Microsoft Analysis 01.12.2022Hello Traders,
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Microsoft
Microsoft Analysis 23.11.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
MICROSOFT Preparing for the next rally to $260.00Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the November 22 2021 All Time High (ATH). Last time we made an analysis on it (July 15), we called for a $285 target which got hit on the previous bullish leg:
On today's analysis, we will do no different but to project the next high based on the previous two bounces at the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down. As you see, after another 1W RSI bullish divergence (is on Higher Lows) against the price action (Lower Lows) we can estimate that Microsoft is pricing its last pull-back (if the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks) before the final rally that can price the new Lower High either on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) or the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The 0.618 Fib priced the March 29 Lower High, while the 1D MA200 priced the August 15 High, which was just above the 0.618 Fib again.
Based on that we can expect the next rally to hit at least $260.
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MICROSOFTHELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT MSFT is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the Seller from this area will be defend this SHORT position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong SELLER will be push down the market again..
DOWNTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade..
IF you like my work please like share and follow thanks
TURTLE TRADER 🐢
MSFT Microsoft Issued a Warning to InvestorsMicrosoft lowered its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings per share guidance:
$2.24 to $2.32 per share VS $2.28 to $2.35 per share prior VS $2.33 per share consensus expectations
Revenue guidance:
$51.94 - $52.74 billion VS $52.4 billion - $53.2 billion prior VS $52.87 billion consensus expectations
The price targets that i am watching for buying puts are $245 and $232.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Strong Reversal SPY/SPX IHFundamentals: Slowing growth from Google and Microsoft continued our confirmation of a slowing macro environment. Microsoft reporting slowing growth in cloud revenue. Google even said their strongest ad flow of "search" saw a decline in revenue. Ad spend being the canary in the coal mine indicates the market is ready to continue it's collapse. META continues to blow through cash to build the metaverse.
-3 month/10 year yields inverted
-Yields/Dollar continue their climb - taking a break the last couple of days.
-BOJ intervention
-Canadian central bank increasing just .5
-Chinese Xi reigns again and this time with complete dominance - Speaks of a great challenge ahead - Taiwan in the crosshairs
-Russians talking nuclear attacks
Technical Analysis: The low from Sept 6th, the downward sloping trendline from August 26th, the 50 day MA, combined with the upward trend line from the recent lows created a strong resistance after a 3.5 day run up. ES1! futures stopping a few ticks below 3900. 3 day pumps are the norm.
-Gap at 408.6, 200 MA and downward trend line from the ATH creating the next target to the upside.
Outlook: I definitely believe there is more downside ahead for the markets into 2023. Although today's price action and macro indicators are pointing down that does not guarantee we have seen the end of this rally. Upside gap to 408.6 is being eyed by the bulls. Perhaps by no coincidence the 200 MA is closing in on that price. Those combined with the downward trend line point to a mid November rally adjourning. Bulls looking to load back up around 375 SPY. Breaking through 375 shows the bears have gained control and we have entered into a longer correction formation or new wave down.
Microsoft - Slammed after the earnings report Prior to the beginning of the current earnings season, we warned investors that this would be a volatile period preceding the ECB and FED meetings, characterized by companies narrowly beating market expectations or failing to fulfill them. We also stated that this would enforce our thesis about the second stage of the bear market and progression deeper into the recession.
It did not take long before earning season arrived, and companies started to prove our predictions true (Adidas, Alphabet, Mattel, etc.). Unfortunately, we expect this trend to continue in the next earning season; indeed, we believe it will be far worse than the current one.
Yesterday, Microsoft announced its earnings for the third quarter of 2022, in which it reported an 11% increase in revenue and a 6% increase in operating income. Additionally, the company reported a 14% decrease in net income and a 13% decrease in diluted earnings per share. That subsequently led to a drop in the price of MSFT stock by more than 6.5% after hours.
