USD/MXN Possible Long Trade IdeaThis is not a signal. For now WATCH for confirmation
Price contained within this wedge formation for a while. Trendline confluence; love the long legged doji, which signals possible reversal. Looking at possible buy to at least 50% or 61.8% fib level. Trade at your own risk. Wait for confirmation before entering, is my suggestion.
Mexico
$SPX Monthly Chart Buy Some Puts & Fly to Mexico & ChinaLong-term look at SPX. Possible diamond top pattern down to the bottom of the channel. Keep in mind this is the monthly chart and everything takes time.
Strong bearish divergence on the MACD as well as the RSI.
Let the sentiment get super bullish (getting close) and then the rug shall be pulled out.
TARIFF MAN TO STRIKE GLOBALLY!This is a 6H chart of the DAX. Markets globally are heading south. Even the super-resilient Brazilian Bovespa is beginning to buckle. In this screencast I show what the price action is like for the DAX and why I think the market is exhausting. I may well be totally wrong - but I'll limit how wrong I am with an acceptable stop-loss.
Three main issues plague the DAX and other markets globally:
1. China trade/technology war.
2. Tariff man picking a fight with Mexico
3. And as of a couple days ago Tariff man has squeezed India by ending special trade treatment. (Google is your friend on that one).
From what I see, the house of cards, the Ponzi scheme that is global markets is falling. I'll take my losses in shorting these.
Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation to trade. Opinions here are my own. If you make decisions based on this and you lose your money sue yourself!
Trade war opens opportunity in Mexico (EWW)Mexico is relatively cheap compared to other emerging market stock exchanges. In addition, I agree with several analysts that Mexico could be the winner of the trade war between USA and China.
My investment strategy indicated a buy signal for EWW on May 21, with a target price of ~48 USD/share (expected profit of ~7.5%).
USDMXN A tequila "Shot"If you missed the buy opportunity of USDMXN at the bottom of the wick that touched the trendline, well dry your tears for you can short at the channel retest with a good return of 1400 pips if it gets to our TP of 1.90000 psychological handle. Watch PA closely, if the bullish momentum is strong enough to incise the channel, this trade will be invalidated as there's not a lot of fundamental backup to it.
The USDMXN has a high pip return and would be nice to it to your trading portfolio.
Happy trading and profitable week!
NOTE:, I am still long on this pair since the entry on Friday but notice that we are heading to fib 50% and a major weekly turncoat-resistance, hence the neutral stance and EUREKA Moment!!!
USDMXN: Is There Someone Who Knows The Value ?Hey everyone!
I hope it was a great sunny weekend for everyone of you guys. Here in Germany it was beautiful, like this setup we are looking at. Found it during my weekend trading routine. USDMXN looks super clean from now as there was bullish momentum during the last week. Forming a peak high formation now with a divergence on the RSI could indicate another bearish momentum as before. The 0.786 fibonacci level, which is not that strong by the way, was also not broken strong. This will be the first trade of next week i think. Sad It is so exotic, because i do not even know how to count the pip value of this pair haha. If you know please let me know in the comment section. See you guys next time hopefully with another video analysis from my side!
Yearly lows set in place for USDMXNHere we can look from a bird's eye view and see that this is likely still a large triangle taking place.
We are testing the minimum targets of a 5 wave sequence from November highs. It is very possible that this can start forming a base at current levels since the target has been reached however extensions below come in at 18.53.
The likelihood of a base forming will increase if we trade above resistance at 19.20, this will give confidence and unlock 19.47 and 20.4 for initial targets in the triangle.
A very interesting cross to track over the coming Months and Quarters. Best of luck all trading it live.
Aggressively buying Brazil for the long termHere we have a very wide ABC in play with the C leg finishing at 7.25 - 7.28.
From a technical perspective, the market has presented a flawless 5 wave impulsive move with a three wave retracement. Those who are betting on the upside will be coming in here at the 50 and 61.8% weekly retracement levels at 5.09; and we can expect a continuation.
There is scope here for as high as 7.25-7.28... here actively working a lot on the buy side in Brazil.
