Microsoft: Progress!The Microsoft stock has now successfully completed wave B in turquoise at $444.95. So, now we locate the price in the subsequent wave C, which is set to finalize the overarching three-part wave in dark green. This suggests further declines, with an ideal low just below $400. Following the low of the overarching wave , Microsoft should initiate a new upward impulse. While there’s a 25% chance that wave alt. in dark green has already hit its low, this alternative scenario will only be confirmed if the stock breaks above $469.55.
Microsoft
Microsoft Head & Shoulders, $MSFTMicrosoft, the third largest company by weight continues to struggle since July. The troublesome part is that it appears to be building up a massive head and shoulders pattern all of this year. Additionally, the third shoulder is also looking like a huge bear flag and remains weak compared to the overall market.
MICROSOFT has bottomed. Dont miss this once/year buy opportunityMicrosoft (MSFT) has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the October 2022 market bottom following the Inflation Crisis. Since the August 05 2024 Low on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the stock has struggled to get detached from it and stage a sustainable rally.
This prolonged volatility can be seen however on both previous Lows of the Channel Up, while the price was attempting to price a bottom. Technically it is around the same levels as February - March 2023 (again below the 1W MA50).
As you can see, this kind of buy opportunity emerges roughly once a year on MSFT and posts a rise or roughly +50% from the bottom, with the last Higher High priced on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, our long-term Target is now set at $550.
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IS THIS MAG7 DARLING ABOUT TO CRASH?!NASDAQ:MSFT
🔥 IS NASDAQ:MSFT ABOUT TO FALL OVER 21%?! 🔥
Let's not panic yet, but Microsoft's weekly charts are flashing some intriguing signals. Here’s the lowdown:
As long as NASDAQ:MSFT stays within its symmetrical pattern, we’re in the clear. But if it breaks downward, we’re looking at a potential 6% drop from the Volume profile shelf and possibly a dangerous 22% plunge, breaking the 2024 Head & Shoulders pattern. Enter the "Low Five Setup"—the bearish counterpart to my "High Five Setup."
Key factors to watch:
- Williams %R: Lower High
- MACD: Dangerously close to crossing below the zero line (BEARISH)
- RSI: Below RSI MA with lower highs, at 46—lots of room before oversold
- Trend: Lower high, red through yellow downward move indicating a downtrend on the weekly chart
Microsoft has been Wall Street’s golden goose, untouched by the FUD that hit the MAG7 stocks. Apple had China FUD, Tesla faced the ELON BAD FUD, Google with AI SEARCH FUD, Amazon with spending and margins FUD, Meta with metaverse spending FUD, and Nvidia with growth concerns FUD.
But as Willy Wonka taught us, every golden goose lays a bad egg sometimes. This is a weekly chart setup, so it will take time to play out. No one's immune to Wall Street’s FUD wrath, not even Microsoft. We shall see what happens...
P.S. I’m not in this name yet—just putting it on your radar. We’re early to the party, just like I always am with my setups. If you’re still here, you value solid, well-thought-out market analysis. Props to you!
Have a great Sunday, friends! 👊
Not Financial Advice #HighFiveSetup #LowFiveSetup
Microsoft (MSFT): Can Earnings Sustain the Trend Channel?With Microsoft set to report earnings, investors are keenly watching updates on AI-related spending, especially growth within Azure and Copilot, as well as broader financials. A significant focus will be on capital expenditures (Capex) for generative AI initiatives, expected to rise from $9.92 billion a year ago to an estimated $14.74 billion in this recent quarter. Beyond revenue and earnings, the market is waiting to see how these hefty investments are shaping the company’s growth trajectory.
Technically, NASDAQ:MSFT continues to test the lower bound of its trend channel—a level that may weaken with repeated retests. The stock’s reaction to earnings will reveal if this support can hold. The formation suggests a potential head and shoulders pattern, particularly if NASDAQ:MSFT dips below the neckline support at $388 with declining volume.
For now, we’re maintaining our cautious outlook. If Microsoft fails to hold its key support levels, it may confirm the bearish trend we’ve been observing. As always, we’ll provide updates if any significant developments occur after the earnings report.
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnd when you think about it, everything began with this:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 430usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $9.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Microsoft MSFT: Volume + Momentum today & a retest of High soon
Microsoft came up in stock scans today on increased momentum so I took a look and I took a Long position.
MSFT you may remember back in July of this year sold off quite deeply from a bearish head n shoulders pattern. But since then it's price has reformed with good market structure & following its steamy movement today, I think a reclaim of the high price will occur before end of the year.
