META First Buy signal in a month.We have been issuing strong buy signals on Meta Platforms (META) since November last year. A perfect example was our February 02 (see chart below) analysis that came with a huge final bullish warning while the price was still at $189.00:
Following the recent -15% pull-back, the strongest correction basically since the November 03 2022 market bottom, the stock price is flashing again the first buy signal on the medium-term as it is testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance after a rebound near the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been intact since January 10.
On top of that, the 1D MACD is on course to form the first Bullish Cross below 0.0, since November 09 2022, which was essentially the bottom of the Bear Cycle. As long as the 1D MA100 is intact, we will buy the 1D MA50 (candle) closing and target 326.25 (Resistance 1). If it closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA100 instead, we will wait and add a 2nd buy position at 260.00, near the Higher Lows trend-line and keep it as long as the 1D MA200. The target for that position will be even higher, as it will be a long-term buy signal, aiming at the All Time High of 384.50.
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Metaplatforms
META Reversal Incoming (1D)META Daily
Price Chart
META has been in a relatively straight uptrend since bottoming out in November of 2022 but has recently just touched a level of high resistance with increased selling volume. This rally has come with the three gaps theory (Highlighted White) beginning with the breakaway gap in February 2022 and ending with the exhaustion gap back in July; both verified with increased volume. Following this theory the first sign of a reversal is the exhaustion gap being filled, which has just happened, however it's not a definitive sign. This is accompanied by another small break in the major trend line (Yellow Solid) and the first close below the 26-day EMA on 8/11 since the rally started. The EMA's are beginning to curve down (12-day) or flatten out (26-day and 50-day), so if we do get a 26-day / 50-day cross the targets below (Light Green Boxes) will cine into play.
Relative Strength Indicator
Most notably on the RSI is the recent bearish divergence (Aqua Solid), but this also occurred in the months prior and did not break down, why? Price action never broke below even the 12-day EMA and the RSI's second peak was above the 70 level while remaining elevated afterwards (Highlighted Aqua) indicating the strength of the trend; the higher the RSI the stronger the trend. The most recent bearish divergence saw the second peak of the RSI top out just below the 70 line and move lower to touch the 50 line; so do we break down? A bounce is definitely possible, which would also most likely push the price action to form a head and shoulders here, however this is the longest time in the history of META that RSI has remained above the 50; After checking, the only time it comes close is when multiple spikes below the 50 are present. The argument here is for a break below the 50 and strengthening the chance of a change in direction.
On Balance Volume
OBV has been in a upwards channel since March and has offset the prior bearish RSI divergence with using it's peak as support (Aqua Solid), which has just occurred again in the past several days. These small support levels also accompany a new a high made back in July, but has since fallen below it. If it does push higher it's technically in a "price discovery" environment, but with the factors above taken into consideration a signal of a reversal should be imminent; target supports (Light Green Boxes) are outlined below if this happens.
TDLR;
Why read the book when you can Google the sparknotes amirite? Seems Legit. Anyway, price action has completed a third gap (exhaustion) and has pushed lower to fill it (not a reversal conformation). EMA's are beginning to curve down or even out and the price has it's first close below the 26-day (on 8/11) since the rally began in Feb 2022. RSI has formed a another bearish divergence after previously failing to abide by the laws of bearish divergence; we swear it's going to work this time. It's also notable that this is longest length of time that the RSI has remained above the 50 level; like, not even a spike down, deng. OBV on the other hand is chugging along in it's channel like nothing is wrong using previous peaks as supports and has even made a new high.
What Seems Legit?
A reversal soon, if not from the most recent bearish divergence then possibly from a head and shoulders pattern. Basically looking for everything to break down at the same time, but a small is possible since the indicators are a bit mixed. The price is wrong Bob, come on down.
Chart Key
Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line
Red Solid = Major Support or Resistance
Aqua Solid = Divergences
Red Box = Resistance
Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
White Highlighter = Gaps
Aqua Highlighter = RSI divergence post peak comparison
META: Navigating the Path to a Trillion-Dollar ValuationCrossing the elusive trillion-dollar valuation threshold is no small feat. As it stands, only a handful of corporations globally have achieved this remarkable milestone. The anticipation surrounding which companies might ascend to join this prestigious club adds an extra layer of intrigue to the financial landscape. Among the contenders vying for a spot are familiar names: Berkshire Hathaway, Tesla, and Meta Platforms (formerly known as Facebook). With valuations ranging from $760 to $780 billion, these players are in the spotlight, each carrying its unique narrative.