Best of luck, hope this helps and lets see how it goes.
Fundies Show Weakness, Technicals Show OversoldTo be brief, Mexican growth is slowing with prospects for the G20 economy to slow further. Technicals oscillators shown below indicate a buy as well. This buy is a bit crowded however, so I wouldn't be surprised if the contrarian sell comes in strong. But I lean long.
If you like my analysis, please feel free to check out my other work at www.anthonylaurence.wordpress.com
Shart the toiletop of Adam / s(c)ientistIts dunn.
DO it.
Shart.
Sewn fresh contract.
This contract will be worth the ink it doesnt have.
oohc oohc
BRLMXN has plenty of upside...Here we have a very wide ABC in play with the C leg finishing at 7.25 - 7.28.
From a technical perspective, the market has presented a flawless 5 wave impulsive move with a three wave retracement. Those who are betting on the upside will be coming in here at the 38.2% level at 5.09; and we can expect a continuation.
There is scope here for as high as 7.25-7.28... here actively working a lot on the buy side in Brazil.
Best of luck, hope this helps and lets see how it goes.
USD/MXN Short Idea - Possible 1400 PipsUSD/MXN. The rate increase by The Bank of Mexico last week was great for this pair, and the peso regained strength. If the DXY continues to fall we can hope to see this move. You won’t want to miss this one. 1400 plus pips possible over the entire swing trade. Trade at your own risk and be sure to use proper risk management.
[BTC] [1D] posible movimiento [29/12/2018]BTC afronta unos soportes y resistencias historicos .
Si todo sale bien y re-apunta a una estructura alcista podremos ver un buen 2019.
Todo el 2018 fue de regulaciones, cabe la posibilidad que este 2019 sea de adopcion del comercio crypto.
Por el momento sera una configuracion bajista hasta que no rompa estructura.
USDMXN: Topped as per the weekly timeframe...I think the Peso will regain strength over time from this juncture. The weekly Time@Mode trend signal we had here expires next week but price already seems to be trending down in the daily timeframe, and broke a previous weekly low, so I think we're safe to assume the decline started already. The G20 talks and oil related news might be behind the strength in commodities, EM currencies and weakness in the dollar.
Either way, I'd like to have some exposure to oil and gold, at the very least, but also look into agricultural futures and related stocks, since the trade truce signaled strength might be seen in these markets. Another interesting market to monitor is tech, in particular $QCOM in the event of a merger...I'll be watching $SPY, since I fear it is a bit stretched, and might go back down, if it's still range bound and not trending.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Divergence in USDMXN may be the start of a downtrendUSDMXN is showing weakness and also calling for the end of the move up. besides that channel is also forming a wedge where I expect a move down to 19-18.5 and then a re-test of the lower support.
As I always say, let's check for confirmation before entering a short, I may enter a position next Monday.
Targets to watch in USD/MXN This a trend analysis on USD/MXN.
Our first indicator on an uptrend comes from the golden cross on October 26, 50 MA crossed the 100 MA. Last two times it happened we saw important increases which should mean midterm profit.
Both the stochastic and RSI are pointing up, but buyers are getting tired, so my entry point should be between 19.43-19.83 with a definitive support at the 0.382 level, do not buy if it goes below this level as this may indicate a trend reversal.
The profit targets are also important as I believe we might have a definitive rejection at the 1 line so plan your locking of profits accordingly.
Also and pretty important, the new Mexican president is being sweared in on December 1st, 2018. Being that this individual is a very controversial person, we might see an important USD take over the MXN which might trigger higher levels of profit above the 20.80 price. Be watchful.
Please, please, please comminity, can I have some feedback on this analysis? I believe that there will be a hell ton of money to make if you open a position and hold it till a bit after December 1st.
Mexican peso back to green.The Mexican peso seems to be recovering and although it is important to see how it reacts to the supports, everything indicates that it will remain positive until the end of December.
It is important that I keep an eye on the news and reactions to the new president, but in general the analysis gives enough information to be reliable.
Follow you own plan.
Best wishes all.