SPY - Dissecting Option CyclesA wise man once said "follow the money"
We are not in a stock market.
We are in an option market.
In an option driven market we follow option cycles as a core driver in markets
If you want to understand where you're headed in the market you need to understand where you're coming from.
Micro
BTC 30 minute glanceLevels to watch for micro corrections.
Currently have a .236 wick.
.318 and .5 congruous with next areas of demand if support does not hold.
Key entry levels to watch in yellow horizontal lines.
RSI may reject MA (White Circle).
Keep an eye on this structure.
NFA
Do your own DD.
Come to your own conclusions.
Understanding Scarcity, Choice, and Resource AllocationWelcome to our third ever blog in our economics masterclass. Today we will be going over and Understanding Scarcity, Choice, and Resource Allocation.
[Section 1.4: Scarcity, Choice, and Allocation of Resources
The basic economic problem stems from scarcity, where wants are unlimited, but resources are finite, necessitating choices. Optimal utilization and distribution of resources are crucial.
For example, when you have only £1 to spend at a shop, you must choose between buying a chocolate bar or a packet of crisps due to the scarcity of money. This leads to the concept of opportunity cost, which is the value of the next best alternative foregone. The opportunity cost of choosing the crisps, in this case, would be the chocolate bar. Economic agents such as consumers, producers, and governments must consider opportunity costs when making decisions. Finite resources require careful allocation to achieve the best outcomes.
This section leads on nicely to our first ever some what complex economic theory.
Production Possibility Frontiers (PPFs)
Production Possibility Frontiers (PPFs) depict the maximum productive potential of an economy by using a combination of two goods or services when resources are fully and efficiently employed. PPF curves illustrate the opportunity cost associated with using scarce resources.
Below is an example of a PPF curve for Cheese and yoghurt
(tradingview dot com /chart/AAPL/rNnd689O-PPC-GRAPH)
An example could be, if milk is a scarce resource, there is a trade-off between producing more cheese or more yogurt from the milk. The PPF showcases the most efficient combinations of output (points A and B), where producing more yogurt incurs an opportunity cost of producing less cheese.
The law of diminishing returns states that as more yogurt is produced, the opportunity cost in terms of lost cheese units increases. Points C and D on the PPF represent inefficient production, where resources are not fully utilized. Point E is currently unattainable with the existing resources.
(tradingview dot com /chart/AAPL/YRb7mwU2-ppc-grpah-aks/)
This PPF shows the opportunity cost of producing each product. Producing 100 units of cheese means that only 40 units of yoghurt can be produced instead of the
potential of 90. Therefore, the opportunity cost is 90 - 40 = 50 units of yoghurt.
The PPF not only illustrates opportunity costs but can also indicate economic growth or decline. Economic growth is depicted by an outward shift of the PPF curve, indicating an increase in the economy's productive potential.
A decline in the economy is represented by an inward shift of the curve.
Economic growth can be achieved by increasing the quantity or quality of resources, resulting in an outward shift of the PPF curve.
Supply-side policies can facilitate this. Moving along the PPF incurs opportunity costs, while shifting the PPF curve outward reduces the opportunity cost of producing different goods.
Productive efficiency is achieved when resources are utilized optimally along the PPF curve, while allocative efficiency involves the optimal distribution of goods in society.
We have now covered every section for the first topic behind the A level spec for microeconomics!
4.1 Individuals, firms, markets and market failure ✅
4.1.1.1 Economic methodology ✅
4.1.1.2 The nature and purpose of economic activity ✅
4.1.1.3 Economic resources ✅
4.1.1.4 Scarcity, choice and the allocation of resources✅
4.1.1.5 Production possibility diagrams✅
HLBZ Helbiz the CEO keeps buying more shares! On Dec 29, HLBZ Helbiz CEO bought another 1,568,249 shares of its company at $0.12.
He has also bough shares when the stock was $6.75 last year, worth $3,374,000.
His average I believe it`s a bit above $1.
That`s why i think the CEO of HLBZ, Salvatore PalellaIa, said: "I have only two targets: Profitability and bringing back the stock at 1$ without a RS ; I will do everything I can to make this happen. PERIOD". We are "Creating the first mobility SuperApp"!
If we are to trust him, then HLBZ should do a 7.6X move from here.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
CFI USDT - CyberFi - the most BULLISH coin in this BEARMARKETHello dear friends,
I've been searching gems for weeks during this crypto bearmarket and I think I've found it. It is CyberFi. The daily chart of this coin speaks volumes about how bullish it can be the next weeks or months. It has built a lot of bullish divergences on the daily RSI. And has made lots of bullish divs on the Marketcipher. It has wicked 2 times very hard but didn't sustain it. In my opinion if btc bottoms out here CFI could break out from its FALLING WEDGE like I've drawn and begin its long awaited reversal. This coin could easily do a 5x-10x short term and long term more than a 100x. It's literally the most bullish coin I've ever seen and Ive seen a lot of them. Believe me on this one! This project is also not dead guys. Its mcpa is a mere 500k now. NFA.
EURNZD - Macroeconomic, Global Macro...EUR is the most inflationary currency, whereas NZD is the most deflationary.
Based on Micro Bias, Global Macro Bias, and other factors... My strognerst number was never assigned to this pair....
Consequently, I will maintain my short position in the EURNZD, and based on current information, we might continue in this manner for another week...
