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Microsoft

Placed heavy short position on MSFT EODBased on the complexion of the market and weight of evidence of the market structure I continue to look for downward pressure. I will be in this position up to this Friday; however, may choose to exit within 1-2 days. Speaking of Friday: Friday, June 10th CPI Expectations. I'm expecting to see a 1.6% increase for the month of May, which will all but destroy the narrative by the Fed that inflation is coming down and the worst is behind us. Based on the M2 Money Supply and correlating that with money growth, GDP, and a new element total debt of the economy -- there is a tight correlation al the way back to the 1960's with these new formulations. CPI is understating by ~ 10% which means we "should" be seeing further price increases in price inflation. I do not believe we see the inflation peak until early 2023 where that would peak around 10.6%. I believe the Weight of the Evidence is Statistically on my side that we have not seen the end of price inflation. This might push that barrel price of oil up above the $135 a barrel and push gasoline prices even higher. The downward pressure goes for the high bets tech sector. If you go to the Facebook link (below and in my profile) you'll find some additional charts and annotations. In Bear Markets, the weight of the evidence is when the bulls are unable to maintain and sustain market sentiment when the markets gap-up and they fail to control the narrative.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by bsdvs23
MSFT Potential for bearish momentum | 2nd June 2022With RSI moving within a downtrend channel , we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our take profit at 246.88 where the horizontal swing low support is from our sell entry at 275.80 in line with the horizontal overlap resistance, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 38.2% fibonacci retracement . Alternatively, price may break entry structure and head for stop loss at 290.14 where the horizontal swing high resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website. Disclaimer
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by FXCM
MSFT Potential for bearish momentum | 27th May 2022With prices below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our take profit at 252.33 where the horizontal pullback support is from our sell entry at 271.89 in line with the horizontal overlap resistance, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 38.2% fibonacci retracement . Alternatively, price may break entry structure and head for stop loss at 290.14 where the horizontal swing high resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by FXCM
1
Bearish breakdown for MSFT on the Fibonacci Bollinger BandThe monthly chart for Microsoft (MSFT) shows a breakdown below the upper band (red line) of the Fibonacci Bollinger Bands (FBB) indicator. While it is likely that MSFT will bounce for the time being, as inflation worries cool and tech stocks attempt a rally, the upper band will likely act as resistance. If the price rebounds it might be hard to sustain a breakout above $300. While I like MSFT as much as anyone else, the charts do not lie. The chart is showing that there is a long-term mean reversion occurring in the price of MSFT. The white line is the standard deviation basis for the monthly chart which reflects the downside potential. It's quite steep and the yearly oscillators are saying MSFT is primed to correct down to this level. All of this will unfold slowly (months to years) and fakeouts might trap some bulls. Is your MSFT position prepared for a worst-case scenario reversion to the mean? Trade wisely. Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by SpyMasterTrades
3
VMW: Merger Arbitrage !?VMware Intraday - We look to Buy at 110.32 (stop at 100.60) This stock has recently been in the news headlines. Broadcom agreed to buy the company for $61B USD. Trading volume is increasing. We look for a temporary move lower. Bespoke support is located at 110.00. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Our profit targets will be 139.88 and 150.00 Resistance: 140.00 / 150.00 / 167.00 Support: 110.00 / 92.50 / 85.50 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
VLong
by VantageMarkets
Daily US Stocks Volatility 26 May 22 APPL, TSLA, MSFT, AMAZApple 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 85% chance to be below 3.96% In this case, our channel for today is going to be TOP 146 BOT 135 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Microsoft 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 85% chance to be below 3.96% In this case, our channel for today is going to be TOP 272 BOT 253 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TESLA 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 85% chance to be below 3.96% In this case, our channel for today is going to be TOP 716 BOT 602 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AMAZON 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 85% chance to be below 3.96% In this case, our channel for today is going to be TOP 2255 BOT 2010 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:AAPL
by exlux
Daily US Stocks Volatility Forecast 23 May 22 APPL, TSLA, MSFTApple 23 May 2022 For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 2.63% movement. So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 138 open candle value, is going to be: TOP 138 + 3.6 -> aprox 141.6 BOT 138 - 3.6 -> aprox 134.4 At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 3.94% With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 90% probability. So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within TOP 138 + 5.4 -> aprox 143.4 BOT 138 - 5.4 -> aprox 132.6 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Microsoft 23 May 2022 For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 2.63% movement. So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 253 open candle value, is going to be: TOP 253 + 6.6 -> aprox 259,6 BOT 253 - 6.6 -> aprox 246,4 At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 3.75% With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 92% probability. So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within TOP 253 + 9.5 -> aprox 262,5 BOT 253 - 9.5 -> aprox 243,5 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TSLA 23 May 2022 For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 5.44% movement. So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 