In this exclusive race, I am resolutely bullish on Meta Platforms as a prime candidate to breach the trillion-dollar mark. While the company has grappled with its share of challenges, a calculated strategic shift and resilience in its core operations position it as an appealing investment opportunity. However, the question persists: should investors seize the moment and dive into Meta's stock? Let's embark on a closer examination.
Meta Platforms, undergoing a transformation from Facebook, occupies a distinctive niche in the market. A pivotal move in late 2021 saw the company rebrand as Meta, signaling a resolute pivot towards the metaverse. This strategic shift translated to hefty investments in its Reality Labs division. Yet, these endeavors have encountered turbulence. Since the fourth quarter of 2021, Reality Labs has generated a substantial $3.65 billion in sales. Unfortunately, this has been overshadowed by staggering operating losses amounting to an eye-watering $18.14 billion.
This concerning operating profit margin raises valid concerns, especially in light of the absence of evident signs of recovery. The most recent data reveals that second-quarter revenue in 2022 amounted to a modest $276 million, marking a notable low over recent years.
On a brighter note, the heart of Meta's revenue engine operates like clockwork. The Family of Apps division, encompassing Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and the emerging Threads, thrives on advertising revenue. In the second quarter, this segment exhibited a robust 12% year-over-year growth, surging to a substantial $31.7 billion. Notably, it achieved an operating profit of $11.2 billion, effectively mitigating the challenges faced by the beleaguered Reality Labs division.
So, how does Meta Platforms align itself to reach a trillion-dollar valuation? CEO Mark Zuckerberg has laid his cards on the table, spotlighting 2023 as the "Year of Efficiency" for Meta Platforms. This vision manifests in streamlined workforce strategies and resource reallocation from lower-priority initiatives. The results are palpable, reflected in Meta's improving operating margin across recent quarters. This impressive upward trajectory marks a resounding rebound from the depths of the fourth quarter of 2022.
Meta's meticulous focus on operational efficiency proves to be a catalyst in driving profitability, thereby propelling it towards the coveted trillion-dollar mark. Over the past five years, Meta has maintained an average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 25. This figure serves as the foundation for our baseline valuation as Meta approaches the trillion-dollar milestone. As depicted in the chart below, the company's current positioning significantly surpasses this threshold. However, forward earnings projections, based on analyst consensus, hover just below this mark. This intriguing dynamic suggests Meta retains ample room for multiple expansions in the upcoming year, indicating potential for a significant valuation increase as operational efficiency drives improved financial performance.
Looking ahead to 2024, Wall Street analysts hold a consensus projection of $15.25 in earnings per share (EPS) for Meta. Presently, the company trades at a valuation roughly equivalent to 20 times the anticipated 2024 earnings. Should Meta realize the projected EPS of $15.25 and close the year with a valuation of 25 times earnings, this scenario points to a promising 25% surge from the present stock price.
Applying this projection to Meta's current market capitalization yields an estimated valuation of $981 billion by the end of 2024. While it might not yet breach the trillion-dollar mark, this projection creates a solid foundation for Meta to confidently surpass that milestone by 2025.
Moreover, with a projected 25% upside from the present until the conclusion of 2024, Meta emerges as a compelling prospect. Consider also the potential for Meta to exceed earnings expectations or command a higher valuation multiple. In these scenarios, Meta could feasibly achieve a trillion-dollar valuation as early as 2024. This underscores the allure of investing in Meta, driven by both projected growth and the possibility of positive surprises on the horizon. As Meta navigates its path forward, the prospects are tantalizing, inviting investors to join the journey towards a trillion-dollar valuation.
META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META here:
Or reentered here:
Then analyzing the options chain and chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 290usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $27.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
META: Channel Up will attempt to close the February 2022 Gap.META maintains the aggressive four month Channel Up on an overbought 1D timeframe (RSI = 73.991, MACD = 9.890, ADX = 37.410) that shows no signs of easing before the next Resistance and that is located at 328.00, which was the High of February 2nd 2022. After that the stock price plunged to 245 following the loss of investor confidence. It would appear that the rally won't stop until it closes at least that Gap. As a result we go on a short term buy, targeting the Resistance (TP = 328.00).