S&P 500 Is Higher Than Ever. Can Earnings Support the Growth?Tech giants are in the waiting room, prepping their financial updates while investors drool over prospects of AI-fueled revenues. The season kicked off with Wall Street banks posting some convincing numbers for the September quarter, painting an optimistic outlook for Corporate America’s biggest and brightest players.
The S&P 500 is hot, hot, hot. Investors just can’t get enough of the 500-strong index and last Friday they pushed it to its 47th record closing high of the year. And they did it with finesse — on the eve of the 37th anniversary of the “Black Monday” market crash. (On Oct. 19, 1987, the S&P 500 wiped out a record 20% and the Nasdaq shed 12%.) Broadly, US indexes are having a bumper year, with most of them up double digits or more.
With no time to waste, markets are shifting their attention to the looming slate of big tech earnings reports . Here’s what’s going to be turning heads this week:
📌 On Wednesday , EV maker Tesla TSLA will be the main character in the world of corporate updates. Wall Street is eyeballing earnings north of $25.4 billion, up from $23.4 billion in the year-ago quarter. Besides Elon Musk’s EV giant, Wednesday will bring earnings from Coca Cola KO , Boeing BA , IBM IBM and telecoms mainstays T-Mobile TMUS and AT&T T .
📌 On Thursday , the earnings roll keeps rolling in with e-commerce and cloud computing juggernaut Amazon AMZN reporting after the closing bell.
But all that earnings action looks fairly light — wait till you see what’s cooking for next week. *drumroll please* … 🥁
The Magnificent Seven club of tech highflyers will be represented by four of its members. (Tesla and Amazon report the prior week and Nvidia NVDA reports in about a month from now.)
📌 On October 29 , Google parent Alphabet GOOGL is scheduled to report earnings figures. Shares of the tech heavyweight are up about 18% on the year but got stuck recently after the Department of Justice filed a range of possible changes aimed at reducing Google’s search dominance.
📌 On October 30 , Facebook parent Meta META and Microsoft MSFT will reveal how they fared in the three months through September. Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta flaunts a massive 65% year-to-date increase (and some new glow-up for its loose-shirt-wearing tech bro founder.) Microsoft, on the other hand, is up by a more modest clip of 12%.
📌 On October 31 , Apple AAPL will release its highly-anticipated earnings data that will include a glimpse into how well the new iPhone 16 is selling . Shares of Apple are up roughly 27% for the year.
These seven mega-cap corporate giants are expected to show an 18% rise in third-quarter profits, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. If materialized, that would be substantially slower than the 36% seen in the second quarter. The sheer size of the pack accounts for about 30% of the total market cap of the S&P 500 (which not long ago celebrated its $50 trillion milestone .) Nvidia and Apple alone are worth more than $7 trillion combined.
What’s on your radar for this earnings season? Are you waiting for a tech giant to dip or maybe you're after a bank stock or a car conglomerate? Share your comments below!
Microsoft Corp Hello,
A quick look with the Adaptive Trend Finder indicator on the Microsoft stock, with a daily chart.
I have set the medium-term and short-term settings.
We can see that the price is working at the bottom of the channel, so watch it.
The medium-term trend is bullish.
Make your own opinion before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
MSFT Long IntradayAsset Class: Stocks
Income Type: Daily
Symbol: MSFT
Trade Type: Long
Trends:
Short Term: Up
Long Term: Down
Set-Up Parameters:
Entry: 416.74
Stop: 413.37
TP 423.47 (2:1)
Trade idea:
Waiting for a retest of the 15Min demand zone formed by Drop -base-rally at the channel breakout,
!!Be aware of pending Economic Reports. If price is within 20 pips of proximal value at time of major impact report, then Confirmation entry.
Trade management:
**When price hits 1:1 or T1, consider moving stop to entry in case of pullback.
**Disclaimer**:
The trading strategies, ideas, and information shared are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, currencies, or financial instruments. You should do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred from following these trading ideas.
Microsoft - We Will See A Correction!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can actually create a correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Microsoft is one of the strongest stocks over the past decade and also over the past couple of months, there was no clear sign of weakness. Therefore, it is actually not extremely likely that a correction will happen, but if it does, this will offer a long term texbook trading opportunity.
Levels to watch: $420, $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Microsoft (MSFT): Decision Point – Will It Hold or Drop?Since our last analysis on Microsoft, not much has changed in terms of price action, as it rose to $469 before getting stuck again at $416. However, there is one major development – Microsoft has formed a new trend channel. We have marked this crucial channel in red and labeled it "Must hold for more upside," emphasizing its importance. A major decision is approaching for $MSFT.
Either Microsoft holds this channel, leading to a surge higher, or it loses this level, which would confirm the bearish head and shoulder pattern. We've maintained a bearish outlook on Microsoft since January 2024, and recent developments seem to support our analysis. For now, we're patiently waiting and letting the market decide.
