiment around Meta's recent performance and future prospects has reversed this trend.
Meta's Frankfurt-listed shares also experienced a rise of more than 7%, indicating strong international investor confidence.
Zuckerberg’s Wealth and Market Context
Meta's strong performance has also positively impacted CEO Mark Zuckerberg's net worth, which increased by $4 billion to an estimated $166.6 billion. Zuckerberg is currently the fifth richest person globally, behind Larry Ellison, Bernard Arnault, Jeff Bezos, and Elon Musk.
Broader Market Trends
Meta's success stands out against a backdrop of mixed results from other tech giants. Microsoft, Tesla, and Alphabet (Google's parent company) all saw declines in their share prices following their recent earnings reports, reflecting investor skepticism about the immediate payoffs from their AI investments. However, Meta's results suggest that strategic and well-executed AI investments can indeed deliver substantial short-term benefits.
Looking Ahead
As Meta continues to leverage its AI capabilities to drive growth and innovation, the company's future looks promising. Investors will be keenly watching the upcoming earnings report from Amazon, another major player expected to reveal significant AI-related capital expenditures. The broader tech industry's focus on AI underscores the transformative potential of this technology, with Meta currently leading the charge in demonstrating its value.
Conclusion
Meta's impressive second-quarter performance and optimistic outlook highlight the company's successful navigation of the evolving digital landscape through strategic AI investments. As Meta continues to innovate and expand its AI capabilities, it stands poised to capitalize on new revenue opportunities and maintain its position as a leader in the tech industry.
META History repeating Double Bottom leading to $800.Meta Platforms (META) almost hit its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yesterday, a Support level that has been holding since February 01 2023. With the long-term pattern being a Channel Up since the November 04 2022 market bottom, yesterday's Low is similar to the Double Bottom on Meta's previous Accumulation phase on October 26 2023.
That day's Low started the 2nd Bullish Leg of the Channel Up that peaked on April 08 2024 after a +95.14% rise. This is the exact same % rise as the Feb 24 2023 - July 28 2023 Bullish Leg, which was the 1st of the Channel Up.
As a result, this is technically the most optimal buy opportunity on a long-term basis for META, with a technical Target at $800.00 (+95.14% as the previous 2 Bullish Legs).
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Meta Platforms - Flying under the radar...NASDAQ:META just rallied +500% without any correction and might create a top formation soon.
Sometimes the trading gods are sending us gifts from heaven. We received such a gift back in 2022 when Meta Platforms - out of nowhere - corrected -70% and perfectly retested the lower support of the reverse triangle formation. After the +500% rally from there, it is quite likely that we will see a short term retracement. But the overall trend is still clearly towards the upside!
Levels to watch: $530
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
META potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price broke ATH
- Price giving resistance breakout
- Breakout of point B in AB=CD harmonic pattern
- No divergence
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 537.48
Stop Loss Level: 446.00
Take Profit Level 1: 628.96
Take Profit Level 2: 666.86
Take Profit Level 3: Open
Meta Platforms - Watch the earnings!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Meta Platforms.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than five years Meta Platforms has been trading in a reverse symmetrical triangle formation. We saw the last retest of support back in the end of 2022 which was followed by a decent rally of +450% towards the upside. At the moment Meta Platforms is retesting the upper resistance of the triangle formation so it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term rejection towards the downside.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
META New rally to $800 started.Meta Platforms (META) is consolidating within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA100 (green trend-line) only 3 weeks after it touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up.
This is the start of the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, half-way through the accumulation process. Once the 1D RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, we will have a bullish confirmation signal similar to October 06 2023. Our Target is $800.00, which represents a +95% rise, similar to both previous Bullish Legs of the Channel Up.
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Meta Platforms 33-Days Cyclical price patternThere are many ways to make money with stocks. You can buy well-managed companies with growing earnings, hold them for years and watch the stock prices rise as the company succeeds. This conservative investing style sometimes rewards investors with huge long-term gains. For example, early investors in Microsoft or Bitcoin saw their investments grow MultiX in a decade.
This is what patient long-term investors dream about. But more often buy-and-hold investors don't hit the jackpot; rather they realize more modest returns.
Another investing style is to trade stocks very frequently with the help of computer programs that buy and sell shares of selected companies. Here traders make small profits or losses on many trades minute after minute. If you like lots of action while you're glued to a computer screen, this investing style might be for you.
