USDMXN forming bullish CRAB | A good long opportunity aheadPriceline of US Dollar / Mexican Peso Forex pair is forming a bullish CRAB pattern and soon it will be entered in potential reversal zone insha Allah.
Volume profile of complete pattern is showing less interest of traders here
RSI is oversold
But MACD is strong bearish and Stochastic is oversold but did not give any bull cross sofar, so I would suggest when the price action will be entered in PRZ area then wait for MACD to turn weak bearish or for stochastic bull cross then buy.
I have used Fibonacci sequence to set the targets:
Buy between: 19.47392 to 19.25942
Sell between: 19.64064 to 20.04382
Regards,
Atif Akbar (moon333)
Mexicanpeso
Mexican peso holiday & central banks are preparing for the worstThe week started quite well for the financial markets and with a huge relief for Mexico in particular. The point is that Trump decided not to impose 5% tariff on Mexican goods. The Mexican peso showed maximum growth over the past year. The Canadian dollar is below 1.33. Therefore a sharp decline in gold and other safe-haven assets against this background can be considered logical and logical.
However, we would not advise relaxing. In fact, this is just one of the episodes. But in general, the picture continues to be rather precarious. According to analysts at Morgan Stanley, heightened market optimism is a mistake of investors. Global economic data is likely to begin to deteriorate. Accordingly, Morgan Stanley recommends selling USDJPY with a target of 105. We will continue to look for points to buy gold and Japanese yen on the intraday basis.
About the Japanese yen. Yesterday, the head of the Bank of Japan, Haruhiko Kuroda, contributed a lot to yen sales in the foreign exchange market. He said that the Central Bank is ready to expand the list of monetary incentives, if it is necessary. Panicking and selling off the yen is not worth it yet. Well, the Bank of Japan is satisfied with the content of the monetary policy and the general state of the country's economy.
Nevertheless, the general trend in the behavior of the leading central banks is pretty clear: all as one declare their readiness to act in response to trade war escalation. Recall, earlier "pigeon" comments were seen by the Fed and the ECB. And the Reserve Bank of Australia, so generally, lowered the rate last week.
We would like to note rather weak data from the UK in particular GDP dropped by 0.4% m / m, in April ( the analysts had been expected a declining by 0.1% m / m).In addition, industrial production collapsed by by -2.7% m / m (experts predicted a decline of -1.0% m / m). It is not surprising that the pound was under downward pressure yesterday. Today we are waiting for data on the UK labor market, which might finish the pound. Well, we will see.
Our trading preferences for today are as follows: we will continue to look for points for selling the US dollar against the Japanese yen, as well as the euro, oil sales and the Russian ruble, as well as buying gold.
USDMXN - Buy Mexican Peso!After Mexico and the USA reached a deal to curb migration and avoid tariffs on Mexican imports, the Mexican peso strengthened around 2 percent against the dollar during the Asian trading. I expect the USDMXN to go lower during the American trade session as well. In the long run, I still believe USDMXN will go lower than 18.90 if there are no more conflicts between the USA and Mexico. However, Trump could threat Mexico again with tariffs as a weapon to get fast results from Mexico, especially during this time (elections in 2020), making the Mexican peso weak.
The immediate support is the 18.9 area (blue line). If we break that support, we could go to the second strong support at 18.75 and then lower.
It is important to notice that the USDMXN price is in a triangle since last year. If there is good news from Mexico, we could finally break the triangle to the downside.
Thanks for reading!
World war and dollar, useless bitcoin and plans for the weekDay by day the situation with a trade war is getting worse. On Friday, for example, the Mexican peso showed the strongest drop in the last seven months after the announcement of the introduction of new US duties on Mexican goods in response to the flow of illegal immigrants. It was a surprise to the markets since the agreement between the USA, Mexico and Canada did not provide for such a development of events. From June 10, duties on imports from Mexico will be 5%. But this is not the worst. If Mexico could not solve the problem of illegal immigrants, duties will gradually increase until they reach 25% by October.
Interestingly enough how the US dollar reacted to this news, which has declined significantly in the foreign exchange market against major currencies. One of the reasons for this was the revision of the market expectations of the Fed. Last week, we already noted that markets tend toward two or even three rate cuts by the end of 2019. So, after hitting Mexico, markets began to incorporate the option in which the rate would be reduced 4 (!) Times. The chance is extremely small (for now) - only 4%. But the trend is the key thing, that plays exclusively against the dollar. Our recommendation on working with the dollar for this week in the light of such events remains unchanged, we only strengthened in our desire to sell the dollar.