665 open candle value, is going to be: TOP 665 + 36 -> aprox 701 BOT 665 - 36 -> aprox 629 At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 5.44% With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 90% probability. So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within TOP 665 + 55 -> aprox 720 BOT 665 - 55 -> aprox 610 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Google 23 May 2022 For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 2.7% movement. So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 2180 open candle value, is going to be: TOP 2180 + 60 -> aprox 2240 BOT 2180 - 60 -> aprox 2120 At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 3.6% With this we can achieve over the last 4000+daily candles, a 90% probability. So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within TOP 2180 + 80 -> aprox 2260 BOT 2180 - 80 -> aprox 2100 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by exlux
2
Weekly Volatility Forecast 23-29 May 2022 APPL, AMAZ, MSFTAPPLE 23-29 May 2022 We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 8% This is translated into 11$ from the current point. So lets imagine that APPLE is going open Monday candle around 138 With that in mind, with close to 86% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have: TOP 138 + 11 -> aprox 149 BOT 138 - 11 -> aprox 127 If we want at the same time to narrow a bit this channel, we can go for close to 76% probability. In this case the volatility would be around 6% => 8$ TOP 138 + 8 -> aprox 146 BOT 138 - 8 -> aprox 130 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MICROSOFT 23-29 May 2022 We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 7.4% This is translated into 18$ from the current point. So lets imagine that MICROSOFT is going open Monday candle around 250 With that in mind, with close to 87% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have: TOP 250 + 19 -> aprox 269 BOT 250 - 19 -> aprox 231 If we want at the same time to narrow a bit this channel, we can go for close to 78% probability. In this case the volatility would be around 5.57% => 14$ TOP 250 + 14 -> aprox 264 BOT 250 - 14 -> aprox 236 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AMAZON 23-29 May 2022 We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 12.25% This is translated into 260$ from the current point. So lets imagine that AMAZON is going open Monday candle around 2150 With that in mind, with close to 87% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have: TOP 2150 + 260 -> aprox 2410 BOT 2150 - 260 -> aprox 1890 If we want at the same time to narrow a bit this channel, we can go for close to 77% probability. In this case the volatility would be around 9.2% => 200$ TOP 2150 + 200-> aprox 2350 BOT 2150 - 200 -> aprox 1950 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:AMZN
by exlux
Microsoft - Long PositionThere's A Lot To Like About Microsoft's Upcoming US$0.62 Dividend. The company's next dividend payment will be US$0.62 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of US$2.48 per share. Last year's total dividend payments show that Microsoft has a trailing yield of 0.9% on the current share price of $261.12. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by nfx-trading
Microsoft Stocks will be BullishMicrosoft's Stocks is in a Descending Channel and Now the Price is at the Bottom of that Channel. The Price Will Start to Increase to the Top of the Channel Pretty Soon because the Fact that It is at the Bottom of the channel, makes it enough Reason to Increase and also we have a Regular Bullish Divergence on MACD Indicator as well Which is also another Reason for Us to Think about Bullish Stuff! _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Thank you for seeing idea . Have a nice day and Good luck
NASDAQ:MSFT
by CobraVanguard
17
Microsoft crashing? Microsoft Short Term - We look to Sell at 274.00 (stop at 287.00) Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Broken out of the Head and Shoulders formation to the downside. Previous support at 275.00 now becomes resistance. The trend of lower highs is located at 290.00. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. Our profit targets will be 232.00 and 221.00 Resistance: 275.00 / 300.00 / 320.00 Support: 250.00 / 220.00 / 200.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Saxo
1
Microsoft - Time to Buy the Dip? Still the undefeated software giant Microsoft , top 3 company of the world has corrected for 25%, nearly as much as we have seen in March 2020. Is it time to buy? Fundamental indicators: Revenue and Profits - consistent strong growth for the past 10 years Profit margin - impressive 35% in 2021 P/E - although still above the norms with 27x ratio it can be considered by many very much acceptable for this highly effective company Liabilities - no problems with debt Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves): The rapid drop in March 2020 has completed correction that has been observed for nearly year and a half and formed by a Running Flat Since then Microsoft has enjoyed an explosive growth with over 150% increase in an impulse movement And having peaked at $350 there is another correction developing now Given the rank of this highly sought after stock it is possible to assume that this correction is going to be similar to the previous one and the depth is not going to exceed 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave 3, i.e. not lower than $230, and it will also be shaped as a Running Flat Duration of this running correction is likely to be longer than the previous one lasting at least till end of 2023 followed by another rocket-like movement to the moon What do you think about the prospects for Microsoft ? Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves. Thanks
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by vitalalyt
1
Will Microsoft let itself be affected by negative events? ⚔️We tend to see triangles everywhere, we realize that this may be redundant for some, but all modes of chartist analysis are good to go. We also realize that the triangle Microsoft is forming is not the prettiest, but if it is truly a compression triangle, then we could be looking at an upside breakout. Only time will tell, I must admit that taking positions in these complicated times for everyone is a risky bet, which may or may not be taken for a good performance. Only two paths are possible, but which one will Microsoft choose?