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META completing 8 straight months of gains. How far can it go?META is about to close the month on the 8th straight green candle, which is of course way beyond any rally in the company's history.
Having broken even above the 0.786 Fibonacci level and turned the 1month MA50 into Support again, the question on everyone's mind is how far can the market extend this rally.
Looking at its short history, all of Meta's rallies didn't stop before the 1month RSI entered the overbough (over 70.00) zone. And the RSI is currently at 61.88, considerably lower than this limit.
Of course it can be argued that this time the rally started after the 1month RSI rebounded from the oversold area, the first time in its history.
But technically, it appears that the market both technically and fundamentally has what it needs to keep investors interested and most likely won't correct substantially before testing at least the $385 All Time High.
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Meta -> Rally Not Over YetHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis.
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Meta stock started a crazy dump in September of 2021, dropping roughly 80% in a very short period of time but bounced back significantly.
You can also see that the recovery started in October of 2022 and from there Meta created a rally of 200% towards the upside and is now approaching resistance at the $300 level from which I do expect a short term rejection away towards the downside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that Meta stock is still massively bullish, creating new highs every single day so I am now just waiting for a retest of the previous resistance at the $275 level and then I do expect a final blow-off to retest the $300 resistance zone.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
META H&S can send it skyrocket to $294, unless the MA100 breaksMETA has arguably been one of the hottest, if not the hottest, stocks of the year.
The minor (for its parabolic state) correction since Tuesday has seen it hit the MA100 (1h), which is so far holding.
This has completed a Head and Shoulders pattern, which is technically a bearish structure.
If the neckline but more importantly the MA50 (1h) breaks, we expect the price to invalidate the bearish signal of the H&S.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the price closes above the 268.50 neckline and the MA50 (1h).
2. Sell if it closes under the MA100 (1h).
Targets:
1. 294 (Fibonacci 2.0).
2. 250 (the MA200 1h).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) has crossed over the MA trendline. This is a short term signal of bullish strength.
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META - KEYLEVELS 1htfMETA - KEYLEVELS 1htf
Meta is strong on his up trend , also beacuse we have a broken resitance on weekly time frame.
But now this zone looks more and more like a distribution zone , carefful on short META , if you wanna do it, maybe you need to wait for a broken red line ( neckline ) with a scalp trade.
Meta Platforms Stock Soars Despite Weak Business PerformanceCan you believe it? Meta Platforms stock has risen by over 70% this year, outpacing the S&P 500's 7.5% growth over the same period. At first glance, it might seem like everything is going great for Meta, right? However, the reality is a bit different. In the fourth quarter, Meta reported a 4% decline in year-over-year earnings, and analysts predict that there will be another decline in the first quarter (which we'll find out on Wednesday). So, why is the stock rising so quickly despite the weak business performance?
Well, there are a couple of reasons. First, at the beginning of the year, the stock had a very low valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio of about 10. Analysts expected the company to have double-digit growth in earnings per share over the next five years, but the low valuation didn't reflect this. The recent surge in the stock price has brought it more in line with analysts' expectations, so you could say that the stock has adjusted to a more rational valuation.
The second reason for the stock's growth is the cost-cutting efforts by Facebook, Meta's parent company. Mark Zuckerberg has made "a year of efficiency" his top management theme for 2023, and the cost reductions are expected to lead to significant earnings growth during the year, which investors believe will boost profits and support the stock's current valuation.
However, it's worth noting that Meta has continued to post disappointing results since 2021, and the stock is still down from its all-time highs. Meta's business is still facing considerable uncertainty, and there are questions about the company's long-term margin profile and sustainability. The volatility of the social media company's cost structure over the past few years also makes it difficult to predict earnings changes over the long term.
While the recent stock price increase is good news for Meta shareholders, it also means that the stakes are higher for the company to do exceptionally well going forward. Investors will be looking for more information about the company's long-term margin profile and the sustainability of its business when Meta presents its first-quarter results on Wednesday.