In our opinion, this merely highlights what we have been reiterating for a while. The market is in recession, and the recent bounce off the 2022 lows represents merely another bear market rally predestined to fall later. With that being said, we expect economic conditions to worsen next week with another FED rate hike.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of Microsoft stock. It can be seen closing at 250.66 USD yesterday; however, after the close and earnings report, it plunged more than 6.5% to 234 USD. This dramatic price action occurred despite Microsoft announcing an increase in revenue and operating expenses compared to the same period a year ago.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. DM+ and DM- are also bullish. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish; however, the data does not reflect the drop after earnings. Therefore, we expect the daily time frame to turn bearish today.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of MSFT stock and simple support/resistance levels.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are flattening, trying to reverse. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame remains bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
MSFT: Bearish channel drive?!Microsoft
Short Term - We look to Sell at 238.54 (stop at 249.55)
Trading within a Bearish Channel formation. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward. Further downside is expected. Our expectation now is for this swing lower to continue towards the bottom of the trend channel, to complete a correction before buyers return.
Our profit targets will be 211.20 and 200.00
Resistance: 240.00 / 292.00 / 317.00
Support: 219.00 / 200.00 / 190.00
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MSFT Potential for Bearish Continuation | 14th October 2022On H4, with the price moving within the descending channel and below ichimoku cloud , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop form the sell entry at 234.35, which is in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the take profit at 212.54, where the 100% fibonacci projection and 161.8% fibonacci extension are. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 250.25, where the 38.2% fibonacci retracement and overlap resistance are.
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Agressively buying Microsoft.Microsoft - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 251.11 (stop at 241.98)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the daily (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Our profit targets will be 274.98 and 279.98
Resistance: 250.00 / 260.00 / 267.00
Support: 235.00 / 220.00 / 210.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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MICROSOFTTuesday, 4 October 2022
22:15 PM (WIB)
Facts About Microsoft
Microsoft enables digital transformation in the era of an intelligent cloud and an intelligent edge.
Its mission is to empower every person and every organization on the planet to achieve more.
For more details about Microsoft, please come visit the website .
Longing Microsoft. MSFTIn conjunction with the uptrend on the major indices (locally), we are seeing a recovery in this major stock. It remains to be seen what exactly we are to paint out - a zigzag, triangle and its many varieties. Momentum is upgoing on SPX, which gives us confidence to see more growth in the tech sector.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Technical ReboundIf you haven`t sold MSFT after they Issued the Warning to Investors:
Then you should know that the chart reached our price target perfectly and is now ready for a technical rebound.
A technical rebound refers to a recovery from a prior period of losses when technical signals indicate that the move was oversold.
In this case, the Relative Strength Index momentum indicator of MSFT Microsoft Corporation is at 24.30.
Even though i am overall bearish on the economy, buying a strong financial instrument when the RSI is below 30, would make a case for a potential short term reversal.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Microsoft Stock Analysis. Biggest sell-off in history happeningMicrosoft Stock Analysis. The biggest sell-off in history has been happening since the end of 2021. Long-term shorts are playing out on Microsoft stock.
New supply levels are being created on the weekly timeframe; the last one is located at $256 per share. Microsoft's stock price today is still bearish. The stock might take some time to pull back to the supply imbalance shown in the Microsoft stock video analysis and prediction.
The expectations for the IT giant are very negative, regardless of any positive news, earnings, or new products and acquisitions. MSFT stock price could drop as far down as $65 in the following months. You can use bearish stock option strategies to take advantage of the sell-off in Microsoft stock.
MSFT possible pullbackHere is a possible pullback considering possible prices of resistance including the lowest price of an old candle, the 50% of the fibonacci retracement (where retracements are more likely to happen). The price already hit the zone but it is common for the price to come back up before the day end. Furthermore, the 50% fibonacci retracement also happens with the weekly timeframe. The risk/reward ratio do not consider the current trend, therefore it is better to maybe take out the TP to see how far the price might go down.