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Absconse
IS MSFT OVERVALUED?Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business, as well as related Client Access Licenses (CAL); Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for organizations and enterprise divisions. Its Intelligent Cloud segment licenses SQL, Windows Servers, Visual Studio, System Center, and related CALs; GitHub that provides a collaboration platform and code hosting service for developers; and Azure, a cloud platform. It also offers support services and Microsoft consulting services to assist customers in developing, deploying, and managing Microsoft server and desktop solutions. Microsoft is a rock. No doubt. But i feel like that the stock is priced for perfection and if earnings do not constantly surprise investors, then we could see a strong move downward. Especially when we think FED will increase rates and decrease money supply. MSFT p/e is only 29 which is pretty low for a tech company but its market cap 2.1 trillion dollars. It is %10 of US GDP and around %2,5 of worlds GDP. How much more can it grow? Where is the line for a company to be too big? Right now FED is increasing rates and decreasing money supply which is not good for stock market. This year we can experience that big techs, such as Google, MSFT, Apple is overvalued for this kind of economic policies. Lets take a look at important price levels. Support levels 280 266 241 If we cant keep 280 levels as support, fast downward movement to 266 and 241 is possible. Resistance leves 299 On the upside if we can breakout of 299 level, it is possible for more increase. Price targets are 310 320 350 Thanks Follow for more charts and ideas.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by thegreatwall38
Why We Must Use Stop Loss ?! And What The Stop Loss Mean What Is a Stop-Loss Order? A stop-loss order is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a specific stock once the stock reaches a certain price. A stop-loss is designed to limit an investor's loss on a security position. For example, setting a stop-loss order for 10% below the price at which you bought the stock will limit your loss to 10%. Suppose you just purchased Microsoft (MSFT) at $20 per share. Right after buying the stock, you enter a stop-loss order for $18. If the stock falls below $18, your shares will then be sold at the prevailing market price. Stop-limit orders are similar to stop-loss orders. However, as their name states, there is a limit on the price at which they will execute. There are then two prices specified in a stop-limit order: the stop price, which will convert the order to a sell order, and the limit price. Instead of the order becoming a market order to sell, the sell order becomes a limit order that will only execute at the limit price (or better). Stop-Loss Orders Are Also a Way to Lock In Profits Stop-loss orders are traditionally thought of as a way to prevent losses. However, another use of this tool is to lock in profits. In this case, sometimes stop-loss orders are referred to as a "trailing stop." Here, the stop-loss order is set at a percentage level below the current market price (not the price at which you bought it). The price of the stop-loss adjusts as the stock price fluctuates. It's important to keep in mind that if a stock goes up, you have an unrealized gain; you don't have the cash in hand until you sell. Using a trailing stop allows you to let profits run, while, at the same time, guaranteeing at least some realized capital gain. Continuing with our Microsoft example from above, suppose you set a trailing stop order for 10% below the current price, and the stock skyrockets to $30 within a month. Your trailing-stop order would then lock in at $27 per share ($30 - (10% x $30) = $27). Because this is the worst price you would receive, even if the stock takes an unexpected dip, you won't be in the red. Of course, keep in mind the stop-loss order is still a market order—it simply stays dormant and is activated only when the trigger price is reached. So, the price your sale actually trades at may be slightly different than the specified trigger price.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Pharaon_Academy