Cyclical Price Pattern - An Opportunity to Make Money
And then there is every imaginable money making scheme that falls between the above two styles. You can buy mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, index funds, buy and sell individual stocks, time the market, buy on margin, sell short, buy and sell options, reinvest dividends, or some other variation on the theme. Talk with fellow investors and everyone has their own tailor-made approach to investing.
This article is about one investing style - buying and hold Meta Platforms (META) shares using Cyclical price pattern.
It's a style that I use and I know it makes money.
Buying cyclical stocks for a profit at certain points is a huge challenge but with commitment, multi-year trading experience and the proper technical tools you can consistently make money over your investing career.
Cyclical price pattern is very simple to understand. A single cycle has an upside during which prices rise to a peak and a downside or cooling off when prices fall to a bottom.
Based on this cyclical price pattern, I expect further upside price action in Meta Platforms stock, somewhere until National Unicorn Day.
Days to go: 33.
Meta stock plunge 14% in Premarket RoutThe tech world was rocked as Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ) saw its shares nosedive by as much as 15% in premarket trading, sending shockwaves through US futures markets. The precipitous drop came from lackluster revenue guidance and concerns over CEO Mark Zuckerberg's ambitious AI spending plans.
Investors expressed skepticism over Zuckerberg's vision to pour tens of billions into artificial intelligence initiatives, fearing it would drive up costs and erode profitability. Meta's first-quarter earnings report, while boasting profits of $4.71 per share and revenue of $36.5 billion—beating analyst expectations—failed to assuage concerns as the company provided subdued revenue guidance for the upcoming quarter.
Meta's revenue forecast of $36.5 billion to $39 billion fell short of analysts' projections, dimming the optimism that had propelled the company's stock to record highs. Zuckerberg's announcement during the post-earnings conference call about ramping up AI investment further rattled investors, leading to a mass sell-off.
The market reaction was swift and brutal, with Meta's stock plunging to just over $426, marking a potential $160 billion loss in market value if sustained until the opening bell. This abrupt downturn punctuates Meta's remarkable stock performance over the past year, with shares soaring 107% in the last 12 months and 42% year-to-date, until the recent setback.
Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, highlighted investor concerns about Zuckerberg's perceived lack of financial discipline and the sudden pivot from cost-saving measures to aggressive AI spending. The reversal of sentiment underscores the fragility of investor confidence in Meta's management strategy, dampening the company's recent efforts to project financial prudence.
The fallout from Meta's downturn rippled across broader indexes, with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures tumbling, signaling a turbulent trading day ahead. As investors brace for further earnings announcements from tech giants like Microsoft and Alphabet, coupled with the release of US GDP estimates, the uncertainty surrounding Meta's future trajectory casts a shadow over the broader tech sector.
In conclusion, Meta's sharp decline serves as a cautionary tale of the perils of investor sentiment and the delicate balance between innovation and financial stewardship in the tech industry. As the dust settles, all eyes will be on Meta's next moves and its ability to regain investor trust amidst heightened scrutiny and market volatility.
META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META when ARK did that:
nor bought the META before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 480usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-3,
for a premium of approximately $24.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
TESLA lays off more than 10% staff. Is this its 'META moment'?It was reported this morning that Tesla (TSLA) "will lay off more than 10% of its global workforce, an internal memo seen by Reuters on Monday shows, as it grapples with falling sales and an intensifying price war for electric vehicles".
The market has so far reacted with strong selling of more than -3% in early trading. But is this really bad news?
Not so long ago (November 09 2022), another high tech giant that was heavily decimated at the time, Meta Platforms (META), announced lay offs of around 13% of the company (more than 11000 employees). This was just 5 days after the November 04 2022 market bottom. The result (chart on the right) was an aggressive recovery above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which turned into a Support for 240 days straight.
Of course the fundamental difference is that the 2022 Low for Meta was the Bear Cycle bottom of the Inflation Crisis while Tesla's Channel Down has been the picture of its underperformance for almost a year relative to the rest of the market (and the Magnificent 7 in particular).
However it shouldn't be overlooked that such cost driven news are fundamentals capable of turning the profitability of a company around and Meta's case is such a representative example. Meta was massively oversold in November 2022 (-75% from ATH) and similarly Tesla is massively oversold now (-60% from ATH). Meta managed to completely recover and smash through to new All Time Highs (+38% from previous ATH). In November 2022 it was all doom and gloom for the social media giant and it is worth searching for news headlines at the time to see the similarities with Tesla's situation today.
