Mexicanpeso
USDMXN Consolidation until the next break upwards.The USDMXN pair has been one of the better range pairs to trade in the market throughout the past 2 years. At the moment it is consolidating within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Higher Lows trend-line. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is the last line of Resistance, on the Lower Highs (2) trend-line, before a jump to Lower Highs (1).
The 19.800 symmetrical Support is holding and this resembles the April 20 - May 30 2021 fractal so far, which made an aggressive price jump when the 1D MA200 broke.
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USDMXN Higher returns on going long here.The USDMXN pair has been one of the most consistent buys in the forex market historically. In the last 6 years in particular there is a very clear Higher Lows trend-line that Supports the price and initiates major rallies when it is touched. The last contact with it was on May 30 and as expected, that caused a strong rebound. So far however it is contained within the Channel Down that started on the November 29 2021 High.
As a result, our macro strategy on this pair is to either buy after the Lower Highs trend-line of the Channel Down breaks and set a target near the 1.0 Fibonacci level or buy near the 6 year Higher Lows trend-line again and target the Lower Highs of the Channel until it breaks.
If the 6 year Higher Lows trend-line breaks though, take a sell towards the Lower Lows (bottom) trend-line of the Channel Down. Given however that the 1W RSI has its 4 year Support Zone where it just bounced last month, the chances for a bullish break-out are greater.
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USDMXN Accumulating for an end-of-the-year riseThe USDMXN pair has been trading within a Channel Up since late 2020. The Fibonacci Channel levels help at understanding bettern the Resistance and Support levels involved on each Higher High and Higher Low leg. Right now the price action seems to be about to complete the (3) and final leg of the correction similar to that of August 2021. That was the Accumulation phase that led to an end-of-the-year rally that broke above the Higher Highs trend-line. We believe that a similar pattern will be followed, making the USDMXN a buy opportunity on the long-term.
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✅USD_MXN GROWTH AHEAD|LONG🚀
✅USD_MXN is about to retest a key structure level
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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ridethepig | USDMXN immediate mobilisationAnother typical procedure can be seen here, the combined advance by buyers cannot be prevented in the long run. This advanced would (and now we are seeing....) lay bare the base on the strong support at 18.9x. Much worse for Sellers, the attack on the highs involves 22.9/23.0 as a main target. For the strategy, the correct plan now consists of holding and adding as sellers continue to flee.
As well as USDMXN, we have also spoken about BRLMXN several times, we must not forget the following swing of the year. The imprisoned MXN is in a difficult position and lacks protection from BDM. Pips are for pipsqueaks, macro currency swings for a +58% can be played in many different ways.
USDMXN Triangle Chart Pattern USDMXN Bullish Confluence Factors
Trend: Up
Level: EMA 10 Dynamic Level is above EMA 20 Dynamic Level; Four or more touches on horizontal support resistance level
Signal: "Wait For Price To Close Above 20.88690 and then watch for a bullish price action signal near price level 20.88690."
Elliott Wave Analysis: USDMXN Is Forming A Bearish TriangleHello traders!
We want to share a chart with interesting and known pattern called triangle on USDMXN currency pair.
As you can see, USDMXN is trading sideways since the beginning of 2021. With slow price action and corrective sideways wave structure, we believe it's just a correction within downtrend, ideally a bearish triangle formation within a higher degree wave (IV) that can send the price even lower within wave (V).
Triangles are continuation patterns which consist of five waves A-B-C-D-E and seems like the final wave E can be now in progress, so watch out for a drop back to lows towards 18.x area soon.
It’s also worth to mention that three weeks back the central bank of Mexico (Banxico) hiked the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%. This seems to be very bullish for MXN across the board and it may last until other banks will start increasing the rates as well. However, a lot of CB seem to be waiting on the FED first. Today, Powell will definitely talk about inflation, but recent retracement on some of the commodities, like Lumber, may give more time to the FED, so they can wait with aggressive taper- talk, possibly till September or maybe even end of the year. Under that situation dollar may face limited upside.
Be humble and trade smart!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
USDMXN is trading in a very strong support level The USDMXN is trading close to a very solid support near the 200 EMA in weekly candle. It has been bouncing since November last year from that same support. The last time it broke the 200 ema was in May 2013; in February of last year it reacted strongly when it touched it. From my perspective, an upward rebound is more likely than a break of the support, which could reach 20.5 pesos per dollar.
USDMXN, a bullish AB=CD pattern could be materializing A possible bullish AB =CD pattern may be forming in the Mexican peso - US dollar pair.
My hypothesis is that it will return to at least 20 pesos per dollar and then rebound. The most that could fall would be around 19.6 pesos per dollar.
The potential reversal zone (D) coincides precisely with the 127.2% of the fibo and with a level that served as support in mid-February, so a reaction should be expected when it touches it.
You can either go short from here until it hits 20 or wait until it reaches that level to go long.
MEXICAN PESO The Mexican Peso is about to experience a big short-term correction. The price graph is just above the short-term moving averages (10d, 20d and 30d), the moving averages are trending up and the fast stochastic indicator that I use signals an over-sold condition. Definitely a SHORT. Most likley to be affected by higher interest rates, but that is a story for another graph.