If Microsoft loses the channel, we could find initial support for wave (A) around $316-306. However, a better buying opportunity for wave II may present itself closer to $220 – though reaching this level will take some time. 🫡
Trade Idea: Microsoft Daily Timeframe Rejection at ResistanceI’m watching for Microsoft’s price to return to a key resistance level on the daily chart. If the price reaches this point, I anticipate a potential rejection. This could lead to a reversal or a pullback, providing a possible short opportunity.
Microsoft - Its Decision Time Hi Guys,
This chart could be a leading indicator for overall market direction, alongside NASDAQ:NVDA - NVIDIA and $AAPL. So this chart and the other two largest companies in the world Nvidia and Apple are worth paying close attention to, for overall market direction.
▫️ Similar to a the 2019 - 2022 period, the price held the mid term parallel channel with the 200 day SMA acted as underside support. When the 200SMA and the parallel channel was lost in Q1 2023, it led to significant 28%+ decline from these levels (38% from the prior highs of the period).
▫️ We can use the DSS Bressert and the On Balance Volume to help here in distinguishing a likely trend direction.
▫️ This is a very strong chart as it stands. Many traders could step in at the 200 day SMA and bottom of the channel. If the channel is lost, and we have serious reason for concern and could exit on a revisit or test of the underside of the channel (as illustrated with the arrow).
Unless the channel is lost which sync's up with a loss of the 200 day moving average (approx. $410), intermediate trend looks intact for continued upwards trajectory.
Remember, you can check in on this chart and press play to get updated data at any time by clicking the link in the comments below or by following me on TradingView.
PUKA
MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF)... Time to BUY? YES!!The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF offers equal weight exposure to the “Magnificent Seven” stocks – Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. MAGS is the first-ever ETF to track the Magnificent Seven.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF)... Time to BUY?
MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF)
Weekly TF shows price has pulled back into the +FVG after displacing above the intermediate swing high, completing an External to Internal move. That high intersects the +FVG nicely as confluence of support.
Daily TF shows a Daily +FVG nested within the Weekly +FVG, serving as more confluence of support.
The idea here is if the +FVG holds, price will seek the buy side liquidity highlighted. This would be an Internal to External liquidity movement.
The local high at **48.00** is nice round number to draw price. **50.00** is the longer term draw on liquidity.
*The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF offers equal weight exposure to the “Magnificent Seven” stocks – Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. MAGS is the first-ever ETF to track the Magnificent Seven.
Microsoft. There is still potential for the price to decline.Hello traders and investors!
Let's take a look at the situation with Microsoft stocks. I believe there is still potential for the price to decline.
Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly TF, there is an attempt to reverse the long trend. The first seller's impulse has been formed. The level of the last buyer’s impulse start is 445.66, and the level of the last seller’s impulse start is 468.35. The end of the last seller's impulse is at 385.58.
Key candle in the seller's impulse is from July 24 (largest volume in the impulse, marked as "KC" on the chart). It was tested by the buyer on August 19. The test level is 426.70. The buyer missed the 50% level of the seller's impulse (426.97) by 27 cents. Then, the buyer attacked the test level with two candles on increased volume, bringing the price above the 50% level, but the seller pushed the price back below the test level (426.70), forming a seller's zone above (red rectangle on the chart). Further price decline is likely, with the first target at 400.8, which is the start of the last buyer's sub-impulse on the weekly TF.
Daily Timeframe
On the daily TF, there’s a sideways range (formed on August 22, with point 4). The upper boundary is 432.15, and the lower boundary is 385.58. The relevant seller's vector is 6-7, with the first potential target being 400.8 (then 385.58).
The buyer's vector 5-6 broke above the upper boundary of the range, gathered volume, and the seller returned the price to the range, forming a seller's zone at the upper boundary. This zone was tested on September 26, after which the seller's continuation began. The buyer attempted a recovery on September 30 with increased volume but failed to deliver results. Yesterday, the seller engulfed the buyer's candle.
Highlights
On both the weekly and daily TFs, the priority is to look for selling opportunities. The last daily candle has increased volume, making it a good point to start looking for sell opportunities. On the daily TF, possible threats to short positions include the 50% level of the last buyer's impulse at 413.72 and the buyer's zone with an upper boundary at 410.65 (green rectangle on the chart).
It makes sense to consider buying opportunities when the buyer shows strength, for example, when interacting with the levels of 400 or 385 and defending them.
How to decode candle volumes is explained here
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Is Microsoft's Quantum Leap a Calculated Investment?In the dynamic landscape of tech investment, Microsoft's quantum computing advancements have sparked significant interest. However, as with any emerging technology, the question remains: is the potential return on investment justified by the inherent risks?