Time will tell of course, but we wanted to bring this comparison to you and help you draw your own conclusions.
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Meta Surged to New Heights is there Room for Continued Growth Meta and Amazon stocks have risen following an increase in their price targets by a Wall Street analyst team. Jefferies, the analysts, reiterated a buy rating for Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) and raised their price target for the Facebook parent company to $585 from $550. Additionally, they raised their price target for Amazon stock to $225 from $190. Meta's stock has risen more than 3.5% to $525.62, and Amazon's stock is up more than 1% at $184.88, approaching an all-time high above $188 reached in July 2021.
Jefferies' report stated that Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) has too many advantages to count compared to competitors in the digital advertising market. Meta's revenue is mostly driven by ads, and the company has been investing in artificial intelligence tools to help drive more engagement and ad sales on its applications. They include Facebook, Instagram, Reels, WhatsApp, and Threads. As a result of these investments, Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) has developed several strategic advantages over peers, such as a strong artificial intelligence-based recommendation engine for its Reels short-video product that is driving more time spent on Facebook and Instagram.
Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) is set to report its first-quarter earnings on April 24 and has seen a 47% increase in its stock price this year. In addition, Meta Platforms Inc. ( NASDAQ:META ) is reintroducing cash bonuses for content creators on its social media apps. The company is testing the "Spring Bonus" initiative in the United States, South Korea, and Japan, rewarding creators on Instagram for engagement not just on videos and reels, but pictures as well. The maximum creators can earn in thirty days is $30,000. The company will also similarly reward select creators for engagement on Threads, its Twitter-like social app, and content labeled as "collaboration" or "branded" will not be eligible for monetization.
Technical Outlook
Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) for 20 weeks now has been trading above the 200, 100 and 50-day Moving Averages respectively with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 63 indicating strong bullish sentiment.
META: $440 is the least sellers can target.META Platforms may have turned neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 53.558, MACD = 15.800, ADX = 23.681) but remain extremely overbought on the 1W (RSI = 76.808). The stock hit the HH trendline that dates back to January 2018, while the 1W MACD is about to form a Bearish Cross. During these six years, the stock has had five standard corrections (excluding the 2022 Bear Cycle) between -15.90% and -44.00%.
The minimum one was the most recent in August 2023. We expect at least such a -15.90% correction before buyers start accumulating again above the 1W MA50, so our sell target is placed accordingly (TP = 440.00).
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Meta Platforms:From Struggle to Surge - 2024 Investment OutlookIn 2022, Meta Platforms faced turbulent market conditions amid doubts surrounding CEO Mark Zuckerberg's metaverse ambitions, resulting in a significant 64% decline in share prices. However, the company's trajectory has undergone a remarkable transformation since hitting rock bottom, with shares soaring by 321% since the close of 2022.
Despite this impressive rebound, Meta's shares continue to present an attractive investment opportunity, supported by several compelling factors.
Meta stands out as one of the top-performing stocks in 2023, trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 25.6, representing a discount compared to the Nasdaq-100 index's average forward P/E of 30.4. Wall Street analysts anticipate significant growth for the company, with projected compound annual rates of 14% for revenue and 21.3% for earnings per share over the next three years.
Moreover, Meta's unparalleled dominance in the social media landscape is a key driver of its appeal. With Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, and Messenger boasting over 4 billion monthly active users collectively, Meta's reach is unmatched, engaging nearly half of the global population.
The company benefits from formidable competitive advantages, including powerful network effects and a substantial data advantage, positioning it as a leader in digital advertising. With $132 billion in revenue in 2023, Meta has become the preferred platform for advertisers seeking targeted advertising and value for their spending.
Meta's robust financial performance further enhances its investment appeal, with a 2023 operating margin of 35% and $43 billion in free cash flow. The company's strong finances enable it to return capital to shareholders through stock buybacks and dividends, reflecting its commitment to delivering value to investors.
In conclusion, Meta Platforms emerges as a compelling investment opportunity in 2024, offering an appealing valuation, unparalleled social media reach, and robust financial performance. With its leadership position in the digital landscape and strategic investments in the metaverse, Meta is poised for continued growth and success in the years to come.
Meta Stock Surges Above $500 As It Touts AI-Powered GainsMeta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ) experiences a remarkable surge, surpassing the $500 mark once again, as the company unveils its pioneering advancements in generative artificial intelligence (AI), signaling a new era of innovation and engagement within the social media landscape.