On Friday, Canadian GDP data was published. GDP growth was + 0.5% m / m and + 1.4% y / y when the forecast was + 0.4% m / m and + 1.2% y / y. Only events around Mexico (which call into question the fate of the USMCA, have kept it from growing but despite it, this is decently a signal in favor of buying the Canadian dollar.
Last week, the Bitcoin price rose above $ 9,000, which again grew up chatter about the prospects of its growth. We found Chainalysis Inc., information interesting, according to which only 1.3% of Bitcoin operations were carried out with the aim of serving trade and commercial activity. That says that practically ALL operations with cryptocurrency are purely speculative in its nature (90% of Bitcoin operations are exchange transactions on different exchanges). In this regard, we recall our position - any growth of Bitcoin is a reason for its sales. Current prices are the best for this.
The upcoming week promises to be difficult. Their decisions on the parameters of monetary policy will announce the Reserve Bank of Australia and the ECB, and the US will announce statistics on the labor market at the end of the week.
Our positions for today and the week as a whole are following: we will look for points for buying of the euro and the pound against the US dollar, sales of oil and the Russian ruble, as well as buying of gold and the Japanese yen. In addition, quite interesting, in our opinion, is buying of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar.
USDMXN A tequila "Shot"If you missed the buy opportunity of USDMXN at the bottom of the wick that touched the trendline, well dry your tears for you can short at the channel retest with a good return of 1400 pips if it gets to our TP of 1.90000 psychological handle. Watch PA closely, if the bullish momentum is strong enough to incise the channel, this trade will be invalidated as there's not a lot of fundamental backup to it.
The USDMXN has a high pip return and would be nice to it to your trading portfolio.
Happy trading and profitable week!
NOTE:, I am still long on this pair since the entry on Friday but notice that we are heading to fib 50% and a major weekly turncoat-resistance, hence the neutral stance and EUREKA Moment!!!
USDMXN: Long term Buy opportunity on 1M.The pair is trading within a 1M Channel Up (RSI = 50.675, MACD = 0.234, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) currently testing the Higher Low zone. A narrower H&S formation on 1W allows to consider the current area the start of the new bullish leg towards a new High. We are long with TP = 20.9600.
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Equal lows on USDMXN asking to be taken out waiting for comfWe just tested the daily breaker and liq void got filled where USDMXN is now rejecting from.
You could short it here but i prefer some more confirmation so i would like the 4h orderblock to be broken wich will then become a breaker and i will short the retest off that breaker into the equal lows.
Those lows are just to juicy not to be taken as many people their stops our right under there. This is as nice as setups like this get imo.
USD/MXN (Bullishness shall come in Soon)Updated View On USD/MXN (16 Apr 2019)
Back Ground: Hola. We are seeing a potential further Bullishness on this pair USD/MXN as MXN shall soon start to weaken. It is lil too early to tell so.
I see the level such as 18.4 is a potential swing entry.
Target(s): UP 19.1 (TP1), 19.3 (TP2)
SHTF: 18 will be a good support region.
DYODD, Our trade analysis may not suitable to intraday (or) short time frame trading.
Whatever method you use if you do not follow the proper rule of risk management, it will have detrimental effects on your account.
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Fundies Show Weakness, Technicals Show OversoldTo be brief, Mexican growth is slowing with prospects for the G20 economy to slow further. Technicals oscillators shown below indicate a buy as well. This buy is a bit crowded however, so I wouldn't be surprised if the contrarian sell comes in strong. But I lean long.
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USDMXN: Long term Buy opportunity.The dominant long term pattern on USDMXN is a Triangle on 1M (total neutrality with RSI = 52.546, ADX = 27.968, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). 1D is on a Higher Lows sequence, which this 1M Triangle has show that it leads to a bullish break out. We are long with TP = 20.25000.
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Elliott wave Analysis: Triangle on USDMXN Points LowerHi everybody,
USDMXN made a nice drop in impulsive fashion, down from 20.657 level which can be a five-wave development in the making. We can see waves 1,2 and extended wave 3 completed at the lows, so current sideways activity can be a temporary pause within the downtrend. We see this pause as a triangle correction within wave 4, which can now be trading in final stages. Once this correction finds resistance, that is when final wave 5 as part of the trend may start to develop, and take price below the 18.90 area.