Someone among you who has been following the previous three transactions on the EURNZD, Continue reading and don't shut your browser! :)
AKA MicroBrain StrategyThese guys have 122,500 Bitcoin (BTC) and have a total average purchase price of 30k with an average buy in of $3.66 Billion. Watch out if Bitcoin breaks below 30k.... who knows when the banks are gonna start calling and asking for their billions back... at the time of this article in December 2021, Microstrategy's BTC was valued at $6.13 Billion which is now as of this date worth about $4.25 Billion. At what point does Mr. Saylor sell???
www.nasdaq.com
That higher volume you see on the wave C is indicative of a wave C pullback and a blowoff top which is exactly what occured in 2021.
We might get a really good bounce to the upside before this red arrow takes effect but it's going to happen. Bitcoin is the riskiest of risk assets and these guys have $3.66 Billion worth of Bitcoin
lower time frame micro nas. one wick is telling alot.one of the wicks I'm seeing is tilting it to the side of seller resumption. This indicates that price attempted to push higher and was quickly pushed lower. It falied to make a new high in the creation of that wick, which is double bear points. I'm simulator trading today, but I'm short every index and I'm up on every index.
AMD bullish if it reaches 87Hi Traders! AMD are investors patiently waiting for ER Q2, there is a good chance of a runup before or after earnings. AMD has managed to end the downward trend that started in feb 2021, and are now in an uptrend. From half May until the beginning of July AMD has had a beautiful run and has had a good correction like it should have, and closed just below the new trend line on the 16th of July.
Fundamentally AMD has very bullish case in our opinion.
Fundamentally very bullish because:
- AMD has proven that they are able to handle the chip shortage very well .
- Revenue and profit is expected to reach a new high.
- Xilinx, acquisition, the deal is now in a final stage. With AMD acquiring Xilinx they are diversifying their portfolio and it allows AMD to enter new markets like the 5G cellular market.
Technically:
- Trend line is still intact even though it closed below, it has not broken in our opinion, as a retest is very likely.
- 200MA support
Technically the stock looks okay, not convincing enough to jump in yet, but if price manages to reach 87USD, we expect the bullish trend to continue- That + a positive earnings report can make the stock chase ATH again. If the price goes below 85USD we consider the trend line broken and makes this thesis invalid.
Entry: 87USD
SL: 85USD
T1: 95USD (Re-evaluate after ER and new technical info)
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice but made for education purposes only!
TRIAS/USDT Multiple Reaccumulation StructuresMultiple Reaccumulation Structures on TRIAS USDT pair.
Price action for a micro cap has been surprisingly well behaved. Beautiful initial reaccumulation with very pronounced creek and spring action followed by successful retest/confirmation.
BU/LPS formed perfectly out of a reaccumulatuion after decline on smaller time frame again followed by a spring action and break out after multiple retests.
Price entered short term trending condition before going parabolic into the overbought condition followed by stopping action.
Anticipations for this structure so far are a stepping stone style reaccumulation phase.
Looking for the next test of 13 dollars to start forming a bias.
Can see the price action maturing along with the growth of the market cap. Beautiful stuff
$BTC: 200 ema on the 4 hour = Potential repeat?I love the 4 hour chart. Last time bitcoin fought back above the 200 ema and then retested it and successfully closed above? We saw a pretty nice run. I get the sense that this $BTC pa is just some coiling of the spring, a consolidation of momentum as we load up for the next run. Obviously things can go south from here for sure. I wouldn't be surprised to see a second break below, and another "double bottom" style pattern form. But if this 200 holds, we might see some nice push to up around 70k.
$BTC: Heikin Ashi showing signs of a turn around? Patience!!On the daily heikin chart, we're seeing the first bullish doji forming, which is a sign of indecision and the possible end of this downward trend that we've been in the last week. This 26% correction is fantastic for reloading on fuel for the next push higher. There's almost a 0% chance that 58k was the "top" and that we won't see #Bitcoin push towards the inevitable 6 figures.
I'll be looking to long the breakout of the top wick on this doji that's forming today. On the heikin ashi chart if price action was to push above that level, it would show an actual reversal in the trend. Be careful trying to long before that as the bullish doji in the micro downward trend might just be a pause before continuation. $BTC has multiple 30-40% corrections in its last run, and I would never count out the whales from a nice fake, followed by a liquidation of overleveraged moon boys, and then a subsequent earth shattering pump. Let's be patient and find out!
My Futures Trading Intraday Chart Setup For Success! ENA lot of people have emailed us in asking for our Trading View Intraday chart setup and workspace so we wanted to post some ideas here to our Trading View Followers as well. We will be breaking down each individual indicators we use such as Weekly, Daily Levels, Initial Balances Zones, VWAP, Time Frames, Market Internals and Volume Profiles to have a confident edge in your trade setups.
$AMD is the future's WorkHorseIf yall have been sleeping on $AMD, please get woke. This chart is showing strength like we saw in 2019/2020 1YR technicals plus fundamentals (beat revenue by 200% Q4) are a sweet slow cookin recipe for YUUGE growth in 2020.
Check out this article on why $AMD is better than $INTEL just based on hardware patent.
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Buy $AMD
These chips are the reason the $GME squeeze happened, the reason COVID has been managed so well, and the reason games/AI/VR have grown exponentially via Moore's Law.