Meta Platforms:Overcoming Challenges and Embracing OpportunitiesMeta Platforms, formerly known as Facebook, has undergone significant changes in recent years, with a tarnished reputation due to numerous data breaches. However, the company has made efforts to address these issues, and now faces new challenges. One such challenge is the impact of the economic downturn on its primary source of revenue - online advertising. This has led to a decline in revenue, with profits falling for the first time in a while. Nonetheless, the online advertising market is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 14.7% through 2027, providing an opportunity for Meta Platforms to recover.
One advantage of Meta Platforms is its vast user base of 3.74 billion monthly active users, providing an ecosystem too large to ignore. Moreover, the company is making strides to monetize some of its apps such as WhatsApp, with paid messaging services gaining momentum. Additionally, Facebook Reels and e-commerce markets provide significant long-term opportunities for the company to generate revenue.
Despite its recent struggles, Meta Platforms is implementing cost-cutting initiatives and restructuring efforts to improve its financial performance. While the company's investment in the metaverse, a potential HKEX:1 trillion opportunity, is yet to yield results, it is expected to pay off in the long term.
In conclusion, Meta Platforms' revenue is expected to increase in the next few years, making it a worthwhile investment.
Meta PlatformsNASDAQ:META has had a great Q1 2023 performance, among the top 10 best performing stocks in the US. NASDAQ:META is now at a potential overhead resistance level, hopefully there are enough buyers, and reasons to buy, to push the share price further up. As with many other US companies, there are job cuts and other cost containment measure in the Zuckerberg world.
We remain bullish until the market proves otherwise.
WILL META STOCK CONTINUE TO RISE?Looking at the position of this asset, I will say that if the TL is strong enough to hold as support, then I will target $200 as my first buy TP.
Note: $200 zone is also the FIB38.2 zone making it a significant area to watch out for.
However, if the Trendline fails, we may be heading downwards $150 to fill the gap.
I hope fundamental favours META
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Facebook - Bearish SentimentMeta Platforms is showing heavy bearish signs. Price hit my 178.00 block. It is now testing the 174.14 zone ( a 5min zone). We have EQUAL LOWS around that region which have to be taken out. Once price breaks those lows, it will be headed for the 170.00 Pontential Bearish BOS. That's where price will break structure and fall further.
We remain BEARISH!!!!!!!
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Patience pays!!!
META: FUNDAMENTALS + NEXT TARGETUnlike most major technology companies, Meta Platforms' stock has risen in response to its recent earnings report.
Facebook's parent company did not report particularly impressive results. Revenue fell 4% to $32.2 billion for the quarter, and earnings per share fell 52% to $1.76, though when adjusted for restructuring costs, earnings per share fell 18% to $3, which was better than expected.
Looking ahead to the first quarter, the company anticipates another modest drop in revenue, owing to macroeconomic headwinds in the advertising market and its decision to ramp up its Reels short-form video product, which is monetized at a lower rate than other "surfaces" such as news feeds and stories.
But there was something else noteworthy in the report and earnings call.
Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of Facebook, has shifted his focus to the company's core business, a family of apps that includes Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger.
Under Zuckerberg's leadership, the company changed its name from Facebook to Meta Platforms just over a year ago, signaling that the metaverse would become a core business.
Around the same time, the company restructured its financial reporting structure, separating Reality Labs, which manufactures Oculus VR headsets and deals with the metaverse, from the app family segment. Reality Labs was exposed as a smoldering money pit as a result of the move, and things have only gotten worse since then. Reality Labs lost $4.3 billion in the fourth quarter, capping off a year in which it lost $13.7 billion.
As a seasoned politician, Zuckerberg appears to have learned that the best way to deal with bad news is to change the subject. In this case, he appears to be doing exactly that.
During the earnings call, the company discussed its investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and cost-cutting and efficiency initiatives, such as a more cost-effective data center architecture. According to the report, almost all of the company's capital expenditures, which are mostly for data centers, are for the app family, not Reality Labs.
In the earnings release, Zuckerberg also made no mention of Reality Labs, saying: "We're making good progress on our AI discovery engine, and Reels is a big part of that. Aside from that, our management theme for 2023 is 'The Year of Efficiency,' and we are working hard to become a stronger and more agile organization."