Microsoft's strides in quantum computing are undeniable. From creating record-breaking logical qubits to demonstrating practical applications, the company has established itself as a frontrunner in this field. Yet, the path to commercialization is fraught with challenges, including technological hurdles and intense competition.
Investors must carefully evaluate the potential rewards against the risks. While the long-term prospects of quantum computing are promising, the short-term challenges and market uncertainties cannot be overlooked. Is Microsoft's strategic positioning and technological prowess sufficient to navigate these obstacles and capitalize on the potential benefits of quantum computing?
A Deeper Dive:
To make an informed investment decision, investors should consider the following factors:
Technological Progress: The rate of advancement in quantum computing technology will significantly impact the timeline for commercialization and potential returns. While Microsoft has made significant strides, the field is still evolving rapidly.
Competitive Landscape: The competitive landscape in quantum computing is dynamic and includes other tech giants like Google, IBM, and Amazon. The ability of Microsoft to maintain a competitive edge will be crucial for long-term success.
Market Demand: The potential market for quantum computing applications is still emerging. The development of practical use cases will be essential to drive demand and justify investment.
Regulatory Environment: Government policies and regulations can impact the development and commercialization of quantum computing technologies. Investors should be aware of any potential regulatory hurdles.
Economic Factors: Macroeconomic conditions, such as interest rates and market volatility, can influence investment decisions. Investors should consider how broader economic trends may affect the quantum computing market.
Conclusion:
Investing in Microsoft's quantum computing endeavors presents both opportunities and risks. While the long-term potential is significant, investors must carefully assess the factors outlined above to make an informed decision. As the field continues to evolve, it will be essential to stay updated on the latest developments and market trends.
Analyzing Microsoft: Patterns and Profit-Taking Opportunities
Microsoft is in a profit-taking zone based on the Parallel Channels and Equal Weight method.
The round number of $500 could act as a psychological level, affecting future price movements.
This is not a shorting zone, but a chance to manage your position and consider taking profits if it fits your strategy.
The second time in my analysis, I want to highlight the idea of Parallel Channels and Equal Waves, which is a helpful method for deciding when to take profits. One of its main benefits is that it helps find profit-taking areas, especially when there’s no major resistance or "traffic" on the left side of the chart.
Right now, Microsoft has reached important levels that look similar to patterns we’ve seen in gold. Also, the price is approaching a third key point, the round number of $500, which could play an important role in the near future.
It’s important to point out again that this is not a shorting area, but rather a potential profit-taking zone. If you’re managing your position as a mid-term investor and you might need your invested money soon, this could be a good place to take some profits.
Make sure to align this analysis with your overall investment plan. If you're ready to act, now could be a good time to lock in some profits.
Regards,
Vaido
msft h and shouldersmicrosoft with an head and shoulders, possibly going down, with a huge sell in insiders. abpout 70 million on insiders sell on the last month,
so even indexes must go down with this sellibg msft, by beeing one of the most capitelised companies in the world after 3 trillion market cap, if you will see the inside sellers, its a huge difference by the last months inside trades, so its a double shoulder head and shoulders and both shoulders already done in the daily time frame, so we must see an downgrade in the price for the next weeks and even quarters, this, ofcourse in my point of view,
do never trade in anothers person opinion, do your own research and trade by it, this is only my poin of view, i will sell msft and north american indexes, by beeing one of the most market capital company going down, so the indexes must go too, as far as i think, thrieaving all market down side, but other stocks are not head and shoulders, even got some upper grade but in my POV, they will go down with the second or thirdth most capitallised stock going down,so keep reaserching, and go for the profits,
the sp500 is in an extreme point of going down as well, it must go up a lot by passing this point of thecnhical analysis pushing down the index, for now, sp 500 will have a huge down fall and almost freefall to 2300 points, but if goes a lot up can pass the thecnhical indicators by now and go even up by even more points,
only the next days will tell us wht is the best investment,
for now im in a sell possitoion in sp500 and msft
but lets see the progress of the next days and weeks, on sp 500 and msft,
hope you the best profits in this trade, but do your own research before trading,
as far as i am consern , ill wait some days long in sp 500 until i put a short sell in sp500 and msft,
im just loooking for work, if you got an investment company and want me to work for you, just contact me , im in willing to work in the investment finnnace field, as a headge funder os something that i can get good profits, like 20 to 30 per cent profits on my trades, and i will do everything to have them,
keep your investment safe, and do not invest anything that you cannot loose,
this is only my pov, is not any investment idea, you only do whatever you want, and do with intel, so research about the topic and creat your own investment ideas
LOOKING FOR JOB