Ultimate Short Term Investment Methodology Hello, everyone!
As I can see, you like my series of articles about different coin’s trading plans. Today I’m glad to introduce the short methodology about how to choose the coins for short term investment. On the term “short term investing” I mean the trade with the duration from 1 to 5 months with the potential profit 3 to 6X from current price. Let’s go.
First of all you need to know that for short term investing you do not need to believe in project idea, just a big hype should be anticipated.
1 PRODUCT
The product is not the key point of my methodology. The best product is the blockchain because it is fundamental project, which can develop quickly in the future. Hype projects such as DeFi and NFTs are also allowed for our purpose. You should just avoid the scams and memecoins.
Good examples: DOT, NEO, FLM, ATOM, ADA
Bad examples: DOGE, SHIB, SAFEMOON, PRIZM
2 TEAM
For our aim this is the least important point. You can just check if the famous and successful people are creators of this project. It is an additional mark for the coin.
3 SOCIAL MEDIA
Check if the Twitter account is active or not, activity is high before the pump. The famous investor and other persons as the subscribers also is a good sign. Good and bad example see on the pic below.
Methodolgy
Gamestop Reckoning Part 1. VolumeAs the community of traders reckons with many a crazed new-comer and their love of gamestop GME and AMC we have to be glad that people are being more and more interested in trading. However, for many of us, trading isn't to make a statement: it isn't to make a point, to stick it to someone or to prove how resolute you are.
For me at least, trading is the end result of an exciting process of creative research, imaginative planning and positioning, using algorithms that I've written to try to get a well-timed entry, and the satisfaction of not worrying about each pricepoint thereafter -- knowing that
I like the stock because of the sub-industry position in our future as a society
I like the stock because of the particular company's financials relative to any similar sub-industry member
I feel that management, both based on metrics and intuition from listening to the researchers, COO, CEO, CTOs at the company actually believe in what they are doing.
I feel that the timing is right from a technical perspective, relative to events, from an industry-cyclic standpoint, and broader market threats.
Thus, in summary, my "advice" to anyone would be: buy a stock because you find it compelling, you can imagine what they do 5 years from now and its more than what they do now, you know the company is healthy, there aren't many threats, and you wouldn't be upset if it lost 10% because you are confident in its future. .
If you feel this way about GME, then that's great. But its unlikely that you will make it through the above points without a bit of heartburn -- especially given the following: EARNINGS COME NEXT WEEK . This is a time to ask yourself the following question: what is a fair price? Did 100% gain exceed your fair price? How about 500%? I'll leave that to you.
Today lets look at GME's Volume using the OBV Correlation Indicator.
The OBV Correlation Indicator can be set to correlate with any reference. I've chosen QQQ
Secondarily the direction of chart stock's OBV is encoded with color: So if the histogram is negative AND red this means the correlation is negative and the obv direction is downward for GME.
Lastly price correlation is encoded with a line, and price direction with color. Thus a negative red line means the price directions are also anti-correlated and price is downward.
In the case of GameStop we see the natural pre-earnings pattern.
A lower price correlation than usual to the broader market
A lower volume correlation than usual to the broader market.
But we see something else here. We see accelerating negative correlation in Obv of GME and the index as well as obv oscillator decreasing at an increasing rate.
This is all one moment in time. However we have to remember earnings are about rectification: rectifying the price with perception, rectifying expectation with guidance, and also rectifying expectation with position --- i.e., a time to take profits.
Ask yourself this: Do you see whatever will be said by management as being something to sustain a 1,000% increase in price? Do you imagine a buyout would be offered at 1,000% its price at last earnings?
This week: Watch the relative volumes, watch the decoupling of volume and price using this indicator (OBV correlation indicator), and if you are holding GME, consider looking like a genius and selling now.
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segement 5Methodology v Strategy
Some traders use the words interchangeably, I do not.
A strategy is a set of conditions that signal you to enter the market, for example, A moving average crossover, RSI going into oversold/overbought and then reversing, Divergence, etc. and combinations thereof.
A Methodology, on the other hand, is a systematic approach to the market that a trader does on a daily basis. It is this process that leads to trade set-ups. The following is how I approach the market each day:
First, I do a top down analysis starting with the monthly moving to the daily and then the 60 min Timeframe.
Second, I do a strength and weakness analysis of each of the following currencies AUD, CAD,CHF, EUR,GBP,JPY,NZD and USD. From this I derive their relative strength from the previous day. This gives me a) A directional bias and b) the best pair to trade (Strongest v weakest)
Third, in the hour before the European open, I analyze the 60 min chart, primarily focusing on how they correlate with Ichimoku theory.
Fourth, I drop down to the 15 min chart, which what I trade off of. I look for top down alignment on each pair. The pair with the best alignment is the one I will trade.
Fifth, using Ichimoku and alignment, I either confirm, or change the directional bias from strength/weakness analysis.
Sixth, I mark the most recent Support/resistance, which I call the Asian box.
Seventh, From all of the above, I now have the best pair, direction and usually both a breakout entry or pullback entry.
Eighth, correlation, I look for all of the same currency to move together, For instance this morning, as shown in the chart above, only GBPAUD was a Buy breakout, while all the other GBP pairs were sells. Hence the reason I did not post or take the GBPAUD trade. (which would have gotten about 10 pips before crashing).
Ninth: Execute, collect your money, go to the Beach.
If you like this idea, please push like and follow me, it motivates me to post ideas more often.
Stay green my Friends
Allen