During the earnings call, Meta's CEO discussed the company's recent work in the metaverse, but it seemed to take a back seat to Meta's other projects when he summarized the company's priorities, saying: "Okay, here are the areas we're focusing on: AI, including our discovery engine, advertising, business messaging, and increasingly generative AI, as well as future metaverse platforms."
Meta's metaverse plans are far from dead. Indeed, it released Quest Pro, its newest headset, late last year.
There are several reasons why Zuckerberg appears to have returned to his core business. So far, the metaverse project has failed, not only at Meta, but also elsewhere. The value of the associated market of NFTs has plummeted, and the idea that people want to spend time in virtual worlds has yet to gain traction, while public interest in the metaverse appears to have faded after Zuckerberg initially hyped it. The metaverse's struggles are also visible in the recent attention paid to ChatGPT and generative artificial intelligence, which appear to be transformative technologies with real-world applications.
Perhaps Meta's CEO is reacting to the stock's precipitous drop. The stock dropped roughly 75% in a year after the company changed its name to Meta, with investors concerned that Zuckerberg would risk the entire company for his metaverse experiment.
He appears to have persuaded investors that this is not the case, which is why the company's stock has risen. While investing in Reality Labs, the company intends to steadily increase overall profits. It's a reasonable strategy that doesn't overshadow Meta's lucrative digital advertising business.
Although Metaverse will continue to smear red ink on reports, investors are now viewing the company through rose-colored glasses following Zuckerberg's encouraging speech. If the advertising industry can return to growth, as appears to be the case with Reels, the company's stock should continue to rise.
META Meta Platforms Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META at $341:
Then I think that META Meta Platforms will announce massive layoffs at the earnings date, which the market loves.
Mark Zuckerberg will continue spending billions on building the Metaverse, but the market won`t care as long as they fire people.
Another reason for a happy earnings ending is the FOMC decision to hike the interest rates by 25bps instead of 50bps (I assume).
Otherwise, META loses more ground against TikTok, which took over the globe.
But Mark Zuckerberg doesn`t care about that, because if TikTok really becomes a threat for META (sorry, for the economy), regulators will declare it a spy app, threatening the US national security.
So eventually META will prevail.
If the authorities won`t intervene to help META, i think the stock should end the year around $120.
All the above considered, looking at the META Meta Platforms options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $150 strike price Puts with
2023-2-17 expiration date for about
$7.45 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
META The worst is history! 6 straight green weeks.Our update on The Meta Platforms (META) on the 1W time-frame.
What stands out is that the stock has completed six (6) straight weekly candles, for the first time since March 2017! This is one of the strongest bullish sequences in its history and while at it, it has established 2 weeks above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since its September 2021 All Time High!
The short-term target is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is within the technical target of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) that we can argue formed the October 2022 market bottom. With the RSI hitting the top of a Higher Highs trend-line that started on March 28 2022, it is possible to see a minor pull-back now to test the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) as a Support, but that will be the best long-term buy opportunity before we hit the 1W MA50.
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META Closed 2 straight green months, the first time since 2021!Meta Platforms (META) is on a strong January monthly candle (chart on the right) having closed in December two straight green months for the first time since August 2021, which was its All Time High. This alone is a huge bullish development, which along with the 1M RSI being on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (IH&S), it can start staging its long-term bullish reversal.
On the more medium-term 1D time-frame (chart on the left), Meta also made a significant bullish development, as yesterday it clearly broke (but failed to close) above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), for the first time in one whole year (since December 30 2021). Having turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into a Support this last month (since December 12), if it manages to close a daily candle above the 1D MA100, the stock's next aim would be the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
The 1W RSI also had a major bullish break-out as it broken above a Resistance Zone holding since August 15, that previously had rejected the price a total of three times (Triple Top). In our view we can claim that Meta has a sustainable bullish reversal only if it breaks above the 1D MA200.
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META to extend losses even more?Meta - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 107.98 (stop at 115.15)
The primary trend remains bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
This is curremtly an actively traded stock.
108.32 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent low at 108.32 should result in a further move lower.
Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels.
Our profit targets will be 91.04 and 88.04
Resistance: 126.40 / 134.00 / 142.00
Support: 115.00 / 108.50 / 96.00
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