Meta's Outlook:
Meta's adoption of powerful generative AI models for video recommendations across its ecosystem marks a significant strategic move to enhance user engagement. Facebook head Tom Alison reveals positive results from utilizing large language models to optimize video recommendations, showcasing an 8%-10% increase in watch time for Reels on Facebook. ( NASDAQ:META ) company outlines its technology roadmap, highlighting plans to scale AI-driven enhancements across its platforms through 2026, aiming for more engaging and responsive user experiences.
Market Performance:
Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) stock experiences a notable uptick, climbing nearly 4% amidst investor optimism surrounding the company's AI initiatives. With shares surging nearly 180% over the past year, Meta solidifies its position as a frontrunner in the AI landscape.
Meta's Open-Source AI Approach:
Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) commitment to an open-source approach to AI, exemplified by the availability of its large language model Llama to developers and researchers, underscores its dedication to fostering innovation and collaboration within the AI community.
Strategic Implications:
Meta's AI advancements not only drive user engagement but also hold the potential for increased monetization opportunities through enhanced ad targeting and user interaction. CEO Mark Zuckerberg emphasizes the importance of unifying recommendation systems across various content formats, highlighting the company's focus on delivering personalized and compelling user experiences.
Catering to the Next Generation:
Tom Alison underscores Meta's efforts to cater to the evolving preferences of Gen Z users, emphasizing the importance of social media as a platform for personal expression and exploration of diverse interests.
Expansion in E-commerce Advertising:
In addition to its AI endeavors, Meta garners attention for its growing presence in e-commerce advertising, with the Wall Street Journal reporting substantial investments from Chinese e-commerce platform Temu, highlighting Meta's increasing role in facilitating global commerce.
Conclusion:
Meta Platforms' ( NASDAQ:META ) relentless pursuit of innovation and its strategic embrace of AI-driven technologies position it at the forefront of the social media landscape. With continued advancements in AI and expansion into new avenues of advertising and engagement, Meta reaffirms its commitment to shaping the future of social media and digital interaction.
Facebook, Instagram & Threads Back Online After OutageMeta Platforms. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ), the parent company of popular social media platforms like Facebook and Instagram, faced a brief outage on Tuesday morning, disrupting services for users worldwide. Despite the outage lasting approximately two hours, Meta swiftly restored access to its platforms, alleviating concerns among users and investors alike.
Key Outage Details:
The outage primarily impacted Facebook and Threads, with users reporting difficulties accessing the platforms as early as 10 a.m. ET. Instagram users also faced issues, including feed refreshing problems. However, Meta spokesperson Andy Stone reassured users, stating that the technical issue was promptly resolved, attributing it to a temporary glitch.
Impact on Presidential Primaries and Social Media Campaigns:
The timing of the outage coincided with Super Tuesday presidential primaries in the U.S., raising concerns for political campaigns reliant on social media platforms for voter engagement. The disruption underscored the critical role platforms like Facebook and Instagram play in modern political communication strategies.
Market Reaction and Tech Disruptions:
The outage prompted a flurry of activity on social media, with hashtags like "#instagramdown" and "#facebookoutage" trending on X. Meta's stock saw a slight dip, reflecting investor sentiment amidst the temporary service disruption. Additionally, Meta acknowledged "major disruptions" across its business products, including Meta Admin Center and Facebook Login.
Broader Tech Landscape:
Google's YouTube also experienced technical difficulties on the same day, further highlighting the interconnected nature of tech platforms. While Meta's outage was swiftly resolved, disruptions in other services like Gmail raised questions about potential underlying infrastructure issues in the tech ecosystem.
Conclusion:
Despite occasional setbacks like the recent outage, Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) continues to be a dominant force in the social media landscape. As users and investors navigate occasional disruptions, Meta's ability to swiftly address technical challenges reaffirms its commitment to ensuring seamless user experiences.
META Analysis! Trend Reversal!META Weekly Analysis!
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern Formation in META!
Trend Reversal in META!
META was in a clear downtrend. After it has made a Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern on a weekly timeframe. It has given a breakout to it's neckline and retested it so it can be act like a next support level which i've extended. Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a Trend Reversal Pattern. Now we can see a strong bullish momentum. The important upside levels are marked on the chart so please have a look on it and one more important thing is we can set a stop loss below the neckline.
Thank You!
Disclaimer = All my analysis are for Educational Purpose only. Before entering into any trade - 1) Educate Yourself 2) Do your own research and analysis 3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio 4) Don't trade with full capital